The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change

Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.

A pediatric case of Stevens-Johnson syndrome with acute liver failure, resulting in liver transplantation

Stevens-Johnson syndrome (SJS) and toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN) are fatal adverse skin reactions characterized by high fever, epidermal detachment, and mucositis. It is well known that SJS/TEN occasionally affects various organs, leading to permanent damage and death in some patients. Although acute liver dysfunction is a relatively common complication of SJS/TEN, severe acute liver dysfunction requiring liver transplantation is rare. We present the case of a 14-year-old girl with SJS complicated by severe and rapidly progressive liver dysfunction, specifically, acute liver failure (ALF) requiring liver transplantation. A lymphocyte transformation test showed positive results for acetaminophen and cefdinir. Furthermore, human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genotyping revealed the presence of the HLA-A*02:06 genotype, which is reported to be strongly associated with acetaminophen-related SJS/TEN with severe ocular complications. These results suggested that our patient may have presented with acetaminophen-induced SJS complicated by ALF, but no ocular complications. This is the first report of a pediatric patient with SJS who required liver transplantation. In rare instances, severe liver dysfunction requiring liver transplantation should be considered as a possible complication of SJS/TEN.

Ambient carbon monoxide and daily mortality: a global time-series study in 337 cities

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological evidence on short-term association between ambient carbon monoxide (CO) and mortality is inconclusive and limited to single cities, regions, or countries. Generalisation of results from previous studies is hindered by potential publication bias and different modelling approaches. We therefore assessed the association between short-term exposure to ambient CO and daily mortality in a multicity, multicountry setting.

METHODS

We collected daily data on air pollution, meteorology, and total mortality from 337 cities in 18 countries or regions, covering various periods from 1979 to 2016. All included cities had at least 2 years of both CO and mortality data. We estimated city-specific associations using confounder-adjusted generalised additive models with a quasi-Poisson distribution, and then pooled the estimates, accounting for their statistical uncertainty, using a random-effects multilevel meta-analytical model. We also assessed the overall shape of the exposure-response curve and evaluated the possibility of a threshold below which health is not affected.

FINDINGS

Overall, a 1 mg/m³ increase in the average CO concentration of the previous day was associated with a 0·91% (95% CI 0·32-1·50) increase in daily total mortality. The pooled exposure-response curve showed a continuously elevated mortality risk with increasing CO concentrations, suggesting no threshold. The exposure-response curve was steeper at daily CO levels lower than 1 mg/m³, indicating greater risk of mortality per increment in CO exposure, and persisted at daily concentrations as low as 0·6 mg/m³ or less. The association remained similar after adjustment for ozone but was attenuated after adjustment for particulate matter or sulphur dioxide, or even reduced to null after adjustment for nitrogen dioxide.

INTERPRETATION

This international study is by far the largest epidemiological investigation on short-term CO-related mortality. We found significant associations between ambient CO and daily mortality, even at levels well below current air quality guidelines. Further studies are warranted to disentangle its independent effect from other traffic-related pollutants.

FUNDING

EU Horizon 2020, UK Medical Research Council, and Natural Environment Research Council.

Short term associations of ambient nitrogen dioxide with daily total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality: multilocation analysis in 398 cities

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the short term associations between nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) and total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality across multiple countries/regions worldwide, using a uniform analytical protocol.

DESIGN

Two stage, time series approach, with overdispersed generalised linear models and multilevel meta-analysis.

SETTING

398 cities in 22 low to high income countries/regions.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Daily deaths from total (62.8 million), cardiovascular (19.7 million), and respiratory (5.5 million) causes between 1973 and 2018.

RESULTS

On average, a 10 μg/m³ increase in NO₂ concentration on lag 1 day (previous day) was associated with 0.46% (95% confidence interval 0.36% to 0.57%), 0.37% (0.22% to 0.51%), and 0.47% (0.21% to 0.72%) increases in total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality, respectively. These associations remained robust after adjusting for co-pollutants (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤10 μm or ≤2.5 μm (PM₁₀ and PM_2.5, respectively), ozone, sulfur dioxide, and carbon monoxide). The pooled concentration-response curves for all three causes were almost linear without discernible thresholds. The proportion of deaths attributable to NO₂ concentration above the counterfactual zero level was 1.23% (95% confidence interval 0.96% to 1.51%) across the 398 cities.

CONCLUSIONS

This multilocation study provides key evidence on the independent and linear associations between short term exposure to NO₂ and increased risk of total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality, suggesting that health benefits would be achieved by tightening the guidelines and regulatory limits of NO₂.

Quantitative multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging can aid non-alcoholic steatohepatitis diagnosis in a Japanese cohort

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive assessment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is increasing in desirability due to the invasive nature and costs associated with the current form of assessment; liver biopsy. Quantitative multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) to measure liver fat (proton density fat fraction) and fibroinflammatory disease [iron-corrected T1 (cT1)], as well as elastography techniques [vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) liver stiffness measure], magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and 2D Shear-Wave elastography (SWE) to measure stiffness and fat (controlled attenuated parameter, CAP) are emerging alternatives which could be utilised as safe surrogates to liver biopsy.

AIM

To evaluate the agreement of non-invasive imaging modalities with liver biopsy, and their subsequent diagnostic accuracy for identifying NASH patients.

METHODS

From January 2019 to February 2020, Japanese patients suspected of NASH were recruited onto a prospective, observational study and were screened using non-invasive imaging techniques; mpMRI with LiverMultiScan^®, VCTE, MRE and 2D-SWE. Patients were subsequently biopsied, and samples were scored by three independent pathologists. The diagnostic performances of the non-invasive imaging modalities were assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with the median of the histology scores as the gold standard diagnoses. Concordance between all three independent pathologists was further explored using Krippendorff’s alpha (a) from weighted kappa statistics.

RESULTS

N = 145 patients with mean age of 60 (SD: 13 years.), 39% females, and 40% with body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m² were included in the analysis. For identifying patients with NASH, MR liver fat and cT1 were the strongest performing individual measures (AUC: 0.80 and 0.75 respectively), and the mpMRI metrics combined (cT1 and MR liver fat) were the overall best non-invasive test (AUC: 0.83). For identifying fibrosis ≥ 1, MRE performed best (AUC: 0.97), compared to VCTE-liver stiffness measure (AUC: 0.94) and 2D-SWE (AUC: 0.94). For assessment of steatosis ≥ 1, MR liver fat was the best performing non-invasive test (AUC: 0.92), compared to controlled attenuated parameter (AUC: 0.75). Assessment of the agreement between pathologists showed that concordance was best for steatosis (a = 0.58), moderate for ballooning (a = 0.40) and fibrosis (a = 0.40), and worst for lobular inflammation (a = 0.11).

CONCLUSION

Quantitative mpMRI is an effective alternative to liver biopsy for diagnosing NASH and non-alcoholic fatty liver, and thus may offer clinical utility in patient management.

Comparing the effects of tofogliflozin and pioglitazone in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (ToPiND study): a randomized prospective open-label controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

The treatment of diabetes has a significant impact on the pathogenesis of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We compared the effectiveness of tofogliflozin, a selective sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, and pioglitazone for the treatment of NAFLD patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This open-label, prospective, single-center, randomized clinical trial recruited NAFLD patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and a hepatic fat fraction of at least 10% as assessed based on the MRI-proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF). Eligible patients were stratified according to hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), alanine transaminase, and MRI-PDFF levels and randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either 20 mg tofogliflozin or 15-30 mg pioglitazone, orally, once daily for 24 weeks. The primary endpoint was an absolute change in MRI-PDFF at 24 weeks. Efficacy and safety was assessed in all treated patients. This trial was registered in the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials.

RESULTS

Overall, 40 eligible patients were randomly assigned to receive tofogliflozin (n=21) or pioglitazone (n=19). Changes in hepatic steatosis after 24 weeks of treatment were evaluated by MRI-PDFF, which showed a significant decrease in both groups (-7.54% (p<0.0001) and -4.12% (p=0.0042) in the pioglitazone and tofogliflozin groups, respectively). Compared with baseline, the body weight decreased by 2.83±2.86 kg (-3.6%, p=0.0443) in the tofogliflozin group and increased by 1.39±2.62 kg (1.7%, p=0.0002) in the pioglitazone group after 24 weeks. No life-threatening events or treatment-related deaths occurred.

CONCLUSIONS

Tofogliflozin was well tolerated, and it reduced the MRI-PDFF levels in NAFLD patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

jRCTs031180159.

Vitamin B6 efficacy in the treatment of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: an open-label, single-arm, single-center trial

Vitamin B6 is an important cofactor in fat metabolism and its deficiency has been correlated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. However, no study has investigated the efficacy of vitamin B6 supplementation in these patients. The aim of this open-label, single-arm, single-center study was to examine the therapeutic effect of vitamin B6 in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Twenty-two patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease received vitamin B6 (90 mg/day) orally for 12 weeks. Clinical parameters were evaluated, and liver fat and fibrosis were quantified before and after treatment using magnetic resonance imaging-based proton density fat fraction and magnetic resonance elastography. Serum alanine aminotransferase levels, the primary endpoint, did not change significantly after vitamin B6 treatment (93.6 ± 46.9 to 93.9 ± 46.6, p = 0.976). On the other hand, magnetic resonance imaging-based proton density fat fraction, a parameter of hepatic lipid accumulation, was significantly reduced (18.7 ± 6.1 to 16.4 ± 6.4, p<0.001) despite no significant changes in body mass index, even in those not taking vitamin E (n = 17, 18.8 ± 6.9 to 16.7 ± 7.3, p = 0.0012). Vitamin B6 administration significantly ameliorated hepatic fat accumulation. As an inexpensive agent with few side effects, vitamin B6 could be a novel therapeutic agent for the treatment of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Endotoxins and Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. It occurs with a prevalence of up to 25%, of which 10-20% cases progress to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), cirrhosis, and liver cancer. The histopathology of NASH is characterized by neutrophilic infiltration, and endotoxins from gram-negative rods have been postulated as a contributing factor. Elevations in endotoxin levels in the blood can be classified as intestinal and hepatic factors. In recent years, leaky gut syndrome, which is characterized by impaired intestinal barrier function, has become a significant issue. A leaky gut may prompt intestinal bacteria dysbiosis and increase the amount of endotoxin that enters the liver from the portal vein. These contribute to persistent chronic inflammation and progressive liver damage. In addition, hepatic factors suggest that liver damage can be induced by low-dose endotoxins, which does not occur in healthy individuals. In particular, increased expression of CD14, an endotoxin co-receptor in the liver, may result in leptin-induced endotoxin hyper-responsiveness in obese individuals. Thus, elevated blood endotoxin levels contribute to the progression of NASH. The current therapeutic targets for NASH treat steatosis and liver inflammation and fibrosis. While many clinical trials are underway, no studies have been performed on therapeutic agents that target the intestinal barrier. Recently, a randomized placebo-controlled trial examined the role of the intestinal barrier in patients with NAFLD. To our knowledge, this study was the first of its kind and study suggested that the intestinal barrier may be a novel target in the future treatment of NAFLD.

Filamentous fungi with high paraquat-degrading activity isolated from contaminated agricultural soils in northern Thailand

The contamination of paraquat (1,1'-dimethyl-4,4'-bipyridylium dichloride) herbicide from the farming area has become a public concern in many countries. This herbicide harms to human health and negatively effects the soil fertility. Several methods have been introduced for the remediation of paraquat. In this study, 20 isolates of the paraquat-tolerant fungi were isolated from the contaminated soil samples in northern Thailand. We found that isolate PRPY-2 and PFCM-1 exhibited the highest degradation activity of paraquat on synthetic liquid medium. About 80 and 68% of paraquat were removed by PRPY-2 and PFCM-1 respectively after 15 days of cultivation. Based on the morphological characteristic and molecular analysis, the fungal isolate PRPY-2 and PFCM-1 were identified as Aspergillus tamarii and Cunninghamella sp. respectively. The biosorption of paraquat on these fungal mycelia was also investigated. It was found that only 8-10% of paraquat could be detected on their mycelia, while 24-46% of paraquat was degraded by fungal mycelia. This is the first report on paraquat degrading ability by A. tamarii and Cunninghamella sp. It is demonstrated that these filamentous fungi are promising microorganisms available for remediation of paraquat contaminated environment.

Possible adaptogenic effects of Momordica charantia on high-intensity training-induced alteration in the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis

This study investigated the effects of a drink supplement containing Momordica charantia extract from bitter melon on physical fitness and levels of stress hormones during a four-week exercise training program in a hot environment. Ten male tennis players were orally administrated in a four-week (100 ml, 6 times a day), and the pre- and post-supplementation levels of different physical fitness variables and cortisol, and adrenocorticotropic hormone in plasma were measured at four time-points—before (baseline), during, and after the exercise, and on the next day of the supplementation. The findings showed that the supplementation has significant positive effects on enhancement of physical fitness parameters especially balance (d = 22.10, p = 0.013), flexibility (d = 4.83, p = 0.015), and cardiorespiratory fitness (d = 10.00, p = 0.030). Moreover, the adrenocorticotropic hormone levels were reduced during the exercise, and the cortisol levels showed the decreasing trend during and after the exercise, which was correlated with the change of cardiorespiratory fitness (r = 0.65, p<0.05). These results indicated the possible adaptogenic effects of Momordica charantia extract intake. Based on the findings, we suggest that Momordica charantia could be used as a source of adaptogenic supplement to alleviate the exercise- and environment-induced stress.

Using Detection And Attribution To Quantify How Climate Change Is Affecting Health

The question of whether, how, and to what extent climate change is affecting health is central to many climate and health studies. We describe a set of formal methods, termed detection and attribution, used by climatologists to determine whether a climate trend or extreme event has changed and to estimate the extent to which climate change influenced that change. We discuss events where changing weather patterns were attributed to climate change and extend these analyses to include health impacts from heat waves in 2018 and 2019 in Europe and Japan, and we show how such impact attribution could be applied to melting ice roads in the Arctic. Documenting the causal chain from emissions of greenhouse gases to observed human health outcomes is important input into risk assessments that prioritize health system preparedness and response interventions and into financial investments and communication about potential risk to policy makers and to the public.

Occurrence and clinical course of peri-stent contrast staining: comparison between second-generation drug-eluting stents and third generation drug-eluting stents

Background

Peri-stent contrast staining (PSS) has been reported to be associated with very late stent thrombosis.

The aims of this study was to compare the occurrence rate of PSS between second generation drug-eluting stents (2nd DES) and third generation drug-eluting stents (3rd DES), and to identify clinical characteristics associated with PSS.

Methods and results

This study comprised 1899 patients with 2493 de novo lesions treated with 2nd or 3rd DES from October 2015 to September 2018. Follow-up angiography was available for 1883 lesions (75.5%). There were 725 patients with 968 lesions treated with 2nd DES, and 716 patients with 915 lesions treated with 3rd DES. The occurrence of PSS, types of PSS, and VLST related to PSS were compared between 2nd and 3rd DES implantation. Mean follow-up period was 30±12 months. The occurrence rate of PSS and segmental type of PSS were similar between two groups (2nd DES vs. 3rd DES, 1.5% vs. 1.7%, p=0.73, 47% vs. 50%, p=0.85, and respectively). The VLST related to PSS occurred in only one case in 3rd DES group. (0% vs. 6.3%, p=0.33).

Conclusion

The occurrence rate of PSS and clinical course were similar between 2nd and 3rd DES.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Projections of excess mortality related to diurnal temperature range under climate change scenarios: a multi-country modelling study

BACKGROUND

Various retrospective studies have reported on the increase of mortality risk due to higher diurnal temperature range (DTR). This study projects the effect of DTR on future mortality across 445 communities in 20 countries and regions.

METHODS

DTR-related mortality risk was estimated on the basis of the historical daily time-series of mortality and weather factors from Jan 1, 1985, to Dec 31, 2015, with data for 445 communities across 20 countries and regions, from the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network. We obtained daily projected temperature series associated with four climate change scenarios, using the four representative concentration pathways (RCPs) described by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, from the lowest to the highest emission scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5). Excess deaths attributable to the DTR during the current (1985-2015) and future (2020-99) periods were projected using daily DTR series under the four scenarios. Future excess deaths were calculated on the basis of assumptions that warmer long-term average temperatures affect or do not affect the DTR-related mortality risk.

FINDINGS

The time-series analyses results showed that DTR was associated with excess mortality. Under the unmitigated climate change scenario (RCP 8.5), the future average DTR is projected to increase in most countries and regions (by -0·4 to 1·6°C), particularly in the USA, south-central Europe, Mexico, and South Africa. The excess deaths currently attributable to DTR were estimated to be 0·2-7·4%. Furthermore, the DTR-related mortality risk increased as the long-term average temperature increased; in the linear mixed model with the assumption of an interactive effect with long-term average temperature, we estimated 0·05% additional DTR mortality risk per 1°C increase in average temperature. Based on the interaction with long-term average temperature, the DTR-related excess deaths are projected to increase in all countries or regions by 1·4-10·3% in 2090-99.

INTERPRETATION

This study suggests that globally, DTR-related excess mortality might increase under climate change, and this increasing pattern is likely to vary between countries and regions. Considering climatic changes, our findings could contribute to public health interventions aimed at reducing the impact of DTR on human health.

FUNDING

Korea Ministry of Environment.

Guidelines for Modeling and Reporting Health Effects of Climate Change Mitigation Actions

BACKGROUND

Modeling suggests that climate change mitigation actions can have substantial human health benefits that accrue quickly and locally. Documenting the benefits can help drive more ambitious and health-protective climate change mitigation actions; however, documenting the adverse health effects can help to avoid them. Estimating the health effects of mitigation (HEM) actions can help policy makers prioritize investments based not only on mitigation potential but also on expected health benefits. To date, however, the wide range of incompatible approaches taken to developing and reporting HEM estimates has limited their comparability and usefulness to policymakers.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this effort was to generate guidance for modeling studies on scoping, estimating, and reporting population health effects from climate change mitigation actions.

METHODS

An expert panel of HEM researchers was recruited to participate in developing guidance for conducting HEM studies. The primary literature and a synthesis of HEM studies were provided to the panel. Panel members then participated in a modified Delphi exercise to identify areas of consensus regarding HEM estimation. Finally, the panel met to review and discuss consensus findings, resolve remaining differences, and generate guidance regarding conducting HEM studies.

RESULTS

The panel generated a checklist of recommendations regarding stakeholder engagement: HEM modeling, including model structure, scope and scale, demographics, time horizons, counterfactuals, health response functions, and metrics; parameterization and reporting; approaches to uncertainty and sensitivity analysis; accounting for policy uptake; and discounting.

DISCUSSION

This checklist provides guidance for conducting and reporting HEM estimates to make them more comparable and useful for policymakers. Harmonization of HEM estimates has the potential to lead to advances in and improved synthesis of policy-relevant research that can inform evidence-based decision making and practice. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP6745.

Magnetic resonance imaging for the assessment of pathological hepatic findings in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is expected to increase because of the current epidemics of obesity and diabetes, and NAFLD has become a major cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. Liver fibrosis is associated with poor long-term outcomes in patients with NAFLD. Additionally, increased mortality and liver-related complications are primarily seen in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH); however, nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) is believed to be benign and non-progressive. Therefore, distinguishing between NASH and NAFL is clinically important. Liver biopsy is the gold standard method for the staging of liver fibrosis and distinguishing between NASH and NAFL. Unfortunately, liver biopsy is an invasive and expensive procedure. Therefore, noninvasive methods, to replace biopsy, are urgently needed for the staging of liver fibrosis and diagnosing NASH. In this review, we discuss the recent studies on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), including magnetic resonance elastography, proton density fat fraction measurement, and multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) that can be used in the assessment of NASH components such as liver fibrosis, steatosis, and liver injury including inflammation and ballooning.

TRPV4 channel blockade does not modulate skin vasodilation and sweating during hyperthermia or cutaneous postocclusive reactive and thermal hyperemia

Transient receptor potential vanilloid 4 (TRPV4) channels exist on vascular endothelial cells and eccrine sweat gland secretory cells in human skin. Here, we assessed whether TRPV4 channels contribute to cutaneous vasodilation and sweating during whole body passive heat stress (protocol 1) and to cutaneous vasodilation during postocclusive reactive hyperemia and local thermal hyperemia (protocol 2). Intradermal microdialysis was employed to locally deliver pharmacological agents to forearm skin sites, where cutaneous vascular conductance (CVC) and sweat rate were assessed. In protocol 1 (12 young adults), CVC and sweat rate were increased by passive whole body heating, resulting in a body core temperature elevation of 1.2 ± 0.1°C. The elevated CVC and sweat rate assessed at sites treated with TRPV4 channel antagonist (either 200 µM HC-067047 or 125 µM GSK2193874) were not different from the vehicle control site (5% dimethyl sulfoxide). After whole body heating, the TRPV4 channel agonist (100 µM GSK1016790A) was administered to each skin site, eliciting elevations in CVC. Relative to control, this response was partly attenuated by both TRPV4 channel antagonists, confirming drug efficacy. In protocol 2 (10 young adults), CVC was increased following a 5-min arterial occlusion and during local heating from 33 to 42°C. These responses did not differ between the control and the TRPV4 channel antagonist sites (200 µM HC-067047). We show that TRPV4 channels are not required for regulating cutaneous vasodilation or sweating during a whole body passive heat stress. Furthermore, they are not required for regulating cutaneous vasodilation during postocclusive reactive hyperemia and local thermal hyperemia.

Case Reports: Transformation of End-Stage Neuroendocrine Tumors With Uncontrollable Liver Metastasis Into a Novel or Additional Functional Phenotype

Background: Neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) are rare, but their worldwide incidence is gradually increasing. NETs are generally heterogeneous; however, in rare cases, they have been shown to change their phenotype (i.e., nonfunctional to functional or one functional phenotype to the addition of another functional phenotype). Here, we present two cases of liver metastatic NETs with phenotype transformation at the advanced stage that led to life-threatening events.

Case presentation: A 73-year-old woman had a small intestinal nonfunctional NET with liver metastasis. After uncontrollable liver metastasis at the advanced stage, she developed duodenal perforation with hypergastremia. The patient was treated with octreotide and proton pump inhibitors and underwent endoscopic closure for duodenal perforation, but her general condition gradually deteriorated, and she died 2 weeks after duodenal perforation. Another patient, a 50-year-old man, had a functional NET (gastrinoma) with liver metastasis and duodenal ulcer. After uncontrollable liver metastasis at the advanced stage, he developed hypoglycemia. Although octoreotide and diazoxide were administrated for hyperalimentation, his hypoglycemia was uncontrollable, and he died after 4 months owing to general deterioration.

Conclusion: The present cases show that advanced NETs with treatment-uncontrollable liver metastasis can transform their phenotype, specifically from a nonfunctional NET into a functional NET, and from one functional NET into the addition of another functional NET. These experiences suggest that the presence of treatment-resistant liver metastasis might be a hallmark of the potential to gain novel functions.

Rationale and design of a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, investigator-initiated phase 2a study to investigate the efficacy and safety of elobixibat in combination with cholestyramine for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

INTRODUCTION

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) pathogenesis involves abnormal metabolism of cholesterol and hepatic accumulation of toxic free-cholesterol. Elobixibat (EXB) inhibits the ileal bile acid (BA) transporter. EXB and cholestyramine (CTM) facilitate the removal of free cholesterol from the liver by decreasing BA recirculation to the liver, thereby stimulating novel BA synthesis from cholesterol. In this randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, phase IIa study, we aim to provide a proof-of-concept assessment by evaluating the efficacy and safety of EXB in combination with CTM in patients with NAFLD.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A total of 100 adult patients with NAFLD, diagnosed based on low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level of >120 mg/dL and liver fat content of ≥8% by MRI-based proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), who meet the inclusion/exclusion criteria will be enrolled. The patients will be randomly assigned to receive the combination therapy of 10 mg EXB and 9 g CTM powder (4 g CTM), 10 mg EXB monotherapy, 9 g CTM powder monotherapy or a placebo treatment (n=25 per group). Blood tests and MRIs will be performed 16 weeks following treatment initiation. The primary study endpoint will be the absolute LDL-C level change at week 16 after treatment initiation. The exploratory endpoint will include absolute changes in the liver fat fraction as measured by MRI-PDFF. This proof-of-concept study will determine whether the combination therapy of EXB and CTM is effective and safe for patients with NAFLD.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval was obtained from the Ethics Committee of Yokohama City University Hospital before participant enrolment. The results of this study will be submitted for publication in international peer-reviewed journals and the key findings will be presented at international scientific conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04235205.

Nonlinear temperature-suicide association in Japan from 1972 to 2015: Its heterogeneity and the role of climate, demographic, and socioeconomic factors

It has been reported that suicide is associated with ambient temperature; however, the heterogeneity in this association and its underlying factors have not been extensively investigated. Therefore, we investigated the spatial and temporal variation in the temperature-suicide association and examined climatic, demographic, and socioeconomic factors that may underlie such heterogeneity. We analyzed the daily time-series data for the suicide counts and ambient temperature, which were collected for the 47 prefectures of Japan from 1972 to 2015, using a two-stage analysis. In the first stage, the prefecture-specific temperature-suicide association was estimated by using a generalized linear model. In the second stage, the prefecture-specific associations were pooled, and key factors explaining the spatial and temporal variation were identified by using mixed effects meta-regression. Results showed that there is an inverted J-shape nonlinear association between temperature and suicide; the suicide risk increased with temperature but leveled off above 24.4 °C. The nationwide relative risk (RR) for the maximum suicide temperature versus 5th temperature percentile (2.9 °C) was estimated as 1.26 (95% CI: 1.22, 1.29). The RRs were larger for females than for males (1.32 vs. 1.22) and larger for elderly people (≥65 y) than for the non-elderly (15-64 y) (1.51 vs. 1.18). The RRs were larger for rural prefectures, which are characterized by smaller population, higher proportions of females and elderly people, and lower levels of financial capability and the proportion of highly educated people. The RRs were also larger in colder and less humid prefectures. These findings may help in understanding the potential mechanism of the temperature-suicide association and projecting the future risk of suicide under climate change.

Lubiprostone in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2a trial

BACKGROUND

The laxative drug lubiprostone improves intestinal permeability in healthy volunteers. We aimed to assess efficacy and safety of lubiprostone in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with constipation via attenuation of intestinal permeability.

METHODS

This randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2a study in Yokohama City University Hospital, Japan, recruited patients (aged 20-85 years) with NAFLD and constipation, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) at least 40 U/L, liver stiffness (≤6·7 kPa), and hepatic fat fraction at least 5·2% when assessed by MRI-proton density fat fraction. Eligible patients were randomly assigned (11:10:9) by a computer-based system and stratified by age and sex to receive 24 μg lubiprostone, 12 μg lubiprostone, or placebo, orally, once per day for 12 weeks. The primary endpoint was the absolute changes in ALT at 12 weeks. Efficacy analysis was done by intention to treat. Safety was assessed in all treated patients. This trial was registered with University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000026635).

FINDINGS

Between March 24, 2017, and April 3, 2018, we screened 288 patients, of whom 150 (52%) were randomly assigned to treatment: 55 patients were assigned to receive 24 μg lubiprostone, 50 to receive 12 μg lubiprostone, and 45 to receive placebo. A greater decrease in the absolute ALT levels from baseline to 12 weeks was seen in the 24 μg lubiprostone group (mean -13 U/L [SD 19]) than in the placebo group (1 U/L [24]; mean difference -15 U/L [95% CI -23 to -6], p=0·0007) and in the 12 μg lubiprostone group (-12 U/L [21]) than in the placebo group (mean difference -13 U/L [-22 to -5], p=0·0023). 18 (33%) of 55 patients in the 24 μg group had at least one adverse event, as did three (6%) of 47 patients in the 12 μg group and three (7%) of 43 in the placebo group. The most common adverse event was diarrhoea (17 [31%] of patients in the 24 μg group, three [6%] in the 12 μg group, none in the placebo group). No life-threatening events or treatment-related deaths occurred.

INTERPRETATION

Lubiprostone was well tolerated and reduced the levels of liver enzymes in patients with NAFLD and constipation. Further studies are necessary to better define the efficacy and tolerability of lubiprostone in patients with NAFLD without constipation.

FUNDING

Mylan EPD G.K.

Advances in ultrasound elastography for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) has increased rapidly worldwide, making NAFLD/NASH an important global health problem from both a medical and socioeconomic standpoint. NAFLD is also regarded as a liver component of metabolic syndrome and is reported to be associated with the risk factors for metabolic syndrome. It has been suggested that NAFLD/NASH be recognized both as a liver-specific disease and as an early mediator of systemic diseases. Liver biopsy is recommended as the gold standard method for the diagnosis of NASH and for the staging of liver fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. However, because of its high cost, high risk, and high weightage as a healthcare resource, invasive liver biopsy is a poorly suited diagnostic test for such a highly prevalent condition. Therefore, the development of reliable noninvasive methods for the assessment of liver fibrosis has been sought to estimate the risk of progression of NASH to cirrhosis, estimate the risk of cardiovascular events, aid in the surveillance for HCC, and guide therapy in patients with NAFLD/NASH. In this review, we highlight the principles and recent advances in ultrasound elastography techniques (Real-time Tissue Elastography^®, vibration-controlled transient elastography, point shear wave elastography, and two-dimensional shear wave elastography) used to evaluate the liver fibrosis stage and steatosis grade in patients with NAFLD.