Child-Pugh versus MELD score in predicting survival in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

Can inclusion of serum creatinine values improve the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score and challenge the prognostic yield of the model for end-stage liver disease score in the short-term prognostic assessment of cirrhotic patients?

BACKGROUND

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is a useful tool to assess prognosis in critically ill cirrhotic patients. However, its short-term prognostic superiority over the traditional Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score has not been definitely confirmed. The creatinine serum level is an important predictor of survival in patients with liver cirrhosis.

AIMS

To evaluate and compare the short-term prognostic accuracy of the CTP, the creatinine-modified CTP, and the MELD scores in patients with liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

CTP, creatinine-modified CTP, and MELD scores were calculated in a cohort of 145 cirrhotic patients. The creatinine-modified CTP was calculated as follows: we assessed the mean creatinine serum level and standard deviation (SD) of the 145 study patients, then assigned a score of 1 to patients with creatinine serum levels < or = to the mean, a score of 2 to patients with creatinine levels between the mean and the mean+1 SD, and a score of 3 to patients with creatinine levels above the mean+1 SD. The creatinine-modified CTP was then calculated by simply adding each patients' creatinine score to their traditional CTP scores. We calculated and compared the accuracy (c-index) of the three parameters in predicting 3-month survival.

RESULTS

The creatinine-modified CTP score showed better prognostic accuracy as compared with the traditional CTP (P=0.049). However, the MELD score proved to be better at defining patients' prognosis in the short-term as compared with both the traditional CTP score (P=0.012) and the creatinine-modified CTP (P=0.047). The excellent short-term prognostic accuracy of the MELD score was confirmed even when patients with abnormal creatinine serum levels were excluded from the analysis (c-index=0.935).

CONCLUSIONS

Adding creatinine values to the CTP slightly improves the prognostic usefulness of the traditional CTP score alone. The MELD score has a short-term prognostic yield that is better than what is provided by both the CTP and CTP creatinine-modified scores, even in cirrhotic patients who are not critically ill. The positive results obtained by using the MELD score were confirmed even after excluding patients with impaired renal function.

Serum hyaluronate level for predicting subclinical liver dysfunction after hepatectomy

The serum hyaluronate (HA) level reflects sinusoidal endothelial cell function correlated with liver function. We have reviewed multiple liver function indicators from 37 patients who underwent hepatectomy for various liver diseases. The serum HA level was well correlated with the indocyanine green retention rate at 15 minutes (ICGR15), lectin-cholesterol (LCAT), hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), liver uptake ratio of technetium-99m galactosyl human serum albumin (99mTc-GSA) at 15 minutes (HH15), prealbumin, and hepatic uptake ratio of 99mTc-GSA at 15 minutes (LHL15). In addition, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score at 7 days after operation was well correlated with serum HA, ICGR15, HH15, and LHL15. In patients who showed serum an HA level of = 100 ng/ml before hepatectomy, the MELD score had significantly deteriorated by 7 days after hepatectomy. Of the 20 patients who showed a serum HA level < 100 ng/ml before hepatectomy, 11 had high serum HA after hepatectomy. The bilirubin level 7 days after operation in this group was much higher than that for patients who maintained a serum HA level < 100 ng/ml after hepatectomy. In addition, the serum HGF level before hepatectomy in this group was significantly lower. We concluded that the serum HA level is a reliable indicator when evaluating liver function and predicting liver dysfunction after hepatectomy. Furthermore, patients with a significantly low HGF level who have a normal HA level are susceptible to liver dysfunction after hepatectomy.

Current treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer worldwide. In the United States, the incidence of HCC has increased by nearly 75% since the 1980s. The rise in HCC diagnoses in the United States has been attributed to an increased number of patients infected with viral hepatitis and better diagnostic techniques. The management of HCC begins with diagnostic confirmation, followed by accurate staging. Historically, the prognosis for patients with HCC has been poor; however, improved surveillance and radiologic imaging techniques have led to earlier detection of HCC and an increased opportunity to treat patients. Treatment options for HCC include surgical and nonsurgical modalities. Surgical therapy, by way of partial hepatectomy or orthotopic liver transplantation, is the only potentially curative treatment for HCC, but most patients are not eligible for these procedures by the time of diagnosis. Palliative options include ablative techniques, radiation, and systemic therapies. As the incidence of this malignancy continues to rise, oncology nurses, who are an integral part of the multidisciplinary team caring for these patients, must be aware of current management for HCC. This article will provide an overview of the complex management of patients with HCC in the United States.

Relationship of hemodynamic indices and prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Hyperdynamic circulation due to reduced peripheral vascular resistance and increased cardiac output, and the development of portal hypertension are the hemodynamic changes observed in patients with liver cirrhosis. Such hemodynamic abnormalities appear in patients with late stage liver cirrhosis. Therefore, hemodynamic indices, which represent hyperdynamic circulation and portal hypertension, are significant for the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis. The aim of this study was to determine the hemodynamic indices associated with the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

A total of 103 patients diagnosed with liver cirrhosis between December 1999 and June 2003, with a mean follow-up period of 73 weeks, ranging from 7 to 168 weeks, were recruited. Using Child-Pugh classification, the mean arterial pressure, heart rate and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) were measured. The indices of Doppler ultrasonography, including the portal and splenic venous flows, and the resistance of the hepatic, splenic, and renal arteries were also measured using the arterial pulsatility index (PI). The prognostic values of these indices were determined by their comparison with the patient survivals.

RESULTS

Significant hemodynamic indices for a bad prognosis were high HVPG (> or = 15 mmHg) and renal arterial PI (> or = 1.14)(p<0.05). A Child-Pugh score > or = 10 was important for a poor prognosis (p<0.05).

CONCLUSION

Severe portal hypertension (HVPG > or = 15 mmHg) and high renal arterial resistance (PI +/- 1.14) were valuable hemodynamic indices for the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis. Therefore, it was concluded that the measurement of these hemodynamic indices, in addition to the Child-Pugh classification, is helpful in the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts: experience in the oncology setting

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement has emerged as an effective and minimally invasive method of treating portal hypertension and its associated complications. To the authors' knowledge there is limited documentation of its use for percutaneous shunting in patients with hepatic and extrahepatic malignancies. The current study reports the authors' experience with TIPS in the oncology setting.

METHODS

Thirty-eight patients with cancer underwent TIPS procedures. Nineteen patients had a history of hepatic malignancy. All medical records and imaging studies were reviewed retrospectively. The indication for TIPS, the presence of malignancy, procedural details, complications, survival, and treatment success were assessed.

RESULTS

Primary technical success was accomplished in 37 of 38 patients (97%) without technical procedure-related complications. Hepatic encephalopathy occurred in 15 of 34 patients (44%), with 3 patients requiring shunt reduction. Premature shunt occlusion (< 30 days) occurred in 3 patients (8%). Recurrent hemorrhage occurred in 1 of 19 patients (5%), and ascites and hepatic hydrothorax resolved or improved subjectively in 9 of 12 patients (75%). Shunts traversed malignancy in 9 patients, and varying degrees of portal compromise were encountered in 12 patients (32%). The overall 30-day and 90-day survival rates were 84% and 60%, respectively. There was a statistically significant difference in 90-day survival rates for patients who had ascites and hepatic hydrothorax indications (27%) compared with patients who had variceal and portal gastropathy indications (84%; P = 0.0075). In addition, the 90-day survival rate was significantly lower in patients who had primary hepatic malignancies (36%) compared with the remainder of the study population (74%; P = 0.0077), and it was significantly lower in patients who had model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores > or = 12 (P = 0.0020).

CONCLUSIONS

TIPS was performed safely for patients with cancer without increasing rates of procedure-related complications. However, some patients subgroups, such at those with malignancy and ascites, primary hepatic malignancy, or MELD scores > or = 12, had the lowest 90-day survival rates.

TIPS versus peritoneovenous shunt in the treatment of medically intractable ascites: a prospective randomized trial

OBJECTIVE

We undertook a prospective randomized clinical trial comparing TIPS to peritoneovenous (PV) shunts in the treatment of medically intractable ascites to establish relative efficacy and morbidity, and thereby superiority, between these shunts.

METHODS

Thirty-two patients were prospectively randomized to undergo TIPS or peritoneovenous (Denver) shunts. All patients had failed medical therapy.

RESULTS

After TIPS versus peritoneovenous shunts, median (mean +/- SD) duration of shunt patency was similar: 4.4 months (6 +/- 6.6 months) versus 4.0 months (5 +/- 4.6 months). Assisted shunt patency was longer after TIPS: 31.1 months (41 +/- 25.9 months) versus 13.1 months (19 +/- 17.3 months) (P < 0.01, Wilcoxon test). Ultimately, after TIPS 19% of patients had irreversible shunt occlusion versus 38% of patients after peritoneovenous shunts. Survival after TIPS was 28.7 months (41 +/- 28.7 months) versus 16.1 months (28 +/- 29.7 months) after peritoneovenous shunts. Control of ascites was achieved sooner after peritoneovenous shunts than after TIPS (73% vs. 46% after 1 month), but longer-term efficacy favored TIPS (eg, 85% vs. 40% at 3 years).

CONCLUSION

TIPS and peritoneovenous shunts treat medically intractable ascites. Absence of ascites after either is uncommon. PV shunts control ascites sooner, although TIPS provides better long-term efficacy. After either shunt, numerous interventions are required to assist patency. Assisted shunt patency is better after TIPS. Treating medically refractory ascites with TIPS risks early shunt-related mortality for prospects of longer survival with ascites control. This study promotes the application of TIPS for medically intractable ascites if patients undergoing TIPS have prospects beyond short-term survival.

Application of the model for end-stage liver disease score for transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites and renal impairment

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) can manage severe complications of portal hypertension. The Mayo Clinic group proposed a so-called model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) to predict survival in cirrhotic patients. High creatinine levels determine a decrease in calculated survival chances with MELD but functional renal disease can be reversed by TIPS. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of MELD in predicting survival after TIPS, particularly in patients with refractory ascites associated with functional renal failure.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis examines 68 cirrhotic patients who underwent elective TIPS: 48 patients had refractory ascites and 20 patients had recurrent variceal bleeding. Multivariate analysis was used to establish predictive parameters of survival after TIPS. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to compare survival rates observed in our patients with those evaluated with the MELD score.

RESULTS

The age of patients was the only variable shown to have an independent value in predicting survival after TIPS. In patients undergoing shunting for refractory ascites, the survival rates at 6, 12 and 24 months after the procedure were significantly higher than expected with the MELD score.

CONCLUSIONS

The MELD scale may underestimate the efficacy of TIPS in end-stage cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites and functional kidney dysfunction. Further studies are needed to confirm this finding and ultimately to assess a correction factor to better predict survival after TIPS in patients with functional renal impairment.

Survival after elective transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt creation: prediction with model for end-stage liver disease score

PURPOSE

To evaluate the ability of a model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score to predict survival in a diverse group of patients who underwent elective transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation in two tertiary care institutions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent elective TIPS creation in two institutions between May 1, 1999, and June 1, 2002, were selected. Patients who underwent emergency TIPS creation were excluded. One hundred sixty-six patients met the inclusion criteria. The MELD score was computed and compared with the survival rate. Survival curves were estimated with Kaplan-Meier product limit estimates and were compared with the log-rank test. Accuracy of the model was evaluated with the c statistic.

RESULTS

The survival rate for all patients was 88.4% at 30 days, 78.1% at 3 months, and 71.8% at 6 months. Significantly lower survival rates were found in patients with MELD scores of 18 or more in comparison to those with MELD scores of 17 or less (P =.001). The c statistic for prediction of 3-month survival on the basis of the MELD score was 0.76. The early (30-day) death rate for this series was 11.4%. There was a significant difference in the 30-day mortality rate between patients with MELD scores of 17 or less and those with scores of 18 or more (P =.001). Patients who underwent TIPS creation for the management of refractory ascites had a significantly lower survival rate in comparison to that for the management of variceal bleeding (P =.001).

CONCLUSION

Results confirm that after elective TIPS creation, patients with a MELD score of 18 or more have a significantly lower 3-month survival rate than do those with a MELD score of 17 or less.

The transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in the treatment of portal hypertension

The transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) represents a major advance in the treatment of complications of portal hypertension. It is most commonly used in the management of refractory variceal bleeding, where it can be life-saving. Two other indications have been studied in randomized controlled trials: prevention of variceal rebleeding and refractory cirrhotic ascites. These trials have demonstrated that TIPS is superior to standard therapy but is associated with a higher rate of hepatic encephalopathy and with no improvement in survival. Consequently, TIPS is considered a second-line therapy in these situations. TIPS has also been used successfully in the treatment of hepatic hydrothorax, hepatorenal syndrome, severe portal hypertensive gastropathy, Budd-Chiari syndrome and veno-occlusive disease. Its use in these indications has only been reported in small uncontrolled series. TIPS usefulness is limited by two major problems: shunt dysfunction and hepatic encephalopathy. Shunt dysfunction is frequently responsible for the recurrence of complications of portal hypertension, and requires a surveillance program to monitor shunt patency. The use of polytetrafluoroethylene-covered stents may help prevent this complication.