Hypothermia outcome prediction after extracorporeal life support for hypothermic cardiac arrest patients: The HOPE score

Quality Indicators for Avalanche Victim Management and Rescue

Decisions in the management and rescue of avalanche victims are complex and must be made in difficult, sometimes dangerous, environments. Our goal was to identify indicators for quality measurement in the management and rescue of avalanche victims. The International Commission for Mountain Emergency Medicine (ICAR MedCom) convened a group of internal and external experts. We used brainstorming and a five-round modified nominal group technique to identify the most relevant quality indicators (QIs) according to the National Quality Forum Measure Evaluation Criteria. Using a consensus process, we identified a set of 23 QIs to measure the quality of the management and rescue of avalanche victims. These QIs may be a valuable tool for continuous quality improvement. They allow objective feedback to rescuers regarding clinical performance and identify areas that should be the foci of further quality improvement efforts in avalanche rescue.

Management of hypothermic submersion associated cardiac arrest in a 5-year-old child: A case report

We report a case of severe accidental hypothermia (core body temperature of 26.8 °C) in a five-year-old boy due to submersion in freezing lake water. The child was brought to the hospital intubated, in cardiac arrest rhythm of pulseless electrical activity and with dilated and nonreactive pupils. We continued with cardiopulmonary resuscitation and administrated adrenaline in boluses (10 μg/kg) and infusion (0.2 μg/kg/min). Spontaneous circulation returned after 50 minutes. Rewarming was performed with minimally invasive techniques. Post resuscitation he was admitted to the intensive care unit, where he required venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation due to respiratory failure. He was discharged from the hospital neurologically intact and without organ damage on day 17 post arrest.

Clinician miscalibration of survival estimate in hypothermic cardiac arrest: HOPE-estimated survival probabilities in extreme cases

AIM

Patients with hypothermic cardiac arrest may survive with an excellent outcome after extracorporeal life support rewarming (ECLSR). The HOPE (Hypothermia Outcome Prediction after ECLS) score is recommended to guide the in-hospital decision on whether or not to initiate ECLSR in patients in cardiac arrest following accidental hypothermia. We aimed to assess the HOPE-estimated survival probabilities for a set of survivors of hypothermic cardiac arrest who had extreme values for the variables included in the HOPE score.

METHODS

Survivors were identified and selected through a systematic literature review including case reports. We calculated the HOPE score for each patient who presented extraordinary clinical parameters.

RESULTS

We identified 12 such survivors. The HOPE-estimated survival probability was ≥10% for all (n = 11) patients for whom we were able to calculate the HOPE score.

CONCLUSION

Our study confirms the robustness of the HOPE score for outliers and thus further confirms its external validity. These cases also confirm that hypothermic cardiac arrest is a fundamentally different entity than normothermic cardiac arrest. Using HOPE for extreme cases may support the proper calibration of a clinician's prognosis and therapeutic decision based on the survival chances of patients with accidental hypothermic cardiac arrest.

Hypothermic Cardiac Arrest - Retrospective cohort study from the International Hypothermia Registry

AIM

The International Hypothermia Registry (IHR) was created to increase knowledge of accidental hypothermia, particularly to develop evidence-based guidelines and find reliable outcome predictors. The present study compares hypothermic patients with and without cardiac arrest included in the IHR.

METHODS

Demographic, pre-hospital and in-hospital data, method of rewarming and outcome data were collected anonymously in the IHR between 2010 and 2020.

RESULTS

Two hundred and one non-consecutive cases were included. The major causeof hypothermia was mountain accidents, predominantly in young men. Hypothermic Cardiac Arrest (HCA) occurred in 73 of 201 patients. Core temperature was significantly lower in the patients in cardiac arrest (25.0 vs. 30.0 °C, p < 0.001). One hundred and fifteen patients were rewarmed externally (93% with ROSC), 53 by extra-corporeal life support (ECLS) (40% with ROSC) and 21 with invasive internal techniques (71% with ROSC). The overall survival rate was 95% for patients with preserved circulation and 36% for those in cardiac arrest. Witnessed cardiac arrest and ROSC before rewarming were positive outcome predictors, asphyxia, coagulopathy, high potassium and lactate negative outcome predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

This first analysis of 201 IHR patients with moderate to severe accidental hypothermia shows an excellent 95% survival rate for patients with preserved circulation and 36% for HCA patients. Witnessed cardiac arrest, restoration of spontaneous circulation, low potassium and lactate and absence of asphyxia were positive survival predictors despite hypothermia in young, healthy adults after mountaineering accidents. However, accidental hypothermia is a heterogenous entity that should be considered in both treatment strategies and prognostication.

Case Report: Left Ventricular Unloading Using a Mechanical CPR Device in a Prolonged Accidental Hypothermic Cardiac Arrest Treated by VA-ECMO - a Novel Approach

We recently treated a 36-year-old previously healthy male with a prolonged hypothermic (lowest temperature 22.3°C) cardiac arrest after an alcohol intoxication with a return of spontaneous circulation after 230min of mechanical cardiopulmonary resuscitation and rewarming by veno-arterial ECMO with femoral cannulation and retrograde perfusion of the aortic arch. Despite functional veno-arterial ECMO, we continued mechanical cardiopulmonary resuscitation (Auto Pulse™ device, ZOLL Medical Corporation, Chelmsford, USA) until return of spontaneous circulation to prevent left ventricular distention from persistent ventricular fibrillation. The case was further complicated by extensive trauma caused by mechanical cardiopulmonary resuscitation (multiple rib fractures, significant hemothorax, and a liver laceration requiring massive transfusion), lung failure necessitating a secondary switch to veno-venous ECMO, and acute kidney injury with the need for renal replacement therapy. Shortly after return of spontaneous circulation, the patient was already following commands and could be discharged 3 weeks later without neurologic, cardiac, or renal sequelae and being entirely well. Prolonged accidental hypothermic cardiac arrest might present with excellent outcomes when supported with veno-arterial ECMO. Until return of spontaneous circulation, one might consider continuing with mechanical cardiopulmonary resuscitation in addition to ECMO to allow some left ventricular unloading. However, the clinician should keep in mind that prolonged mechanical cardiopulmonary resuscitation may cause severe injuries.

[Cardiac arrest under special circumstances]

These guidelines of the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) Cardiac Arrest under Special Circumstances are based on the 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Science with Treatment Recommendations. This section provides guidelines on the modifications required for basic and advanced life support for the prevention and treatment of cardiac arrest under special circumstances; in particular, specific causes (hypoxia, trauma, anaphylaxis, sepsis, hypo-/hyperkalaemia and other electrolyte disorders, hypothermia, avalanche, hyperthermia and malignant hyperthermia, pulmonary embolism, coronary thrombosis, cardiac tamponade, tension pneumothorax, toxic agents), specific settings (operating room, cardiac surgery, cardiac catheterization laboratory, dialysis unit, dental clinics, transportation [in-flight, cruise ships], sport, drowning, mass casualty incidents), and specific patient groups (asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, neurological disease, morbid obesity, pregnancy).

Survival probability in avalanche victims with long burial (≥60 min): A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The survival of completely buried victims in an avalanche mainly depends on burial duration. Knowledge is limited about survival probability after 60 min of complete burial.

AIM

We aimed to study the survival probability and prehospital characteristics of avalanche victims with long burial durations.

METHODS

We retrospectively included all completely buried avalanche victims with a burial duration of ≥60 min between 1997 and 2018 in Switzerland. Data were extracted from the registry of the Swiss Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research and the prehospital medical records of the physician-staffed helicopter emergency medical services. Avalanche victims buried for ≥24 h or with an unknown survival status were excluded. Survival probability was estimated by using the non-parametric Ayer-Turnbull method and logistic regression. The primary outcome was survival probability.

RESULTS

We identified 140 avalanche victims with a burial duration of ≥60 min, of whom 27 (19%) survived. Survival probability shows a slight decrease with increasing burial duration (23% after 60 min, to <6% after 1400 min, p = 0.13). Burial depth was deeper for those who died (100 cm vs 70 cm, p = 0.008). None of the survivors sustained CA during the prehospital phase.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall survival rate of 19% for completely buried avalanche victims with a long burial duration illustrates the importance of continuing rescue efforts. Avalanche victims in CA after long burial duration without obstructed airway, frozen body or obvious lethal trauma should be considered to be in hypothermic CA, with initiation of cardiopulmonary resuscitation and an evaluation for rewarming with extracorporeal life support.

Resuscitation of Severe Accidental Hypothermia to Normal Neurologic Outcome With Use of Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation

Accidental hypothermia is a condition associated with significant morbidity and mortality. A 48-year-old male with a history of alcohol use disorder and optic neuropathy presented to the emergency department after being found unresponsive with an unknown downtime. One hundred four minutes passed from resuscitation, to pre-hospital discovery, until cannulation with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. Here, a rare case of successful resuscitation of a profoundly hypothermic patient to normal neurologic outcome is presented.

[Paediatric Life Support]

The European Resuscitation Council (ERC) Paediatric Life Support (PLS) guidelines are based on the 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Science with Treatment Recommendations of the International Liaison Committee on Resuscitation (ILCOR). This section provides guidelines on the management of critically ill or injured infants, children and adolescents before, during and after respiratory/cardiac arrest.

Rewarming From Hypothermic Cardiac Arrest Applying Extracorporeal Life Support: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Introduction: This systematic review and meta-analysis aims at comparing outcomes of rewarming after accidental hypothermic cardiac arrest (HCA) with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) or/and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Material and Methods: Literature searches were limited to references with an abstract in English, French or German. Additionally, we searched reference lists of included papers. Primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge. We assessed neurological outcome, differences in relative risks (RR) of surviving, as related to the applied rewarming technique, sex, asphyxia, and witnessed or unwitnessed HCA. We calculated hypothermia outcome prediction probability score after extracorporeal life support (HOPE) in patients in whom we found individual data. P < 0.05 considered significant. Results: Twenty-three case observation studies comprising 464 patients were included in a meta-analysis comparing outcomes of rewarming with CPB or/and ECMO. One-hundred-and-seventy-two patients (37%) survived to hospital discharge, 76 of 245 (31%) after CPB and 96 of 219 (44 %) after ECMO; 87 and 75%, respectively, had good neurological outcomes. Overall chance of surviving was 41% higher (P = 0.005) with ECMO as compared with CPB. A man and a woman had 46% (P = 0.043) and 31% (P = 0.115) higher chance, respectively, of surviving with ECMO as compared with CPB. Avalanche victims had the lowest chance of surviving, followed by drowning and people losing consciousness in cold environments. Assessed by logistic regression, asphyxia, unwitnessed HCA, male sex, high initial body temperature, low pH and high serum potassium (s-K+) levels were associated with reduced chance of surviving. In patients displaying individual data, overall mean predictive surviving probability (HOPE score; n = 134) was 33.9 ± 33.6% with no significant difference between ECMO and CPB-treated patients. We also surveyed 80 case reports with 96 victims of HCA, who underwent resuscitation with CPB or ECMO, without including them in the meta-analysis. Conclusions: The chance of surviving was significantly higher after rewarming with ECMO, as compared to CPB, and in patients with witnessed compared to unwitnessed HCA. Avalanche victims had the lowest probability of surviving. Male sex, high initial body temperature, low pH, and high s-K+ were factors associated with low surviving chances.

The use of minimal invasive extracorporeal circulation for rewarming after accidental hypothermia and circulatory arrest

BACKGROUND

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation has become a recommended treatment option for patients with severe hypothermia with cardiac arrest. Minimal invasive extracorporeal circulation (MiECC) may offer advantages over the current standard extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO).

METHODS

Retrospective cohort analysis of hospital database for patients with accidental hypothermia and extracorporeal rewarming with MiECC admitted between 2010 and 2019.

RESULTS

Overall, six of 17 patients survived to hospital discharge. Eleven patients suffered accidental hypothermia in an alpine and six in an urban setting. Sixteen patients arrived at the hospital under ongoing cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). CPR time was 90 minutes (0-150). Four patients survived from an alpine setting and two from an urban setting with CPR duration of 90 minutes (0-150) and 85 minutes (25-100), respectively. Asphyctic patients tended to have lower survival (one of seven patients). Two patients of six with major trauma survived.

CONCLUSION

MiECC for extracorporeal rewarming from severe accidental hypothermia is a feasible alternative to ECMO, with comparable survival rates.

Impact of rescue collapse on mortality rate in severe accidental hypothermia: A matched-pair analysis

AIM

To assess the impact of the occurrence of cardiac arrest associated with initial management on the outcome of severely hypothermic patients who were rewarmed with Extracorporeal Life Support (ECLS).

METHODS

We collected the individual data of patients in a state of severe accidental hypothermia who were found with spontaneous circulation and rewarmed with ECLS, from cardiac surgery departments. Patients were divided into two groups: those with a subsequent cardiac arrest (RC group); and those with the retained circulation (HT3 group), and compared by using a matched-pair analysis. The mortality rates and the neurological status in survivors were compared as the main outcomes. The difference in the risk of death between the HT3 and RC groups was calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 124 patients were included into the study: 45 in the HT3 group and 79 in the RC group. The matched cohorts consisted of 45 HT3 patients and 45 RC patients. The mortality rate in both groups was 24% and 49% (p = 0.02) respectively; the relative risk of death was 2.0 (p = 0.02). ICU length of stay was significantly longer in the RC group (p < 0.001). Factors associated with survival in the HT3 group included patient age, rewarming rate, and blood BE; while in the RC group, patient age and lactate concentration.

CONCLUSIONS

The occurrence of rescue collapse is linked to a doubling of the risk of death in severely hypothermic patients. Procedures which are known as potential triggers of rescue collapse should be performed with special attention, including in conscious patients.

European Resuscitation Council Guidelines 2021: Paediatric Life Support

These European Resuscitation Council Paediatric Life Support (PLS) guidelines, are based on the 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Science with Treatment Recommendations. This section provides guidelines on the management of critically ill infants and children, before, during and after cardiac arrest.

European Resuscitation Council Guidelines 2021: Cardiac arrest in special circumstances

These European Resuscitation Council (ERC) Cardiac Arrest in Special Circumstances guidelines are based on the 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Science with Treatment Recommendations. This section provides guidelines on the modifications required to basic and advanced life support for the prevention and treatment of cardiac arrest in special circumstances; specifically special causes (hypoxia, trauma, anaphylaxis, sepsis, hypo/hyperkalaemia and other electrolyte disorders, hypothermia, avalanche, hyperthermia and malignant hyperthermia, pulmonary embolism, coronary thrombosis, cardiac tamponade, tension pneumothorax, toxic agents), special settings (operating room, cardiac surgery, catheter laboratory, dialysis unit, dental clinics, transportation (in-flight, cruise ships), sport, drowning, mass casualty incidents), and special patient groups (asthma and COPD, neurological disease, obesity, pregnancy).

Clinical staging of accidental hypothermia: The Revised Swiss System: Recommendation of the International Commission for Mountain Emergency Medicine (ICAR MedCom)

Clinical staging of accidental hypothermia is used to guide out-of-hospital treatment and transport decisions. Most clinical systems utilize core temperature, by measurement or estimation, to stage hypothermia, despite the challenge of obtaining accurate field measurements. Recent studies have demonstrated that field estimation of core temperature is imprecise. We propose a revision of the original Swiss Staging system. The revised system uses the risk of cardiac arrest, instead of core temperature, to determine the staging level. Our revised system simplifies assessment by using the level of responsiveness, based on the AVPU scale, and by removing shivering as a stage-defining sign.

Unrecognized platelet physiology is the cause of rewarming deaths in accidental hypothermia and neonatal cold injury

BACKGROUND

The lack of improvement in prognosis of accidental hypothermia and neonatal cold injury suggests that a major cause of mortality has not been appreciated.

AIM OF THE ARTICLE

To show that thrombocytopenia that deepens on rewarming under certain conditions is that missing factor.

SCIENTIFIC BASIS

Below 34 °C the first stage of aggregation is accentuated, the platelets are more sensitive to ADP and aggregation studies show an increased response "first stage hyper aggregation". We have confirmed that the irreversible second stage of platelet aggregation does not occur below 34 °C. On rewarming, the first stage of aggregation is followed by disaggregation. When platelets are warmed to 34 °C the potential exists for the platelets to undergo an irreversible second stage of aggregation "second stage platelet hyper aggregation" that can cause a further drop in platelet count and a bleeding diathesis. This only occurs if the platelets have been sufficiently primed when cold and may not be appreciated if platelet counts are not followed.

SIGNIFICANCE OF THIS DATA AND CORRELATION WITH THE LITERATURE

This thesis explains many other open questions. Why has the overall prognosis remained without improvement over the last half century? Why hypothermic cardiac surgery is free of this problem? Why the depth of hypothermia is alone not prognostic? Has following platelet counts been associated with improved prognosis? Why cardiac arrest does not affect prognosis? Why some patients die suddenly after recovering from hypothermia? Why are so many different rewarming techniques used? Why is the prognosis better in hypothermic suicide attempts? What is the pathophysiological explanation for reversible sequestration of platelets to the liver and spleen in hypothermia? Is DIC (diffuse intravascular coagulation) a problem in hypothermia? And how this new approach could improve prognosis?

CONCLUSION

Prognosis can be improved by following platelet counts during rewarming. In patients with prolonged hypothermia, this will show a life-threatening drop in such counts easily treated by platelet infusion.

Machine learning-based prediction models for accidental hypothermia patients

Background

Accidental hypothermia is a critical condition with high risks of fatal arrhythmia, multiple organ failure, and mortality; however, there is no established model to predict the mortality. The present study aimed to develop and validate machine learning-based models for predicting in-hospital mortality using easily available data at hospital admission among the patients with accidental hypothermia.

Method

This study was secondary analysis of multi-center retrospective cohort study (J-point registry) including patients with accidental hypothermia. Adult patients with body temperature 35.0 °C or less at emergency department were included. Prediction models for in-hospital mortality using machine learning (lasso, random forest, and gradient boosting tree) were made in development cohort from six hospitals, and the predictive performance were assessed in validation cohort from other six hospitals. As a reference, we compared the SOFA score and 5A score.

Results

We included total 532 patients in the development cohort [N = 288, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality: 22.0% (64/288)], and the validation cohort [N = 244, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality 27.0% (66/244)]. The C-statistics [95% CI] of the models in validation cohorts were as follows: lasso 0.784 [0.717–0.851] , random forest 0.794[0.735–0.853], gradient boosting tree 0.780 [0.714–0.847], SOFA 0.787 [0.722–0.851], and 5A score 0.750[0.681–0.820]. The calibration plot showed that these models were well calibrated to observed in-hospital mortality. Decision curve analysis indicated that these models obtained clinical net-benefit.

Conclusion

This multi-center retrospective cohort study indicated that machine learning-based prediction models could accurately predict in-hospital mortality in validation cohort among the accidental hypothermia patients. These models might be able to support physicians and patient’s decision-making. However, the applicability to clinical settings, and the actual clinical utility is still unclear; thus, further prospective study is warranted to evaluate the clinical usefulness.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40560-021-00525-z.

Anesthetic Management of Successful Extracorporeal Resuscitation After Six Hours of Cardiac Arrest Due to Severe Accidental Hypothermia

Accidental hypothermia (AH) in Mediterranean countries often is underestimated. AH should be suspected in patients also in moderate climates throughout all seasons. Compared with other countries, the mortality rate due to AH in Spain is low, and hypothermia rarely is recognized and treated. The case of a patient who experienced cardiac arrest due to severe AH and was resuscitated for more than six hours using extracorporeal life support recently was published. Herein that case is reviewed, with the anesthetic management during cannulation detailed. In addition, the authors highlight how the application of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation guidelines is different in AH patients, how in-hospital (HOPE score) triage criteria should be applied, and how the establishment of clear standard operating procedures and education strategies should be promoted.

Effects of hypothermia, hypoxia, and hypercapnia on brain oxygenation and hemodynamic parameters during simulated avalanche burial: a porcine study

Avalanche patients who are completely buried but still able to breathe are exposed to hypothermia, hypoxia, and hypercapnia (triple H syndrome). Little is known about how these pathological changes affect brain physiology. The study aim was to investigate the effect of hypothermia, hypoxia, and hypercapnia on brain oxygenation and systemic and cerebral hemodynamics. Anesthetized pigs were surface cooled to 28°C. Fraction of inspiratory oxygen ([Formula: see text]) was reduced to 17% and hypercapnia induced. Hemodynamic parameters and blood gas values were monitored. Cerebral measurements included cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP), brain tissue oxygen tension ([Formula: see text]), cerebral venous oxygen saturation ([Formula: see text]), and regional cerebral oxygen saturation (rSo₂). Tests were interrupted when hemodynamic instability occurred or 60 min after hypercapnia induction. ANOVA for repeated measures was used to compare values across phases. There was no clinically relevant reduction in cerebral oxygenation ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], rSo₂) during hypothermia and initial [Formula: see text] reduction. Hypercapnia was associated with an increase in pulmonary resistance followed by a decrease in cardiac output and CPP, resulting in hemodynamic instability and cerebral desaturation (decrease in [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], rSo₂). Hypercapnia may be the main cause of cardiovascular instability, which seems to be the major trigger for a decrease in cerebral oxygenation in triple H syndrome despite severe hypothermia.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Avalanche patients who are completely buried but still able to breathe are exposed to hypothermia, hypoxia, and hypercapnia (triple H syndrome). In a porcine model, there was no clinically relevant reduction in cerebral oxygenation during hypothermia and initial reduction of fraction of inspiratory oxygen ([Formula: see text]), as observed during hypercapnia. Hypercapnia may be the main cause of cardiovascular instability, which seems to be the major trigger for a decrease in cerebral oxygenation in triple H syndrome despite severe hypothermia.

Outcomes of patients suffering unwitnessed hypothermic cardiac arrest rewarmed with extracorporeal life support: A systematic review

Prolonged cardiac arrest (CA) may lead to neurologic deficit in survivors. Good outcome is especially rare when CA was unwitnessed. However, accidental hypothermia is a very specific cause of CA. Our goal was to describe the outcomes of patients who suffered from unwitnessed hypothermic cardiac arrest (UHCA) supported with Extracorporeal Life Support (ECLS). We included consecutive patients' cohorts identified by systematic literature review concerning patients suffering from UHCA and rewarmed with ECLS. Patients were divided into four subgroups regarding the mechanism of cooling, namely: air exposure; immersion; submersion; and avalanche. A statistical analysis was performed in order to identify the clinical parameters associated with good outcome (survival and absence of neurologic impairment). A total of 221 patients were included into the study. The overall survival rate was 27%. Most of the survivors (83%), had no neurologic deficit. Asystole was the presenting CA rhythm in 48% survivors, of which 79% survived with good neurologic outcome. Variables associated with survival included the following: female gender (P < .001); low core temperature (P = .005); non-asphyxia-related mechanism of cooling (P < .001); pulseless electrical activity as an initial rhythm (P < .001); high blood pH (P < .001); low lactate levels (P = .003); low serum potassium concentration (P < .001); and short resuscitation duration (P = .004). Severely hypothermic patients with unwitnessed CA may survive with good neurologic outcome, including those presenting as asystole. The initial blood pH, potassium, and lactate concentration may help predict outcome in hypothermic CA.

Pretreatment with human urine-derived stem cells protects neurological function in rats following cardiopulmonary resuscitation after cardiac arrest

Cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) after cardiac arrest (CA) often leads to neurological deficits in the absence of effective treatment. The aim of the present basic research study was to investigate the effects of human urine-derived stem cells (hUSCs) on the recovery of neurological function in rats after CA/CPR. hUSCs were isolated in vitro and identified using flow cytometry. A rat model of CA was established, and CPR was performed. Animals were scored for neurofunctional deficits following hUSC transplantation. The expression levels of brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) in the hippocampus and temporal cortex were detected via immunofluorescence. Moreover, brain water content and serum S100 calcium binding protein B (S100B) levels were measured 7 days following hUSC transplantation. The results demonstrated that hUSCs had upregulated expression levels of CD29, CD90, CD44, CD105, CD73, CD224 and CD146, and expressed low levels of CD34 and human leukocyte antigen-DR isotype. In addition, hUSCs were able to differentiate into neuronal cells in vitro. The SPSS 19.0 statistical package was used for statistical analysis, and it was found that the neurological function of the rats after CA/CPR was significantly improved following hUSC transplantation. Furthermore, hUSCs aggregated in the hippocampus and temporal cortex, and secreted large amounts of BDNF and VEGF. hUSC transplantation also effectively inhibited brain edema and serum S100B levels after CPR. Therefore, the results suggested that hUSC transplantation significantly improved the neurological function of rats after CA/CPR, possibly by promoting the expression levels of BDNF and VEGF, as well as inhibiting brain edema.

Clinical Predictive Models of Sudden Cardiac Arrest: A Survey of the Current Science and Analysis of Model Performances

Background

More than 500 000 sudden cardiac arrests (SCAs) occur annually in the United States. Clinical predictive models (CPMs) may be helpful tools to differentiate between patients who are likely to survive or have good neurologic recovery and those who are not. However, which CPMs are most reliable for discriminating between outcomes in SCA is not known.

Methods and Results

We performed a systematic review of the literature using the Tufts PACE (Predictive Analytics and Comparative Effectiveness) CPM Registry through February 1, 2020, and identified 81 unique CPMs of SCA and 62 subsequent external validation studies. Initial cardiac rhythm, age, and duration of cardiopulmonary resuscitation were the 3 most commonly used predictive variables. Only 33 of the 81 novel SCA CPMs (41%) were validated at least once. Of 81 novel SCA CPMs, 56 (69%) and 61 of 62 validation studies (98%) reported discrimination, with median c‐statistics of 0.84 and 0.81, respectively. Calibration was reported in only 29 of 62 validation studies (41.9%). For those novel models that both reported discrimination and were validated (26 models), the median percentage change in discrimination was −1.6%. We identified 3 CPMs that had undergone at least 3 external validation studies: the out‐of‐hospital cardiac arrest score (9 validations; median c‐statistic, 0.79), the cardiac arrest hospital prognosis score (6 validations; median c‐statistic, 0.83), and the good outcome following attempted resuscitation score (6 validations; median c‐statistic, 0.76).

Conclusions

Although only a small number of SCA CPMs have been rigorously validated, the ones that have been demonstrate good discrimination.

Predictive accuracy of biomarkers for survival among cardiac arrest patients with hypothermia: a prospective observational cohort study in Japan

Background

There is limited information on the predictive accuracy of commonly used predictors, such as lactate, pH or serum potassium for the survival among out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients with hypothermia. This study aimed to identify the predictive accuracy of these biomarkers for survival among OHCA patients with hypothermia.

Methods

In this retrospective analysis, we analyzed the data from a multicenter, prospective nationwide registry among OHCA patients transported to emergency departments in Japan (the JAAM-OHCA Registry). We included all adult (≥18 years) OHCA patients with hypothermia (≤32.0 °C) who were registered from June 2014 to December 2017 and whose blood test results on hospital arrival were recorded. We calculated the predictive accuracy of pH, lactate, and potassium for 1-month survival.

Results

Of the 34,754 patients in the JAAM-OHCA database, we included 754 patients from 66 hospitals. The 1-month survival was 5.8% (44/754). The areas under the curve of the predictors and 95% confidence interval were as follows: pH 0.829 [0.767–0.877] and lactate 0.843 [0.793–0.882]. On setting the cutoff points of 6.9 in pH and 120 mg/dL (13.3 mmol/L) in lactate, the predictors had a high sensitivity (lactate: 0.91; pH 0.91) and a low negative likelihood ratio (lactate: 0.14; pH 0.13), which are suitable to exclude survival to 1 month. Furthermore, in additional analysis that included only the patients with potassium values available, a cutoff point of 7.0 (mmol/L) for serum potassium had high sensitivity (0.96) and a low negative likelihood ratio (0.09).

Conclusion

This study indicated the predictive accuracy of serum lactate, pH, and potassium for 1-month survival among adult OHCA patients with hypothermia. These biomarkers may help define a more appropriate resuscitation strategy.

Severe Hypothermia and Frostbite Requiring ECMO and Four Limb Amputations

Severe hypothermia and frostbite can result in significant morbidity and mortality. We present a case of a patient with severe hypothermia and frostbite due to cold exposure after a snowmobile crash. He presented in cardiac arrest with a core temperature of 19°C requiring prolonged cardiopulmonary resuscitation, active internal rewarming, venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and subsequently amputations of all four extremities. Although severe hypothermia and frostbite can be a fatal condition, the quick action of Emergency Medical Services, emergency physicians, trauma surgeons, cardiothoracic surgeons, intensivists, and the burn team contributed to a successful recovery for this patient including a good neurological outcome. This case highlights the importance of a strong interdisciplinary team in treating this condition.

Outcomes of Extracorporeal Life Support Use in Accidental Hypothermia: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Extracorporeal life support (ECLS) has been used in the treatment of accidental hypothermia with hemodynamic instability, with promising outcomes. This systematic review examines ECLS treatment of accidental hypothermia to assess outcomes.

METHODS

An electronic search was performed to identify articles reporting ECLS use for treatment of accidental hypothermia. Only reports describing patients aged more than 16 years after January 1, 2005, were included. Nineteen studies were identified comprising 47 patients. Demographic information, perioperative variables, and outcomes were extracted for analysis.

RESULTS

Median patient age was 48 years (interquartile range (IQR), 29 to 56), and 72.3% (34 of 47) were male. On presentation, median body temperature was 24.6°C (IQR, 22.2° to 26°C), median potassium level 4.3 mmol/L (IQR, 3.4 to 4.6 mmol/L), and median Glasgow Coma Scale score 3 (IQR, 3 to 7). Cardiac arrest occurred in 35 of 47 patients (74.5%). Median time to ECLS initiation from scene was 155 minutes (IQR, 113 to 245). Median ECLS duration was 18 hours (IQR, 4 to 27), with median rewarming rate of 2°C per hour (IQR, 1.5° to 4°). Median intensive care unit stay and hospital length of stay were 8 days (IQR, 2 to 16) and 17 days (IQR, 10 to 36), respectively. Inhospital mortality was 19.1% (9 of 47). Median discharge Glasgow Coma Scale score was 15 (IQR, 15 to 15) with minor long-term cognitive impairments noted in 6 of 47 patients (19.4%). Survival was significantly associated with potassium on presentation (P < .001), initial body temperature (P < .001), and ECLS rewarming rate (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Extracorporeal life support is a viable cardiac support option for rewarming patients with accidental hypothermia, and initial potassium level, initial body temperature, and ECLS rewarming rate appear to be significantly associated with survival.

Therapeutic management of severe hypothermia with veno-arterial ECMO: where do we stand? Case report and review of the current literature

BACKGROUND

Severe accidental hypothermia is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) provides an efficient rewarming method with complete cardiopulmonary support. The use of VA-ECMO for this indication has greatly improved the vital and functional prognosis of patients.

CASE PRESENTATION

We report a case of a 46-year-old patient who was treated for severe hypothermia with a temperature of 22.4 °C along with initial cardiac arrest, whose progression was favorable after the implementation of VA-ECMO support. Two months after initial cardiac arrest, the patient was reassessed and showed signs of complete recovery with regard to his mental and physical capacities.

CONCLUSIONS

The recent international publications and groups of experts recommend the use of VA ECMO as the gold standard therapy to treat severe hypothermia. Therefore, it seems suitable to update the current knowledge on the topic by analysing the latest international publications. The performance of this technique calls into question ethical and economic factors. Two distinct medical teams tried to identify and regroup prognosis factors in predictive survival scores. They raise the question of the utility of these scores in clinical practice. Indeed, according to which survival rate should we proceed to prolonged resuscitation and implement VA-ECMO? Additional studies will be needed for external approval of these survival scores, and additional reflection by experts will be required.

Intra-patient potassium variability after hypothermic cardiac arrest: a multicentre, prospective study

Background

To date, the decision to set up therapeutic extra-corporeal life support (ECLS) in hypothermia-related cardiac arrest is based on the potassium value only. However, no information is available about how the analysis should be performed. Our goal was to compare intra-individual variation in serum potassium values depending on the sampling site and analytical technique in hypothermia-related cardiac arrests.

Methods

Adult patients with suspected hypothermia-related refractory cardiac arrest, admitted to three hospitals with ECLS facilities were included. Blood samples were obtained from the femoral vein, a peripheral vein and the femoral artery. Serum potassium was analysed using blood gas (BGA) and clinical laboratory analysis (CL).

Results

Of the 15 consecutive patients included, 12 met the principal criteria, and 5 (33%) survived. The difference in average potassium values between sites or analytical method used was ≤1 mmol/L. The agreement between potassium values according to the three different sampling sites was poor. The ranges of the differences in potassium using BGA measurement were − 1.6 to + 1.7 mmol/L; − 1.18 to + 2.7 mmol/L and − 0.87 to + 2 mmol/L when comparing respectively central venous and peripheral venous, central venous and arterial, and peripheral venous and arterial potassium.

Conclusions

We found important and clinically relevant variability in potassium values between sampling sites. Clinical decisions should not rely on one biological indicator. However, according to our results, the site of lowest potassium, and therefore the preferred site for a single potassium sampling is central venous blood. The use of multivariable prediction tools may help to mitigate the risks inherent in the limits of potassium measurement.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03096561.

Successful resuscitation from prolonged hypothermic cardiac arrest without extracorporeal life support: a case report

Background

We report a case of successful prolonged cardiopulmonary resuscitation (5 hours and 44 minutes) following severe accidental hypothermia with cardiac arrest treated without rewarming on extracorporeal life support.

Case presentation

A 52-year-old Italian mountaineer, was trapped in a crevasse and rescued approximately 7 hours later by a professional rescue team. After extrication, he suffered a witnessed cardiac arrest with ventricular fibrillation. Immediate defibrillation and cardiopulmonary resuscitation were started. His core temperature was 26.0 °C. Due to weather conditions, air transport to an extracorporeal life support center was not possible. Thus, he was rewarmed with conventional rewarming methods in a rural hospital. Auto-defibrillation occurred at a core temperature of 29.8 °C after 5 hours and 44 minutes of continued cardiopulmonary resuscitation. With a core temperature of 33.4 °C, he was finally admitted to a level 1 trauma center and extracorporeal life support was no longer required. Seven weeks following the accident, he was discharged home with complete neurological recovery.

Conclusions

Successful rewarming from severe hypothermia without extracorporeal life support use as performed in this case suggests that patients with primary hypothermic cardiac arrest have a chance of a favorable neurological outcome even after several hours of cardiac arrest when cardiopulmonary resuscitation and conventional rewarming are performed continuously. This may be especially relevant in remote areas, where extracorporeal life support rewarming is not available.

Hypothermie accidentelle

L’hypothermie accidentelle est définie comme une baisse non intentionnelle de la température centrale du corps en dessous de 35 °C. La prévention de l’hypothermie est essentielle. La mesure de la température centrale est nécessaire au diagnostic d’hypothermie et permet d’en juger la sévérité. En présence de signes de vie, et en présence d’une hypothermie pure, l’instabilité hémodynamique apparente ne devrait en principe pas faire l’objet d’une prise en charge spécifique. Un risque d’arrêt cardiaque (AC) est présent si la température chute en dessous de 30–32 °C. En raison du risque d’AC, un patient hypotherme devrait bénéficier de l’application d’un monitoring avant toute mobilisation, laquelle devra être prudente. En cas d’AC, seule la mesure de la température oesophagienne est fiable. Si l’hypothermie est suspectée comme étant potentiellement responsable de l’AC du patient, celui-ci doit être transporté sous réanimation cardiopulmonaire vers un hôpital disposant d’une méthode de réchauffement par circulation extracorporelle (CEC). La valeur de la kaliémie ainsi que les autres paramètres à disposition (âge, sexe, valeur de la température corporelle, durée du low flow, présence d’une asphyxie) permettront de décider de l’indication d’une CEC de réchauffement. Le pronostic des patients victimes d’un AC sur hypothermie est potentiellement excellent, y compris sur le plan neurologique.

The development and validation of a "5A" severity scale for predicting in-hospital mortality after accidental hypothermia from J-point registry data

Background

Accidental hypothermia is a serious condition that requires immediate and accurate assessment to determine severity and treatment. Currently, accidental hypothermia is evaluated using the Swiss grading system which uses core body temperature and clinical findings; however, research has shown that core body temperature is not associated with in-hospital mortality in urban settings. Therefore, we developed and validated a severity scale for predicting in-hospital mortality among urban Japanese patients with accidental hypothermia.

Methods

Data for this multi-center retrospective cohort study were obtained from the J-point registry. We included patients with accidental hypothermia who were admitted to an emergency department. The total cohort was divided into a development cohort and validation cohort, based on the location of each institution. We developed a logistic regression model for predicting in-hospital mortality using the development cohort and assessed its internal validity using bootstrapping. The model was then subjected to external validation using the validation cohorts.

Results

Among the 572 patients in the J-point registry, 532 were ultimately included and divided into the development cohort (N = 288, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality 22.0%) and the validation cohort (N = 244, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality 27.0%). The 5 “A” scoring system based on age, activities-of-daily-living status, near arrest, acidemia, and serum albumin level was developed based on the variables’ coefficients in the development cohort. In the validation cohort, the prediction performance was validated.

Conclusion

Our “5A” severity scoring system could accurately predict the risk of in-hospital mortality among patients with accidental hypothermia.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s40560-019-0384-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Cut-off values of serum potassium and core temperature at hospital admission for extracorporeal rewarming of avalanche victims in cardiac arrest: A retrospective multi-centre study

AIM

Evidence of existing guidelines for the on-site triage of avalanche victims is limited and adherence suboptimal. This study attempted to find reliable cut-off values for the identification of hypothermic avalanche victims with reversible out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) at hospital admission. This may enable hospitals to allocate extracorporeal life support (ECLS) resources more appropriately while increasing the proportion of survivors among rewarmed victims.

METHODS

All avalanche victims with OHCA admitted to seven centres in Europe capable of ECLS from 1995 to 2016 were included. Optimal cut-off values, for parameters identified by logistic regression, were determined by means of bootstrapping and exact binomial distribution and served to calculate sensitivity, rate of overtriage, positive and negative predictive values, and receiver operating curves.

RESULTS

In total, 103 avalanche victims with OHCA were included. Of the 103 patients 61 (58%) were rewarmed by ECLS. Six (10%) of the rewarmed patients survived whilst 55 (90%) died. We obtained optimal cut-off values of 7 mmol/L for serum potassium and 30 °C for core temperature.

CONCLUSION

For in-hospital triage of avalanche victims admitted with OHCA, serum potassium accurately predicts survival. The combination of the cut-offs 7 mmol/L for serum potassium and 30 °C for core temperature achieved the lowest overtriage rate (47%) and the highest positive predictive value (19%), with a sensitivity of 100% for survivors. The presence of vital signs at extrication is strongly associated with survival. For further optimisation of in-hospital triage, larger datasets are needed to include additional parameters.