Predicting prostate specific antigen outcome preoperatively in the prostate specific antigen era

Prostate-specific antigen failure within 2 years of radical prostatectomy predicts overall survival

OBJECTIVE

This study attempts to determine whether prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure following radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP) affects patients' long-term overall survival.

METHODS

This study examined 155 men diagnosed as clinical stages T1b-T3a who received RRP as primary therapy. To evaluate whether PSA failure following RRP affects overall survival, the patients were grouped into those who experienced PSA failure within 2 years and those who did not. Clinical failure-free survival, prostate cancer-specific survival and overall survival were used as endpoints. Comparisons of survival curves were performed using the log-rank test. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the variable most predictive of PSA failure within 2 years of surgery.

RESULTS

At 10 years, the PSA failure-free survival rate, clinical failure-free survival rate, prostate cancer specific survival rate and overall survival rate of the 155 patients were 40.1%, 83.1%, 94.9% and 84.2%, respectively. The overall survival curve for patients with PSA failure within 2 years of surgery was significantly lower than for patients with no PSA failure within 2 years of surgery (P = 0.042). The multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that PSA greater than 20 ng/mL and poor differentiation of the tumor were significant independent predictors of PSA failure within 2 years of surgery.

CONCLUSION

These results imply that prospective studies should be conducted to detect patients at high risk for PSA recurrence in whom metastasis may occur early and to investigate postoperative treatments for these high-risk patients to improve overall survival.

Predictors of short postoperative prostate-specific antigen doubling time for patients diagnosed during PSA era

OBJECTIVES

To determine the preoperative and postoperative predictors of a short prostate-specific antigen (PSA) doubling time (PSADT) after radical prostatectomy for patients diagnosed during the PSA era.

METHODS

Between 1989 and 2003, 1785 men underwent radical prostatectomy for 2002 American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Stage T1c or T2 prostate cancer. Of these men, 205 had documented PSA failure. The PSADT was calculated by assuming first-order kinetics and using a minimum of two detectable postoperative PSA measurements after a previous undetectable level. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the significant preoperative and postoperative predictors of a PSADT of less than 6 months.

RESULTS

Patients with a greater biopsy Gleason score (P = 0.006), greater preoperative risk group (P = 0.002), greater prostatectomy Gleason score (P = 0.0006), greater 2002 AJCC pathologic stage (P = 0.01), or shorter time to postoperative PSA failure (P = 0.04) were more likely to have a shorter PSADT. Using multivariable analysis, high-risk disease (P = 0.0001) was the only preoperative factor that remained an independent significant predictor of a PSADT of less than 6 months. Of the postoperative factors, a prostatectomy Gleason score of 8 to 10 (P = 0.002), 2002 AJCC pathologic Stage T3b (P = 0.03), and time to PSA failure of less than 2 years (P = 0.05) remained significant independent predictors of a PSADT of less than 6 months.

CONCLUSIONS

High-risk disease preoperatively and a prostatectomy Gleason score of 8 to 10, seminal vesicle invasion, or a time to PSA failure of less than 2 years postoperatively were significant independent indicators of developing a postoperative PSADT of less than 6 months. For these men, trials studying systemic therapy in addition to radical prostatectomy are needed.

Interval from prostate biopsy to radical prostatectomy: Effect on PSA, Gleason sum, and risk of recurrence

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether the change in prostate-specific antigen (PSA), change in Gleason sum, and/or interval between prostate biopsy and radical prostatectomy have an association with biochemical recurrence.

METHODS

The relationship between biochemical recurrence and the interval between biopsy and surgery, as well as the rate and amount of change in PSA and Gleason sum from biopsy to surgery, was evaluated in 151 patients with prostate cancer treated with radical prostatectomy.

RESULTS

A statistically significant increase was found in PSA level and Gleason sum between biopsy and surgery (P = 0.01 and P < 0.0001, respectively). No significant association was found between prebiopsy PSA level (P = 0.27) or biopsy Gleason sum (P = 0.07) with biochemical recurrence as independent variables or in a combined model (P = 0.12). An association was also not found between recurrence and preprostatectomy PSA level (P = 0.15) or the rate of PSA change (P = 0.28) as independent variables. However, a significant association was found with the prostatectomy Gleason sum (P = 0.001). In a combined model, a significant association was noted between the preprostatectomy PSA level and prostatectomy specimen Gleason sum and biochemical recurrence (P = 0.003). No increased risk of biochemical recurrence was noted with increasing time from biopsy to prostatectomy (odds ratio 1.00) or the rate (odds ratio 1.03) and degree (odds ratio 1.30) of serum PSA or Gleason sum (odds ratio 1.07).

CONCLUSIONS

The interval between biopsy and radical prostatectomy is not a predictor of biochemical failure. An association was noted between an increased risk of biochemical failure and the amount of serum PSA and Gleason sum increase between biopsy and surgery.

Quantifying the impact of seminal vesicle invasion identified using endorectal magnetic resonance imaging on PSA outcome after radiation therapy for patients with clinically localized prostate cancer

PURPOSE

This study examined the impact that seminal vesicle invasion (SVI), observed on endorectal magnetic resonance imaging (erMRI), had on prostate-specific antigen (PSA) outcome after external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) for patients with clinically localized prostate cancer.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The study cohort was comprised of 250 patients who received 3D conformal radiation therapy without hormones for clinically localized prostate cancer between 1992 and 2001. The primary end point was PSA failure, defined using the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology consensus definition. Cox regression multivariable analysis was used to determine the ability of the pretreatment risk group and erMRI SVI to predict for time to PSA failure after EBRT.

RESULTS

Both risk group (p(Cox) = 0.001) and erMRI SVI (p(Cox) = 0.003) were independent and significant predictors of time to PSA failure. For patients beyond low risk, 4-year estimates of PSA failure-free survival for erMRI SVI-negative vs. erMRI SVI-positive patients were 68% vs. 33% (p(log-rank) = 0.0014), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Patients with clinically localized disease and PSA >10 or biopsy Gleason score >or=7 or clinical T category T2b or T2c who also have erMRI evidence of SVI have PSA outcomes similar to patients with locally advanced prostate cancer after EBRT monotherapy. Consideration should be given to combining EBRT with hormonal therapy in these patients.

Should patients with a pre-operative prostatespecific antigen greater than 15ng/ml be offered radical prostatectomy?

BACKGROUND

Patients with prostate cancer with a pre-operative prostate-specific antigen (PSA) >15 ng/ml who undergo radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP) generally do not have a good outcome, yet may have organ-confined cancer and should be offered the option of surgery.

AIM

To assess the outcome of patients who underwent RRP with a pre-operative PSA >15 ng/ml.

METHODS

Thirty-four patients, mean pre-operative PSA: 25.46 ng/ml (15.03-76.6) and mean Gleason score: 6.4 (5-9) were assessed.

RESULTS

Two groups were identified. Group I: 41% (14/34) have no biochemical recurrence to mean follow up of 58 months (30-106). Mean PSA: 18.8 ng/ml (15.03-25.84). Mean Gleason score: 6.1 (5-7). Clinical stage: T1c in 80%. No patient had seminal vesicle or lymph node involvement. Group II: 59% (20/34) have biochemical recurrence or died (3) from their disease to mean follow up of 66 months (36-98). Mean PSA: 28.9 ng/ml (15.28-76.6). Mean Gleason score: 6.7 (5-9). Clinical stage: T1c in 25%. Eleven patients had seminal vesicle (8) involvement or positive lymph nodes (3) or both (2).

CONCLUSION

RRP seems feasible in patients whose pre-operative PSA is between 15 and 25 ng/ml with stage T1c, Gleason score < or = 7 and negative lymph node frozen section.

Alternativas terapéuticas en el cáncer de próstata localizado. Experiencia sobre 454 pacientes

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the influence of different therapeutic options on progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS) and specific survival (SS) in a cohort of 454 patients with localized prostatic carcinoma, taking into account different prognostic factors, and to compare our results to those reported in the world literature.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Between 1983 and 2000 we have diagnosed 706 new cases of prostatic carcinoma and 454 were clinically localized tumors. The different therapeutic options employed in our series of patients have been: follow-up (FU) (103 patients); radical prostatectomy (RP) (108 patients); radiotherapy without hormonal blockade (RT) (148 patients); and hormonal blockade (HB) (95 patients). We have determined the PFS, the OS and the SS for each group of patients and compared them in patients with different prognostic factors at the time of diagnosis, including age, PSA levels, Gleason's grading and TNM staging. We have also analysed the influence of the tumor progression on the OS. The mean follow-up time has been 5.6 years (range: 0.1-19.2; median: 5.2).

RESULTS

For PFS: the disease progressed in 145 patients (32%) and the PFS at 5 and 10 years has been 77% and 67% for FU; 61% and 50% for RP; 63% and 25% for RT; and 73% and 67% for HB, respectively. The differences between RT and RP were not statistically significant. For the subgroup of patients with PSA levels <10 and Gleason <8 the differences between FU, RP and RT did not reach statistical significance. For OS: 126 patients of our series died (28%) and the OS at 5 and 10 years has been 80% and 61% for FU; 90% and 76% for RP; 85% and 67% for RT; and 64% and 32% for HB, respectively. We have found no significant differences between FU, RP and RT. For SS: 31 patients of our series died of disease (6.8%). The SS at 5 and 10 years has been 100% and 94% for FU; 98% and 98% for RP; 97% and 88% for RT; and 83% and 77% for HB, respectively. We have found no significant differences in the OS between patients with disease progression and without disease progression treated with FU, RP and RT.

CONCLUSIONS

Determination of PSA levels has allowed diagnosis of prostatic carcinomas in early stages of disease; however, our results and those reported in the literature cannot define which is the best therapeutic option in these patients. We should offer the patients individualized information both in the phase of early diagnosis and of therapeutic decisions.

Treatments for improving survival of patients with prostate cancer

Prostate cancer is a heterogeneous disease characterised by a long natural history relative to other solid tumours. With the diagnosis of prostate cancer being made earlier, the emphasis of treatment has shifted from palliation of symptoms to altering disease-related morbidity and mortality and thus improving overall survival. Treatment of prostate cancer increasingly involves an approach that combines local therapies directed at the primary tumour together with systemic therapies to potentiate their effect and to control subclinical metastatic disease. Patients with localised tumours who are at high risk of relapsing with radiation therapy alone are surviving longer because of the addition of adjuvant hormonal therapy. Although a survival benefit in similar patients undergoing prostatectomy has not yet been established, preliminary results indicate that adjuvant hormonal therapy delays relapse. Chemotherapy is an effective palliative modality for patients with hormone- refractory metastatic disease, and recently completed phase III trials will determine if chemotherapy can prolong survival for this group. The role of chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced tumours is also being investigated in randomised clinical trials. Because bone is the dominant site of metastases for most patients with prostate cancer, the development of therapies that can slow tumour growth specifically within bone is a logical strategy. Bisphosphonates and bone-targeted radionuclides are two such approaches that have shown encouraging results even in the most advanced stages of the disease. Although one can now reasonably hypothesise that survival has improved because of recent therapeutic advances, it remains to be conclusively established that cytotoxic or other systemic therapy can extend survival of patients with prostate cancer. Only the results of ongoing randomised trials can definitely establish that more patients with locally advanced and metastatic prostate cancer are living longer.

Use of algorithms as determinants for individual patient decision making: national comprehensive cancer network versus artificial neural networks

The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) developed a series of algorithms based on expert opinion to guide the treatment of patients with prostate cancer. These algorithms define acceptable treatment options according to the risk of disease recurrence and the life expectancy of the patient. However, practicing clinicians are expected to use medical judgment when making actual treatment decisions. Many clinical and pathologic variables affect patient prognosis, which, in turn, influences the treatment and surveillance of patients. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) offer promise for improving the predictive value of traditional statistical modeling. ANN models have been designed that predict risk of lymph node spread and capsular involvement during disease staging, risk of disease recurrence after prostatectomy, and overall and cause-specific survival. This article provides a review of guidelines, such as NCCN and ANN, used for the management of prostate cancer and suggests that group-level recommendations based on these algorithms or other decision trees may misrepresent individual patient preferences for treatment. Patients and their clinicians need to consider available prognostic information, including clinical status, pathologic variables, and comorbidities, and then select a reasonable treatment approach that maximizes outcome and quality of life according to the preferences of each patient.

Outcome after radical prostatectomy with a pretreatment prostate biopsy Gleason score of ≥8

OBJECTIVE

To determine the outcome and predictors of recurrence in patients with a pretreatment prostate biopsy Gleason score (GS) of >/= 8 and treated with radical prostatectomy (RP).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 1048 consecutive patients who underwent RP by one surgeon (M.S.S.); patients who had a pretreatment biopsy GS of >/= 8 were identified. Information was recorded on patient age, initial prostate specific antigen (PSA) level, clinical stage, biopsy GS, pathology GS, extraprostatic extension (EPE), tumour volume, surgical margin status, seminal vesicle invasion (SVI), and lymph node involvement. The results were assessed statistically using the Kaplan-Meier method, univariate log-rank tests and multivariate analysis using Cox's proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

In all, 123 patients met the initial selection criteria; 44 were excluded from further analyses (five salvage RP, 23 < 1 year follow-up and 16 adjuvant treatment). Thus 79 patients were included in the uni- and multivariate analyses; 25 (31%) patients had a GS of </= 7 in the RP specimen and 54 (69%) remained at GS >/= 8. The mean follow-up was 55 months, the age of the patients 63 years and the mean (sd) initial PSA level 13 (12) ng/mL. The overall biochemical failure rate was 38% (41% if the final GS was >/= 8 and 32% if it was </= 7). For those with a GS of >/= 8 in the RP specimen, 20% (11/54) were organ-confined; two patients (2.5%) in this group developed local recurrence. If the final GS was </= 7, 52% (13/25) were organ-confined. In the univariate analysis, significant risk factors for recurrence were PSA >/= 20 ng/mL, EPE, SVI, a positive surgical margin and tumour volume. Cox's proportional regression indicated that a PSA of >/= 20 ng/mL (hazard ratio 7.9, 95% confidence interval 2.6-24.2, P < 0.001), the presence of EPE (4.2, 1.6-10.9, P = 0.004) and a positive surgical margin (3.8, 1.5-9.7, P = 0.005) were significant independent predictors in a multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

RP is a reasonable treatment option for patients with a prostate biopsy GS of >/=8 and clinical stage T1-2. These patients have a high chance of remaining disease-free if their PSA level is </= 20 ng/mL. Patients with a pretreatment biopsy GS of >/= 8 should be counselled about the potential differences between the biopsy and the RP specimen GS.

[Prognostic value in radical prostatectomy of positive cilinders number and cancer percentage per cilinder in prostate biopsy]

INTRODUCTION

Clinical stage, PSA value and Gleason score in biopsy are well known independent prognostic factors in prostate cancer. Since the widespread use of PSA, we assist to a changing trend in clinical presentation of patients with prostate cancer toward low stage, low PSA and well-differentiated tumors. This has motivated the search of new prognostic factors to predict those patients at risk of poor outcome. We analyze the histological quantification of tumor in biopsy as a prognostic factor in patients that underwent radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Of a series of 112 RRP performed by the same surgeon, we selected 81 in which tumor quantification at biopsy was assessed.

RESULTS

Comparing the group with up to 2 positive cores against the group with 4 or more, the risk of positive surgical margins in RRP multiplies by 2.4 (15.4% vs. 37.5%), and the risk of biochemical progression almost duplicates (34% vs. 60%). When percentage of tumor per core is analyzed, the presence of 40% or more per core compared to less than 20%, multiplies the risk of positive margins by 5 (44.1% vs. 8.7%), and the risk of biochemical relapse by 3 (48% vs. 15%).

CONCLUSIONS

The total number of positive cores, the percentage of the total of positive cores and the amount of cancer in each core, all demonstrated to be significant predictive prognostic factors that should be analyzed in every patient undergoing prostate biopsy, to predict the risk of poor outcome and therefore help planning the most adequate treatment strategy.

Early versus late hormonal therapy: debating the issues

Hormonal therapy for prostate cancer has traditionally been reserved for advanced disease, but current evidence suggests that earlier use can confer a survival advantage. Survival benefit has been observed among patients with TNM stage T3 tumors who were treated with hormonal therapy plus external irradiation. Patients with nodal metastases (D1) who received immediate treatment with hormonal therapy after radical prostatectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy also survived longer than those who were treated only after disease progression. The patients included in these studies are distinguished from those exhibiting "biochemical" failure (ie, increased levels of prostate-specific antigen, despite local therapy). It is in these patients that the use of hormonal therapy is, at present, controversial. For the purpose of identifying the subgroup of patients who might specifically benefit from early hormonal treatment, various schemas for defining predictors of poor outcome have been developed, including nomograms and artificial neural network programs. As with hormonal therapy, the use of chemotherapy in prostate cancer has been regarded as a palliative option for hormone-refractory disease. However, positive experience with early chemotherapy in other cancers suggests that such strategies might be similarly beneficial in prostate cancer. Limited clinical data show that chemotherapy combined with hormonal therapy can increase the initial response rate and prolong survival in locally advanced disease (T3 or D2), but not in metastatic tumors. An international trial is under way to evaluate the role of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with localized prostate cancer who are at high risk of relapse after radical prostatectomy. Thus, accumulating evidence provides a rationale for continued investigation into the use of early hormonal therapy in selected patients.

Predicting recurrence after radical prostatectomy for patients with high risk prostate cancer

PURPOSE

Previous studies have shown that patients with clinical stage T2c-T3 prostate cancer, serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) at diagnosis greater than 20 ng./ml. or a biopsy Gleason score of 8 to 10 are at high risk for disease recurrence after radical prostatectomy. We determined the most important pretreatment predictors of disease recurrence in this high risk population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We identified 547 patients with high risk prostate cancer who underwent radical prostatectomy at University of California, San Francisco or as part of the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor data base, a longitudinal disease registry of patients with prostate cancer. High risk disease was defined as 1992 American Joint Committee on Cancer clinical stage T2c-T3 disease in 411 patients, serum PSA at diagnosis greater than 20 ng./ml. in 124 and/or biopsy Gleason score 8 to 10 in 114. Disease recurrence was defined as PSA 0.2 ng./ml. or greater on 2 consecutive occasions after radical prostatectomy or second cancer treatment more than 6 months after surgery. The Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to determine significant independent predictors of disease recurrence. The likelihood of disease recurrence for clinically relevant patient groups was determined using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log rank test.

RESULTS

Median followup after surgery was 3.1 years. Disease recurred in 177 patients (32%). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that serum PSA at diagnosis, biopsy Gleason score, ethnicity and the percent of positive prostate biopsies were significant independent predictors of disease recurrence, while patient age and clinical tumor stage were not. Patients with a Gleason score 8 to 10 tumor and a serum PSA of 10 ng./ml. or less had a significantly higher likelihood of remaining disease-free 5 years after surgery than those with PSA greater than 10 ng./ml. (47% versus 19%, p <0.05). Patients with a serum PSA at diagnosis of greater than 20 ng./ml. and a Gleason score of less than 8 had a significantly higher likelihood of remaining disease-free 5 years after surgery than similar patients with a Gleason score of 8 or greater (45% versus 0%, p <0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

PSA, Gleason score, ethnicity and the percent of positive prostate biopsies appear to be the most important pretreatment predictors of disease recurrence in men with high risk prostate cancer. Patients with high grade disease may continue to be appropriate candidates for local therapy if PSA is less than 10 ng./ml. at diagnosis or there are fewer than 66% positive prostate biopsies.

Substratification of stage T1C prostate cancer based on the probability of biochemical recurrence

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the influence of preoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA), biopsy Gleason sum, and prostate biopsy quantitative histologic findings on the probability of biochemical failure in an attempt to identify criteria to substratify Stage T1c prostate cancer more accurately.

METHODS

We reviewed the records of 1149 patients who underwent prostatectomy for T1c disease between 1988 and 2000. Biochemical recurrence (PSA 0.2 ng/mL or greater) defined the endpoint in this study. Recursive partitioning analysis was used to establish cutpoints for preoperative PSA level, biopsy Gleason sum, number of positive biopsy cores, and maximal percentage of any single biopsy core involved with cancer. These cutoff values were then evaluated using Kaplan-Meier estimations to determine the probability of remaining biochemically recurrence free.

RESULTS

Using a PSA cutpoint of 10 ng/mL or a biopsy Gleason sum of 7, two groups of patients were identified (T1cI and T1cII). The rate of freedom from PSA recurrence at 3, 5, and 10 years after surgery for T1cI was 98%, 96%, and 96%, respectively, and for T1cII was 86%, 83%, and 73%, respectively (P <0.001). For T1cII patients, the greatest percentage of cancer in a single biopsy core was found to be a predictor of biochemical failure on multivariate analysis and, using a cutoff value of 50%, further stratified the PSA recurrence-free rates for the men in group T1cII (90% and 85% versus 75% and 56% at 5 and 10 years after surgery, respectively, P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study demonstrate that within Stage T1c there are two populations of patients with significantly different recurrence probabilities: T1cI (Gleason sum less than 7 and PSA 10 ng/mL or less) and T1cII (Gleason sum 7 or greater or PSA greater than 10 ng/mL). Furthermore, using a cutpoint of 50% of cancer in a single core of biopsy tissue, additional risk stratification is afforded to men with higher risk "T1cII" cancer.