Sociodemographic characteristics of cigarette smoking initiation in the United States. Implications for smoking prevention policy

Cigarette smoking initiation greatly influences smoking prevalence in the United States. To understand better the initiation of cigarette smoking, we estimated the age-specific incidence of cigarette smoking initiation in relation to race/ethnicity, sex, and educational attainment, using the reported age at smoking onset for 18- to 35-year-old respondents in the 1987 National Health Interview Survey (N = 14764) and the Hispanic Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (N = 3123) conducted during 1982 to 1984. Among white, black, and Hispanic respondents the incidence of smoking initiation increased rapidly after 11 years of age, reaching a peak in groups 17 to 19 years of age, rapidly declining in groups through age 25 years, and gradually declining thereafter. Age-specific smoking initiation rates were generally lower among black than white respondents, similar between white and Hispanic respondents, and appreciably higher among black and Hispanic men than women. Compared with persons who graduated from high school, persons with less than high school education were consistently more likely to start smoking cigarettes during childhood and adolescence. These data indicate that age and educational attainment are the factors most consistently associated with cigarette smoking initiation among all race/ethnic groups in the United States. These data also emphasize the need for smoking-prevention education beginning at an early age, particularly among persons of low socioeconomic status.

Depression and the dynamics of smoking. A national perspective

Data from multiple studies suggest that depression plays a role in cigarette smoking. To obtain a national perspective on the role of depression in the dynamics of smoking, we analyzed data from the first National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Epidemiologic Follow-up Study. We used the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale to assess symptoms of depression and used the standard cutoff (score, greater than or equal to 16) for defining persons as depressed. The cross-sectional analysis of the first National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey showed that the prevalence of current smokers increased as the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale score increased, whereas the quit ratio (former smokers/ever smokers) decreased as the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale score increased. Among the cohort of smokers in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Epidemiologic Follow-up Study, the estimated incidence of quitting after 9 years of follow-up was 9.9% for depressed smokers and 17.7% for nondepressed smokers. When we adjusted for amount smoked, sex, age, and educational attainment by means of a Cox proportional hazards model, we found that depressed smokers were 40% less likely to have quit compared with nondepressed smokers (relative risk, 0.6). These findings suggest that depression plays an important role in the dynamics of cigarette smoking in the United States.

Smoking and the risk of peptic ulcer disease among women in the United States

Although multiple studies support a causal relationship between smoking and peptic ulcers in men, data for women are limited. Therefore, we used data from the First National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Epidemiologic Follow-up Study, a nationally representative prospective study of US adults, to evaluate the impact of smoking on the incidence of peptic ulcers in women. The study cohort included 2851 women who had not been diagnosed as having a peptic ulcer prior to the baseline interview. Among these women, 140 (4.9%) developed peptic ulcer disease. During 12.5 years of follow-up, the estimated cumulative incidence of ulcers was 10.0% for current smokers, 6.4% for former smokers, and 5.4% for never smokers. After adjusting for age, education, regular aspirin use, coffee consumption, and use of alcohol, current smokers were 1.8 times more likely to develop ulcers than never smokers (95% confidence interval, 1.2 to 2.6); the risk of peptic ulcer increased as the amount smoked increased. During the time of this study, we estimate that approximately 20% of incident peptic ulcer cases among US women were attributable to cigarette smoking.

Screening mammography for women 50 years of age and older: practices and trends, 1987

Recently, public and private efforts have been mounted to promote screening mammography. To assess recent trends in the percentage of women 50 years of age and older who have had a screening mammogram, we analyzed data from interviews from women from 33 states who participated in the 1987 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. Our study group included 8,402 women 50 years of age and older who had visited a physician for a routine checkup in the last year; among these 8,402 women, only 29% reported having had a screening mammogram in the past year. However, of the women in the study group, the percentage who had a screening mammogram in the last year showed a relative increase of 38% during 1987, from 24% for women interviewed in the first quarter of 1987 to 33% for women interviewed in the fourth quarter. However, not all groups of patients benefited equally from the observed trend--the absolute and relative increases in the percentage of women screened were lowest for women who were older, less educated, in low-income groups, and who had poor personal health practices. Although the percentage of women 50 years of age and older who reported being screened increased dramatically during 1987, special efforts are needed to reach the patient groups that are being left behind in the trend toward increased use of screening mammograms.

Cigarette smoking: the clinician's role in cessation, prevention, and public health

Cigarette smoking is the most important preventable cause of illness and death in the United States, responsible for 390,000, or one sixth, of all deaths. Although smoking prevalence has decreased among adults, from 40% in 1965 to 29% in 1987, 49 million Americans continue to smoke. Smoking rates have declined at a slower rate among blacks, women, young people, and the less educated, groups that must be targeted for tobacco use prevention interventions. The clinician is uniquely positioned to reduce the enormous health toll from cigarette smoking. As a first step, physicians are urged to assess tobacco use during every patient visit by making smoking status a new vital sign. Although 85% of all smokers quit on their own, physicians can greatly facilitate this process. A brief intervention for physicians to help their smoking patients quit, based on a program of the National Cancer Institute, is presented. This program includes asking about smoking status during every clinic visit, advising all smoking patients to quit, assisting smokers by setting a quit date and using nicotine gum, if appropriate, and arranging follow-up with smokers who try to quit. Cessation rates of 5% to 25%, sustained for at least 1 year, are consistent with a successful, physician-mediated intervention program. Physicians are also urged to prevent smoking initiation among adolescents, particularly young girls and those not aspiring to attend college. Physicians can also reduce the enormous toll of tobacco use by acting at the public health and public policy levels. Recording tobacco use as a contributing or the underlying cause on death certificates, if appropriate, will assist in public health surveillance. Also, clinicians are urged to work at the organizational, community, and governmental levels to promote tobacco-free environments.

The 10-year incidence of overweight and major weight gain in US adults

We estimated the 10-year incidence of major weight gain (a gain in body mass index of greater than or equal to 5 kg/m2 and overweight (a body mass index of greater than or equal to 27.8 for men and greater than or equal to 27.3 for women) in US adults using data from the First National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Epidemiologic Follow-up Study. Persons aged 25 to 74 years at baseline were reweighed a decade after their initial examination (men, 3727; women, 6135). The incidence of major weight gain was twice as high in women and was highest in persons aged 25 to 34 years (men, 3.9%; women, 8.4%). Initially overweight women aged 25 to 44 years had the highest incidence of major weight gain of any subgroup (14.2%). For person not overweight at baseline (men, 2760; women, 4295), the incidence of becoming overweight was similar in both sexes and was highest in those aged 35 to 44 years (men, 16.3%; women, 13.5%). We conclude that obesity prevention should begin among adults in their early 20s and that special emphasis is needed for young women who are already overweight.

A comparison of alcohol sales data with survey data on self-reported alcohol use in 21 states

We used data from 21 states that participated in the 1985 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System to compare state-specific per capita self-reported alcohol consumption and the prevalence of three drinking behaviors with state-specific per capita sales. The correlation coefficient for per capita sales and per capita self-reported consumption for the 21 states was 0.81. Per capita sales were also significantly correlated with the prevalence of self-reported heavier drinking, binge drinking, and drinking and driving; the corresponding correlation coefficients were 0.74, 0.59, and 0.51. These findings suggest that states with higher per capita sales of alcohol also have higher rates of self-reported consumption and drinking patterns suggestive of high-risk behavior.

Liver cancer in Wisconsin: the potential for prevention

In this study liver cancer deaths that could be attributed to certain risk factors were calculated. Applying population attributable risk methodology, the attributable risk of liver cancer was estimated for alcohol use, hepatitis B viral exposure, and occupational and industrial exposures. We found that these three risk factors accounted for 38% of liver cancer mortality in Wisconsin; 29% was attributable to alcohol consumption, 7% to occupational exposures, and 2% to hepatitis B viral infection. More than half of liver cancer mortality, however, was not accounted for by the three risk factors studied.

State-specific progress toward the 1990 objective for the nation for cigarette smoking prevalence

We predicted the smoking prevalences for 1990 for each state in the US, assuming that the decline in each state from 1985-1990 would be the same as the decline in the US from 1965-1985. In 1985, only three states had smoking prevalences less than 25 percent. Based upon the observed decline in smoking in the US from 1965-1985 of 0.5 percent per year, we predict that only seven states will have smoking prevalences less than 25 percent by 1990. States need to consider current smoking prevalence and achievable rates of decline when setting objectives for 1990 and beyond.

The epidemiology of drinking and driving: results from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 1986. Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Group

Alcohol-related motor vehicle crashes result in thousands of deaths and serious injuries each year. For effective intervention in this problem, it is important to understand the epidemiology of "drinking and driving." To study this behavior, we analyzed the self-reports of 34,395 respondents in the 26 states conducting behavioral risk factor surveillance during 1986. An estimated 4.1% of the survey population and 7.2% of drinkers reported drinking and driving at least once in the month before the survey. In general, the prevalence of drinking and driving was highest among men, young adults, and divorced or separated persons. States with the highest prevalence of drinking and driving tended to cluster in the north-central region of the United States. In 15 states conducting surveillance from 1984 to 1986, the overall prevalence of drinking and driving changed little during this period. However, among persons less than 25-years old, the prevalence decreased. Efforts to deter drinking and driving are likely to reduce the number of motor vehicle crashes and should include both legal sanctions and greater public education about the dangers of this behavior.

Dietary and weight control practices among persons with hypertension: findings from the 1986 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveys

The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute has concluded that reducing sodium intake, controlling weight, and moderating alcohol consumption can help patients with hypertension control their blood pressure. To determine whether such patients have adopted recommended dietary practices, we analyzed data collected in 1986 from telephone surveys of adults in 26 states (no. = 34,395). The self-reported dietary practices that we evaluated were: use of table salt, alcohol consumption, and weight control practices. In comparison with persons who did not have hypertension (no. = 26,848), those with hypertension who were receiving pharmacological therapy ("treated hypertensives," no. = 5,025) were more likely to report limiting their use of table salt (odds ratio [OR] = 2.5) and were less likely to have their weight controlled (OR = 0.4). Although overweight persons with hypertension were more likely than persons with normal blood pressure to attempt to lose weight, most have not included exercise in their weight loss efforts. There was no difference between persons who do not have hypertension and treated patients with hypertension in their use of alcohol. Untreated persons with hypertension (no. = 2,378) were less likely to limit their use of table salt and less likely to moderate their use of alcohol than treated persons with hypertension but otherwise reported similar dietary practices. Dietetic practitioners may need to emphasize moderation of alcohol use and the use of physical activity to lose weight when counseling patients with hypertension.

Long-term age-specific prevalence of cigarette smoking among Hispanics in the United States

To investigate trends in the prevalence of cigarette smoking among different age groups of Mexican-Americans, Cuban-Americans, and Puerto Rican-Americans, the smoking histories of 8,286 adults and adolescents from the 1982-83 Hispanic Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (HHANES) were evaluated. Age-specific prevalence rate curves were constructed by using the estimated smoking rates among 8-, 18-, 28-, 38-, 48-, and 58-year-olds from 1923 to 1983. Age-specific rates were higher for men than for women. However, rates declined over time among all age groups of Mexican-American men, and among Cuban-American and Puerto Rican-American men older than 18 years. In contrast, rates for Mexican-American women did not change appreciably over time, but they increased markedly for 28- and 38-year-old Cuban-American women and most age groups of Puerto Rican-American women. These results suggest that rates of cigarette smoking among Hispanic women are beginning to converge with those of Hispanic men, and that rates of smoking initiation among Cuban-American boys and Puerto Rican-American boys and girls have either remained unchanged or increased markedly over time.

Chronic disease mortality and risk factors in Wisconsin, 1986

"Of the ten leading causes of death in the United States, at least seven could be substantially reduced if persons at risk improved just five habits: diet, smoking, lack of exercise, alcohol abuse, and the use of antihypertensive medication."

Epidemiological model and cost-effectiveness analysis of tuberculosis treatment programmes in Indonesia

An epidemiological model of tuberculosis, based on the natural history of tuberculosis and the control programmes in Indonesia, was constructed. This model was used for estimating future tuberculosis-prevented cases and costs for three treatment strategies--the 100% standard course, the 100% short course, and the existing strategy (a combination of 65% standard course and 35% short course)--in accordance with the master plan of the Indonesian Government's tuberculosis control programme. A cost-effectiveness analysis of the three strategies confirmed that the short-course strategy was the most cost-effective. Sensitivity analysis, which applied a broad range of parameters, continued to confirm the short-course strategy as the most cost-effective. If the short-course strategy had been applied in 1980 instead of the existing strategy (using the most likely parameters), the short-course strategy would prevent 1.8 million sputum-positive cases and would save 61.0 million dollars by the year 2000.