Single nucleotide polymorphisms and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis

Significance of vitamin d receptor gene polymorphisms for risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Biological and epidemiological data suggest that vitamin D levels may influence cancer development. Several single nucleotide polymorphisms have been described in the vitamin D receptor (VDR) gene in association with cancer risk. We aimed to investigate the association of VDR gene polymorphisms with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in chronic hepatitis C patients.

METHODS

In a cross-sectional, hospital-based setting, 340 patients (201 chronic hepatitis, 47 cirrhosis and 92 HCC) and 100 healthy controls receiving VDR genotyping (bat-haplotype: BsmI rs1544410 C, ApaI rs7975232 C and TaqI rs731236 A) were enrolled.

RESULTS

Patients with HCC had a higher frequency of ApaI CC genotype (P = 0.027) and bAt[CCA]-haplotype (P = 0.037) as compared to control subjects. There were no differences in BsmI and TaqI polymorphisms between two groups. In patients with chronic hepatitis C, HCC subjects had a higher frequency of ApaI CC genotype and bAt[CCA]-haplotype than those with chronic hepatitis (P = 0.001 and 0.002, respectively) and cirrhosis (P = 0.019 and 0.026, respectively). After adjusting age and sex, logistic regression analysis showed that ApaI CC genotype (odds ratio: 3.02, 95% confident interval: 1.65-5.51) was independently associated with HCC development.

CONCLUSION

VDR ApaI polymorphism plays a role in the development of HCC among chronic hepatitis C patients. Further explorations of this finding and its implications are required.

Association between the PNPLA3 (rs738409 C>G) variant and hepatocellular carcinoma: Evidence from a meta-analysis of individual participant data

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing in Western countries. Although several clinical factors have been identified, many individuals never develop HCC, suggesting a genetic susceptibility. However, to date, only a few single-nucleotide polymorphisms have been reproducibly shown to be linked to HCC onset. A variant (rs738409 C>G, encoding for p.I148M) in the PNPLA3 gene is associated with liver damage in chronic liver diseases. Interestingly, several studies have reported that the minor rs738409[G] allele is more represented in HCC cases in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and alcoholic liver disease (ALD). However, a significant association with HCC related to CHC has not been consistently observed, and the strength of the association between rs738409 and HCC remains unclear. We performed a meta-analysis of individual participant data including 2,503 European patients with cirrhosis to assess the association between rs738409 and HCC, particularly in ALD and CHC. We found that rs738409 was strongly associated with overall HCC (odds ratio [OR] per G allele, additive model=1.77; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.42-2.19; P=2.78 × 10(-7) ). This association was more pronounced in ALD (OR=2.20; 95% CI: 1.80-2.67; P=4.71 × 10(-15) ) than in CHC patients (OR=1.55; 95% CI: 1.03-2.34; P=3.52 × 10(-2) ). After adjustment for age, sex, and body mass index, the variant remained strongly associated with HCC.

CONCLUSION

Overall, these results suggest that rs738409 exerts a marked influence on hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with cirrhosis of European descent and provide a strong argument for performing further mechanistic studies to better understand the role of PNPLA3 in HCC development.

Molecular evolution of genetic susceptibility to hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cancer-related cause of death worldwide. There are widespread global differences in HCC risk. Although the impact of geographic prevalence of specific causes of chronic liver disease on HCC is recognized, the contribution of the underlying genetic architecture to the risk of HCC remains undefined. Our aim was to characterize evolutionary trends in genetic susceptibility to HCC.

METHODS

We examined the genetic risk associated with HCC risk alleles identified from genome-wide association studies and correlated these with geographic location and temporal and spatial patterns of human migration.

RESULTS

A moderate increase in differentiation was noted for rs2596542 (F st = 0.106) and rs17401966 (F st = 0.116), single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with an increased risk of HCC in patients with chronic HCV and HBV, respectively. Both of these SNPs show a recent increase in allelic frequency with the most recent human migrations into East Asia, Oceania and the Americas. In contrast another SNP associated with an increased risk of HCC, rs9275572, showed a lack of differentiation (F st = 0.09) with stable allelic expression across populations. The genetic risk score for HCC, based on the allelic frequency and risk odds ratio of five SNPs associated with increased risk of HCC, was greatest in populations from Africa and decreased with subsequent migration into Europe and Asia. However, a major increase was noted with the most recent migrations into Oceania and the Americas.

CONCLUSIONS

There are differences in directional differentiation of HCC risk alleles across human populations that can contribute to population-based differences in HCC prevalence.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: clinical frontiers and perspectives

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related death and is currently the main event leading to death in patients with cirrhosis. Evolving information suggests that the metabolic syndrome with non-alcoholic liver disease may be an important cause of HCC in addition to viral hepatitis and alcohol-induced liver disease. The molecular pathogenesis is extremely complex and heterogeneous. To date the molecular information has not impacted on treatment decisions. Periodic surveillance imaging of patients with cirrhosis is widely practiced, especially because diagnostic, radiographic criteria for early-stage HCC have been defined (including nodules between 1 and 2 cm) and effective treatment is available for tumours detected at an early stage. Worldwide the approach to resection versus transplantation varies depending upon local resources, expertise and donor availability. The criteria for transplantation are discussed, and the controversial areas highlighted with evidence-based recommendations provided. Several approaches are available for intermediate stage disease, including radiofrequency ablation, transarterial chemoembolisation and radioembolisation; the rationale for these therapies is buttressed by appropriate outcome-based studies. For advanced disease, systemic therapy with sorafenib remains the option best supported by current data. Thus, while several trials have failed to improve the benefits of established therapies, studies assessing the sequential or combined application of those already known to be beneficial are needed. Also, new concepts are provided in regards to selecting and stratifying patients for second-line studies, which may help explain the failure of prior studies.

MDM2 285G>C and 344T>A gene variants and their association with hepatocellular carcinoma: a Moroccan case-control study

BACKGROUND

MDM2 gene polymorphisms 285G/C and 344 T/A are two single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) recently identified as important variants that could influence the expression of MDM2 gene through the modulation of transcription factors binding on the SNP309T/G. The 285C variant seems to present a geographically distinct distribution in humans and to be associated with a low cancer risk. In the present report, we studied the distribution of the three SNPs in a population with low liver cancer incidence.

METHODS

A group of 119 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC, 63.45 ± 12.59 year, 26-80) and another of 103 non-HCC controls (56 ± 10.82 year, 22-79) were enrolled to investigate association between MDM2 polymorphisms and susceptibility to develop HCC. The three studied SNPs (285G/C, 309 T/G and 344 T/A) were genotyped using polymerase chain reaction and sequencing techniques.

RESULTS

Genotypes and alleles distributions of the three studied polymorphisms of MDM2 were not significantly different between cases and controls. An increased risk of HCC development was found in case of 309G allele presence albeit without reaching the significance (29.8% vs 22.3%, OR = 1.48, 95% CI, 0.96-2.27, p = 0.073). In addition, neither 285C nor 344A MDM2 variants were significantly associated with an increased risk of HCC (p = 0.688 and p = 1 respectively). Remarkably, we found that the supposedly Caucasian-specific 285C variant was present in 1% of the Moroccan population.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study of the MDM2 SNP285G/C and SNP344T/A polymorphisms in association with HCC development. In contrast with previous studies, showing that females carrying SNP285C variant have a significantly reduced risk of developing breast, ovarian and endometrial cancer, no significant modulation of HCC risk was found in a North-African population.

Impact of insulin-like growth factor 2, insulin-like growth factor receptor 2, insulin receptor substrate 2 genes polymorphisms on susceptibility and clinicopathological features of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the major causes of cancer-related death worldwide. Insulin-like growth factor-2 (IGF-2) is an important autocrine and paracrine growth factor which may induce cell proliferation and inhibit cell apoptosis leading to the transformation of normal cells into malignant cells. This study aimed to evaluate the possible roles of IGF-2, insulin-like growth factor-2 receptor (IGF-2R), and insulin receptor substrate (IRS)-2 genes polymorphisms in susceptibility and clinicopathological features of HCC in Egyptian population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Four hundred and twenty-six HCC patients and 334 controls were enrolled in the study. Polymorphisms of IGF-2+3580, IGF-2+3123, IGF-2R 1619, and IRS-2 1057 gene were detected using polymerase chain reaction restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR-RFLP). Serum IGF-2 were determined using ELISA.

RESULTS

Serum IGF-2 levels were significantly lower in HCC patients than in healthy controls. IGF-2+3580 AA genotype, IGF-2+3123 GG genotype or G allele, IRS-2 1057 DD genotype and D allele were significantly associated with HCC risk. The combination of IGF-2+3580 AA homozygosity and IGF-2R 1619 GG homozygosity presented a significant protective effect against HCC (OR=0.16,95% CI=0. 08-0.34, P=0. 005). Serum IGF-2 concentrations were significantly increased in HCC patients with the IGF-2+3580 AA genotype. We also observed that increased alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), Child-Pugh grade, tumor size, and number of malignant lesions were accompanied by a significant increase of serum IGF-2 mean values of in HCC patients.

CONCLUSION

IGF-2, IGF-2R, and IRS-2 genes polymorphisms and their combinations are associated with risk of HCC.

Genomic aberrations in the HTPAP promoter affect tumor metastasis and clinical prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

We previously reported that the intronic tagSNP +357G/C in the metastasis suppressor HTPAP is associated with metastasis and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to investigate whether SNPs in the HTPAP promoter modulate HTPAP expression and prognosis of HCC. Genomic DNA from 572 microdissected HCCs were genotyped by pyrosequencing and verified by direct sequencing. Haplotype blocks were analyzed. Reporter plasmids were constructed and transfected into HCC cell lines. Transcriptional activities of plasmids were analyzed by dual-luciferase reporter systems. HTPAP expression was measured by real-time quantitative PCR, western blots, and tissue microarrays. Invasion was assessed by Matrigel assays. The prognostic values of HTPAP promoter SNPs in HCC were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses. We identified six SNPs, including -1053A/G and +64G/C, in the HTPAP promoter. The SNPs were in complete linkage disequilibrium, resulting in three promoter haplotypes (promoter I:-1053AA/+64GG, promoter II: -1053AG/+64GC, and promoter III: -1053GG/+64CC). Promoter I manifested the highest luciferase index (p<0.005). However, no significant difference was observed between promoters II and III. We consistently found that HTPAP mRNA and protein levels were significantly higher in promoter I than that of promoter II+III (p<0.001). Invasion was increased in HCC cells transfected with promoters II+III compared to those transfected with promoter I (p<0.05). The HTPAP promoter II+III haplotype was associated with significantly increased metastasis compared to that of promoter I (p = 0.023). The postoperative five-year overall survival of patients with promoters II+III was lower than that of patients with promoter I (p = 0.006). Multivariate analysis showed that the promoter II+III haplotype was an adverse prognostic marker in HCC. The genetic variants at loci –1053 and +64 of the HTPAP promoter affect the expression of HTPAP, which might be a novel determinant and target for HCC prognosis.

The NQO1 C609T polymorphism and hepatocellular carcinoma risk

NAD(P)H quinine oxidoreductase 1 (NQO1) enzyme plays a crucial role in the protection against oxidative stress. The polymorphism of NQO1 C609T has been implicated in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the findings were inconsistent due to different ethnicity, sample size, and source of controls in individual studies. To better estimate the association of NQO1 C609T polymorphism with HCC risk, we performed a meta-analysis of all currently available studies on the susceptibility to HCC. The meta-analysis included three independent studies with a total of 1, 595 subjects. The association was assessed under five different gene models. The overall analysis suggested that the variant allele and genotypes were significantly related to increased risk of HCC (ORT vs. C = 1.47, 95 % CI 1.07-2.00, P OR = 0.016; ORTT vs. CC = 2.06, 95 % CI 1.06-3.98, P OR = 0.032; ORTC vs. CC = 1.33, 95 % CI 1.06-1.67, P OR = 0.012; ORTT + TC vs. CC = 1.46, 95 % CI 1.19-1.81, P OR < 0.001; ORTT vs. CC + TC = 1.62, 95 % CI 1.25-2.09, P OR < 0.001). Stratified analyses in Asians and hospital-based case-control studies further demonstrated the significant correlation. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the reliability of these findings. Our study firstly shows that individuals carrying the NQO1 C609T variant allele and genotypes are more susceptible to HCC, particularly for Asians.

Chemopreventive strategies in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third most common cause of death from cancer. The incidence and mortality of HCC are increasing in most Western countries as a result of an ageing cohort infected with chronic hepatitis C, and are expected to continue to rise as a consequence of the obesity epidemic. Chemopreventive strategies aimed at decreasing the risk or delaying the onset of HCC are needed. Universal immunization against HBV and antiviral therapy against HBV and HCV in patients with established disease has consistently been associated with reduced HCC risk, especially in patients who achieve sustained virologic response. However, the cost-effectiveness of antiviral therapy for primary HCC prevention is not known. Several commonly prescribed medications seem promising as chemopreventive agents against HCC, including statins, antidiabetic medications and aspirin. Dietary agents such as coffee, vitamin E and fish oil as well as phytochemicals might also be associated with reduced risk of HCC. Though randomized controlled trials are ideally needed to firmly establish efficacy, such chemoprevention trials are logistically and ethically challenging. Well-designed, prospective, population-based cohort studies might provide the best evidence for chemopreventive efficacy of these agents.

Independent and additive interaction between tumor necrosis factor β +252 polymorphisms and chronic hepatitis B and C virus infection on risk and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: a case-control study

To assess the contribution of tumor necrosis factor (TNF)β +252 polymorphisms to risk and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we enrolled 150 pairs of sex- and age-matched patients with HCC, patients with cirrhosis alone, and unrelated healthy controls. TNFβ +252 genotypes were determined by polymerase chain reaction with restriction fragment length polymorphism. Multivariate analysis indicated that TNFβ G/G genotype [odds ratio (OR), 3.64; 95%CI, 1.49-8.91], hepatitis B surface antigen (OR, 16.38; 95%CI, 8.30-32.33), and antibodies to hepatitis C virus (HCV) (OR, 39.11; 95%CI, 14.83-103.14) were independent risk factors for HCC. There was an additive interaction between TNFβ G/G genotype and chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV)/HCV infection (synergy index=1.15). Multivariate analysis indicated that factors associated with TNFβ G/G genotype included cirrhosis with Child-Pugh C (OR, 4.06; 95%CI, 1.34-12.29), thrombocytopenia (OR, 6.55; 95%CI, 1.46-29.43), and higher serum α-fetoprotein concentration (OR, 2.53; 95%CI, 1.14-5.62). Patients with TNFβ G/G genotype had poor cumulative survival (p=0.005). Cox proportional hazard model indicated that TNFβ G/G genotype was a biomarker for poor HCC survival (hazard ratio, 1.70; 95%CI, 1.07-2.69). In conclusion, there are independent and additive effects between TNFβ G/G genotype and chronic HBV/HCV infection on risk for HCC. It is a biomarker for poor HCC survival. Carriage of this genotype correlates with disease severity and advanced hepatic fibrosis, which may contribute to a higher risk and poor survival of HCC. Chronic HBV/HCV infected subjects with this genotype should receive more intensive surveillance for early detection of HCC.

An X-chromosomal association study identifies a susceptibility locus at Xq22.1 for hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Genetic epidemiological data in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) pedigrees indicate a pattern of X-linked recessive inheritance of HCC susceptibility genes. This study is designed to test the hypothesis that there are genes conferring susceptibility to HCC located on the X-chromosome.

METHODS

An X-chromosomal association study was conducted among Chinese men recruited from an area with a high prevalence of HCC. The candidate gene was further investigated by quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR).

RESULTS

By analyzing 5454 X-chromosome single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 50 HCC patients and 50 controls, we found two promising regions in which the associated SNPs clustered, located at Xq22.1 and Xq26.2. We further selected 35 tag SNPs (tSNPs) from these two regions for additional genotyping analysis in another independent set of 290 cases and 242 controls. Notably, SNP rs5945919 at Xq22.1 exhibited a significant association with HBV-related HCC (odds ratio [OR]=2.22, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.15-4.30, P=0.016). The expressions of the three genes near the rs5945919 locus, RAB40AL, BEX1, and NXF3, were analyzed by qRT-PCR between another 24 HCC tissues and paired peritumoral liver tissues. The results indicated that NXF3, rather than RAB40AL and BEX1, mRNA level was found to be more abundant in HCC tissue than in peritumoral liver tissue.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings implicated Xq22.1 as a novel susceptibility locus for HCC and NXF3 as a candidate risk factor for relevant HCC.

PNPLA3 I148M polymorphism, clinical presentation, and survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Background & Aims

Aim of this study was to evaluate whether the PNPLA3 I148M polymorphism, previously associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk, influences the clinical presentation of HCC and survival.

Methods

we considered 460 consecutive HCC patients referred to tertiary care centers in Northern Italy, 353 with follow-up data.

Results

Homozygosity for PNPLA3 148M at risk allele was enriched in HCC patients with alcoholic liver disease or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (ALD&NAFLD: relative risk 5.9, 95% c.i. 3.5–9.9; other liver diseases: relative risk 1.9, 95% c.i. 1.1–3.4). In ALD&NAFLD patients, the PNPLA3 148M allele was associated with younger age, shorter history of cirrhosis, less advanced (Child A) cirrhosis at HCC diagnosis, and lower HCC differentiation grade (p<0.05). Homozygosity for PNPLA3 148M was associated with reduced survival in the overall series (p = 0.009), and with a higher number of HCC lesions at presentation (p = 0.007) and reduced survival in ALD&NAFLD patients (p = 0.003; median survival 30, 95% c.i. 20–39 vs. 45, 95% c.i. 38–52 months), but not in those with HCC related to other etiologies (p = 0.86; 48, 95% c.i. 32–64 vs. 55, 95% c.i. 43–67 months). At multivariate Cox regression analysis, homozygosity for PNPLA3 148M was the only negative predictor of survival in ALD&NAFLD patients (HR of death 1.57, 95% c.i. 1.12–2.78).

Conclusions

PNPLA3 148M is over-represented in ALD&NAFLD HCC patients, and is associated with occurrence at a less advanced stage of liver disease in ALD&NAFLD. In ALD&NAFLD, PNPLA3 148M is associated with more diffuse HCC at presentation, and with reduced survival.

PNPLA3 I148M variant and hepatocellular carcinoma: a common genetic variant for a rare disease

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is highly associated with chronic liver disease. The rs738409 genetic variant in the patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3 (PNPLA3, adiponutrin) gene has been implicated as a genetic determinant of the entire spectrum of liver diseases, ranging from steatosis, chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis and ultimately to HCC. In this review, first we will examine the current genetic theories of disease susceptibility. Next, we will analyze the evidences for the association between PNPLA3 I148M variant and HCC. Moreover, we will exploit this association to propose a new paradigm in human genetics: a common genetic variant contributing to a rare disease. Finally, we will examine the molecular genetics of PNPLA3 and, specifically, the theories that have been proposed to explain the function of PNPLA3 in health and disease.

HBV infection and hepatocellular carcinoma

The hepatitis B virus (HBV) plays a dominant role in the 749,000 new cases and 692,000 deaths related to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that are estimated to occur each year worldwide. Chronic infection with HBV is responsible for 60% of HCCs in Asia and Africa and at least 20% of the tumors in Europe, Japan, and the United States. This article discusses the pathogenic role of HBV and the risk of HCC. Tumors almost invariably develop in the context of chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis, which makes early diagnosis the only practical approach to improve prognosis. The treatment options are also discussed.

Significant association between XRCC3 C241T polymorphism and increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis

Many studies were published to examine the association between XRCC3 C241T polymorphism and hepatocellular carcinoma risk, but their results were inconsistent. To assess the association between XRCC3 C241T polymorphism and hepatocellular carcinoma risk more precisely, a meta-analysis was performed. PubMed, Embase and Wanfang databases were searched for relevant case-control studies. Data were extracted, and the pooled odds ratios (OR) with 95 % confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated. Finally, seven studies comprising 2,288 cases with hepatocellular carcinoma and 3,249 controls were included into the meta-analysis. Overall, there was an obvious association between XRCC3 C241T polymorphism and increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (TT versus CC: OR = 3.31, 95% CI 1.52-7.19, P = 0.003; TT versus

CC/CT

OR = 3.31, 95% CI 1.81-6.06, P < 0.001). After adjusting for heterogeneity, there was still an obvious association between XRCC3 C241T polymorphism and increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (TT versus CC: OR = 1.92, 95 % CI 1.13-3.26, P = 0.016; TT versus

CC/CT

OR = 2.10, 95% CI 1.25-3.55, P = 0.005). Overall, there is a significant association between XRCC3 C241T polymorphism and increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma. Further studies are needed to further assess the association in Caucasians.

Genetic polymorphism of the kinesin-like protein KIF1B gene and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Frequent deletions of the kinesin-like protein gene 1B (KIF1B) have been reported in neural tumors. Recently, a genome-wide association study revealed an association between polymorphisms in the KIF1B gene and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and several case-control studies have further investigated this relationship. However, these studies have yielded controversial results. We therefore performed a meta-analysis to derive a more precise estimation of the association between the KIF1B gene polymorphisms and HCC risk.

Methodology/Principal Finding

PubMed, EMBASE, the ISI Web of Science and the CNKI databases were systematically searched to identify relevant studies. A total of 5 studies containing 13 cohorts with 5,773 cases and 6,404 controls were included. Odds ratios (ORs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to assess the strength of the associations. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on ethnicities, sample sizes and quality scores. Overall, the G allele at rs17401966 of the KIF1B gene was associated with a significantly decreased risk for HCC (OR  = 0.81, 95%CI: 0.70–0.93; P = 0.003). Furthermore, subgroup analyses showed that the G allele at rs17401966 of the KIF1B gene significantly reduced the risk for HCC in Chinese cohorts (OR  = 0.76, 95%CI: 0.64–0.90; P = 0.002), large-sample-size cohorts (OR  = 0.80, 95%CI: 0.73–0.88, P<0.01) and high-quality cohorts (OR  = 0.78, 95%CI: 0.71–0.87, P<0.01). However, no significant associations were found in small-sample-size cohorts, studies with low-quality scores and when excluding the cohorts from the study reporting the original discovery.

Conclusion/Significance

These findings demonstrate that the presence of the G allele at rs17401966 of the KIF1B gene may decrease the risk for HCC and suggest that KIF1B may play a critical role in the development of HCC. High-quality studies with larger sample sizes and different ethnic populations will be of great value to further confirm these findings.

Genomic aspects of NAFLD pathogenesis

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most predominant liver disease worldwide and hepatic manifestation of the metabolic syndrome. Its histology spectrum ranges from steatosis, to steatohepatitis (NASH) that can further progress to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The increasing incidence of NAFLD has contributed to rising numbers of HCC occurrences. NAFLD progression is governed by genetic susceptibility, environmental factors, lifestyle and features of the metabolic syndrome, many of which overlap with HCC. Gene expression profiling and genome wide association studies have identified novel disease pathways and polymorphisms in genes that may be potential biomarkers of NAFLD progression. However, the multifactorial nature of NAFLD and the limited number of sufficiently powered studies are among the current limitations for validated biomarkers of clinical utility. Further studies incorporating the links between circadian regulation and hepatic metabolism might represent an additional direction in the search for predictive biomarkers of liver disease progression and treatment outcomes.

PNPLA3 rs738409, hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence and risk model prediction in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Several studies have reported an association between the genetic variant rs738409 (G) in the PNPLA3 gene and the risk of cirrhosis in various liver diseases. Our purpose was to assess the influence of this polymorphism on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence in two distinct longitudinal cohorts of patients with cirrhosis as well as its possible usefulness in HCC-risk model prediction.

METHODS

PNPLA3 rs738409 genotypes were assessed in 279 patients with alcoholic- and 253 patients with HCV-related cirrhosis. These patients were followed-up and screened for the risk of HCC, and the influence of rs738409 on the occurrence of liver cancer was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, then according to the multivariate Cox model.

RESULTS

In patients with HCV-related cirrhosis, rs738409 genotypes did not influence the risk of HCC development (log-rank = 0.7) or death (log-rank = 0.2). Conversely, in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis, the rs738409 (GG) genotype was an independent risk factor for HCC occurrence (HR = 1.72 [1.21-2.45], log-rank = 0.002) as well as older age, male gender, and higher BMI. Combining these features enabled HCC-risk stratification of this population into three groups with the 6-year cumulative incidence ranging from 3.4% (low risk, n = 58), 12.2% (intermediate risk, n = 163), and 51.7% (high risk, n = 58), respectively (HR = 4.3 [2.7-6.4]; log-rank <0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides key data that affirm the influence of the rs738409 (GG) genotype on the occurrence of HCC in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis. Its combination with clinical features refines the selection of patients at higher risk of liver cancer development.