Subtyping of uncultured bartonellae using sequence comparison of 16 S/23 S rRNA intergenic spacer regions amplified directly from infected blood

This study aimed to assess the usefulness of a PCR-based approach to the detection and differentiation of Bartonella strains in infected blood. The conservation of potential genus-specific PCR primer hybridisation sites within the 16 S/23 S rRNA gene intragenic spacer regions of Bartonella species was confirmed following sequence analysis of the intragenic spacer regions of four previously untested species. The extent of intra-species variation within the specific amplicons was assessed by comparison of sequences obtained from 17 strains of four Bartonella species. Eight sequence variants were obtained. Each species for which multiple strains were tested possessed at least two intragenic spacer regions variants, but the differences between these strains were markedly less than those observed inter-species. Sequence analysis was performed on 60 amplicons obtained from blood pellets collected from woodland rodent communities in which bartonella infections were known to be highly prevalent. Twelve variants were encountered, only five of which had been found among the studied isolates. Partial intragenic spacer region amplification followed by product sequence analysis offers a potentially sensitive and totally transferable means of inter- and intra-species differentiation of Bartonella strains, and its use in this study has broadened our knowledge of the genotypic spectrum of bartonellae associated with natural infections among UK woodland rodents.

Transmission dynamics of a zoonotic pathogen within and between wildlife host species

The transmission dynamics of the cowpox virus infection have been quantified in two mixed populations of bank voles (Clethrionomys glareolus) and wood mice (Apodemus sylvaticus), through analyses of detailed time-series of the numbers of susceptible, infectious and newly infected individuals. The cowpox virus is a zoonosis which circulates in these rodent hosts and has been shown to have an adverse effect on reproductive output. The transmission dynamics within species is best described as frequency dependent rather than density dependent, contrary to the 'mass action' assumption of most previous studies, both theoretical and empirical. Estimation of a transmission coefficient for each species in each population also allows annual and seasonal variations in transmission dynamics to be investigated through an analysis of regression residuals. Transmission between host species is found to be negligible despite their close cohabitation. The consequences of this for the combining ability of hosts as zoonotic reservoirs, and for apparent competition between hosts, are discussed.

Persistence of tick-borne virus in the presence of multiple host species: tick reservoirs and parasite mediated competition

Tick-borne viruses in tropical and temperate parts of the world have a significant impact on human, livestock and wildlife hosts both directly, through mortality/morbidity, and economically. Since the ticks have multiple life stages and can utilize a large range of host species our understanding of the dynamics of these infections is often not clear. In this paper we consider the impact of a population which is a tick host but non-viraemic on one which is both a tick host and viraemic. We present two simple deterministic models and use joint threshold density curves to illustrate the basic reproductive ratios of both the ticks and the virus. We find that the non-viraemic hosts can have considerable impact on the viraemic host. Either they amplify the tick population and cause the virus to persist, or they dilute the infection and cause it to die out. A general model framework is presented here but a special case of this model describes the red grouse-hare-Louping-ill system.

Cowpox: reservoir hosts and geographic range

It is generally accepted that the reservoir hosts of cowpox virus are wild rodents, although direct evidence for this is lacking for much of the virus's geographic range. Here, through a combination of serology and PCR, we demonstrate conclusively that the main hosts in Great Britain are bank voles, wood mice and short-tailed field voles. However, we also suggest that wood mice may not be able to maintain infection alone, explaining the absence of cowpox from Ireland where voles are generally not found. Infection in wild rodents varies seasonally, and this variation probably underlies the marked seasonal incidence of infection in accidental hosts such as humans and domestic cats.

A model of disease and vaccination for infections with acute and chronic phases

A general model is presented of a disease in which both recovered and vaccinated individuals are protected from acute disease, but are still susceptible to chronic infection. The special threshold conditions for the establishment and persistence of such a disease are derived and explained in full. The efficacies of alternative vaccination strategies are detailed and a specific example of such a disease is given by examining feline calicivirus (FCV), a cause of upper respiratory tract disease in cats.

The effect of cowpox virus infection on fecundity in bank voles and wood mice

Although epidemic infectious diseases are a recognized cause of changes in host population dynamics, there is little direct evidence for the effect of endemic infections on populations. Cowpox virus is an orthopoxvirus which is endemic in bank voles (Clethrionomys glareolus), wood mice (Apodemus sylvaticus) and field voles (Microtus agrestis) in Great Britain. It does not cause obvious signs of disease nor does it affect survival, but in this study we demonstrate experimentally that it can reduce the fecundity of bank voles and wood mice by increasing the time to first litter by 20-30 days. The pathogenic mechanisms causing this effect are at present not known, but this finding suggests that natural subclinical infection could have a considerable effect on the dynamics of wild populations.

Cowpox in British voles and mice

Serosurveys indicate that bank voles, field voles and woodmice are probably reservoir hosts of cowpox virus in western Europe, although virus has not yet been isolated from these species. In this study, bank voles, field voles, woodmice and laboratory mice were shown to be susceptible to combined intradermal and subcutaneous inoculation with 3-20 plaque-forming units (pfu) of cowpox virus. Bank and field voles, but not laboratory mice, were also susceptible to combined oral and nasal inoculation with 50 pfu. Few clinical signs were seen and virus was generally recovered only from inoculation sites. Bank voles were not susceptible to injection of ectromelia virus (5000 pfu) into the skin (as described above). These results provide information on which further pathogenesis and transmission studies can be based, and support the view that the orthopoxvirus antibody detected in British wild voles and woodmice indicates infection with cowpox virus. However, further investigation of the pathogenesis of cowpox in these species is needed to understand better the epidemiology of the disease.

Host-pathogen systems in a spatially patchy environment

A discrete model for a host-pathogen system is developed and is used to represent the dynamics in each patch within a landscape of n x n patches. These patches are linked by between-generation dispersal to neighbouring patches. Important results (compared to similar 'coupled map lattice' studies) include an increase in the likelihood of metapopulation extinction if the natural loss of pathogen particles is low, and the observation of a radial wave pattern (not previously reported) where the wavefront propagates uniformly from a central focus. This result has additional significance in that it permits the system to exhibit 'intermittency' between two quasi-stable spatial patterns: spirals and radial waves. With intermittent behaviour, the dynamics may look consistent when viewed at one time scale, but over a longer time scale they can alter dramatically and repeatedly between the two patterns. There is also evidence of clear links between spatial structure and temporal metapopulation behaviour in both the intermittent and 'pure' regions, verified by results from an algorithmic complexity measure and a spectral analysis of the temporal dynamics.

Transmission dynamics of Bacillus thuringiensis infecting Plodia interpunctella: a test of the mass action assumption with an insect pathogen

Central to theoretical studies of host-pathogen population dynamics is a term describing transmission of the pathogen. This usually assumes that transmission is proportional to the density of infectious hosts or particles and of susceptible individuals. We tested this assumption with the bacterial pathogen Bacillus thuringiensis infecting larvae of Plodia interpunctella, the Indian meal moth. Transmission was found to increase in a more than linear way with host density in fourth and fifth instar P. interpunctella, and to decrease with the density of infectious cadavers in the case of fifth instar larvae. Food availability was shown to play an important part in this process. Therefore, on a number of counts, the usual assumption was found not to apply in our experimental system.

Life-history trade-offs and the evolution of pathogen resistance: competition between host strains

The dynamics of a 'resistant' and a 'susceptible' strain of a self-regulated host species, in the presence of a directly transmitted pathogen, is investigated. The two strains trade off differences in pathogen transmissibility (as an aspect of pathogen resistance) against differences in birth rate and/or resistance to crowding. Depending on parameter values, either strain may be eliminated, or the two may coexist (along with the pathogen). Coexistence (polymorphism), unsurprisingly, requires an appropriate balance between the different advantages possessed by the two strains. The probability of coexistence through such a balance, however, varies nonlinearly with the degree of difference between the strains: coexistence is least likely between two very similar strains. Resistance is most likely to evolve in hosts with the characteristics of many insect pests. Moreover, with highly pathogenic pathogens, a 'susceptible' strain may exclude a 'resistant' strain because its higher growth rate is more effective against the pathogen than reduced transmissibility. 'Resistance' can reside in parameters other than those directly associated with the pathogen. Although no cycles arise and no chaotic behaviour is found, an oscillatory approach to equilibrium is commonly observed, signalling the possibility of observable oscillations in strain frequency in the (more variable) real world.

Host-host-pathogen models and microbial pest control: the effect of host self regulation

A model has been investigated of the dynamics of the interaction between two hosts that are both attacked by a common pathogen with free-living infective stages, where the hosts are also subject to self-regulation. If either host interacted with the pathogen alone, two types of dynamics would be possible: an uninfected state where the host settles at its carrying capacity, and an infected state where the host settles at, or cycles around, a density lower than the carrying capacity. The three possible combination of two hosts have been investigated: uninfected-uninfected (both hosts uninfected if alone with the pathogen), infected-uninfected and infected-infected. A range of dynamics is generated, depending on parameter values, including infected co-existence of the two hosts (arrived at by a variety of routes), uninfected co-existence of the two hosts, exclusion of one host by the other which remains in an infected state, and a number of outcomes contingent on the initial densities in the system. Free-living infective stages make uninfected co-existence more likely and introduce additional contingency into the dynamics. The implications for microbial pest control are into the dynamics. The implications for microbial pest control are markedly different from those derived from related models without host self-regulation. There appears to be little chance of a non-target host undermining pest control, relatively little chance of the non-target enhancing pest control and a small but non-negligible threat to non-targets when parameter values are appropriate. The application of the results is commended but great caution is urged.

The population dynamics of microparasites and vertebrate hosts: the importance of immunity and recovery

The models of Anderson and May on the dynamics of vertebrate (1979, Nature 280, 361-367) and invertebrate (1981, Philos, Trans. R. Soc. 291, 451-524) populations and their microparasites have been extended and elaborated. Hence, in a series of models the effects of a range of biological factors have been considered. These models taken together clarify in particular the effects of recovery from the disease back to a state of susceptibility and the additional effects of recovery to a state of immunity. In general recovery increases both the threshold density and the equilibrium density but does not alter the prevalence of infection or the region in parameter space in which the host is regulated. Immunity causes a further increase in the equilibrium density, does not alter either the prevalence of infection or the threshold density, but reduces the region in which there is regulation. In both cases exceptions tend to occur when there is density dependence.