Hip fracture incidence and mortality in New England

Calcaneal bone mineral density predicts fracture occurrence: a five-year follow-up study in elderly people

A 5-year follow-up study investigated calcaneal bone mineral density (BMD) and changes in BMD in relation to fracture occurrence. The subjects comprised two cohorts born in 1914 and 1910 living in the city of Jyväskylä in central Finland. One hundred and three men (82%) and 188 women (73%), aged 75, and 57 men (74%) and 136 women (65%), aged 80, of the eligible population participated in the baseline bone measurements. The follow-up bone measurements were obtained for 59 men (68%) and 119 women (66%), aged 80 years, and for 21 men (53%) and 61 women (48%), aged 85 years. During the follow-up period, 8 men and 36 women from the younger and 11 men and 24 women from the older cohort sustained at least one fracture. When the baseline levels of BMD were related to fracture occurrence, the results clearly showed that with increased BMD values the probability of fracture decreased. Where men and women had similar BMD values, they also had a similar fracture probability. Except for one woman in the older cohort, none of those who had initial BMD values more than 1 standard deviation above the mean for their age developed a fracture during the follow-up period. The mean annual decrease in BMD was greater in the women (2.5-2.7%) than in the men (0.8-1.0%). The BMD change tended to associate with fracture occurrence only in the 75-year-old women (p = 0.075). The results suggest that calcaneus BMD can be used as a predictor of fracture occurrence in 75- to 80-year-old men and women. However, associating fractures with the change in BMD was difficult due to the limited number of survivors and initial differences in BMD values.

The epidemiology and pathogenesis of osteoporosis

Osteoporosis is an increasing health care concern as populations age throughout the developed and developing world. The social and economic costs of osteoporosis are due to its clinical outcome of fracture which increases exponentially with age. This review will highlight some of the key epidemiological aspects of osteoporosis incorporating areas of more recent interest. These include the definition; the magnitude of the problem encompassing differing incidence and prevalence patterns of both low bone mass and fracture in different cultural groups; the social consequences of fracture, including economic costs, morbidity and mortality; the evaluation of fracture risk, including the role of bone density, bone quality and the risk of falling; as well as an overview of some of the factors involved in determining low bone mass. Bone mineral density (BMD) is the most easily measured and accurate predictor of fracture risk. For any individual, BMD is the combination of their peak bone density and subsequent bone loss, both of which are influenced by genetic, hormonal and environmental factors. An understanding of key issues relating to this important disease may lead to earlier detection of the individual at high risk for fracture and rational approach to prevention and management.

Medical expenditures for the treatment of osteoporotic fractures in the United States in 1995: report from the National Osteoporosis Foundation

Osteoporotic fractures are a significant public health problem, resulting in substantial morbidity and mortality. Previous estimates of the economic burden of osteoporosis, however, have not fully accounted for the costs associated with treatment of nonhip fractures, minority populations, or men. Accordingly, the 1995 total direct medical expenditures for the treatment of osteoporotic fractures were estimated for all persons aged 45 years or older in the United States by age group, sex, race, type of fracture, and site of service (inpatient hospital, nursing home, and outpatient). Osteoporosis attribution probabilities were used to estimate the proportion of health service utilization and expenditures for fractures that resulted from osteoporosis. Health care expenditures attributable to osteoporotic fractures in 1995 were estimated at $13.8 billion, of which $10.3 billion (75.1%) was for the treatment of white women, $2.5 billion (18.4%) for white men, $0.7 billion (5.3%) for nonwhite women, and $0.2 billion (1.3%) for nonwhite men. Although the majority of U.S. health care expenditures for the treatment of osteoporotic fractures were for white women, one-fourth of the total was borne by other population subgroups. By site-of-service, $8.6 billion (62.4%) was spent for inpatient care, $3.9 billion (28.2%) for nursing home care, and $1.3 billion (9.4%) for outpatient services. Importantly, fractures at skeletal sites other than the hip accounted for 36.9% of the total attributed health care expenditures nationally. The contribution of nonhip fractures to the substantial morbidity and expenditures associated with osteoporosis has been underestimated by previous researchers.

Secular trends in hip fracture occurrence and survival: age and sex differences

The National Hospital Discharge Survey was used to analyze secular trends from 1965 to 1993 in hip fracture incidence and in-hospital survival in the White U.S. population 50 years of age and older. Age-specific fracture rates increased significantly for males in age groups 80-84 years and 85 years and older but not for younger males. For females, age-specific rates did not change significantly over the time period. Age-specific survival rates increased for both older males and females, but the increase was greatest for the older men. Why hip fracture incidence is increasing in older males but not in females and younger males is not clear. But the high lifetime prevalence of smoking in the older cohort of males may be a factor. With rising incidence rates in elderly males, prevention efforts, which have focused primarily on women because of their high fracture rates, should target both sexes.

Short-term mortality after repair of hip fracture. Do Manitoba elderly do worse?

This article uses administrative data from Manitoba and New England to address the reasons underlying Manitoba's relatively high mortality in the 30 days after hip fracture repair. Both the Manitoba and New England data sets are population based, containing information on individuals 65 years of age or older in Manitoba (1979-1992; n = 10,007) and New England (1984-1985); n = 16,206). Various logistic regression models were estimated on pooled and separate data from Manitoba and New England; the models all showed similar predictive accuracy, having C statistics in the .71 to .74 range. Manitoba postsurgical 30-day mortality rates were greater than the 1984 to 1985 New England rate for each of the 14 years considered. In particular, New England residents with very short waits before hip fracture repair (0 or 1 day) had mortality rates both markedly lower than expected and significantly less than those of Manitobians with such short waits. Attention to the Manitoba hospitals with very poor 30-day survival and to the process surrounding selection of patients for early versus late surgery in Manitoba are clearly in order. The extent to which longer-term survival reflects 30-day survival also is discussed. Our findings highlight the utility of comparative data for understanding quality of care problems within a single region.

The decision to enter a randomized trial of tamoxifen for the prevention of breast cancer in healthy women: an analysis of the tradeoffs

OBJECTIVE

Interest in breast cancer prevention has led to the Breast Cancer Prevention Trial (BCPT), a controversial randomized trial of tamoxifen for women at risk for breast cancer. The goal of our study was to determine whether the potential benefits of enrolling in the randomized trial of prophylactic tamoxifen outweigh the potential risks.

METHODS

We used a decision analytic model based on the available data on tamoxifen treatment benefits in women with breast cancer and extrapolated to its use in healthy women.

RESULTS

For a 50-year-old woman with a breast cancer risk twice that of the average woman her age, the BCPT offers an increase in life expectancy of about 9 days, a gain that is modest compared with other health interventions. For women ages 35 to 60 who meet the minimum risk of breast cancer for trial eligibility, the trial increases life expectancy by about 8 or 9 days. Assumptions about the effect of tamoxifen on the incidence of endometrial and liver cancer and on quality of life associated with tamoxifen did not alter our findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Advocates and opponents of the BCPT should temper their concerns to reflect the modest absolute benefits and harms associated with the trial. Although women at increased risk for breast cancer should be aware of the likely overall benefit associated with entry into the trial, for most women, entry into the BCPT is unlikely to alter substantially their length of life, in either a beneficial or harmful manner.

Relative rates of fracture of the hip in the United States. Geographic, sex, and age variations

We studied the Medicare data from 1984 through 1987 for 687,850 fractures of the hip that had occurred in the United States. Our purpose was to determine the geographic, sex-specific, and age-interval variations in the relative risk of fracture of the hip in elderly white individuals. The rates of cervical, trochanteric, and subtrochanteric fracture, and the over-all rate of fracture at any of the three levels, increased with age, were greater for women than for men, and were higher in the Southern part of the country. However, there were regional, sex, and age variations. The ratio of cervical to trochanteric fractures was significantly higher in the East South Central region and lower in the Middle Atlantic and New England regions (p < 0.05). These were the same areas with the highest and lowest over-all rates, respectively, of fracture of the hip. The ratio of cervical to trochanteric fractures decreased from 1.52 in women who were sixty-five to sixty-nine years old to 0.81 in women who were at least eighty-five years old, but it stayed at approximately 1.00 for the corresponding age-groups of men. The ratio of fracture of the hip in women to fracture of the hip in men varied depending on the level of the fracture.

Study of the intraosseous vessels of the femoral head in patients with fractures of the femoral neck or osteoarthritis of the hip

Bearing in mind earlier studies which established a link between arteriosclerosis and mineral loss, or fragility of the bones, and also our recent study showing that patients with arterial disorders of the lower limbs also suffered from osteoporosis, we carried out a histological study of the number and appearance of the intraosseous vessels and trabecular bone volume in the femoral heads of patients undergoing surgery for either fracture of the femoral neck or osteoarthritis of the hip. The number of thick-walled vessels, arterioles or arterial capillaries was significantly diminished in the femoral heads of patients with fractures of the femoral neck (p = 0.007). In addition, in the latter patients, arteriosclerotic vascular lesions (rupture of the internal elastic lamina, medial thickening and fibrosis) were more frequent than in patients with osteoarthritis of hip. The possibility that, through chronic ischemia, arteriosclerosis may lead to disturbance of bone remodelling and loss of the mechanical properties of bone has not been contradicted by these findings.

Age-related hip fractures in men: clinical spectrum and short-term outcomes

Clinical spectrum, treatment and short-term outcomes were assessed among the 131 Rochester, Minnesota, men who contracted an initial hip fracture due to moderate trauma during 1978-89. Three-fourths of falls leading to hip fracture occurred indoors with little seasonality, and 91% of fractures were in men 65 years of age or older. The ratio of cervical to intertrochanteric femur fractures was 1.4:1, and there was a tendency toward more neurological conditions among the patients with cervical fractures. Hemiarthroplasty and total hip replacement were mostly performed for cervical fractures, while internal fixation was preferred for intertrochanteric fractures. In-hospital mortality was 11.5%, and the 30-day case fatality rate was 16.0%. Age and postoperative deterioration of mental status significantly increased the risk of early death, the latter even after adjustment in a multivariate model, while comorbidity had a suggestive but not statistically significant influence on mortality. More than half the men were discharged to nursing homes, and 79% of the patients who survived at 1 year resided in nursing homes or intermediate care facilities or were attended by home care. Only 41% of survivors recovered their prefracture level of functioning and nearly 60% of patients limped and required a cane or walker. After implementation of the prospective payment system in 1984, the length of hospital stay was reduced, but there was no change in early mortality rates, in the duration of physical therapy following fracture or in attendance at nursing homes. The results of this population-based study demonstrate the strong impact of hip fractures on short-term outcomes in men.

Symptomatic fracture incidence in elderly men and women: the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study (DOES)

This longitudinal population-based study documents the incidence of all symptomatic fractures from 1989 to 1992 in an elderly, predominantly Caucasian population of males and females (> or = 60 years as at 1 January 1989) living in the geographically isolated region of the city of Dubbo, NSW, Australia. Fractures were ascertained by reviewing reports from all radiology services in the region. There were 306 fractures in 271 patients during the study period representing 11,401 person-years of observation. In the 60-80 year age group only 10% of fractures involved the hip, while in the over-80 age group this proportion rose to 41%. Incidence of distal forearm, hip and total fractures increased exponentially in both sexes with increasing age. Rib fractures were relatively common, with incidence rates for rib fractures similar to those for humeral fractures. Overall fracture incidence was 2685 per 100,000 person-years (males 1940 per 100,000 and females 3250 per 100,000). Residual lifetime fracture risk in a person aged 60 years with average life expectancy was 29% for males and 56% for females. Symptomatic fracture rates with the improved methodology in this study were higher than previously reported in both elderly males and females, with a marked preponderance of non-hip fractures in the 60-80 year age group. These symptomatic fractures have previously been underestimated, if not largely ignored, in public health approaches including cost-benefit analyses of osteoporosis prevention and treatment.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Treatment and survival among elderly Americans with hip fractures: a population-based study

OBJECTIVES

This study was undertaken to examine the patterns of treatment and survival among elderly Americans with hip fracture.

METHODS

A 5% national sample of Medicare claims was used to identify patients who sustained hip fractures between 1986 and 1989. In comparing treatment patterns across regions, direct standardization was used to derive age- and race-adjusted percentages. Logistic regression and Cox regression were used to examine short- and long-term survival.

RESULTS

In the United States, 64% of femoral neck fractures were treated with arthroplasty; 90% of pertrochanteric fractures were treated with internal fixation. Higher short- and long-term mortality was associated with being male, being older, residing in a nursing home prior to fracture, having a higher comorbidity score, and having a pertrochanteric fracture. Blacks and Whites had similar 90-day postfracture mortality, but Blacks had a higher mortality later on. For femoral neck fracture, internal fixation has a modestly lower short-term mortality associated with it than arthroplasty has.

CONCLUSION

Variation in the treatment of hip fracture was modest, The increased delayed mortality after hip fracture among Blacks requires further study.

The outcomes of patients newly admitted to nursing homes after hip fracture

OBJECTIVES

The outcomes of elderly, hospitalized patients discharged to nursing homes after hip fracture were examined.

METHODS

For 2624 hip fracture patients admitted to any of 43 proprietary nursing homes between 1984 and 1988, admission assessments were examined in relation to 1-month outcomes.

RESULTS

Mean patient age was 82 +/- 7 y; 85% of the sample were female. Within 1 month after discharge, 24% had returned home, 12% had been rehospitalized, 3% had died, and 61% remained in the nursing home. Characteristics significantly associated with morality included disorientation, functional dependency, neurologic diagnoses, and use of cardiac medications, antidepressants, or narcotics. Rehospitalization was significantly associated with age, gender, living with someone, being ambulatory, and functional dependency. Returning home was associated with younger age, living with someone, being ambulatory, and having no disorientation, functional dependency, or psychiatric or neurologic diagnoses, nor any pressure sores.

CONCLUSIONS

Better-functioning persons and those with social support returned home; physically and cognitively impaired persons and those taking narcotics, cardiac medications, or antidepressants were likely to die; and younger men, those with social support, those with functional dependency, and those who were free of disorientation were more likely to be rehospitalized.

The association between age and bone mineral density in men and women aged 55 years and over: the Rotterdam Study

In this cross-sectional study, bone mineral density (BMD) measurements were performed in 1762 ambulatory subjects (678 men and 1084 women) aged 55 years and over from the Rotterdam Study, a population based study of diseases in the elderly. BMD measurements of the proximal femur and lumbar spine were performed using dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. No age-related decline in BMD could be observed in the lumbar spine. Yearly percentage BMD reduction in women and men was -0.6% and -0.3% in the femoral neck, -0.8% and -0.5% in the Ward's triangle, and -0.4% and -0.3% in the trochanter, respectively. Late menopause was associated with high BMD in Ward's triangle and lumbar spine. We conclude that: (1) accurate assessment of age-related bone reduction in the spine is impossible from cross-sectional studies since BMD measurements in the elderly may be influenced by spinal osteoarthritis; and (2) the rate of age-related bone reduction in the femoral neck appears to be approximately two times higher in women than in men.

The association of age, race, and sex with the location of proximal femoral fractures in the elderly

A retrospective study of the data on 27,370 hospital discharges of patients who had been admitted to non-federal Maryland hospitals from 1979 through 1988 for a fracture of the proximal part of the femur and who had been at least sixty-five years old at the time of the fracture showed that the ratio of trochanteric fractures to fractures of the femoral neck increased linearly with age in white and black women. For men, this ratio was stable across age-intervals, being slightly more than one in white men and less than one in black men. Black patients who had a fracture of the hip were more likely than white patients to have a subtrochanteric, open, or femoral neck fracture. The rate of occurrence of fractures of the hip was highest in white women; the rate decreased successively in white men, black women, and black men. The higher over-all rate of fractures of the hip in white patients was disproportionately influenced by the much higher rate of trochanteric fractures in these patients.

Fractures of the proximal femur in Picardy, France, in 1987

Between 1 January and 31 December 1987, 1178 hip fractures were recorded in the 28 clinical centres, public and private, of the Picardy region (19443 km2, 1.8 million inhabitants). Patients under 20 years and those with metastatic cancer and myelomatous fractures were excluded. Women sustained 853 fractures (age mean +/- SD: 80.2 +/- 10.4 years) and men 325 (age 69.7 +/- 16.0 years). The crude incidence rate per 10,000 person years was 13.4 for women and 5.4 for men (female/male ratio 2.6). These incidences are among the lowest recorded in Northern Europe. Women with trochanteric fractures were older than those with cervical ones, but no difference was observed for men. After adjusting for age and sex, the incidence of hip fracture was greater in urban (10.5 per 10,000 person years) and semi-rural areas (8.2) than in rural areas (5.3). The mean bed-days per patient (+/- SD) was 21.6 +/- 16.0 (quartiles: 13-17-26 days); no difference was observed between sex or age classes. The in-hospital mortality rate was 8.7%, it increased with age and was higher in men, whatever their age. We review the data in different countries, mostly European, to compare with the Picardy region.

The association between water fluoridation and hip fracture among white women and men aged 65 years and older. A national ecologic study

For the past 45 years, there has been a great deal of debate regarding the health issues surrounding the fluoridation of public water supplies. In order to assess the association between fluoridation and hip fracture, we identified 129 counties across the United States considered to be exposed to public water fluoridation and 194 counties without exposure. Data from the Health Care Financing Administration and the Department of Veterans Affairs were used to calculate the incidence of hip fracture among white persons, aged 65 years or older, in fluoridated and nonfluoridated counties. There was a small statistically significant positive association between fracture rates and fluoridation. The relative risk (95% confidence interval) of fracture in fluoridated counties compared to nonfluoridated counties was 1.08 (1.06 to 1.10) for women and 1.17 (1.13 to 1.22) for men. As comparisons were made at the grouped level, it may be inappropriate at this time to draw inferences at the individual level. The relationship observed at the county level needs to be duplicated at the individual level with more precise measures of fluoride exposure.

Race and sex differences in mortality following fracture of the hip

This paper describes the all-cause mortality experience, following a fracture of the hip, of 712,027 persons covered by the Medicare program from 1984 through 1987. White women experienced the lowest mortality rate (17.2 per 1000 person-months), followed by Black women (22.9 per 1000 person-months), Black men (33.5 per 1000 person-months), and White men (33.7 per 1000 person-months). The observed race-sex differences in survival were found at all ages and regardless of the number of comorbid conditions listed with the discharge diagnosis. While these data demonstrate marked race-sex differences in survival following hip fracture, the cause of these differences is not immediately apparent and demands further investigation.

The cost and frequency of hospitalization for fall-related injuries in older adults

Using a population-based hospital discharge registry with E codes, we examine the 1989 hospitalizations of older adults in Washington State for fall-related injuries. Fall-related trauma accounted for 5.3% of all hospitalizations of older adults, with hospital charges totaling $53,346,191, and resulted in discharge to nursing care more often than other such hospitalizations. An annual hospitalization rate of 13.5 per 1000 persons and an annual cost of $92 per person is reported. The importance of preventing fall-related injuries in older adults is discussed.

The accuracy of Medicare's hospital claims data: progress has been made, but problems remain

BACKGROUND

Health care databases provide a widely used source of data for health care research, but their accuracy remains uncertain. We analyzed data from the 1985 National DRG Validation Study, which carefully reabstracted and reassigned ICD-9-CM diagnosis and procedure codes from a national sample of 7050 medical records, to determine whether coding accuracy had improved since the Institute of Medicine studies of the 1970s and to assess the current coding accuracy of specific diagnoses and procedures.

METHODS

We defined agreement as the proportion of all reabstracted records that had the same principal diagnosis or procedure coded on both the original (hospital) record and on the reabstracted record. We also evaluated coding accuracy in 1985 using the concepts of diagnostic test evaluation.

RESULTS

Overall, the percentage of agreement between the principal diagnosis on the reabstracted record and the original hospital record, when analyzed at the third digit, improved from 73.2% in 1977 to 78.2% in 1985. However, analysis of the 1985 data demonstrated that the accuracy of diagnosis and procedure coding varies substantially across conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

Although some diagnoses and all major surgical procedures that we examined were accurately coded, the variability in the accuracy of diagnosis coding poses a problem that must be overcome if claims-based research is to achieve its full potential.