Predicting 2-year all-cause mortality after contemporary PCI: Updating the logistic clinical SYNTAX score

AIMS

We aimed to update the logistic clinical SYNTAX score to predict 2 year all-cause mortality after contemporary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed 15,883 patients in the GLOBAL LEADERS study who underwent PCI. The logistic clinical SYNTAX model was updated after imputing missing values by refitting the original model (refitted original model) and fitting an extended new model (new model, with, selection based on the Akaike Information Criterion). External validation was performed in 10,100 patients having PCI at Fu Wai hospital. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, prior stroke, current smoker, hemoglobin level, and white blood cell count were identified as additional independent predictors of 2 year all-cause mortality and included into the new model. The c-indexes of the original, refitted original and the new model in the derivation cohort were 0.74 (95% CI 0.72-0.76), 0.75 (95% CI 0.73-0.77), and 0.78 (95% CI 0.76-0.80), respectively. The c-index of the new model was lower in the validation cohort than in the derivation cohort, but still showed improved discriminative ability of the newly developed model (0.72; 95% CI 0.67-0.77) compared to the refitted original model (0.69; 95% CI 0.64-0.74). The models overestimated the observed 2 year all-cause mortality of 1.11% in the Chinese external validation cohort by 0.54 percentage points, indicating the need for calibration of the model to the Chinese patient population.

CONCLUSIONS

The new model of the logistic clinical SYNTAX score better predicts 2 year all-cause mortality after PCI than the original model. The new model could guide clinical decision making by risk stratifying patients undergoing PCI.

Sex Differences in All-Cause Mortality in the Decade Following Complex Coronary Revascularization

BACKGROUND

The poorer prognosis of coronary artery disease in females compared with males is related mainly to differences in baseline characteristics. In the SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) trial, the effect of treatment with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) versus coronary artery bypass grafting surgery (CABG) on mortality at 5 years differed significantly between females and males; however, the optimal revascularization beyond 5 years according to sex has not been evaluated.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of sex on mortality and sex-treatment interaction at 10 years.

METHODS

The SYNTAXES (SYNTAX Extended Survival) study evaluated vital status up to 10 years in 1,800 patients with de novo 3-vessel and/or left main coronary artery disease randomized to treatment with PCI or CABG in the SYNTAX trial. All-cause death at 10 years was separately evaluated in female and male patients with complex coronary artery disease.

RESULTS

Of 1,800 patients, 402 (22.3%) were female and 1,398 (77.7%) were males. Females had a higher 10-year mortality rate compared with males (32.8% vs. 24.7%; log-rank p = 0.002), but female sex was not an independent predictor of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.02; 95% confidence interval: 0.76 to 1.36). Mortality at 10 years tended to be lower after CABG than after PCI, with a similar treatment effect for female and male patients (adjusted hazard ratio for females: 0.90 [95% confidence interval: 0.54 to 1.51]; adjusted hazard ratio for males: 0.76 [95% confidence interval: 0.56 to 1.02]; p for interaction = 0.952).

CONCLUSIONS

Female sex was not an independent predictor of mortality at 10 years in patients with complex coronary artery disease. The interaction between sex and treatment with PCI or CABG that was observed at 5 years was no longer present at 10 years. (Synergy Between PCI With TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery: SYNTAX Extended Survival [SYNTAXES], NCT03417050; SYNTAX Study: TAXUS Drug-Eluting Stent Versus Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery for the Treatment of Narrowed Arteries [SYNTAX], NCT00114972).

Anti-USAG-1 therapy for tooth regeneration through enhanced BMP signaling

Uterine sensitization-associated gene-1 (USAG-1) deficiency leads to enhanced bone morphogenetic protein (BMP) signaling, leading to supernumerary teeth formation. Furthermore, antibodies interfering with binding of USAG-1 to BMP, but not lipoprotein receptor-related protein 5/6 (LRP5/6), accelerate tooth development. Since USAG-1 inhibits Wnt and BMP signals, the essential factors for tooth development, via direct binding to BMP and Wnt coreceptor LRP5/6, we hypothesized that USAG-1 plays key regulatory roles in suppressing tooth development. However, the involvement of USAG-1 in various types of congenital tooth agenesis remains unknown. Here, we show that blocking USAG-1 function through USAG-1 knockout or anti-USAG-1 antibody administration relieves congenital tooth agenesis caused by various genetic abnormalities in mice. Our results demonstrate that USAG-1 controls the number of teeth by inhibiting development of potential tooth germs in wild-type or mutant mice missing teeth. Anti-USAG-1 antibody administration is, therefore, a promising approach for tooth regeneration therapy.

Mortality 10 Years After Percutaneous or Surgical Revascularization in Patients With Total Coronary Artery Occlusions

BACKGROUND

The long-term clinical benefit after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in patients with total occlusions (TOs) and complex coronary artery disease has not yet been clarified.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this analysis was to assess 10-year all-cause mortality in patients with TOs undergoing PCI or CABG.

METHODS

This is a subanalysis of patients with at least 1 TO in the SYNTAXES (Synergy Between PCI With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery Extended Survival) study, which investigated 10-year all-cause mortality in the SYNTAX (Synergy Between PCI With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) trial, beyond its original 5-year follow-up. Patients with TOs were further stratified according to the status of TO recanalization or revascularization.

RESULTS

Of 1,800 randomized patients to the PCI or CABG arm, 460 patients had at least 1 lesion of TO. In patients with TOs, the status of TO recanalization or revascularization was not associated with 10-year all-cause mortality, irrespective of the assigned treatment (PCI arm: 29.9% vs. 29.4%; adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.992; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.474 to 2.075; p = 0.982; and CABG arm: 28.0% vs. 21.4%; adjusted HR: 0.656; 95% CI: 0.281 to 1.533; p = 0.330). When TOs existed in left main and/or left anterior descending artery, the status of TO recanalization or revascularization did not have an impact on the mortality (34.5% vs. 26.9%; adjusted HR: 0.896; 95% CI: 0.314 to 2.555; p = 0.837).

CONCLUSIONS

At 10-year follow-up, the status of TO recanalization or revascularization did not affect mortality, irrespective of the assigned treatment and location of TOs. The present study might support contemporary practice among high-volume chronic TO-PCI centers where recanalization is primarily offered to patients for the management of angina refractory to medical therapy when myocardial viability is confirmed. (Synergy Between PCI With TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery: SYNTAX Extended Survival [SYNTAXES]; NCT03417050; SYNTAX Study: TAXUS Drug-Eluting Stent Versus Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery for the Treatment of Narrowed Arteries [SYNTAX]; NCT00114972).

Association of Sex With Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Subgroup Analysis of the GLOBAL LEADERS Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Women experience worse ischemic and bleeding outcomes after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Objectives

To assess the association of sex with patient outcomes at 2 years after contemporary PCI and with the efficacy and safety of 2 antiplatelet strategies.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This study is a prespecified subgroup analysis of the investigator-initiated, prospective, randomized GLOBAL LEADERS study evaluating 2 strategies of antiplatelet therapy after PCI in an unselected population including 130 secondary/tertiary care hospitals in different countries. The main study enrolled 15 991 unselected patients undergoing PCI between July 2013 and November 2015. Patients had an outpatient clinic visit at 30 days and 3, 6, 12, 18, and 24 months after the index procedure. Data were analyzed between January 1, 2019, and March 31, 2019.

Interventions

Eligible patients were randomized to either the experimental or reference antiplatelet strategy. Experimental strategy consisted of 1 month of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) followed by 23 months of ticagrelor monotherapy, while the reference strategy comprised of 12 months of DAPT followed by 12 months of aspirin monotherapy.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary efficacy end point was the composite of all-cause mortality and new Q-wave myocardial infarction at 2 years. The secondary safety end point was Bleeding Academic Research Consortium type 3 or 5 bleeding.

Results

Of the 15 968 patients included in this study, 3714 (23.3%) were women. The risk of the primary end point at 2 years was similar between women and men (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.00; 95% CI, 0.83-1.20). Compared with men, women had higher risk of Bleeding Academic Research Consortium type 3 or 5 bleeding (adjusted HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.04-1.67) and hemorrhagic stroke at 2 years (adjusted HR, 4.76; 95% CI, 1.92-11.81). At 2 years, there was no between-sex difference in the efficacy and safety of the 2 antiplatelet strategies. At 1 year, compared with DAPT, ticagrelor monotherapy was associated with a lower risk of bleeding in men (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.53-0.98) but not in women (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.80-1.89; P for interaction = .045).

Conclusions and Relevance

Compared with men, women experienced a higher risk of bleeding and hemorrhagic stroke after PCI. The effect of 2 antiplatelet strategies on death and Q-wave myocardial infarction following PCI did not differ between the sexes at 2 years.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01813435.

Safety and Efficacy of 1-Month Dual Antiplatelet Therapy (Ticagrelor + Aspirin) Followed by 23-Month Ticagrelor Monotherapy in Patients Undergoing Staged Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (A Sub-Study from GLOBAL LEADERS)

Patients undergoing staged percutaneous coronary intervention (SPCI) are exposed to extended duration of antiplatelet therapy, and a novel aspirin-free antiplatelet regimen after SPCI should be specifically evaluated among these patients. This is a prespecified substudy of the GLOBAL LEADERS which is a randomized, open-label trial, comparing an experimental regimen of 1-month dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT; ticagrelor and aspirin) followed by 23-month ticagrelor monotherapy to a reference regimen of 12-month DAPT followed by 12-month aspirin monotherapy. Patients were stratified according to whether or not SPCI was performed. The impact of the timing of SPCI on clinical outcomes was also investigated. Of 15,968 randomized patients, 1,651 patients underwent SPCI within 3 months. These patients with SPCI had a significantly higher risk of bleeding and ischemic endpoints than those without SPCI. In patients undergoing SPCI, the primary endpoint (composite of all-cause death or new Q-wave myocardial infarction at 2 years) and secondary safety endpoint (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium [BARC]-defined bleeding 3 or 5) were similar in the 2 regimens. However, in patients presenting with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), the experimental regimen reduced a risk of BARC 3 or 5 bleeding (1.8% vs 4.5%; HR 0.387; 95% CI 0.179 to 0.836; p = 0.016). In patients undergoing SPCI later than 10 days after index procedure, this risk reduction was still prominent (0.8% vs 2.3%; HR 0.321; 95% CI 0.116 to 0.891; p = 0.029). In conclusion, patients undergoing SPCI are at high risk and may need special attention from clinicians. In ACS patients undergoing SPCI, a novel aspirin-free antiplatelet regimen appears to be associated with a lower bleeding risk than with standard DAPT.

Promotion in solid phase reaction of Pt/SiOx bilayer film by electron-orbital-selective-excitation

A thermally impossible positive free energy reaction can proceed by electron-orbital-selective excitation. When the Si 2p core level is photo-excited in Pt/SiO_x bilayer films, Coulomb repulsion at the final two-hole state localized in the valence band by an interatomic Auger transition induces dissociation of the O atom and formation of a Si–Pt bond. Consequently, Pt₂Si silicide is formed by a positive free energy reaction. Under a single particle excitation of the valence band, low probability of the coexistence of the two-hole state for picosecond order suppresses to allow the reaction to proceed.

A thermally impossible positive free energy reaction can proceed by electron-orbital-selective excitation.

REACTOR PHYSICS EXPERIMENT IN A GRAPHITE-MODERATION SYSTEM FOR HTGR

The Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA) started the Research and Development (R&D) to improve nuclear prediction techniques for High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGRs). The objectives are to introduce a generalized bias factor method to avoid full mock-up experiment for the first commercial HTGR and to introduce reactor noise analysis to High Temperature Engineering Test Reactor (HTTR) experiment to observe sub-criticality. To achieve the objectives, the reactor core of graphite-moderation system named B7/4”G2/8”p8EUNU+3/8”p38EU(1) was newly composed in the B-rack of Kyoto University Critical Assembly (KUCA). The core is composed of the fuel assembly, driver fuel assembly, graphite reflector, and polyethylene reflector. The fuel assembly is composed of enriched uranium plate, natural uranium plate and graphite plates to realize the average fuel enrichment of HTTR and it’s spectrum. However, driver fuel assembly is necessary to achieve the criticality with the small-sized core. The core plays a role of the reference core of the bias factor method, and the reactor noise was measured to develop the noise analysis scheme. In this study, the overview of the criticality experiments is reported. The reactor configuration with graphite moderation system is rare case in the KUCA experiments, and this experiment is expected to contribute not only for an HTGR development but also for other types of a reactor in the graphite moderation system such as a molten salt reactor development.

A Randomized Trial Evaluating Online 3-Dimensional Optical Frequency Domain Imaging-Guided Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Bifurcation Lesions

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Background:

Clinical implications of online 3-dimensional optical frequency domain imaging (3D-OFDI)-guided stenting for bifurcation lesions have not been investigated in the randomized controlled trials. The purpose of this study was to determine whether online 3D-OFDI-guided stenting is superior to angiography-guided percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in terms of incomplete stent apposition at the bifurcation segment.

Methods:

The OPTIMUM trial (Online 3-Dimensional Optical Frequency Domain Imaging to Optimize Bifurcation Stenting Using UltiMaster Stent) was a randomized, multicenter clinical trial. Eligible patients had an angiographically significant stenosis in the bifurcation lesion treated with a provisional single stent strategy using the Ultimaster sirolimus eluting stent. Patients were randomly allocated to either online 3D-OFDI-guided or angiography-guided PCI. Patients randomized to 3D-OFDI guidance underwent online 3D-OFDI assessment after rewiring into the jailed side branch after stenting and proximal optimization technique, while in the angiography guidance arm, rewiring was performed using conventional fluoroscopic/angiographic guidance. The primary end point of this trial was the postprocedural average percentage of malapposed struts per lesion assessed by OFDI in the confluence zone of the main and side branches.

Results:

Between June 8, 2017 and September 26, 2018, 110 patients with 111 bifurcation lesions were randomized at 4 Japanese centers. Of these, 56 patients with 57 lesions were treated with 3D-OFDI-guided PCI, whereas 54 patients with 54 lesions were treated with angiography-guided PCI. In the 3D-OFDI guidance arm, the feasibility of online 3D-OFDI was 98.2%. The average percentage of incomplete stent apposition per lesion at bifurcation was lower in the 3D-OFDI guidance arm than that in the angiography guidance arm (19.5±15.8% versus 27.5±14.2%, P=0.008). The superiority of the 3D-OFDI guidance arm was also confirmed in the strut level analysis (odds ratio: 0.54 [95% CI, 0.36–0.81]; P=0.003).

Conclusions:

Online 3D-OFDI-guided bifurcation PCI was superior to angiography-guided bifurcation PCI in terms of acute incomplete stent apposition at bifurcation.

Registration:

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02972489.

The state-of-the-art coronary stent with crystallized sirolimus: the MiStent technology and its clinical program

Drug-eluting stents (DES) have been developed over recent decades and the implantation of DES is the standard of care in contemporary percutaneous coronary intervention for patients with coronary artery disease. The MiStent sirolimus-eluting stent has several unique features; ultra-thin (64 μm) struts, a bioresorbable polymer and a controlled drug release from microcrystalline sirolimus as a reservoir embedded in the vessel wall. Results of recent clinical trials demonstrated the potential performance of this state-of-the-art DES. In the present review, we provide an overview of the development of DES, in particular the design and performance of the novel MiStent sirolimus-eluting stent from technological and clinical points of view and discuss the potentials of this new type of DES.

Ten-year all-cause mortality according to smoking status in patients with severe coronary artery disease undergoing surgical or percutaneous revascularization

AIMS

To evaluate the impact of various smoking status on 10-year all-cause mortality and to examine a relative treatment benefit of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) vs. percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) according to smoking habits.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The SYNTAX Extended Survival study evaluated vital status up to 10 years in 1800 patients with de novo three-vessel disease and/or left main coronary artery disease randomized to CABG or PCI in the SYNTAX trial. In the present analysis, patients were divided into three groups (current, former, or never smokers), and the primary endpoint of 10-year all-cause mortality was assessed according to smoking status. Smoking status was available in 1793 (99.6%) patients at the time of randomization, of whom 363 were current smokers, 798 were former smokers, and 632 were never smokers. The crude rates of 10-year all-cause mortality were 29.7% in current smokers, 25.3% in former smokers, and 25.9% in never smokers (Log-rank P = 0.343). After adjustment for imbalances in baseline characteristics, current smokers had a significantly higher risk of 10-year all-cause mortality than never smokers [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 2.29; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.60-3.27; P < 0.001], whereas former smokers did not. PCI was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality than CABG among current smokers (HR: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.09-2.35; P = 0.017), but it failed to show a significant interaction between revascularization strategies and smoking status (Pinteraction = 0.910).

CONCLUSION

Current smokers had a higher adjusted risk of 10-year all-cause mortality, whereas former smokers did not. The treatment effect of CABG vs. PCI did not differ significantly according to smoking status.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

SYNTAX: ClinicalTrials.gov reference: NCT00114972; SYNTAX Extended Survival. ClinicalTrials.gov reference: NCT03417050.

Erlotinib plus bevacizumab vs erlotinib monotherapy as first-line treatment for advanced EGFR mutation-positive non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer: Survival follow-up results of the randomized JO25567 study

OBJECTIVES

The JO25567 randomized Phase II study demonstrated a statistically significant progression-free survival (PFS) benefit with erlotinib plus bevacizumab compared with erlotinib monotherapy in chemotherapy-naïve Japanese patients with epidermal growth factor receptor mutation-positive (EGFR+) non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Here we present updated PFS and final overall survival (OS) data after a median follow-up of 34.7 months.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with stage IIIB/IV or postoperative recurrent NSCLC were randomized to receive oral erlotinib 150 mg once daily (n = 77) or erlotinib in combination with intravenous bevacizumab 15 mg/kg every 21 days (n = 75) until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. OS was analyzed using an unstratified Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Consistent with the primary analysis, addition of bevacizumab to erlotinib was associated with a significant improvement in PFS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.52; 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.35-0.76; log-rank two-sided P = 0.0005; median 16.4 months vs 9.8 months, respectively). In contrast, a significant improvement in OS was not seen (HR 0.81; 95 % CI, 0.53-1.23; P =  0.3267; median 47.0 months vs 47.4 months, respectively). Post-study therapy was similar between the treatment arms and EGFR mutation type did not affect OS outcomes. The 5-year OS rate was numerically higher with erlotinib plus bevacizumab vs erlotinib monotherapy (41 % vs 35 %). Updated safety analyses confirmed the previously reported manageable tolerability profile, with no new safety issues.

CONCLUSION

Addition of bevacizumab to first-line erlotinib did not show significant improvement in OS in Japanese patients with stage IIIB/IV or postoperative recurrent EGFR+ NSCLC. Both treatment arms showed a similar median OS benefit (as long as 4 years), irrespective of individual patient characteristics. Results from ongoing studies evaluating the combination of EGFR and VEGF signaling inhibitors are eagerly awaited.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

JapicCTI-111390 and JapicCTI-142569.

Ten-year all-cause death after percutaneous or surgical revascularization for men and women with multivessel or left main coronary artery disease: insights from the SYNTAX extended survival study

Background

In patients with complex coronary artery disease (CAD), women favored coronary artery bypass grafting surgery (CABG) compared to percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at 5 years in the SYNTAX trial, whereas mortality rates after PCI and CABG were not different in men. On the other hand, poor outcomes of women undergoing PCI were not observed in the PRECOMBAT and BEST trials.

The long-term optimal revascularization strategy according to gender has not been fully evaluated.

Purpose

In the SYNTAX Extended Survival (SYNTAXES) study, no significant difference existed in all-cause death between PCI and CABG at 10 years. This study aimed to assess treatment effect of PCI and CABG for 10-year all-cause death according to gender.

Methods

The SYNTAXES study evaluated vital status up to 10 years in 1,800 patients with de novo three-vessel disease (3VD) and/or left main coronary artery disease (LMCAD) randomized to treatment with CABG or PCI in the SYNTAX trial, and the pre-specified primary endpoint was all-cause death at 10 years. In this prespecified analysis, all-cause death at 10 years according to gender in patients undergoing PCI or CABG was evaluated.

Results

Of 1800 patients, 402 (22.3%) were women and 1398 (77.7%) were men. In women, the rate of mortality was significantly higher in the PCI arm at 5 years than in the CABG arm (19.3% vs. 10.3%; Log-rank p=0.010, Figure A), but the rates of mortality were not different at 10 years between the PCI and CABG arms (33.0% vs. 32.5%; Log-rank p=0.600, Figure A). In men, the mortality rate tended to be higher in the PCI arm at 10 years than in the CABG arm (27.0% vs. 22.5%; Log-rank p=0.082, Figure B), although the mortality rates were not different at 5 years between the PCI and CABG arms (12.4% vs. 12.3%; Log-rank p=0.957, Figure B).

Conclusion

The efficacy of CABG observed at 5 years disappeared at 10 years in women, whereas the efficacy of CABG became apparent after 5 years in men.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands, reference: MEC-2016-716

Effects of smoking cessation on endothelial function assessed by flow-mediated dilation and reactive hyperemia peripheral artery tonometry

Background

Smoking predisposes individuals to endothelial dysfunction. Both flow-mediated dilation (FMD) and reactive hyperemia peripheral artery tonometry (RH-PAT) are used to assess endothelial function. However, there are differences in the physiology of vascular beds being tested and in the response of conduit and resistive vessels to RH. Therefore, whether smoking cessation demonstrates comparable effects on endothelial function evaluated by FMD and by RH-PAT remains unclear.

Purpose

We aimed to evaluate the effects of smoking cessation on endothelial function evaluated simultaneously by FMD and RH-PAT.

Methods

Thirty-eight consecutive current smokers (mean±standard deviation; age, 65±10 years) who visited our smoking cessation outpatient department and succeeded in smoking cessation with varenicline were enrolled. Clinical variables, FMD, and natural logarithmic transformation of the reactive hyperemia index (Ln-RHI) were examined before and 20 weeks after treatment initiation. Fifteen current smokers who failed in smoking cessation were enrolled as age- and sex-matched controls. The Spearman's rank correlation coefficient and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) for a two-way mixed effects model were performed to assess the agreement of changes in FMD and Ln-RHI. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the associations between the presence of increase in FMD or Ln-RHI and clinical variables.

Results

FMD significantly improved after smoking cessation (3.42%±1.96% to 4.45%±2.28%; p=0.019), whereas Ln-RHI did not (0.53±0.25 to 0.59±0.21; p=0.223). The Spearman's rank correlation coefficient between changes in FMD and Ln-RHI was −0.013, and the ICC was −0.002 (p=0.506). In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, an increase in FMD or Ln-RHI was predicted based on the baseline FMD (odds ratio = 0.54, p=0.013) or Ln-RHI (odds ratio = 0.36, p=0.012), respectively, after adjusting for age and sex.

Conclusions

There was significant improvement in the endothelial function assessed by FMD, but not by Ln-RHI, after smoking cessation. In addition, there was disagreement between changes in FMD and those in Ln-RHI. Smoking cessation may have varying effects on the endothelial function of the conduit and digital vessels.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Grant-in-aid for scientific research from the ministry of education, science and culture of Japan

Clinical significance of controlling nutritional status score for predicting short-term clinical events in takotsubo syndrome: a multicenter study

Background

The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score is well known as a marker of nutritional status. Previous studies have reported that CONUT score could predict a prognosis of acute or chronic heart failure, and infective endocarditis. Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is said to have a relatively good prognosis, but some patients have a bad turning point in hospital stay. Lower systolic blood pressure on admission, history of diabetes mellitus, and β-blocker use before admission have been reported as predictors of in-hospital cardiac complications. However, the prognostic utility of CONUT score in TTS is unclear. The aim of study was to evaluate duration of hospital stay and short-term clinical events with CONUT score in TTS.

Methods

Seventy-nine TTS patients who were admitted to 3 medical centers in Japan between January 2011 and October 2019 were enrolled. The average age was 71.8±11.5 years old, and the prevalence of female sex was 81%. The CONUT score was calculated based on the serum albumin, total lymphocyte and total cholesterol on admission. We retrospectively investigated the association between the short-term clinical events and CONUT score. The duration of hospital stay was defined as the primely outcome, and all cause death and congestive heart failure in hospital stay as the secondary outcome.

Results

The average CONUT score was 3.7±3.0. A positive correlation was found between the CONUT score and the duration of hospital stay (r=0.56, p&lt;0.01). Twenty (25.3%) patients suffered from clinical events (all cause death and congestive heart failure in hospital). Those patients with clinical events had significantly higher the CONUT score than those without (all cause death, 7.2±2.6 vs. 3.5±2.9, p&lt;0.01, congestive heart failure, 5.3±3.4 vs. 3.3±2.8, p=0.02, composite clinical events, 5.8±3.2 vs. 3.0±2.6, p&lt;0.01). ROC curve analysis revealed that the optimal cut-off value of the CONUT score for the prediction of composite clinical events was 4.0 (AUC: 0.75, sensitivity: 80%, Specificity: 64%). The patients with CONUT score of 4 or more (high COUNT score) were more prevalent in patients who experienced composite clinical events than in those who didn't (80% vs. 35.6%, p&lt;0.01). The patients with a high CONUT score had a longer hospital stay and higher occurrence of composite clinical events than those with CONUT score less than 4 (respectively, 27.2±19.1 days vs. 13.8±8.3 days, p&lt;0.01, 25.3% vs. 9.5%, p&lt;0.01).

Conclusions

The CONUT score in TTS patients was strongly associated with the duration of hospital stay and clinical events in hospital. The CONUT score is a simple indicator that can be calculated with only three factors. Therefore, the CONUT score on admission may be useful for a predictor of short-term clinical events in TTS patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Treatment of complex coronary artery disease in patients with diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease: 10-year results comparing outcomes of CABG and PCI in the SYNTAXES trial

Background

The SYNTAX Extended Survival (SYNTAXES) study is an investigator-driven extension of follow-up of the SYNTAX trial, which was a non-inferiority trial that compared percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) using first-generation paclitaxel-eluting stents with coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in patients with de-novo three-vessel and left main coronary artery disease. The SYNTAXES study is the first randomized trial that reported the complete 10-year data on all-cause death in patients with complex coronary artery disease.

Purpose

Patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and concomitant diabetes mellitus (DM) or chronic kidney disease (CKD) are more susceptible to major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. However, to date, the long-term prognosis and which revascularization strategy was associated with better clinical outcomes for patients with complex coronary artery disease and concomitant with DM and CKD have not been documented.

Methods

In this sub-analysis of the SYNTAXES trial, a total of 1,638 patients were classified into four subgroups according to the DM and CKD status: DM−/CKD− (n=999, 60.1%), DM+/CKD− (n=323, 19.7%), DM−/CKD+ (n=231, 14.1%), and DM+/CKD+ (n=85, 5.2%). The treatment effects of PCI and CABG were analyzed in each subgroup. The primary endpoint was all-cause death at 10 years.

Results

Compared with the DM−/CKD− patients, patients with DM+/CKD+ were older, more often had a history of stroke, hypertension, heart failure, and were more frequently presented with total occlusion, bifurcation lesion and three-vessel disease. At 10 years, patients with DM+/CKD+ had a 3.94-fold higher incidence of all-cause mortality compared with DM−/CKD− individuals (54.1% versus 18.9%, 95% CI [2.85–5.44]). Patients with DM−/CKD+ (38.1%, HR 2.36; 95% CI [1.83–5.44]) or DM+/CKD− (28.2%, HR 1.61; 95% CI [1.26–2.07]) had intermediate risk profile. For DM+/CKD+ patients, compared with PCI, those who underwent CABG were associated with lower incidence of all-cause mortality (64.3% versus 44.2%, adjusted HR 0.52; 95% CI [0.27–0.99], p=0.047, pinteraction=0.443). The number of needed-to-treat to reduce mortality for CABG was 12.

Conclusion

In the SYNTAX population, patients with DM and CKD are at markedly increased risk of long-term mortality rate compared with patients one or neither of these risk factors. For patients with both comorbidities, CABG was associated with better clinical outcome compared with PCI. These findings should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating.

Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier curves showing the clinical events according to treatment and DM/CKD status.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boston Scientific Corporation

Impact of periprocedural myocardial infarction on 10-year mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting for multivessel or left main coronary artery disease

Background

Periprocedural myocardial infarction (PMI) occurs frequently after both percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and bypass grafting surgery (CABG) in patients with complex coronary artery disease (CAD), and PMI has been shown to have a detrimental impact on mortality. On the other hand, long-term impact of PMI on mortality has not been fully evaluated.

Purpose

This study aimed to assess the impact of PMI according to SCAI definition on 10-year all-cause death in patients with complex CAD.

Methods

The SYNTAX Extended Survival (SYNTAXES) study evaluated vital status up to 10 years in 1800 patients with de novo three-vessel disease and/or left main coronary artery disease randomized to treatment with CABG or PCI in the SYNTAX trial. Blood was sampled for creatine kinase (CK) pre- and post-revascularisation, and the cardiac specific MB iso-enzyme (CK-MB) was determined only if the CK ratio ≥2 x the upper limit of normal (ULN). If the CK ratio &lt;2 ULN, CK-MB assessment was not mandated. In this analysis, patients with at least one blood sampling within 48 hours of the procedure were included. PMI was defined as follows; peak CK-MB measured within 48 hours of the procedure ≥10 x ULN, or ≥5 x ULN with new Q-waves in 2 contiguous leads or new persistent left bundle branch block.

Results

Of 1800 patients, 1679 (93.2%) patients were included. Of 877 patients treated with PCI, PMI occurred in 26 patients (3.0%), whereas 14 (1.7%) PMIs were observed in 802 patients treated with CABG. Compared with patients without PMI, patients with PMI presented with unstable angina more frequently (45.0% vs. 28.7, p=0.033), and had a higher rate of bifurcation lesion (87.5% vs. 72.5, p=0.046). PMI was associated with a higher all-cause mortality at 10 years compared with no PMI (55.3% vs. 25.4%; Log-rank p&lt;0.001, Figure), which was mainly driven by a high mortality rate within 1 year. In patients undergoing PCI, the mortality rates were significantly higher in patients with PMI not only within 1 year (Log-rank p&lt;0.001) but also beyond one year (Log-rank p=0.016), compare to patients without PMI (Figure). On the other hand, in patients undergoing CABG, a higher mortality rate in patients with PMI was observed until 1 year (Log-rank p&lt;0.001), but the impact of PMI on mortality beyond one year after CABG subsided (Log-rank p=0.308) (Figure 1).

Conclusion

PMI was associated with a poor prognosis at 10 years. The impact of PMI on mortality was strong within one year. Of note, the impact of PMI on mortality persisted beyond 1 year only in patients undergoing PCI. Patients who were treated with PCI and suffered PMI need careful follow-up beyond one year after revascularization.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Ten-year all-cause death in elderly patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting: a prespecified subgroup analysis of the SYNTAX Extended Survival study

Background

Coronary artery disease is the leading cause of death among elderly men and women worldwide. The aging society worldwide will lead to increasing numbers of elderly patients with multivessel coronary artery disease. Although age is recognized as one of the most important factors in a decision-making for revascularization of multivessel coronary artery disease, the very long-term outcomes in patients undergoing revascularization by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is still unclear.

Objectives

The aim of the present study was to investigate the association between revascularization strategies and 10-year outcomes in elderly patients.

Methods

The SYNTAX Extended Survival (SYNTAXES) study (NCT 03417050) is an investigator-driven extension of follow-up of a multicentre, randomised controlled trial done in 85 hospitals across 18 North American and European countries, enrolling 1,800 patients with de novo three-vessel disease (3VD) and/or left main coronary artery disease (LMCAD) randomized to revascularization strategy with CABG versus PCI in the SYNTAX trial. Patients were divided into two groups according to the prespecified threshold of 70 years old; elderly patients (&gt;70 years) and non-elderly patients (≤70 years). The primary endpoint of this study was all-cause death at 10 years.

Results

Out of 1,800 patients, 575 patients (31.9%) were classified as elderly (&gt;70 years). The mean age ± standard deviation (SD) of the elderly patients and the non-elderly patients was 75.8±3.6 years and 60.1±7.4 years, respectively. Of note, elderly patients were more frequently female than non-elderly patients (33.6% vs. 17.1%, p&lt;0.001). As expected, the elderly patients had higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease (43.4% vs. 7.9%, p&lt;0.001), had higher anatomical SYNTAX score (30.2±11.8 vs 28.0±11.2 p&lt;0.001) when compared to those of the non-elderly patients.

Up to 10 years, all-cause death occurred in 42.7% and 18.9% in the elderly and non-elderly patients, respectively (Log-rank p&lt;0.001). The cubic spline curve showed an exponentially increase in all-cause death at 10 years according to the increase of age both in the PCI arm and the CABG arm. At 10 years, there was no significant difference in the risk of all-cause death between CABG vs. PCI either in elderly patients (41.5% vs. 44.0%; Log-rank p=0.53) or non-elderly patients (16.6% vs. 21.1%; Log-rank p=0.051).

Conclusion

CABG and PCI were equipoise in terms of risk of all-cause death at 10 years in patients with de novo 3VD and/or LMCAD irrespective of their age when stratified according to the prespecified threshold of 70 years old.

Kaplan-Meier curves

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): German Foundation of Heart Research

Redevelopment and validation of the SYNTAX score II to individualise decision making between percutaneous and surgical revascularisation in patients with complex coronary artery disease: secondary analysis of the multicentre randomised controlled SYNTAXES trial with external cohort validation

BACKGROUND

Randomised controlled trials are considered the gold standard for testing the efficacy of novel therapeutic interventions, and typically report the average treatment effect as a summary result. As the result of treatment can vary between patients, basing treatment decisions for individual patients on the overall average treatment effect could be suboptimal. We aimed to develop an individualised decision making tool to select an optimal revascularisation strategy in patients with complex coronary artery disease.

METHODS

The SYNTAX Extended Survival (SYNTAXES) study is an investigator-driven extension follow-up of a multicentre, randomised controlled trial done in 85 hospitals across 18 North American and European countries between March, 2005, and April, 2007. Patients with de-novo three-vessel and left main coronary artery disease were randomly assigned (1:1) to either the percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) group or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) group. The SYNTAXES study ascertained 10-year all-cause deaths. We used Cox regression to develop a clinical prognostic index for predicting death over a 10-year period, which was combined, in a second stage, with assigned treatment (PCI or CABG) and two prespecified effect-modifiers, which were selected on the basis of previous evidence: disease type (three-vessel disease or left main coronary artery disease) and anatomical SYNTAX score. We used similar techniques to develop a model to predict the 5-year risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (defined as a composite of all-cause death, non-fatal stroke, or non-fatal myocardial infarction) in patients receiving PCI or CABG. We then assessed the ability of these models to predict the risk of death or a major adverse cardiovascular event, and their differences (ie, the estimated benefit of CABG versus PCI by calculating the absolute risk difference between the two strategies) by cross-validation with the SYNTAX trial (n=1800 participants) and external validation in the pooled population (n=3380 participants) of the FREEDOM, BEST, and PRECOMBAT trials. The concordance (C)-index was used to measure discriminative ability, and calibration plots were used to assess the degree of agreement between predictions and observations.

FINDINGS

At cross-validation, the newly developed SYNTAX score II, termed SYNTAX score II 2020, showed a helpful discriminative ability in both treatment groups for predicting 10-year all-cause deaths (C-index=0·73 [95% CI 0·69-0·76] for PCI and 0·73 [0·69-0·76] for CABG) and 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events (C-index=0·65 [0·61-0·69] for PCI and C-index=0·71 [0·67-0·75] for CABG). At external validation, the SYNTAX score II 2020 showed helpful discrimination (C-index=0·67 [0·63-0·70] for PCI and C-index=0·62 [0·58-0·66] for CABG) and good calibration for predicting 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events. The estimated treatment benefit of CABG over PCI varied substantially among patients in the trial population, and the benefit predictions were well calibrated.

INTERPRETATION

The SYNTAX score II 2020 for predicting 10-year deaths and 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events can help to identify individuals who will benefit from either CABG or PCI, thereby supporting heart teams, patients, and their families to select optimal revascularisation strategies.

FUNDING

The German Heart Research Foundation and the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute.