The predictive value of a combination of tumor markers in monitoring patients with ovarian cancer

Evaluation of follow-up strategies for women with epithelial ovarian cancer following completion of primary treatment

BACKGROUND

This is an update of a previous Cochrane Review, last updated in 2014. Ovarian cancer is the eighth most common cancer and seventh most common cause of death due to cancer in women worldwide. Traditionally, most women who have been treated for cancer undergo long-term follow-up in secondary care. However, it has been suggested that the use of routine review may not be effective in improving survival, or health-related quality of life (HRQOL), or relieving anxiety. In addition, traditional follow-up may not be cost-effective.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the potential effects of different strategies of follow-up in women with epithelial ovarian cancer, following completion of primary treatment.

SEARCH METHODS

For this update, we searched the Cochrane Gynaecological Cancer Group Trials Register, CENTRAL 2022, Issue 11, MEDLINE, and Embase from August 2013 to November 2022. We also searched review articles and contacted experts in the field.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that evaluated follow-up strategies for women with epithelial ovarian cancer following completion of primary treatment.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We followed standard Cochrane methodology. Two review authors independently selected potentially relevant trials, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias. They compared results, and resolved disagreements by discussion. We assessed the certainty of evidence, using the GRADE approach, for the outcomes of interest: overall survival (OS), health-related quality of life (HRQOL), psychological effects, and cost analysis.

MAIN RESULTS

For this update, we included one new RCT, including 112 women with ovarian, fallopian tube, or peritoneal cancer, who had completed primary treatment by surgery, with or without chemotherapy. This study reported the effect of individualised, i.e. individually tailored, nurse-led follow-up versus conventional medical follow-up on HRQOL, psychological outcomes, and cost-analysis. Individualised follow-up improved HRQOL in one of the two scales, with a decrease in mean difference (MD) in the QLQ-C30 discomfort scale following 12 months of individualised treatment compared to 12 months of conventional treatment (MD -5.76 points, 95% confidence interval (CI) -10.92 to -0.60; 1 study, 112 participants; low-certainty evidence; minimal important difference 4 to 10 points). There may be little or no difference in the other HRQOL scale (QLQ-Ov28, MD -0.97 points, 95% CI -2.57 to 0.63; 1 study, 112 participants: low-certainty evidence); psychological outcome, measured with the hospital anxiety and depression scale (HADS; MD 0.10 point, 95% CI -0.81 to 1.02; 1 study, 112 participants: low-certainty evidence), or cost analysis (MD -GBP 695.00, 95% CI -1467.23 to 77.23; 1 study, 112 participants: moderate-certainty evidence). Our previous review included one RCT, with 529 women in a confirmed remission, with normal CA125 concentration and no radiological evidence of disease, after surgery and first-line chemotherapy for ovarian cancer. This study evaluated immediate treatment of ovarian cancer relapse following a rise of serum CA125 levels versus delaying treatment until symptoms developed for OS, and HRQOL. There was little or no difference in OS between the immediate and delayed arms after a median follow-up of 56.9 months (unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.98, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.20; 1 study, 529 participants; moderate-certainty evidence). Time from randomisation to first deterioration in global health score or death was shorter in the immediate treatment group than in the delayed treatment group (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.88).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Limited evidence from one trial suggests that routine surveillance with CA125 in asymptomatic women and treatment at CA125-defined relapse does not seem to offer survival advantage when compared to treatment at symptomatic relapse. However, this study pre-dates the use of PARPi maintenance treatment and the increased use of secondary cytoreductive surgery, so the results may be limited in their applicability to current practice. Limited evidence from one trial suggests that individualised nurse-led follow-up may improve HRQOL in women with ovarian cancer following completion of primary treatment. Large RCTs are needed to compare different types of follow-up, looking at survival, HRQOL, psychological effects, and cost as outcomes.

Evaluation of follow-up strategies for patients with epithelial ovarian cancer following completion of primary treatment

BACKGROUND

Ovarian cancer is the sixth most common cancer and seventh commonest cause of death in women worldwide. Traditionally, many people who have been treated for cancer undergo long-term follow-up in secondary care. However, it has been suggested that the use of routine review may not be effective in improving survival, quality of life (QoL), or relieving anxiety, or both. In addition, traditional follow-up may not be cost-effective.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the potential benefits of different strategies of follow-up in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer following completion of primary treatment.

SEARCH METHODS

For this update we searched the Cochrane Gynaecological Cancer Group Trials Register, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) Issue 7, 2013, MEDLINE and EMBASE from November 2010 to July 2013. We also searched reference lists of review articles and contacted experts in the field.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All relevant randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that evaluated follow-up strategies for women with epithelial ovarian cancer following completion of primary treatment.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently abstracted data and assessed risk of bias.

MAIN RESULTS

The authors did not identify any new studies that were eligible for inclusion in this update of the review. The search for the original review identified only one RCT that met the inclusion criteria, which included 529 women. This study reported data on immediate treatment of ovarian cancer relapse following rise of serum CA125 levels versus delaying treatment until symptoms developed. All the women participating had previous confirmation of remission, with normal CA125 concentration and no radiological evidence of disease, after surgery and first-line chemotherapy for ovarian cancer.Overall survival between the immediate and delayed arms showed no difference after a median follow-up of 56.9 months (unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.98, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.80 to 1.20; P value 0.85). Time from randomisation to first deterioration in global health score or death was shorter in the immediate treatment group than in the delayed treatment group (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.88; P value < 0.01). The trial was at low risk of bias.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Limited evidence from a single trial suggests that routine surveillance with CA125 in asymptomatic patients and treatment at CA125 relapse does not seem to offer survival advantage when compared to treatment at symptomatic relapse. RCTs are needed to compare different types of follow-up, looking at survival, QoL, cost and psychological effects as outcomes.

Evaluation of follow-up strategies for patients with epithelial ovarian cancer following completion of primary treatment

BACKGROUND

Ovarian cancer is the sixth most common cancer and seventh cause of cancer death in women worldwide. Traditionally, many patients who have been treated for cancer undergo long-term follow up in secondary care. Recently however it has been suggested that the use of routine review may not be effective in improving survival, quality of life (QoL), and relieving anxiety. In addition, it may not be cost effective.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the potential benefits of different strategies of follow up in women with epithelial ovarian cancer following completion of primary treatment.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Gynaecological Cancer Group Trials Register, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (The Cochrane Library, 2010, Issue 4), MEDLINE and EMBASE (to November 2010). We also searched CINAHL, PsycLIT, registers of clinical trials, abstracts of scientific meetings, reference lists of review articles, and contacted experts in the field.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All relevant randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that evaluated follow-up strategies for patients with epithelial ovarian cancer following completion of primary treatment.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently abstracted data and assessed risk of bias.

MAIN RESULTS

We found only one RCT (Rustin 2010) that met our inclusion criteria. This trial included 529 women and reported data on immediate treatment versus delayed treatment in women with confirmation of remission and with normal CA125 concentration and no radiological evidence of disease after surgery and first-line chemotherapy.Overall survival showed no significant difference between the immediate and delayed arms after a median follow up of 56.9 months (unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 0·98, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0·80 to 1·20; P = 0·85). Time from randomisation to first deterioration in global health score or death was significantly shorter in the early group compared with the delayed group (HR 0·71, 95% CI 0·58 to 0·88; P < 0·01). The trial was at low risk of bias.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

There is a lack of randomised studies on most aspects of follow-up care after treatment for epithelial ovarian cancers. Limited evidence from a single trial suggests that routine surveillance with CA125 in asymptomatic patients, with treatment at CA125 relapse, does not seem to offer survival advantage when compared to treatment at symptomatic relapse. Randomised controlled trials are needed to compare different types of follow up on the outcomes of survival, quality of Life, cost and psychological effects.

Are multiple markers the future of prostate cancer diagnostics?

Prostate specific antigen (PSA) is the most successful and widely employed cancer serum marker in use today. There is growing evidence that the introduction of wide PSA screening and earlier detection can result in decreased cancer mortality associated with a decline in metastatic disease. PSA circulates in a number of distinct forms. Measurement of these in addition to total PSA significantly increases diagnostic utility. Diagnostic utility is likely to be further increased by adding kallikreins, cytokines, growth factors, receptors and cellular adhesion factors to the biomarker panel. The need for multiple markers reflects the multidimensional nature of prostate disease which ranges from metastatic cancer to indolent cancer to benign hyperplasia and inflammation, all of which require distinct treatments and medical interventions.

Tumour marker measurements in the diagnosis and monitoring of breast cancer

Elevation of established blood tumour markers correlates with the stage of breast cancer. The major role of current blood markers is therefore in the diagnosis and monitoring of metastatic disease. A combination of markers is better than a single marker with the most widely adopted combination being CEA and one MUC1 mucin, commonly detected as either CA15.3 or CA27.29. Tumour marker measurement is now used as a complementary test in the diagnosis of symptomatic metastases. In the monitoring of therapeutic response to both endocrine and cytotoxic therapies in advanced disease, biochemical assessment using blood markers not only correlates with conventional UICC criteria but has a lot of advantages which make it a potentially superior way of assessment. In this regard, CA15.3, CEA and ESR are the best validated combination. Studies are ongoing to evaluate the use of sequential blood tumour marker measurements in the follow-up of patients after treatment for their primary breast cancer, in terms of both early detection and early therapeutic intervention. Further randomized studies are also required to ascertain that marker-directed therapy is superior to the current practice for metastatic disease. In line with clinical studies, intensive laboratory work is being carried out to optimize the use of blood markers in advanced disease as well as to exploit their use in screening and diagnosis of early primary breast cancer.

Consolidation radiotherapy after carboplatin-based chemotherapy in radically operated advanced ovarian cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to evaluate the effect of additional radiotherapy after chemotherapy on the relapse-free and overall survival rates of patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

METHODS

Between 1985 and 1992 64 patients with radically operated ovarian cancers (4 stage IC, 2 stage II, 54 stage III, and 4 stage IV) were enrolled in a randomized study. Radical surgery comprised total abdominal hysterectomy and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy, omentectomy, and pelvic and paraaortic lymphadenectomy. All patients received adjuvant chemotherapy with carboplatin IV 400 mg/m2, epirubicin IV 70 mg/m2 on day 1 and prednimustine orally 100 mg/m2 on days 3 to 7 at 1-month intervals. Thirty-two patients without residual disease were randomized to whole abdominal radiation (30 Gy, administered over 4 weeks). An additional 21.6 Gy were delivered to the pelvis and 12 Gy to the paraaortic region up to the diaphragm for total doses of 51.6 and 42 Gy, respectively. Cancer-related survival was calculated with the Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards methods.

RESULTS

The relapse-free and overall survival rates of patients who received adjuvant chemoradiotherapy were significantly higher than those of patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy only (68% vs 56% at 2 years and 49% vs 26% at 5 years, P = 0.013, and 87% vs 61% at 2 years and 59% vs 33% at 5 years, P = 0.029). The differences were most pronounced in patients with stage III disease (77% vs 54% at 2 years and 45% vs 19% at 5 years, P = 0. 0061, and 88% vs 58% at 2 years and 59% vs 26% at 5 years, P = 0. 012). Toxicities were acceptable.

CONCLUSION

Sequential combination of platinum-based chemotherapy with open-field abdominal radiotherapy is a promising adjuvant regimen for patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

Estimation of probability of malignancy using a logistic model combining physical examination, ultrasound, serum CA 125, and serum CA 72-4 in postmenopausal women with a pelvic mass: an international multicenter study

BACKGROUND

To assess the differential diagnostic potential of physical examination, ultrasound, the serum CA 125 assay, and serum CA 72-4 assay, and the contribution of each parameter to a logistic model predicting the probability of malignancy in postmenopausal patients presenting with a pelvic mass.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In a multicenter, prospective study a total of 155 patients were evaluated preoperatively using a standard protocol for pelvic examination, transvaginal (occasionally additional abdominal) ultrasound, and serum CA 72-4 (cutoff level 3 U/ml) and CA 125 (cutoff level 35 U/ml).

RESULTS

Fifty-nine malignant (39%) and 92 benign (61%) pelvic tumors were found in addition to 4 borderline tumors (3%). Forty-three patients appeared to have ovarian carcinoma, FIGO Stage III or IV in 28 cases. Borderline tumors were excluded from the statistical calculations. The diagnostic accuracy of each single parameter, i.e., pelvic examination, ultrasound, and serum CA 125 and CA 72-4 in discriminating between benign and malignant pelvic masses gave highly similar results (81, 76, 78, and 81% respectively). Best sensitivity was found in pelvic examination (92%); best specificity was found in CA 72-4 (93%). Using logistic regression analysis the power of pelvic examination appeared to be the most relevant (adjusted odds ratio 12.1), followed by ultrasound (odds ratio 9.7), serum CA 125 (odds ratio 5.0), and serum CA 72-4 (odds ratio 4.9). Age appeared to be nonpredictive. The logistic model gives a correct prediction in 87% of all cases.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of serum CA 72-4 to the combination of pelvic examination, ultrasound, and serum CA 125 leads to an improved discrimination between malignant and benign pelvic masses.

Serum markers for monitoring of prostatic carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Serum TPS (tissue polypeptide-specific antigen) has been observed to be characteristic of carcinoma proliferation, and increased levels of TPS seem to be closely related to tumor progression. In this study we wanted to evaluate the importance of the tumor-marker TPS in the diagnosis and follow-up of patients with prostatic carcinoma, and to compare it with prostate-specific antigen (PSA).

METHODS

We considered 39 patients with clinically confined disease, who underwent neoadjuvant hormonal therapy and thereafter radical prostatectomy, and 45 patients who did not undergo surgery and underwent hormonal adjuvant therapy alone. PSA and TPS were measured at the time of diagnosis and at regular intervals in the follow-up; TPS was measured in a control group of patients as well.

RESULTS

We were able to observe that, in untreated patients, PSA correlates with clinical stage, increasing with increasing tumor stage; a similar correlation was not observed when considering TPS. After androgen ablation we observed a decrease in PSA, but the serum values of TPS remained higher, suggesting that activity still exists inside the tumor. The evaluation of TPS appeared to be of particular interest in the follow-up after radical prostatectomy, especially in patients undergoing hormonal therapy; in fact, we were able to observe that relapse of the disease can be suspected early by the increase of TPS in hormonally treated patients.

CONCLUSIONS

We assert that TPS can add useful information on the state of neoplastic illness, especially in patients following adjuvant androgen-suppressive hormonal therapy, after radical prostatectomy; serial measurements of this marker could be useful in the early diagnosis of a relapse.

Diagnostic value of pelvic examination, ultrasound, and serum CA 125 in postmenopausal women with a pelvic mass. An international multicenter study

BACKGROUND

In a prospective study, the differential diagnostic potential of pelvic examination, ultrasound, and serum CA 125 assay in postmenopausal patients presenting with a pelvic mass was assessed.

METHODS

A total of 228 patients were evaluated preoperatively in an international, multicenter, prospective study using a standard protocol for pelvic examination, transvaginal (occasionally additional abdominal) ultrasound, and serum CA 125 determination with a cut-off level of 35 U/ml.

RESULTS

Ninety-five malignant (41.7%) and 127 benign (55.7%) pelvic tumors were found in addition to 6 borderline ovarian tumors (2.6%) in the 228 patients. Seventy-two patients had ovarian carcinoma, 49 of whom were International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics Stage III or IV. Borderline tumors were excluded from the statistical calculations. The individual accuracy of pelvic examination, ultrasound, and serum CA 125 in discriminating between benign and malignant pelvic masses was approximately the same (76, 74, and 77%, respectively). Using logistic regression analysis, the power of pelvic examination appeared to be the most relevant factor (adjusted odds ratio, 9.2), followed by serum CA 125 (odds ratio, 5.6), and ultrasound (odds ratio, 4.9). Age appeared to be nonpredictive. No cancer was found in any patient in whom all three methods scored negative (n = 53; positive predictive value for malignancy = 0 and 95%; confidence interval, 0-7).

CONCLUSIONS

The combined use of pelvic examination, ultrasound, and serum CA 125 leads to improved discrimination between malignant and benign pelvic masses, because malignancy can be excluded when all three examination methods are negative. A change to a more patient-tailored surgical approach could be considered in those cases.

Enzymatic tumour markers in ovarian cancer: a multiparametric study

The serum concentration of some enzymes, namely placental alkaline phosphatase, lactate dehydrogenase, 5' nucleotidase and amylase, was determined by commercially available kit in 50 ovarian cancer patients and 31 patients with benign gynaecological disease before initiation of any treatment. The values were compared with those of 30 healthy women. Multivariate analysis showed a statistically significant difference between healthy women and ovarian cancer patients. These results indicate that by using discriminating function of the above four enzyme variables it is possible to screen ovarian cancer in outpatient obstetric and gynaecological clinics (sensitivity 96%, specificity 83.3%, relative risk 11.7). Hence this system can serve as a suitable marker for ovarian cancer.

Undernutrition as a risk factor for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: a case-control analysis

To evaluate the relationship between cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) and undernutrition, a pair-matched case-control study was conducted in a low-income urban population. As a broad measure of nutritional status, serum albumin, serum ferritin, hematocrit, percent desirable weight, and percent calories consumed as protein were examined. Cases (n = 102) had biopsy-confirmed CIN I, II, or III, and clinic controls (n = 102), matched on age, race, and clinic, had normal Pap smears. Survey-collected data and frozen serum were utilized to study the hypothesized association. Crude and adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated using conditional logistic regressions. Results suggest a protective role for serum ferritin for those in the highest quartile relative to those in the lowest quartile. Controlling for smoking and monthly personal income, an adjusted odds ratio of 0.2 with a corresponding 95% confidence interval of 0.1-0.7 was observed. Similar findings were noted when all other available CIN risk factors were controlled. In addition, a dose gradient was present for dietary iron intake (p = 0.01). No associations were observed between each of the other undernutrition indexes and CIN. Although only high levels of serum ferritin were associated with a protective effect against CIN, when coupled with the results from other studies that suggest carotenoids, folates, and vitamin C to be protective, the overall hypothesis that poor nutriture is associated with CIN remains viable. Lack of an association with the other nutritional indexes may reflect the relatively sufficient nutritional status of low-income individuals residing in the United States, as opposed to the undernourished population of the Third World.

An assessment of combined tumour markers in patients with seminoma: placental alkaline phosphatase (PLAP), lactate dehydrogenase (LD) and beta human chorionic gonadotrophin (beta HCG)

We have assessed the tumour markers placental alkaline phosphatase (PLAP), lactate dehydrogenase (LD), and human chorionic gonadotrophin (beta HCG) using 2,000 serum samples from 286 patients with seminoma. The ROC curves show that no one marker performs adequately for the detection of disease either at initial staging or during follow-up. We used a Markov model heuristically to devise strategies, in which marker results were assessed in combination, which might be useful in clinical practice. We found that the best strategy was to consider a test result abnormal only if either the beta HCG was greater than 6 Ul-1 or the LD was greater than 400 U l-1 and the PLAP level was greater than 60 U l-1. This will detect about 50% of patients with disease and the false-positive rate is 2%. In practical terms this means that PLAP need only be estimated in patients whose beta HCG is less than 6 IU l-1 and whose LD is greater than 400 U l-1.

Radiation therapy in stage III ovarian cancer following surgery and chemotherapy: prognostic factors, patterns of relapse, and toxicity: a preliminary report

Twenty patients with FIGO stage III epithelial ovarian cancer who had undergone maximum cytoreductive surgery (including pelvic and paraaortic lymph node dissection) and combination chemotherapy (4-10 cycles, median 6) were treated with irradiation to the abdomen and pelvis with 30 Gy followed by diaphragmatic/paraaortic and pelvis boost fields to 42 and 51.6 Gy, respectively. Second-look laparotomy was not performed. Seventeen of 20 patients completed the planned course of radiation. In 2 cases, failure to complete treatment was related to acute hematologic toxicity, and 1 patient refused further treatment. Five patients (29%) required treatment breaks ranging from 8 to 16 days (median, 12 days) due to pancytopenia. Actuarial overall survival and relapse-free survival at 3 years for the 17 patients who completed radiation was 69 and 47%, respectively, with follow-up ranging from 19 to 53 months (median: 24, mean: 27.6 months). Seven patients (41%) relapsed within the abdomen alone and 2 patients developed extraabdominal lymph node metastasis as their sole site of failure. The prognostic factors evaluated for correlation with relapse-free survival included histologic subtype, grade, amount of residual disease at the time of surgery, and nodal involvement; only residual tumor at surgery (none vs less than or equal to 2 cm or greater than 2 cm) was found to be statistically significant (P less than 0.01). Three-year overall survival correlated with amount of residual disease following the initial cytoreductive surgery. It was 100% for patients with no residual disease, 66.7% for less than or equal to 2 cm, and 26.7% for those with greater than 2 cm residual disease, respectively. Radiation treatment was well tolerated, with only one patient developing treatment-related bowel obstruction 7 months after radiation therapy. The results of this planned trimodality treatment approach compare favorably with those reported following surgery and chemotherapy, particularly in patients who have been maximally cytoreduced.

Comparison of three tumor markers--CA-125, lipid-associated sialic acid (LSA), and NB/70K--in monitoring ovarian cancer

The monitoring value of three tumor markers--CA-125, lipid-associated sialic acid (LSA), and NB/70K--alone and in combination has been studied in 152 patients with invasive, epithelial ovarian cancer. The sensitivity and specificity of CA-125 (90 and 92%, respectively) were superior to those of LSA (79 and 63%, respectively) and NB/70K (76 and 74%, respectively). CA-125 by itself showed equal or higher sensitivity as well as higher specificity than in combinations with either LSA or NB/70K. CA-125 predicted cancer at second-look in 87% of cases as did LSA and NB/70K in 70 and 57%, respectively. In patients with negative second-look, CA-125 predicted the disease status in 93% as did LSA and NB/70K in 54 and 63%, respectively. On the basis of these data, the value of simultaneous determination of LSA and NB/70K, in addition to the clinically established CA-125, seems to be limited. This is due mainly to the lack of specificity of LSA and NB/70K. However, the sensitivity and specificity of CA-125 in this study were in the upper reported range.

Diagnostic value of mucin-like carcinoma-associated antigen (MCA) in breast cancer

The diagnostic value of mucin-like carcinoma-associated antigen (MCA) was compared to that of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and/or CA 15.3 in patients with breast cancer. A total of 368 patients with breast cancer were studied, of whom 253 were free of metastases, whereas 94 had either skeletal or visceral metastases or diffuse metastatic disease. The diagnostic sensitivity of MCA proved to be comparable to that of CA 15.3 and superior to that of CEA in patients with metastatic breast cancer. In contrast, the specificity of MCA was superior to that of CA 15.3. Finally, the diagnostic sensitivity of each of the tested tumour markers, i.e. MCA, CEA and CA 15.3, could be improved by their combined use. We conclude that MCA, either alone or in combination with CA 15.3 and CEA, can improve the monitoring of disease progression in patients with metastatic breast cancer.

A tumour-marker combination versus second-look surgery in ovarian cancer. I. Clinical experience

Tumour markers are substances that occur at elevated blood levels in patients with certain tumours. When their specificity and sensitivity are known, markers can be used to monitor cancer patients. No single marker is specific and sensitive for a certain tumour, so that a combination of tumour markers is used. The efficacy of CA125, ferritin, TPA and CEA was demonstrated in 162 patients with ovarian cancer. With the same combination, we found a statistically significant correlation (91.7%) between the clinical course of the disease and the marker profile in 60 further patients. Tumour markers can also help make a prognosis. In 34 patients the marker profile accurately predicted the findings at second-look surgery. Thus, biochemical monitoring may supplant the second-look procedure. Sixty-eight patients were followed for a mean of 2.7 years after completion of chemotherapy. In 95.6% of these cases the tumour-marker analysis correlated with the clinical and radiological course. This means that the end of chemotherapy depends on biochemical monitoring, and second-line therapy can be initiated sooner.

A tumour-marker combination versus second-look surgery in ovarian cancer. II. Mathematical model

Long-term measurement of a combination of tumour markers, evaluated by discriminant analysis, is shown to be a highly effective prognostic tool in monitoring ovarian cancer. We present methods for the necessary calculations, and state results on error bounds.

The role of tumor markers in the early detection of cancer

Tumor markers include a broad range of substances expressed at different levels and in different biochemical forms. Bence-Jones protein, carcino-embryonic antigen and alpha-fetoprotein are recognized as some of the earlier utilized markers. Recent technologic advances have led to the development of a variety of serum tumor markers, tumor markers in body fluids, tissue tumor markers, and genetic tumor markers, such as protooncogenes.