Expanding consensus in portal hypertension: Report of the Baveno VI Consensus Workshop: Stratifying risk and individualizing care for portal hypertension

Referral for liver transplant following acute variceal bleeding: a multicenter cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Referral for liver transplant (LT) following acute variceal bleeding (AVB) varies widely. We aimed to characterize and assess its impact on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Observational retrospective cohort including cirrhosis patients with AVB from 3 hospitals in Lisbon, Portugal, from 2018 to 2019. Primary exposure was referral for LT and primary endpoint was all-cause mortality within 2 years of index hospital admission.

RESULTS

Among 143 patients, median (IQR) age was 59 (52-72) years and 90 (62.9%) were males. Median (IQR) MELDNa scores on hospital admission and discharge were 15 (11-21) and 13 (10-16), respectively. Overall, 30 (21.0%) patients were assessed for LT, 13 (9.1%) prior to and 17 (11.9%) within 2 years of hospital admission. Overall, 58 (40.6%) patients had at least one potential contra-indication for transplant. LT was performed in 3 (2.1%) patients (among 5 listed). Overall, 34 (23.8%) and 62 (43.4%) patients died at 6 weeks and 2 years post hospital admission, respectively. Following adjustment for confounders, referral for LT was associated with lower 2-year mortality (aHR (95% CI) = 0.20 (0.05-0.85)).

CONCLUSION

In a multicenter cohort of cirrhosis patients with AVB, less than a quarter underwent formal LT evaluation. Improved referral for LT following AVB may benefit cirrhosis patients' longer-term mortality.

Performance of continuous controlled attenuation parameter and liver stiffness measurement by the novel SmartExam in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

FibroScan® Expert 630 and FibroScan® Mini+430 are novel vibration-controlled transient elastography devices equipped with the same SmartExam software, which allows continuous measurement of controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) during the entire examination. This study aims to compare the CAP variabilities and the quantification for liver fibrosis and steatosis between the conventional FibroScan and the SmartExam-equipped machines in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 118 patients with biopsy-proven MASLD who underwent liver biopsy at two tertiary centres between 2021 and 2023. Liver stiffness and steatosis measurements were performed using both FibroScan machines and M and XL probes for each individual. Liver histology was used as the reference standard for liver fibrosis and steatosis staging.

RESULTS

Standard deviations of continuous CAP (cCAP) were significantly lower than those of CAP for all probes (p < .0001). CAP variability was significantly associated with body mass index (p < .01), probe selection (p < .001) as well as the random effect of centre. Only the effect of probe selection (p < .001) was significantly associated with cCAP variability. No significant difference was found in the performance of staging liver fibrosis and steatosis between two types of machines at the same cut-offs.

CONCLUSIONS

The SmartExam-based VCTE reduces the variability of CAP measurement and achieves a similar accuracy as the FibroScan 502 device for the estimation of both hepatic steatosis and fibrosis. Future studies should determine if cCAP is a better tool to monitor changes in steatosis than the original CAP.

Clinical Outcomes and Their Determinants in Patients With Gastric Variceal Bleed Undergoing Endoscopic Cyanoacrylate Injection: An Observational Study

Background and aims

Gastric variceal bleeding (GVB), compared to esophageal varices, is rare but often massive and associated with high mortality. Endoscopic cyanoacrylate glue injection (ECGI) is the first-line treatment for GVB. Hence, we conducted this study to assess the clinical outcomes and the determinants of ECGI for gastric variceal bleeding.

Methods

This was a prospective observational study of patients with ECGI for GVB between June 2019 and February 2023. The demographic characteristics, etiology and severity of cirrhosis, size, type of gastric varices, volume of cyanoacrylate used, number of sessions required, technical success, rebleeding rate, and survival at three months were studied.

Results

A total of 135 patients underwent ECGI for GVB. Their mean (SD) age was 44.9 (13.6) years, with a male preponderance (n = 23, 68.1 %). Eighty-two patients (60.7 %) had cirrhosis. Their mean model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was 14.3 (7.3). Gastric varices were gastroesophageal varices (GOV)1 in 42 (31.1 %), GOV2 in 73 (54.1 %), and isolated gastric varices (IGV)1 in 20 (14.8 %) patients. Varices were large in 35 (25.9 %) and had F1 morphology in 89 (65.9 %) patients. The success rate of initial hemostasis was 98.5 %. The median sessions required were 1 (1-2), and the median volume of cyanoacrylate per session was 2 (1-2) ml. The procedure was associated with minor complications like transient abdominal pain in 11 (8.1 %) and fever in 2 (2.7 %) patients. Rebleeding was observed in 23 (17 %) patients. GOV2, F1 morphology, and a high MELD score were significantly associated with rebleeding. Five (3.7 %) patients died during the study; 2 (1.5 %) were due to failure to control bleeding.

Conclusion

In conclusion, our study demonstrated ECGI to be very safe and effective for GVB. The technical success was high and could be achieved in fewer sessions with a smaller volume of cyanoacrylate during each session.

Review article: New developments in biomarkers and clinical drug development in alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency-related liver disease

BACKGROUND

Alpha-1 antitrypsin liver disease (AATLD) occurs in a subset of patients with alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency. Risk factors for disease progression and specific pathophysiologic features are not well known and validated non-invasive assessments for disease severity are lacking. Currently, there are no approved treatments for AATLD.

AIMS

To outline existing understanding of AATLD and to identify knowledge gaps critical to improving clinical trial design and development of new treatments.

METHODS

This report was developed following a multi-stakeholder forum organised by the Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency Related Liver Disease Expert Panel in which experts presented an overview of the available literature on this topic.

RESULTS

AATLD results from a 'gain of toxic function' and primarily manifests in those with the homozygous Pi*ZZ genotype. Accumulation of misfolded 'Z' AAT protein in liver cells triggers intracellular hepatocyte injury which may ultimately lead to hepatic fibrosis. Male gender, age over 50 years, persistently elevated liver tests, concomitant hepatitis B or C virus infection, and metabolic syndrome, including obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus, are known risk factors for adult AATLD. While the gold standard for assessing AATLD disease activity is liver histology, less invasive measures with low intra- and inter-observer variability are needed. Measurement of liver stiffness shows promise; validated thresholds for staging AATLD are in development. Such advances will help patients by enabling risk stratification and personalised surveillance, along with streamlining the development process for novel therapies.

CONCLUSIONS

This inaugural forum generated a list of recommendations to address unmet needs in the field of AATLD.

Predicting response to non-selective beta-blockers with liver-spleen stiffness and heart rate in patients with liver cirrhosis and high-risk varices

INTRODUCTION

Non-selective beta-blockers (NSBB) are used for primary prophylaxis in patients with liver cirrhosis and high-risk varices (HRVs). Assessing therapeutic response is challenging due to the invasive nature of hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. This study aims to define a noninvasive machine-learning based approach to determine response to NSBB in patients with liver cirrhosis and HRVs.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective study on a cohort of cirrhotic patients with documented HRVs receiving NSBB treatment. Patients were followed-up with clinical and elastography appointments at 3, 6, and 12 months after NSBB treatment initiation. NSBB response was defined as stationary or downstaging variceal grading at the 12-month esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD). In contrast, non-response was defined as upstaging variceal grading at the 12-month EGD or at least one variceal hemorrhage episode during the 12-month follow-up. We chose cut-off values for univariate and multivariate model with 100% specificity.

RESULTS

According to least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, spleen stiffness (SS) and liver stiffness (LS) percentual decrease, along with changes in heart rate (HR) at 3 months were the most significant predictors of NSBB response. A decrease > 11.5% in SS, > 16.8% in LS, and > 25.3% in HR was associated with better prediction of clinical response to NSBB. SS percentual decrease showed the highest accuracy (86.4%) with high sensitivity (78.8%) when compared to LS and HR. The multivariate model incorporating SS, LS, and HR showed the highest discrimination and calibration metrics (AUROC = 0.96), with the optimal cut-off of 0.90 (sensitivity 94.2%, specificity 100%, PPV 95.7%, NPV 100%, accuracy 97.5%).

Non-Invasive Diagnostic Tests for Portal Hypertension in Patients with HBV- and HCV-Related Cirrhosis: A Comprehensive Review

Clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease indicates an increased risk of decompensation and death. While invasive methods like hepatic venous-portal gradient measurement is considered the gold standard, non-invasive tests (NITs) have emerged as valuable tools for diagnosing and monitoring CSPH. This review comprehensively explores non-invasive diagnostic modalities for portal hypertension, focusing on NITs in the setting of hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis. Biochemical-based NITs can be represented by single serum biomarkers (e.g., platelet count) or by composite scores that combine different serum biomarkers with each other or with demographic characteristics (e.g., FIB-4). On the other hand, liver stiffness measurement and spleen stiffness measurement can be assessed using a variety of elastography techniques, and they can be used alone, in combination with, or as a second step after biochemical-based NITs. The incorporation of liver and spleen stiffness measurements, alone or combined with platelet count, into established and validated criteria, such as Baveno VI or Baveno VII criteria, provides useful tools for the prediction of CSPH and for ruling out high-risk varices, potentially avoiding invasive tests like upper endoscopy. Moreover, they have also been shown to be able to predict liver-related events (e.g., the occurrence of hepatic decompensation). When transient elastography is not available or not feasible, biochemical-based NITs (e.g., RESIST criteria, that are based on the combination of platelet count and albumin levels) are valid alternatives for predicting high-risk varices both in patients with untreated viral aetiology and after sustained virological response. Ongoing research should explore novel biomarkers and novel elastography techniques, but current evidence supports the utility of routine blood tests, LSM, and SSM as effective surrogates in diagnosing and staging portal hypertension and predicting patient outcomes.

Risk factors and predictive nomograms for bedside emergency endoscopic treatment following endotracheal intubation in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding

Data on emergency endoscopic treatment following endotracheal intubation in patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB) remain limited. This retrospective study aimed to explore the efficacy and risk factors of bedside emergency endoscopic treatment following endotracheal intubation in severe EGVB patients admitted in Intensive Care Unit. A total of 165 EGVB patients were enrolled and allocated to training and validation sets in a randomly stratified manner. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors to construct nomograms for predicting the prognosis related to endoscopic hemostasis failure rate and 6-week mortality. In result, white blood cell counts (p = 0.03), Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score (p = 0.001) and comorbid shock (p = 0.005) were selected as independent clinical predictors of endoscopic hemostasis failure. High CTP score (p = 0.003) and the presence of gastric varices (p = 0.009) were related to early rebleeding after emergency endoscopic treatment. Furthermore, the 6-week mortality was significantly associated with MELD scores (p = 0.002), the presence of hepatic encephalopathy (p = 0.045) and postoperative rebleeding (p < 0.001). Finally, we developed practical nomograms to discern the risk of the emergency endoscopic hemostasis failure and 6-week mortality for EGVB patients. In conclusion, our study may help identify severe EGVB patients with higher hemostasis failure rate or 6-week mortality for earlier implementation of salvage treatments.

Evaluation of spleen stiffness by 2D shear wave elastography for ruling out high risk varices in patients with chronic advanced liver disease. A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To systematically review the accuracy of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) by 2D- Shear Wave Elastography (2D-SWE) in predicting high risk for bleeding varices (HRV) in cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Medline, Cochrane, and Google Scholar databases were searched up to 31/05/2023 for all human studies using 2D-SWE to estimate SSM and endoscopy to detect HRV. Meta-analysis was performed using a generalized linear mixed model. Publication bias was evaluated using the funnel plot asymmetry test. The Area Under the Summarized Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUSROC) was estimated using the "mada" package.

RESULTS

A total of 13 studies and 1970 patients were included. Of them, 27.8 % had HRV. The pooled sensitivity and polled specificity of SSM in detecting HRV were 90 % (95 %CI:87-92 %) and 68 % (95 %CI:58-77 %), respectively, with an AUSROC at 0.86 (95 %CI:0.82-0.90). The median cutoff value of SSM in detecting HRV was 34.2 kPa. In studies including exclusively HBV cirrhotic patients, SSM's polled sensitivity and specificity in predicting HRV was 88 % (95 %CI:82-92 %) and 73 % (95 %CI:68-78 %), respectively. The AUSROC was 0.84 (95 %CI:0.81-0.87). The number of repeated measurements per patient (<5 or ≥ 5) did not affect the method's capability. Using Aixplorer to evaluate SSM had a higher sensitivity in ruling out HRV than other 2D-SWE devices.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis supports that SSM by 2D-SWE has a good diagnostic performance for ruling out HRV in cirrhosis.

Noninvasive tests for liver fibrosis in 2024: are there different scales for different diseases?

Liver fibrosis is the common pathway from various chronic liver diseases and its progression leads to cirrhosis which carries a significant risk for the development of portal hypertension-related complications and hepatocellular carcinoma. It is crucial to identify and halt the worsening of liver fibrosis given its important prognostic implication. Liver biopsy is the gold standard for assessing the degree of liver fibrosis but is limited due to its invasiveness and impracticality for serial monitoring. Many noninvasive tests have been developed over the years trying to assess liver fibrosis in a practical and accurate way. The tests are mainly laboratory- or imaging-based, or in combination. Laboratory-based tests can be derived from simply routine blood tests to patented laboratory parameters. Imaging modalities include ultrasound and magnetic resonance elastography, in which vibration-controlled transient elastography is the most widely validated and adopted whereas magnetic resonance elastography has been proven the most accurate liver fibrosis assessment tool. Nonetheless, noninvasive tests do not always apply to all liver diseases, nor does a common cut-off value of a test mean the same degree of liver fibrosis in different scenarios. In this review, we discuss the diagnostic and prognostic performance, as well as the confounders and limitations, of different noninvasive tests on liver fibrosis assessment in various liver diseases.

Factors Positively Correlated with Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Seroconversion in Chronic Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a global public health challenge since more than 250 million individuals are affected worldwide. Since different treatment modalities are available and not all patients are candidates for antiviral treatment, biomarkers that potentially predict the possibility of HBsAg clearance and seroconversion may be useful in clinical practice.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, we aimed to identify factors positively correlated with HBsAg seroconversion in a large cohort of 371 chronic hepatitis B patients treated at a German tertial center between 2005 and 2020.

RESULTS

Seroconversion occurred in 25/371 (6.7%) and HBsAg loss in 29/371 patients (7.8%) with chronic HBV infection. Antiviral therapy was associated with a lower chance of seroconversion (seroconversion antiviral therapy 14/260 (5.4%) vs. therapy-naïve patients 11/111 (9.9%), p = 0.027). Seroconversion rates were higher in patients with (very) low titers of HBV DNA (best cut-off value 357 IU/mL) and quantitative HBsAg. The best cut-off value with regard to seroconversion was 357 IU/mL for HBV DNA (AUC 0.693 (95%-CI 0.063-0.422), sensitivity 0.714, specificity 0.729; p < 0.0005) and 33,55 IU/mL for HBsAg (AUC 0.794 (95%-CI 0.651-0.937), sensitivity 0.714, specificity 0.949; p < 0.0005). However, male gender was positively associated with seroconversion (seroconversion: males 7.6% vs. females 2.7%, p = 0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment-naïve male chronic HBV patients with low viral load and inflammatory activity have the best chance to achieve seroconversion. In the absence of cirrhosis, antiviral therapy should therefore not be performed in this patient collective.

Validation of Diagnostic Thresholds for Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease Using Supersonic Shear Imaging

Background The Society of Radiologists in Ultrasound (SRU) has proposed thresholds for acoustic radiation force impulse techniques to diagnose compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, the diagnostic performance of these thresholds has not been extensively validated. Purpose To validate the SRU thresholds in patients with chronic liver disease who underwent supersonic shear imaging and, if suboptimal diagnostic performance is observed, to identify optimal values for diagnosing cACLD. Materials and Methods This retrospective single-center study included high-risk patients with chronic liver disease who had liver stiffness (LS) measurements and had undergone endoscopy or liver biopsy between January 2018 and December 2021. Patients were randomly allocated to test and validation sets. cACLD was defined as varices at endoscopy and/or severe fibrosis or cirrhosis at liver biopsy. The diagnostic performance of the SRU guidelines was evaluated, and optimal threshold values were identified using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results A total of 1180 patients (median age, 57 years [IQR, 50-64 years]; 761 men), of whom 544 (46%) had cACLD, were included. With the SRU recommended thresholds of less than 9 kPa and greater than 13 kPa in the test set (n = 786), the sensitivity and specificity for ruling out and ruling in cACLD were 81% (303 of 374 patients; 95% CI: 77, 85) and 92% (380 of 412 patients; 95% CI: 89, 94), respectively. In ROC curve analysis, the identified optimal threshold values were less than 7 kPa and greater than 12 kPa, showing 91% sensitivity (340 of 374 patients; 95% CI: 88, 93) for ruling out cACLD and 91% specificity (373 of 412 patients; 95% CI: 87, 93) for ruling in cACLD, respectively. In the validation set (n = 394), the optimal thresholds showed 91% sensitivity (155 of 170 patients; 95% CI: 86, 95) and 92% specificity (206 of 224 patients; 95% CI: 88, 95). Conclusion Compared with the SRU guidelines, the dual LS threshold values of less than 7 kPa and greater than 12 kPa were better for diagnosing cACLD. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Barr in this issue.

Diagnosis and Therapy of Visceral Vein Thrombosis: An Update Based on the Revised AWMF S2k Guideline

Splanchnic or visceral vein thromboses (VVTs) are atypical thrombotic entities and include thrombosis of the portal vein, hepatic veins (Budd-Chiari syndrome), mesenteric veins, and splenic vein. All VVTs have in common high 30-day mortality up to 20% and it seems to be difficult to diagnose VVT early because of their rarity and their wide spectrum of unspecific symptoms. VVTs are often associated with myeloproliferative neoplasia, thrombophilia, and liver cirrhosis. VVT is primarily diagnosed by sonography and/or computed tomography. In contrast to venous thromboembolism, D-dimer testing is neither established nor helpful. Anticoagulation is the first-line therapy in patients with stable circulation and no evidence of organ complications. Anticoagulation improves significantly recanalization rates and stops the progress of thrombosis. Low-molecular-weight heparin, vitamin K antagonists, as well as direct-acting oral anticoagulants are possible anticoagulants, but it is noteworthy to be aware that all recommendations supporting the off-label use of anticoagulants are based on poor evidence and consist predominantly of case series, observational studies, or studies with small case numbers. When choosing a suitable anticoagulation, the individual risk of bleeding and thrombosis must be weighted very carefully. In cases of bleeding, bowel infarction, or other complications, the optimal therapy should be determined on a case-by-case basis by an experienced multidisciplinary team involving a surgeon. Besides anticoagulation, there are therapeutic options including thrombectomy, balloon angioplasty, stenting, transjugular placement of an intrahepatic portosystemic shunt, liver transplantation, and ischemic bowel resection. This article gives an overview of current diagnostic and therapeutic strategies.

Exploring occupational toxicant exposures in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: A prospective pilot study

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has been traditionally associated with insulin resistance and obesity. Recently, pollutants have been shown to contribute to the development of MASLD. Given the global burden of MASLD, understanding whether pollutants are merely associated with steatosis or contribute to its progression to advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is critical. Workers exposed to occupational toxicants represent an ideal population for assessing the potentially hazardous consequences of professional exposure. Confirming a link between occupational exposure and ACLD/HCC may not only provide further elements in understanding MASLD, but also contribute to preventive strategies for exposed workers.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the prevalence of self-reported occupational exposure to toxicants in patients with MASLD.

METHODS

This hospital-based prospective pilot study included 201 patients with MASLD. Data on workplace toxicant exposure were collected systematically using a structured questionnaire. Subsequently, patients with ACLD and/or HCC (n = 55) were compared to controls (n = 146). Logistic regression analysis and propensity score models were used to investigate the associations between self-reported occupational exposure and ACLD and/or HCC.

RESULTS

Patients with ACLD/HCC reported exposure to metals, halogenated refrigerants, pain/resins, and fuel emissions more often than the controls. After controlling for confounders, durations of 21-30 years and >30 years of occupational exposure to toxicants showed odds ratios (ORs) of 2.31 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.09-4.88, p = 0.029) and 4.47 (95 % CI: 2.57-7.78, p<0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this pilot study, patients with MASLD complications were more likely to report workplace toxicant exposure. Our results warrant future multicentre confirmatory studies, as implementing prevention policies may reduce the risk of life-threatening diseases among exposed populations.

A new clinical and prognostic characterization of the patterns of decompensation of cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The prognostic impact of acute decompensation (AD), i.e. the development of complications that require hospitalization, has recently been assessed. However, complications of cirrhosis do not necessarily require hospitalization and can develop progressively, as in the recently defined non-acute decompensation (NAD). Nevertheless, there is no data regarding the incidence and prognostic impact of NAD. The aim of the study was to evaluate the incidence and the prognostic impact of NAD and AD in outpatients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

A total of 617 outpatients with cirrhosis from two Italian tertiary centers (Padua and Milan) were enrolled from January 2003 to June 2021 and followed prospectively until the end of the study, death or liver transplantation. The complications registered during follow-up were considered as AD if they required hospitalization, or NAD if managed at the outpatient clinic.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 154 patients (25.0% of total patients) developed complications, 69 patients (44.8%) developed NAD and 85 (55.2%) developed AD, while 29 patients with NAD (42.0%) developed a further episode of AD during follow-up. Sixty-month survival was significantly higher in patients with no decompensation than in patients with NAD or AD. On multivariable analysis, AD (hazard ratio [HR] 21.07, p <0.001), NAD (HR 7.13, p <0.001), the etiological cure of cirrhosis (HR 0.38, p <0.001) and model for end-stage liver disease score (HR 1.12, p = 0.003) were found to be independent predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The first decompensation is non-acute in almost 50% of outpatients, though such events are still associated with decreased survival compared to no decompensation. Patients who develop NAD must be treated with extreme care and monitored closely to prevent the development of AD.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

This multicenter study is the first to investigate the role of non-acute decompensation (NAD) in patients with cirrhosis. In fact, while the unfavorable impact of acute decompensation is well known, there is currently a dearth of evidence on NAD, despite it being a common occurrence in clinical practice. Our data show that almost half of decompensations in patients with cirrhosis can be considered NAD and that such events are associated with a higher risk of mortality than no decompensation. This study has important clinical implications because it highlights the need to carefully consider patients who develop NAD, in order to prevent further decompensation and reduce mortality.

Incidence and Predictors of Esophagogastric Varices Bleeding in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Lenvatinib

Introduction

Lenvatinib is indicated for the forefront treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC), but its use may be limited by the risk of esophagogastric varices (EGV) bleeding. This study assessed the prevalence, predictors, and complications of EGV in aHCC patients treated with lenvatinib.

Methods

In this multicenter international retrospective study, cirrhotic patients treated with lenvatinib for aHCC, were enrolled if upper-gastrointestinal endoscopy was available within 6 months before treatment. Primary endpoint was the incidence of EGV bleeding during lenvatinib therapy; secondary endpoints were predictors for EGV bleeding, prevalence, and risk factors for the presence of EGV and high-risk EGV at baseline, as well as impact of EGV bleeding on patients' survival.

Results

535 patients were enrolled in the study (median age: 72 years, 78% male, 63% viral etiology, 89% Child-Pugh A, 16% neoplastic portal vein thrombosis [nPVT], 56% Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer-C): 234 had EGV (44%), 70 (30%) were at high risk and 59 were on primary prophylaxis. During lenvatinib treatment, 17 patients bled from EGV (3 grade 5), the 12-month cumulative incidence being 3%. The only baseline independent predictor of EGV bleeding was the presence of baseline high-risk EGV (hazard ratio: 6.94, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.23-21.57, p = 0.001). In these patients the 12-month risk was 17%. High-risk varices were independently associated with Child-Pugh B score (odds ratio [OR]: 2.12; 95% CI: 1.08-4.17, p = 0.03), nPVT (OR: 2.54; 95% CI: 1.40-4.61, p = 0.002), and platelets <150,000/μL (OR: 2.47; 95% CI: 1.35-4.50, p = 0.003).

Conclusion

In hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with lenvatinib, the risk of EGV bleeding was mostly low but significant only in patients with high-risk EGV at baseline.

Splanchnic vein thrombosis in necrotizing pancreatitis: a post-hoc analysis of a nationwide prospective cohort

BACKGROUND

Treatment guidelines for splanchnic vein thrombosis in necrotizing pancreatitis are lacking due to insufficient data on the full clinical spectrum.

METHODS

We performed a post-hoc analysis of a nationwide prospective necrotizing pancreatitis cohort. Multivariable analyses were used to identify risk factors and compare the clinical course of patients with and without SVT.

RESULTS

SVT was detected in 97 of the 432 included patients (22%) (median onset: 4 days). Risk factors were left, central, or subtotal necrosis (OR 28.52; 95% CI 20.11-40.45), right or diffuse necrosis (OR 5.76; 95% CI 3.89-8.51), and younger age (OR 0.94; 95% CI 0.90-0.97). Patients with SVT had higher rates of bleeding (n = 10,11%) and bowel ischemia (n = 4,4%) compared to patients without SVT (n = 14,4% and n = 2,0.6%; OR 3.24; 95% CI 1.27-8.23 and OR 7.29; 95% CI 1.31-40.4, respectively), and were independently associated with ICU admission (adjusted OR 2.53; 95% CI 1.37-4.68). Spontaneous recanalization occurred in 62% of patients (n = 40/71). Radiological and clinical outcomes did not differ between patients treated with and without anticoagulants.

DISCUSSION

SVT is a common and early complication of necrotizing pancreatitis, associated with parenchymal necrosis and younger age. SVT is associated with increased complications and a worse clinical course, whereas anticoagulant use does not appear to affect outcomes.

A new criterion including the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and liver and spleen stiffness to rule out varices needing treatment in children with biliary atresia: Modification of the Baveno VII criteria

AIMS

Biliary atresia (BA) is a congestive biliary disease that develops in the neonatal period or early infancy. It may present with portal hypertension and varices needing treatment (VNT) even after successful Kasai portoenterostomy. This study aimed to stratify the risk of VNT in children and adolescents with BA.

METHODS

In this prospective cross-sectional study, we measured liver stiffness (LS) and spleen stiffness (SS) by two-dimensional shear wave elastography and checked for VNT endoscopically in 53 patients with BA who attended for follow-up between July 2018 and September 2022. Varices needing treatment were defined as large esophageal varices, esophageal varices of any size with red color signs, and/or gastric varices along the cardia.

RESULTS

Twenty-five patients (aged 0-18 years) had VNT. Eighteen patients met the Baveno VI criteria (LS <20 kPa; platelet count >150 000/L) and were deemed to be at low risk of VNT (spared endoscopies) while three had missed VNT (16.7%). Applying the Baveno VII criteria, which combines the SS cut-off value of 40 kPa with the Baveno VI criteria, resulted in five missed VNTs among 22 spared endoscopies (22.7%). A modification of the Baveno VII criteria using the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) instead of the platelet count with cut-off values of 25 kPa, 30 kPa, and 1.04 for LS, SS, and APRI, respectively, missed only one VNT (5.0%) among 20 spared endoscopies.

CONCLUSIONS

A novel diagnostic criterion that combines LS, SS, and APRI reduced the risk of missing VNT to 5% in children and adolescents with BA.

Impact of PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 polymorphisms on the prognosis of patients with MASLD and type 2 diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Longitudinal studies assessing the impact of genetic polymorphisms on outcomes in patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) are scarce. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 risk alleles on hepatic and extrahepatic outcomes in T2DM-MASLD individuals.

METHODS

Patients' polymorphisms were analysed as follows: PNPLA3 CC, CG and GG; TM6SF2 CC and CT + TT; combined comparing no mutant allele, one allele G or T or ≥2 alleles G or T. Hierarchical models were built to assess associations between polymorphisms and outcomes, independently of confounding factors. Multivariate logistic regression was used for cirrhosis and its complications and extrahepatic cancer, and Cox regression for cardiovascular events (CVEs) and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 407 T2DM-MASLD patients (62.1 ± 10.5 years, 67.6% women) were followed for 11 (6-13) years. Having at least one G or T allele independently increased the risk of cirrhosis in the separate analysis of PNPLA3 and TM6SF2. Combined polymorphism analysis demonstrated an even higher risk of cirrhosis if two or more risk alleles were present (OR 18.48; 95% CI 6.15-55.58; p < .001). Regarding cirrhosis complications, the risk was higher in PNPLA3 GG and TM6SF2 CT + TT, also with an even higher risk when two or more risk alleles were present in the combined evaluation (OR 27.20; 95% CI 5.26-140.62; p < .001). There were no associations with CVEs or mortality outcomes.

CONCLUSION

In T2DM, PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 polymorphisms, individually and additively, impact MASLD severity, with an increased risk of cirrhosis and its complications.

No correlation between MASLD and poor outcome of Atezolizumab-Bevacizumab therapy in patients with advanced HCC

INTRODUCTION

It has been suggested that in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) of metabolic aetiology, the efficacy of immunotherapy may be reduced. The aim was to investigate the impact of metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and metabolic risk factors (MRF) on the outcomes of Atezolizumab-Bevacizumab (AtezoBev).

METHODS

We collected data from 295 AtezoBev-treated patients, starting in 2020. MASLD was defined by the current/past presence of MRF, namely BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2, type 2 diabetes, arterial hypertension or dyslipidaemia and no other cause of liver disease (daily alcohol ≤30 g in males and ≤20 g in females). The influence of baseline characteristics on progression (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed by uni/multivariate analysis using the Cox model.

RESULTS

Risk factors for cirrhosis were viral infection in 47%, excessive alcohol consumption in 45% and MASLD in 13%. In the whole cohort, 27% had 1 MRF, 23% had 2 MRF, 15% had 3 MRF and 6% had 4 MRF. Median PFS and OS were 6.5 and 15.6 months, respectively, and similar in patients with or without MASLD in Log rank analysis. The number of MRF or MALSD was not associated with PFS or OS in the univariate analysis. Factors associated with PFS in multivariate analysis included ALBI grade 3 (HR = 1.60, p = .03), AFP (HR = 1.01, p = .01) and metastasis (HR = 1.77, p < .001). During follow-up, 10% of patients experienced immune-related adverse events, with age and female gender, but not MRF or MASLD, as independent predictors.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that the presence of MASLD or the number of MRF did not lead to worse outcomes in advanced HCC patients treated with AtezoBev.

Role of Spleen Stiffness Measurement in the Evaluation of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

Spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) correlates with the severity of portal hypertension.

AIMS

We investigated the utility of SSM in individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) for detecting cirrhosis, esophageal varices (EV), and high-risk EV.

METHODS

154 study participants with MASLD underwent simultaneous liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and SSM. 96 (62%) participants had an upper endoscopy (73 participants, i.e., 47% undergoing within a year). The diagnostic performance of SSM, as well as the BAVENO VII proposed SSM cutoffs (≥ 21 kPa, > 40 kPa, and > 50 kPa), was examined.

RESULTS

The failure rate for SSM was 19% compared to 5% for LSM. An invalid SSM was statistically significantly associated with a higher body mass index, a larger waist circumference, and a lower fibrosis stage. The area under the receiver operating characteristics for SSM to diagnose cirrhosis, EV, and high-risk EV was 0.78 (95% CI 0.70-0.85), 0.74 (95% CI 0.61-0.84), and 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.98), respectively. SSM ≥ 21 kPa cutoff had a sensitivity > 96% for all three outcomes, with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 88% for cirrhosis. In contrast, SSM > 40 kPa and SSM > 50 kPa cutoffs had better diagnostic abilities for identifying EV, particularly high-risk EV (sensitivity of 100% and 93% with NPV of 100% and 96%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

SSM has a higher failure rate in individuals who are non-cirrhotic or have a higher BMI, or larger waist circumference. Although useful for diagnosing NASH cirrhosis, SSM is most reliable in excluding EV and high-risk EV.

Non-invasive testing and risk-stratification in patients with MASLD

The development and validation of non-invasive fibrosis tests (NITs) has changed clinical practice in Hepatology over the last 15 years. Metabolic associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), formerly known as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is the most prevalent liver disease in western countries, with up to a third of the unselected adult population affected. In this article, we review the use of NITs in the diagnosis and staging of MASLD. We discuss their use in the diagnosis of steatosis, steatohepatitis and fibrosis and critically evaluate recently published data. These NITs include a variety of approaches, such as serum markers like FIB-4, pro-C3 and ELF, imaging techniques like Fibroscan® and MRE, and combined scores like Agile 3+ and Agile 4, offering a range of options for healthcare providers. Furthermore, these non-invasive tests also serve as valuable prognostic tools, allowing for better risk assessment and improved patient management, particularly in predicting liver-related events and overall mortality.

Diagnostic value of liver stiffness measurement combined with risk scores for esophagogastric variceal bleeding in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis

PURPOSE

To assess the predictive value of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and three bleeding risk scoring systems for esophagogastric varices bleeding (EGVB) in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis during hospitalization.

METHODS

In this study, 210 patients who had hepatitis B cirrhosis were selected as the subjects. They were categorized into two groups based on whether EGVB occurred during hospitalization: a bleeding group (70 cases) and a non-bleeding group (140 cases). Logistic regression was used to analyze the factors related to the occurrence of EGVB, and the diagnostic performance was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

Significant differences were observed between the two groups in systolic blood pressure, platelet count, albumin, urea nitrogen, LSM, pre-endoscopic Rockall score (PRS), Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), and AIMS65 score (P < 0.05). The correlation analysis showed that LSM had significant positive relationship with PRS, GBS and AIMS65 score. Logistic regression analysis revealed that LSM and GBS score were independent risk factors for EGVB occurrence during hospitalization. ROC curve analysis showed that the combined prediction model of LSM and GBS score had the best prediction performance for EGVB occurrence, with an ROC curve area of 0.811, which was significantly better than the three risk scoring systems (P < 0.05), but similar to the predicted value of LSM (P = 0.335).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of LSM and GBS score can significantly improve the predictive efficacy of EGVB occurrence in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis during hospitalization, which has important clinical significance for patients' prognosis.

Improved Applicability and Diagnostic Accuracy of the Novel Spleen-Dedicated Transient Elastography Device for High-Risk Esophageal Varices

Spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) by transient elastography (TE) has been repeatedly demonstrated as the reliable way to rule out the presence of high-risk esophageal varices (HRV). We aimed to evaluate and compare novel vs. standard TE-SSM module performance in diagnosing HRV in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). This retrospective study included patients with cACLD; blood data, upper digestive endoscopy performed within 3 months of TE, SSM@50Hz and SSM@100Hz were collected. Overall, 112 patients with cACLD were analyzed (75.9% males, average age of 66, 43.7% alcohol-related chronic liver disease, 22.3% metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease, 6.2% viral hepatitis). Reliable SSM was possible in 80.3% and 93.8% of patients by using SSM@50Hz and SSM@100Hz probe, respectively. At the cut-off 41.8 kPa and 40.9 kPa (Youden), SSM@50Hz and SSM@100Hz had AUROCs of 0.746 and 0.752, respectively, for diagnosing HRV (p = 0.71). At the respective cut-offs, sensitivities for HRV were 92.9% and 100%, resulting in misclassification rates of 7.1% and 0% by using SSM@50Hz and SSM@100Hz. SSM reliably excludes HRV in cACLD patients, with measurements below 41 kPa potentially avoiding EGD in around 50% of cases, with minimal risk of HRV omission. SSM@100Hz demonstrated less measurement failures and no HRV misclassification.

HCC portal hypertension imaging score derived from CT predicts re-bleeding and mortality after acute variceal bleeding

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Risk factors for re-bleeding and death after acute variceal bleeding (AVB) in cirrhotic HCC patients are not fully understood.We aimed to (1) explore how the combination of high-risk esophageal varices, HCC status, and portal vein tumor thrombus (i.e., HCC Portal Hypertension Imaging Score [HCCPHTIS]) helps predict increased risk of variceal re-bleeding and mortality; (2) assess predictability and reproducibility of the identified variceal re-bleeding rules.

METHODS

This prospective study included 195 HCC patients with first-time AVB and liver cirrhosis, and conducted multivariable Cox regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was calculated to find the optimal sensitivity, specificity, and cutoff values of the variables. The reproducibility of the results obtained was verified in a different but related group of patients.

RESULTS

56 patients (28.7%) had re-bleeding within 6 weeks; HCCPHTIS was an independent risk factor for variceal re-bleeding after AVB (Odd ratio, 2.330; 95% confidence interval: 1.728-3.142, p < 0.001). The positive predictive value of HCCPHTIS cut off value > 3 was 66.2%, sensitivity 83.9%, and specificity 82.3%. HCCPHTIS area under the curve was higher than Child-Pugh score (89% vs. 75%, p < 0.001). 74(37.9%) death occurred within 6 weeks; HCCPHTIS > 4 was associated with increased risk of death within 6 weeks after AVB (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

HCCPHTIS > 3 is a strong predictor of variceal re-bleeding within the first 6 weeks. However, patients with HCCPHTIS > 4 were at increased risk of death within 6 weeks.

Multiparametric ultrasound as a new concept of assessment of liver tissue damage

Liver disease accounts for approximately 2 million deaths per year worldwide. All chronic liver diseases (CLDs), whether of toxic, genetic, autoimmune, or infectious origin, undergo typical histological changes in the structure of the tissue. These changes may include the accumulation of extracellular matrix material, fats, triglycerides, or tissue scarring. Noninvasive methods for diagnosing CLD, such as conventional B-mode ultrasound (US), play a significant role in diagnosis. Doppler US, when coupled with B-mode US, can be helpful in evaluating the hemodynamics of hepatic vessels and detecting US findings associated with hepatic decompensation. US elastography can assess liver stiffness, serving as a surrogate marker for liver fibrosis. It is important to note that interpreting these values should not rely solely on a histological classification. Contrast-enhanced US (CEUS) provides valuable information on tissue perfusion and enables excellent differentiation between benign and malignant focal liver lesions. Clinical evaluation, the etiology of liver disease, and the patient current comorbidities all influence the interpretation of liver stiffness measurements. These measurements are most clinically relevant when interpreted as a probability of compensated advanced CLD. B-mode US offers a subjective estimation of fatty infiltration and has limited sensitivity for mild steatosis. The controlled attenuation parameter requires a dedicated device, and cutoff values are not clearly defined. Quan-titative US parameters for liver fat estimation include the attenuation coefficient, backscatter coefficient, and speed of sound. These parameters offer the advantage of providing fat quantification alongside B-mode evaluation and other US parameters. Multiparametric US (MPUS) of the liver introduces a new concept for complete noninvasive diagnosis. It encourages examiners to utilize the latest features of an US machine, including conventional B-mode, liver stiffness evaluation, fat quantification, dispersion imaging, Doppler US, and CEUS for focal liver lesion characterization. This comprehensive approach allows for diagnosis in a single examination, providing clinicians worldwide with a broader perspective and becoming a cornerstone in their diagnostic arsenal. MPUS, in the hands of skilled clinicians, becomes an invaluable predictive tool for diagnosing, staging, and monitoring CLD.

Liver stiffness and associated risk factors among people with a history of injecting drugs: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Persons with opioid use disorders (OUD) and persons with substance use disorders (SUD) who inject substances have a reduced life expectancy of up to 25 years compared with the general population. Chronic liver diseases are a substantial cause of this. Screening strategies based on liver stiffness measurements (LSM) may facilitate early detection, timely intervention, and treatment of liver disease. This study aims to investigate the extent of chronic liver disease measured with transient elastography and the association between LSM and various risk factors, including substance use patterns, hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, alcohol use, body mass index, age, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol among people with OUD or with SUD who inject substances.

METHODS

Data was collected from May 2017 to March 2022 in a cohort of 676 persons from Western Norway. The cohort was recruited from two populations: Persons receiving opioid agonist therapy (OAT) (81% of the sample) or persons with SUD injecting substances but not receiving OAT. All participants were assessed at least once with transient elastography. A linear mixed model was performed to assess the impact of risk factors such as HCV infection, alcohol use, lifestyle-associated factors, and substance use on liver stiffness at baseline and over time. Baseline was defined as the time of the first liver stiffness measurement. The results are presented as coefficients (in kilopascal (kPa)) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

At baseline, 12% (n = 83) of the study sample had LSM suggestive of advanced chronic liver disease (LSM ≥ 10 kPa). Advanced age (1.0 kPa per 10 years increments, 95% CI: 0.68;1.3), at least weekly alcohol use (1.3, 0.47;2.1), HCV infection (1.2, 0.55;1.9), low HDL cholesterol level (1.4, 0.64;2.2), and higher body mass index (0.25 per increasing unit, 0.17;0.32) were all significantly associated with higher LSM at baseline. Compared with persistent chronic HCV infection, a resolved HCV infection predicted a yearly reduction of LSM (-0.73, -1.3;-0.21) from baseline to the following liver stiffness measurement.

CONCLUSIONS

More than one-tenth of the participants in this study had LSM suggestive of advanced chronic liver disease. It underscores the need for addressing HCV infection and reducing lifestyle-related liver risk factors, such as metabolic health factors and alcohol consumption, to prevent the advancement of liver fibrosis or cirrhosis in this particular population.

Acoustic Radiation Forced Impulse of the Liver and the Spleen, Combined with Spleen Dimension and Platelet Count in New Ratio Scores, Identifies High-Risk Esophageal Varices in Well-Compensated Cirrhotic Patients

Acoustic radiation forced impulse (ARFI) is an integrated ultrasound method, measuring stiffness by point shear wave elastography. To evaluate the diagnostic performance of the ARFI of the liver and the spleen, combined with spleen dimension and platelet count, in predicting high-risk esophageal varices (HRVs) in cirrhotic patients, a prospective and cross-sectional study was conducted between February 2017 and February 2021. The following ratio scores were calculated based on ARFI measurements: ALSDP (ARFI Liver-Spleen Diameter-to-Platelet Ratio Score), ASSDP (ARFI Spleen-Spleen Diameter-to-Platelet Ratio Score), ASSAP (ARFI Spleen-Spleen Area-to-Platelet Ratio Score), and ALSAP (ARFI Liver-Spleen Area-to-Platelet Ratio Score). In 100 enrolled subjects, spleen ARFI, ASSDP, and ASSAP were significantly associated with HRVs in the prospective short- and long-term follow-ups and in the cross-sectional study (p < 0.05), while ALSDP and ALSAP were associated with HRVs only in the prospective long-term follow-up and cross-sectional study (p< 0.05). ASSAP was the best ARFI ratio score for HRVs at the long-term follow-up [value of area under curve (AUC) = 0.88], although all the ARFI ratio scores performed better than individual liver and spleen ARFI (AUC > 0.7). In our study, ARFI ratio scores can predict, in well-compensated cirrhotic patients, the risk of developing HVRs in short- and long-term periods.

Study protocol for a Randomised controlled trial of EArly transjugular intrahepatiC porTosystemic stent-shunt in Acute Variceal Bleeding (REACT-AVB trial)

INTRODUCTION

In liver cirrhosis, acute variceal bleeding (AVB) is associated with a 1-year mortality rate of up to 40%. Data on early or pre-emptive transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic stent-shunt (TIPSS) in AVB is inconclusive and may not reflect current management strategies. Randomised controlled trial of EArly transjugular intrahepatiC porTosystemic stent-shunt in AVB (REACT-AVB) aims to investigate the clinical and cost-effectiveness of early TIPSS in patients with cirrhosis and AVB after initial bleeding control.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

REACT-AVB is a multicentre, randomised controlled, open-label, superiority, two-arm, parallel-group trial with an internal pilot. The two interventions allocated randomly 1:1 are early TIPSS within 4 days of diagnostic endoscopy or secondary prophylaxis with endoscopic therapy in combination with non-selective beta blockers. Patients aged ≥18 years with cirrhosis and Child-Pugh Score 7-13 presenting with AVB with endoscopic haemostasis are eligible for inclusion. The primary outcome is transplant-free survival at 1 year post randomisation. Secondary endpoints include transplant-free survival at 6 weeks, rebleeding, serious adverse events, other complications of cirrhosis, Child-Pugh and Model For End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores at 6 and 12 months, health-related quality of life, use of healthcare resources, cost-effectiveness and use of cross-over therapies. The sample size is 294 patients over a 4-year recruitment period, across 30 hospitals in the UK.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Research ethics committee of National Health Service has approved REACT-AVB (reference number: 23/WM/0085). The results will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal. A lay summary will also be emailed or posted to participants before publication.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN85274829; protocol version 3.0, 1 July 2023.

Diagnostic accuracy of magnetically guided capsule endoscopy with a detachable string for detecting oesophagogastric varices in adults with cirrhosis: prospective multicentre study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and safety of using magnetically guided capsule endoscopy with a detachable string (ds-MCE) for detecting and grading oesophagogastric varices in adults with cirrhosis.

DESIGN

Prospective multicentre diagnostic accuracy study.

SETTING

14 medical centres in China.

PARTICIPANTS

607 adults (>18 years) with cirrhosis recruited between 7 January 2021 and 25 August 2022. Participants underwent ds-MCE (index test), followed by oesophagogastroduodenoscopy (OGD, reference test) within 48 hours. The participants were divided into development and validation cohorts in a ratio of 2:1.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcomes were the sensitivity and specificity of ds-MCE in detecting oesophagogastric varices compared with OGD. Secondary outcomes included the sensitivity and specificity of ds-MCE for detecting high risk oesophageal varices and the diagnostic accuracy of ds-MCE for detecting high risk oesophagogastric varices, oesophageal varices, and gastric varices.

RESULTS

ds-MCE and OGD examinations were completed in 582 (95.9%) of the 607 participants. Using OGD as the reference standard, ds-MCE had a sensitivity of 97.5% (95% confidence interval 95.5% to 98.7%) and specificity of 97.8% (94.4% to 99.1%) for detecting oesophagogastric varices (both P<0.001 compared with a prespecified 85% threshold). When using the optimal 18% threshold for luminal circumference of the oesophagus derived from the development cohort (n=393), the sensitivity and specificity of ds-MCE for detecting high risk oesophageal varices in the validation cohort (n=189) were 95.8% (89.7% to 98.4%) and 94.7% (88.2% to 97.7%), respectively. The diagnostic accuracy of ds-MCE for detecting high risk oesophagogastric varices, oesophageal varices, and gastric varices was 96.3% (92.6% to 98.2%), 96.9% (95.2% to 98.0%), and 96.7% (95.0% to 97.9%), respectively. Two serious adverse events occurred with OGD but none with ds-MCE.

CONCLUSION

The findings of this study suggest that ds-MCE is a highly accurate and safe diagnostic tool for detecting and grading oesophagogastric varices and is a promising alternative to OGD for screening and surveillance of oesophagogastric varices in patients with cirrhosis.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03748563.

AST to ALT ratio as a prospective risk predictor for liver cirrhosis in patients with chronic HBV infection

BACKGROUND

Serum aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR) is one of the most frequent indicators to discriminate fibrosis and cirrhosis. However, the results remained controversial. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive effect of AAR on hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis development.

METHOD

A retrospective cohort study was conducted based on 1754 chronic HBV-infected patients. Clinical variables at their initial visit and follow-up data were collected. Cox proportional hazards model was constructed to evaluate the predictive value of AAR on cirrhosis risk, and its discrimination accuracy was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC). The time-dependent effect was assessed by a Fine and Gray competing risk model.

RESULTS

Compared to patients with lower AAR, those with elevated AAR level had higher risk of cirrhosis development by adjusting for host characteristics (dichotomized analyses: hazard ratio = 2.77, P = 8.25 × 10 -4 ; tertile analyses: hazard ratio = 2.95, P = 1.61 × 10 -3 ), with an increasing risk trend ( Ptrend = 4.56 × 10 -4 ). The effect remained prominent when ALT or AST was abnormal, while no significant risk was observed when AST and ALT were simultaneously normal. Time-dependent effect analysis demonstrated a persistently higher risk, with the average hazard ratio equivalent to 1.92. AAR level could improve the discrimination efficacy of host variables with area under the curve increased from 0.684 to 0.711 ( P  =  0.039 ).

CONCLUSION

Higher AAR was significantly associated with increased risk of HBV-related cirrhosis, and might be a potential predictor of cirrhosis development.

Diagnosis and assessment of disease severity in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) includes simple steatosis, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), fibrosis, and eventually cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The diagnosis of NAFLD is based on the detection of excess fat disposition in the liver, which is the first step to trigger further evaluation of NAFLD, including necroinflammation and fibrosis. In this review, we discuss non-invasive biomarkers and imaging tools that are currently and potentially available for different features (steatosis, necroinflammation and fibrosis) and disease severity assessment of NAFLD. In the past 2 decades, advances in non-invasive tests of fibrosis have transformed the management of NAFLD. Blood and imaging biomarkers have already been evaluated in multiple studies for the diagnosis of fibrosis and cirrhosis. Among the various histological features of NAFLD, the degree of fibrosis has the strongest correlation with liver-related morbidity and mortality. Non-invasive tests of fibrosis have been shown to predict liver-related outcomes, both in the general population and among patients with NAFLD. What is lacking, however, is good data to support the use of non-invasive tests as monitoring and response biomarkers. With the conclusion of several large phase 3 studies in the next few years, the availability of paired liver biopsy, non-invasive test and clinical outcome data will likely advance the field and shed light on new biomarkers and the way to use various non-invasive tests in a longitudinal manner.

Comparison of 1-day versus 3-day intravenous terlipressin in cirrhosis patients with variceal bleeding: A pilot randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

In cirrhosis patients with acute variceal bleeding (AVB), the optimal duration of vasoconstrictor therapy after endoscopic haemostasis is unclear.

AIMS

We aimed to compare efficacy of 1-day versus 3-day terlipressin therapy in cirrhosis patients with AVB post-endoscopic intervention. The primary objective was to compare rebleeding at 5 days between the two arms. Secondary objectives included rebleeding and mortality rates at 6 weeks.

METHODS

In this open-label, randomised controlled trial, cirrhosis patients with AVB were randomised to either 1-day or 3-day terlipressin therapy.

RESULTS

A total of 150 cirrhosis patients with AVB were recruited to receive either 1 day (n = 75) or 3 days (n = 75) of terlipressin therapy. One patient from 1-day arm was excluded. Modified intention-to-treat analysis included 149 patients. Baseline characteristics were comparable between the two groups. Rebleeding at 5 days: 3 (4.1%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.4-9.0) versus 4 (5.3%; 95% CI: 2.0-10.0), risk difference (RD) p = 0.726 and 5-day mortality rates: 1 (1.4%; 95% CI: 0-7.3) versus 1 (1.3%; 95% CI: 0.2-7.0), RD p = 0.960 were similar. Rebleeding at 42 days: 9 (12.2%; 95% CI: 7.0-20.0) versus 10 (13.3%; 95% CI: 7.0-20.0), RD p = 0.842 and mortality at 42 days: 5 (6.8%; 95% CI: 3.0-10.0) versus 4 (5.3%; 95% CI: 2.0-10.0), RD p = 0.704 were also similar. Patients in the 1-day terlipressin therapy arm experienced significantly fewer adverse effects compared with those receiving 3 days of terlipressin therapy: 28 (37.8%) versus 42 (56%), p = 0.026.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that 1 day of terlipressin therapy is associated with similar 5-day and 42-day rebleeding rates, 42-day mortality and an overall superior safety profile compared with 3-day of terlipressin therapy. These findings require to be validated in double-blinded, larger, multiethnic and multicentre studies across the various stages of cirrhosis (CTRI/2019/10/021771).

Prospective evaluation of liver shearwave elastography measurements with 3 different technologies and same day liver biopsy in patients with chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Most ultrasound-based methods for assessing liver fibrosis still need further validation with liver biopsy used as gold standard to assess their accuracy.

AIMS

To assess accuracy of three shear wave elastography (SWE) methods: 1) Philips Elast Point Quantification (ElastPQTM), 2) Siemens Virtual TouchTM Quantification (VTQ) acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI), and 3) transient elastography (TE) measured by Echosens FibroscanTM.

METHODS

160 patients underwent liver stiffness measurements (LSM) with three SWE methods immediately prior to liver biopsy.

RESULTS

The number of LSM required for reliable studies could be reduced to 6 for ElastPQ and to 7 for VTQ from standard recommendations of 10. Significant fibrosis and interquartile range/median (IQR/M)> 30 were independent predictors for lower reliability for detection of liver fibrosis. Ordinal logistic regression corrected for age showed that there was a significant interaction between steatosis (p = 0.008) and lobular inflammation (p = 0.04) and VTQ (ARFI) and between lobular inflammation and TE (p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

We showed variations in SWE measurements using different ARFI technologies. TE and ElastPQ achieved good diagnostic performance, whereas VTQ showed lower diagnostic accuracy. The number of measurements required for reliable studies can be reduced to 6 for ElastPQ and to 7 for VTQ, which have important clinical implications.

Safety and efficacy of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts vs endoscopic band ligation plus propranolol in patients with cirrhosis with portal vein thrombosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the efficacy and safety of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS) against the combined treatment of endoscopic band ligation (EBL) and propranolol in managing patients with cirrhosis diagnosed with portal vein thrombosis (PVT).

METHODS

A literature search from inception to September 2023 was performed using MEDLINE, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and Scopus. Independent screening, data extraction, and quality assessment were performed. The main measured outcomes were the incidence and recurrence of variceal bleeding (VB), hepatic encephalopathy, and overall survival.

RESULTS

A total of 5 studies were included. For variceal eradication, there was initially no significant difference between the groups; however, after sensitivity analysis, a significant effect emerged (risk ratio [RR], 1.55; P < .0001). TIPS was associated with a significant decrease in the incidence of VB (RR, 0.34; P < .0001) and a higher probability of remaining free of VB in the first 2 years after the procedure (first year: RR, 1.41; P < .0001; second year: RR, 1.58; P < .0001). TIPS significantly reduced the incidence of death due to acute GI bleeding compared with EBL + propranolol (RR, 0.37; P = .05).

CONCLUSION

TIPS offers a comprehensive therapeutic advantage over the combined EBL and propranolol regimen, especially for patients with cirrhosis with PVT. Its efficacy in variceal eradication, reducing rebleeding, and mitigating death risks due to acute GI bleeding is evident.

Emergent TIPS for acute gastroesophageal variceal bleeding in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the safety and effectiveness of emergent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation for acute variceal bleeding (AVB) in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data of thirty-three patients with AVB and HCC undergoing emergent TIPS creation from January 2016 to January 2022 were enrolled and were retrospectively analyzed. The primary outcomes were the safety of emergent TIPS creation, the bleeding control rate, and the rebleeding rate. The secondary outcomes included overall survival (OS), liver function, overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE), and shunt dysfunction.

RESULTS

Emergent TIPS creation was technically successful in 33 patients (100%) and one (3.0%) patient suffered a major procedure-related adverse event. The control rate of bleeding (within 5 days) was 100%. During a median follow-up period of 26.3 months, rebleeding occurred in 6 (18.2%) patients. The median OS was 20.0 months. The 6-week and 1-year survival rates were 87% and 65%, respectively. Laboratory tests showed no significant impairment of liver function following TIPS creation. The incidences of overt HE and shunt dysfunction were 24.2% and 6.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Emergent TIPS creation is feasible and effective for treatment of AVB in cirrhotic patients with HCC.

Spleen-dedicated stiffness measurement performed well to rule out high-risk varices in HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma: Screening for high-risk varices in HCC

BACKGROUND

Esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) is required to screen for high-risk varices (HRV) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), especially since overall survival rates have dramatically improved with new systemic therapies.

AIM

To assess the Baveno VI and Baveno VII algorithms' ability to rule out HRV in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC METHODS: We prospectively enrolled consecutive patients with HBV related, compensated cirrhosis and newly diagnosed HCC who underwent liver stiffness measurement, spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) using a 100-Hz shear wave frequency, and EGD.

RESULTS

From September 2021 to August 2023, we enrolled 219 patients with HCC, with 107 (48.9%) Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) A, 28 (12.8%) BCLC B and 84 (38.3%) BCLC C, respectively. HRV prevalence was 28.8% (63/219). Baveno VI criteria safely (HRV missing rate, 3.2%) avoided 27.4% unnecessary EGDs, while the Baveno VII algorithm avoided 49.3% with HRV missing rate at 7.9% (5/63). The SSM ≤40 kPa avoided 47.5% of EGDs safely (HRV missing rate, 4.8%), significantly better than the Baveno VI criteria (p < 0.001) and comparable to the Baveno VII algorithm (p = 0.390). The SSM ≤40 kPa safely avoided EGDs in patient subgroups within Milan criteria, with portal vein tumour thrombosis or BCLC B/C or candidates for systemic therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

We validated that the SSM ≤40 kPa using a 100-Hz probe could safely eliminate more unnecessary EGDs than the Baveno VI criteria in patients with HBV-related HCC. However, the efficacy of the Baveno VII algorithm in patients with HCC requires further investigation.

Development of a new Cox model for predicting long-term survival in hepatitis cirrhosis patients underwent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement is a procedure that can effectively treat complications of portal hypertension, such as variceal bleeding and refractory ascites. However, there have been no specific studies on predicting long-term survival after TIPS placement.

AIM

To establish a model to predict long-term survival in patients with hepatitis cirrhosis after TIPS.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of 224 patients who underwent TIPS implantation. Through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, various factors were examined for their ability to predict survival at 6 years after TIPS. Consequently, a composite score was formulated, encompassing the indication, shunt reasonability, portal venous pressure gradient (PPG) after TIPS, percentage decrease in portal venous pressure (PVP), indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min (ICGR15) and total bilirubin (Tbil) level. Furthermore, the performance of the newly developed Cox (NDC) model was evaluated in an internal validation cohort and compared with that of a series of existing models.

RESULTS

The indication (variceal bleeding or ascites), shunt reasonability (reasonable or unreasonable), ICGR15, postoperative PPG, percentage of PVP decrease and Tbil were found to be independent factors affecting long-term survival after TIPS placement. The NDC model incorporated these parameters and successfully identified patients at high risk, exhibiting a notably elevated mortality rate following the TIPS procedure, as observed in both the training and validation cohorts. Additionally, in terms of predicting the long-term survival rate, the performance of the NDC model was significantly better than that of the other four models [Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-sodium and the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival].

CONCLUSION

The NDC model can accurately predict long-term survival after the TIPS procedure in patients with hepatitis cirrhosis, help identify high-risk patients and guide follow-up management after TIPS implantation.

Contemporary concepts of prevention and management of gastroesophageal variceal bleeding in liver cirrhosis patients

This editorial describes the contemporary concepts of prevention and management of gastroesophageal variceal bleeding in liver cirrhosis (LC) patients according to the current guidelines. Gastroesophageal variceal bleeding is the most dangerous complication of portal hypertension in LC patients. Risk stratification and determination of an individual approach to the choice of therapeutic measures aimed at their prevention and management has emerged as one of the top concerns in modern hepatology. According to the current guidelines, in the absence of clinically significant portal hypertension, etiological and non-etiological therapies of LC is advisable for the primary preventing gastroesophageal variceal bleeding, whereas its presence serves as an indication for the administration of non-selective β-blockers, among which carvedilol is the drug of choice. Non-selective β-blockers, as well as endoscopic variceal ligation and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt can be used to prevent recurrence of gastroesophageal variceal bleeding. Pharmacotherapy with vasoactive drugs (terlipressin, somatostatin, octreotide), endoscopic variceal ligation, endovascular techniques and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt are recommended for the treatment of acute gastroesophageal variceal bleeding. Objective and accurate risk stratification of gastroesophageal variceal bleeding will allow developing individual strategies for their prevention and management, avoiding the first and further decompensation in LC, which will improve the prognosis and survival of patients suffering from it.

Red cell distribution width/platelet ratio estimates the 3-year risk of decompensation in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease-induced cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

For compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patients, the first decompensation represents a dramatically worsening prognostic event. Based on the first decompensation event (DE), the transition to decompensated advanced chronic liver disease (dACLD) can occur through two modalities referred to as acute decompensation (AD) and non-AD (NAD), respectively. Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension (CSPH) is considered the strongest predictor of decompensation in these patients. However, due to its invasiveness and costs, CSPH is almost never evaluated in clinical practice. Therefore, recognizing non-invasively predicting tools still have more appeal across healthcare systems. The red cell distribution width to platelet ratio (RPR) has been reported to be an indicator of hepatic fibrosis in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD). However, its predictive role for the decompensation has never been explored.

AIM

In this observational study, we investigated the clinical usage of RPR in predicting DEs in MASLD-related cACLD patients.

METHODS

Fourty controls and 150 MASLD-cACLD patients were consecutively enrolled and followed up (FUP) semiannually for 3 years. At baseline, biochemical, clinical, and Liver Stiffness Measurement (LSM), Child-Pugh (CP), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), aspartate aminotransferase/platelet count ratio index (APRI), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI), ALBI-FIB-4, and RPR were collected. During FUP, DEs (timing and modaities) were recorded. CSPH was assessed at the baseline and on DE occurrence according to the available Clinical Practice Guidelines.

RESULTS

Of 150 MASLD-related cACLD patients, 43 (28.6%) progressed to dACLD at a median time of 28.9 months (29 NAD and 14 AD). Baseline RPR values were significantly higher in cACLD in comparison to controls, as well as MELD, CP, APRI, FIB-4, ALBI, ALBI-FIB-4, and LSM in dACLD-progressing compared to cACLD individuals [all P < 0.0001, except for FIB-4 (P: 0.007) and ALBI (P: 0.011)]. Receiving operator curve analysis revealed RPR > 0.472 and > 0.894 as the best cut-offs in the prediction respectively of 3-year first DE, as well as its superiority compared to the other non-invasive tools examined. RPR (P: 0.02) and the presence of baseline-CSPH (P: 0.04) were significantly and independently associated with the DE. Patients presenting baseline-CSPH and RPR > 0.472 showed higher risk of decompensation (P: 0.0023).

CONCLUSION

Altogether these findings suggest the RPR as a valid and potentially applicable non-invasive tool in the prediction of timing and modalities of decompensation in MASLD-related cACLD patients.

Guiding role of esophageal variceal diameter in treatment of endoscopic ligation: an animal experimental study

In this study, according to the Location, Diameter, Risk factor (LDRf) classification principle, the influence and effect of esophageal varices diameter on the degree of complete ligation of multicyclic ligator were investigated. Methods. The esophageal veins of healthy piglets were filled with methylene blue solution, and the in vitro pig esophageal varices model was made, which were divided into three groups according to the diameter of esophageal varices: D1, 0.4-1.0 cm; D2, 1.1-1.5 cm; and D3, 1.6-2.0 cm. Finally, the ligation effect of each group was analyzed statistically. A total of 407 ligations were performed on the simulated esophageal variceal model. There were 103 ligations in the D1 group and 98 were complete (95.15%, 98/103); 151 ligations in the D2 group and 47 were complete (31.13%, 47/151); and 153 ligations in the D3 group but none were complete (0%, 0/153). There was significant difference in the degree of complete ligation between the two groups (χ2 = 38.0014, P ≤ 0.001). In the varicose ligation model, the complete ligation effect was the most complete and robust when the varicose diameter was 0.4-1.0 cm. This study showed that the varicose vein diameter in LDRf classification was reasonable and feasible to guide endoscopic varicose vein ligation.

Comment on Wu et al. Baveno VII Criteria Is an Accurate Risk Stratification Tool to Predict High-Risk Varices Requiring Intervention and Hepatic Events in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Cancers 2023, 15, 2480

We read with great interest the original research conducted by Wu et al [...].

A Randomized Controlled Trial of Propranolol Use During Ligation Program for Secondary Prophylaxis of Esophageal Variceal Bleeding

INTRODUCTION

Endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL) plus nonselective β-blockers (NSBB) is the standard of care for secondary prophylaxis of esophageal variceal bleeding (EVB). This trial aimed to compare the rebleeding rates between EVL plus NSBB till eradication of esophageal varices (EEV) and EVL plus long-term NSBB.

METHODS

After control of acute EVB, patients with cirrhosis were randomized into 2 groups, with group A patients receiving EVL plus propranolol till EEV, while group B patients received standard of care with continuation of propranolol. Recurrent varices were ligated at follow-up endoscopy in both groups.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 23.0 months in group A (n = 106) and 23.6 months in group B (n = 106). Twelve patients (11.3%) in group A and 11 (10.4%) in group B had recurrent EVB. The difference in rebleeding rates and the 95% confidence interval (CI) was 0.9% (-7.5% to 9.3%). The upper 95% CI bound of the difference was within the margin of 13.2%, and the noninferiority of group A to group B was established. Thirty-eight patients (35.8%) in group A and 40 (37.7%) in group B had further decompensation, with the difference (95% CI) of -1.9% (-14.9% to 11.1%). Twenty-four patients (22.6%) in group A and 26 (24.5%) in group B expired, with the difference (95% CI) in mortality rates of -1.9% (-13.3% to 9.5%).

DISCUSSION

EVL plus propranolol till EEV was noninferior to EVL plus continuing propranolol in secondary prophylaxis of EVB, but the impact on further decompensation and transplantation-free survival deserved further investigation.

Comparative efficacy of early TIPS, Non-early TIPS, and Standard treatment in patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding: a network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis is a chronic disease characterized by chronic liver inflammation and diffuse fibrosis. A combination of vasoactive drugs, preventive antibiotics, and endoscopy is the recommended standard treatment for patients with acute variceal bleeding; however, this has been challenged. We compared the effects of early transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), non-early TIPS, and standard treatment in patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The present network meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with the criteria outlined in the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses and Assessing the methodological quality of systematic reviews guidelines. The review has been registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews. The PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, ClinicalTrials.gov, and World Health Organization-approved trial registry databases were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating early TIPS, non-early TIPS, and standard treatment in patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding.

RESULTS

Twenty-four RCTs (1894 patients) were included in the review. Compared with standard treatment, early TIPS [odds ratio (OR), 0.53; 95% credible interval (Cr), 0.30-0.94; surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA), 98.3] had a lower risk of all-cause mortality (moderate-to-high-quality evidence), and early TIPS (OR, 0.19; 95% CrI, 0.11-0.28; SUCRA, 98.2) and non-early TIPS (OR, 0.30; 95% CrI, 0.23-0.42; SUCRA, 1.8) were associated with a lower risk of rebleeding (moderate-to-high-quality evidence). Early TIPS was not associated with a reduced risk of hepatic encephalopathy, and non-early TIPS (OR, 2.78; 95% CrI, 1.89-4.23, SUCRA, 0) was associated with an increased incidence of hepatic encephalopathy (moderate-to-high-quality evidence). There was no difference in the incidence of new or worsening ascites (moderate-to-high-quality evidence) among the three interventions.

CONCLUSION

Based on the moderate-to-high quality evidence presented in this study, early TIPS placement was associated with reduced all-cause mortality [with a median follow-up of 1.9 years (25th-75th percentile range 1.9-2.3 years)] and rebleeding compared to standard treatment and non-early TIPS. Although early TIPS and standard treatment had a comparable incidence of hepatic encephalopathy, early TIPS showed superiority over non-early TIPS in this aspect. Recent studies have also shown promising results in controlling TIPS-related hepatic encephalopathy. However, it is important to consider individual patient characteristics and weigh the potential benefits against the risks associated with early TIPS. Therefore, we recommend that clinicians carefully evaluate the patient's condition, considering factors such as severity of variceal bleeding, underlying liver disease, and overall clinical status, before making a treatment decision. Further well-designed RCTs comparing early TIPS with non-early TIPS are needed to validate these findings and provide more definitive guidance.

The impact of urgency of umbilical hernia repair on adverse outcomes in patients with cirrhosis: a population-based cohort study from England

INTRODUCTION

Umbilical hernia is common in patients with cirrhosis; however, there is a paucity of dedicated studies on postoperative outcomes in this group of patients. This population-based cohort study aimed to determine the outcomes after emergency and elective umbilical hernia repair in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

Two linked electronic healthcare databases from England were used to identify all patients undergoing umbilical hernia repair between January 2000 and December 2017. Patients were grouped into those with and without cirrhosis and stratified by severity into compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Length of stay, readmission, 90-day case fatality rate and the odds ratio of 90-day postoperative mortality were defined using logistic regression.

RESULTS

In total, 22,163 patients who underwent an umbilical hernia repair were included and 297 (1.34%) had cirrhosis. More patients without cirrhosis had an elective procedure, 86% compared with 51% of those with cirrhosis (P < 0.001). In both the elective and emergency settings, patients with cirrhosis had longer hospital length of stay (elective: 0 vs 1 day, emergency: 2 vs 4 days, P < 0.0001) and higher readmission rates (elective: 4.87% vs 11.33%, emergency:11.39% vs 29.25%, P < 0.0001) than those without cirrhosis. The 90-day case fatality rates were 2% and 0.16% in the elective setting, and 19% and 2.96% in the emergency setting in patients with and without cirrhosis respectively.

CONCLUSION

Emergency umbilical hernia repair in patients with cirrhosis is associated with poorer outcomes in terms of length of stay, readmissions and mortality at 90 days.

The utility of P-I-R classification in predicting the on-treatment histological and clinical outcomes of patients with hepatitis B and advanced liver fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The predominantly progressive, indeterminate, and predominantly regressive (P-I-R) classification extends beyond staging and provides information on dynamic changes of liver fibrosis. However, the prognostic implication of P-I-R classification is not elucidated. Therefore, in the present research, we investigated the utility of P-I-R classification in predicting the on-treatment clinical outcomes.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

In an extension study on a randomized controlled trial, we originally enrolled 1000 patients with chronic hepatitis B and biopsy-proven histological significant fibrosis, and treated them for more than 7 years with entecavir-based therapy. Among the 727 patients with a second biopsy at treatment week 72, we compared P-I-R classification and Ishak score changes in 646 patients with adequate liver sections for the histological evaluation. Progressive, indeterminate, and regressive cases were observed in 70%, 17%, and 13% of patients before treatments and 20%, 14%, and 64% after 72-week treatment, respectively, which could further differentiate the histological outcomes of patients with stable Ishak scores. The 7-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 1.5% for the regressive cases, 4.3% for the indeterminate cases, and 22.8% for the progressive cases ( p <0.001). After adjusting for age, treatment regimen, platelet counts, cirrhosis, Ishak fibrosis score changes, and Laennec staging, the posttreatment progressive had a HR of 17.77 (vs. posttreatment regressive; 95% CI: 5.55-56.88) for the incidence of liver-related events (decompensation, HCC, and death/liver transplantation).

CONCLUSIONS

The P-I-R classification can be a meaningful complement to the Ishak fibrosis score not only in evaluating the histological changes but also in predicting the clinical outcomes.

Portal vein velocity predicts portal vein system thrombosis after splenectomy with esophagogastric devascularization

BACKGROUND

Portal vein system thrombosis (PVST) is a potentially fatal complication after splenectomy with esophagogastric devascularization (SED) in cirrhotic patients with portal hypertension. However, the impact of portal vein velocity (PVV) on PVST after SED remains unclear. Therefore, this study aims to explore this issue.

METHODS

Consecutive cirrhotic patients with portal hypertension who underwent SED at Tongji Hospital between January 2010 and June 2022 were enrolled. The patients were divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of PVST, which was assessed using ultrasound or computed tomography after the operation. PVV was measured by duplex Doppler ultrasound within one week before surgery. The independent risk factors for PVST were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. A nomogram based on these variables was developed and internally validated using 1000 bootstrap resamples.

RESULTS

A total of 562 cirrhotic patients with portal hypertension who underwent SED were included, and PVST occurred in 185 patients (32.9%). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PVV was the strongest independent risk factor for PVST. The incidence of PVST was significantly higher in patients with PVV ≤ 16.5 cm/s than in those with PVV > 16.5 cm/s (76.2% vs. 8.5%, p < 0.0001). The PVV-based nomogram was internally validated and showed good performance (optimism-corrected c-statistic = 0.907). Decision curve and clinical impact curve analyses indicated that the nomogram provided a high clinical benefit.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram based on PVV provided an excellent preoperative prediction of PVST after splenectomy with esophagogastric devascularization.