Factors correlated with portal venous invasion by hepatocellular carcinoma: univariate and multivariate analyses of 232 resected cases without preoperative treatments

Non-anatomical liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma: the SegSubTe classification to overcome the problem of heterogeneity

BACKGROUND

The superiority of anatomical resection (AR) vs. non-anatomical resection (NAR) in the surgical management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is debated. ARs are well-defined procedures, whereas the lack of NAR standardization results in heterogeneous outcomes. This study aimed to introduce the SegSubTe classification for NAR detailing the appropriateness of the level of surgical section of the Glissonean pedicles feeding the tumor.

METHODS

A single-center retrospective analysis of pre- and postoperative imaging of consecutive patients treated with NAR for single HCC between 2012 and 2020 was conducted. The quality of surgery was assessed classifying the type of vascular supply and the level of surgical section (segmental, subsegmental or terminal next to the tumor) of vascular pedicles feeding the HCCs; then, the population was divided in "SegSubTe-IN" or "SegSubTe-OUT" groups, and the tumor recurrence and survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

Ninety-seven patients who underwent NAR were included; 76% were SegSubTe-IN and 24% were SegSubTe-OUT. Total disease recurrence, local recurrence and cut-edge recurrence in the SegSubTe-IN vs. SegSubTe-OUT groups were 50% vs. 83% (P = 0.006), 20% vs. 52% (P = 0.003) and 16% vs. 39% (P = 0.020), respectively. SegSubTe-OUT odds ratio for local recurrence was 4.1 at univariate regression analysis. One-, three-, and five-year disease-free survival rates in the SegSubTe-IN vs. SegSubTe-OUT groups were 81%, 58% and 35% vs. 46%, 21% and 11%, respectively (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The SegSubTe classification is a useful tool to stratify and standardize NAR for HCC, aiming at improving long-term oncological outcomes and reducing the heterogeneity of quality of NAR for HCC.

Associations Between Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms of Hypoxia-Related Genes and Capsule Formation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose

Tumor capsule is an independent prognostic factor for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and used increasingly to guide clinical decision-making. Considering the genetic complexity for capsule formation and its potential association with hypoxia, the significance of the polymorphisms of hypoxia-related genes in capsule formation and HCC prognosis remains to be elucidated.

Patients and Methods

Peripheral blood samples from HCC patients were collected in this study. Single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) genotyping was conducted by the iPLEX chemistry on a matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometer (Sequenom, Inc.). The demographic and clinical data for the patients were obtained through medical chart review and/or consultation with the treating physicians. SPSS 25.0, R 4.1.1, and PLINK toolset were used to perform statistical analysis.

Results

A total of 183 patients were enrolled, including 88 patients assigned to the capsule group and 95 to the non-capsule group. SLC2A1 rs841858 T allele, SLC2A1 rs2297977 T allele, STAT1 rs1547550 C allele, and STAT1 rs34997637 G allele were associated with significantly increased risk of capsule formation. The genotypes of SLC2A1 rs841858, SLC2A1 rs2297977, STAT1 rs34997637, and STAT1 rs1914408 were significantly associated with the formation of HCC capsule. The polymorphisms of STAT1 rs2066802, STAT1 rs12693591, and HIF1A rs2057482 showed close relationship with the prognosis of HCC patients in the capsule group, while the genotype distributions of CTNNB1 rs4135385, IFNG rs1861494, and SERPINE1 rs2227631 were closely related to the survival of patients in the non-capsule group. Further haplotype analysis suggested that SLC2A1 block 1 and STAT1 block 2 were related to the susceptibility of HCC capsule.

Conclusion

The polymorphisms of the hypoxia-related genes (HIF1A, SERPINE1, IFNG, STAT1, CTNNB1, and SLC2A1) were correlated with the formation of HCC capsule. Several SNPs in these genes also showed association with HCC prognosis except SLC2A1. Further functional studies are warranted to explore the underlying mechanisms.

Preoperative prediction and risk assessment of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common and highly lethal tumors worldwide. Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant risk factor for recurrence and poor prognosis after surgical resection for HCC patients. Accurately predicting the status of MVI preoperatively is critical for clinicians to select treatment modalities and improve overall survival. However, MVI can only be diagnosed by pathological analysis of postoperative specimens. Currently, numerous indicators in serology (including liquid biopsies) and imaging have been identified to effective in predicting the occurrence of MVI, and the multi-indicator model based on deep learning greatly improves accuracy of prediction. Moreover, several genes and proteins have been identified as risk factors that are strictly associated with the occurrence of MVI. Therefore, this review evaluates various predictors and risk factors, and provides guidance for subsequent efforts to explore more accurate predictive methods and to facilitate the conversion of risk factors into reliable predictors.

LiSNet: An artificial intelligence -based tool for liver imaging staging of hepatocellular carcinoma aggressiveness

BACKGROUND

Presurgical assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) aggressiveness can benefit patients' treatment options and prognosis.

PURPOSE

To develop an artificial intelligence (AI) tool, namely, LiSNet, in the task of scoring and interpreting HCC aggressiveness with computed tomography (CT) imaging.

METHODS

A total of 358 patients with HCC undergoing curative liver resection were retrospectively included. Three subspecialists were recruited to pixel-wise annotate and grade tumor aggressiveness based on CT imaging. LiSNet was trained and validated in 193 and 61 patients with a deep neural network to emulate the diagnostic acumen of subspecialists for staging HCC. The test set comprised 104 independent patients. We subsequently compared LiSNet with an experience-based binary diagnosis scheme and human-AI partnership that combined binary diagnosis and LiSNet for assessing tumor aggressiveness. We also assessed the efficiency of LiSNet for predicting survival outcomes.

RESULTS

At the pixel-wise level, the agreement rate of LiSNet with subspecialists was 0.658 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.490-0.779), 0.595 (95% CI: 0.406-0.734), and 0.369 (95% CI: 0.134-0.566), for scoring HCC aggressiveness grades I, II, and III, respectively. Additionally, LiSNet was comparable to subspecialists for predicting histopathological microvascular invasion (area under the curve: LiSNet: 0.668 [95% CI: 0.559-0.776] versus subspecialists: 0.699 [95% CI: 0.591-0.806], p > 0.05). In a human-AI partnered diagnosis, combining LiSNet and experience-based binary diagnosis can achieve the best predictive ability for microvascular invasion (area under the curve: 0.705 [95% CI: 0.589-0.820]). Furthermore, LiSNet was able to indicate overall survival after surgery.

CONCLUSION

The designed LiSNet tool warrants evaluation as an alternative tool for radiologists to conduct automatic staging of HCC aggressiveness at the pixel-wise level with CT imaging. Its prognostic value might benefit patients' treatment options and survival prediction.

Identification of the origin of tumor in vein: comparison between CEUS LI-RADS v2017 and v2016 for patients at high risk

Objectives

To compare the diagnostic performance of the Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound (CEUS) Liver Imaging Report and Data System (LI-RADS) v2016 and v2017 in identifying the origin of tumor in vein (TIV).

Methods

From April 2014 to December 2018, focal liver lesions (FLLs) accompanied by TIV formation in patients at high risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were enrolled. Histologic evaluation or composite imaging reference standard were served as the reference standard. Each case was categorized according to the CEUS LI-RADS v2016 and v2017, respectively. Diagnostic performance of CEUS LI-RADS v2016 and v2017 in identifying the originated tumor of TIV was validated via sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value.

Results

A total of 273 FLLs with TIV were analyzed finally, including 266 HCCs and 7 non-HCCs. In v2016, when adopting all TIV as LR-5V, the accuracy and PPV in identifying the originated tumor were both 97.4%. In v2017, when assigning TIV according to contiguous FLLs CEUS LI-RADS category, the accuracy and PPV were 61.9% and 99.4% in subclass of LR-5 as the diagnostic criteria of HCC, and 64.1% and 99.4% in subclass of LR-4/5 as the criteria of HCC diagnosis. There were significant differences in diagnostic accuracy between CEUS LI-RADS v2016 and v2017 in identifying the originated tumor of TIV (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

CEUS LI-RADS v2016 could be better than v2017 in identifying the originated tumor of TIV.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12880-022-00912-4.

CT-based radiomics to predict development of macrovascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Macrovascular invasion (MaVI) occurs in nearly half of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients at diagnosis or during follow-up, which causes severe disease deterioration, and limits the possibility of surgical approaches. This study aimed to investigate whether computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics analysis could help predict development of MaVI in HCC.

METHODS

A cohort of 226 patients diagnosed with HCC was enrolled from 5 hospitals with complete MaVI and prognosis follow-ups. CT-based radiomics signature was built via multi-strategy machine learning methods. Afterwards, MaVI-related clinical factors and radiomics signature were integrated to construct the final prediction model (CRIM, clinical-radiomics integrated model) via random forest modeling. Cox-regression analysis was used to select independent risk factors to predict the time of MaVI development. Kaplan-Meier analysis was conducted to stratify patients according to the time of MaVI development, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) based on the selected risk factors.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature showed significant improvement for MaVI prediction compared with conventional clinical/radiological predictors (P < 0.001). CRIM could predict MaVI with satisfactory areas under the curve (AUC) of 0.986 and 0.979 in the training (n = 154) and external validation (n = 72) datasets, respectively. CRIM presented with excellent generalization with AUC of 0.956, 1.000, and 1.000 in each external cohort that accepted disparate CT scanning protocol/manufactory. Peel9_fos_InterquartileRange [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.98; P < 0.001] was selected as the independent risk factor. The cox-regression model successfully stratified patients into the high-risk and low-risk groups regarding the time of MaVI development (P < 0.001), PFS (P < 0.001) and OS (P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

The CT-based quantitative radiomics analysis could enable high accuracy prediction of subsequent MaVI development in HCC with prognostic implications.

Prediction of Microvascular Invasion of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Preoperative Diffusion-Weighted MR Using Deep Learning

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To investigate the value of diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging for the prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This study was approved by the local institutional review board and the patients' informed consent was waived. Consecutive 97 subjects with 100 HCCs from July 2012 to October 2018 with surgical resection were retrieved. All subjects with diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) examinations were performed with single-shot echo-planar imaging in a breath-hold routine. DWI parameters were three b values of 0,100,600 sec/mm². First, apparent diffusion coefficients (ADC) images were computed by mono-exponentially fitting the three b-value points. Then, multiple 2D axial patches (28 × 28) of HCCs from b0, b100, b600, and ADC images were extracted to increase the dataset for training the CNN model. Finally, the fusion of deep features derived from three b value images and ADC was conducted based on the CNN model for MVI prediction. The data set was split into the training set (60 HCCs) and the independent test set (40 HCCs). The output probability of the deep learning model in the MVI prediction of HCCs was assessed by the independent student's t-test for data following a normal distribution and Mann-Whitney U test for data violating the normal distribution. Receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC) were also used to assess the performance for MVI prediction of HCCs in the fixed test set.

RESULTS

Deep features in b600 images yielded better performance (AUC = 0.74, p = 0.004) for MVI prediction than b0 (AUC = 0.69, p = 0.023) and b100 (AUC = 0.734, p = 0.011). Comparatively, deep features in the ADC map obtained lower performance (AUC = 0.71, p = 0.012) than that of the higher b value images (b600) for MVI prediction. Furthermore, the fusion of deep features from the b0, b100, b600, and ADC images yielded the best results (AUC = 0.79, p = 0.002) for MVI prediction.

CONCLUSION

Fusion of deep features derived from DWI images concerning the three b-value images and the ADC image yields better performance for MVI prediction.

Preoperative Prediction of Microvascular Invasion in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Radiomics Nomogram Using Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound

PURPOSE

This study aimed to develop a radiomics nomogram based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) for preoperatively assessing microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

METHODS

A retrospective dataset of 313 HCC patients who underwent CEUS between September 20, 2016 and March 20, 2020 was enrolled in our study. The study population was randomly grouped as a primary dataset of 192 patients and a validation dataset of 121 patients. Radiomics features were extracted from the B-mode (BM), artery phase (AP), portal venous phase (PVP), and delay phase (DP) images of preoperatively acquired CEUS of each patient. After feature selection, the BM, AP, PVP, and DP radiomics scores (Rad-score) were constructed from the primary dataset. The four radiomics scores and clinical factors were used for multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a radiomics nomogram was then developed. We also built a preoperative clinical prediction model for comparison. The performance of the radiomics nomogram was evaluated via calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis indicated that the PVP and DP Rad-score, tumor size, and AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) level were independent risk predictors associated with MVI. The radiomics nomogram incorporating these four predictors revealed a superior discrimination to the clinical model (based on tumor size and AFP level) in the primary dataset (AUC: 0.849 vs. 0.690; p < 0.001) and validation dataset (AUC: 0.788 vs. 0.661; p = 0.008), with a good calibration. Decision curve analysis also confirmed that the radiomics nomogram was clinically useful. Furthermore, the significant improvement of net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discriminatory improvement (IDI) implied that the PVP and DP radiomics signatures may be very useful biomarkers for MVI prediction in HCC.

CONCLUSION

The CEUS-based radiomics nomogram showed a favorable predictive value for the preoperative identification of MVI in HCC patients and could guide a more appropriate surgical planning.

What is the optimal surgical treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma beyond the debate between anatomical versus non-anatomical resection?

The optimal type of hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-anatomical or non-anatomical resection-remains controversial despite numerous comparative studies. There are common fundamental issues in published studies comparing anatomical resection with non-anatomical resection: (1) confounding by indication, (2) setting primary outcomes, and (3) a lack of a clear definition of non-anatomical resection. This degrades the quality of the comparison of the two types of surgery. To measure the therapeutic effect of hepatectomy, it is essential to understand the accumulated knowledge underlying these issues, such as the mechanism of hepatocellular carcinoma spread, tumor blood flow drainage theory, and the three patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence: (1) local intrahepatic metastasis, (2) systemic metastasis, and (3) multicentric carcinogenesis recurrence. Based on evidence that the incidence of local intrahepatic metastasis was so low it was almost negligible, the therapeutic effect of anatomical resection on the oncological survival was determined to be similar to that of non-anatomical resection. Recent research progress demonstrating the clinical impact of subclinical dissemination of HCC after surgery may stimulate new debate on the optimal surgical treatment for HCC beyond the comparison of anatomical and non-anatomical resection.

Tumor size may influence the prognosis of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma patients with cirrhosis and without macrovascular invasion after hepatectomy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is usually associated with varying degrees of cirrhosis. Among cirrhotic patients with solitary HCC in the absence of macro-vascular invasion, whether tumor size drives prognosis or not after hepatectomy remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of tumor size on long-term outcomes after hepatectomy for solitary HCC patients with cirrhosis and without macrovascular invasion. A total of 813 cirrhotic patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for solitary HCC and without macrovascular invasion between 2001 and 2014 were retrospectively studied. We set 5 cm as the tumor cut-off value. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to minimize the influence of potential confounders including cirrhotic severity that was histologically assessed according to the Laennec staging system. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between the two groups before and after PSM. Overall, 464 patients had tumor size ≤ 5 cm, and 349 had tumor size > 5 cm. The 5-year RFS and OS rates were 38.3% and 61.5% in the  ≤ 5 cm group, compared with 25.1% and 59.9% in the > 5 cm group. Long-term survival outcomes were significantly worse as tumor size increased. Multivariate analysis indicated that tumor size > 5 cm was an independent risk factor for tumor recurrence and long-term survival. These results were further confirmed in the PSM cohort of 235 pairs of patients. In cirrhotic patients with solitary HCC and without macrovascular invasion, tumor size may significantly affect the prognosis after curative hepatectomy.

Pathological considerations of CEUS LI-RADS: correlation with fibrosis stage and tumour histological grade

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the influence of pathological factors, such as fibrosis stage and histological grade, on the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) v2017 category of contrast-enhanced ultrasonography (CEUS) in patients with high risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between June 2015 and December 2016, 441 consecutive patients at high risk of HCC with 460 pathologically proven HCCs were enrolled in this retrospective study. All patients underwent a CEUS examination. The major features (arterial phase hyperenhancement, late and mild washout) were assessed, and LI-RADS categories were assigned according to CEUS LI-RADS v2017. CEUS LI-RADS categories and major features were compared in different histological grades and fibrosis stages.

RESULTS

The CEUS LR-5 category was more frequently assigned in the low-grade group (151/280) than in the high-grade group (66/159) (p = 0.013), whereas the LR-TIV category was more frequently assigned in the high-grade group (36/159) than in the low-grade group (40/280) (p = 0.035). CEUS LI-RADS category was not significantly different among different fibrosis stages (p ≥ 0.05). Arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE) and the hepatic fibrosis stage showed a significant correlation in HCCs ≥ 2 cm and the low-grade group (p = 0.027 and p = 0.003, respectively). No major features of CEUS LI-RADS showed statistically significant differences between the low- and high-grade groups (p ≥ 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Hepatic fibrosis stage can influence APHE but showed no impact on the CEUS LI-RADS classification, whereas the histological grade of HCC influenced the LR-5 and LR-TIV categories.

KEY POINTS

• Histological grade influenced CEUS LR-5 and LR-TIV category (p = 0.013 and p = 0.035 respectively). Low-grade HCCs occurred more frequently in LR-5 category whereas high-grade HCCs occurred more frequently in LR-TIV category. • Fibrosis stage shows significant influence on APHE on HCCs of the size ≥ 2 cm and low-grade group (p = 0.027 and p = 0.003, respectively). • Hepatic fibrosis stage and HCC histological grade exhibited limited impact on CEUS LI-RADS. CEUS LI-RADS may be feasible for diagnosing HCC in patients regardless of histological grade and fibrosis stage.

Radiomics analysis of [18F]FDG PET/CT for microvascular invasion and prognosis prediction in very-early- and early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

As a reliable preoperative predictor for microvascular invasion (MVI) and disease-free survival (DFS) is lacking, we developed a radiomics nomogram of [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT to predict MVI status and DFS in patients with very-early- and early-stage (BCLC 0, BCLC A) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Patients (N = 80) with BCLC0-A HCC who underwent [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT before surgery were enrolled in this retrospective study and were randomized to a training cohort and a validation cohort. Texture features from patients obtained using Lifex software in the training cohort were subjected to LASSO regression to select the most useful predictive features of MVI and DFS. Then, the radiomics nomogram was constructed using the radiomics signature and clinical features and further validated.

RESULTS

To predict MVI, the [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT radiomics signature consisted of five texture features from the PET and six texture features from CT. The signature was significantly associated with MVI status in the training cohort (P = 0.001). None of the clinical features was independent predictors for MVI status (P > 0.05). The area under the curve value of the M-PET/CT model was 0.891 (95% CI: 0.799-0.984) in the training cohort and showed good discrimination and calibration. To predict DFS, the [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT radiomics nomogram (D-PET/CT model) and a clinicopathologic nomogram were built in the training cohort. The D-PET/CT model, which integrated the D-PET/CT radiomics signature with INR and TB, provided better predictive performance (C-index: 0.831, 95% CI: 0.761-0.900) and larger net benefits than the simple clinical model, as determined by decision curve analyses.

CONCLUSION

The newly developed [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT radiomics signature was an independent biomarker for the estimation of MVI and DFS in patients with very-early- and early-stage HCC. Moreover, PET/CT nomogram, which incorporated the radiomics signature of [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and clinical risk factors in patients with very-early- and early-stage HCC, performed better for individualized DFS estimation, which might enable a step forward in precise medicine.

CT Image-Based Texture Analysis to Predict Microvascular Invasion in Primary Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The objective of this study was to determine the clinical value of computed tomography (CT) image-based texture analysis in predicting microvascular invasion of primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). CT images of patients with HCC from May 2017 to May 2019 confirmed by surgery and histopathology were retrospectively analyzed. Image features including tumor margin, tumor capsule, peritumoral enhancement, hypoattenuating halo, intratumoral arteries, and tumor-liver differences were assessed. All patients were divided into microvascular invasion (MVI)-negative group (n = 34) and MVI-positive group (n = 68). Preoperative CT images were further imported into MaZda software, where the regions of interest of the lesions were manually delineated. Texture features of lesions based on pre-contrast, arterial, portal, and equilibrium phase CT images were extracted. Thirty optimal texture parameters were selected from each phase by Fisher's coefficient (Fisher), classification error probability combined with average correlation coefficient (POE+ACC), and mutual information (MI). Finally, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed. The results showed that the Edmonson-Steiner grades, tumor size, tumor margin, and intratumoral artery characteristics were significantly different between the two groups (P = 0.012, < 0.001, < 0.001, = 0.003, respectively). There were 58 parameters with significant differences between the MVI-negative and MVI-positive groups (P < 0.001 for all). Among them, 12, 14, 17, and 15 parameters were derived from the pre-contrast phase, arterial phase, portal phase, and equilibrium phase respectively. According to the ROC analysis, optimal texture parameters based on the pre-contrast, arterial, portal, and equilibrium phases were 135dr_GLevNonU (AUC, 0.766; the cutoff value, 1055.00), Vertl_RLNonUni (AUC, 0.764; the cutoff value, 5974.38), 45dgr_GLevNonU (AUC, 0.762; the cutoff value, 924.34), and Vertl_RLNonUni (AUC, 0.754; the cutoff value, 4868.80), respectively. Texture analysis of preoperative CT images may be used as a non-invasive method to predict microvascular invasion in patients with primary hepatocellular carcinomas, and further to guide the treatment and evaluate prognosis. The most valuable parameters were derived from the gray-level run-length matrix.

Next-generation des-r-carboxy prothrombin for immunohistochemical assessment of vascular invasion by hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

We have previously shown the value of next-generation des-r-carboxy prothrombin (NX-DCP) for predicting vascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Since conventional DCP is inaccurate under some conditions, this study aimed to assess whether NX-DCP immunohistochemical staining was related to vascular invasion in HCC.

Methods

Fifty-six patients scheduled to undergo resection for single HCC were divided into two groups, with and without pathological portal vein invasion. Immunohistochemical features of HCC and sites of vascular invasion were assessed using alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), conventional DCP, and NX-DCP.

Results

Pathological portal vein invasion was absent in 43 patients and present in 13 patients. Patient characteristics, pathological background of the liver parenchyma, and tumor-related factors did not differ significantly between the groups. There was no significant difference in the serum AFP level between the groups, whereas levels of conventional DCP (p < 0.0001) and NX-DCP (p < 0.0001) were significantly higher in the vascular invasion group. Immunohistochemical staining showed no significant difference in the staining rate of tumor (67.9% vs. 80.7%, p = 0.08), but NX-DCP stained significantly more at the sites of vascular invasion (15.4% vs. 46.2%, p = 0.01) than conventional DCP. No vascular invasion was stained by AFP.

Conclusions

NX-DCP offers better sensitivity for detecting sites of vascular invasion than AFP and conventional DCP.

The Long-Term Efficacy of Radiofrequency Ablation Versus Laparoscopic Hepatectomy for Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma in East Asia: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Context: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignant cancer and the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths around the world. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and laparoscopic hepatectomy (LH) have been adopted for the treatment of HCC. The aim of the meta-analysis was to explore the long-term efficacy of RFA compared with LH for small HCC (sHCC) patients in the East Asian population. Evidence Acquisition: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis by the literature search on PubMed, Cochrane Library, EMBASE, Chinese Biological Medical Literature (CBM), Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang from their inception until October 10, 2019, for comparing the long-term efficacy outcomes of RFA with LH. Results: Fourteen retrospective studies with 1,390 subjects were included in the meta-analysis. Compared with the LH-treated group, RFA could raise the local recurrence rate under median follow-up duration and reduce disease-free survival (DFS) rates at 1 - 3 years. However, it failed to affect 5-year overall survival (OS) and DFS rates. In the subgroup analyses, different RFA approaches had significantly higher local recurrence rates than the LH group. A similar effect on OS and DFS rates within five years for single early (≤ 3 cm) HCCs and on the 1- and 5-year DFS rates for nodules ≤ 5 cm were observed between the two groups, but RFA approaches could reduce the 3-y OS and DFS rates for single nodules ≤ 5 cm. The percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (PRFA) group had significantly lower 3- and 5-year OS and the 1- and 3-year DFS rates than the LH group, while no significant difference in OS and DFS rates in the laparoscopic radiofrequency ablation (LRFA) approach. The RFA approach improved the 3-year OS compared with the LH group in Japan, but reduced the 3-year OS and DFS rates within 3 years in China. Conclusions: Our results support that LH treating sHCC had a better long-term efficacy and a lower local recurrence rate than RFA in the East Asian population. Further high-quality prospective studies are required to confirm the long-term efficacy.

Morphologic Variants of Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors: Clinicopathologic Analysis and Prognostic Stratification

Better prognostication/stratification of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PanNETs) is needed. In this detailed morpheomic study of 163 resected PanNETs, 11 unusual variants, some of which were not previously recognized, and others scarcely documented in the literature, were identified, and their pathologic characteristics were further analyzed. By behavior and clinicopathologic associations, these variants could be grouped into three prognostically different categories. I. More aggressive (20%). Included in this group were the variants that in average showed higher grade and stage and adverse outcome including oncocytic, plasmacytoid, lipid-rich and previously unrecognized hepatoid variants, which often had a more diffuse/broad-band growth pattern, with some also displaying discohesiveness. They were characterized by abundant cytoplasm and often had prominent nucleoli (as seen in metabolically active cells), thus the provisional name "metabolic cell phenotype." Because of their diversion from classical neuroendocrine cytomorphology, these variants created challenges on original diagnostic workup, particularly hepatoid examples, which revealed Arginase 1/Hep Par-1 expression in 50%. II. Less aggressive (10%). These cases either showed signs of maturation, including nested growth, paraganglioid pattern (which was previously unrecognized), and organoid PanNETs such as "ductulo-insular" growth, or showed symplastic/degenerative changes, and despite their paradoxically disconcerting histology, were more benevolent in behavior. III. Undetermined. There were other variants including mammary tubulolobular-like, pseudoglandular, peliotic, and sclerotic PanNETs, which although diagnostically challenging, their biologic significance could not be determined because of rarity or heterogeneous characteristics. Prognostic associations: Features that were significantly different in the more aggressive group than the less aggressive group were median size (5.0 vs 1.6 cm, p < 0.001), percentage of pT3+T4 cases (72% vs 12%, p < 0.001), Ki67 index (5.3% vs 2.3%, p = 0.001), % G2 and G3 cases (77% vs 27%, p < 0.001), and rate of lymph node and distant metastasis (96% vs 27%, p < 0.001). In stepwise logistic regression model using the 3 established prognosticators of T stage, size, and grade along with morphology, only aggressive-morphology (metabolic cell phenotype) was found to be associated with metastatic behavior with an odds ratio of 5.9 with 95% confidence interval (C.I.) 1.688 to 22.945 and p value 0.007. In conclusion, PanNETs display various morphologic patterns that are not only challenging and important diagnostically but appear to have biologic significance. Tumors with more diffuse growth of cells with nucleoli and abundant cytoplasm and/or discohesion (oncocytic, hepatoid, lipid-rich, plasmacytoid PanNETs), provisionally termed "metabolic cell phenotype," show aggressive characteristics and are an independent determinant of adverse outcome and thus may require closer post-surgical follow-up, whereas variants with more degenerative or mature features (ductuloinsular, pleomorphic, paraganglioma-like) appear to be more benevolent despite their more atypical and worrisome morphology.

Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy vs transcatheter arterial embolization for patients with huge unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

For the treatment of huge unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) or transcatheter arterial embolization (TAE) generally had poor effects and high complication rates. Our previous study found that Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) is a safe procedure and provides better survival than symptomatic treatment for the patients with huge unresectable HCC. The aim of the study is to compare the effect of HAIC vs TAE in patients with huge unresectable HCC.Since 2000 to 2005, patients with huge (size > 8 cm) unresectable HCC were enrolled. Twenty-six patients received HAIC and 25 patients received TAE. Each patient in the HAIC group received 2.5 + 1.4 (range: 1-6) courses of HAIC and in the TAE group received 1.8 + 1.2 (range: 1-5) courses of TAE. Baseline characteristics and survival were compared between the HAIC and TAE group.The HAIC group and the TAE group were similar in baseline characteristics and tumor stages. The overall survival rates at 1 and 2 years were 42% and 31% in the HAIC group and 28% and 24% in the TAE group. The patients in the HAIC group had higher overall survival than the TAE group (P = .077). Cox-regression multivariate analysis revealed that HAIC is the significant factor associated with overall survival (relative risk: 0.461, 95% confidence interval: 0.218-0.852, P = .027). No patients died of the complications of HAIC but three patients (12%) died of the complications of TAE.In conclusion, HAIC is a safe procedure and provides better survival than TAE for patients with huge unresectable HCCs.

Advantage of early liver transplantation whenever indicated for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after primary liver resection

Background

Liver transplantation (LT) for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver resection (LR) has been considered a promising strategy for improving patient's outcome. The study aimed to analyse patients from primary LR to LT for HCC and to provide additional information for decision-making in therapeutic strategies for patients with HCC.

Methods

Among 776 LTs, a retrospective analysis of patients who had undergone LT for recurrent HCC after primary LR between May 2005 and 2017 February was performed.

Results

During the follow-up period, the overall recurrence-free survival rates at 1, 3 and 5 years were 84.8%, 68.2% and 68.2%, and disease-specific overall-survival rates were 95.7%, 74.4% and 66.7% at 1, 3 and 5 years after LT, respectively. Beyond University of California at San Francisco (UCSF) transplantation criteria (p = 0.018, hazard ratio (HR) = 12.70), maximum tumor size ≥ 5 cm at LR (p = 0.012, HR = 7.90) and period between post-LR HCC recurrence and LT ≥ 1 year (p = 0.030, HR = 7.57) were prognostic factors of HCC recurrence after LT. Moreover, HCC recurrence after LT was the solely independent risk factor affecting overall survival of patients.

Conclusion

Large tumor size at LR should be taken into cautious tending to HCC recurrence even after salvage LT. Importantly, LT should be considered as soon as possible preferably within 1 year whenever post-LR recurrent HCC meets transplantation criteria.

Incomplete tumor capsule on preoperative imaging reveals microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Microvascular invasion (MVI), which is difficult to diagnose before surgery, is a major factor affecting postoperative recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The relationship between the radiological tumor capsule and MVI is controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the association between the tumor capsule and MVI.

METHODS

We searched Medline (by PubMed) and Embase (by OvidSP). Two review authors independently screened titles and abstracts, selected studies about MVI prediction with radiologic tumor capsule and studies with enough data for extracted, assessed the methodological quality and collected data. Summary results were presented as the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), sensitivity, specificity, and 95% confidence interval.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies with 2038 patients were included; fourteen studies, including 1331 patients, with no significant heterogeneity indicated no relationship between absent tumor capsule and MVI [DOR = 0.90 (0.64, 1.26)]. Six studies, including 541 patients, with no significant heterogeneity showed incomplete capsule could be used to predict MVI of HCC preoperatively [DOR = 1.85 (1.13, 3.04)]. The overall sensitivity and specificity estimate were 0.50 (0.37, 0.64) and 0.64 (0.53, 0.74), respectively. Eight studies, including 1349 patients, with highly significant heterogeneity revealed that complete capsule could be a protective factor for MVI [DOR = 1.97 (1.01, 3.86)].

CONCLUSIONS

For MVI of HCC, incomplete tumor capsule is a risk factor, while a complete tumor capsule might be a protective factor. However, absent capsule doesn't show significant relationship with MVI. This might be due to combination of the risk and protective effects of present capsule in MVI.

Microvascular invasion and positive HB e antigen are associated with poorer survival after hepatectomy of early hepatocellular carcinoma: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to identify the independent predictive factors of microvascular invasion (MVI) for curative resection of HCC and to investigate the impacts of MVI and HBeAg on long-term recurrence and survival after resection.

METHODS

The clinicopathological parameters of 237 patients with HCC with MVI who underwent hepatic resection from April 2005 to November 2010 were investigated. Clinical features and factors associated with the clinical outcomes of 386 patients with HCC without MVI were used for comparison.

RESULTS

Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis revealed that alpha-fetoprotein level>100μg/L, positive HBeAg, and tumour size were independent prognostic factors in patients with HCC with MVI. The overall survival (OS) of patients in the HCC with MVI group was significantly poorer compared with the HCC without MVI group (P<0.001). However, patients with HCC without MVI group exhibited a significantly better recurrence-free survival rate (RFS) (P<0.001). While the HCC with positive HBeAg group exhibited significantly lower OS compared with the HCC with negative HBeAg group (P=0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

AFP level>100μg/L, positive HBeAg, and tumour size>2cm are independent indicators of poorer prognosis for HCC with MVI. The present study confirmed that microvascular invasion itself had a negative impact on patient survival; moreover, HBeAg was an independent risk factor influencing OS, while not RFS of patients with HCC underwent hepatectomy. It is important to predict the presence of MVI before hepatic resection to determine treatment strategies.

Can microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma be predicted by diagnostic imaging? A critical review

Imaging still has a limited capacity to detect microvascular invasion (mVI). The objective of this critical review is the evaluation of the most significant predictors of mVI in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detectable by computed tomography, PET/computed tomography and MRI using a mathematical model. We systematically reviewed 15 observational studies from 2008 to 2018 to analyze factors with most impact on mVI detection. The most significant predictors of mVI correlating with imaging techniques were considered. From 1902 patients considered, we individuated 30 total predictors of mVI in a multivariate analysis. The most frequent predictors related to the highest presence with mVI in HCC were: α-fetoprotein (p < 0.0001), tumor size (p < 0.0001) and number of HCC nodules (p = 0.0020).

Long-term oncologic results of anatomic vs. parenchyma-sparing resection for hepatocellular carcinoma. A propensity score-matching analysis

PURPOSE

The extent of liver resection for the optimal treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is debated. The purpose of this study was to compare the impact of anatomic resection (AR) vs. parenchyma-sparing resection (PSR) on disease recurrence and patient survival.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed patients with HCC who underwent liver resection from January 2001 to August 2015. Patients receiving AR or PSR were compared by a propensity score analysis (PSA) (caliper = 0.1). The primary outcomes were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates, and assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

455 consecutive patients were evaluated. After PSA 354 patient were studied (177 pairs for each group). The median follow-up time was 28.2 months. The median OS was 47.5 months (95% CI: 30.0-65.9) for AR and 56.5 months (95% CI 33.2-79.6) for PSR (p = 0.169). The median DFS was 29.2 months (95% CI 17.6-40.8) for AR and 24.8 months (95% CI: 15.2-34.2) for PSR (p = 0.337). The multivariate regression model showed that cirrhosis (HR 2.85, 95% CI: 1.53-5.32; p = 0.001), BCLC grade B (HR 4.15, 95% CI: 1.33-12.95; p = 0.014), microvascular invasion (HR 1.55, 95% CI: 1.03-2.31; p = 0.033), presence of satellitosis (HR 1.94, 95% CI: 1.25-3.01; p = 0.003), severe complications (HR 6.09, 95% CI: 2.26-16.40; p > 0.001) were independently associated with poor long-term oncologic outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

The extent of resection did not significantly affect overall and disease-free survival while tumor characteristics and underlying liver function appeared significant determinants.

Clinicopathological Characteristics of Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Microscopic Portal Venous Invasion and the Role of Anatomical Liver Resection in These Cases

BACKGROUND

The aims of this study were to investigate predictive factors for microscopic portal venous invasion (mPVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and whether anatomical liver resection (ALR) was useful in such cases.

METHODS

We analyzed 852 patients with HCC without macroscopic portal venous invasion who were treated at our hospital between January 1990 and May 2014. These patients were stratified into a microscopic portal venous invasion group (mPVI group; n = 153) and non-microscopic portal venous invasion group (NmPVI group; n = 699).

RESULTS

PIVKA-II ≥100 mAU/ml, a tumor size ≥5 cm, a confluent lesion, and poor differentiation were found to be independent risk factors for mPVI. Among the mPVI group who had single HCC under 5 cm, serum albumin level <4.0 g/dl, PIVKA-II ≥100 mAU/ml, a positive surgical margin, and non-ALR (NALR) were independent unfavorable prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). PIVKA-II ≥100 mAU/ml, a positive surgical margin and NALR were independent unfavorable prognostic factors for relapse-free survival (RFS). ALR was significantly favorable factor for both OS and RFS of the mPVI group who had single HCC under 5 cm.

CONCLUSIONS

Even if no portal venous invasion is detectable in HCC patients preoperatively, a PIVKA-II ≥100 mAU/ml, tumor size ≥5 cm, and a confluent lesion indicate a high risk of mPVI. ALR should be considered for the patients with these characteristics because it is a favorable prognostic factor in these cases with mPVI.

Evaluation of hepatocellular carcinoma spread via the portal system by 3-dimensional mapping

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

The pattern of tumor cell spread via the portal system has not been fully clarified in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to evaluate the intrahepatic distribution of cancer cells derived from the main tumor by assessing histological portal invasion and/or intrahepatic metastasis (vp/im).

METHODS

In 14 patients who underwent anatomical resection of primary solitary HCC ≤ 50 mm in diameter, vp/im were examined pathologically, and the sites of the lesions were reproduced on preoperative 3D-CT images. The number of vp/im and the distance of each lesion from the tumor margin were also determined.

RESULTS

The tumor diameter was <30 mm in seven patients (smaller HCCs) and 30-50 mm in seven patients (larger HCCs). 3D mapping revealed that almost all vp/im were localized to the peritumoral area within one cm of the tumor margin in smaller HCCs, whereas vp/im seemed to spread extensively to the feeding 3rd level portal branches in larger HCCs. The number of vp/im was greater in patients with larger HCCs than in those with smaller HCCs.

CONCLUSIONS

3D mapping suggested tumor cells of HCC spread via the portal vein extensively in several cases.

Preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI for predicting microvascular invasion in patients with single hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

This study aimed to identify preoperative magnetic resonance (MR) imaging biomarkers for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI), to determine their diagnostic performance and to evaluate whether they are associated with early recurrence after surgery for single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

The study included 197 patients with surgically resected HCC (≤5cm) who underwent preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced MR imaging. Significant MR imaging findings for predicting MVI were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses. Early recurrence rates (<2years) were analyzed with respect to significant imaging findings for predicting MVI.

RESULTS

Three MR imaging features were independently associated with MVI: arterial peritumoral enhancement (odds ratio [OR]=5.184; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.228, 12.063; p<0.001), non-smooth tumor margin (OR=3.555; 95% CI: 1.627, 7.769; p=0.001), and peritumoral hypointensity on hepatobiliary phase (HBP) (OR=4.705; 95% CI: 1.671, 13.246; p=0.003). When two of three findings were combined, the specificity was 92.5% (124/134). When all three findings were satisfied, the specificity was 99.3% (133/134). Early recurrence rates were significantly higher in patients with single HCC, with two or three significant MR imaging findings, compared to those with none (27.9% vs. 12.6%, respectively, p=0.030).

CONCLUSIONS

A combination of two or more of the following; arterial peritumoral enhancement, non-smooth tumor margin, and peritumoral hypointensity on HBP, can be used as a preoperative imaging biomarker for predicting MVI, with specificity >90%, and is associated with early recurrence after surgery of single HCC. Lay summary: A combination of two or more of the following; arterial peritumoral enhancement, non-smooth tumor margin, and peritumoral hypointensity on hepatobiliary phase, can be used as a preoperative imaging biomarker for predicting microvascular invasion, with specificity >90%, and is associated with early recurrence after curative resection of single HCC.

The preoperative globulin-to-albumin ratio, a novel inflammation-based prognostic system, predicts survival after potentially curative liver resection for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Although the globulin-to-albumin ratio (GAR) is useful for prognostication of patients with various cancers, its relationship with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear. The study aims to investigate the relationship between GAR and postoperative survival among patients with HCC undergoing potentially curative liver resection (LR).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 368 patients with newly diagnosed HCC who underwent initial and potentially curative LR. Univariate and multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazard model were performed to detect clinical characteristics that correlated with overall survival (OS). Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test were used to compare OS and disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

The result of multivariate analysis using 25 clinical characteristics selected by univariate analysis revealed that the GAR (≥0.918/<0.918) was significantly associated with OS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.398; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.012-5.683; P = 0.047), as well as platelet count (<14/≥14, ×10⁴ /mm³ ) and portal vein invasion (presence/absence). Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test demonstrated that the OS and DFS of patients with a high GAR (>0.918) were significantly worse than that of patients with a low GAR (≤0.918).

CONCLUSIONS

The GAR is a useful predictor of postoperative survival among patients with HCC undergoing potentially curative LR.

Vascular microinvasion from hepatocellular carcinoma: CT findings and pathologic correlation for the best therapeutic strategies

Recurrence of HCC reduces survival rates in patients treated with surgery, and one of the most relevant risk factors for tumour recurrence is microvascular invasion (mVI). The identification of mVI on preoperative examinations could improve surgical planning's and techniques so as to reduce the risk of tumour recurrence. During our study, we have revised 101 CT examinations of the liver performed on patients diagnosed with solitary HCC who had surgical treatment and pathological analysis of the specimens for mVI in order to detect CT signs which could be reliable in mVI prediction. On CT examinations, the tumours were evaluated for margins, capsule, size, contrast enhancement, halo sign and Thad. From our statistical analysis, we found out that irregularity in tumour margins and defects in peritumoural capsule are the most significant characteristics predicting mVI in HCC. Every report on CT examinations performed on surgical candidate patients should include suggestions about mVI probability in order to tailor procedures, reduce tumour recurrence risk and improve survival rates.

Microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Microvascular invasion is a crucial histopathologic prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma. We reviewed the literature and aimed to draw attention to clinicopathologic and imaging findings that may predict the presence of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma. Imaging findings suggesting microvascular invasion are disruption of capsule, irregular tumor margin, peritumoral enhancement, multifocal tumor, increased tumor size, and increased glucose metabolism on positron emission tomography-computed tomography. In the presence of typical findings, microvascular invasion may be predicted.

Evaluation of Recurrence Predictors and Survival Probability After Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Analysis From a Single Center

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation is the criterion standard treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma, but tumor recurrence remains a problem leading to a worse prognosis. We aimed to evaluate factors associated with recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma and survival after this procedure.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed data from 101 patients submitted to liver transplantation because of hepatocellular carcinoma from January 2005 to January 2012 at our single center. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify preoperative factors and histologic findings associated with lower survival rates and recurrence. The significance level was 5%.

RESULTS

There was recurrence in 10 cases (9.9%), with an average time of 25.28 ± 26.92 months. Microvascular invasion (P = .005; hazard ratio [HR], 4.94; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.42-17.12) was an independent factor for recurrence. Microvascular invasion (P = .035; HR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.04-3.25) and tumors outside the criteria of the University of San Francisco (P = .046; HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.01-3.25) were independent factors for the risk of death. Poorly differentiated tumors had a higher level of alphafetoprotein (P = .03), and values <100 ng/mL were associated with well differentiated tumors.

CONCLUSIONS

Microvascular invasion was associated with recurrence and lower survival. Tumors outside the criteria of the University of California, San Francisco had lower survival. Alpha-fetoprotein levels >100 ng/mL were associated with poorly differentiated tumors.

Impact of Visceral Obesity on Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Our objective was to determine whether visceral obesity is associated with increased microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients surgically treated for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Data were collected retrospectively in a series of 79 patients treated by surgical resection for HCC, using CT-scan for evaluation of visceral obesity.

RESULTS

There was no significant association between visceral obesity and MVI (OR = 1.20 (0.38-3.75), p = 0.75). Independent predictive factors of MVI were moderate/poor differentiation, tumor size above 50 mm and underlying cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

This study did not support the hypothesis that visceral obesity might promote MVI in patients with HCC.

Prediction of vascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma by next-generation des-r-carboxy prothrombin

BACKGROUND

In hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), des-r-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) more accurately reflects the malignant potential than alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). Next-generation DCP (NX-DCP) was created to overcome some of the limitations of conventional DCP. This study assessed the predictive value of NX-DCP for vascular invasion in HCC.

METHODS

We prospectively studied 82 consecutive patients who were scheduled to undergo resection for HCC. Patients were divided into two groups according to the presence or absence of pathological vascular invasion. The predictive powers of AFP, conventional DCP, and NX-DCP for vascular invasion were compared by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, and correlations with tumour markers and the presence of vascular invasion were assessed.

RESULTS

Vascular invasion was pathologically confirmed in 21 patients (positive group) and absent in 61 patients (negative group). The NX-DCP level was significantly higher in the positive group than in the negative group (510.0 mAU ml(-1) (10-98 450) vs 34.0 mAU ml(-1) (12-541), P<0.0001), while the AFP level did not differ significantly between the groups (9.7 ng ml(-1) (1.6-43 960.0) vs 11.0 ng ml(-1) (1.6-1650.0), P=0.49). The area under the curve (AUC) of NX-DCP (AUC=0.813, sensitivity=71.4%, 1-specificity=13.1%) had good sensitivity for the prediction of vascular invasion, while the AUC of AFP was 0.550 (sensitivity=28.6%, 1-specificity=1.60%). The suitable cutoff value for identifying pathological vascular invasion in HCC was 33 mm (AUC: 0.783, sensitivity=71.43%, 1-specificity=11.48%).

CONCLUSIONS

The NX-DCP level can be used to predict the presence of vascular invasion in HCC.

Reappraisal of evidence of microscopic portal vein involvement by hepatocellular carcinoma cells with stratification of tumor size

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of cancer-related death internationally, it is necessary to reappraise evidences of HCC cells involving the portal vein, especially considering tumor size.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Histopathological evidence and dynamic evidences of radiology and cytology from publication were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

Frequencies of microscopic portal vein involvement (MPVI) and microscopic intrahepatic metastasis (MIM) in resected specimens with single nodule HCC were lower than that of multi nodule HCC, although not significantly. Early HCC (≤1.5 cm) was with extremely low to 0 frequencies of MPVI and MIM. HCC >5 cm showed a tendency of flowing HCC cells into portal vein, which was coincident with significantly high frequency (64.1 %) of MPVI for HCC >5 cm. There were no significant difference of frequencies of MPVI and MIM between groups of tumor ≤2, ≤3, and ≤5 cm.

CONCLUSIONS

Single nodule HCC >5 cm needs anatomic resection and the root of portal vein should be firstly ligated because of tendency of flowing HCC cells into portal vein. For single nodule HCC ≤2 cm, there was a risk of about 16.2 % of MPVI, and a risk of about 16.2-26.4 % of MPVI for those single nodule HCC ≤5 cm, however, there was a risk of extremely low to 0 of MPVI for early HCC (≤1.5 cm). Surgeons have to balance liver reserve and risk of MPVI for HCC ≤5 cm before deciding anatomic or nonanatomic resection.

Serosal invasion strongly associated with recurrence after curative hepatic resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective study of 214 consecutive cases

The purpose of this study was to clarify the individual prognostic factors after curative and primary resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Reliable prognostic factors and tumor staging for HCC have been required to predict an appropriate prognosis. However, in HCC, no staging system has received universal acceptance, and several tumor factors seem to relate to HCC prognosis, but they are not definitive. At present, few studies have mentioned the importance of serosal invasion as a prognostic factor.A retrospective search of our database identified 214 consecutive patients who underwent primary and curative hepatectomy for HCC at our department between January 1998 and December 2011. Risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed with Cox proportional hazard model, Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank tests.Multivariate analyses showed that serosal invasion (hazard ratio [HR], 2.75; P = 0.0005) and vascular invasion (HR, 1.71; P = 0.0331) were independently correlated with RFS. Serosal invasion was significantly correlated with HCC recurrence (P = 0.0230). The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank tests revealed that the patients with serosal invasion showed significantly worse prognosis both in RFS (P < 0.0001) and OS (P = 0.0016).Serosal invasion should be regarded as a strong independent predictor for recurrence in curatively resected HCC cases.

Aggressive Intrasegmental Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Radiofrequency Ablation: Risk Factors and Clinical Significance

PURPOSE

To evaluate the frequency, risk factors, and clinical significance of aggressive intrasegmental recurrence (AIR) found after radiofrequency (RF) ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Institutional review board approval was obtained for this retrospective study. Between March 2005 and December 2010, 539 patients (414 men, 125 women; mean age, 57.91 years; age range, 30-82 years) underwent ultrasonography-guided percutaneous RF ablation as a first-line treatment for a single HCC classified as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0 or A. AIR of HCC was defined as (a) initial tumor recurrence with disease-free status at least 6 months after initial RF ablation and (b) the simultaneous development of multiple nodular (at least three) or infiltrative tumor recurrence in the treated segment. Patients were stratified into two groups: those with AIR (n = 20) and those without AIR (n = 519) during follow-up. Risk factors for AIR were assessed with logistic regression analysis, and risk factors for long-term overall survival were assessed with time-dependent Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

In a median follow-up period of 49 months (range, 6-95 months), AIR was observed in 3.7% of the patients (20 of 539 patients), with the frequency increasing to 15% in the subgroup with periportal HCC (11 of 72 patients). AIRs manifested as either multiple nodular type (n = 14, BCLC stage A or B) or diffusely infiltrative type with tumor thrombus formation (n = 6, BCLC stage C). At multivariate analysis, periportal tumor location and younger patient age were significant risk factors for AIR. The presence of AIR during the follow-up period has a significant effect on the overall survival rate (hazard ratio = 5.72, P = .002).

CONCLUSION

The overall frequency of AIR after RF ablation for HCC was low, with periportal location and patient age showing a significant relationship to the development of AIR. The occurrence of AIR had an adverse effect on overall survival rate.

Efficacy of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy in combination with irradiation for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein invasion

BACKGROUND

The presence of portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) is a poor prognostic factor for patients with hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC). The purpose of this study was to determine the treatment effect of irradiation in combination with hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) for these patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined the outcome of 67 HCC patients with PVTT of the main trunk or first branch who received HAIC alone or with concurrent irradiation for PVTT (CCRT).

RESULTS

Thirty-four patients received HAIC, and 33 patients received CCRT. The time to progression (TTP) of PVTT in the CCRT group was significantly longer than in the HAIC group (p < 0.01), and the TTP of intrahepatic nodules in the CCRT group tended to be longer than in the HAIC group (p = 0.06). The objective response rates of intrahepatic nodules (52 vs. 18%, p < 0.01) and PVTT (45 vs. 18%, p = 0.01) were both significantly higher in the CCRT group than in the HAIC group, respectively. No significant difference in overall survival was found between the two groups (p = 0.14); however, the median survival time in the CCRT group was longer than that in the HAIC group (12.4 vs. 5.7 months, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

CCRT might be a promising treatment for advanced-stage HCC with PVTT. CCRT prolonged the TTP of intrahepatic nodules and PVTT, and it improved the objective response rate of intrahepatic nodules and PVTT.

Frequency of and predictive factors for vascular invasion after radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Vascular invasion in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is representative of advanced disease with an extremely poor prognosis. The detailed course of its development has not been fully elucidated.

METHODS

We enrolled 1057 consecutive patients with HCC who had been treated with curative intent by radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as an initial therapy from 1999 to 2008 at our department. We analyzed the incidence rate of and predictive factors for vascular invasion. The survival rate after detection of vascular invasion was also analyzed.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 4.5 years, 6075 nodules including primary and recurrent lesions were treated by RFA. Vascular invasion was observed in 97 patients. The rate of vascular invasion associated with site of original RFA procedure was 0.66% on a nodule basis. The incidence rates of vascular invasion on a patient basis at 1, 3, and 5 years were 1.1%, 5.9%, and 10.4%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that tumor size, tumor number, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), and Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein were significant risk predictors of vascular invasion. In multivariate analysis, DCP was the most significant predictor for vascular invasion (compared with a DCP of ≤100 mAu/mL, the hazard ratio was 1.95 when DCP was 101-200 mAu/mL and 3.22 when DCP was >200 mAu/mL). The median survival time after development of vascular invasion was only 6 months.

CONCLUSION

Vascular invasion occurs during the clinical course of patients initially treated with curative intent. High-risk patients may be identified using tumor markers.

Prediction of microvascular invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma: preoperative CT and histopathologic correlation

OBJECTIVE

The objective of our study was to prospectively investigate whether nonsmooth margins detected on multiphasic CT images correlate with the presence and location of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

A total of 102 patients with preoperative CT findings of solitary HCC were prospectively enrolled. Tumor size, tumor capsule, tumor margins, and peritumoral enhancement on preoperative CT images were assessed. Histopathologic results including the following were also recorded: tumor differentiation; liver fibrosis score; presence or absence of MVI; and, if present, the location of MVI. Correlation between tumor margin on preoperative CT images and histopathologic location of MVI was determined.

RESULTS

Pathologic examination revealed MVI in 60 of the 102 HCC specimens. Although the results of the univariate analysis showed that tumor size, higher Edmondson-Steiner grade, and nonsmooth tumor margins were associated with MVI, multivariate analysis revealed that only nonsmooth margins correlated with the presence of MVI in HCC (p < 0.001). Of the 60 HCC specimens with histopathologic evidence of MVI, 40 exhibited focal nonsmooth margins. In addition, the locations of the nonsmooth margins and MVI were similar in 36 of the 40 specimens.

CONCLUSION

Nonsmooth tumor margins correlated with the histopathologic presence and location of MVI. Therefore, nonsmooth margins detected on multiphasic CT may be predictive of MVI in HCC.

Effect of pre- and post-treatment α-fetoprotein levels and tumor size on survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated by resection, transarterial chemoembolization or radiofrequency ablation: a retrospective study

Background

We evaluated treatment modalities and survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), by pre-treatment and 3-month post-treatment serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels and pre-treatment tumor diameters.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 57 patients treated for HCC in our department from January 2002 to December 2012, including their sex, type of hepatitis, Child class, pre-treatment tumor size, pre-treatment levels of albumin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), red blood cells, hemoglobin, and total bilirubin, pre- and 3-month post-treatment serum AFP, and treatment modality (transarterial chemoembolization, resection or radiofrequency ablation). Survival was analyzed at 1, 3, and 5 years after treatment.

Results

The 57 patients included 44 men and 13 women, of whom 44 had hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, 3 had hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, 3 had both HBV and HCV infection, 1 had both HBV and hepatitis D virus infection, and 3 had alcohol-related liver cirrhosis. Both pre- and post-treatment serum AFP levels significantly correlated with recurrent tumor size (P < 0.05 for both). Pre-treatment tumor size did not correlate with recurrent tumor size. Patients who underwent hepatic resection survived significantly longer than those who underwent transarterial chemoembolization or radiofrequency ablation (P < 0.05).

Conclusions

Serum AFP level is useful in diagnosing tumor recurrence and predicting prognosis in HCC patients treated by hepatic resection, transarterial chemoembolization, and radiofrequency ablation. Hepatic resection remains the treatment of choice for HCC in suitable patients.

New scoring system for prediction of microvascular invasion in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The microvascular invasion of cancer cells (mvi) is a good prognostic factor after hepatic resection (HR) and liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to predict mvi in patients with HCC.

METHODS

We studied 63 hepatectomized patients with HCC who had HCC without any extrahepatic metastases and vascular invasion, which were detected during preoperative evaluation. The preoperative clinicopathological data of these patients were analysed to predict presence of mvi. A scoring system was designed using significant risk factors. This system was applied to another series of 34 patients with HCC who underwent HR, and was evaluated for validation.

RESULTS

Tumour size, serum des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) levels and the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) on 2-[18F]-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography were independent clinical predictors for mvi after multivariate analyses. Tumour size, serum DCP levels, and values of SUVmax were used to plot a receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting mvi. Areas under the curve of tumour size, serum DCP levels and SUV max values, were 0.8652, 0.8027 and 0.7848 respectively. Maximal sensitivity and specificity were obtained when the tumour size was 3.6 cm, SUVmax was 4.2, and the serum DCP level was 101 mAU/ml. A scoring system was designed using these three variables. The sensitivity and specificity of our scoring system were 100% and 90.9%, respectively, in the validation test.

CONCLUSION

Our scoring system for mvi, consisting of tumour size, serum DCP levels, and SUV max, provides a precise prediction of mvi.

The risk factors of early recurrence after hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma

Purpose

Early recurrence after hepatectomy is a well-known poor prognostic factor in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. This study was undertaken to identify the risk factors of early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy.

Methods

One hundred and sixty-seven patients that underwent hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma from January 2005 to December 2010 were enrolled. The numbers of patients with or without early recurrence group were 40 and 127, respectively. Clinico-pathologic factors were retrospectively analyzed.

Results

Potential risk factors were classified as host, tumor, or surgical factors. Of the host factors examined, lobular hepatitis activity was found to be a significant risk factor of early recurrence, and of the tumor factors, infiltrative type of gross appearance, level of preoperative AFP and worst Edmondson-Steiner grade were significant.

Conclusion

The present study shows that an infiltrative gross appearance, a high preoperative AFP level, high lobular hepatitis activity, and a poor Edmondson-Steiner grade are independent risk factors of early recurrence. Accordingly, patients with these risk factors should be followed closely after hepatectomy.

Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy for patients with huge unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

Background and Aim

The optimal treatment for huge unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. The outcome of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) for patients huge unresectable HCC is generally poor and the survival benefit of TACE in these patients is unclear. The aim of the study is to compare the effect of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) versus symptomatic treatment in patients with huge unresectable HCC.

Methods

Since 2000 to 2005, patients with huge (size >8cm) unresectable HCC were enrolled. Fifty-eight patients received HAIC and 44 patients received symptomatic treatment. In the HAIC group, each patient received 2.4+1.4 (range: 1–6) courses of HAIC. Baseline characteristics and survival were compared between the HAIC and symptomatic treatment groups.

Results

The HAIC group and the symptomatic treatment group were similar in baseline characteristics and tumor stages. The overall survival rates at one and two years were 29% and 14% in the HAIC group and 7% and 5% in the symptomatic treatment group, respectively. The patients in the HAIC group had significantly better overall survival than the symptomatic treatment group (P<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that HAIC was the significant factor associated with the overall survival (relative risk: 0.321, 95% confidence interval: 0.200–0.515, P<0.001). None of the patients died due to immediate complications of HAIC.

Conclusions

HAIC is a safe procedure and provides better survival than symptomatic treatment in patients with huge unresectable HCC.

Long-term survival after surgical resection for huge hepatocellular carcinoma: comparison with transarterial chemoembolization after propensity score matching

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Surgical resection (SR) and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) have been commonly applied for patients with huge hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, optimal treatment has not been established.

METHODS

Between 2000 and 2009, 267 patients with huge HCC (≥ 10 cm) underwent TACE and 84 underwent SR as the first treatment. Propensity score matching generated a matched cohort composed of 152 patients. We investigated overall survival and possible prognostic factors.

RESULTS

At baseline, the surgery group showed a tendency to have solitary tumor (72.6% vs 39.3%, P < 0.001), less vessel invasion (29.8% vs 51.3%, P < 0.001), and unilobar tumor extent (77.4% vs 50.9%, P < 0.001) than TACE group. During median follow up of 10 months (range: 0-103), the surgery group showed higher 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates than TACE group (73.8%, 54.8%, and 39.8% vs 37.8%, 16.3%, and 9.7%, respectively, P < 0.001). In the propensity score-matched cohort, baseline characteristics did not differ between the two groups. Surgery group showed higher 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival rates than TACE group (69.7%, 58.6%, and 51.7% vs 40.2%, 33.9%, and 18.5%, respectively, P < 0.001) during median follow up of 14.5 months (range: 0-103). Multivariate analysis revealed that male (HR 1.90; 95% CI, 1.01-3.58; P = 0.048), albumin (HR 0.54; 95% CI, 0.34-0.85; P = 0.008), ascites (HR 1.77; 95% CI, 1.02-3.08; P = 0.044), and SR (HR 0.44; 95% CI, 0.28-0.70; P = 0.001) were the independent prognostic factors associated with survival.

CONCLUSION

Comparing survival after SR and TACE, we showed that SR would be associated with better outcomes than TACE as the first treatment of huge HCC.

Predictors of recurrence in hepatitis C virus related hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Egypt is one of the hot spots in the international map of Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which is where hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the major risk factor in development of HCC (80%). Due to low organ donation rates and lack of deceased liver transplantation, hepatic resection is the main line of treatment for HCC patients with sufficient liver reserve. We introduce our experience with patients who had HCV related HCC who underwent hepatic re-section to determine various predictors of tumour recurrence in this group. This is the first study to come from a country where chronic HCV hepatitis is endemic.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of 208 cases of HCC in hepatitis C virus positive patients with cirrhotic livers who underwent first-time liver resection, in Gastroenterology Surgical Centre, Mansoura University, Egypt during the period from January 2002 to December 2011. Shapiro-Wilk test was used to assess normality of data. Predictors of HCC recurrence were assessed by bivariate correlation tests, univariate analysis using the chi-square and t-test and binary logistic regression analysis. A P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Tumour recurrence occurred in 88 patients (42.3%). Most of the recurrences occurred within the first year 55 patients (62.5%). The most common site for recurrence was the liver (n=68, 77.3%). Based on the univariate analysis; significant variables predicting tumor recurrence were alpha feto-protein (AFP), blood transfusion, multi-focality, cut margin, microvascular invasion, lack of capsule, tumour grade and stage. Based on multivariate analysis, the main variables predicting tumor recurrence were blood transfusion, cut margin, tumour capsule and microvascular invasion.

CONCLUSION

Although the predictors of recurrence are the same for both HBV and HCV related HCC, the rate and aggressiveness of recurrence are higher in HCV related HCC.

Hypertonic saline-enhanced radiofrequency versus chemoembolization sequential radiofrequency in the treatment of large hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIM

Large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) appears to be a major obstacle for radiofrequency ablation (RFA); therefore, attempts to increase the volume of coagulation by injecting hypertonic saline before and/or during RFA have been made. Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) combines the effect of targeted chemotherapy with ischemic necrosis and eliminates heat loss if combined with RFA. Our aim was to compare the efficacy of hypertonic saline-enhanced RFA versus TACE sequential RFA in the treatment of medium and large nodular HCC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This prospective study was carried out on 40 patients with 40 HCCs between 2008 and 2010 in the Tropical Medicine and Hepatology Department, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo University. They were divided into two groups (20 patients each): the first group received hypertonic saline-enhanced RFA (RFA+HS) and the second group underwent transarterial chemoembolization, followed by RFA (TACE+RFA).

RESULTS

Triphasic computed tomography 1 month after the procedure showed that 17 (85%) patients in each group achieved complete ablation, whereas three (15%) in each group achieved partial ablation. In the RFA+HS group, 12/13 (92%) of medium HCC and 5/7 (71%) of large HCC were successfully ablated. In the TACE+RFA group, 8/8 (100%) medium HCC and 9/12 (75%) of large lesions were successfully ablated. The relation between success rate and lesion diameter was statistically significant only in RFA+HS group. After 6 months, 73.7% of patients in the RFA+HS group and 83.3% of patients in the TACE+RFA group showed maintained ablation (P=0.86).

CONCLUSION

RFA+HS and TACE+RFA are safe and equally effective treatments for medium to large HCC.

C-reactive protein may be a prognostic factor in hepatocellular carcinoma with malignant portal vein invasion

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a high predilection for portal vein invasion, and the prognosis of HCC with malignant portal vein invasion is extremely poor. The objective of this study was to investigate the outcomes and the prognostic factor of recurrence in HCC patients with malignant portal vein invasion.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the clinicopathologic data and outcomes of 83 HCC patients with malignant portal vein invasion and 1,056 patients without portal vein invasion who underwent liver resection.

Results

Increased serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels, increased maximum tumor size, and intrahepatic metastasis were predisposing factors for malignant portal vein invasion by multivariate analysis. The median disease-free survival and overall survival of HCC patients with malignant portal vein invasion was 4.5 months and 25 months, respectively. The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year disease-free survival rates were 30.6%, 26.1%, and 21.2%, respectively, and the overall survival rates for HCC patients with malignant portal vein invasion were 68.6%, 54.2%, and 41.6%, respectively. The initial detection site was the lung in HCC patients with portal vein invasion and the liver in HCC patients without portal vein invasion. C-reactive protein (CRP) was a significant independent predictor of tumor recurrence in HCC with malignant portal vein invasion after surgery.

Conclusions

Increased ALP levels, increased maximum tumor size, and intrahepatic metastasis were independent predictors of malignant portal vein invasion in HCC. CRP level was closely associated with the predisposing factor of tumor recurrence in HCC patients with malignant portal vein invasion after a surgical resection, and lung metastasis was common.

Risk factors and a predictive model for acute hepatic failure after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Acute hepatic failure (AHF) is one of the most serious complications of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE). The aims of this study were to investigate risk factors of AHF after TACE and to establish a predictive model for AHF.

METHODS

In the evaluation set, a total of 820 patients who underwent TACE as a first treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma were included. The demographic, laboratory, radiological and treatment-related factors were analysed to identify risk factors for AHF after TACE and a predictive model was established using the identified risk factors. In the validation set, a different cohort of 438 patients was included to validate the predictive model.

RESULTS

The incidence of post-TACE AHF was 15.1% (124/820). Multivariate analysis revealed that presence of portal vein thrombosis, high aspartate aminotransferase, bilirubin, and log alpha-foetoprotein levels, and low albumin and sodium levels were independent risk factors. A mathematical model was established using these independent risk factors, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model was 0.773 (95% confidence interval, 0.726-0.820). The cut-off value of 9 had a sensitivity of 78.2%, a specificity of 72.3%, a positive likelihood ratio of 2.82, a negative likelihood ratio of 0.30, a positive predictive value of 28.9% and a negative predictive value of 95.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk factors of post-TACE AHF were presence of portal vein thrombosis, high aspartate aminotransferase, bilirubin, and alpha-foetoprotein levels, and low serum albumin and sodium levels. A mathematical model to predict post-TACE AHF was established.