A metaanalysis of predischarge risk stratification after acute myocardial infarction with stress electrocardiographic, myocardial perfusion, and ventricular function imaging

Long-term value of exercise testing after acute myocardial infarction: influence of thrombolytic therapy

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the long-term predictive value of exercise testing performed early after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in patients receiving thrombolytic therapy.

DESIGN

Nonblinded prospective follow-up study.

SETTING

Cardiac rehabilitation unit in a 900-bed university hospital.

SUBJECTS

Four hundred forty-three patients allowed to perform exercise testing 3 weeks after AMI were followed for a median of 75 months; 183 received IV thrombolysis and 263 did not.

RESULTS

Cardiac death hazard ratios were significantly increased in the presence of reduced physical working capacity on exertion, left ventricular dysfunction, and > or = 1-mm (but < 2-mm) ST-segment depression on exertion. In the group receiving thrombolytic therapy, no patient with > or = 2-mm ST-segment depression on exercise died; this group was characterized by a high rate of revascularization, whereas the group with > or = 1-mm but < 2-mm ST-segment depression was not. No parameter related to clinical or exercise testing predicted recurrent infarction in the group receiving thrombolytic therapy. Among patients not receiving thrombolysis, cardiac death was significantly related to > or = 2-mm ST-segment depression on exertion, to reduced physical working capacity, and to the lack of revascularization during follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Exercise test-derived parameters have variable value in predicting long-term survival of patients performing exercise test after AMI depending on the following: (1) whether thrombolytic therapy was given or not; (2) the degree of ST-segment depression during exercise testing; and (3) the rate of revascularization.

Risk stratification after acute myocardial infarction in the reperfusion era

Historically, risk stratification for survivors of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has centered on 3 principles: assessment of left ventricular function, detection of residual myocardial ischemia, and estimation of the risk for sudden cardiac death. Although these factors still have important prognostic implications for these patients, our ability to predict adverse cardiac events has significantly improved over the last several years. Recent studies have identified powerful predictors of adverse cardiac events available from the patient history, physical examination, initial electrocardiogram, and blood testing early in the evaluation of patients with AMI. Numerous studies performed in patients receiving early reperfusion therapy with either thrombolysis or primary angioplasty have emphasized the importance of a patent infarct related artery for long-term survival. The predictive value of a variety of noninvasive and invasive tests to predict myocardial electrical instability have been under active investigation in patients receiving early reperfusion therapy. The current understanding of the clinically important predictors of clinical outcomes in survivors of AMI is reviewed in this article.

Prognostic value of symptom limited versus low level exercise stress test before discharge in patients with myocardial infarction treated with thrombolytics

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the benefits and risks of symptom limited exercise testing versus low level exercise testing soon after a thrombolytic treated acute myocardial infarction.

DESIGN AND PATIENTS

98 patients (71 men, 27 women), mean (SD) age 64 (9) years (range 45-75 years), were investigated 5-8 days after admittance to hospital. An ergometer cycle test was used, starting at 30 W with 10 W increments per minute. Each exercise test was interpreted at the symptom limited end point and a low level end point, which was defined as the point at which the patient rated exhaustion as 13 on the 6-20 point Borg scale for rating perceived exertion.

SETTING

A university hospital.

RESULTS

75 of the 98 patients were able to perform a predischarge exercise test. Of the remaining 23 patients who could not perform an early exercise test (because of unstable angina, heart failure, or thrombus detected at echocardiography), five died or had a myocardial infarction and six underwent bypass surgery or percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) during a follow up period of one year. There were no complications related to the symptom limited exercise tests. The test results were positive in 15 patients at the low level end point and in 39 patients (p < 0.001) at the symptom limited end point. During a follow up period of one year, six of the 75 patients died or had a myocardial infarction. Two of these six patients had a positive low level exercise test and four had a positive symptom limited exercise test. Twenty three of the 75 patients who performed an exercise test had a cardiac event within one year (death, myocardial infarction, bypass surgery or PTCA); of these, 19 had a positive symptom limited exercise test and nine had a positive low level exercise test (p = 0.025). Four of the 36 patients with a negative symptom limited test suffered cardiac events within a year (two patients had a myocardial infarction and two had bypass surgery).

CONCLUSION

Symptom limited exercise testing soon after thrombolytically treated myocardial infarction will identify more patients with exercise induced ST depression or chest pain than a low level test, and seems safe. A negative symptom limited test has a better negative predictive value (11% risk of an event within a year) than a negative low level (25% risk of an event within a year).

Prediction of cardiac events after uncomplicated acute myocardial infarction by clinical variables and dobutamine stress test

OBJECTIVES

We sought to determine the relative prognostic power of several clinical and dobutamine stress test variables in patients after a first uncomplicated acute myocardial infarction (AMI).

BACKGROUND

The value of dobutamine echocardiography (DE) for determining prognosis after AMI is not yet defined. In particular, the influence of dobutamine stress test response on the outcome of these patients is unknown.

METHODS

A graded predischarge DE (from 5 to 40 microg/kg/min, plus atropine if needed) was performed in 245 patients (mean age 60 +/- 10 years) with a first uncomplicated AMI.

RESULTS

At follow-up (17 +/- 13 months), an adverse outcome occurred in 40 patients: cardiac death in 7, nonfatal myocardial infarction in 9 (hard events = 16) and unstable angina requiring hospital readmission in 24. Significant predictors of adverse outcome by univariate analysis were positive DE, ischemic wall motion score index (WMSI), angina during DE and diabetes for all events, and positive DE, ischemic WMSI and age for hard events. At multivariate analysis, the only independent predictors of adverse outcome were positive DE, diabetes and angina during DE for all events, and positive DE and age for hard events. The presence of both age >60 years and a history of diabetes identified patients at high risk of cardiac events (event rate 37%), compared with patients <60 years and no diabetes (event rate 11%). In patients with intermediate risk (only one clinical risk factor, event rate 18%), DE added prognostic information (event rate 10% in the negatives, 25% in the positives and 35% in the positives with angina).

CONCLUSIONS

After uncomplicated AMI, dobutamine stress test variables offer additional prognostic information to clinical data.

Use of stress echocardiography for risk assessment of patients after myocardial infarction

The main predictors of outcome after infarction (exercise capacity, ejection fraction, and extent of jeopardized myocardium) can all be identified using stress echocardiography. This review addresses the place of stress echocardiography in postinfarct risk evaluation, relative to clinical evaluation, and other technologies. The test is accurate for identification of multivessel disease and for predicting outcomes, is versatile, and can be used early after infarction.

Technetium Tc 99m sestamibi myocardial perfusion imaging: current role for evaluation of prognosis

Like 201Tl imaging, technetium Tc 99m sestamibi (MIBI) myocardial imaging can be used with exercise and pharmacologic testing to assess the presence of coronary artery disease. An increasing body of literature indicates that MIBI can also be used to assess risk of future cardiac events such as myocardial infarction or death. This article summarizes the current status of MIBI imaging for evaluating prognosis in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease.

[The prognostic factors after an acute myocardial infarct treated with fibrinolytics]

BACKGROUND

The usefulness of the exercise test in evaluating patients with an acute myocardial infarction treated with fibrinolytics is controversial. On the other hand, the prognostic value of a patent infarct-related artery has not been clearly established. The objectives of this study were to assess the validity of the exercise test and to study the prognostic value of the artery patency after a myocardial infarction.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We studied 99 patients with a myocardial infarction treated with fibrinolytics, non-complicated. An exercise test and a cardiac catheterization were performed in the first month. The patients were followed-up for 2 years, recording the major cardiac events (death and reinfarction) and the minor events (angina class (II, left cardiac failure class (II or maintained ventricular tachycardia).

RESULTS

On multivariate analysis with Cox regression, a workload < 4 METS at the exercise test was the only independent prognostic factor of major events (RR 5.6; CI 95% 1.68-19). The independent prognostic factors of minor events were: multivessel disease (RR 3.36; CI 95% 1.56-7.24), anterior infarction (RR 3.15; CI 95% 1.3-7.6), abnormal exercise test (RR 2.98; CI 95% 1.46-6.09) and ejection fraction < or = 40% (RR 2.48; CI 95% 1.07-5.74). The patency of the infarct-related artery was not a predictor of events.

CONCLUSIONS

The exercise test is useful in predicting the prognosis in patients treated with fibrinolytics. An occluded infarct-related artery was not an independent predictor of cardiac events in 2 years of follow-up.

[Is the exercise test performed after myocardial infarct really useful in improving prognosis? Arguments in favor]

The evaluation of risk after myocardial infarction accomplishes two objectives: a) selecting patients with high-risk for coronary angiography and revascularization, and b) identifying low-risk patients to avoid unnecessary laboratory investigation and revascularization procedures. Currently, patients eligible for exercise test are those with no evidence of heart failure or angina, and with a preserved left ventricular function. Overall prognosis for such patients, especially if they were thrombolyzed, is very good. In this setting, in contrast to that pointed out in previous reports, the positive predictive value of exercise electrocardiography is very low (i.e., a patient with S-T depression has a probability of cardiac death in the ensuing year of only 4% vs 2% if the test is negative). This suggests that a routine postinfarction exercise test is inefficient from a prognostic point of view. However, a recent study has shown that thrombolyzed patients with a positive response to the exercise test, have a significantly lower rate of reinfarction and unstable angina when they undergo myocardial revascularization. Mortality rate, as it was low in the study population, was unchanged by the use of revascularization procedures. We conclude that, in spite of the limitations pointed out, there are at least two reasons to continue performing exercise tests in all uncomplicated infarctions: a) a negative test, due to its high negative predictive value for adverse events, reassures the patient and his family and prompts an early discharge, and b) some patients, despite an uncomplicated in-hospital evolution, have a "strong" positive response that suggests multivessel disease and a possible benefit from myocardial revascularization.

Risk stratification with pre-hospital discharge exercise technetium-99m sestamibi myocardial tomography in men after acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Exercise thallium-201 imaging early after acute myocardial infarction (MI) may provide information concerning risk of future cardiac events. The prognostic value of exercise technetium-99m sestamibi (MIBI) single-photon emission computed tomography in such patients has not been established.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Submaximal exercise stress testing with MIBI tomography was done before hospital discharge in 134 consecutive men after acute MI. Patients were monitored for occurrence of late cardiac events (nonfatal MI or cardiac death). Coronary revascularization was done in 31 patients (23%) < or = 3 months after testing. Nonfatal MI or cardiac death occurred in 30 (23%) of the overall group of 133 patients monitored (mean 35+/-19 months) and in 25 (25%) of the 102 patients treated medically. A history of congestive heart failure, failure to reach 85% of age-predicted maximal heart rate, and an isolated fixed MIBI defect were associated with significantly increased risk (p < 0.05) of a late cardiac event in both groups of patients. A reversible MIBI defect was not associated with increased risk. In a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, only a history of congestive heart failure (relative risk 4.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.7 to 10.4, p < 0.002) and an isolated fixed MIBI defect (relative risk 2.1, 95% CI 1.1 to 4.3, p < 0.05) were independent predictors of increased risk in the total group of 133 patients. In the 102 patients treated medically, only a history of congestive heart failure (relative risk 4.9, 95% CI 1.9 to 13.1) and achievement of 85% of age-predicted maximal heart rate (relative risk 0.13, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.9) were independent predictors of risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Early post-MI submaximal exercise testing with MIBI tomography provides limited prognostic information for late cardiac events. An isolated fixed MIBI defect is associated with increased risk but not as strongly as other variables, particularly a history of congestive heart failure.

[Is the exercise test performed after myocardial infarct really useful in improving prognosis? Arguments contra]

Exercise testing is considered to play a major role in risk stratification after myocardial infarction. With the aim of improving prognosis, an exercise test should be able to identify patients at higher risk of coronary events. In this sense, its major limitation is a low positive predictive value, especially in patients who have been treated with thrombolytic agents. This fact limits its clinical value in the decision making process in individual patients. Finally, the decision to revascularize with angioplasty or surgery when only a positive exercise test result is taken into account, has not been proven to prolong life in these patients. All these considerations should make us think about some clinical attitudes that are taken for granted.

Risk assessment using single-photon emission computed tomographic technetium-99m sestamibi imaging

OBJECTIVES

This review summarizes the results of single-photon emission computed tomographic (SPECT) technetium-99m (Tc-99m) tracer imaging in patients with stable symptoms, patients with acute coronary syndromes, patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery and patients with chest pain in the emergency department.

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have examined the prognostic value of stress thallium imaging in several subsets of patients with ischemic heart disease. At present, >50% of myocardial perfusion studies are performed with technetium-labeled tracers in the United States. Furthermore, there is a shift from diagnostic to the prognostic utility of stress testing. There are important differences between technetium-labeled tracers and thallium-201. It is therefore important to review the prognostic value of technetium-labeled tracers.

METHODS

We analyzed published reports in English on risk assessment using Tc-99m perfusion tracers. Results. The largest experience is in patients with stable symptoms, comprising >12,000 patients in 14 studies. In these patients, normal stress SPECT sestamibi images were associated with an average annual hard event rate of 0.6% (death or nonfatal myocardial infarction [MI]). In contrast, patients with abnormal images had a 12-fold higher event rate (7.4% annually). Both fixed and reversible defects are prognostically important, and quantitative analysis shows increased risk in relation to the severity of the abnormality. These results are similar to those obtained with thallium-201.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with stable chest pain syndromes and normal stress SPECT sestamibi images have a very low risk of death or nonfatal MI. It is highly unlikely that coronary revascularization can improve survival in such patients. Patients with abnormal images have an intermediate to high risk for future cardiac events, depending on the degree of the abnormality. Further prospective studies comparing aggressive medical therapy with coronary revascularization in these patients are warranted.