Cross Continents Collaboration for Kids (3Cs4kids) Analysis and Writing Committee. Markers for predicting mortality in untreated HIV-infected children in resource-limited settings: a meta-analysis

Lymphocyte subsets in healthy Malawians: implications for immunologic assessment of HIV infection in Africa

Background

CD4⁺T lymphocyte measurements are the most important indicator of mortality in HIV-infected individuals in resource-limited settings. There is currently a lack of comprehensive immunophenotyping data from African populations to guide the immunologic assessment of HIV infection.

Objective

To quantify variation in absolute and relative lymphocyte subsets with age in healthy Malawians.

Methods

Lymphocyte subsets in peripheral blood of 539 healthy HIV-uninfected Malawians stratified by age were enumerated by flow cytometry.

Results

B and T–lymphocyte and T-lymphocyte subset absolute concentrations peaked in early childhood then decreased to adult levels, whereas lymphocyte subset proportions demonstrated much less variation with age. Adult lymphocyte subsets were similar to those in developed countries. In contrast, high B-lymphocyte and CD8⁺T-lymphocyte levels among children under 2 years, relative to those in developed countries, resulted in low CD4⁺T-lymphocyte percentages that varied little between 0 and 5 years (35% to 39%). The CD4⁺T-lymphocyte percentages in 35% of healthy children under 1 year and 18% of children age 1 to 3 years were below the World Health Organization threshold defining immunodeficiency in HIV-infected children in resource-limited settings. Thirteen percent of healthy children under 18 months old had a CD4:CD8T-lymphocyte ratio <1.0, which is commonly associated with HIV infection. All immunologic parameters except absolute natural killer lymphocyte concentration varied significantly with age, and percentage and overall absolute CD4⁺T-lymphocyte counts were higher in females than males.

Conclusion

Although lymphocyte subsets in Malawian adults are similar to those from developed countries, CD4⁺T-lymphocyte percentages in young children are comparatively low. These findings need to be considered when assessing the severity of HIV-related immunodeficiency in African children under 3 years.

Update on antiretroviral therapy in paediatrics

This review provides an update on the most relevant issues concerning the current management of HIV infection in infants and children. Tremendous progress has been made over the last few years to diagnose and treat infants and children with HIV infection, yet much remains to be done. Every day there are nearly 1150 new infections in children under 15 years of age, more than 90% of them occurring in the developing world and most being the result of transmission from mother-to-child (WHO 2008). The comprehensive approach to preventing mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) has clearly reduced the number of children acquiring the infection in Western countries; while a further reduction of mother-to-child transmission should be aimed for personalized setting, specific intervention needs to be put in place and new efforts are now required in order to optimise treatment and care in HIV-infected children. The prompt initiation of treatment and a careful selection of first-line regimen, which considers potency as well as tolerability remain central. In addition, occurrence and prevention of opportunistic infections, adherence as well as long-term psychosocial consequences are becoming more and more relevant in the era of effective antiretroviral therapy. This article forms part of a special issue of Antiviral Research marking the 25th anniversary of Antiretroviral Drug Discovery and Development, vol. 85, issue 1, 2010.

Continuing improvement in survival for children with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome in Brazil

This retrospective cohort study examined a nationally representative sample of 945 Brazilian children (ages 0-12 years) diagnosed with AIDS in 1999 to 2002 and followed through 2007. The probability of survival to 60 months was 86.3% (95% CI, 84.1%-88.5%). This compares with 52.8% (95% CI, 41.9%-60.8%) in a study of cases diagnosed in 1983 to 1998. These results demonstrate substantial improvement in survival for children with AIDS in Brazil.

Predictors and consequences of anaemia among antiretroviral-naïve HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected children in Tanzania

OBJECTIVE

Predictors and consequences of childhood anaemia in settings with high HIV prevalence are not well known. The aims of the present study were to identify maternal and child predictors of anaemia among children born to HIV-infected women and to study the association between childhood anaemia and mortality.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study. Maternal characteristics during pregnancy and Hb measurements at 3-month intervals from birth were available for children. Information was also collected on malaria and HIV infection in the children, who were followed up for survival status until 24 months after birth.

SETTING

Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

SUBJECTS

The study sample consisted of 829 children born to HIV-positive women.

RESULTS

Advanced maternal clinical HIV disease (relative risk (RR) for stage > or =2 v. stage 1: 1.31, 95 % CI 1.14, 1.51) and low CD4 cell counts during pregnancy (RR for <350 cells/mm3 v. > or =350 cells/mm3: 1.58, 95 % CI 1.05, 2.37) were associated with increased risk of anaemia among children. Birth weight <2500 g, preterm birth (<34 weeks), malaria parasitaemia and HIV infection in the children also increased the risk of anaemia. Fe-deficiency anaemia in children was an independent predictor of mortality in the first two years of life (hazard ratio 1.99, 95 % CI 1.06, 3.72).

CONCLUSIONS

Comprehensive care including highly active antiretroviral therapy to eligible HIV-infected women during pregnancy could reduce the burden of anaemia in children. Programmes for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV and antimalarial treatment to children could improve child survival in settings with high HIV prevalence.

Anemia and growth failure among HIV-infected children in India: a retrospective analysis

Background

Anemia and poor nutrition have been previously described as independent risk factors for death among HIV-infected children. We sought to describe nutritional status, anemia burden and HIV disease correlates among infected children in India.

Methods

We analyzed retrospective data from 248 HIV-infected children aged 1–12 years attending three outpatient clinics in South India (2004–2006). Standard WHO definitions were used for anemia, HIV staging and growth parameters. Statistical analysis included chi square, t tests, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

Results

The overall prevalence of anemia (defined as hemoglobin < 11 gm/dL) was 66%, and 8% had severe anemia (Hb < 7 gm/dL). The proportion of underweight and stunted children in the population was 55% and 46% respectively. Independent risk factors of anemia by multivariate analysis included the pre-school age group (age younger than 6 years) (OR: 2.87; 95% CI: 1.45, 5.70; p < 0.01), rural residence (OR: 12.04; 95% CI: 5.64, 26.00; p < 0.01), advanced HIV disease stage (OR: 6.95; 95% CI: 3.06, 15.79; p < 0.01) and presence of stunting (Height-for-age Z Score < -2) (OR: 3.24; 95% CI: 1.65, 6.35; p < 0.01). Use of iron/multivitamin supplementation was protective against risk of anemia (OR: 0.44; 95% CI: 0.22, 0.90; p = 0.03). Pulmonary tuberculosis was an independent risk factor in multivariate analysis (OR: 3.36; 95% CI: 1.43, 7.89; p < 0.01) when correlated variables such as HIV disease stage and severe immunodeficiency, and nutritional supplement use were not included. Use of antiretroviral therapy (ART) was associated with a reduced risk of anemia (OR: 0.29; 95% CI: 0.16, 0.53; p < 0.01). No significant association was found between anemia and gender, cotrimoxazole, or ART type (zidovudine versus stavudine).

Conclusion

The high prevalence and strong interrelationship of anemia and poor nutrition among HIV-infected children in India, particularly those living in rural areas underscores the need for incorporating targeted nutritional interventions during national scale up of care, support and treatment among HIV-infected children.

Total lymphocyte count and World Health Organization pediatric clinical stage as markers to assess need to initiate antiretroviral therapy among human immunodeficiency virus-infected children in Moshi, Northern Tanzania

BACKGROUND

The World Health Organization (WHO) has recommended the use of clinical staging alone and with total lymphocyte count to identify HIV infected children in need of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in resource-limited settings, when CD4 cell count is not available.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled children obtaining care for HIV infection at the Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre Pediatric Infectious Diseases Clinic in Moshi, Tanzania between March 2004 and May 2006 for this cohort study.

RESULTS

One hundred ninety two (89.7%) of 214 children met WHO ART initiation criteria based on clinical staging or CD4 cell count. Several low-cost measures identified individuals who met WHO ART initiation criteria to the following degree: WHO stages 3 or 4 had 87.5% (95% CI, 82.8-92.1) sensitivity and, by definition, 100% (CI, 100-100) specificity; WHO recommended advance disease TLC cutoffs: sensitivity = 23.9% (95% CI, 17.3-30.5) specificity = 78.2% (95% CI, 67.3-89.1). Low TLC was a common finding, (50 of 214; 23%); however, it did not improve the sensitivity or specificity of clinical staging in identifying the severely immunosuppressed stage 2 children. Growth failure or use of total lymphocyte counts in isolation were not reliable indicators of severe immunosuppression or need to initiate ART.

CONCLUSION

The use of total lymphocyte count does not improve the ability to identify children in need of ART compared with clinical staging alone. Low absolute lymphocyte count did not correlate with severe immunosuppression based on CD4 cell count in this cohort.

Clinical practice treatment of HIV infection in children

Perinatal transmission remains the main cause of HIV infection in the pediatric population. Treatment of HIV-infected children has become less of a problem in resource-rich countries with a remarkable decrease of perinatal infections, resulting in an effective prevention of mother-to-child transmission and antiretroviral treatment of HIV infection in pediatrics because of differences in drug pharmacokinetics, the lack of available licensed drugs, the use of different immunologic markers and age-related adherence issues. This review, for the general pediatrician, summarizes the most recent pediatric data and guidelines for treatment of HIV. Recommendations for when to initiate therapy are more aggressive in children than in adults, particularly in infants because disease progression in children is more rapid. The indications to start therapy differ by age and are based on international immunologic and clinical classification system for HIV infection. At present, combination regimens of at least three drugs are recommended. Moreover, therapies must also consider the potential complications in these children currently treated for a long time.

Impact of HIV-1 infection on the hematological recovery after clinical malaria

BACKGROUND

Anemia is the most frequent cytopenia in HIV-infected individuals and is often associated with malaria.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of HIV-1 on the hematological recovery after a clinical malaria episode.

METHODS

In Ndola, Zambia, a region with high malaria and HIV prevalence, hemoglobin (Hb) was measured in 634 malaria patients 14 and 45 days after antimalarial treatment. Risk factors for hematological recovery were analyzed in a multivariate linear regression model.

RESULTS

At enrollment, HIV-1-infected malaria patients had lower Hb compared with HIV-1 uninfected (122.7 vs 136.0 g/L; P < 0.001). In both groups, mean Hb was significantly lower at day 14 posttreatment than day 0 (P < 0.0001) and significantly higher at day 45 than at day 14 (HIV-1 negative: P = 0.0001; HIV-1 infected: P = 0.005). HIV-1 was a risk factor for a larger Hb decrease until day 14 (P < 0.001) and slower recovery until day 45 (P = 0.048). When considering the whole 45-day follow-up period, mean Hb increased in the HIV-1-negative group (+3.54 g/L; 95% confidence interval: 1.37 to 5.70; P = 0.001) but not in the HIV-1-infected group (-0.72 g/L; 95% confidence interval: -3.85 to +2.40; P = 0.64). HIV-1 infection as such (P < 0.0001), not CD4 cell count (P = 0.46), was an independent risk factor for a slower hematological recovery.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV-1-infected malaria patients had a slower hematological recovery after successful parasite clearance. Malaria preventive measures should be targeted to this high-risk group.

Mortality and associated factors after initiation of pediatric antiretroviral treatment in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to describe factors associated with mortality among children receiving antiretroviral treatment (ART) at a pediatric hospital in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo.

RESULTS

Two hundred ninety-nine children, <18 years old, were followed for a median of 77 weeks (interquartile range: 61-103) post-ART initiation. Survival probability was 89.6% [95% confidence interval (CI): 85.5-92.6%] at 12 months; 24 of 31 deaths (77.4%) occurred within 2 months of ART initiation. Predictors of mortality in bivariate analysis were >/=2 opportunistic infections before ART initiation, severe immunosuppression as defined by age-specific CD4 count or percentage criteria, hemoglobin <9 g/dL, oral candidiasis, and severe malnutrition. In multivariate analysis, weight for age z-score [hazard ratio (HR): 0.39; 95% CI: 0.27-0.61; P < 0.001] and oral candidiasis (HR: 5.86; 95% CI: 2.34-14.65; P = 0.0002) were independent predictors of mortality. Suspected septic shock was the most common cause of death (n = 12/31, 38.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

Children receiving ART in this resource-poor setting were at the highest risk of dying in the first 2 months of ART, particularly when they presented with malnutrition or oral candidiasis. Optimal timing of ART initiation during nutritional rehabilitation should be determined. Promotion of early care seeking, strengthened health care, and prevention services are important to further improve outcome of pediatric ART in resource-poor settings.

HIV prevalence and mortality among children undergoing treatment for severe acute malnutrition in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

This systematic review and meta-analysis explored HIV prevalence and mortality in children undergoing treatment for severe acute malnutrition (SAM) in sub-Saharan Africa. It included all studies reporting on HIV infection within a sample of children with SAM where HIV status was assessed using a blood test and SAM was defined using the WHO, Gomez, Wellcome or Waterlow definitions. Children from 17 studies were included in the analysis (n=4891), of whom 29.2% were HIV-infected. HIV-infected children were significantly more likely to die than HIV-uninfected children (30.4% vs. 8.4%; P<0.001; relative risk=2.81, 95% CI 2.04-3.87). HIV-negative children treated within community-based therapeutic care (CTC) programmes had lower mortality (4.3%) than those treated within an inpatient nutrition rehabilitation unit (NRU) (15.1%). There was no significant difference in mortality for HIV-infected children with SAM treated in the CTC (30.0%) or NRU (31.3%) settings. HIV prevalence is high in children with SAM in sub-Saharan Africa, and HIV-infected children are at significantly increased risk of mortality. There is an urgent need to integrate HIV testing and treatment into care for children with SAM in regions of high HIV prevalence.

Early antiretroviral therapy and mortality among HIV-infected infants

BACKGROUND

In countries with a high seroprevalence of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1), HIV infection contributes significantly to infant mortality. We investigated antiretroviral-treatment strategies in the Children with HIV Early Antiretroviral Therapy (CHER) trial.

METHODS

HIV-infected infants 6 to 12 weeks of age with a CD4 lymphocyte percentage (the CD4 percentage) of 25% or more were randomly assigned to receive antiretroviral therapy (lopinavir-ritonavir, zidovudine, and lamivudine) when the CD4 percentage decreased to less than 20% (or 25% if the child was younger than 1 year) or clinical criteria were met (the deferred antiretroviral-therapy group) or to immediate initiation of limited antiretroviral therapy until 1 year of age or 2 years of age (the early antiretroviral-therapy groups). We report the early outcomes for infants who received deferred antiretroviral therapy as compared with early antiretroviral therapy.

RESULTS

At a median age of 7.4 weeks (interquartile range, 6.6 to 8.9) and a CD4 percentage of 35.2% (interquartile range, 29.1 to 41.2), 125 infants were randomly assigned to receive deferred therapy, and 252 infants were randomly assigned to receive early therapy. After a median follow-up of 40 weeks (interquartile range, 24 to 58), antiretroviral therapy was initiated in 66% of infants in the deferred-therapy group. Twenty infants in the deferred-therapy group (16%) died versus 10 infants in the early-therapy groups (4%) (hazard ratio for death, 0.24; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.11 to 0.51; P<0.001). In 32 infants in the deferred-therapy group (26%) versus 16 infants in the early-therapy groups (6%), disease progressed to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention stage C or severe stage B (hazard ratio for disease progression, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.15 to 0.41; P<0.001). Stavudine was substituted for zidovudine in four infants in the early-therapy groups because of neutropenia in three infants and anemia in one infant; no drugs were permanently discontinued. After a review by the data and safety monitoring board, the deferred-therapy group was modified, and infants in this group were all reassessed for initiation of antiretroviral therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Early HIV diagnosis and early antiretroviral therapy reduced early infant mortality by 76% and HIV progression by 75%. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00102960.)

Total lymphocyte count: not a surrogate marker for risk of death in HIV-infected Ugandan children

OBJECTIVES

To determine the utility of total lymphocyte count (TLC) in predicting the 12-month mortality in HIV-infected Ugandan children and to correlate TLC and CD4 cell %.

DESIGN

This is a retrospective data analysis of clinical and laboratory data collected prospectively on 128 HIV-infected children in the HIV Network for Prevention Trials 012 trial.

METHODS

TLC and CD4 cell % measurements were obtained at birth, 14 weeks, and 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months of age and assessed with respect to risk of death within 12 months.

RESULTS

Median TLC per microliter (CD4 cell %) was 4150 (41%) at birth, 4900 (24%) at 12 months, 4300 (19%) at 24 months, 4150 (19%) at 36 months, 4100 (18%) at 48 months, and 3800 (20%) at 60 months. The highest risk of mortality within 12 months was 34% - 37% at birth and declined to 13%-15% at 24 months regardless of TLC measurement. The correlation between CD4 cell % and TLC was extremely low overall (r = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The TLC did not predict a risk of progression to death within 12 months in HIV-infected Ugandan children. Therefore, TLC alone may not be a useful surrogate marker for determining those children at highest risk of death, who require antiretroviral therapy most urgently.

Long term outcome of severe anaemia in Malawian children

BACKGROUND

Severe anaemia is a common, frequently fatal, condition in African children admitted to hospital, but its long term outcome is unknown. Early reports that survivors may be at risk of additional late morbidity and mortality may have significant implications for child survival in Africa. We assessed the short and long term outcome of severe anaemia in Malawian children and identified potential risk factors for death and further severe anaemia.

METHODOLOGY AND FINDINGS

For 18 months, we followed up children (6-60 months old) presenting to hospital with severe anaemia (haemoglobin <or=5 g/dl) and their hospital and community controls with the aim to compare all cause mortality and severe anaemia recurrence rates between the groups, and to identify risk factors for these adverse outcomes. A total of 377 cases, 377 hospital controls and 380 community controls were recruited. Among cases, the in-hospital mortality was 6.4% and post-discharge all cause mortality was 12.6%, which was significantly greater than in hospital controls (2.9%) or community controls (1.4%) (Log rank test, p<0.001). The incidence of recurrence of severe anaemia among the cases was 0.102 per child-year (95% Confidence Interval 0.075-0.138), and was significantly higher than the 0.007 per child-year (95% CI 0.003-0.015) in the combined controls (p<0.0001). HIV was the most important risk factor both for post-discharge mortality (Hazard Ratio 10.5, 95% CI 4.0-27.2) and for recurrence of severe anaemia (HR 5.6, 95% CI 1.6-20.1).

CONCLUSIONS

Severe anaemia carries a high 'hidden' morbidity and mortality occurring in the months after initial diagnosis and treatment. Because severe anaemia is very common, this is likely to contribute importantly to overall under-five mortality. If not adequately addressed, severe anaemia may be an obstacle to achievement of the Millennium development goal No.4 on child survival. Strategies to diagnose and properly treat HIV infected children early most likely will reduce the high post-discharge mortality in severe anaemia.

Pediatric HIV infection: the state of antiretroviral therapy

Pediatric HIV/AIDS has become less of a problem in resource-rich countries as the number of perinatal infections has reduced dramatically since the advent of antiretrovirals, resulting in the effective prevention of mother-to-child transmission. In resource-limited settings, however, pediatric HIV infection remains a colossal problem; a separate review in this same issue of Expert Review of Anti-Infective Therapy examines the international aspects of pediatric HIV/AIDS. Treatment of HIV infection in children differs from that in adults in the use of immunologic markers and owing to drug pharmacokinetics and age-related adherence issues. This review, geared for the general pediatrician or family practitioner who may see the HIV-positive child in the clinic or the hospital, summarizes the most recent pediatric data and guidelines for the testing and treatment of HIV, including the US NIH guidelines released in February 2008. Treatment-experienced patients, who should be cared for by pediatric HIV specialists, are not addressed here specifically. Adolescents, infected either perinatally or sexually, with their own unique issues, deserve a separate review.

When should children with HIV infection be started on antiretroviral therapy?

BACKGROUND TO THE DEBATE

The advent of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) dramatically improved the prognosis for both adults and children infected with HIV who had access to treatment. However, the optimal timing for initiating treatment remains controversial, particularly in children. This debate lays out the case for deferred treatment against the case for early initiation of HAART in children.

Computed CD4 percentage as a low-cost method for determining pediatric antiretroviral treatment eligibility

Background

The performance of the WHO recommendations for pediatric antiretroviral treatment (ART) in resource poor settings is insufficiently documented in routine care.

Methods

We compared clinical and immunological criteria in 366 children aged 0 to 12 years in Kinshasa and evaluated a simple computation to estimate CD4 percent, based on CD4 count, total white blood cell count and percentage lymphocytes. Kappa (κ) statistic was used to evaluate eligibility criteria and linear regression to determine trends of CD4 percent, count and total lymphocyte count (TLC).

Results

Agreement between clinical and immunological eligibility criteria was poor (κ = 0.26). One third of children clinically eligible for ART were ineligible using immunological criteria; one third of children immunologically eligible were ineligible using clinical criteria. Among children presenting in WHO stage I or II, 54 (32%) were eligible according to immunological criteria. Agreement with CD4 percent was poor for TLC (κ = 0.04), fair for total CD4 count (κ = 0.39) and substantial for CD4 percent computational estimate (κ = 0.71). Among 5 to 12 years old children, total CD4 count was higher in younger age groups (-32 cells/mm³ per year older), CD4 percent was similar across age groups.

Conclusion

Age-specific thresholds for CD4 percent optimally determine pediatric ART eligibility. The use of CD4 percent computational estimate may increase ART access in settings with limited access to CD4 percent assays.