Modeling Cervical Cancer Screening Strategies With Varying Levels of Human Papillomavirus Vaccination

Clinical evaluation of an artificial intelligence-assisted cytological system among screening strategies for a cervical cancer high-risk population

BACKGROUND

Primary cervical cancer screening and treating precancerous lesions are effective ways to prevent cervical cancer. However, the coverage rates of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines and routine screening are low in most developing countries and even some developed countries. This study aimed to explore the benefit of an artificial intelligence-assisted cytology (AI) system in a screening program for a cervical cancer high-risk population in China.

METHODS

A total of 1231 liquid-based cytology (LBC) slides from women who underwent colposcopy at the Chinese PLA General Hospital from 2018 to 2020 were collected. All women had received a histological diagnosis based on the results of colposcopy and biopsy. The sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), false-positive rate (FPR), false-negative rate (FNR), overall accuracy (OA), positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR) and Youden index (YI) of the AI, LBC, HPV, LBC + HPV, AI + LBC, AI + HPV and HPV Seq LBC screening strategies at low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) thresholds were calculated to assess their effectiveness. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to assess the diagnostic values of the different screening strategies.

RESULTS

The Se and Sp of the primary AI-alone strategy at the LSIL and HSIL thresholds were superior to those of the LBC + HPV cotesting strategy. Among the screening strategies, the YIs of the AI strategy at the LSIL + threshold and HSIL + threshold were the highest. At the HSIL + threshold, the AI strategy achieved the best result, with an AUC value of 0.621 (95% CI, 0.587-0.654), whereas HPV testing achieved the worst result, with an AUC value of 0.521 (95% CI, 0.484-0.559). Similarly, at the LSIL + threshold, the LBC-based strategy achieved the best result, with an AUC of 0.637 (95% CI, 0.606-0.668), whereas HPV testing achieved the worst result, with an AUC of 0.524 (95% CI, 0.491-0.557). Moreover, the AUCs of the AI and LBC strategies at this threshold were similar (0.631 and 0.637, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

These results confirmed that AI-only screening was the most authoritative method for diagnosing HSILs and LSILs, improving the accuracy of colposcopy diagnosis, and was more beneficial for patients than traditional LBC + HPV cotesting.

Enhancing Cervical Cancer Screening: Review of p16/Ki-67 Dual Staining as a Promising Triage Strategy

Cervical cancer, primarily caused by high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) types 16 and 18, is a major global health concern. Persistent HR-HPV infection can progress from reversible precancerous lesions to invasive cervical cancer, which is driven by the oncogenic activity of human papillomavirus (HPV) genes, particularly E6 and E7. Traditional screening methods, including cytology and HPV testing, have limited sensitivity and specificity. This review explores the application of p16/Ki-67 dual-staining cytology for cervical cancer screening. This advanced immunocytochemical method allows for simultaneously detecting p16 and Ki-67 proteins within cervical epithelial cells, offering a more specific approach for triaging HPV-positive women. Dual staining and traditional methods are compared, demonstrating their high sensitivity and negative predictive value but low specificity. The increased sensitivity of dual staining results in higher detection rates of CIN2+ lesions, which is crucial for preventing cervical cancer progression. However, its low specificity may lead to increased false-positive results and unnecessary biopsies. The implications of integrating dual staining into contemporary screening strategies, particularly considering the evolving landscape of HPV vaccination and changes in HPV genotype prevalence, are also discussed. New guidelines and further research are necessary to elucidate the long-term effects of integrating dual staining into screening protocols.

Impact of human papillomavirus age-related prevalence and vaccination levels on interpretation of cervical screening modalities: a modelling study

OBJECTIVE

Cervical screening is a life-saving intervention, which reduces the incidence of and mortality from cervical cancer in the population. Human papillomavirus (HPV) based screening modalities hold unique promise in improving screening accuracy. HPV prevalence varies markedly by age, as does resultant cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN), with higher rates recorded in younger women. With the advent of effective vaccination for HPV drastically reducing prevalence of both HPV and CIN, it is critical to model how the accuracy of different screening approaches varies with age cohort and vaccination status. This work establishes a model for the age-specific prevalence of HPV factoring in vaccine coverage and predicts how the accuracy of common screening modalities is affected by age profile and vaccine uptake.

DESIGN

Modelling study of HPV infection rates by age, ascertained from European cohorts prior to the introduction of vaccination. Reductions in HPV due to vaccination were estimated from the bounds predicted from multiple modelling studies, yielding a model for age-varying HPV and CIN grades 2 and above (CIN2+) prevalence.

SETTING

Performance of both conventional liquid-based cytology (LBC) screening and HPV screening with LBC reflex (HPV reflex) was estimated under different simulated age cohorts and vaccination levels.

PARTICIPANTS

Simulated populations of varying age and vaccination status.

RESULTS

HPV-reflex modalities consistently result in much lower incidence of false positives than LBC testing, with an accuracy that improves even as HPV and CIN2+ rates decline.

CONCLUSIONS

HPV-reflex tests outperform LBC tests across all age profiles, resulting in greater test accuracy. This improvement is especially pronounced as HPV infection rates fall and suggests HPV-reflex modalities are robust to future changes in the epidemiology of HPV.

Toward 70% cervical cancer screening coverage: Technical challenges and opportunities to increase access to human papillomavirus (HPV) testing

The World Health Organization (WHO) has called for the elimination of cervical cancer as a public health problem. Cervical cancer screening through human papillomavirus (HPV) testing is a core component of the strategy for elimination, with a set target of screening 70% of women twice in their lifetimes. In this review, we discuss technical barriers and opportunities to increase HPV screening globally.

Canadian Guideline on the Management of a Positive Human Papillomavirus Test and Guidance for Specific Populations

The purpose of this paper is to provide evidence-based guidance on the management of a positive human papilloma virus (HPV) test and to provide guidance around screening and HPV testing for specific patient populations. The guideline was developed by a working group in collaboration with the Gynecologic Oncology Society of Canada (GOC), Society of Colposcopists of Canada (SCC), and the Canadian Partnership Against Cancer. The literature informing these guidelines was obtained through a systematic review of relevant literature by a multi-step search process led by an information specialist. The literature was reviewed up to July 2021 with manual searches of relevant national guidelines and more recent publications. The quality of the evidence and strength of recommendations were developed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) framework. The intended users of this guideline include primary care providers, gynecologists, colposcopists, screening programs, and healthcare facilities. The implementation of the recommendations will ensure an optimum implementation of HPV testing with a focus on the management of positive results. Recommendations for appropriate care for underserved and marginalized groups are made.

Provider beliefs in effectiveness and recommendations for primary HPV testing in 3 health-care systems

In 2018, the US Preventive Services Task Force endorsed primary human papillomavirus testing (pHPV) for cervical cancer screening. We aimed to describe providers' beliefs about pHPV testing effectiveness and which screening approach they regularly recommend. We invited providers who performed 10 or more cervical cancer screens in 2019 in 3 healthcare systems that had not adopted pHPV testing: Kaiser Permanente Washington, Mass General Brigham, and Parkland Health; 53.7% (501/933) completed the survey between October and December 2020. Response distributions varied across modalities (P < .001), with cytology alone or cotesting being more often viewed as somewhat or very effective for 30- to 65-year-olds compared with pHPV (cytology alone 94.1%, cotesting 96.1%, pHPV 66.0%). In 21- to 29-year-olds, the pattern was similar (cytology alone 92.2%, 64.7% cotesting, 50.8% pHPV). Most providers were either incorrect or unsure of the guideline-recommended screening interval for pHPV. Educational efforts are needed about the relative effectiveness and recommended use of pHPV to promote guideline-concordant care.