Estimating Cured Fractions of Uveal Melanoma

Analysis of Uveal Melanoma 5-Year Survival Rates by Medicaid Status: A Nationwide Analysis

PURPOSE

The survival outcomes of patients with primary uveal melanomas based on Medicaid status have not been previously discussed in the literature.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Medicaid database were utilized to identify patients with primary uveal melanomas diagnosed between 2006 and 2013. The Kaplan-Meier method was utilized to construct 5-year survival curves in adult, non-elderly patients. Log-rank testing was used to determine differences in survival rates, and multivariate Cox proportional hazards modeling was utilized to perform adjusted survival analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1,765 patients were included (Medicaid: 81, non-Medicaid: 1684). A total of 1683 (95.4%) were White. The average age was 51.75 years (SD = 9.5 years). Medicaid patients were more likely to be unmarried, live in a high poverty neighborhood, and live in a rural area (all p < .001). We observed no significant difference in 5-year survival rates between those enrolled in Medicaid (86.6%, 95% CI: 79.1%1-94.7%) and those not enrolled in Medicaid (85.5, 95% CI: 83.8%-87.2%) (p = .80). After controlling for socioeconomic and clinical factors, Medicaid enrollment was not associated with an increased risk of mortality compared to non-Medicaid enrollment. Age (aHR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.06, p < .001) and tumor size >10 mm (aHR: 3.04, 95% CI: 1.49-6.21, p = .002) were associated with an increased risk of mortality.

CONCLUSION

Medicaid enrollment was not associated with worse cancer-specific 5-year survival. Further research needs to be elicited to better understand the role of Medicaid enrollment in patients with primary uveal melanoma.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of an orphan drug tebentafusp in patients with metastatic uveal melanoma and a call for value-based pricing

The normative regimens recommendations for treating metastatic uveal melanoma (mUM) are absent in the US. Recently, a phase III randomized clinical trial revealed that tebentafusp yielded a conspicuously longer overall survival than the control group. Based on the prominent efficacy, this study aimed to assess whether tebentafusp is cost-effective compared to the control group in patients with untreated mUM. A three-state partitioned survival model was developed to assess the costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) from the perspective of US payers. Scenario analyses and sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore the conclusion uncertainty. Compared with control group, tebentafusp therapy yielded an additional 0.47 QALYs (1.19 vs. 0.72 QALYs) and an incremental cost of $444 280 ($633 822 vs. $189 542). The resultant ICER of $953 230/QALY far outweighed the willingness-to-pay threshold of $200 000/QALY. The ICER was always more than $750 000/QALY in all the univariable and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Scenario analyses indicated that reducing the unit price of tebentafusp to $33.768/µg was associated with a favorable result of tebentafusp being cost-effective. For treatment-naive patients with mUM, the cost of tebentafusp therapy was not worth the improvement in survival benefits at the current price compared to the investigator's choice of therapy. The cost-effectiveness of tebentafusp could be promoted using value-based pricing.

Predicted vs Observed Metastasis-Free Survival in Individuals With Uveal Melanoma

Importance

Accuracy of the predicted metastasis-free survival (MFS) by a commercially available gene expression profiling (GEP) test is not known.

Objective

To compare the predicted MFS with the observed MFS in patients in this cohort and with those in published studies (published MFS, meta-analysis).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study included consecutive patients from the University of Iowa and Cleveland Clinic who were diagnosed with uveal melanoma who underwent prognostic fine-needle aspiration biopsy at the time of primary treatment. Patients were recruited from December 2012 to December 2020. The predicted MFS for patients was extracted from the GEP report. The observed MFS was defined as time to metastasis. Cox proportional hazards models were fit to identify tumor variables impacting MFS in patients with class 2 tumors. The overall estimate of the published MFS was obtained by performing meta-analysis of data from published series. Analysis took place in August 2021.

Main Outcomes and Measures

MFS.

Results

There were 92 patients from the University of Iowa and 255 patients from the Cleveland Clinic. The mean (SD) age at diagnosis was 59.4 (13.0) years. The median (IQR) follow-up interval was 38.0 (19.0-57.0) months. The observed MFS for patients with class 2 tumor in this cohort (3 years: 67% [95% CI, 59%-77%]; 5 years: 47% [95% CI, 37%-61%]) and in published studies (3 years: 62% [95% CI, 57%-66%]; 5 years: 40% [95% CI, 34%-46%]) were better than those predicted (50% and 28% for 3 and 5 years, respectively). Within patients with class 2 tumor, those with metastasis had larger tumors compared with nonmetastatic tumors (mean largest basal diameter difference, 1.7 [95% CI, 0.5-3.0] mm; P = .01; mean thickness ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.04-1.5]; P = .01, respectively). An increasing tumor size was significantly associated with increased hazard ratio (1.16 [95% CI, 1.06-1.27]; P < .001) of metastasis.

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest the predicted MFS for metastatic tumors (class 2) appears to be worse than that observed here and reported by others. Incorporation of tumor size in the prediction model may enhance its accuracy. Adjuvant therapy trials may not be able to rely on predicted MFS to calculate efficacy with a high degree of confidence.

Hax-1 Regulates Radiation-Induced Mitochondrial-Dependent Apoptosis of Uveal Melanoma Cells through PI3K/AKT/eNOS Pathway

Uveal melanoma is an aggressive skin cancer that remains insurmountable and is accompanied by inferior prognostic results. The proliferative and survival mechanisms of uveal melanoma cells need to be further investigated to improve the treatment of uveal melanoma. According to reports, HAX-1 is an antiapoptotic protein vital for multiple malignancies. Nevertheless, the role and causal link of HAX-1 in uveal melanoma are still elusive. The survival diversity of uveal melanoma sufferers with diverse haX-1 expressing levels was studied by TCGA database. Patients in the risk_high group exhibited greater levels of HAX-1 in contrast to the risk_low group, and individuals with higher HAX-1 levels displayed inferior survival times. The outcomes of CCK-8 and clonogenesis revealed that the proliferative rate of haX-1 knockout cells was slower. The result of scratch experiment shows that the ability of scratch recovery after HAX-1 is reduced. Transwell migration and tumor cell pelletization experiments showed that siHAX-1 significantly reduced cell migration and tumor cell pelletization. After haX-1 was knocked out, the loss of MMP was decreased, the transfer of CyT C was elevated, and the protein expression of Bax, Caspase 3, and Bcl2 was elevated, suggesting that mitochondria-induced apoptosis was increased. Sihax-1 treatment remarkably decreased the phosphonation of phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K)/AKT/mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR)/endothelial NO synthase (eNOS) in mum-2B and C918. Pretreatment with LY294002 significantly restored iHAX-1-induced decline in PI3K/AKT/mTOR/eNOS phosphorylation. Therefore, our results suggest that haX-1 induces radiation-dependent apoptosis of UM cells via the PI3K/AKT/eNOS signal path.

Small Choroidal Melanoma: Outcomes After Surveillance Versus Immediate Treatment

PURPOSE

To quantify potential loss (loss of vision) and gain (freedom from metastasis) in patients with small choroidal melanoma treated after a period of surveillance to document growth.

METHODS

A total of 167 patients with small choroidal melanoma (size: 5.0-16.0 mm in largest basal diameter and 1.0-2.5 mm in height) were identified: 42 treated after surveillance (documented growth) and 125 treated immediately. A prediction model was applied to each patient in the immediate treatment group to obtain the predicted risk of melanoma (high risk vs low risk). Potential loss (loss of vision) and gain (freedom from metastasis) were compared between the low-risk immediate treatment group and those treated after surveillance.

RESULTS

By using the optimal cut point (0.60; 95% confidence interval: 0.37-0.61) of predicted risk for small choroidal melanoma (sensitivity: 0.74, specificity: 0.95), we identified 94 (75%) patients as high risk (score: ≥0.6) and the remaining 31 (25%) as having low-risk melanoma (score: <0.6). Over a median follow-up of 34.6 months, 5 developed metastasis (high risk = 4, low risk = 1) compared with 1 patient in the surveillance group. Initial visual acuity and loss of <15-letter visual acuity were not significantly different at 36 months between the low-risk patients immediately treated and those treated after surveillance (81% vs 83%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Low-risk choroidal melanoma identified by the prediction model can be labeled as an indeterminate melanocytic tumor. Such patients can be managed by surveillance to document growth before receiving vision-threatening treatment without increased risk of metastatic death. NOTE: Publication of this article is sponsored by the American Ophthalmological Society.

Comprehensive Analysis of Enhancer RNAs Identifies LINC00689 and ELFN1-AS1 as Novel Prognostic Biomarkers in Uveal Melanoma

Enhancer RNAs (eRNAs) have emerged as key players in the pathology of several tumors, including uveal melanoma. Here, we aimed to explore the prognostic values of eRNAs in uveal melanoma (UVM) patients. The expressing data and survival data of UVM patients were downloaded from TCGA and GSE22138 datasets. The Kaplan-Meier methods with the log-rank test were applied to screen survival-related eRNAs in UVM. GEPIA was applied to analyze the associations between expressions of eRNA and disease-free survival. KEGG assays were applied to explore the potential signaling pathways of the key eRNA. The prognostic values of eRNAs were further explored by multivariate assays by the R package survival. The eRNAs were validated in pan-cancer. In this study, we identified 89 survival-related eRNAs in UVM based on TCGA datasets. Based on GSE22138 datasets, we found 27 survival-related eRNAs in UVM. Only two eRNAs (LINC00689 and ELFN1-AS1) were overlapped in both two datasets. The results of multivariate analysis revealed that both LINC00689 and ELFN1-AS1 were independent prognostic factors in UVM patients. The pan-cancer validation results further confirmed the prognostic values of LINC00689 and ELFN1-AS1 in eight tumors. Overall, we identified two novel UVM-related eRNAs, LINC00689 and ELFN1-AS1 which may serve as prognostic and diagnostic biomarkers of UVM patients for clinical decision-making.

Metastatic uveal melanoma: The final frontier

Treatment of primary intraocular uveal melanoma has developed considerably, its driver genes are largely unraveled, and the ways to assess its risk for metastases are very precise, being based on an international staging system and genetic data. Unfortunately, the risk of distant metastases, which emerge in approximately one half of all patients, is unaltered. Metastases are the leading single cause of death after uveal melanoma is diagnosed, yet no consensus exists regarding surveillance, staging, and treatment of disseminated disease, and survival has not improved until recently. The final frontier in conquering uveal melanoma lies in solving these issues to cure metastatic disease. Most studies on metastatic uveal melanoma are small, uncontrolled, retrospective, and do not report staging. Meta-analyses confirm a median overall survival of 10-13 months, and a cure rate that approaches nil, although survival exceeding 5 years is possible, estimated 2% either with first-line treatment or with best supportive care. Hepatic ultrasonography and magnetic resonance imaging as surveillance methods have a sensitivity of 95-100% and 83-100%, respectively, to detect metastases without radiation hazard according to prevailing evidence, but computed tomography is necessary for staging. No blood-based tests additional to liver function tests are generally accepted. Three validated staging systems predict, each in defined situations, overall survival after metastasis. Their essential components include measures of tumor burden, liver function, and performance status or metastasis free interval. Age and gender may additionally influence survival. Exceptional mutational events in metastases may make them susceptible to checkpoint inhibitors. In a large meta-analysis, surgical treatment was associated with 6 months longer median overall survival as compared to conventional chemotherapy and, recently, tebentafusp as first-line treatment at the first interim analysis of a randomized phase III trial likewise provided a 6 months longer median overall survival compared to investigator's choice, mostly pembrolizumab; these treatments currently apply to selected patients. Promoting dormancy of micrometastases, harmonizing surveillance protocols, promoting staging, identifying predictive factors, initiating controlled clinical trials, and standardizing reporting will be critical steppingstones in reaching the final frontier of curing metastatic uveal melanoma.

Oncogenic Gq/11 signaling acutely drives and chronically sustains metabolic reprogramming in uveal melanoma

Metabolic reprogramming has been shown to occur in uveal melanoma (UM), the most common intraocular tumor in adults. Mechanisms driving metabolic reprogramming in UM are poorly understood. Elucidation of these mechanisms could inform development of new therapeutic strategies for metastatic UM, which has poor prognosis because existing therapies are ineffective. Here, we determined whether metabolic reprogramming is driven by constitutively active mutant α-subunits of the heterotrimeric G proteins Gq or G11 (Gq/11), the oncogenic drivers in ∼90% of UM patients. Using PET-computed tomography imaging, microphysiometry, and GC/MS, we found that inhibition of oncogenic Gq/11 with the small molecule FR900359 (FR) attenuated glucose uptake by UM cells in vivo and in vitro, blunted glycolysis and mitochondrial respiration in UM cell lines and tumor cells isolated from patients, and reduced levels of several glycolytic and tricarboxylic acid cycle intermediates. FR acutely inhibited glycolysis and respiration and chronically attenuated expression of genes in both metabolic processes. UM therefore differs from other melanomas that exhibit a classic Warburg effect. Metabolic reprogramming in UM cell lines and patient samples involved protein kinase C and extracellular signal-regulated protein kinase 1/2 signaling downstream of oncogenic Gq/11. Chronic administration of FR upregulated expression of genes involved in metabolite scavenging and redox homeostasis, potentially as an adaptive mechanism explaining why FR does not efficiently kill UM tumor cells or regress UM tumor xenografts. These results establish that oncogenic Gq/11 signaling is a crucial driver of metabolic reprogramming in UM and lay a foundation for studies aimed at targeting metabolic reprogramming for therapeutic development.

Small Choroidal Melanoma: Correlation between Clinical Characteristics and Metastatic Potential

IMPORTANCE

Diagnosis of small choroidal melanoma is based upon clinical features and presence of factors predictive of local malignant growth. Prognostic biopsy quantifies risk of metastasis.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to explore relationship between clinical characteristics and metastatic potential of a small choroidal melanoma.

DESIGN

Retrospective review of 53 patients with small choroidal melanoma treated in a tertiary oncology clinic. Patients were derived from 3 cohorts, with pathologic confirmation, with growth confirmation, and those treated only on clinical basis. Based upon prognostic biopsy outcomes, each case was classified into low or high metastatic potential groups. Distribution of clinical characteristics such as age, laterality, symptoms, tumor dimensions, tumor distance from optic nerve and fovea, presence of surface orange pigment, drusen, retinal pigment epithelial atrophy, and subretinal fluid was analyzed between metastatic groups.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Distribution of clinical characteristics between low or high metastatic potential groups was analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 53 patients [mean age, 61 years (range, 27-81 years); 32 (60%) men and 21 (40%) women] were classified into pathology confirmed group (n = 13), growth confirmed group (n = 26), and with clinical group (n = 14). Prognostic biopsy in the growth, pathology, and clinical groups revealed low metastatic potential in 23, 10, and 11 patients, respectively, and high metastatic potential in 3 patients in each group. Distribution of clinical characteristics between low or high metastatic potential groups was not statistically significantly different.

CONCLUSION

Clinical characteristics do not identify metastatic potential of a small choroidal melanoma.

Prognostic Values of G-Protein Mutations in Metastatic Uveal Melanoma

Simple Summary

Uveal melanoma (UM) is the most common primary intraocular malignancy in adults. More than 90% of UMs harbor mutually exclusive activating mutations in G-proteins. The mutations are early events in UM development and considered to be driver mutations in carcinogenesis. Even after treatment of primary uveal melanoma, up to 50% of patients subsequently develop recurrence, predominantly in the liver. GNAQ mutations are not reported to be correlated to survival, while the mutations in GNA11 are reported more frequently in metastatic UM. We investigated the correlation of survival after development of metastasis (Met-to-Death) of metastatic uveal melanoma (MUM) patients with GNA11 and GNAQ mutations. We identified that MUM with mutation patterns of Q209P vs. Q209L in GNA11 and GNAQ might predict survival of MUM patients.

Abstract

Uveal melanoma is the most common primary ocular malignancy in adults, characterized by gene mutations in G protein subunit alpha q (GNAQ) and G protein subunit alpha 11 (GNA11). Although they are considered to be driver mutations, their role in MUM remains elusive. We investigated key somatic mutations of MUM and their impact on patients’ survival after development of systemic metastasis (Met-to-Death). Metastatic lesions from 87 MUM patients were analyzed by next generation sequencing (NGS). GNA11 (41/87) and GNAQ (39/87) mutations were most predominantly seen in MUM. Most GNA11 mutations were Q209L (36/41), whereas GNAQ mutations comprised Q209L (14/39) and Q209P (21/39). Epigenetic pathway mutations BAP1 (42/66), SF3B1 (11/66), FBXW7 (2/87), PBRM1 (1/66), and SETD2 (1/66) were found. No specimen had the EIF1AX mutation. Interestingly, Met-to-Death was longer in patients with GNAQ Q209P compared to GNAQ/GNA11 Q209L mutations, suggesting the difference in mutation type in GNAQ/GNA11 might determine the prognosis of MUM. Structural alterations of the GNAQ/GNA11 protein and their impact on survival of MUM patients should be further investigated.

Outcomes for posterior uveal melanoma: Validation of American Brachytherapy Society Guidelines

PURPOSE

To assess outcomes of small and medium choroidal melanoma (less than 5.0 mm in height) following Iodine-125 episcleral brachytherapy.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Patients with small and medium choroidal melanoma that underwent Iodine-125 brachytherapy with apical height of 1.0 mm to 5.0 mm and largest basal diameter of ≤16.0 mm were included. Data were extracted from the original dosimetry plans to determine doses to vision critical structures with the prescription point to the apical height (actual dose, ABS guidelines) and, after simulation, with the prescription point to the height of 5.0 mm (simulated dose, COMS protocol). Visual acuity (VA) outcomes with actual dose and that predicted with the simulated dose were estimated along with local recurrence, ocular survival, and survival at 5 years.

RESULTS

A total of 339 patients with a mean age of 61.5 years with a mean follow up duration of 43.4 months were included. The mean dose reduction for lens, optic disc, and fovea was 34%, 39.4%, and 41.4%, respectively with actual dose when compared with simulated dose. The Kaplan-Meier estimations for 3 year event free rate of VA of 20/50 or better were 56% and 31% for actual dose and simulated dose, respectively. Only 3 events of local recurrence were observed (enucleated) yielding 5 year local control and ocular survival rate of 98%. Overall survival (OS) and metastasis free survival (MFS) were 95% and 87.5% at 5 years, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Small and medium choroidal melanoma treated according to ABS has excellent outcomes. Brachytherapy planning using ABS guidelines as compared to COMS protocol may be associated with lower rates of radiation toxicity and vision loss.

Proteomics of Primary Uveal Melanoma: Insights into Metastasis and Protein Biomarkers

Uveal melanoma metastases are lethal and remain incurable. A quantitative proteomic analysis of 53 metastasizing and 47 non-metastasizing primary uveal melanoma (pUM) was pursued for insights into UM metastasis and protein biomarkers. The metastatic status of the pUM specimens was defined based on clinical data, survival histories, prognostic analyses, and liver histopathology. LC MS/MS iTRAQ technology, the Mascot search engine, and the UniProt human database were used to identify and quantify pUM proteins relative to the normal choroid excised from UM donor eyes. The determined proteomes of all 100 tumors were very similar, encompassing a total of 3935 pUM proteins. Proteins differentially expressed (DE) between metastasizing and non-metastasizing pUM (n = 402) were employed in bioinformatic analyses that predicted significant differences in the immune system between metastasizing and non-metastasizing pUM. The immune proteins (n = 778) identified in this study support the immune-suppressive nature and low abundance of immune checkpoint regulators in pUM, and suggest CDH1, HLA-DPA1, and several DE immune kinases and phosphatases as possible candidates for immune therapy checkpoint blockade. Prediction modeling identified 32 proteins capable of predicting metastasizing versus non-metastasizing pUM with 93% discriminatory accuracy, supporting the potential for protein-based prognostic methods for detecting UM metastasis.

Uveal melanoma: Long-term survival

Purpose

The long-term survival of uveal melanoma patients in the US is not known. We compared long-term survival estimates using relative survival, excess absolute risk (EAR), Kaplan-Meier (KM), and competing risk analyses.

Setting

Population based cohort study.

Study population

Pooled databases from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data (SEER, SEER-9+SEER-13+SEER-18).

Main outcome measure

Overall Survival (OS), Metastasis Free Survival (MFS) and relative survival, computed directly or estimated via a model fitted to excess mortality.

Results

There were 10678 cases of uveal melanoma spanning a period of 42 years (1975–2016). The median age at diagnosis was 63 years (range 3–99). Over half the patients were still alive at the end of 2016 (53%, 5625). The KM estimates of MFS were 0.729 (0.719, 0.74), 0.648 (0.633, 0.663), and 0.616 (0.596, 0.636) at 10, 20, and 30 years, respectively. The cumulative probabilities of melanoma metastatic death at 10, 20 and 30 years were 0.241 (0.236, 0.245), 0.289 (0.283, 0.294), and 0.301 (0.295, 0.307). In the first 5 years since diagnosis of uveal melanoma, the proportion of deaths attributable to uveal melanoma were 1.3 with rapid fall after 10 years. Death due to melanoma were rare beyond 20 years. Relative survival (RS) plateaued to ~60% across 20 to 30 years. EAR parametric modeling yielded a survival probability of 57%.

Conclusions

Relative survival methods can be used to estimate long term survival of uveal melanoma patients without knowing the exact cause of death. RS and EAR provide more realistic estimates as they compare the survival to that of a normal matched population. Death due to melanoma were rare beyond 20 years with normal life expectancy reached at 25 years after primary therapy.