Predictability of recurrent and progressive disease in individual patients with primary superficial bladder cancer

[PTa bladder tumours: prognostic factors of recurrence and progression]

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this work has been to study the prognostic factors of recurrence and progression of stage pTa bladder tumours.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The case files of 193 patients, consecutively undergoing transurethral resection for primary pTa bladder tumour between 1980 and 2003, were retrospectively reviewed. Recurrence, progression and specific survival rates were studied. Prognostic factors associated with this type of tumour were then investigated.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 58 months, the recurrence rate was 56.5% and the rate of progression to stage T1 was 9.3%. The 10-year specific survival was 95.8%, but the 10-year recurrence-free survival rate was only 22.5%. Two risk factors for recurrence were identified on univariate analysis: haematuria at the time of diagnosis (p=0.009) and tumour size (p=0.01). Two factors were associated with a risk of progression: tumour size (p=0.03) and relapse during the first year after initial resection (p=0.003). None of these factors were independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

pTa bladder tumours present a high risk of recurrence. However, with attentive follow-up, the risk of progression is low and their 10-year specific survival rate is greater than 95 %. Tumour size at the initial diagnosis and early relapse increase the risk of progression to more aggressive disease.

Superficial bladder cancer: part 1. Update on etiology, classification and natural history

Superficial 'nonmuscle-invasive' bladder tumors represent a heterogeneous group of cancers, which include those that are papillary in nature and limited to the mucosa (Ta), high grade, flat and confined to the epithelium (Tis) and those that invade the submucosa or lamina propria (T1). The natural history of these bladder cancers is that of disease recurrence and progression to higher grade and stage. Furthermore, recurrence and progression rates of superficial bladder cancer vary according to several tumor characteristics. The goal in the treatment of superficial bladder cancer is twofold: reducing tumor recurrence and the subsequent need for additional therapies, such as cystoscopy, transurethral resections, intravesical therapy and the morbidity associated with these treatments; and preventing tumor progression and the subsequent need for more aggressive therapy, such as radical cystectomy. The administration of intravesical chemotherapy and immunotherapy has become an important component in accomplishing these goals. This update is the first part of two articles reviewing important contemporary concepts in the etiology, classification and natural history of superficial bladder cancer, while part II of the series will review and highlight important aspects in management of superficial bladder cancer.

Prognostic Value of p53 for High Risk Superficial Bladder Cancer With Long-Term Followup

PURPOSE

The risk of muscle invasive disease in a high risk patient with superficial bladder cancer is up to 50%. Identifying patients at risk for progression remains an unsolved problem. A suggested prognosticator is mutations in the p53 tumor suppressor gene. We determined the value of p53 mutation, as demonstrated by mutation analysis, in a clinically selected group of high risk patients with superficial bladder cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

p53 Mutation analysis was performed by automated sequencing of bladder wash samples of 105 patients with high risk superficial bladder cancer. The mutation and WT groups were subsequently compared with regard to mortality, progression, disease worsening and the recurrence-free period.

RESULTS

A total of 29 patients had a mutation and 76 had WT. Median followup was 58.3 months (range 3 to 161). A total of 13 patients died of bladder cancer, including 6 of 29 with a mutation and 7 of 76 patients in the WT group. p53 Mutation had no significant prognostic value for decreased survival, progression or disease worsening. Recurrence-free survival was significantly lower in the WT group.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a trend toward a worse clinical outcome in high risk patients with a p53 mutation in the bladder wash. However, no significant differences were seen in clinical outcome parameters. Based on these data we conclude that the prognostic value of a p53 mutation is insufficient for individual policy making.

2-Arylidenedihydroindole-3-ones: Design, synthesis, and biological activity on bladder carcinoma cell lines

2-Arylidenedihydroindole-3-ones were assayed for their antiproliferative and apoptotic abilities as potential drug candidates to treat bladder tumor. These compounds were tested on cell lines obtained from bladder tumors of various stages [superficial (pTa and pT1) vs. invasive (pT2)]. The most active compound (3c) inhibited the proliferation, induced apoptosis, and decreased the expression of p-Stat5 and p-Pyk2 in DAG-1 and RT112 lines in which the FGFR3 is either mutated or overexpressed. Knowing that FGFR3 is involved in cell proliferation, differentiation, and migration through cell signaling pathways including p-Stat5 way via p-Pyk2, let us assume that compound 3c may probably act through FGFR3 pathway.

Analysis of factors predicting intravesical recurrence of superficial transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder without concomitant carcinoma in situ

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to investigate risk factors for intravesical recurrence in patients with superficial bladder cancer without concomitant carcinoma in situ (CIS).

METHODS

In this series, we analyzed data from patients with newly diagnosed superficial Ta or T1 transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the bladder without concomitant CIS who underwent complete transurethral resection (TUR) without any adjuvant intravesical instillation therapies. Multivariate analysis was used to determine significant risk factors affecting intravesical recurrence after TUR. Differences in clinicopathological features between primary and recurrent tumors were also characterized.

RESULTS

Among 341 patients undergoing TUR of Ta or T1 bladder cancer, 187 diagnosed as having concomitant CIS and/or treated with adjuvant intravesical therapy were excluded, and the remaining 154 were evaluated. Intravesical recurrence was detected in 64 of the 154 patients, showing a 5-year recurrence-free survival rate of 58.3%. Among several factors examined, only tumor size was significantly associated with intravesical recurrence. Multivariate analysis identified tumor size as an independent predictor for intravesical recurrence irrespective of other parameters including age, gender, multiplicity, growth pattern, grade and stage. Recurrent tumors were significantly smaller and of a lower grade and lower stage than primary tumors, despite the absence of differences in growth pattern and the multiplicity between them.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that primary tumor size could be used as a potential risk factor for predicting intravesical recurrence following TUR of superficial TCC of the bladder without concomitant CIS, and that the pathological characteristics of recurrent tumors are more favorable than those of primary tumors.

Prediction of recurrence in Ta urothelial cell carcinoma by real-time quantitative PCR analysis: a microarray validation study

Accurate prediction of tumor recurrence in patients with superficial urothelial cell carcinoma (UCC) might result in a significant reduction of invasive follow-up cystoscopies. A recent study identified a panel of 26 genes from a large cDNA microarray analysis of bladder tumors that discriminated between early- and late-recurring patients with superficial Ta tumors (Dyrskjøt et al., Nat Genet 2003;33:90-6). We aimed to validate this panel of genes in 44 primary Ta UCCs (23 and 21 tumors from patients with short or prolonged recurrence-free periods, respectively), by real-time quantitative PCR. Statistical analysis showed marginal significant different mRNA expression levels between the 2 patient groups. To evaluate a supplementary effect of genes for the identification of patients with short or prolonged recurrence-free intervals, forward logistic regression analysis was applied. This revealed that a combination of the expression profiles of the genes HNRPK, LTB4DH and ANP32B resulted in the best performance, although the combination only marginally increased the predictive value of HNRPK alone. Comparing the receiver-operating-characteristic curves for HNRPK expression among patients with short or prolonged recurrence-free periods, revealed an area under the curve of 0.696 (95% CI, 0.537-0.855). Using the median HNRPK expression level as cut-off, a sensitivity of 69.6% and a specificity of 71.4% were obtained for the identification of patients with short or prolonged recurrence-free periods, respectively. In conclusion, we were not able to confirm the microarray gene expression pattern of the 26 genes shown by Dyrskjøt et al. The discovery of accurate recurrence predictive markers, therefore, remains a challenge.

Short-schedule intravesical gemcitabine with ablative intent in recurrent Ta-T1, G1-G2, low- or intermediate-risk, transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder

OBJECTIVES

PRIMARY OBJECTIVE

to assess ablative efficacy and tolerability of short-schedule intravesical gemcitabine for intact, low- and intermediate-risk, recurrent superficial bladder tumours.

SECONDARY OBJECTIVE

to assess effect on prophylaxis.

METHODS

Patients with a diagnosis of recurrence and a history of previous superficial, low- or intermediate-risk bladder tumours were selected for the study. They received 2000 mg gemcitabine in 50 ml, that is 40 mg/ml, intravesically, weekly for 4 wk, followed by resection of any residual lesions. Complete responses consisted of absence of any macroscopic, histologically confirmed, residual lesion, and no response in the presence of residual lesions. The effect on prophylaxis was measured in months as disease-free interval to first recurrence, and as percentage of patients recurring within the first 12 mo. Toxicity was assessed as local and systemic.

RESULTS

Of 34 recruited patients, 28 consecutive patients were evaluable, with complete responses observed in 13 of 28 (46.4%) and no response in 15 (53.6%). Median time to first recurrence was 9.1 mo (range: 2.9-26.5) for 19 of 28 (67.8%) patients experiencing recurrence during the first year. Local or systemic toxicity was observed in 9 of 34 (26.4%) patients, resulting in protocol interruption in 6 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Intravesical gemcitabine alone showed ablative efficacy in nearly one half of the patients under study. Drug tolerability was good, both locally and systemically.

High throughput comparative genomic hybridization array analysis of multifocal urothelial cancers

The purpose of this study was to examine genetic alterations occur during synchronous or metachronous multifocal development of urothelial cancers on the whole genome using a comparative genomic hybridization (CGH) array. We used 10 tumor pairs (2 tumors for each patient), in which we had previously defined a clonal relationship by microsatellite analysis. For CGH array analysis, Vysis GenoSensor Array 300 kit was used. An unsupervised hierarchical cluster analysis revealed that the tumors from one patient were clustered together independent of the tumors of all other patients. On the other hand, many genetic divergences among multifocal urothelial cancers were newly found by a CGH array analysis. The concordant genetic alteration patterns of the chromosomal arm in tumor pairs were most frequently observed in 9p, 9q, 8p, 7p, 7q and 11q, while discordant patterns were most frequently found in 15q, 20q, 2q, 10p and 11q. Investigation using a CGH array showed that genetically stable multifocal tumors were less frequent, and that a large percentage of urothelial cancers accumulate genetic alterations during multifocal development by clonal evolution. We might have to consider these genetic accumulations during multifocal development when designing strategies for prevention and detection of recurrent multifocal urothelial cancers. CGH array can be a powerful tool for genetic analysis of multifocal urothelial cancer.

The Predictive Value of p53, p27Kip1, and α-Catenin for Progression in Superficial Bladder Carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to confirm the predictive value of cell cycle regulatory proteins, p53 and p27(kip1), and the cell adhesion complex protein alpha-catenin, for progression in patients with superficial bladder carcinoma.

METHODS

Forty-one patients with progression after primary superficial bladder carcinoma were individually matched to patients with nonprogressive superficial bladder carcinoma. Matching was done for sex, age, tumor stage and grade, concomitant carcinoma in situ (CIS), and duration of follow-up. Immunohistochemical analysis of p53, p27(kip1), and alpha-catenin was performed on each primary bladder tumor. Analysis for the p53 mutation was done on 41 bladder tumor samples. Conditional logistic regression analysis was used to establish the prognostic value of immunohistochemical p53, p27(kip1), and alpha-catenin status.

RESULTS

The independent odds ratios for progression were 0.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.1-1.2) for high-risk p27(kip1), 3.4 (95%CI, 0.8-15.2) for high-risk p53, and 2.5 (95%CI, 0.6-10.3) for high-risk alpha-catenin. Combinations of different markers had no synergistic effects. Two p53 mutations were found in 21 DNA samples analyzed from nonprogressive tumors (9.5%); 8 of 20 samples (40%) from progressive tumors showed a p53 mutation. The probability of high-risk p53 immunostaining was 5-fold increased in case of mutations in p53. The estimated positive predictive value of high-risk p53 or high-risk alpha-catenin was about 23%.

CONCLUSIONS

We confirm that high-risk p53, p53 mutation, and alpha-catenin immunohistochemistry do have an additional prognostic value in primary bladder carcinoma. However, the clinical value of the investigated parameters remains limited.

Accurate prediction of need for invasive treatment in alpha1-blocker treated patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia not possible: bootstrap validation analysis

OBJECTIVES

Frequently, statistically significant prognostic factors are reported in published studies with suggestions that disease management should be modified. However, the clinical relevance of such factors is rarely quantified. We evaluated the accuracy of predicting the need for invasive treatment among patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia treated conservatively with alpha1-blockers.

METHODS

Information on eight prognostic factors was collected from 280 patients treated with alpha1-blockers. Using the proportional hazards regression coefficients, a risk score for retreatment was calculated for each patient. The analyses were repeated on 1000 groups of 280 patients sampled from the original case series. The results from these "bootstrap analyses" were compared with the original results.

RESULTS

Three statistically significant predictors of retreatment were identified. The 20% of patients with the greatest risk score had an 18-month risk of retreatment of only 20% (this should ideally approach 100%). Analyses of less than one half of all the bootstrap samples resulted in the same three significant prognostic factors. The 20% of patients with the greatest risk score in each of the 1000 samples experienced a highly variable risk of retreatment of 0% to 42%.

CONCLUSIONS

Strongly significant predictors for retreatment suggest the need for a change in disease management, but 4 of the 5 high-risk patients would be overtreated with a modified policy. The subclassification of patients with a relatively low risk and high risk of retreatment appeared far from accurate. Internal validation procedures may warn against the invalid translation of statistical significance into clinical relevance.

Validity of medical staff assessment at admission of patient's risk of nosocomial infection: a prospective study in a surgical intensive care unit

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the ability of a surgical intensive care unit (SICU) medical staff to assess at admission the individual risk of nosocomial infection (NI) during SICU stay in patients admitted for at least 48 h.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

SETTING

A tertiary-care university hospital.

PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS

201 admissions to the SICU from November 19, 2003, until April 16, 2004.

MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS

Assessment by medical staff at admission of each patient's estimated risk of NI (pneumonia, venous central catheter-related infection, symptomatic urinary tract infection, and bacteremia) during SICU hospitalization, in order to classify patients into four groups: NI risk very low or absent (group 1), low (group 2), high (group 3), very high or certain (group 4). NI was diagnosed via routine surveillance according to Centers for Disease Control case definitions.

RESULTS

154 patients were assessed; the percentage of patients with NI increased with estimated risk at admission, from 0% in group 1 to 14.3% in group 4. Positive predictive value of medical assessment varied from 8.4% to 14.5%, according to the cutoff value. Negative predictive value varied from 92.1% to 100%.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that ICU physicians encounter a major difficulty when informing patients or patients' families about the risk of NI occurrence, as they cannot predict this risk accurately. This limitation should be explained to patients and their families.

Predicting recurrence and progression in individual patients with stage Ta T1 bladder cancer using EORTC risk tables: a combined analysis of 2596 patients from seven EORTC trials

OBJECTIVES

To provide tables that allow urologists to easily calculate a superficial bladder cancer patient's short- and long-term risks of recurrence and progression after transurethral resection.

METHODS

A combined analysis was carried out of individual patient data from 2596 superficial bladder cancer patients included in seven European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer trials.

RESULTS

A simple scoring system was derived based on six clinical and pathological factors: number of tumors, tumor size, prior recurrence rate, T category, carcinoma in situ, and grade. The probabilities of recurrence and progression at one year ranged from 15% to 61% and from less than 1% to 17%, respectively. At five years, the probabilities of recurrence and progression ranged from 31% to 78% and from less than 1% to 45%.

CONCLUSIONS

With these probabilities, the urologist can discuss the different options with the patient to determine the most appropriate treatment and frequency of follow-up.

Factores pronósticos en la recidiva y progresión del cáncer superficial vesical. Grupos de riesgo (Parte I)

INTRODUCTION

We have carried out a retrospective study on a series of superficial bladder tumours, analyzing the clinical-pathological factors that can determine the subsequent evolution of the tumour as for recurrence and progression.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

They were revised on the whole 473, of which finally 419 superficial bladder tumours were useful for the study (223 primary tumours and 196 recurrent). Studies are carried out univariate and multivariate on 24 variables of each tumour referred to the characteristics and to the evolution of the tumour.

RESULTS

We find significant differences in the free time to recurrence, diminishing it in the tumours that recurred in less than 12 months, in multiple tumours (3 or more tumours) and in bladder dome tumours. Also statistically significant differences existed when were studied two homogeneous groups of surgeons, while the treatment with bladder instillations increased it. The time to progression, diminishes in: Tumours that had recurred prematurely (in 6 months), tumours over 3 cm, high grade tumours and when two groups of surgeons were studied, we also find that the maintenance therapy with BCG (bacillus Calmette-Guerin) showed a greater time to progression versus induction therapy.

DISCUSSION

The independent factors to explain smaller free time till superficial recurrence were: recurrence in the 1 degree year, multiplicity, surgical technique, not employment of bladder washes, treatment with low dose of BCG and use of intravesical therapy with induction therapy versus maintenance. About the progression, we objectify that the factors with greater influence in the progression were, recurrence in the first 6 months, grade (grade 2 and grade 3 + Tis) and treatment with maintenance therapy versus induction.

Molecular evidence supporting field effect in urothelial carcinogenesis

PURPOSE

Human urothelial carcinoma is thought to arise from a field change that affects the entire urothelium. Multifocality of urothelial carcinoma is a common finding at endoscopy and surgery. Whether these coexisting tumors arise independently or are derived from the same tumor clone is uncertain. Molecular analysis of microsatellite alterations and X-chromosome inactivation status in the cells from each coexisting tumor may further our understanding of urothelial carcinogenesis.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We examined 58 tumors from 21 patients who underwent surgical excision for urothelial carcinoma. All patients had multiple separate foci of urothelial carcinoma (two to four) within the urinary tract. Genomic DNA samples were prepared from formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue sections using laser-capture microdissection. Loss of heterozygosity (LOH) assays for three microsatellite polymorphic markers on chromosome 9p21 (IFNA and D9S171), regions of putative tumor suppressor gene p16, and on chromosome 17p13 (TP53), the p53 tumor suppressor gene locus, were done. X-chromosome inactivation analysis was done on the urothelial tumors from 11 female patients.

RESULTS

Seventeen of 21 (81%) cases showed allelic loss in one or more of the urothelial tumors in at least one of the three polymorphic markers analyzed. Concordant allelic loss patterns between each coexisting urothelial tumor were seen in only 3 of 21 (14%) cases. A concordant pattern of nonrandom X-chromosome inactivation in the multiple coexisting urothelial tumors was seen in only 3 of 11 female patients; of these 3 cases, only one displayed an identical allelic loss pattern in all of the tumors on LOH analysis.

CONCLUSION

LOH and X-chromosome inactivation assays show that the coexisting tumors in many cases of multifocal urothelial carcinoma have a unique clonal origin and arise from independently transformed progenitor urothelial cells, supporting the "field effect" theory for urothelial carcinogenesis.

Urinary NMP22 BladderChek test in the diagnosis of superficial bladder cancer

OBJECTIVE

To study the diagnostic efficacy of the NMP22 BladderChek test and to compare it to cytology in the detection of bladder cancer.

METHODS

We evaluated 106 voided urinary specimens of patients with suspicion of bladder cancer. All voided urine samples were evaluated by the NMP22 BladderChek test, cytology, sediment and culture. The diagnostic value of the NMP22 BladderChek test was evaluated according to correlation with cystoscopic findings and, in case of tumour, histological findings. A negative test result in a pTaG1 tumour was not considered false-negative in this study. The results were compared to the diagnostic value of cytology. Moreover, the value of the combination of cytology and the NMP22 BladderChek test was determined.

RESULTS

In total, 29 patients had histologically proven transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. The NMP22 BladderChek test detected 40% of 15 pTa tumours and 83.3% of the 6 pT1 tumours. Cytology detected pTa in 33.3% and pT1 in 66.6%. The 1 CIS lesion was detected by cytology. In the group of patients in follow-up the sensitivity and specificity were 57.1% (CI 28.8-82.3) and 89.8% (CI 79.2-96.2) for the NMP22 BladderChek test and 42.9% (CI 17.7-71.7) and 93.2% (CI 83.5-98.1) for cytology.

CONCLUSION

The NMP22 BladderChek test has a slightly higher sensitivity compared to cytology, without a relevant loss in specificity. Furthermore it is an easy test with instant result. However, no extra tumours were detected by adjunction of the NMP22 BladderChek test.

Chromosomal changes in uroepithelial carcinomas

This article reviews and summarizes chromosomal changes responsible for the initiation and progression of uroepithelial carcinomas. Characterization of these alterations may lead to a better understanding of the genetic mechanisms and open the door for molecular markers that can be used for better diagnosis and prognosis of the disease. Such information might even help in designing new therapeutic strategies geared towards prevention of tumor recurrences and more aggressive approach in progression-prone cases.

The revision of 205 cases of uroepithelial carcinomas reported with abnormal karyotypes showed karyotypic profile characterized by nonrandom chromosomal aberrations varying from one or few changes in low-grade and early stage tumors to massively rearranged karyotypes in muscle invasive ones. In general, the karyotypic profile was dominated by losses of chromosomal material seen as loss of entire chromosome and/or deletions of genetic materials. Rearrangements of chromosome 9 resulting in loss of material from 9p, 9q, or of the entire chromosome were the most frequent cytogenetic alterations, seen in 45% of the cases. Whereas loss of material from chromosome arms 1p, 8p, and 11p, and gains of chromosome 7, and chromosome arm 1q, and 8q seem to be an early, but secondary, changes appearing in superficial and well differentiated tumors, the formation of an isochromosome for 5p and loss of material from 17p are associated with more aggressive tumor phenotypes. Upper urinary tract TCCs have identical karyotypic profile to that of bladder TCCs, indicating the same pathogenetic mechanisms are at work in both locales. Intratumor cytogenetic heterogeneity was not seen except in a few post-radiation uroepithelial carcinomas in which distinct karyotypic and clonal pattern were characterized by massive intratumor heterogeneity (cytogenetic polyclonality) with near-diploid clones and simple balanced and/or unbalanced translocations. In the vast majority of cases strong correlation between the tumors grade/stage and karyotypic complexity was seen, indicating that progressive accumulation of acquired genetic alterations is the driving force behind multistep bladder TCC carcinogenesis. Although most of these cytogenetic alterations have been identified for many years, the molecular consequences and relevant cancer genes of these alterations have not yet been identified. However, loss of TSG(s) from chromosome 9 seems to be the primary and important event(s) in uroepithelial carcinogenesis

Gene Expression Profiling of Progressive Papillary Noninvasive Carcinomas of the Urinary Bladder

PURPOSE

The aim of the present study was to define gene expression profiles of noninvasive and invasive bladder cancer, to identify potential therapeutic or screening targets in bladder cancer, and to define genetic changes relevant for tumor progression of recurrent papillary bladder cancer (pTa).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Overall, 67 bladder neoplasms (46 pTa, 3 pTis, 10 pT1, and 8 pT2) and eight normal bladder specimens were investigated by a combination of laser microdissection and gene expression profiling. Eight of 16 patients with recurrent noninvasive papillary bladder tumors developed carcinoma in situ (pTis) or invasive bladder cancer (> or = pT1G2) in the course of time. RNA expression results of the putative progression marker cathepsin E (CTSE) were confirmed by immunohistochemistry using high-throughput tissue microarray analysis (n = 776). Univariate analysis of factors regarding overall survival, progression-free survival, and recurrence-free survival in patients with urothelial bladder cancer was done.

RESULTS

Hierarchical cluster analyses revealed no differences between pTaG1 and pTaG2 tumors. However, distinct groups of invasive cancers with different gene expression profiles in papillary and solid tumors were found. Progression-associated gene profiles could be defined (e.g., FABP4 and CTSE) and were already present in the preceding noninvasive papillary tumors. CTSE expression (P = 0.003) and a high Ki-67 labeling index of at least 5% (P = 0.01) were the only factors that correlated significantly with progression-free survival of pTa tumors in our gene expression approach.

CONCLUSIONS

Gene expression profiling revealed novel genes with potential clinical utility to select patients that are more likely to develop aggressive disease.

Telomerase activity in urine sediments as a tool for noninvasive detection of bladder cancer

Telomerase is extensively investigated as potential diagnostic and prognostic marker in human tumors. In this study, we determined telomerase activity in histological specimens and voided urine of 52 human bladder cancers. Using the PCR-ELISA method telomerase activity was found in 21 (88%) of the 24 tumor tissues and in the corresponding sediments from voided urine of patients with superficial bladder carcinoma (Ta/T1). In case of muscle-invasive tumors (T2-T4), telomerase activity was found in 27 (96%) of the 28 tumor tissues and in 26 (93%) of the 28 urine sediments. Enzyme activity was not detected in 13 control urine sediments. Telomerase activity was not significantly associated with clinicopathological parameters supporting the diagnostic rather than prognostic value of this marker in bladder cancer. The present study demonstrates that telomerase activity detection in voided urine has high potential for noninvasive diagnosis of superficial bladder tumors.

The International Bladder Cancer Bank: proposal for a new study concept

At present, results of marker studies are often inconsistent and sometimes contradictory. Recognized problems include multiple different methods of performing the assays, different subsets of patients and different endpoints, leading to incompatible datasets. Although there has been discussion of establishing general methodological principles and guidelines (analogous to those for clinical trials) for design, conduct, analysis, and reporting of marker studies, these have not been widely implemented. There are no well-recognized prototypes or examples that the urologic researcher can use to model future marker studies. We will discuss our plans to establish a multi-institutional bladder cancer data base and virtual tumor bank as a resource for participating institutions to evaluate the biological and prognostic significance of potential markers for bladder cancer. Samples will be identified and stored at each participating institution and will be available for analysis. A standard, minimal set of patient and pathologic information will be collected. The use of common software, as part of this proposal will facilitate the data transfer of updated patient information to a central database. All contributing centers will have access to summarized information, also to simplify the process of finding collaborating partners. Prospectively collected, consistent datasets with available long-term follow-up, should provide information sooner than with a conventional prospective study. Furthermore, the quality of these data and samples may be superior to that of retrospectively collected data and samples. The proposed International Bladder Cancer Bank of specimens and data will be an effective tool during all phases of marker development.

Preliminary European results of local microwave hyperthermia and chemotherapy treatment in intermediate or high risk superficial transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder

INTRODUCTION

Superficial bladder cancer can be treated by transurethral resection (TUR) and adjuvant intravesical therapy. Intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) has been proven to be more efficacious with respect to recurrence prevention than intravesical chemotherapy, although at the cost of more severe side effects. There is a need for a new treatment modality with higher efficacy and less toxicity. The subject of this study is the efficacy of local microwave hyperthermia and chemotherapy treatment in intermediate or high risk superficial transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the bladder.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Ninety eligible patients received adjuvant treatment with a combination of mitomycin-C (MMC) and local microwave hyperthermia. All patients had multiple or recurrent Ta or T1 TCC of the bladder and were classified as intermediate or high risk according to EAU criteria. In total, 41 patients were BCG failures. The treatment regimen included 6 to 8 weekly sessions followed by 4 to 6 monthly sessions. Follow-up consisted of video-cystoscopy and urine cytology every 3 months. All patients were observed for 2 years.

RESULTS

Kaplan-Meier analyses of the total group (N = 90) indicated that 1 year after treatment only 14.3% (SE 4.5%) of all patients experienced a recurrence. After 2 years of follow-up the risk of recurrence was 24.6% (SE 5.9%). No progression in stage and grade was observed.

CONCLUSION

Microwave induced hyperthermia combined with MMC has promising value in intermediate or high risk superficial bladder cancer patients compared to literature data of BCG and/or intravesical chemotherapy, particularly where other treatments, i.e. BCG, have failed.

Prognosis of muscle-invasive bladder cancer: difference between primary and progressive tumours and implications for therapy

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the difference in prognosis between progressive and primary muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From 1986 to 2000, 74 patients with progressive muscle-invasive bladder cancer were identified. Eighty-nine patients with primary muscle-invasive bladder cancer were frequency matched for stage to these patients with progressive disease. Baseline data including patient and tumour characteristics were collected at the time of diagnosis of the muscle-invasive tumour. Duration of survival was defined as time from muscle-invasive bladder cancer diagnosis until disease-specific death. Kaplan-Meier curves were drawn to determine the difference in prognosis between the two study groups. To adjust for potential residual confounding due to differences in treatment, 4 subgroups (T2/3, T4, N+ and M+) were constructed according to the TNM classification. In order to see whether age and gender had any effect on outcome, the four stage groups, age and gender were entered in a Cox's proportional hazard regression model.

RESULTS

The 3-year bladder cancer-specific survival was 67% in the primary group and 37% in the progressive group (log rank p=0.0015). Kaplan-Meier curves comparing the different stage groups showed a better prognosis for the patients with primary, i.e. pT2/3 or N+, tumours at baseline. Cox regression analysis demonstrated that age and gender had no influence on bladder cancer-specific survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer and a history of superficial bladder cancer have a worse prognosis than patients with primary muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

Superficial bladder tumours: analysis of prognostic factors and construction of a predictive index

OBJECTIVES

To assess the prognostic factors that could be used to predict tumour recurrence and progression, and to construct and validate a predictive index.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between June 1991 and December 2000, 533 patients (418 men and 115 women; mean age 55.4 years) underwent complete transurethral resection of histologically confirmed pTa and pT1 transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder, after which 377 (test series) were randomized into two subsequent studies, of six groups, to receive adjuvant intravesical sequential bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) and epirubicin, BCG alone, epirubicin (50 or 80 mg), adriamycin 50 mg or no adjuvant therapy. Factors potentially affecting tumour recurrence or progression were assessed using univariate and multivariate analysis, i.e. tumour stage, histological grade, DNA ploidy, history of recurrence, multiplicity, size, tumour configuration, associated carcinoma in situ, recurrence at the first 3-month check cystoscopy and the use of adjuvant therapy. The regression coefficients determined by Cox regression analysis were used to construct a predictive index (PI). The algebraic sum of the regression coefficients of the factors with independent and significant association with disease-free survival for each case represented a proportional hazard score (PHS). The PI was validated in another series of 156 patients (validation series) in whom the same regression coefficients for the same significant factors as the test series were used to categorize it into three risk groups. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were plotted to compare the different risk categories in both test and validation series.

RESULTS

The mean (sd, range) follow-up in the test and validation series were 58 (19, 5-96) and 28.3 (14.9, 2-94) months, respectively. In the test series, tumour stage, DNA ploidy, multiplicity, history of recurrence, tumour configuration, cystoscopy result and the type of adjuvant therapy had independent significance for recurrence on multivariate analysis. For progression, the cystoscopy result, DNA ploidy and grade were the only independent and significant predictors. The ranges of PHS for the factors affecting recurrence-free and progression-free survival were 0.0-7.14 and 0.0-5.84, respectively, which were divided equally into three risk categories with significant differences on Kaplan-Meier curves and a log-rank test (P < 0.001). The three categories in the validation series were significantly different from each other and each was comparable with that in the test series.

CONCLUSIONS

Tumour stage, DNA ploidy, multiplicity, history of recurrence, tumour configuration and type of adjuvant therapy affected independently the rate of recurrence after resecting superficial bladder tumour. Recurrence at the 3-month cystoscopy, histological grade and DNA ploidy were the only predictors of progression to muscle-invasion. The PI dividing the patients into three risk groups with different treatment and follow-up strategies for recurrence and progression was reproducible in a validation series.

Significance of random bladder biopsies in superficial bladder cancer

OBJECTIVES

We investigated to what extent biopsies of normal-appearing urothelium taken from patients with superficial bladder cancer (Ta, T1, Tis) showed malignant disease and whether those findings had impact on therapeutical decisions.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

1033 consecutive patients presenting with Ta, T1 or Tis (carcinoma in situ) superficial bladder tumors at increased risk for recurrence underwent multiple random biopsies from normal-appearing urothelium during transurethral resection (TUR). Patients with small, primary, singular tumors (smaller or equal to 1cm) were excluded from random biopsies.

RESULTS

No tumor was found in the random biopsies of 905 patients (87.6%). 128 patients (12.4%) showed urothelial bladder cancer in their random biopsies (Tis: 74, Ta: 41, T1: 12, T2: 1). In 14 patients, where transurethral resection of the primary tumor revealed no signs of malignancy, urothelial bladder cancer was detected in the random biopsy material: Ta 8 patients, Tis 5 patients and T1 one patient. 21 patients with Ta tumors and 29 patients with T1 disease showed concomitant Tis. Upstaging of the primary, resected tumor by histological examination of the random biopsy material occurred in 75 patients (7%). Altogether, due to the random biopsy results therapy was altered in 70 patients (6.8%) of our series: It changed intravesical chemotherapy to BCG in 45, provoked a second TUR in 48 and cystectomy in 15 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

While the clinical significance of random biopsies is still controversial, random biopsy results had strong impact on therapeutical decisions in our series. Regarding random bladder biopsies a simple tool for the urologist to identify high risk groups of patients, we recommend them as part of the routine management of superficial bladder cancer.

Can p53 staining be used to identify patients with aggressive superficial bladder cancer?

Approximately 10% of patients with superficial bladder cancer (pTa/pT1) recur with life-threatening muscle-invasive disease. Identification of these patients has been a major goal of bladder cancer research. In 1994, it was suggested that p53 immunostaining could identify the cancers that would progress and it was proposed that tumours that stain for p53 should be treated aggressively with radiotherapy or cystectomy. Despite the hundreds of studies published since on the relationship between p53 and progression in superficial bladder cancer, the clinical utility of p53 immunostaining has not been resolved because of limitations concerning the numbers of patients and the length of follow-up. This study set out to overcome these limitations by using tissue from a large multicentre trial that recruited 502 patients with a median follow-up of 10 years. Each of 34 patients that had progressed with >/= pT2 disease or had distant metastases or had died from bladder cancer was compared with one or two matched controls. Sections were stained with a mouse monoclonal antibody to p53, pAb1801. In agreement with many of the earlier studies, p53 immunostaining had prognostic significance. The adjusted hazard ratio for time to progression for the pAb1801-positive versus negative group was 2.5, with 95% confidence intervals of 1.05-5.98 (p = 0.039). The other major risk factor that is associated with progression of superficial bladder cancer is pT1G3 disease. Of the 42 pT1G3 cancers, 14 (33%) progressed. The proportion of cancers with p53 staining that progressed was similar to the proportion of pT1G3 cancers that progressed, but neither the sensitivity nor the specificity of association of p53 staining with progression is sufficient to recommend cystectomy in individual patients.

Optimal excitation-emission wavelengths for autofluorescence diagnosis of bladder tumors

Tissue autofluorescence depends on endogenous fluorophores in the tissue, which undergo a change associated with malignant transformation. This change can be detected as an alteration in the spectral profile and intensity of autofluorescence. Our purpose was to determine the optimal excitation and emission wavelengths for autofluorescence diagnosis of bladder cancer. A total of 52 bladder tissue specimens were obtained from 25 patients undergoing mucosal biopsies or surgical resections of bladder tumors. Light-induced autofluorescence measurements were performed to study the spectroscopic differences between normal and malignant bladder tissue. Fluorescence excitation wavelengths varying from 220 to 500 nm were used to induce tissue autofluorescence, and emission spectra were measured in the 280-700 nm range. These spectra were then combined to construct 2-dimensional fluorescence excitation-emission matrices (EEMs). Significant changes in fluorescence intensity of EEMs were observed between normal and tumor bladder tissues, the most marked differences being at the excitation wavelengths of 280 and 330 nm. The diagnostic algorithm based on the combination of the fluorescence peak intensity ratios of I(350)/I(470) at 280 nm excitation and I(390)/I(470) at 330 nm excitation yielded a sensitivity of 100% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.95-1.0] and specificity of 100% (95% CI 0.90-1.0). The results of the present fluorescence EEM study demonstrate that autofluorescence spectroscopy can distinguish malignant from normal bladder tissue and that excitation wavelengths of 280 and 330 nm are the most significant for differentiation between normal and malignant bladder mucosae with a high degree of diagnostic accuracy.

[Multivariate analysis of recurrence and progression in stage T1 transitional-cell carcinoma of the bladder. Prognostic value of p53 and Ki67]

OBJECTIVE

To establish prognostic factors of recurrence and progression in stage T1 transitional cell bladder carcinoma, paying special attention to prognostic value of p53 and ki67.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

175 patients with incident bladder tumour at T1 category. The immunohistochemical study was performed using the monoclonal antibodies DO-7, for p53 and MIB-1, for ki67. Kaplan-Meier methodology was used, and a multivariate analysis using Cox's proportional hazards model was carried out in order to determine the variables associated with recurrence and progression. ROC curves were also drawn up.

RESULTS

The average follow up period was 8.55 years. 5 and 12-year recurrence-free survival rates were 57.98% and 48.47%. The independent variables for recurrence were histological grade, tumour multifocality, tumour size > 3 cm, presence of carcinoma in situ and ki67 expression. 5 and 12-year progression-free survival rates were 83.12% and 75.63%. The independent variables for progression were age, tumour multifocality, solid microscopic morphology, p53 expression and ki67 expression.

CONCLUSIONS

Solid microscopic pattern and p53 expression are the variables which best predict progression. A positive relationship was observed between p53 and progression: the greater the expression of p53, the greater the progression. Tumour multifocality and ki67 expression > 27% are the main prognostic factors for recurrence.

The health economics of bladder cancer: a comprehensive review of the published literature

The aim of this paper was to conduct a critical systematic review of the available literature on the clinical and economic burden of bladder cancer in developed countries, with a focus on the cost effectiveness of interventions aimed at reducing that burden.Forty-four economic studies were included in the review. Because of long- term survival and the need for lifelong routine monitoring and treatment, the cost per patient of bladder cancer from diagnosis to death is the highest of all cancers, ranging from 96000-187000 US dollars (2001 values) in the US. Overall, bladder cancer is the fifth most expensive cancer in terms of total medical care expenditures, accounting for almost 3.7 billion US dollars (2001 values) in direct costs in the US. Screening for bladder cancer in the general population is currently not recommended. The economic value of relatively new and less expensive urine assays and molecular urinary tumour markers has not been assessed. However, the literature suggests that screening patients suspected of having bladder cancer and using less invasive diagnostic procedures is cost effective. Very few cost-effectiveness studies have evaluated intravesical therapies such as bacillus Calmette-Guérin and mitomycin in the management of superficial disease and no robust recommendations can be drawn. Economic analyses suggest that non-surgical treatment strategies for the management of invasive disease aiming at bladder preservation may not be cost effective, because they have not consistently demonstrated survival benefits and do not eliminate the need for subsequent radical cystectomy. The literature suggests that the current conventional frequent follow-up and monitoring of patients can be cost effectively replaced by less frequent and less invasive monitoring, and should rely more heavily on intravesical chemotherapy to reduce the need for cystoscopies. Bladder cancer is a fairly common and costly malignancy. Nevertheless, the existing literature only contributes marginally to our knowledge concerning the burden of bladder cancer and the economic value of various interventions. The limited value of the literature in this area may be attributed to (i) being published as abstracts rather than full peer-reviewed evaluations; (ii) employing questionable methodologies; and (iii) being in many cases nearly obsolete, rendering them less relevant to, if not in conflict with, current clinical practice. Consequently, opportunities exist to conduct meaningful economic research in all areas of the management of bladder cancer, including screening, diagnosis, follow-up and treatment, especially with respect to new and innovative pharmaceutical and other technologies.

Bladder cancer: epidemiology, diagnosis, and management

PURPOSE

The purpose of this article is to present an overview of the epidemiology diagnosis, and management of bladder cancer, with a focus on the early stage of this disease.

OVERVIEW

English-language articles published between 1990 and 2000, as well as selected abstracts published in non-English languages before 1990, were reviewed. Epidemiologic data clearly indicate that bladder cancer is much more common in men, White persons, and the elderly. Cigarette smoking appears to be the most significant environmental risk factor. Screening for the disease is currently not standard in the United States or Canada. Potential tests include urine cytology, hematuria dipstick, and the urinary biomarkers. Diagnosis is made most often on the basis of the findings of cystoscopy, tumor biopsy, and urine cytology. Transurethral resection (TUR) of the tumor is generally the first-line treatment for superficial disease. Cystectomy is the "gold standard" treatment for invasive disease in many countries, although trimodality therapy (TUR, radiation, systemic chemotherapy) has shown promise as a bladder-preserving strategy. Intravesical therapy is effective for preventing disease recurrence, although its role in slowing disease progression is uncertain. Chemotherapy and radiation also can be used with cystectomy to treat or prevent pelvic recurrence of invasive disease or to prolong life in patients with metastatic disease.

CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS

Bladder cancer is a commonly occurring disease. Prevention efforts must focus on the avoidance or cessation of cigarette smoking and on public education relating to known environmental risk factors. Patient and disease factors must be considered in making treatment decisions and determining prognosis. Careful follow-up after treatment is essential. It is hoped that ongoing research on potential tumor markers and tumor-specific therapies ultimately will result in improved clinical outcomes for patients with this malignancy.

Impact of p53 and Ki-67 in predicting recurrence and progression of superficial (pTa and pT1) urothelial cell carcinomas of urinary bladder

In predicting the aggressive behavior of bladder tumors, the histopathological characteristics of grade and invasive stage are of principal importance. However, for predicting tumor recurrence and progression, these are sufficient only to a limited extent, particularly in the case of superficial (pTa and pT1) urothelial cell carcinomas. New prognostic factors are therefore needed to avoid either insufficient or excessive treatment. In this retrospective study, we investigated the prognostic value of the p53 and Ki-67 immunoreactivity indices. The present study included 118 superficial urinary bladder tumors consisting of 58 recurrent and 60 non-recurrent cases. Twenty of the recurrent tumors progressed into a higher grade and/or invasive stage. Paraffin immunohistochemical analysis was carried out using anti-p53 and anti-Ki-67 antibodies on the initial tumor tissues. We concluded that there is a highly significant relationship between the p53 and Ki-67 immunoreactivities and the histological grade and pathological stage of the tumors (P < 0.0001). We observed a significant relationship between the presence of recurrence and progression and the p53 immunoreactivity index (P < 0.01 and P = 0.017, respectively) and Ki-67 immunoreactivity index (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.046, respectively). Positivity for p53 and Ki-67 can demonstrate the risk of recurrence (p53: sensitivity = 76%, specificity = 58%; Ki-67: sensitivity = 86%, specificity = 48%) and progression (p53: sensitivity = 80%, specificity = 46%; Ki-67: sensitivity = 85%, specificity = 36%; ). We believe that both of these immunohistochemical markers can be considered valuable in addition to classical histopathological prognostic parameters for predicting recurrence and progression risks.

Intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin treatment improves patient survival in T1G3 bladder tumours

OBJECTIVE

To study the clinical and pathological factors that affect recurrence, progression and survival in pT1G3 bladder tumours treated conservatively.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

From January 1979 to December 1996, 80 patients were conservatively treated for pT1G3 bladder tumours. All patients were studied for potential prognostic factors such as: age, sex, previous tumour recurrence, tumour size, multiple tumours, carcinoma in situ, and intravesical instillations. A longitudinal, retrospective, observational and analytical study was conducted to evaluate four different types of events: recurrence, progression, overall survival, and disease-specific survival. The chi(2) (Fischer exact test) and student t tests were used to assess the prognostic value of the qualitative and quantitative variables. Estimations of the survival distributions were calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the Log rank test. Multivariate analysis of the data was performed with Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Among the 80 patients, 67 (84%) were men and 13 (16%) were women, with median age of 65.5 years. The median tumour size was 20 mm, most had single tumour (58.8%) and carcinoma in situ was found in six patients (7.5%). Thirty patients were treated with transurethral resection (TUR) of the bladder tumour and 50 patients were treated with TUR followed by BCG. The two groups of patients were comparable and followed up during a median time of 61 and 65 months, respectively (p=0.454). Kaplan-Meier estimators and Log rank tests demonstrated that patients with TUR alone recurred (p<0.0001), progressed (p<0.040) and died (overall survival: p<0.009; disease-specific p<0.040) earlier than patients who received intravesical instillations of BCG. The results were confirmed with Cox models and odds-ratios are presented.

CONCLUSION

In this study, BCG adjuvant immunotherapy was the only factor affecting recurrence, progression and survival. Conservative treatment using TUR followed by BCG may improve disease-specific survival.

Multivariate analysis of survival, recurrence, progression and development of mestastasis in T1 and T2a transitional cell bladder carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Determination of prognosis factors associated with survival, recurrence, progression, and development of metastasis in T1 and T2a transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the bladder is discussed.

METHODS

A study was conducted of a group of 210 patients with primary bladder TCC at classification T1 (n = 175) and T2aN0M0 (n = 35). A total of 177 variables were studied in each patient. The monoclonal antibodies used were the following: DO7 (p53) and MIB-1 (Ki-67). Prognosis was obtained using Kaplan-Meier methodology and Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The average follow-up period was 6.7 years. Cancer-related survival rates at 5 and 10 years were 82.96% and 74.78%, respectively. The independent survival variables were the following: age and expression of p53. Recurrence free survival at 5 and 10 years stood at 51.80% and 42.71%, respectively. The independent recurrence variables were T2a classification, tumor multifocality, tumor size of greater than 3 cm, carcinoma in situ in random biopsy, and expression of Ki-67. Progression free survival rates at 5 and 10 years were 75.31% and 69.16%, respectively. The independent progression variables were age, T2a classification, and expression of p53. Metastasis free survival rates at 5 and 10 years stood at 87.23% and 84.55%, respectively. The expression of p53 was the sole variable to provide an independent prediction of metastasis.

CONCLUSIONS

The expression of p53 clearly has an independent effect on the prediction of survival, progression and development of metastasis, showing a dose-response effect. Tumor multifocality and T2a classification are the variables that best predict recurrence.

Telomerase activity detected by quantitative assay in bladder carcinoma and exfoliated cells in urine

Early diagnosis is one of the most determining factors for patient survival. The detection of telomerase activity is a potentially promising tool in the diagnosis of bladder and other types of cancer due to the high expression of this enzyme in tumor cells. We carried out a quantitative evaluation of telomerase activity in urine samples in an attempt to determine a cut-off capable of identifying cancer patients. Telomerase activity was quantified by fluorescence TRAP assay in urine from 50 healthy volunteers and in urine and bioptic tumor samples from 56 previously untreated bladder cancer patients and expressed in arbitrary enzymatic units (AEU). Telomerase activity in urine ranged from 0 to 106 AEU (median 0) in healthy donors and from 0 to 282 AEU (median 87) in patients with cancer. A telomerase expression higher than the cut off value determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was observed in 78% of cases, regardless of tumor grade and in 71% (15/21) of cases of nonassessable or negative cytology. The quantitative analysis of telomerase activity in urine enabled us to define cut-off values characterized by different sensitivity and specificity. Cytologic and telomerase determination, used sequentially, enabled us to detect about 90% of tumors.

Superficial and metachronous invasive bladder carcinomas are clonally related

Synchronous and metachronous tumors are frequently observed in the urinary tract and may be explained by the concept of 'field cancerization,' i.e., exposure to carcinogens leading to the independent transformation of many urothelial cells resulting in oncogenetically unrelated tumors. Increasing evidence, however, supports the concept of clonality, i.e., the progeny of a single transformed cell spreads through the urinary system resulting in genetically related tumors. The aim of our study was to investigate the putative clonal origin of invasive urothelial cell carcinomas (UCCs) of the bladder from a prior superficial tumor. We selected 6 patients (5 males and 1 female) with superficial and subsequent invasive UCC tumors. All patients were previously diagnosed with a p53 mutation in their invasive tumor. At least 1 superficial and 1 invasive tumor of the same patient were analyzed for mutations in the p53 tumor suppressor gene by PCR-SSCP and, in case of a band shift, followed by direct sequencing. In all patients the same p53 mutation was found in the superficial and subsequent invasive tumor(s). All tumors arose from the same progenitor cell. These results support the concept of a clonal origin of superficial and metachronous invasive bladder UCCs.

Diagnostic efficacy of the ImmunoCyt test to detect superficial bladder cancer recurrence

OBJECTIVES

To study the diagnostic performance of the ImmunoCyt test in patients in follow-up for superficial urothelial cell carcinoma (UCC) of the bladder.

METHODS

Voided urine samples were collected from all included patients. Samples were processed with the ImmunoCyt test. The ImmunoCyt slides were scored under a fluorescence microscope by 3 observers. The ImmunoCyt test was considered positive if one or more observers scored the test positive. Urethrocystoscopy (and additional histologic examination in the case of suspicious cystoscopic findings) was used as the reference standard. To investigate the validity of ImmunoCyt, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and diagnostic odds ratios were determined. To investigate the reproducibility of ImmunoCyt, kappa values (measure of agreement) were computed. The observers' findings were analyzed in pairs.

RESULTS

One hundred four patients in follow-up after primary superficial UCC of the bladder were included. Samples of 18 patients had to be excluded because of low cellularity (ie, insufficient assessable urothelial cells). Tumor recurrence was found in 22 of the remaining 86 patients (17 pTa, 3 pT1, 1 carcinoma in situ, 1 pT2 or higher). The test had a sensitivity of 50%, specificity of 73%, positive predictive value of 39%, and negative predictive value of 81%. The diagnostic odds ratio was 2.8 (95% confidence interval 1.0 to 7.5). The area under the curve for the different observers varied between 0.54 and 0.60. The kappa values were low (0.05 to 0.45), representing high interobserver variability.

CONCLUSIONS

The promising results from other studies could not be confirmed in this specific group of patients in follow-up for superficial UCC of the bladder. The validity of ImmunoCyt was insufficient to justify the omission of cystoscopy in patients in follow-up for superficial UCC.

Prognostic utility of human complement factor H related protein test (the BTA stat Test)

The purpose of the study was to determine, in addition to well-known prognostic factors, histological grade, stage, tumour size and multiplicity, the correlation of BTA stat Test on disease free interval (DFI) on primary superficial bladder cancer. A total of 116 patients with newly diagnosed bladder cancer were evaluated in a prospective multicentre study. A voided urine sample was obtained prior to TURB and split for culture, cytology and BTA stat testing. Follow-up data for the patients were collected until the first recurrence or the last visit and the DFI was analysed by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox analysis. Ninety-seven of the 116 (83.6%) patients were eligible for analysis. The BTA stat Test was positive in 73 (75.3%) patients, whereas cytology detected 20 (20.6%) cases. The DFI was found to be shorter among patients with a positive BTA stat Test, and also among those with intermediate or high-grade tumours. The BTA stat Test result divided patients with grade 2 tumours into two prognostic groups, in that those testing positive had 68.6% risk of recurrence during the first year compared to 42.9% risk of those with a negative test result (P = 0.041). Although the effect of tumour size on DFI was notable, the difference did not reach statistical significance (P = 0.064). Number of tumours was not related to DFI, nor was the difference between different stage of tumour of significance. BTA stat Test is not only sensitive in detection of primary bladder cancer, but also might have some independent prognostic significance.

[DNA ploidy determination with flow cytometry, Ki-67 index and overexpression of p53 protein in 121 T1 superficial bladder carcinomas. Retrospective studies. Part II: Prognostic value and usefulness in the indication for prophylactic treatment with BCG]

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate the utility of Ki-67 label index, p53 expression and flow cytometry-DNA ploidy in the selection of groups to be treated with prophylactic BCG and the prognostic value compared with the classic variables (grade, lymphatic permeation, multiplicity, volume, primary).

MATERIAL & METHOD

121 superficial bladder tumors T1. 10% Cut-off level for Ki-67 and p53. Aneuplody is defined as a tumor with DNA index different of 1 or more than 20% in G2-M phase. 71 (58.7%) received BCG.

RESULTS

In uni and multivariate analysis positivity to Ki-67 is correlated with recurrence. Progression is correlated with lymphatic permeation (p .0003), volume (p .016), ploidy (p .022) and positivity to p53 (p .007). In multivariate analysis, volume and positivity to p53 are independent variables. None were of utility to prevent recurrence, but Ki-67 positive or aneuploid treated tumors had less progression (p .025 and p .009 respectively). The p53 negative treated tumors had less progression too.

CONCLUSIONS

Only Ki-67 is correlated with tumoral recurrence. P53 and tumor volume are correlated with stage progression. If the results are confirmed with bigger series, the Ki-67 positive and/or aneuploid tumors would obtain benefits of prophylactic treatment with BCG.

Lower incidence of urothelial cell carcinoma due to the concept of a clonal origin

Synchronous and metachronous tumours are frequently observed in the urinary tract and may be explained by the concept of field cancerisation, i.e. exposure to carcinogens leads to independent transformation of many urothelial cells resulting in genetically unrelated tumours. However, increasing evidence supports the concept of clonality, i.e. the progeny of a single transformed cell spreads through the urinary system resulting in genetically related tumours. The aim of this study was to review the molecular biological evidence for both concepts and to assess the consequences of a clonality assumption on the incidence of urothelial cell carcinoma (UCC). In total 1198 non-invasive and 1113 invasive (> or = T1) UCCs of the bladder were registered as incident tumours in 1996-1997 by three Dutch cancer registries following the current registration rules of the International Association of Cancer Registries (IACR). Assuming clonality, the number of non-invasive and invasive bladder UCCs decreased by 10.9% and 11.5% respectively. A decline of 8.5% and 9.5% was found for UCCs of the ureter and renal pelvis, respectively. Current registration rules have substantial impact on the incidence estimates of UCC. New insights into the molecular biology of UCC should be translated into registration rules.

Patient opinion of urinary tests versus flexible urethrocystoscopy in follow-up examination for superficial bladder cancer: a utility analysis

OBJECTIVES

Urethrocystoscopy (UCS) is the reference standard diagnostic test in the follow-up of patients with superficial bladder cancer. The major disadvantage of this method is its invasive character. Urine cytology is not bothersome for the patient and does not cause any morbidity. However, it is not sensitive enough to replace UCS. Extensive research is being done to develop a urinary test with high sensitivity to serve as an attractive noninvasive alternative to UCS. In this study we examined patients' opinions about the required validity of noninvasive diagnostic tools.

METHODS

One hundred two patients who were at least 1 year in follow-up for superficial bladder cancer were given a questionnaire, and 85 of them were interviewed by telephone. Questions were asked about their experience with flexible UCS, the number of UCS procedures they had undergone, and the number of recurrences. With the use of the standard gamble method, a utility analysis was performed to obtain the individual minimal accepted sensitivity (MAS) for a urinary test at which the patient would prefer that test to UCS.

RESULTS

Eleven percent of the patients required an MAS of 60% to 85%, 21% an MAS of 90% to 95%, and 68% an MAS of 99% to 100%. A higher MAS was found in women, younger people (67 years old or younger), patients who had undergone UCS more frequently, and patients with recurrences.

CONCLUSIONS

If the sensitivity of a urinary test is lower than 90%, 89% of the patients will prefer flexible UCS as the diagnostic method in the follow-up of superficial bladder cancer.

Primary superficial bladder cancer risk groups according to progression, mortality and recurrence

PURPOSE

We identified risk groups in primary superficial bladder cancer according to progression, mortality and recurrence rates.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The prognostic factors of progression, mortality and recurrence were identified by multivariate analysis in a cohort of 1,529 patients with primary superficial bladder cancer. Risk groups were designed by combining the relative risk of these prognostic factors. We performed survival analysis of progression, tumor mortality and recurrence by risk group using the Kaplan-Meier method. Relative risk in each group was calculated by Cox regression. We present timetables of progression, mortality and recurrence by risk group.

RESULTS

Risk groups were classified as low-grade 1 stage Ta disease and a single grade 1 stage T1 tumor, intermediate-multiple grade 1 stage T1 tumors, grade 2 stage Ta disease and a single grade 2 stage T1 tumor, and high-multiple grade 2 stage T1 tumors, grade 3 stages Ta and T1 disease, and any stage disease associated with carcinoma in situ. Survival analysis of progression, mortality and recurrence revealed a statistically significant difference among the 3 risk groups. The rates of recurrence, progression and mortality were 37%, 0% and 0% in the low, 45%, 1.8% and 0.73% in the intermediate, and 54%, 15% and 9.5% in the high risk group, respectively. The relative risks of recurrence, progression and mortality in the low versus the intermediate and high risk groups were 1.37, 2.84 and 1, and 1.87, 24.76 and 14.69, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk group classification based on prognostic factors defines progression, mortality and recurrence rates in primary superficial bladder cancer. It may be useful for designing treatment and followup strategies.