Shortcomings in the clinical evaluation of new drugs: acute myeloid leukemia as paradigm

Acute myeloid leukemia in the real world: why population-based registries are needed

Population-based registries may provide data complementary to that from basic science and clinical intervention studies, all of which are essential for establishing recommendations for the management of patients in the real world. The same quality criteria apply for the evidence-based label, and both high representation and good data quality are crucial in registry studies. Registries with high coverage of the target population reduce the impact of selection on outcome and the subsequent problem with extrapolating data to nonstudied populations. Thus, data useful for clinical decision in situations not well covered by clinical studies can be provided. The potential clinical impact of data from population-based studies is exemplified with analyses from the Swedish Acute Leukemia Registry containing more than 3300 acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients diagnosed between 1997 and 2006 with a median follow-up of 6.2 years on (1) the role of intensive combination chemotherapy for older patients with AML, (2) the impact of allogeneic stem cell transplantation on survival of younger patients with AML, and (3) the continuing problem with early deaths in acute promyelocytic leukemia. We also present the first Web-based dynamic graph showing the complex interaction between age, performance status, the proportion of patients given intensive treatment, early death rate, complete remission rate, use of allogeneic transplants, and overall survival in AML (non-AML).

New agents for acute myeloid leukemia: is it time for targeted therapies?

INTRODUCTION

The prognosis of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is improved in the last two decades, even though induction and consolidation chemotherapy has not involved new drugs. The more effective use of well-known agents as well as refinement of supportive care during the inevitable phase of severe pancytopenia following intensive chemotherapy accounts for the reduction of treatment-related death rate. In addition, mortality due to allogeneic and autologous stem cell transplantation has also been reduced, due to adoption of more effective therapies for graft versus host disease and other transplant-related complications.

AREAS COVERED

The multitude of chromosomal and molecular abnormalities makes the treatment of AML a challenging prospect. In addition, genetic aberrations are not mutually exclusive and coexist in the leukemic cells. As a consequence, the clinical development of new biologic agents proceeds slowly. Data for this review were identified from PubMed and references from relevant articles published in English from 2000 to 2011.

EXPERT OPINION

In Phase II studies, different new agents have been found to be active in AML and are currently under investigation in Phase III trials also in combination with conventional chemotherapy. In the near future, we would have more information about the possibility of introducing new drugs into daily practice.

Phase II trial of vorinostat and gemtuzumab ozogamicin as induction and post-remission therapy in older adults with previously untreated acute myeloid leukemia

Histone deacetylase inhibitors such as vorinostat enhance gemtuzumab ozogamicin efficacy in vitro. We, therefore, investigated vorinostat+gemtuzumab ozogamicin for adults aged 60 years and over with untreated acute myeloid leukemia. We stratified patients into 2 groups (group 1: patients aged ≥ 70 years and performance status 2-3; group 2: aged 60-69 years with performance status 0-3 or aged ≥ 70 years and performance status 0-1). Responses were monitored separately in group 2 patients with normal or favorable cytogenetics (group 2A) and other cytogenetics (group 2B). Among 31 patients, 6 (19.4%) achieved complete remission, and one (3.2%) achieved complete remission with incomplete platelet recovery; these patients had a higher median overall survival than non-responders (553 vs. 131 days, P = 0.0026). Response rates were: group 1, one of 10 (10.0%); group 2A, 6 of 13 (46.2%); and group 2B, none of 8 (0%). These data indicate that vorinostat+gemtuzumab ozogamicin has activity that is mostly confined to patients with normal karyotype disease. ClinicalTrial.gov: NCT00673153.

Prediction of early death after induction therapy for newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia with pretreatment risk scores: a novel paradigm for treatment assignment

PURPOSE

Outcome in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) worsens with age, at least in part because of higher treatment-related mortality (TRM) in older patients. Eligibility for intensive AML treatment protocols is therefore typically based on age as the implied principal predictor of TRM, although other health- and disease-related factors modulate this age effect.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We empirically defined TRM using estimated weekly hazard rates in 3,365 adults of all ages administered intensive chemotherapy for newly diagnosed AML. We used the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) to quantify the relative effects of age and other covariates on TRM in a subset of 2,238 patients. In this approach, an AUC of 1.0 denotes perfect prediction, whereas an AUC of 0.5 is analogous to a coin flip.

RESULTS

Regardless of age, risk of death declined once 4 weeks had elapsed from treatment start, suggesting that patients who die during this time comprise a qualitatively distinct group. Performance status (PS) and age were the most important individual predictors of TRM (AUCs of 0.75 and 0.65, respectively). However, multicomponent models were significantly more accurate in predicting TRM (AUC of 0.83) than PS or age alone. Elimination of age from such multicomponent models only minimally affected their predictive accuracy (AUC of 0.82).

CONCLUSION

These data suggest that age is primarily a surrogate for other covariates, which themselves add significantly to predictive accuracy, thus challenging the wisdom of using age as primary or sole basis for assignment of intensive, curative intent treatment in AML.

Applicability of a "Pick a Winner" trial design to acute myeloid leukemia

Randomized clinical trials remain the gold standard to establish efficacy and safety of new treatments. In acute myeloid leukemia, large trials have been associated with gradual improvement in outcome over 2 decades in younger patients without major differences emerging between treatments. By contrast, in older patients, improvement has been minimal, which justifies a new approach to identifying effective treatments. Given the urgent unmet need, and with the emergence of several novel agents or combinations that are likely to be expensive, large benefits are probably required to change clinical practice. To address this issue, we have evolved a "Pick a Winner" randomized progressive design with a rolling incorporation of novel treatments (drug X), which has been tested in older patients with acute myeloid leukemia. The rationale, operational characteristics, and initial experience of such an approach in the context of the United Kingdom National Cancer Research Institute AML16 trial are presented.

Randomized phase II trials: a long-term investment with promising returns

Given the multitude of novel anticancer drugs and the limited resources available to study them, phase II trials should identify drugs with the highest probability of succeeding in subsequent phase III trials. Currently, single-arm phase II trial results are interpreted relative to historical control subjects, introducing selection bias and confounding that may limit the validity of the conclusions. The rate of success (defined as a statistically significant difference between arms) in phase III oncology trials is only 40%, suggesting that current phase II trials are insufficiently informative. However, simulation studies suggest that randomized phase II trials would have lower error rates and greater predictive power for phase III results. Randomized phase II trials may also be more informative than single-arm phase II trials because of the hypotheses being tested, the variety of possible endpoints, and the opportunities for biomarker discovery. There are a wide variety of randomized phase II designs that can be used, including the randomized discontinuation design, the delayed-start design, adaptive (Bayesian) designs, selection designs, and phase II/III designs. The barriers to widespread adoption of randomized phase II trials include time to completion, sample size considerations, and ethical concerns, but none are insurmountable. We conclude that randomized phase II trials are a worthy investment considering finite patient and financial resources and should be the rule rather than the exception for evaluating novel therapies in oncology.

WT1/EGR1-mediated control of STIM1 expression and function in cancer cells

There have been numerous publications linking Ca(2+) signaling and cancer, however, a clear explanation for this link has remained elusive. We recently identified the oncogenes/tumor suppressors Wilms Tumor Suppressor 1 (WT1) and Early Growth Response 1 (EGR1) as regulators of the expression of STIM1, an essential regulator of Ca(2+) entry in non-excitable cells. The current review focuses on the literature defining both differential Ca(2+) signaling and WT1/EGR1 expression patterns in 6 specific cancer subtypes: Acute Myeloid Leukemia, Wilms Tumor, breast cancer, ovarian cancer, glioblastoma and prostate cancer. For each tumor-type, we have assessed how specific changes in WT1 and EGR1 expression might contribute to aberrant Ca(2+) homeostasis as well as the therapeutic potential of these observations.

New considerations in the design of clinical trials for the treatment of acute leukemia

There is great need for improved therapy for patients with acute leukemia. The current systems of clinical drug development and delivery of leukemia care are imperfectly adapted to the optimal identification and testing of future regimens. Novel clinical trial design with increased enrolment and appropriate end point selection would facilitate more efficient validation of candidate therapies. Clinical outcomes registries and biological sample storage would allow patient and leukemic factor substratification for the development of the next generation of targeted personalized therapy. We believe that the standard of care for patients in the USA diagnosed with acute leukemia, if treated with curative intent, is referral to a specialized center where an appropriate clinical trial can be offered.

Overexpression of IL-3Rα on CD34+CD38- stem cells defines leukemia-initiating cells in Fanconi anemia AML

Patients with Fanconi anemia (FA) have a high risk of developing acute myeloid leukemia (AML). In this study, we attempted to identify cell-surface markers for leukemia-initiating cells in FA-AML patients. We found that the IL-3 receptor-α (IL-3Rα) is a promising candidate as an leukemia-initiating cell-specific antigen for FA-AML. Whereas IL-3Rα expression is undetectable on normal CD34(+)CD38(-) HSCs, it is overexpressed on CD34(+)CD38(-) cells from FA patients with AML. We examined the leukemia-initiating cell activity of IL-3Rα-positive FA-AML cells in a "humanized" FA xenotransplant model in which we separated AML cells into IL-3Rα-positive and IL-3Rα-negative CD34 fractions and transplanted them into irradiated recipient mice. In all 3 FA-AML samples, only IL-3Rα-positive cells showed significant levels of engraftment and developed leukemia in the recipient mice. The FA CD34(+)IL-3Rα(+) blasts isolated from leukemic mice exhibited hypersensitivity to IL-3 deprivation and JAK2-STAT5 overactivation after IL-3 treatment. Finally, treatment of FA CD34(+)IL-3Rα(+) blasts with an IL-3Rα-neutralizing antibody inhibited IL-3-mediated proliferation and STAT5 activation. These results demonstrate that IL-3Rα is a cell-surface marker present on FA-AML leukemia-initiating cells and may be a valuable therapeutic target.

Novel approaches to the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia

Approximately 12 000 adults are diagnosed with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) in the United States annually, the majority of whom die from their disease. The mainstay of initial treatment, cytosine arabinoside (ara-C) combined with an anthracycline, was developed nearly 40 years ago and remains the worldwide standard of care. Advances in genomics technologies have identified AML as a genetically heterogeneous disease, and many patients can now be categorized into clinicopathologic subgroups on the basis of their underlying molecular genetic defects. It is hoped that enhanced specificity of diagnostic classification will result in more effective application of targeted agents and the ability to create individualized treatment strategies. This review describes the current treatment standards for induction, consolidation, and stem cell transplantation; special considerations in the management of older AML patients; novel agents; emerging data on the detection and management of minimal residual disease (MRD); and strategies to improve the design and implementation of AML clinical trials.