Cumulative incidence of second intestinal resection in Crohn's disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based studies

Development and Validation of Risk Matrices for Crohn's Disease Outcomes in Patients Who Underwent Early Therapeutic Interventions

INTRODUCTION

The establishment of prognostic models for Crohn's disease [CD] is highly desirable, as they have the potential to guide physicians in the decision-making process concerning therapeutic choices, thus improving patients' health and quality of life. Our aim was to derive models for disabling CD and reoperation based solely on clinical/demographic data.

METHODS

A multicentric and retrospectively enrolled cohort of CD patients, subject to early surgery or immunosuppression, was analysed in order to build Bayesian network models and risk matrices. The final results were validated internally and with a multicentric and prospectively enrolled cohort.

RESULTS

The derivation cohort included a total of 489 CD patients [64% with disabling disease and 18% who needed reoperation], while the validation cohort included 129 CD patients with similar outcome proportions. The Bayesian models achieved an area under the curve of 78% for disabling disease and 86% for reoperation. Age at diagnosis, perianal disease, disease aggressiveness and early therapeutic decisions were found to be significant factors, and were used to construct user-friendly matrices depicting the probability of each outcome in patients with various combinations of these factors. The matrices exhibit good performance for the most important criteria: disabling disease positive post-test odds = 8.00 [2.72-23.44] and reoperation negative post-test odds = 0.02 [0.00-0.11].

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical and demographical risk factors for disabling CD and reoperation were determined and their impact was quantified by means of risk matrices, which are applicable as bedside clinical tools that can help physicians during therapeutic decisions in early disease management.

The risk of disabling, surgery and reoperation in Crohn's disease - A decision tree-based approach to prognosis

INTRODUCTION

Crohn's disease (CD) is a chronic inflammatory bowel disease known to carry a high risk of disabling and many times requiring surgical interventions. This article describes a decision-tree based approach that defines the CD patients' risk or undergoing disabling events, surgical interventions and reoperations, based on clinical and demographic variables.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multicentric study involved 1547 CD patients retrospectively enrolled and divided into two cohorts: a derivation one (80%) and a validation one (20%). Decision trees were built upon applying the CHAIRT algorithm for the selection of variables.

RESULTS

Three-level decision trees were built for the risk of disabling and reoperation, whereas the risk of surgery was described in a two-level one. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed, and the area under the curves (AUC) Was higher than 70% for all outcomes. The defined risk cut-off values show usefulness for the assessed outcomes: risk levels above 75% for disabling had an odds test positivity of 4.06 [3.50-4.71], whereas risk levels below 34% and 19% excluded surgery and reoperation with an odds test negativity of 0.15 [0.09-0.25] and 0.50 [0.24-1.01], respectively. Overall, patients with B2 or B3 phenotype had a higher proportion of disabling disease and surgery, while patients with later introduction of pharmacological therapeutic (1 months after initial surgery) had a higher proportion of reoperation.

CONCLUSIONS

The decision-tree based approach used in this study, with demographic and clinical variables, has shown to be a valid and useful approach to depict such risks of disabling, surgery and reoperation.

Surgical Considerations in the Treatment of Small Bowel Crohn's Disease

Surgery remains a cornerstone of the management of Crohn's disease (CD). Despite the rise of biologic therapy, most CD patients require surgery for penetrating, obstructing, or malignant complications. Optimal surgical therapy requires sophisticated operative judgment and medical optimization. Intraoperatively, surgeons must balance treatment of CD complications against bowel preservation and functional outcome. This demands mastery of multiple techniques for anastomosis and strictureplasty, accurate assessment of bowel integrity for margin minimization, and a comprehensive skillset for navigating adhesions and altered anatomy, controlling thickened mesentery, and safely managing the hostile abdomen. Outside of the operating room, a multi-disciplinary team is critical for pre-operative optimization, patient support, and medical management. Postoperatively, prevention and surveillance of recurrence remain a matter of research and debate, and medical options include older drugs with limited efficacy and tolerability versus biologic agents with greater effect sizes and shorter track records. The evidence base for current management is limited by the inherent challenges of studying a chronic disease marked by heterogeneity and recurrence, but also by a lack of prospective trials incorporating both medical and surgical therapies.

Globalisation of inflammatory bowel disease: perspectives from the evolution of inflammatory bowel disease in the UK and China

The UK and China provide unique historical perspectives on the evolution of the incidence of inflammatory bowel disease, which might provide insight into its pathogenesis. Historical records from the UK document the emergence of ulcerative colitis during the mid-1800s, which was later followed by the recognition of Crohn's disease in 1932. During the second half of the 20th century, the incidence of inflammatory bowel disease rose dramatically in high-income countries. Globalisation at the turn of the 21st century led to rapid economic development of newly industrialised countries such as China. In China, the modernisation of society was accompanied by the recognition of a sharp rise in the incidence of inflammatory bowel disease. The prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease is expected to continue to rise in high-income countries and is also likely to accelerate in the developing world. An understanding of the shared and different environmental determinants underpinning the pathogenesis of inflammatory bowel disease in western and eastern countries is essential to implement interventions that will blunt the rising global burden of inflammatory bowel disease.

Ileal or Anastomotic Location of Lesions Does Not Impact Rate of Postoperative Recurrence in Crohn's Disease Patients Classified i2 on the Rutgeerts Score

BACKGROUND

The Rutgeerts score with 5 grades of severity (i0-i4) is a suitable endoscopic model to predict clinical recurrence following ileocolonic resection in Crohn's disease (CD). Definition of grade i2 includes lesions confined to the ileocolonic anastomosis (i2a) or moderate lesions on the neo-terminal ileum (i2b). The aim of the present study was to evaluate the probability of clinical recurrence in i2a and i2b patients.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study included all CD patients classified i2 at the first postoperative ileocolonoscopy. The primary outcome was to evaluate the probability of clinical recurrence in patients classified i2a and i2b. The secondary outcome was to compare the rate of global recurrence of CD.

RESULTS

Fifty patients were included: 23 were classified i2a and 27 were classified i2b. The median duration of follow-up was 40 (18.0-80.4) months in the i2a group and 53.5 (25.0-69.0) months in the i2b group (p = 0.9). The probability of clinical recurrence was not significantly different between patients classified i2a and i2b (p = 0.64). Median time to clinical recurrence after the first ileocolonoscopy and probability of global CD recurrence were not different between the two groups (p ≥ 0.19).

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of clinical postoperative recurrence is not different in i2a and i2b patients. These results suggest that the same therapeutic strategy should be used in all patients classified i2 on the Rutgeerts score whatever the location of postoperative CD recurrence.

Clinical efficacy of adalimumab in Crohn's disease: a real practice observational study in Japan

Background

There are few reports of the efficacy of adalimumab (ADA) for clinical remission and preventing postoperative recurrence in Crohn's disease (CD) in Asian real practice settings. We conducted a Japanese multicenter retrospective observational study.

Methods

We evaluated patients with CD who were treated with ADA at 11 medical institutions in Japan to investigate the clinical efficacy of remission up to 52 weeks and the associated factors to achieve remission with a CD Activity Index (CDAI) < 150. The effects of preventing postoperative recurrence were also evaluated.

Results

In 62 patients, the remission rates were 33.9, 74.2, 75.8, 77.4, and 66.1 % at 0, 4, 12, 26, and 52 weeks, respectively. Although 10 patients discontinued treatment due to primary nonresponse, secondary nonresponse, or adverse events, the ongoing treatment rate at 52 weeks was 83.9 %. Comparison of remission and non-remission on univariate analysis identified colonic type and baseline CDAI value as significant associated factors (P < 0.05). In 16 patients who received ADA to prevent postoperative recurrence, the clinical remission maintenance rate was 93.8 % and the mucosal healing rate was 64.3 % during a mean postoperative follow-up period of 32.3 months.

Conclusions

ADA effectively induced remission and prevented postoperative recurrence in patients with CD in a real practice setting.

Infliximab Reduces Endoscopic, but Not Clinical, Recurrence of Crohn's Disease After Ileocolonic Resection

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Most patients with Crohn's disease (CD) eventually require an intestinal resection. However, CD frequently recurs after resection. We performed a randomized trial to compare the ability of infliximab vs placebo to prevent CD recurrence.

METHODS

We evaluated the efficacy of infliximab in preventing postoperative recurrence of CD in 297 patients at 104 sites worldwide from November 2010 through May 2012. All study patients had undergone ileocolonic resection within 45 days before randomization. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to groups given infliximab (5 mg/kg) or placebo every 8 weeks for 200 weeks. The primary end point was clinical recurrence, defined as a composite outcome consisting of a CD Activity Index score >200 and a ≥70-point increase from baseline, and endoscopic recurrence (Rutgeerts score ≥i2, determined by a central reader) or development of a new or re-draining fistula or abscess, before or at week 76. Endoscopic recurrence was a major secondary end point.

RESULTS

A smaller proportion of patients in the infliximab group had a clinical recurrence before or at week 76 compared with the placebo group, but this difference was not statistically significant (12.9% vs 20.0%; absolute risk reduction [ARR] with infliximab, 7.1%; 95% confidence interval: -1.3% to 15.5%; P = .097). A significantly smaller proportion of patients in the infliximab group had endoscopic recurrence compared with the placebo group (30.6% vs 60.0%; ARR with infliximab, 29.4%; 95% confidence interval: 18.6% to 40.2%; P < .001). Additionally, a significantly smaller proportion of patients in the infliximab group had endoscopic recurrence based only on Rutgeerts scores ≥i2 (22.4% vs 51.3%; ARR with infliximab, 28.9%; 95% confidence interval: 18.4% to 39.4%; P < .001). Patients previously treated with anti-tumor necrosis factor agents or those with more than 1 resection were at greater risk for clinical recurrence. The safety profile of infliximab was similar to that from previous reports.

CONCLUSIONS

Infliximab is not superior to placebo in preventing clinical recurrence after CD-related resection. However, infliximab does reduce endoscopic recurrence. ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT01190839.

Anti-TNF Therapy Within 2 Years of Crohn's Disease Diagnosis Improves Patient Outcomes: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Although biological agents targeting tumor necrosis factor (TNF) alpha are effective in the management of Crohn's disease (CD), use of anti-TNF agents is often delayed until after failure of other treatment modalities, resulting in potentially long delays between diagnosis and initiation of infliximab or adalimumab. We aim to determine if early treatment with anti-TNF agents reduces the rate of surgical resection and clinical secondary loss of response in CD patients.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted evaluating CD outpatients who were primary responders to anti-TNF therapy, on a maintenance regimen with infliximab or adalimumab from 2003 to 2014. Patients were stratified by time to first dose of anti-TNF therapy; early initiation was defined as starting anti-TNF therapy within 2 years of diagnosis. The primary outcome was occurrence of surgical resection or clinical secondary loss of response requiring dose escalation. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to assess time to the primary outcomes.

RESULTS

One hundred ninety CD patients met inclusion criteria (100 infliximab, 90 adalimumab). Median follow-up duration was 154.4 weeks (inter quartile range, 106.4-227.8). Fifty-three patients (27.9%) had early initiation of anti-TNF therapy. Fewer patients in the early initiation group required surgery (5.7% versus 30.7%, P < 0.001) or experienced clinical secondary loss of response (45.3% versus 67.2%, P = 0.006). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, early initiation of anti-TNF therapy prolonged time to surgery (P = 0.001) and secondary loss of response (P = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

In CD patients, early initiation of infliximab or adalimumab within the first 2 years of diagnosis reduces the rate of surgery and secondary loss of response requiring dose escalation.

Smoking Cessation for Crohn's Disease: Clearing the Haze

The TABACROHN Study Group conducted a multicenter prospective cohort study, demonstrating that smoking cessation improved the prognosis of Crohn's disease. Patients who continued to smoke were 50% more likely to relapse compared with non-smokers. Smoking cessation reduced the risk of flaring, regardless of exposure to anti-tumor necrosis factor agents. Despite the evidence that smoking cessation is beneficial, many patients do not quit smoking after their diagnosis of Crohn's disease. Lack of awareness, physical addiction, and social context of smoking inhibit smoking cessation. In spite of this, comprehensive smoking cessation programs have been shown to be effective and reduce costs.

The global burden of IBD: from 2015 to 2025

Over 1 million residents in the USA and 2.5 million in Europe are estimated to have IBD, with substantial costs for health care. These estimates do not factor in the 'real' price of IBD, which can impede career aspirations, instil social stigma and impair quality of life in patients. The majority of patients are diagnosed early in life and the incidence continues to rise; therefore, the effect of IBD on health-care systems will rise exponentially. Moreover, IBD has emerged in newly industrialized countries in Asia, South America and Middle East and has evolved into a global disease with rising prevalence in every continent. Understanding the worldwide epidemiological patterns of IBD will prepare us to manage the burden of IBD over time. The goal of this article is to establish the current epidemiology of IBD in the Western world, contrast it with the increase in IBD in newly industrialized countries and forecast the global effects of IBD in 2025.

Novel citation-based search method for scientific literature: application to meta-analyses

Background

Finding eligible studies for meta-analysis and systematic reviews relies on keyword-based searching as the gold standard, despite its inefficiency. Searching based on direct citations is not sufficiently comprehensive. We propose a novel strategy that ranks articles on their degree of co-citation with one or more “known” articles before reviewing their eligibility.

Method

In two independent studies, we aimed to reproduce the results of literature searches for sets of published meta-analyses (n = 10 and n = 42). For each meta-analysis, we extracted co-citations for the randomly selected ‘known’ articles from the Web of Science database, counted their frequencies and screened all articles with a score above a selection threshold. In the second study, we extended the method by retrieving direct citations for all selected articles.

Results

In the first study, we retrieved 82 % of the studies included in the meta-analyses while screening only 11 % as many articles as were screened for the original publications. Articles that we missed were published in non-English languages, published before 1975, published very recently, or available only as conference abstracts. In the second study, we retrieved 79 % of included studies while screening half the original number of articles.

Conclusions

Citation searching appears to be an efficient and reasonably accurate method for finding articles similar to one or more articles of interest for meta-analysis and reviews.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12874-015-0077-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Postoperative Mortality Among Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Population-Based Studies

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There have been varying reports of mortality after intestinal resection for the inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs). We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based studies to determine postoperative mortality after intestinal resection in patients with IBD.

METHODS

We searched Medline, EMBASE, and PubMed, from 1990 through 2015, to identify 18 articles and 3 abstracts reporting postoperative mortality among patients with IBD. The studies included 67,057 patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) and 75,971 patients with Crohn's disease (CD), from 15 countries. Mortality estimates stratified by emergent and elective surgeries were pooled separately for CD and UC using a random-effects model. To assess changes over time, the start year of the study was included as a continuous variable in a meta-regression model.

RESULTS

In patients with UC, postoperative mortality was significantly lower among patients who underwent elective (0.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.6%-0.9%) vs emergent surgery (5.3%; 95% CI, 3.8%-7.4%). In patients with CD, postoperative mortality was significantly lower among patients who underwent elective (0.6%; 95% CI, 0.2%-1.7%) vs emergent surgery (3.6%; 95% CI, 1.8%-6.9%). Postoperative mortality did not differ for elective (P = .78) or emergent (P = .31) surgeries when patients with UC were compared with patients with CD. Postoperative mortality decreased significantly over time for patients with CD (P < .05) but not UC (P = .21).

CONCLUSIONS

Based on a systematic review and meta-analysis, postoperative mortality was high after emergent, but not elective, intestinal resection in patients with UC or CD. Optimization of management strategies and more effective therapies are necessary to avoid emergent surgeries.

Internet-orientated Assessment of QOL and Actual Treatment Status in Japanese Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease: The 3I survey

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

This survey aimed to compare actual lifestyle factors and QOL between Japanese IBD patients and healthy Japanese controls, by questionnaire using an internet-web system.

METHODS

Through the internet-web system, we asked 464 patients with Crohn's disease [CD], 360 patients with ulcerative colitis [UC], and 4100 healthy controls to answer a questionnaire including an eight-item short-form health survey [SF-8]. The survey was conducted until data had been accumulated from the predetermined numbers of patients [120 patients each with CD and UC] and healthy controls [240 subjects].

RESULTS

QOL assessment by SF-8 revealed scores for six of the eight subscale items and the summary score for the mental component to be significantly lower in the CD and UC groups than in controls. There was a significant negative correlation between each SF-8 score and the degree of CD and UC symptoms. The marriage rate in adult patients was significantly lower in the CD than in the UC group or the controls. The mean annual income and the employment rate were significantly lower in the CD than in the UC group or the controls. CD patients receiving biologicals were more frequently satisfied with the efficacy of treatment than UC patients were with their treatment regimens [56% vs 29%].

CONCLUSIONS

Actual lifestyle factors and QOL appear to be impaired in Japanese patients with IBD, especially those with CD. The subjective efficacy of biologicals might be greater in CD than in UC.