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Enriquez de Salamanca Gambara R, Sanz-García A, del Pozo Vegas C, López-Izquierdo R, Sánchez Soberón I, Delgado Benito JF, Martínez Diaz R, Pérez-Oleaga CM, López NMM, Domínguez Azpíroz I, Martín-Rodríguez F. A Comparison of the Clinical Characteristics of Short-, Mid-, and Long-Term Mortality in Patients Attended by the Emergency Medical Services: An Observational Study. Diagnostics (Basel) 2024; 14:1292. [PMID: 38928707 PMCID: PMC11203341 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics14121292] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2024] [Revised: 06/14/2024] [Accepted: 06/15/2024] [Indexed: 06/28/2024] Open
Abstract
AIM The development of predictive models for patients treated by emergency medical services (EMS) is on the rise in the emergency field. However, how these models evolve over time has not been studied. The objective of the present work is to compare the characteristics of patients who present mortality in the short, medium and long term, and to derive and validate a predictive model for each mortality time. METHODS A prospective multicenter study was conducted, which included adult patients with unselected acute illness who were treated by EMS. The primary outcome was noncumulative mortality from all causes by time windows including 30-day mortality, 31- to 180-day mortality, and 181- to 365-day mortality. Prehospital predictors included demographic variables, standard vital signs, prehospital laboratory tests, and comorbidities. RESULTS A total of 4830 patients were enrolled. The noncumulative mortalities at 30, 180, and 365 days were 10.8%, 6.6%, and 3.5%, respectively. The best predictive value was shown for 30-day mortality (AUC = 0.930; 95% CI: 0.919-0.940), followed by 180-day (AUC = 0.852; 95% CI: 0.832-0.871) and 365-day (AUC = 0.806; 95% CI: 0.778-0.833) mortality. DISCUSSION Rapid characterization of patients at risk of short-, medium-, or long-term mortality could help EMS to improve the treatment of patients suffering from acute illnesses.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Ancor Sanz-García
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Universidad de Castilla la Mancha, 45600 Talavera de la Reina, Spain
| | - Carlos del Pozo Vegas
- Faculty of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, 47011 Valladolid, Spain; (C.d.P.V.); (F.M.-R.)
- Emergency Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario, 47003 Valladolid, Spain
| | - Raúl López-Izquierdo
- Emergency Department, Hospital Universitario Rio Hortega, 47012 Valladolid, Spain; (R.E.d.S.G.); (R.L.-I.)
- Faculty of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, 47011 Valladolid, Spain; (C.d.P.V.); (F.M.-R.)
- CIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Irene Sánchez Soberón
- Advanced Life Support, Emergency Medical Services (SACYL), 47007 Valladolid, Spain; (I.S.S.); (J.F.D.B.)
| | - Juan F. Delgado Benito
- Advanced Life Support, Emergency Medical Services (SACYL), 47007 Valladolid, Spain; (I.S.S.); (J.F.D.B.)
| | - Raquel Martínez Diaz
- Department of Project Management, Universidad Europea del Atlántico, 39011 Santander, Spain; (R.M.D.); (C.M.P.-O.); (N.M.M.L.); (I.D.A.)
- Department of Project Management, Universidad Internacional Iberoamericana, Campeche 24560, Mexico
- Department of Project Management, Universidad de La Romana, La Romana 22000, Dominican Republic
| | - Cristina Mazas Pérez-Oleaga
- Department of Project Management, Universidad Europea del Atlántico, 39011 Santander, Spain; (R.M.D.); (C.M.P.-O.); (N.M.M.L.); (I.D.A.)
- Department of Project Management, Universidad Internacional Iberoamericana, Arecibo 00613, Puerto Rico
- Department of Project Management, Universidade Internacional do Cuanza, Cuito EN250, Angola
| | - Nohora Milena Martínez López
- Department of Project Management, Universidad Europea del Atlántico, 39011 Santander, Spain; (R.M.D.); (C.M.P.-O.); (N.M.M.L.); (I.D.A.)
- Department of Project Management, Universidad Internacional Iberoamericana, Campeche 24560, Mexico
- Fundación Universitaria Internacional de Colombia, Bogotá 111321, Colombia
| | - Irma Domínguez Azpíroz
- Department of Project Management, Universidad Europea del Atlántico, 39011 Santander, Spain; (R.M.D.); (C.M.P.-O.); (N.M.M.L.); (I.D.A.)
- Department of Project Management, Universidad Internacional Iberoamericana, Campeche 24560, Mexico
- Department of Project Management, Universidad de La Romana, La Romana 22000, Dominican Republic
| | - Francisco Martín-Rodríguez
- Faculty of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, 47011 Valladolid, Spain; (C.d.P.V.); (F.M.-R.)
- Advanced Life Support, Emergency Medical Services (SACYL), 47007 Valladolid, Spain; (I.S.S.); (J.F.D.B.)
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Petersen M, Kjeldtoft FG, Christensen EF, Bøggild H, Lindskou TA. A classification system for identifying patients dead on ambulance arrival: a prehospital medical record review. Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med 2023; 31:107. [PMID: 38129908 PMCID: PMC10740259 DOI: 10.1186/s13049-023-01171-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2023] [Accepted: 12/13/2023] [Indexed: 12/23/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients dead before arrival of the ambulance or before arrival at hospital may be in- or excluded in mortality analyses, making comparison of mortality difficult. Often only physicians are allowed to declare death, thereby impeding uniform registration of prehospital death. Many studies do not report detailed definitions of prehospital mortality. Our aim was to define criteria to identify and categorize prehospital patients' vital status, and to estimate the proportion of these groups, primarily the proportion of patients dead on ambulance arrival. METHODS Prehospital medical records review for patients receiving an ambulance in the North Denmark Region from 2019 to 2021 and registered dead on the same or the following day. We defined three vital status categories: (1) Dead on Ambulance Arrival (DOAA), (2) Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) divided into OHCA Basic Life Support (OHCA BLS) and OHCA Advanced treatment, and 3) Alive on Ambulance Arrival. RESULTS Among 3 174 dead patients, DOAA constituted 28.8%, OHCA BLS 13.4%, OHCA Advanced treatment 31.3%, and Alive on Ambulance Arrival 26.6%. CONCLUSION We defined exhaustive and mutually exclusive criteria to define vital status, DOAA, OHCA, and Alive on Ambulance Arrival based on prehospital medical records. More than one out of four patients receiving an ambulance and registered dead on the same or the following day were dead already at ambulance arrival. Adding OHCA BLS where resuscitation was terminated without defibrillation or other treatment, increased the proportion of patients dead on ambulance arrival to 42%. We recommend reporting similar categories of vital status to improve valid comparisons of prehospital mortality rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Markus Petersen
- Centre for Prehospital and Emergency Research, Aalborg University Hospital and Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Gistrup, Denmark
| | - Fredderick Georg Kjeldtoft
- Centre for Prehospital and Emergency Research, Aalborg University Hospital and Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Gistrup, Denmark
| | - Erika Frischknecht Christensen
- Centre for Prehospital and Emergency Research, Aalborg University Hospital and Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Gistrup, Denmark
- Department of Emergency and Trauma Care, Clinic of Internal and Emergency Medicine, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Henrik Bøggild
- Public Health and Epidemiology, Department of Health Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Gistrup, Denmark
- Clinical Biostatistics, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Tim Alex Lindskou
- Centre for Prehospital and Emergency Research, Aalborg University Hospital and Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Gistrup, Denmark.
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Nielsen VML, Lindskou TA, Weinreich UM, Jespersen MS, Christensen EF, Bøggild H. Decision on non-conveyance of patients suspected of COVID-19 in a novel arrangement with assessment visits by paramedics at home. BMC Emerg Med 2023; 23:56. [PMID: 37237344 DOI: 10.1186/s12873-023-00826-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2022] [Accepted: 05/17/2023] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND During the first weeks of the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the North Denmark emergency medical services authorised paramedics to assess patients suspected of COVID-19 at home, and then decide if conveyance to a hospital was required. The aim of this study was to describe the cohort of patients who were assessed at home and their outcomes in terms of subsequent hospital visits and short-term mortality. METHODS This was a historical cohort study in the North Denmark Region with consecutive inclusion of patients suspected of COVID-19 who were referred to a paramedic's assessment visit by their general practitioner or an out-of-hours general practitioner. The study was conducted from 16 March to 20 May 2020. The outcomes were the proportion of non-conveyed patients who subsequently visited a hospital within 72 hours of the paramedic's assessment visit and mortality at 3, 7 and 30 days. Mortality was estimated using a Poisson regression model with robust variance estimation. RESULTS During the study period, 587 patients with a median age of 75 (IQR 59-84) years were referred to a paramedic's assessment visit. Three of four patients (76.5%, 95% CI 72.8;79.9) were non-conveyed, and 13.1% (95% CI 10.2;16.6) of the non-conveyed patients were subsequently referred to a hospital within 72 hours of the paramedic's assessment visit. Within 30 days from the paramedic's assessment visit, mortality was 11.1% [95% CI 6.9;17.9] among patients directly conveyed to a hospital and 5.8% [95% CI 4.0;8.5] among non-conveyed patients. Medical record review revealed that deaths in the non-conveyed group had happened among patients with 'do-not-resuscitate' orders, palliative care plans, severe comorbidities, age ≥ 90 years or nursing home residents. CONCLUSIONS The majority (87%) of the non-conveyed patients did not visit a hospital for the following three days after a paramedic's assessment visit. The study implies that this newly established prehospital arrangement served as a kind of gatekeeper for the region's hospitals in regard to patients suspected of COVID-19. The study also demonstrates that implementation of non-conveyance protocols should be accompanied by careful and regular evaluation to ensure patient safety.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vibe Maria Laden Nielsen
- Centre for Prehospital and Emergency Research, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark.
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.
| | - Tim Alex Lindskou
- Centre for Prehospital and Emergency Research, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Ulla Møller Weinreich
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
- Department of Respiratory Diseases, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark
| | | | - Erika Frischknecht Christensen
- Centre for Prehospital and Emergency Research, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
- Prehospital Emergency Services, North Denmark Region, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Henrik Bøggild
- Public Health and Epidemiology, Department of Health Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
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