Social consensus through the influence of committed minorities

We show how the prevailing majority opinion in a population can be rapidly reversed by a small fraction p of randomly distributed committed agents who consistently proselytize the opposing opinion and are immune to influence. Specifically, we show that when the committed fraction grows beyond a critical value p(c) ≈ 10%, there is a dramatic decrease in the time T(c) taken for the entire population to adopt the committed opinion. In particular, for complete graphs we show that when p < pc, T(c) ~ exp [α(p)N], whereas for p>p(c), T(c) ~ ln N. We conclude with simulation results for Erdős-Rényi random graphs and scale-free networks which show qualitatively similar behavior.

Social influencing and associated random walk models: Asymptotic consensus times on the complete graph

We investigate consensus formation and the asymptotic consensus times in stylized individual- or agent-based models, in which global agreement is achieved through pairwise negotiations with or without a bias. Considering a class of individual-based models on finite complete graphs, we introduce a coarse-graining approach (lumping microscopic variables into macrostates) to analyze the ordering dynamics in an associated random-walk framework. Within this framework, yielding a linear system, we derive general equations for the expected consensus time and the expected time spent in each macro-state. Further, we present the asymptotic solutions of the 2-word naming game and separately discuss its behavior under the influence of an external field and with the introduction of committed agents.

Early-onset osteoarthritis of mouse temporomandibular joint induced by partial discectomy

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to characterize mouse temporomandibular joint (TMJ) following partial discectomy, since there is no documentation of whether or not partial discectomy can induce early-onset osteoarthritis (OA) in mouse TMJ.

METHODS

Partial discs of TMJ in mice were removed by microsurgery. Histology was performed to characterize articular cartilages from the TMJ of mice. The morphology of the articular cartilages was evaluated using a modified Mankin scoring system. Immunohistostaining was carried out to examine the expression of discoidin domain receptor 2 (Ddr2), a type II collagen receptor, matrix metalloproteinase-13 (Mmp-13), and Mmp-derived type II collagen fragments in the articular cartilage of condyles from the mouse TMJ.

RESULTS

Articular cartilage degeneration was seen in the mouse TMJ post-discectomy, including increased proteoglycan staining in the extracellular matrix at 4 weeks, the appearance of chondrocyte clusters at 8 weeks, reduced proteoglycan staining and fibrillation at 12 weeks and the loss of articular cartilage at 16 weeks. Increased immunostaining for Ddr2, Mmp-13, and Mmp-derived type II collagen fragments was detected.

CONCLUSION

Results indicate that partial discectomy induces early-onset OA in mouse TMJ and that increased expression of Mmp-13, likely due to the elevated expression of Ddr2, may be one of the factors responsible for the early-onset OA in mouse TMJ.

A simplified tumor regression grade correlates with survival in locally advanced rectal carcinoma treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Locally advanced rectal cancer is frequently treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy to reduce local recurrence and possibly improve survival. The tumor response to chemoradiotherapy is variable and may influence the prognosis after surgery. This study assessed tumor regression and its influence on survival in patients with rectal cancer treated with chemoradiotherapy followed by curative surgery.

METHODS

One hundred twenty-six patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (T3/T4 or N1/N2) were treated with chemoradiotherapy followed by total mesorectal excision. Patients received long-course radiotherapy (50 Gy in 25 fractions) in combination with 5-flourouracil over 5 weeks. By means of a standardized approach, tumor regression was graded in the resection specimen using a 3-point system related to tumor regression grade (TRG): complete or near-complete response (TRG1), partial response (TRG2), or no response (TRG3).

RESULTS

The 5-year disease-free survival was 72% (median follow-up 37 months), and 7% of patients had local recurrence. Chemoradiotherapy produced downstaging in 60% of patients; 21% of patients experienced TRG1. TRG1 correlated with a pathological T0/1 or N0 status. Five-year disease-free survival after chemoradiotherapy and surgery was significantly better in TRG1 patients (100%) compared with TRG2 (71%) and TRG3 (66%) (P = .01).

CONCLUSION

Tumor regression grade measured on a 3-point system predicts outcome after chemoradiotherapy and surgery for locally advanced rectal cancer.

Thermosensitive splicing of a clock gene and seasonal adaptation

Similar to many diurnal animals, the daily distribution of activity in Drosophila exhibits a bimodal pattern with clock-controlled morning and evening peaks separated by a midday "siesta." In prior work, we showed that the thermosensitive splicing of a 3'-terminal intron in the RNA product from the Drosophila period (per) gene (dper) is critical for temperature-induced adjustments in the timing of evening activity. Cold temperatures enhance the splicing efficiency of this intron (termed dmpi8, Drosophila melanogaster per intron 8), an event that stimulates the daily accumulation of dper RNA and protein, leading to earlier evening activity. Conversely, warm temperatures attenuate dmpi8 splicing efficiency contributing to delayed evening activity, likely ensuring that flies avoid activity during the hot midday sun when they are at increased risk of desiccation. Here, we discuss the underlying molecular mechanisms governing the thermosensitive splicing of dmpi8 and how it contributes to seasonal changes in the daily activity patterns of Drosophila. On a broader perspective, RNA-RNA interactions likely have fundamental roles in the thermal adaptation of life forms to the daily and seasonal changes in temperature.

Cost induced by hip fractures

Hip fracture is the most common fracture in the elderly population. Treating hip fractures is a major burden on the Irish Health system. There is no recent Republic of Ireland study detailing hospital costs for such injuries. A comprehensive analysis of 143 patients admitted with a hip fracture was performed to determine current medical expenditure incurred during acute hospitalization for hip fractures during 2005 in a major university hospital. Costs associated with surgery (implant & theatre costs), laboratory, radiology, physiotherapy and ward were calculated on individual basis. All the hip fractures were above 60 years of age (mean 82 years); average stay in the hospital was 11 days. The mean total hospital expenditure per patient was Euro 9236.01 of which ward costs contributed 55.33%, operative costs 39.82% and investigations 4.83%. The result clearly show that hip fractures have a major economic impact arising from the inpatient treatment, most of which relate to length of hospital stay.

Randomised controlled trials of homeopathy in hyperactive children: treatment procedure leads to an unconventional study design. Experience with open-label homeopathic treatment preceding the Swiss ADHD placebo controlled, randomised, double-blind, cross-over trial

BACKGROUND

Treatment of patients with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) with homeopathy is difficult. The Swiss randomised, placebo controlled, cross-over trial in ADHD patients (Swiss ADHD trial) was designed with an open-label screening phase prior to the randomised controlled phase. During the screening phase, the response of each child to successive homeopathic medications was observed until the optimal medication was identified. Only children who reached a predefined level of improvement participated in the randomised, cross-over phase. Although the randomised phase revealed a significant beneficial effect of homeopathy, the cross-over caused a strong carryover effect diminishing the apparent difference between placebo and verum treatment.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis explores the screening phase data with respect to the risk of failure to demonstrate a specific effect of a randomised controlled trial (RCT) with randomisation at the start of the treatment.

RESULTS

During the screening phase, 84% (70/83) of the children responded to treatment and reached eligibility for the randomised trial after a median time of 5 months (range 1-18), with a median of 3 different medications (range 1-9). Thirteen children (16%) did not reach eligibility. Five months after treatment start, the difference in Conners Global Index (CGI) rating between responders and non-responders became highly significant (p = 0.0006). Improvement in CGI was much greater following the identification of the optimal medication than in the preceding suboptimal treatment period (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Because of the necessity of identifying an optimal medication before response to treatment can be expected, randomisation at the start of treatment in an RCT of homeopathy in ADHD children has a high risk of failure to demonstrate a specific treatment effect, if the observation time is shorter than 12 months.

32. EXPERIENCE OF EARLY MEDICAL ABORTION IN A REGIONAL CENTRE

Access to abortion services is often severely limited in parts of regional Australia, including north Queensland. In December 2005 one of the authors made a joint application to the Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) for approval to prescribe and supply the drug mifepristone (RU486) for the purpose of induced abortion. This was successful, and to date 10 medical abortions using a combination of mifepristone and misoprostol have been carried out. Clinicians at the Cairns Sexual Health Service have been unable to prescribe mifepristone, but since April 2006 have been using a combination of methotrexate and misoprostol to perform medical abortions up to 9 weeks' gestation. To date 16 have been performed. The mean age of patients undergoing the procedure was 25 (range 17-36) with the indications being for mental health and/or psychosocial reasons. The gestational age at abortion ranged from 4-8 weeks. One woman required a surgical abortion for an unsuccessful medical abortion. The procedure, whether using mifepristone of methotrexate, is generally well-tolerated and has been shown to be safe. The clinical outcomes will be presented in detail.

Renal Disease Burden Following Liver Transplantation

Significant chronic kidney disease (CKD) occurs following orthotopic liver transplant (OLT). Since CKD is associated with increased cardiovascular events, mortality, and hepatic allograft dysfunction, early recognition of CKD and implementation of changes may improve the long-term outcome. The purpose of this study was to determine the burden of renal disease following OLT.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed our OLT recipients from 1997 until 2004. We calculated glomerular filtration rates (GFR) using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease study (MDRD) method. The GFRs were further subdivided into pre-MELD and post-MELD eras.

RESULTS

During the study period, we performed 407 OLTs. We censored data from living donor liver transplants (n = 14), combined liver-kidney transplants (n = 12), and from patients whom we did not have complete data for 6 months after transplant (n = 40). Mean MELD score at the time of transplant was 18 +/- 7 (mean +/- standard deviation). The mean GFR at 6 months following OLT was 63.7 +/- 30.2 mL/min per 1.73 m(2). Only 14% (n = 47) of our patients had normal renal function at 6 months, while 78% (n = 266) of our patients had mild to moderate risk for renal failure. Eight percent (n = 28) had stage 4 or 5 CKD. There were no differences between the pre-MELD and post-MELD GFRs.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of renal disease is significant in our patient population at 6 months posttransplantation. It may be important to introduce CKD management as early as 6 months after transplant to impact the outcomes of OLT recipients.