[Analysis of hearing surveillance of noise-exposed workers in Zhuzhou city]

Objective: To understand the hearing loss status of workers exposed to noise, and provide a scientific basis for formulating effective prevention and control strategies. Methods: From Januaryl to October 31 , 2018, through the occupational hazard declaration and record management system of the workplace and the health checkup system , the basic information and physical examination information of 7806 noise-exposed workers in 136 companies in Zhuzhou City in 2018 and the related information about the industry, type, and scale of the enterprises were collected. The χ(2) test was used to analyze the occupational health monitoring data of the noise-exposed workers. Results: The average age of 7806 workers in Zhuzhou was(36. 1±9. 3) years, and the working age was 7. 0(3. 0, 11. 0) years. And 1 270 workers with noise induced hearing loss(NIHL) were detected, including 51 suspected occupational noise deafness. The detection rates of NIHL and the suspected occupational noise deafness were 16. 27% , 0. 65% , respectively. The detection rate of noise was 0.01% in 1deaf person. It showed that the male had higher morbidity than the female (P<0. 05) and the workers with longer exposure time had a higher morbidity (P<0. 05) . There was a statistically significant difference in the detection rate of NIHL and suspected occupational noise deafness between workers of different types of work (P<0. 05 ) . It was noted that the morbidity varied in different enterprises, industry types and terms of scales (P<0. 05 ) . Non- metal ore mining and dressing industry workers had higher NIHL detection rate (33. 33%, 14/42) and small companies workers had higher NIHL detection rate(19. 32%, 296/1532) . There was a statistically significant difference in the detection rate of suspected occupational noise deafness between workers of different economic types of enterprises. There was a high detection rate of suspected occupational noise deafness among workers in private enterprises(1. 29%, 36/2782) . Conclusion: The noise operation in Zhuzhou is seriously endangered.Occupational health protection measures for non-metallic mining and dressing industries, small and private enterprises should be strengthened.Occupational health law enforcement efforts should be strengthened to protect workers' health.

[Application of Bayesian statistics in AIDS epidemic estimation]

With the prevalence of AIDS in countries around the world, the epidemic has affected more areas and more populations, and the epidemic pattern is more complicated, so the methods for estimating and predicting AIDS epidemic need to be improved continuously. The existing mathematical statistics models and computer software prediction methods of AIDS epidemic have their own advantages and disadvantages, combination and mutual corroboration of different epidemiological estimation methods can facilitate the comprehensive assessment of the AIDS epidemic. This paper summarizes the thinking, development, application and precautions of Bayesian statistics in AIDS epidemic estimation to provide reference for the further application of Bayesian statistics in AIDS epidemic estimation.

The PI3K/AKT/mTOR signaling pathway in osteoarthritis: a narrative review

Osteoarthritis (OA) is a complicated degenerative disease that affects whole joint tissue. Currently, apart from surgical approaches to treat late stage OA, effective treatments to reverse OA are not available. Thus, the mechanisms leading to OA, and more effective approaches to treat OA should be investigated. According to available evidence, the PI3K/AKT/mTOR signaling pathway is essential for normal metabolism of joint tissues, but is also involved in development of OA. To provide a wide viewpoint to roles of PI3K/AKT/mTOR signaling pathway in osteoarthritis, a comprehensive literature search was performed using PubMed terms 'PI3K OR AKT OR mTOR' and 'osteoarthritis'. This review highlights the role of PI3K/AKT/mTOR signaling in cartilage degradation, subchondral bone dysfunction, and synovial inflammation, and discusses how this signaling pathway affects development of the disease. We also summarize recent evidences of therapeutic approaches to treat OA by targeting the PI3K/AKT/mTOR pathway, and discuss potential challenges in developing these strategies for clinical treatment of OA.

Arabidopsis nucleoporin CPR5 controls trichome cell death through the core cell cycle regulator CKI

The Arabidopsis trichome is a polyploid epidermal cell resulting from multiple rounds of endocycles. The CYCLIN-DEPENDENT KINASE INHIBITOR (CKI) family proteins are core cell cycle regulators that promote the endocycle. CONSTITUTIVE EXPRESSION OF PR GENES 5 (CPR5) is a plant-specific nucleoporin. It has been found that two Arabidopsis CKI, SIAMESE (SIM) and SIAMESE-RELATED 1 (SMR1), function downstream of CPR5 to activate plant effector-triggered cell death. The sim smr1 double mutants form multicellular and clustered trichomes, while the cpr5 mutants produce dead and branchless trichomes. This study explored roles of the CPR5-CKI signalling pathway in trichome cell cycle transition. To examine the underlying mechanism of how cell cycle transition is regulated in plant trichomes, Trypan blue staining, flow cytometry, scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and nuclear DNA measurement were conducted. The native promoter-driven CKI and GUS fusion reporter showed that both SIM and SMR1 proteins were preferentially expressed in trichomes. The cpr5-induced dead and branchless trichomes were fully suppressed by the sim smr1 double mutant, suggesting that SIM and SMR1 function downstream of CPR5 in trichome development. Flow cytometry analysis showed that as compared to the number of 2C (C = DNA content in a haploid nucleus) cells, the number of 4C cells significantly increased, whereas that of polyploidy cells (8C and 16C) dramatically decreased in the cpr5 mutant. The elevated 4C/2C ratio in the cpr5 mutant is consistent with de-repression of pro-endocycle regulators SIM and SMR1. The polyploidy cells (8C and 16C) may be selectively targeted to cell death, which is therefore attributed to the branchless trichomes in the cpr5 mutant. Nuclear DNA content analysis demonstrated that the nuclear DNA content of trichomes in the cpr5 sim mutant was significantly higher than in the sim mutant, indicating that CPR5 is a negative endocycle regulator in trichomes. This study reveals that the CPR5-CKI signalling pathway controls trichome cell cycle transition and excessive endocycles are required for cell death in plant trichomes.

[Efficacy of transcatheter pulmonary valve perforation by micro-guidewire and balloon dilation in neonates with pulmonary atresia with intact ventricular septum]

Objective: To investigate the safety and efficacy of transcatheter perforation of pulmonary valve by micro-guidewire and balloon dilation in the treatment of neonatal pulmonary atresia with intact ventricular septum (PA-IVS). Methods: The retrospective study included 21 neonates (14 males and 7 females) with PA-IVS who underwent transcatheter micro-guidewire pulmonary valve perforation and balloon dilation in Xinhua Hospital from January 2012 to December 2018. All patients underwent the pulmonary valve perforation by micro-guidewire through the Simmons catheter. During the follow-up period at 1, 3, 6, 12 months postoperatively and annually thereafter, the operative efficacy and the development of the right ventricle (RV) were evaluated by echocardiography. Statistical analyses were performed using t test. Results: A total of 21 neonates with PA-IVS were enrolled, and 13 cases were diagnosed prenatally. The median age of surgery was 6 days, the weight was (3.2±0.5) kg. The balloon/valve ratio was 1.19±0.12, and the RV pressure measured by catheter was (121±33) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) . The immediate postoperative RV pressure was (47±13) mmHg. The median follow-up time was 30 months. All the cases enrolled achieved biventricular circulation without death and serious complications. According to the last follow-up data including 16 cases who were followed up for 1 year or longer, the pulmonary artery transvalvular pressure was (29±15) mmHg. The postoperation ratio of right to left ventricular transverse diameter was significantly higher than that before operation (0.86+0.10 vs. 0.73+0.13, t=-2.96, P=0.006). Compared with preoperative data, the postoperation pulmonary valvular diameter Z-score was significantly higher (-1.41±0.89 vs. -2.83±1.06, t=-3.65, P=0.001) and the tricuspid valvular diameter Z-score was significantly higher (-0.52±0.29 vs. -1.34±0.81, t=-3.55, P=0.001). Conclusion: Transcatheter perforation of pulmonary valve by micro-guidewire and balloon dilation is a safe and effective initial therapy for neonatal PA-IVS.

[Effects of dexmedetomidine on injury of lungs and CHOP protein expression in elderly patients with lung cancer during one-lung ventilation]

Objective: To evaluate the effect of dexmedetomidine on lung injury and CCAAT/enhancer-binding protein homologous protein (CHOP) expression in elderly patients with lung cancer undergoing thoracoscopic lobectomy. Methods: A total of 120 elderly patients with lung cancer who underwent elective thoracoscopic lobectomy were selected from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from October 2018 to March 2019. The random phenotype was divided into dexmedetomidine group (group D, n=60) and control group (group C, n=60). The elapsed time before postoperative awake and spontaneous breathing recovery and agitation occurrence were recorded. The mean arterial pressure (MAP), heart rate (HR), oxygen saturation (SPO(2)), oxygen partial pressure (PaO(2)), alveolar-arterial oxygen partial pressure difference[P(A-a)O(2)], end-tidal carbon dioxide partial pressure (P(ET)CO(2)), and airway pressure peak (P(peak)) were recorded before the anesthetic induction (T(0)), immediately after tracheal intubation (T(1)), immediately after unilateral pulmonary ventilation(T(2)), 1 hour after unilateral pulmonary ventilation (T(3)), immediately after bilateral pulmonary ventilation (T(4)), and at the end of surgery(T(5)). The levels of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-8, IL-10, super oxide dismutase (SOD) and malondialdehyde (MDA)were compared at the time of T(0), T(1), T(2), T(3), T(4) and T(5) in two groups. The ratios of alveolar damage (IQA), apoptotic index (AI), and the expression of CHOP mRNA and their protein in lung tissue were detected. Results: The recovery time of conscious and spontaneous breathing in group D were significantly shorter than that in group C (P<0.05). The MAP and HR of the two groups at T(1)-T(5) were significantly lower than those at T(0)(P<0.05).The levels of P(peak) in group C at T(3)-T(5) was significantly higher than those in group D (P<0.05). The SpO(2) values in the group D at T(1)-T(5) were significantly higher than those in group C (P<0.05). The P(A-a)O(2) values in the group D at T(1)-T(5) was significantly lower than those in group C (P<0.05).The levels of IL-6, IL-8 and MDA in group D at T(1)-T(5) were significantly lower than those in group C(P<0.05). The levels of IL-10 and SOD in group D at T(1)-T(5) were significantly higher than those in group C (P<0.05). The values of IQA, AI, and the expression of CHOP mRNA and their protein in the two groups at T(4) were significantly higher than those at T(2) (P<0.05). The values of IQA, AI, and the expression of CHOP mRNA and their protein in group D at T(4) were significantly lower than those in group C (P<0.05). Conclusions: Dexmedetomidine could attenuate the extent of lung injury in elderly patients with lung cancer undergoing thoracoscopic lobectomy. The pulmonary protective mechanism could be related to the inhibition of inflammatory factors in dexmedetomidine, improving oxidative stress and reducing Chop-mediated apoptosis of lung tissue by the protein.

Real-time forecasting of epidemic trajectories using computational dynamic ensembles

Forecasting the trajectory of social dynamic processes, such as the spread of infectious diseases, poses significant challenges that call for methods that account for data and model uncertainty. Here we introduce an ensemble model for sequential forecasting that weights a set of plausible models and use a frequentist computational bootstrap approach to evaluate its uncertainty. We demonstrate the feasibility of our approach using simple dynamic differential-equation models and the trajectory of outbreak scenarios of the Ebola Forecasting Challenge. Specifically, we generate sequential short-term forecasts of epidemic outbreaks by combining phenomenological models that incorporate flexible epidemic growth scaling, namely the Generalized-Growth Model (GGM) and the Generalized Logistic Model (GLM). We rely on the root-mean-square error (RMSE) to quantify the quality of the models' fits during the calibration periods for weighting their contribution to the ensemble model while forecasting performance was evaluated using the RMSE of the forecasts. For a given forecasting horizon (1-4 weeks), we report the performance for each model as the percentage of the number of times each model outperforms the other models. The overall mean RMSE performance of the GLM and the GGM-GLM ensemble models outcompeted that of participant models of the Ebola Forecasting Challenge. We also found that the ensemble model provided more accurate forecasts with higher frequency than the GGM and GLM models, but its performance varied across forecasting horizons. For instance, across all of the Ebola Challenge Scenarios, the ensemble model outperformed the other models at horizons of 2 and 3 weeks while the GLM outperformed other models at horizons of 1 and 4 weeks.

[Expression of CD45 in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma and the relationship with prognosis]

目的

观察CD45在初诊多发性骨髓瘤（MM）患者中的表达，探讨其与MM疗效和预后的关系。

方法

回顾性分析2010年1月至2017年1月河南省人民医院收治的130例初诊MM患者骨髓异常浆细胞中CD45的表达情况，对CD45⁺与CD45⁻患者的疗效和预后进行比较。

结果

①130例初诊MM患者中CD45⁺组33例（25.38%），CD45⁻组97例（74.62%）。②CD45⁺组和CD45⁻组的客观缓解率（ORR）分别为33.33%和64.95%，差异有统计学意义（P=0.002）；以硼替佐米为基础方案治疗的患者，CD45⁺组和CD45⁻组的ORR分别为35.71%和66.25%，差异有统计学意义（P=0.005）。③130例MM患者的中位无进展生存（PFS）时间为33.3（95%CI 6.0~69.0）个月，中位总生存（OS）时间为36.3（95%CI 6.0~78.0）个月，CD45⁺组与CD45⁻组的中位PFS时间分别为29.8（95%CI 10.0~59.0）个月和34.5（95%CI 6.0~69.0）个月，差异有统计学意义（χ²=14.59，P<0.001），中位OS时间分别为32.5（95%CI 10.0~68.0）个月和37.6（95%CI 6.0~78.0）个月，差异有统计学意义（χ²=11.42，P=0.001）；接受硼替佐米的患者中，CD45⁺组与CD45⁻组的中位PFS分别为30.3（95%CI 10.0~59.0）个月和36.3（95%CI 6.0~69.0）个月，差异有统计学意义（χ²=14.75，P=0.001）。中位OS时间分别为34.0（95%CI 10.0~68.0）个月和39.5（95%CI 6.0~78.0）个月，差异有统计学意义（χ²=10.62，P=0.001）。④Cox风险回归模型分析显示血肌酐≥176.8 µmol/L[HR=2.723（95%CI 1.744~6.723），P=0.001]、CD45阳性[HR=1.330（95%CI 1.067~1.804），P=0.008]，LDH ≥ 220 IU/L[HR=1.308（95%CI 1.160~2.417），P=0.015]是独立于其他临床指标的预后危险因素。

结论

CD45阳性是MM患者的预后不良因素。硼替佐米不能改善CD45⁺MM患者的不良预后。

Relationship between Electrical Conductivity and Related Biochemical Indicators of Rat Cerebrum Tissues and Postmortem Interval

Abstract

Objective To explore the relationship between the electrical conductivity （EC） and biochemical indicators of rat cerebrum tissues and postmortem intervals （PMIs） and discuss the mechanism of applying EC to infer PMI. Methods Forty healthy Sprague-Dawley rats were sacrificed and stored in an environment of about 25 ℃. The whole cerebrum tissues of rats were removed respectively at different PMIs of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 d, and then made into homogenized impregnation solution. The EC and related biochemical indicators （potassium, sodium, chloride, calcium, inorganic phosphorus, magnesium, uric acid, urea nitrogen and creatinine） in cerebrum tissue impregnation solution were determined, and the relationships among EC in impregnation solution, related biochemical indicators and PMI were analyzed. Results The EC in cerebrum tissues increased gradually with the extension of PMI, and the content of uric acid, urea nitrogen and inorganic phosphorus in its impregnation solution also increased gradually with the extension of PMI. The correlation of EC, uric acid, urea nitrogen, and inorganic phosphorus with PMI was relatively good （R² was 0.95-0.99）, and there was a linear correlation between the content change of uric acid, urea nitrogen, inorganic phosphorus and EC （R² was 0.97-0.99）. The changes of the other 6 kinds of biochemical indicators with the extension of PMI within 7 d after the rats' death were non-significant （P>0.05）. Conclusion The correlation between EC in cerebrum tissues, uric acid, urea nitrogen, inorganic phosphorus and PMI were relatively good, and combining various indicators can also improve the accuracy of PMI estimation.

[Analysis on condom use negotiation with sex partners and condom use in female sex workers]

Objective: To know condom use negotiation with clients and regular sex partners and condom use in female sex workers (FSWs), and provide reference for the development of comprehensive HIV/AIDS intervention for FSWs. Methods: The cross sectional survey was conducted in Jianshui county and Mengzi county in Honghe Hani and Yi autonomous prefecture. A total of 476 FSWs aged 16 years and above were recruited from entertainment venues, and the information about their demographic characteristics, condom use negotiation and condom use were collected by using questionnaires. Logistic regression model was used to analyze related factors of condom use after negotiation between FSWs and clients unwilling use condom. Results: A total of 852 FSWs who aged (24.29±8.44) years old participated in the survey. In past month, 499 FSWs had negotiation for condom use with unwilling clients (58.6%, 499/852), after negotiation, 441 FSWs (88.4%, 441/499) had consistent condom use in each sex with the clients. In the past one month, 99 FSWs had negotiation for unwilling use condom with regular sex partners (14.4%, 99/687), after negotiation, 54 FSWs (54.5%, 54/99) had consistent condom use in each sex with regular sex partners. Among the FSWs, 266 (53.3%, 266/499) reported that they could say "It is a mandatory requirement" to persuade clients who were unwilling to use condom. 97(19.4%, 97/499) reported that they could say "There is risk for infection" to persuade clients who were unwilling to use condoms. 115 (23.1%,115/499) reported that they could say "It is a mandatory requirement" and "there is risk for infection" to persuade their unwilling clients to use condoms. 21 (4.2%, 21/499) reported that they used other strategies. 22 (4.4%, 22/499) felt that it was difficult to persuade clients to use condoms. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that compared with FSWs who felt difficult in persuading clients to use condoms, FSWs who felt moderate difficulty were more likely to have consistent condom use after negotiation (OR=4.00, 95%CI: 1.55-10.32) and FSWs who felt easy in persuading clients to use condoms were also more likely to have consistent condom use (OR=30.17, 95%CI: 3.22-282.44). Compared with FSWs used other strategies to persuade their clients to use condoms, FSWs who said it was a mandatory requirement were more likely to have consistent condom use after negotiation (OR=4.44, 95%CI: 1.41-14.01) and FSWs who said it was a mandatory requirement and there was risk for infection were also more likely to have consistent condom use (OR=5.52, 95%CI: 1.55-19.73). Conclusions: Negotiation for condom use increased the rate of condom use in FSWs in sex with clients who were unwilling to use condom. The negotiation strategy of "It is a mandatory requirement" would promote condom use in FSWs in sex with clients who were unwilling to use condom. Besides, the negotiation strategy of saying "there is risk for infection" had additional effects.