New insights into the epidemiology of type 1 diabetes in Mediterranean countries

Global and regional estimates of the morbidity due to type I diabetes among children aged 0-4 years: a systematic review and analysis

Background

Epidemiology of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) among children aged 0-4 years globally is not well understood. We aim to assess the incidence of T1DM in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) by conducting a systematic review of previous reports. We also aim to address possible contribution to child mortality and to identify any temporal trends.

Methods

A systematic review was performed using a carefully designed search strategy to explore MEDLINE, EMBASE and Global Health databases. Data was extracted from all studies that satisfied the inclusion criteria –a total of 83 records extracted from 26 830 sources that were analysed. We used the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) process to assess quality of evidence and applied meta-analysis approaches to assess global and regional incidence and time trends.

Results

The overall pooled incidence of T1DM in children aged 0-4 years globally is 11.2 (95% CI = 10.0-12.3) per 100 000 child years. The regional incidence were the highest for European Region A (EUR A) at 15.5 (95% CI = 13.5-17.5) per 100 000 child years. EUR C had the incidence of 10.0 (95% CI = 6.5-13.6) and EUR B 5.8 (95% CI = 4.7-7.0), Region of the Americas A (AMR A) 11.4 (95% CI = 7.8-14.9), AMR B of 2.5 (95% CI = 0.2-4.8), Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR B) 7.1 (95% CI = 4.2-10.0) and Western Pacific Region (WPR A) 7.0 (95% CI = 2.9-11.0) per 100 000 child years, while other regions had very low rates or no data. When data points were categorised in the study periods and re-analysed, an increasing trend of the T1DM incidence was observed, with the incidence of 20.9 (95% CI = 7.8-34.1) per 100 000 child years in the years 2010-2015, preceded by 13.2 (95% CI = 11.0-15.5) in 2000-2009 study period, 10.0 (95% CI = 8.4-11.7) in 1990-1999 and 8.3 (95% CI = 5.1-11.6) in 1980-1989, respectively. Although the data are scarce, and variation and uncertainty are large, we estimated that the number of new cases of T1DM among children aged 0-4 years in the world each year is between 100 000 and 150 000.

Conclusions

The identified large variation in incidence estimates for different parts of the world, along with scarcity of information and the identified strong temporal increase in T1DM incidence suggest a clear need for further research into this subject.

Comparison of anti-diabetic drug prescribing in children and adolescents in seven European countries

AIMS

The aim of this study was to compare the prevalence of diabetes in children across seven European countries, when using prescribing of anti-diabetics as a proxy for diabetes. A secondary aim was to assess the potential for collaboration between countries using different databases in diabetes research.

METHODS

Data were obtained from population-based clinical databases in seven European countries. The study population comprised children aged 0-18 years. Prescriptions were categorized using the Anatomic Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) classification. The one-year user prevalence in 2008 was calculated for each country and stratified by age and sex.

RESULTS

We studied a total of 5.8 million children and adolescents. The prevalence of insulin prescribing varied between 1.1 and 3.5 per 1000 population, being highest in Sweden and lowest in Italy. In all countries, novel insulin analogues were the most commonly used insulins. The prevalence of oral anti-diabetic prescribing ranged from 0.08 per 1000 individuals in Sweden and Germany to 0.21 per 1000 population in the UK. Overall, the absolute number of oral anti-diabetic users was very low.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that there is a varying frequency of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents across Europe. We also demonstrated that it is possible to obtain similar information from different clinical databases within Europe, which would allow continuous monitoring of type 1 diabetes. Owing to the lack of indications in most of the databases, this approach is less suitable for type 2 diabetes.

Increasing incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes in Montenegro from 1997 to 2006

OBJECTIVE

To determine and analyze the incidence of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) in 0- to 14-yr-old children in Montenegro from 1997 to 2006.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This was a prospective study. Primary case ascertainment came from a diabetes register and secondary independent data source was from prescription data. Age and sex-standardized incidence rates were calculated using direct method, assuming an equal distribution in each age/sex group. The 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated assuming the Poisson distribution. The independent effects of calendar year, two 5-yr time periods, sex and age groups were estimated with Poisson regression modeling.

RESULTS

During the 10-yr period, 184 new cases of type 1 diabetes were identified. Case ascertainment was 100% complete using the capture-recapture method. The mean annual standardized incidence rate over the 10-yr period was 13.4/100 000/yr (95% CI: 11.5-15.5). It increased on average by 4.6% per year (95% CI: -0.4 to -9.6%, p = 0.07). The time-period specific incidence rate from year 1997 to 2001 was significantly lower (10.8; 8.5-13.5) compared with the second period from 2002 to 2006 (16.3; 13.3-19.7), (p < 0.0001). The age-specific incidence for the 0-4-yr age group was significantly lower (8.9; 6.3-12.3) than in 5- to 9-yr age group (14.1; 10.8-18.1); and in the 10-14 yr group (17.2; 13.7-21.3) per 100,000 children.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence rate in last 5 yr places Montenegro in the group of countries with moderate risk for development of type 1 diabetes in children. The average annual increase in incidence is 4.6%.

Influence of microbial environment on autoimmunity

During protective immune responses, the adaptive arm of the immune system requires activation by signals provided by innate immunity and driven by microbial stimuli. Whether the same rules apply to autoimmune diseases involving clonal self-reactive T and B lymphocytes--a process referred to here as 'adaptive autoimmunity'--is not quite clear. Nevertheless, in these diseases, the innate-adaptive connection is likely to be influenced by the microbial environment. This review integrates the results of experiments analyzing autoimmunity in sterile versus nonsterile conditions and experiments testing the role of innate immune receptor signaling in autoimmunity. It proposes that autoimmune diseases can be divided into two groups, the pathogenesis of which either follows the rules of innate-adaptive connection or does not.

Incidence of diabetes mellitus among children of Italian migrants substantiates the role of genetic factors in the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes

To investigate the role of genetic and environmental factors in the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1D), we carried out a study in Germany aimed at comparing the prevalence and incidence of T1D among children of migrant Italians from high-risk (Sardinia) and low-risk (continental Italy) regions versus German children. Children from Italy were identified by the "Baden-Wuerttemberg (BW) Diabetes Incidence Registry", which registered 4017 newly diagnosed T1D patients, aged 0-14 years, between 1987 and 2003. Data relating to T1D children from Sardinia were elicited from more than 2000 questionnaires. Our findings were: (1) T1D is more frequent among German children than among children of Italian migrants [incidence rate (IR) 14.8/100,000/year, 95% confidence interval (CI) 14.4-15.4 vs. IR 10.8/100,000/year, 95% CI 8.2-13.6); (2) the incidence of T1D among Italian children residing in Germany is similar to that of Italian children in the home country (IR 10.8/100,000/year, 95% CI 8.2-13.6 vs. 8.4/100,000/year, 95% CI 7.9-8.9); (3) the prevalence of T1D among Sardinian children is higher than that among German children (0.11%, 95% CI 0.11-0.12) independent of the place where the Sardinian children are living (Sardinian children in Germany 2.3%, 95% CI 0.5-6.5 vs. Sardinian children in Sardinia 0.30%, 95% CI 0.27-0.32).

CONCLUSION

Children from high- and low-risk areas of Italy have incidence rates of T1D that are closer to those of their native regions than to those of German children, indicating that genetic factors play a predominant role in the pathogenesis of T1D.

Increasing incidence of type 1 diabetes in population from Santiago of Chile: trends in a period of 18 years (1986-2003)

STUDY OBJECTIVE AND SETTING: The aim of this study is to determine the incidence rate of type 1 diabetes in the metropolitan region of Santiago, Chile from 1 January 1986 to 31 December 2003.

DESIGN

Population-based incidence study.

PARTICIPANTS

A case must fulfill the following requirements to be included in this study: age at onset: 0 to 14 years, diagnosed with diabetes and placed on insulin, diagnosed within the defined time period, and to be a resident of the metropolitan region of Santiago at the time of the diagnosis. The population 'at risk' is the population less than 15 years of age.

RESULT

The overall rate of type 1 diabetes was estimated as 4.02 cases per 100 000 children per year (95% confidence interval: 2.98-4.83).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of type 1 diabetes in Santiago, Chile has increased during the last years. This data are concordant with the observation that the incidence of type 1 diabetes is increasing in Latin America and worldwide.

Epidemiological association between some dietary habits and the increasing incidence of type 1 diabetes worldwide

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The variation in incidence of type 1 diabetes (T1D) worldwide is genetically based. However, its increasing incidence is environmentally determined. Our aim was to describe the role of nutritional habits and of gene-nutrient interactions in the rising incidence of TID.

METHODS

We did an ecological study in the 37 world areas were a 3% yearly increase of T1D incidence had been reported, and we calculated through the FAO's Food Balance Sheets the per caput daily supply of milk, meat and cereals from 1961 to 2000 and its correlation with the TID incidence.

RESULTS

The supply of milk and cereals remained almost unchanged, whereas that of meat increased by over 31%. The absolute mean TID increase (number of cases per 100,000 per year) was + 0.32. A significant positive correlation with supply of milk was present from 1961 to 2000, while that with meat and cereals became significant in 1983 and 2000.

CONCLUSION

Our ecological analysis indicates that nutritional factors, and in particular meat consumption, play a role in the incidence of T1D and its increase worldwide. Further experimental and case-control studies are warranted in order to assess the gene-nutrient interactions.

The A2 milk case: a critical review

This review outlines a hypothesis that A1 one of the common variants of beta-casein, a major protein in cows milk could facilitate the immunological processes that lead to type I diabetes (DM-I). It was subsequently suggested that A1 beta-casein may also be a risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD), based on between-country correlations of CHD mortality with estimated national consumption of A1 beta-casein in a selected number of developed countries. A company, A2 Corporation was set up in New Zealand in the late 1990s to test cows and market milk in several countries with only the A2 variant of beta-casein, which appeared not to have the disadvantages of A1 beta-casein. The second part of this review is a critique of the A1/A2 hypothesis. For both DM-I and CHD, the between-country correlation method is shown to be unreliable and negated by recalculation with more countries and by prospective studies in individuals. The animal experiments with diabetes-prone rodents that supported the hypothesis about diabetes were not confirmed by larger, better standardised multicentre experiments. The single animal experiment supporting an A1 beta-casein and CHD link was small, short, in an unsuitable animal model and had other design weaknesses. The A1/A2 milk hypothesis was ingenious. If the scientific evidence had worked out it would have required huge adjustments in the world's dairy industries. This review concludes, however, that there is no convincing or even probable evidence that the A1 beta-casein of cow milk has any adverse effect in humans. This review has been independent of examination of evidence related to A1 and A2 milk by the Australian and New Zealand food standard and food safety authorities, which have not published the evidence they have examined and the analysis of it. They stated in 2003 that no relationship has been established between A1 or A2 milk and diabetes, CHD or other diseases.

Frequency of MICA in All Babies in Southeast Sweden (ABIS) Positive for High-Risk HLA-DQ Associated with Type 1 Diabetes

Type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is an autoimmune disease known to occur in genetically susceptible individuals after exposure to certain unknown environmental factors. HLA-DR3-DQ2 or DR4-DQ8 are established genetic markers for the disease. MHC class I chain-related gene-A (MICA) gene polymorphism has been proposed to be associated with T1DM. To identify the environmental factors and for implementing intervention trials to prevent T1DM, it is important to screen subjects at genetically increased risk for developing T1DM. The All Babies in Southeast Sweden (ABIS) study aims to assess the risk of future progression to T1DM in the general child population. In the present report, we studied the frequency of MICA alleles among newborn babies carrying high-risk HLA DQ2 or DQ8. Of 2821 newborns, we found 563 subjects positive for DQ2, 583 subjects positive for DQ8, 133 subjects positive for DQ2-DQ8 (heterozygous), and 1013 subjects positive for either DQ2 or DQ8. Of these 1013 babies, we typed 499 babies for MICA. Frequency of MICA5 was 38% among DQ8+, 35% among for DQ2-DQ8 (heterozygous) positives, and 22.5% among DQ2+ babies. Frequency of MICA5.1 was 81% among DQ+, 62% among DQ8+, and 71% among DQ2-DQ8 (heterozygous) positives. Frequency of MICA6 was between 20% and 22% among the three groups. Frequency of MICA5/5.1 was 19% among DQ2-DQ8 (heterozygous) positives and between 12% and 13% among those positive for DQ2, DQ8, DQ2, or DQ8. The results from genetic typing in this study would be useful, in conjunction with results from autoantibody analysis that are prospectively being followed-up in all the babies, to develop an approach for identifying children at risk for developing T1DM. Inclusion of MICA typing in addition to HLA could be useful for screening of genetic markers associated with T1DM.

High incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes in Liguria, Italy, from 1989 to 1998

OBJECTIVE

Assessing updated incidence of type 1 diabetes in 0- to 14-year-old children in Liguria, a Northwest region of Italy.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Incident cases were recorded prospectively from 1989 to 1998. Incidence rates (IRs) were standardized to the 1999 world population using the direct method. The independent effect of sex, age, residence, and calendar year was estimated with Poisson regression model. The degree of ascertainment was calculated in accordance to capture/recapture method.

RESULTS

During 10 full calendar years, 219 new cases of type 1 diabetes in children were diagnosed in Liguria. The standardized IR over the 10-year period was 12.56 cases per 100,000 per year (95% CI 11.0-14.3). The sex-specific IR among men and women was 14.15 and 10.88, respectively. The age-specific IR was higher in the 10- to 14-year-old age-group (15.01/100,000) than in 0- to 4-year-old age-group (9.01/100,000) and in the 5- to 9-year-old age-group (13.03/100,000).

CONCLUSIONS

The IR of type 1 diabetes in Liguria is among the highest in Southern Europe and approaches IRs of Northern European countries. In particular it is much higher than those reported in the surrounding Italian regions except for Sardinia. Therefore, the geographical distribution of type 1 diabetes does not seem to reflect the simple North-South gradient reported in several previous works.

Type 1 diabetes: new perspectives on disease pathogenesis and treatment

As our knowledge of type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes increases, so does our appreciation for the pathogenic complexity of this disease and the challenges associated with its treatment. Many new concepts about the pathogenesis of this disorder have arisen. The role of genetics versus environment in disease formation has been questioned, and the basis on which type 1 diabetes is characterised and diagnosed is the subject of much debate. Additionally, the care and treatment of patients with type 1 diabetes has seen a rapid evolution; with genetically engineered insulins, glucose monitoring devices, and algorithms all contributing to a decrease in disease-related complications. We focus this seminar on these changing views, and offer a new perspective on our understanding of the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes and on principles for therapeutic management of patients with this disorder.

Nutritional factors and worldwide incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Some dietary factors have been associated with the risk of type 1 diabetes in childhood.

OBJECTIVE

We investigated relations between dietary energy from major food groups and incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes by using an ecologic study design.

DESIGN

We conducted univariate and multivariate regression analysis with incidence rates of type 1 diabetes in the late 1980s and early 1990s among children aged <15 y in 40 countries as the dependent variable and average per capita daily intake of major food items and other socioeconomic, demographic, and geographic risk factors as the independent variables.

RESULTS

In the univariate regression model, per capita total energy intake was nonsignificantly associated with type 1 diabetes incidence (r = 0.31, NS), whereas energy from animal sources was associated (r = 0.61, P < 0.01) and energy from vegetal sources was inversely associated (r = -0.35, P < 0.05) with diabetes incidence. Among dietary items of animal origin, meat (r = 0.55, P < 0.001) and dairy products (r = 0. 80, P < 0.0001) were predictors of elevated incidence rates, whereas among dietary items of vegetal origin, cereals (r = -0.64, P < 0. 001) were inverse predictors. In the multivariate analysis, the inverse relation of diabetes incidence with energy from vegetables and the direct correlation with energy from animal sources explained the positive associations of type 1 diabetes incidence with geographic and socioeconomic covariates.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of type 1 diabetes varied worldwide according to dietary patterns. In-depth exploration of dietary risk factors during pregnancy and early neonatal life is warranted to confirm whether and to what extent diet cooperates with genetic susceptibility in the early onset of type 1 diabetes.