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Khan N, Andrade W, De Castro H, Wright A, Wright D, Nicolaides KH. Impact of new definitions of pre-eclampsia on incidence and performance of first-trimester screening. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2020; 55:50-57. [PMID: 31503372 DOI: 10.1002/uog.21867] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2019] [Revised: 09/03/2019] [Accepted: 09/03/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The traditional definition of pre-eclampsia (PE) is based on the development of hypertension and proteinuria. This has been revised recently to include cases without proteinuria but with evidence of renal, hepatic or hematological dysfunction. The aim of this study was to examine the impact of new definitions of PE on, first, the incidence and severity of the disease and, second, the performance of the competing-risks model for first-trimester assessment of risk for PE. METHODS This was a retrospective study of 66 964 singleton pregnancies that were classified as having PE, gestational hypertension (GH) or no PE or GH, according to the traditional criteria of the International Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy (ISSHP-old), which defines PE as the presence of both hypertension and proteinuria. We reviewed the records of pregnancies with GH, and those cases with high creatinine or liver enzymes or low platelet count were reclassified as having PE, according to the new criteria of ISSHP (ISSHP-new) and the new criteria of the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG). The groups of PE according to the traditional and new criteria were compared for, first, gestational age at delivery, birth-weight percentile and incidence of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate with birth weight < 10th percentile and perinatal death, and, second, the predictive performance for preterm PE of the competing-risks model based on the combination of maternal risk factors, uterine artery pulsatility index, mean arterial pressure and serum placental growth factor at 11-13 weeks' gestation (triple test). RESULTS According to ISSHP-old, 1870 (2.8%) cases had PE, 2182 (3.3%) had GH and 62 912 (94.0%) had no PE or GH. The incidence of PE according to ACOG was 3.0% (2029/66 964) and ISSHP-new was 3.4% (2301/66 964). Median gestational age at delivery in the extra cases of PE according to ACOG (difference, 1.3 weeks; 95% CI, 0.71-1.71 weeks) and in the extra cases of PE according to ISSHP-new (difference, 1.5 weeks; 95% CI, 1.29-1.71 weeks) was higher than in cases with PE according to ISSHP-old (38.4 weeks). The incidence of a SGA neonate in the extra cases of PE according to ACOG (relative risk, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.42-0.79) and in the extra cases of PE according to ISSHP-new (relative risk, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.42-0.65) was lower than in the cases of PE according to ISSHP-old (33.64%). In first-trimester screening for preterm PE by the triple test, the detection rate, at a 10% false-positive rate, was 75.9% (95% CI, 70.8-80.6%) for ISSHP-old, 74.3% (95% CI, 69.2-79.0%) for ACOG and 74.0% (95% CI, 68.9-78.6%) for ISSHP-new. CONCLUSIONS The new definitions of PE resulted in, first, an increase in pregnancies classified as having PE but the additional cases had milder disease, and, second, a non-significant decrease in the performance of first-trimester screening for PE. © 2019 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.
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Benkő Z, Chaveeva P, de Paco Matallana C, Zingler E, Wright D, Nicolaides KH. Revised competing-risks model in screening for pre-eclampsia in twin pregnancy by maternal characteristics and medical history. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 54:617-624. [PMID: 31364214 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20411] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2019] [Revised: 07/23/2019] [Accepted: 07/23/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND We have proposed previously that the competing-risks model for prediction of pre-eclampsia (PE) based on maternal characteristics and medical history (prior model), developed in singleton pregnancies, can be extended to risk assessment for twins; in dichorionic (DC) and monochorionic (MC) twin pregnancies with the same characteristics as in singleton pregnancies, the distribution of gestational age at delivery with PE was shifted to the left by 8 and 10 weeks, respectively. However, in a subsequent validation study, we found that, in both the training and validation datasets, the observed incidence of PE was lower than the predicted one and such overestimation of risk was particularly marked for early PE. OBJECTIVES First, to develop a new extension of the competing-risks prior model in screening for PE by maternal demographic characteristics and medical history in twin pregnancies in a training dataset. Second, to examine the predictive performance of this model in screening for PE with delivery < 34 weeks (early PE), < 37 weeks (preterm PE) and at any gestational age (all PE) in twins in a validation dataset. Third, to demonstrate the application of screening in a mixed population of singleton and twin pregnancies. METHODS The data for this study were obtained from two prospective non-intervention multicenter screening studies for PE in twin pregnancies at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation. The training and validation datasets consisted of 2219 and 2999 women, respectively. We used the training dataset to fit a model in which the effect of twins on shifting the distribution of gestational age at delivery with PE in singletons to the left should not be the same for all gestational ages but the shift should depend on the singleton prior mean; the effect increases with increasing prior mean. We examined the predictive performance of the model in the training and validation datasets using the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) and calibration plots. Data on 16 747 singleton pregnancies obtained from the Screening ProgRamme for prE-Eclampsia (SPREE) study were included to examine the performance of screening in a mixed population of singleton and twin pregnancies. RESULTS Calibration plots and calibration intercept and slope demonstrate superior predictive performance of the new model in the validation dataset. Although the AUC for twin pregnancies is lower than in singleton pregnancies, performance of screening in a mixed population of singleton and twin pregnancies is superior to that in singletons (AUC of 0.790 in a mixed population comprising 2% twins and 98% singletons compared to 0.775 in singletons). For the risk cut-offs likely to be used in practice, all twin pregnancies screen positive using maternal characteristics and medical history. CONCLUSIONS A new competing-risks model in screening for PE by maternal risk factors in twin pregnancy has been developed and, using this model, the predicted risks for early PE, preterm PE and all PE are in relatively good agreement with the observed incidence of the disease. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Fiolna M, Machuca M, Karampitsakos T, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Prediction of adverse perinatal outcome by serum placental growth factor and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 in women undergoing induction of labor. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 54:604-608. [PMID: 31444934 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20853] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2019] [Revised: 07/22/2019] [Accepted: 07/23/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the additive value of serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), measured within 24 h prior to induction of labor, to the performance of screening for adverse perinatal outcome provided by maternal risk factors and the cerebroplacental ratio (CPR). METHODS This was a prospective observational study of 795 singleton pregnancies undergoing induction of labor at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation. Before induction of labor, Doppler ultrasound was used to measure the pulsatility index (PI) in the umbilical artery (UA) and fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) and maternal blood was obtained for measurement of serum PlGF and sFlt-1. The measured UA-PI, MCA-PI and their ratio (CPR) were converted to multiples of the median (MoM) after adjustment for gestational age, and the measured PlGF and sFlt-1 were converted to MoM after adjustment for gestational age, maternal characteristics and the machine used for the assays. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine factors that provided a significant contribution in the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome, defined as the presence of any one of Cesarean section for non-reassuring fetal status in labor, umbilical arterial or venous cord blood pH ≤ 7 and ≤ 7.1, respectively, 5-min Apgar score < 7 or admission to the neonatal intensive care unit for ≥ 24 h. The detection rate (DR) and false-positive rate (FPR) in screening for adverse perinatal outcome were determined. RESULTS In pregnancies with adverse perinatal outcome, compared to those without, median serum PlGF MoM was lower (0.44; interquartile range (IQR), 0.30-0.82 vs 0.60; IQR, 0.36-1.07; P = 0.003), but median sFlt-1 MoM was not significantly different (P = 0.080). Multivariable regression analysis demonstrated that, in the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome, there was significant contribution from maternal risk factors and CPR MoM but not PlGF MoM or sFlt-1 MoM. The performance of screening for adverse perinatal outcome achieved by maternal risk factors alone (DR of 28.9% at FPR of 10%) was not improved by the addition of CPR (DR of 33.8% at FPR of 10%) (area under the curve, 0.702; 95% CI, 0.654-0.750 vs 0.712; 95% CI, 0.664-0.760; P = 0.233). CONCLUSION Serum PlGF and sFlt-1, measured within 24 h prior to induction of labor, do not provide a significant additional contribution to maternal risk factors in the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Syngelaki A, Hammami A, Bower S, Zidere V, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Diagnosis of fetal non-chromosomal abnormalities on routine ultrasound examination at 11-13 weeks' gestation. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 54:468-476. [PMID: 31408229 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20844] [Citation(s) in RCA: 124] [Impact Index Per Article: 24.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2019] [Revised: 08/08/2019] [Accepted: 08/11/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine the performance of the routine 11-13-week scan in detecting fetal non-chromosomal abnormalities. METHODS This was a retrospective study of prospectively collected data from 100 997 singleton pregnancies attending for a routine ultrasound examination of fetal anatomy, performed according to a standardized protocol, at 11-13 weeks' gestation. All continuing pregnancies had an additional scan at 18-24 weeks and 71 754 had a scan at either 30-34 or 35-37 weeks. The final diagnosis of fetal abnormality was based on the results of postnatal examination in cases of live birth and on the findings of the last ultrasound examination in cases of pregnancy termination, miscarriage or stillbirth. The performance of the 11-13-week scan in the detection of fetal abnormalities was determined. RESULTS The study population contained 1720 (1.7%) pregnancies with a fetal abnormality, including 474 (27.6%) detected on the first-trimester scan, 926 (53.8%) detected on the second-trimester scan and 320 (18.6%) detected in the third trimester or postnatally. At 11-13 weeks' gestation, we diagnosed all cases of acrania, alobar holoprosencephaly, encephalocele, tricuspid or pulmonary atresia, pentalogy of Cantrell, ectopia cordis, exomphalos, gastroschisis and body-stalk anomaly and > 50% of cases of open spina bifida, hypoplastic left heart syndrome, atrioventricular septal defect, complex heart defect, left atrial isomerism (interrupted inferior vena cava with normal intracardiac anatomy), lower urinary tract obstruction, absence of extremities, fetal akinesia deformation sequence and lethal skeletal dysplasia. Common abnormalities that were detected in < 10% of cases at 11-13 weeks included ventriculomegaly, agenesis of the corpus callosum, isolated cleft lip, congenital pulmonary airway malformation, ventricular septal defect, abdominal cysts, unilateral renal agenesis or multicystic kidney, hydronephrosis, duplex kidney, hypospadias and talipes. CONCLUSIONS A routine 11-13-week scan, carried out according to a standardized protocol, can identify many severe non-chromosomal fetal abnormalities. A summary statistic of the performance of the first-trimester scan is futile because some abnormalities are always detectable, whereas others are either non-detectable or sometimes detectable. To maximize prenatal detection of abnormalities, additional scans in both the second and third trimesters are necessary. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Nicolaides KH, Wright D. Re: Prediction of pre-eclampsia: review of reviews. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 54:564-565. [PMID: 31584230 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20852] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2019] [Accepted: 08/11/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
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Akolekar R, Panaitescu AM, Ciobanu A, Syngelaki A, Nicolaides KH. Two-stage approach for prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonate and adverse perinatal outcome by routine ultrasound examination at 35-37 weeks' gestation. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 54:484-491. [PMID: 31271475 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20391] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/2019] [Revised: 06/14/2019] [Accepted: 06/17/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Justification of prenatal screening for small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses near term is based on, first, evidence that such fetuses/neonates are at increased risk of stillbirth and adverse perinatal outcome, and, second, the expectation that these risks can be reduced by medical interventions, such as early delivery. However, there are no randomized studies demonstrating that routine screening for SGA fetuses and appropriate interventions in the high-risk group can reduce adverse perinatal outcome. Before such meaningful studies can be undertaken, it is essential that the best approach for effective identification of SGA neonates is determined, and that the contribution of SGA neonates to the overall rate of adverse perinatal outcome is established. In a previous study of pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, we found that, first, screening by estimated fetal weight (EFW) < 10th percentile provided poor prediction of SGA neonates and, second, prediction of > 85% of SGA neonates requires use of EFW < 40th percentile. OBJECTIVES To examine the contribution of SGA fetuses to the overall rate of adverse perinatal outcome and, to propose a two-stage approach for prediction of a SGA neonate at routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. METHODS This was a prospective study of 45 847 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. First, we examined the relationship between birth-weight percentile and adverse perinatal outcome, defined as stillbirth, neonatal death or admission to the neonatal unit for ≥ 48 h. Second, we used a two-stage approach for prediction of a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome; in the first stage, fetal biometry was used to distinguish between pregnancies at very low risk (EFW ≥ 40th percentile) and those at increased risk (EFW < 40th percentile) and, in the second stage, the pregnancies with EFW < 40th percentile were stratified into high-, intermediate- and low-risk groups based on the results of EFW and pulsatility index in the uterine arteries, umbilical artery and fetal middle cerebral artery. Different percentiles of EFW and Doppler indices were used to define each risk category, and the performance of screening for a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies delivered at ≤ 2, 2.1-4 and > 4 weeks after assessment was determined. We propose that the high-risk group would require monitoring from initial assessment to delivery, the intermediate-risk group would require monitoring from 2 weeks after initial assessment to delivery, the low-risk group would require monitoring from 4 weeks after initial assessment to delivery, and the very low-risk group would not require any further reassessment. RESULTS First, although in neonates with low birth weight (< 10th percentile) the risk of adverse perinatal outcome is increased, 84% of adverse perinatal events occur in the group with birth weight ≥ 10th percentile. Second, in screening by EFW < 10th percentile, the predictive performance for a SGA neonate is modest for those born at ≤ 2 weeks after assessment (83% and 69% for neonates with birth weight < 3rd and < 10th percentiles, respectively), but poor for those born at 2.1-4 weeks (65% and 45%, respectively) and > 4 weeks (40% and 30%, respectively) after assessment. Third, improved performance of screening, especially for those delivered at > 2 weeks after assessment, is potentially achieved by a proposed new approach for stratifying pregnancies into management groups based on findings of EFW and Doppler indices (prediction of birth weight < 3rd and < 10th percentiles for deliveries at ≤ 2, 2.1-4 and > 4 weeks after assessment: 89% and 75%, 83% and 74%, and 88% and 82%, respectively). Fourth, the predictive performance for adverse perinatal outcome of EFW < 10th percentile is very poor (26%, 9% and 5% for deliveries at ≤ 2, 2.1-4 and > 4 weeks after assessment, respectively) and this is improved by the proposed new approach (31%, 22% and 29%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS This study presents an approach for stratifying pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation into four management groups based on findings of EFW and Doppler indices. This approach potentially has a higher predictive performance for a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome than that of screening by EFW < 10th percentile. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Khan N, Ciobanu A, Karampitsakos T, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Prediction of large-for-gestational-age neonate by routine third-trimester ultrasound. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 54:326-333. [PMID: 31236963 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20377] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2019] [Revised: 06/14/2019] [Accepted: 06/17/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES First, to evaluate and compare the performance of routine ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) and fetal abdominal circumference (AC) at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 and 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of a large-for-gestational-age (LGA) neonate born at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation. Second, to assess the additive value of fetal growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks' gestation to the performance of EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for prediction of a LGA neonate. Third, to define the predictive performance for a LGA neonate of different EFW cut-offs on routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Fourth, to propose a two-stage strategy for identifying pregnancies with a LGA fetus that may benefit from iatrogenic delivery during the 38th gestational week. METHODS This was a retrospective study. First, data from 21 989 singleton pregnancies that had undergone routine ultrasound examination at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation and 45 847 that had undergone routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks were used to compare the predictive performance of EFW and AC for a LGA neonate with birth weight > 90th and > 97th percentiles born at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation. Second, data from 14 497 singleton pregnancies that had undergone routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation and had a previous scan at 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 weeks were used to determine, through multivariable logistic regression analysis, whether addition of growth velocity, defined as the difference in EFW Z-score or AC Z-score between the early and late third-trimester scans divided by the time interval between the scans, improved the performance of EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks in the prediction of delivery of a LGA neonate at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation. Third, in the database of the 45 847 pregnancies that had undergone routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, the screen-positive and detection rates for a LGA neonate born at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation and ≤ 10 days after the initial scan were calculated for different EFW percentile cut-offs between the 50th and 90th percentiles. RESULTS First, the areas under the receiver-operating characteristics curves (AUC) of screening for a LGA neonate were significantly higher using EFW Z-score than AC Z-score and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 than at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation (P < 0.001 for all). Second, the performance of screening for a LGA neonate achieved by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks was not significantly improved by addition of EFW growth velocity or AC growth velocity. Third, in screening by EFW > 90th percentile at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, the predictive performance for a LGA neonate born at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was modest (65% and 46% for neonates with birth weight > 97th and > 90th percentiles, respectively, at a screen-positive rate of 10%), but the performance was better for prediction of a LGA neonate born ≤ 10 days after the scan (84% and 71% for neonates with birth weight > 97th and > 90th percentiles, respectively, at a screen-positive rate of 11%). Fourth, screening by EFW > 70th percentile at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation predicted 91% and 82% of LGA neonates with birth weight > 97th and > 90th percentiles, respectively, born at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, at a screen-positive rate of 32%, and the respective values of screening by EFW > 85th percentile for prediction of a LGA neonate born ≤ 10 days after the scan were 88%, 81% and 15%. On the basis of these results, it was proposed that routine fetal biometry at 36 weeks' gestation is a screening rather than diagnostic test for fetal macrosomia and that EFW > 70th percentile should be used to identify pregnancies in need of another scan at 38 weeks, at which those with EFW > 85th percentile should be considered for iatrogenic delivery during the 38th week. CONCLUSIONS First, the predictive performance for a LGA neonate by routine ultrasonographic examination during the third trimester is higher if the scan is carried out at 36 than at 32 weeks, the method of screening is EFW than fetal AC, the outcome measure is birth weight > 97th than > 90th percentile and if delivery occurs within 10 days than at any stage after assessment. Second, prediction of a LGA neonate by EFW > 90th percentile is modest and this study presents a two-stage strategy for maximizing the prenatal prediction of a LGA neonate. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Andrade WS, Brizot ML, Francisco RPV, Tannuri AC, Syngelaki A, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Fetal intra-abdominal bowel dilation in prediction of complex gastroschisis. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 54:376-380. [PMID: 31264279 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20367] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2019] [Revised: 05/28/2019] [Accepted: 06/03/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate intra-abdominal bowel dilation (IABD) in the prediction of complex gastroschisis. METHODS This was a retrospective study of 174 singleton pregnancies with isolated fetal gastroschisis, resulting in live birth and with available ultrasound images from visits at both 20-22 and 30-32 weeks' gestation. IABD was measured as the greatest transverse diameter of the most dilated intra-abdominal bowel segment, by an operator blinded to postnatal outcome. The distribution of IABD measurements in those with complex and those with simple gastroschisis was determined and the best cut-off value to predict complex gastroschisis was selected using receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves. The area under the ROC curve (AUC), detection rate (DR), false-positive rate (FPR), positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were determined. RESULTS The study population included 39 (22.4%) cases of complex and 135 (77.6%) cases of simple gastroschisis. In the prediction of complex gastroschisis, the AUC at 20-22 weeks' gestation was 0.742 (95% CI, 0.628-0.856) and the respective value for 30-32 weeks was 0.820 (95% CI, 0.729-0.910). At the IABD cut-off of 7 mm at 20-22 weeks, DR, FPR, PPV and NPV for complex gastroschisis were 61.5%, 6.7%, 72.7% and 89.4%, respectively, and at IABD cut-off of 14 mm at 30-32 weeks, the respective values were 64.9%, 5.9%, 75.0% and 90.7%. CONCLUSION Measurement of IABD at 20-22 or at 30-32 weeks' gestation is useful in the prediction of complex gastroschisis. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Ling HZ, Guy GP, Bisquera A, Poon LC, Nicolaides KH, Kametas NA. Maternal hemodynamics in screen-positive and screen-negative women of the ASPRE trial. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 54:51-57. [PMID: 30246326 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20125] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2018] [Revised: 09/11/2018] [Accepted: 09/13/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To compare maternal hemodynamics and perinatal outcome, in pregnancies that do not develop pre-eclampsia (PE) or deliver a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate, between those identified at 11-13 weeks' gestation as being screen positive or negative for preterm PE, by a combination of maternal factors, mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index, serum placental growth factor and pregnancy associated plasma protein-A. METHODS This was a prospective longitudinal cohort study of maternal cardiovascular function, assessed using a bioreactance method, in women undergoing first-trimester screening for PE. Maternal hemodynamics and perinatal outcome were compared between screen-positive and screen-negative women who did not have a medical comorbidity, did not develop PE or pregnancy-induced hypertension and delivered at term a live neonate with birth weight between the 5th and 95th percentiles. A multilevel linear mixed-effects model was used to compare the repeated measures of cardiac variables, controlling for maternal characteristics. RESULTS The screen-negative group (n = 926) had normal cardiac function changes across gestation, whereas the screen-positive group (n = 170) demonstrated static or reduced cardiac output and stroke volume and higher mean arterial pressure and peripheral vascular resistance with advancing gestation. In the screen-positive group, compared with screen-negative women, birth-weight Z-score was shifted toward lower values, with prevalence of delivery of a neonate below the 35th , 30th or 25th percentile being about 70% higher, and the rate of operative delivery for fetal distress in labor also being higher. CONCLUSION Women who were screen positive for impaired placentation, even though they did not develop PE or deliver a SGA neonate, had pathological cardiac adaptation in pregnancy and increased risk of adverse perinatal outcome. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Ciobanou A, Jabak S, De Castro H, Frei L, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Biomarkers of impaired placentation at 35-37 weeks' gestation in the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 54:79-86. [PMID: 31100188 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20346] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2019] [Revised: 05/13/2019] [Accepted: 05/13/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the potential value of uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and serum levels of the angiogenic placental growth factor (PlGF) and the antiangiogenic factor soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) in the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) and non-SGA neonates at 35-37 weeks' gestation. METHODS This was a prospective observational study of 19 209 singleton pregnancies attending for a routine hospital visit at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. This visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, sonographic estimation of fetal weight, color Doppler ultrasound for measurement of mean UtA-PI, and measurement of serum concentrations of PlGF and sFlt-1. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was carried out to determine which of the factors from maternal or pregnancy characteristics and measurements of UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1 provided a significant contribution in the prediction of each of four adverse outcome measures: first, stillbirth; second, Cesarean delivery for suspected fetal compromise in labor; third, neonatal death or hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy Grade 2 or 3; and, fourth, admission to the neonatal unit (NNU) for ≥ 48 h. Predicted probabilities from logistic regression analysis were used to construct receiver-operating characteristics curves to assess the performance of screening for these adverse outcomes. RESULTS First, 83% of stillbirths, 82% of Cesarean sections for presumed fetal compromise in labor, 91% of cases of neonatal death or hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy and 86% of NNU admissions for ≥ 48 h occurred in pregnancies with a non-SGA neonate. Second, UtA-PI > 95th percentile, sFlt-1 > 95th percentile and PlGF < 5th percentile were associated with increased risk of Cesarean delivery for suspected fetal compromise in labor and NNU admission for ≥ 48 h; the number of stillbirths and cases of neonatal death or hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy was too small to demonstrate significance in the observed differences from cases without these adverse outcomes. Third, multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that, in the prediction of Cesarean delivery for suspected fetal compromise in labor, there was no significant contribution from biomarkers; the prediction of NNU admission for ≥ 48 h by maternal demographic characteristics and medical history was only marginally improved by the addition of sFlt-1 or PlGF. Fourth, for each biomarker, the detection rate of adverse outcome was higher in SGA than in non-SGA neonates, but this increase was accompanied by an increase in false-positive rate. Fifth, the relative risk of UtA-PI > 95th , sFlt-1 > 95th and PlGF < 5th percentiles for most adverse outcomes was < 2.5 in both SGA and non-SGA neonates. CONCLUSIONS In pregnancies undergoing routine antenatal assessment at 35-37 weeks' gestation, measurements of UtA-PI, sFlt-1 or PlGF provide poor prediction of adverse perinatal outcome in both SGA and non-SGA fetuses. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Sanz Cortes M, Lapa DA, Acacio GL, Belfort M, Carreras E, Maiz N, Peiro JL, Lim FY, Miller J, Baschat A, Sepulveda G, Davila I, Gielchinsky Y, Benifla M, Stirnemann J, Ville Y, Yamamoto M, Figueroa H, Simpson L, Nicolaides KH. Proceedings of the First Annual Meeting of the International Fetoscopic Myelomeningocele Repair Consortium. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:855-863. [PMID: 31169957 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20308] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
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Galeva S, Gil MM, Konstantinidou L, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. First-trimester screening for trisomies by cfDNA testing of maternal blood in singleton and twin pregnancies: factors affecting test failure. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:804-809. [PMID: 30977206 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20290] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2019] [Revised: 04/05/2019] [Accepted: 04/08/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine factors affecting the rate of failure to obtain a result from cell-free DNA (cfDNA) testing of maternal blood for fetal trisomies 21, 18 and 13 in singleton and twin pregnancies in the first trimester. METHODS This was a prospective study of 23 495 singleton and 928 twin pregnancies undergoing screening for fetal trisomy by targeted cfDNA testing at 10 + 0 to 14 + 1 weeks' gestation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine significant predictors of failure to obtain a result after first sampling. RESULTS There was no result from cfDNA testing after first sampling in 3.4% (798/23 495) of singletons, 11.3% (91/806) of dichorionic twins and 4.9% (6/122) of monochorionic twins. Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the risk of test failure, first, increased with increasing maternal age (odds ratio (OR), 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04) and weight (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.04-1.05), decreasing gestational age (OR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.79-0.91), serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) multiples of the median (MoM) (OR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.49-0.65) and free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) MoM (OR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.60-0.74), second, was higher in women of black (OR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.33-2.20) and South Asian (OR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.56-2.52) than those of white racial origin, in dichorionic twin than in singleton pregnancy (OR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.34-2.26) and in pregnancies conceived by in-vitro fertilization than in those conceived naturally (OR, 3.82; 95% CI, 3.19-4.55) and, third, was lower in parous than in nulliparous women (OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.55-0.74). CONCLUSIONS Maternal age, weight, racial origin and parity, gestational age, dichorionicity, method of conception and serum levels of free β-hCG and PAPP-A are independent predictors of cfDNA test failure. The risk of test failure is higher in dichorionic twin than in singleton pregnancies, mainly because a higher proportion of twins are conceived by in-vitro fertilization and more of the women are nulliparous. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Gil MM, Galeva S, Jani J, Konstantinidou L, Akolekar R, Plana MN, Nicolaides KH. Screening for trisomies by cfDNA testing of maternal blood in twin pregnancy: update of The Fetal Medicine Foundation results and meta-analysis. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:734-742. [PMID: 31165549 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20284] [Citation(s) in RCA: 54] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2019] [Revised: 03/12/2019] [Accepted: 03/14/2019] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To report on the routine clinical implementation of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) analysis of maternal blood for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 in twin pregnancy and to define the performance of the test by combining our results with those identified in a systematic review of the literature. METHODS The data for the prospective study were derived from screening for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 in twin pregnancies at 10 + 0 to 14 + 1 weeks' gestation. Two populations were included; first, self-referred women to the Fetal Medicine Centre in London or Brugmann University Hospital in Brussels and, second, women selected for the cfDNA test after routine first-trimester combined testing at one of two National Health Service hospitals in England. This dataset was used to determine the performance of screening for the three trisomies. Search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL (The Cochrane Library), ClinicalTrials.gov and the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) was carried out to identify all peer-reviewed publications on clinical validation or implementation of maternal cfDNA testing for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 in twin pregnancy. A meta-analysis was then performed using our data and those in the studies identified by the literature search. RESULTS In our dataset of 997 twin pregnancies with a cfDNA result and known outcome, the test classified correctly 16 (94.1%) of the 17 cases of trisomy 21, nine (90.0%) of the 10 cases of trisomy 18, one (50.0%) of the two cases of trisomy 13 and 962 (99.4%) of the 968 cases without any of the three trisomies. The literature search identified seven relevant studies, excluding our previous papers because their data are included in the current study. In the combined populations of our study and the seven studies identified by the literature search, there were 56 trisomy-21 and 3718 non-trisomy-21 twin pregnancies; the pooled weighted detection rate (DR) and false-positive rate (FPR) were 98.2% (95% CI, 83.2-99.8%) and 0.05% (95% CI, 0.01-0.26%), respectively. In the combined total of 18 cases of trisomy 18 and 3143 non-trisomy-18 pregnancies, the pooled weighted DR and FPR were 88.9% (95% CI, 64.8-97.2%) and 0.03% (95% CI, 0.00-0.33%), respectively. For trisomy 13, there were only three affected cases and two (66.7%) of these were detected by the cfDNA test at a FPR of 0.19% (5/2569). CONCLUSIONS The performance of cfDNA testing for trisomy 21 in twin pregnancy is similar to that reported in singleton pregnancy and is superior to that of the first-trimester combined test or second-trimester biochemical testing. The number of cases of trisomies 18 and 13 is too small for accurate assessment of the predictive performance of the cfDNA test. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Ciobanu A, Khan N, Syngelaki A, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Routine ultrasound at 32 vs 36 weeks' gestation: prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:761-768. [PMID: 30883981 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20258] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2019] [Revised: 03/04/2019] [Accepted: 03/08/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate and compare the performance of routine ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) and fetal abdominal circumference (AC) at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 and 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate. METHODS This was a prospective study of 21 989 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation and 45 847 undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. In each case, the estimated fetal weight (EFW) from measurements of fetal head circumference, AC and femur length was calculated using the Hadlock formula and expressed as a percentile according to The Fetal Medicine Foundation fetal and neonatal population weight charts. The same charts were used for defining a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles. For each gestational-age window, the screen-positive and detection rates, at different EFW percentile cut-offs between the 10th and 50th percentiles, were calculated for prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristics curves (AUC) in screening for a SGA neonate by EFW and AC at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation were compared. RESULTS First, the AUCs in screening by EFW for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles delivered within 2 weeks and at any stage after screening at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation were significantly higher than those at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks (P < 0.001). Second, at both 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 and 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation, the predictive performance for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles born at any stage after screening was significantly higher using EFW Z-score than AC Z-score. Similarly, at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks, but not at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks, the predictive performance for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles born within 2 weeks after screening was significantly higher using EFW Z-score than AC Z-score. Third, screening by EFW < 10th percentile at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation predicted 70% and 84% of neonates with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles, respectively, born within 2 weeks after assessment, and the respective values for a neonate born at any stage after assessment were 46% and 65%. Fourth, prediction of > 85% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 10th percentile born at any stage after screening at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation requires use of EFW < 40th percentile. Screening at this percentile cut-off predicted 95% and 99% of neonates with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles, respectively, born within 2 weeks after assessment, and the respective values for a neonate born at any stage after assessment were 87% and 94%. CONCLUSIONS The predictive performance for a SGA neonate of routine ultrasonographic examination during the third trimester is higher if, first, the scan is carried out at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation than at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks, second, the method of screening is EFW than fetal AC, third, the outcome measure is birth weight < 3rd than < 10th percentile, and, fourth, if delivery occurs within 2 weeks than at any stage after assessment. Prediction of a SGA neonate by EFW < 10th percentile is modest and prediction of > 85% of cases at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation necessitates use of EFW < 40th percentile. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Ciobanu A, Anthoulakis C, Syngelaki A, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates at 35-37 weeks' gestation: contribution of maternal factors and growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:630-637. [PMID: 30912210 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20267] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2019] [Revised: 03/12/2019] [Accepted: 03/14/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To assess the additive value of fetal growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks' gestation to the performance of ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for prediction of delivery of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and adverse perinatal outcome. METHODS This was a prospective study of 14 497 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether addition of growth velocity, defined as the difference in EFW Z-score or abdominal circumference (AC) Z-score between the early and late third-trimester scans divided by the time interval between the scans, improved the performance of EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks in the prediction of, first, delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment and, second, a composite of adverse perinatal outcome, defined as stillbirth, neonatal death or admission to the neonatal unit for ≥ 48 h. RESULTS Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that significant contributors to the prediction of a SGA neonate were EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, fetal growth velocity, by either AC Z-score or EFW Z-score, and maternal risk factors. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) and detection rate (DR), at a 10% screen-positive rate, for prediction of a SGA neonate < 10th percentile born within 2 weeks after assessment achieved by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks (AUC, 0.938 (95% CI, 0.928-0.947); DR, 80.7% (95% CI, 77.6-83.9%)) were not significantly improved by addition of EFW growth velocity and maternal risk factors (AUC, 0.941 (95% CI, 0.932-0.950); P = 0.061; DR, 82.5% (95% CI, 79.4-85.3%)). Similar results were obtained when growth velocity was defined by AC rather than EFW. Similarly, there was no significant improvement in the AUC and DR, at a 10% screen-positive rate, for prediction of a SGA neonate < 10th percentile born at any stage after assessment or a SGA neonate < 3rd percentile born within 2 weeks or at any stage after assessment, achieved by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks by addition of maternal factors and either EFW growth velocity or AC growth velocity. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the only significant contributor to adverse perinatal outcome was maternal risk factors. Multivariable logistic regression analysis in the group with EFW < 10th percentile demonstrated that significant contribution to prediction of delivery of a neonate with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles and adverse perinatal outcome was provided by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks, but not by AC growth velocity < 1st decile. CONCLUSION The predictive performance of EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for delivery of a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome is not improved by addition of estimated growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks' gestation. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Benkő Z, Chaveeva P, de Paco Matallana C, Zingler E, Wright A, Wright D, Nicolaides KH. Validation of competing-risks model in screening for pre-eclampsia in twin pregnancy by maternal factors. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:649-654. [PMID: 30887621 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20265] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2019] [Accepted: 03/11/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine the predictive performance of the competing-risks model in screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) by maternal demographic characteristics and medical history in twin pregnancy, in a training dataset used for development of the model and a validation dataset. METHODS The data for this study were derived from two prospective non-intervention multicenter screening studies for PE in twin pregnancies at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation. The first study of 2219 women, which was reported previously, was used to develop the competing-risks model for prediction of PE and is therefore considered to be the training set. The validation study comprised 2999 women. Patient-specific risks of delivery with PE at < 34 (early), < 37 (preterm) and < 41 + 3 (all) weeks' gestation were calculated using the competing-risks model and the performance of screening for PE in the training and validation datasets was assessed. We examined the predictive performance of the model by, first, its ability to discriminate between the PE and no-PE groups using the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) and, second, calibration, which assesses agreement between the predicted risk and observed incidence of PE. RESULTS The incidence of early PE, preterm PE and all PE in the training and validation datasets was similar (1.8% vs 1.4%, 5.6% vs 5.6% and 7.7% vs 7.2%, respectively) and this was substantially higher than in our previous studies in singleton pregnancies. The training and validation datasets had similar AUCs for early PE (0.670 (95% CI, 0.593-0.747) vs 0.677 (95% CI, 0.594-0.760)), preterm PE (0.666 (95% CI, (0.617-0.715) vs 0.652 (95% CI, 0.609-0.694)) and all PE (0.656 (95% CI, 0.615-0.697) vs 0.644 (95% CI, 0.606-0.682)). Calibration plots of the predictive performance of the competing-risks model demonstrated that, in both the training and validation datasets, the observed incidence of PE was lower than the predicted one and such overestimation of risk was particularly marked for early PE. CONCLUSIONS Discrimination and calibration of the competing-risks model for PE in a validation dataset are consistent with those in the training dataset. However, the model needs to be adjusted to correct the observed overestimation of risk for early PE. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Regan F, Lees CC, Jones B, Nicolaides KH, Wimalasundera RC, Mijovic A. Prenatal Management of Pregnancies at Risk of Fetal Neonatal Alloimmune Thrombocytopenia (FNAIT): Scientific Impact Paper No. 61. BJOG 2019; 126:e173-e185. [PMID: 30968555 DOI: 10.1111/1471-0528.15642] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
WHAT IS IT?: Fetal neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia (FNAIT), also known as neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia (NAIT) or fetomaternal alloimmune thrombocytopenia (FMAIT), is a rare condition which affects a baby's platelets. This can put them at risk of problems with bleeding, particularly into the brain. One baby per week in the UK may be seriously affected and milder forms can affect one in every 1000 births. HOW IS IT CAUSED?: Platelets are blood cells that are very important in helping blood to clot. All platelets have natural proteins on their surface called human platelet antigens (HPAs). In babies, half of these antigens are inherited from the mother and half from the father. During pregnancy, some of the baby's platelets can cross into the mother's bloodstream. In most cases, this does not cause a problem. But in cases of FNAIT, the mother's immune system does not recognise the baby's HPAs that were inherited from the father and develops antibodies, which can cross the placenta and attack the baby's platelets. These antibodies are called anti-HPAs, and the commonest antibody implicated is anti-HPA-1a, but there are other rarer antibody types. If this happens, the baby's platelets may be destroyed causing their platelet count to fall dangerously low. If the platelet count is very low there is a risk to the baby of bleeding into their brain before they are born. This is very rare but if it happens it can have serious effects on the baby's health. HOW IS IT INHERITED?: A baby inherits half of their HPAs from its mother and half from its father. Consequently, a baby may have different HPAs from its mother. As the condition is very rare, and even if the baby is at risk of the condition we have no way of knowing how severely they will be affected, routine screening is not currently recommended. WHAT CAN BE DONE?: FNAIT is usually diagnosed if a previous baby has had a low platelet count. The parents are offered blood tests and the condition can be confirmed or ruled out. There are many other causes of low platelets in babies, which may also need to be tested for. As the condition is so rare, expertise is limited to specialist centres and normally a haematologist and fetal medicine doctor will perform and interpret the tests together. Fortunately, there is an effective treatment for the vast majority of cases called immunoglobulin, or IVIg. This 'blood product' is given intravenously through a drip every week to women at risk of the condition. It may be started from as early as 16 weeks in the next pregnancy, until birth, which would be offered at around 36-37 weeks. Less common treatments that may be considered depending on individual circumstances include steroid tablets or injections, or giving platelet transfusions to the baby. WHAT DOES THIS PAPER TELL YOU?: This paper considers the latest evidence in relation to treatment options in the management of pregnancies at risk of FNAIT. Specifically, we discuss the role of screening, when IVIg should be started, what dose should be used, and what evidence there is for maternal steroids. We also consider in very rare selected cases, the use of fetal blood sampling and giving platelet transfusions to the baby before birth. Finally, we consider the approaches to blood testing mothers to tell if babies are at risk, which is offered in some countries, and development of new treatments to reduce the risk of FNAIT.
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MESH Headings
- Antigens, Human Platelet
- Female
- Fetal Diseases/genetics
- Fetal Diseases/prevention & control
- Fetal Diseases/therapy
- Genetic Testing
- Humans
- Immunoglobulins, Intravenous/therapeutic use
- Infant, Newborn
- Infant, Newborn, Diseases/genetics
- Infant, Newborn, Diseases/therapy
- Integrin beta3
- Mass Screening/methods
- Medical History Taking
- Platelet Count
- Pregnancy
- Prenatal Care/methods
- Thrombocytopenia, Neonatal Alloimmune/diagnosis
- Thrombocytopenia, Neonatal Alloimmune/genetics
- Thrombocytopenia, Neonatal Alloimmune/prevention & control
- Thrombocytopenia, Neonatal Alloimmune/therapy
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Ciobanu A, Wright A, Syngelaki A, Wright D, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Fetal Medicine Foundation reference ranges for umbilical artery and middle cerebral artery pulsatility index and cerebroplacental ratio. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:465-472. [PMID: 30353583 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 99] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2018] [Revised: 10/15/2018] [Accepted: 10/16/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To develop gestational age-based reference ranges for the pulsatility index in the umbilical artery (UA-PI) and fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA-PI) and the cerebroplacental ratio (MCA-PI/UA-PI), and to examine the maternal characteristics and medical history that affect these measurements. METHODS This was a cross-sectional study of 72 387 pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 20 + 0 to 22 + 6 weeks' gestation (n = 3712), 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks (n = 29 035), 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks (n = 37 252) or 41 + 0 to 41 + 6 weeks (n = 2388). For the purpose of this study, we included data for only one of the second- or third-trimester visits. The inclusion criteria were singleton pregnancy, dating by fetal crown-rump length at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation, live birth of a morphologically normal neonate and ultrasonographic measurements by sonographers who had received the Fetal Medicine Foundation Certificate of Competence in Doppler ultrasound. Since the objectives of the study were to establish reference ranges, rather than normal ranges, and to examine factors from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect these measurements, we included all pregnancies having routine ultrasound examinations, irrespective of whether the mother had a pre-existing medical condition, such as diabetes mellitus, or a pregnancy complication, such as pre-eclampsia or suspected fetal growth restriction. Median and SD models were fitted between UA-PI, MCA-PI and CPR and gestational age. Assessment of goodness of fit of the models was by inspection of quantile-to-quantile (Q-Q) plots of Z-scores calculated using the mean and SD models. The distributions of MCA-PI, UA-PI and CPR Z-scores were examined in relation to maternal characteristics and medical history. RESULTS The relationship between the median and gestational age was linear for UA-PI and cubic for MCA-PI and CPR and the SD was log quadratic for all three. MCA-PI and CPR increased with gestational age from 20 weeks' gestation to reach a peak at around 32 and 34 weeks, respectively, and decreased thereafter, whereas UA-PI decreased linearly with gestational age from 20 to 42 weeks. Compared to the general population, significant deviations in multiples of the median values of UA-PI, MCA-PI and CPR were observed in subgroups of maternal age, body mass index, racial origin, method of conception and parity. CONCLUSION This study established new reference ranges for UA-PI, MCA-PI and CPR, according to gestational age, and reports maternal characteristics and medical history that affect these measurements. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Fiolna M, Kostiv V, Anthoulakis C, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Prediction of adverse perinatal outcome by cerebroplacental ratio in women undergoing induction of labor. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:473-480. [PMID: 30426578 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20173] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2018] [Revised: 10/31/2018] [Accepted: 11/01/2018] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the performance of screening for adverse perinatal outcome by the cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) measured within 24 h prior to induction of labor. METHODS This was a prospective observational study of 1902 singleton pregnancies undergoing induction of labor at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation. Doppler ultrasound was used to measure the pulsatility index (PI) in the umbilical artery (UA) and fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) within 24 h before induction of labor. The measured UA-PI and MCA-PI and their ratio were converted to multiples of the median after adjustment for gestational age. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether CPR improved the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome provided by maternal characteristics, medical history and obstetric factors. The detection rate (DR) and false-positive rate (FPR) of screening by CPR were estimated for Cesarean section for presumed fetal distress and adverse neonatal outcome, which included umbilical arterial or venous cord blood pH ≤ 7 and ≤ 7.1, respectively, 5-min Apgar score < 7, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit for > 24 h or hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy. RESULTS A combination of maternal and pregnancy characteristics, including age, weight, racial origin, previous obstetric history, pre-eclampsia, gestational age at delivery and amniotic fluid volume, identified 39% of pregnancies requiring Cesarean section for fetal distress at a FPR of 10%; addition of CPR did not improve the performance of screening. In screening for adverse neonatal outcome by a combination of parity and CPR, the DR was 17% at a FPR of 10%. CONCLUSION Low CPR, measured within 24 h prior to induction of labor, is associated with increased risk of Cesarean section for fetal distress and adverse neonatal outcome, but the performance of CPR for such surrogate measures of fetal hypoxic morbidity is poor. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Ciobanu A, Formuso C, Syngelaki A, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates at 35-37 weeks' gestation: contribution of maternal factors and growth velocity between 20 and 36 weeks. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:488-495. [PMID: 30779239 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20243] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2019] [Revised: 02/13/2019] [Accepted: 02/15/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To evaluate the performance of ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of delivery of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and assess the additive value of, first, maternal risk factors and, second, fetal growth velocity between 20 and 36 weeks' gestation in improving such prediction. METHODS This was a prospective study of 44 043 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19 + 0 to 23 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether addition of maternal risk factors and growth velocity, the latter defined as the difference in EFW Z-score or fetal abdominal circumference (AC) Z-score between the third- and second-trimester scans divided by the time interval between the scans, improved the performance of EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks in the prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment. RESULTS Screening by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation predicted 63.4% (95% CI, 62.0-64.7%) of neonates with birth weight < 10th percentile and 74.2% (95% CI, 72.2-76.1%) of neonates with birth weight < 3rd percentile born at any stage after assessment, at a screen-positive rate of 10%. The respective values for SGA neonates born within 2 weeks after assessment were 76.8% (95% CI, 74.4-79.0%) and 81.3% (95% CI, 78.2-84.0%). For a desired 90% detection rate of SGA neonate delivered at any stage after assessment, the necessary screen-positive rate would be 33.7% for SGA < 10th percentile and 24.4% for SGA < 3rd percentile. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that, in the prediction of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles, there was a significant contribution from EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, maternal risk factors and AC growth velocity, but not EFW growth velocity. However, the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve for prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate by screening with maternal risk factors and EFW Z-score was not improved by addition of AC growth velocity. CONCLUSION Screening for SGA neonates by EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation and use of the 10th percentile as the cut-off predicts 63% of affected neonates. Prediction of 90% of SGA neonates necessitates classification of about 35% of the population as being screen positive. The predictive performance of EFW is not improved by addition of estimated growth velocity between the second and third trimesters of pregnancy. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Galeva S, Konstantinidou L, Gil MM, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Routine first-trimester screening for fetal trisomies in twin pregnancy: cell-free DNA test contingent on results from combined test. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:208-213. [PMID: 30353581 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20160] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/01/2018] [Accepted: 10/16/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To report on the routine clinical implementation of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) analysis of maternal blood for trisomies 21, 18 and 13, contingent on the results of the first-trimester combined test in twin pregnancy. METHODS Screening for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 was carried out in 959 twin pregnancies by assessment of a combination of maternal age, fetal nuchal translucency thickness, and serum free β-human chorionic gonadotropin and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A at 11-13 weeks' gestation in two UK NHS hospitals. Women in the high-risk group (risk ≥ 1 in 100) were offered the option of invasive testing, cfDNA testing or no further testing, and those in the intermediate-risk group (risk 1 in 101 to 1 in 2500 in the first phase of the study and 1 in 101 to 1 in 500 in the second phase) were offered cfDNA or no further testing. The trisomic status of the pregnancies was determined by prenatal or postnatal karyotyping or examination of the neonates. RESULTS In 42 (4.4%) of the 959 pregnancies, there was termination, miscarriage or stillbirth with no known karyotype or there was loss to follow-up. The 917 pregnancies with known trisomic status of both twins included six that were discordant for trisomy 21, four that were discordant for trisomy 18 and 907 with no trisomy 21, 18 or 13. Following combined screening, 47 (5.1%), 203 (22.1%) and 667 (72.7%) of the pregnancies were classified as high risk, intermediate risk and low risk, respectively. The high-risk group included five (83.3%) cases of trisomy 21 and three (75.0%) of trisomy 18. The cfDNA test was carried out in 224 pregnancies and results were provided in 214 (95.5%); this group included six pregnancies with trisomy 21, three with trisomy 18 and 206 with no trisomy 21, 18 or 13. The cfDNA test classified correctly as screen positive all six cases of trisomy 21 and two of the three with trisomy 18, and as screen negative for each of the trisomies all 206 unaffected pregnancies. Contingent screening led to prenatal detection of all cases of trisomy 21 and three of four with trisomy 18. CONCLUSION This study has demonstrated the feasibility of introducing cfDNA testing, contingent on the results of the first-trimester combined test for major trisomies, in a routine population of twin pregnancies. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Ashoor Al Mahri G, Nicolaides KH. Evolution in screening for Down syndrome. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2019. [DOI: 10.1111/tog.12534] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
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Fantasia I, Andrade W, Syngelaki A, Akolekar R, Nicolaides KH. Impaired placental perfusion and major fetal cardiac defects. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:68-72. [PMID: 30334326 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20149] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/24/2018] [Revised: 10/08/2018] [Accepted: 10/10/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the relationship between fetal congenital heart defects (CHD) and placental perfusion assessed by uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), in relation to development of pre-eclampsia (PE). METHODS This was a prospective screening study of singleton pregnancies at 19-24 weeks' gestation. Transvaginal ultrasound was used to measure UtA-PI and the values were converted into multiples of the normal median (MoM). Median MoM values in pregnancies with a fetus with isolated major CHD were compared to those without CHD, in relation to development of PE. RESULTS The 91 407 singleton pregnancies fulfilling the entry criteria included 206 (0.23%) with isolated major fetal CHD and 91 201 without CHD. The prevalence of PE was 4.4% in pregnancies with fetal CHD and 2.7% in those without CHD (relative risk (RR), 1.6 (95% CI, 0.84-3.04); P = 0.150); the respective values for preterm PE with delivery at < 37 weeks' gestation were 2.4% and 0.7% (RR, 3.4 (95% CI, 1.42-8.09); P = 0.006). In the total population, median UtA-PI MoM was significantly higher in those that developed PE compared to those without PE (1.22 (interquartile range (IQR), 0.94-1.57) vs 1.00 (IQR, 0.84-1.19); P < 0.0001) and, in the PE group, the median UtA-PI MoM was inversely related to gestational age at delivery (r = -0.458; P < 0.0001). The same pattern of inverse relationship between UtA-PI MoM and gestational age at delivery with PE was observed in pregnancies with and those without CHD, but, in the CHD group, compared to those without CHD, UtA-PI was significantly higher both in pregnancies with and in those without PE. CONCLUSIONS In pregnancies both with and without fetal CHD that develop PE, impedance to flow in the UtAs is increased and this increase is particularly marked in those with preterm PE. The prevalence of preterm PE is more than three times higher in pregnancies with than those without fetal major CHD, and the prevalence of major CHD in pregnancies with preterm PE is also more than three times higher than in those without PE. However, > 97% of pregnancies with fetal CHD do not develop preterm PE and > 99% of pregnancies with preterm PE are not associated with fetal CHD. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Panaiotova J, Tokunaka M, Krajewska K, Zosmer N, Nicolaides KH. Screening for morbidly adherent placenta in early pregnancy. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2019; 53:101-106. [PMID: 30199114 DOI: 10.1002/uog.20104] [Citation(s) in RCA: 51] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2018] [Revised: 08/10/2018] [Accepted: 08/12/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To estimate the diagnostic accuracy of a two-stage strategy for early prediction of morbidly adherent placenta (MAP). In the first stage, at 11-13 weeks' gestation, women with low-lying placenta and history of uterine surgery are classified as being at high risk for MAP and, in the second stage, at 12-16 weeks, these high-risk pregnancies are assessed at a specialist MAP clinic. METHODS This was a prospective study in women having an ultrasound scan at 11-13 weeks' gestation as a part of routine pregnancy care. Women with low-lying placenta and a history of uterine surgery were followed up at a specialist MAP clinic at 12-16 weeks' gestation, 20-24 weeks and 28-34 weeks. At each visit to the MAP clinic, an ultrasound scan was carried out and the following features suggestive of MAP were recorded: non-visible Cesarean section scar; bladder wall interruption; thin retroplacental myometrium; presence of intraplacental lacunar spaces; presence of retroplacental arterial-trophoblastic blood flow; and irregular placental vascularization demonstrated by three-dimensional power Doppler. RESULTS Screening at 11-13 weeks was carried out in 22 604 singleton pregnancies, 1298 (6%) of which were considered to be at high risk of MAP because they had previous uterine surgery and low-lying placenta. At the MAP clinic at 12-16 weeks, the diagnosis of MAP was suspected in 14 cases and this was confirmed at delivery in 13. In the rest of the population, there were no cases of MAP. CONCLUSION Accurate prediction of MAP can be achieved by ultrasound examination at 12-16 weeks' gestation. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Roberts LA, Ling HZ, Poon LC, Nicolaides KH, Kametas NA. Maternal hemodynamics, fetal biometry and Doppler indices in pregnancies followed up for suspected fetal growth restriction. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2018; 52:507-514. [PMID: 29607557 DOI: 10.1002/uog.19067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2017] [Revised: 03/18/2018] [Accepted: 03/27/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To assess whether, in a cohort of patients with a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetus with estimated fetal weight ≤ 10th percentile, maternal hemodynamics, fetal biometry and Doppler indices at presentation can predict the subsequent development of an abnormal fetal Doppler index or delivery of a baby with birth weight < 3rd percentile. METHODS This was a prospective observational cohort study conducted at a specialist clinic for the management of pregnancies with a SGA fetus at King's College Hospital, London, UK. The study population comprised 86 singleton pregnancies with a SGA fetus, presenting at a median gestational age of 32 (range, 26-35) weeks. We measured maternal cardiac function using a non-invasive transthoracic bioreactance monitor, as well as mean arterial pressure, fetal biometry, and umbilical artery (UA), fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) and uterine artery (UtA) pulsatility indices (PI), and the deepest vertical pool of amniotic fluid. Z-scores of these variables were calculated based on reported reference ranges and the values were compared between pregnancies with evidence of an abnormal fetal Doppler index at presentation (Group 1), those that had developed an abnormal Doppler index at a subsequent visit (Group 2) and those that did not develop an abnormal Doppler index throughout pregnancy (Group 3). Abnormal fetal Doppler was defined as UA-PI > 95th percentile and/or MCA-PI < 5th percentile. Differences in measured variables at presentation were also compared between pregnancies delivering a baby with birth weight < 3rd percentile and those delivering a baby with birth weight ≥ 3rd percentile. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine significant predictors of birth weight < 3rd percentile and evolution from normal to abnormal fetal Doppler. RESULTS In the study population, 14 (16%) cases were in Group 1, 19 (22%) in Group 2 and 53 (62%) in Group 3. Birth weight was < 3rd percentile in 39 (45%) cases and ≥ 3rd percentile in 47 (55%). There was decreased cardiac output and stroke volume and increased peripheral vascular resistance compared with a normal population, and the deviations from normal were most marked in Group 1. Pregnancies with birth weight < 3rd percentile, compared with those with birth weight ≥ 3rd percentile, had greater deviations from normal in fetal biometry, maternal cardiac output, stroke volume, heart rate, peripheral vascular resistance and UtA-PI. Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that, in the prediction of birth weight < 3rd percentile, maternal hemodynamic profile provided significant improvement to the prediction provided by maternal demographics, fetal biometry, UtA-PI, UA-PI and MCA-PI (difference between areas under receiver-operating characteristics curves, 0.18 (95% CI, 0.06-0.29); P = 0.002). In contrast, there was no significant independent contribution from maternal hemodynamics in the prediction of the subsequent development of abnormal fetal Doppler. CONCLUSIONS In pregnancies with a SGA fetus, there is decreased maternal cardiac output and stroke volume and increased peripheral vascular resistance, and the deviations from normal are most marked in cases of redistribution in the fetal circulation and reduced amniotic fluid volume. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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