Association Between Change in Body Mass Index and Knee and Hip Replacements: A Survival Analysis of Seven to Ten Years Using Multicohort Data

Developing a Novel Surgical Care Access Score for Patients With Osteoarthritis Considering Total Knee Replacement

OBJECTIVE

Access to specialized orthopedic care is an important determinant of the decision to undergo total knee replacement (TKR); however, most studies have mainly used distance to the nearest high-volume hospital as the primary proxy for access. We applied the two-step floating catchment area (2SFCA) method to develop a more comprehensive TKR access score that accounts for other potential factors (ie, supply of and demand for this procedure) that also affect access.

METHODS

To apply the 2SFCA method, we first estimated TKR demand using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates of prevalence of osteoarthritis, which were multiplied by estimates of patients who would potentially benefit from TKR. We then estimated TKR supply using the number of TKRs performed in each hospital, extracted from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Medicare Provider Analysis and Review database. For the nationwide analysis, we estimated the access score for a radius of 55 km around each census tract in the contiguous United States. For a subset of the census tracts, we employed a more realistic but more computationally intensive 42-minute driving distance to determine the robustness of the 55-km assumption and calculated the Spearman rank correlation between the two access scores.

RESULTS

Across the United States, the access score was categorized as low for 51%, medium for 24%, and high for 25% of census tracts. The Spearman correlation coefficient between these national scores and those with a 42-minute driving time was 0.75.

CONCLUSION

We developed a novel TKR care access score that may enhance quality measures available to patients, providers, payers, and researchers.

Influencing factors on the quality of recovery after total knee arthroplasty: development of a predictive model

Introduction

Total Knee Arthroplasty (TKA) is a widely performed procedure that significantly benefits patients with severe knee degeneration. However, the recovery outcomes post-surgery can vary significantly among patients. Identifying the factors influencing these outcomes is crucial for improving patient care and satisfaction.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we analyzed 362 TKA cases performed between January 1, 2018, and July 1, 2022. Multivariate logistic regression was employed to identify key predictors of recovery within the first year after surgery.

Results

The analysis revealed that Body Mass Index (BMI), age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (aCCI), sleep quality, Bone Mineral Density (BMD), and analgesic efficacy were significant predictors of poor recovery (p < 0.05). These predictors were used to develop a clinical prediction model, which demonstrated strong predictive ability with an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUC) curve of 0.802. The model was internally validated.

Discussion

The findings suggest that personalized postoperative care and tailored rehabilitation programs based on these predictors could enhance recovery outcomes and increase patient satisfaction following TKA.

Relationship between systemic immune-inflammation index and osteoarthritis: a cross-sectional study from the NHANES 2005-2018

Objective

The study aimed to explore the relationship between systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) levels and osteoarthritis (OA) using cross-sectional data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database from 2005 to 2018.

Methods

Using cross-sectional data from the NHANES database from 2005 to 2018, we included 11,381 study participants divided into OA (n = 1,437) and non-OA (n = 9,944) groups. Weighted multivariable regression models and subgroup analyses were employed to investigate the relationship between SIRI and OA. Additionally, restricted cubic spline models were used to explore nonlinear relationships.

Results

This study enrolled 11,381 participants aged ≥20 years, including 1,437 (14%) with OA. Weighted multivariable regression analysis in the fully adjusted Model 3 indicated a correlation between higher levels of SIRI (log2-transformed) and an increased OA risk (odds ratio: 1.150; 95% confidence interval: 1.000-1.323, p < 0.05). Interaction tests showed that the variables did not significantly affect this correlation (p for interaction all >0.05). Additionally, a restricted cubic spline model revealed a nonlinear relationship between log2(SIRI) and OA risk, with a threshold effect showing 4.757 as the critical value of SIRI. SIRI <4.757 showed almost unchanged OA risk, whereas SIRI >4.757 showed rapidly increasing OA risk.

Conclusion

The positive correlation between SIRI and OA risk, with a critical value of 4.757, holds clinical value in practical applications. Additionally, our study indicates that SIRI is a novel, clinically valuable, and convenient inflammatory biomarker that can be used to predict OA risk in adults.

Association of Weight Loss and Weight Gain With Structural Defects and Pain in Hand Osteoarthritis: Data From the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to define the association of weight change (weight loss or weight gain) with the incidence and progression of hand osteoarthritis (OA), assessed either by radiography or by pain, using data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

METHODS

Among the 4,796 participants, we selected 4,598 participants, excluding those with cancer or rheumatoid arthritis or a body mass index under 18.5 kg/m2. We investigated the association of weight change with incidence and progression of radiographic hand OA and the development and resolution of hand pain. Using multivariable logistic regression, we investigated the association of weight change from baseline to the 4-year follow-up with the incidence and progression of radiographic hand OA at the 4-year follow-up. Additionally, multivariable repeated-measure mixed-effects logistic regression analyzed the association of weight change with the development and resolution of hand pain across 2-year, 4-year, 6-year, and 8-year follow-ups.

RESULTS

No statistically significant associations were observed between weight change and the investigated outcomes. Specifically, for each 5% weight loss, the odds ratios for the incidence and progression of radiographic hand OA were 0.90 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.67-1.23) and 0.92 (95% CI 0.84-1.00), respectively. Similarly, for each 5% weight loss, the odds ratios for the development and resolution of hand pain at the 8-year follow-up were 1.00 (95% CI 0.92-1.09) and 1.07 (95% CI 0.91-1.25), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our study found no evidence of an association between weight change and the odds of incidence or progression of radiographic hand OA over 4 years, nor the development or resolution of hand pain over 8 years.

Global burden of osteoarthritis in adults aged 30 to 44 years, 1990 to 2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Osteoarthritis (OA) is a common orthopedic disorder, and its incidence has been increasing among young adults in recent years. The purpose of this study is to investigate the global, regional, and national trends in OA burden and variation among individuals aged 30 to 44 from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

Data on the incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) related to OA were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 among individuals aged 30 to 44. These measures were stratified by gender, region, country, and socio-demographic index (SDI). Additionally, we analyzed YLDs attributable to risk factors.

RESULTS

In 2019, there were a total of 32,971,701 cases of OA among individuals aged 30 to 44 years worldwide, with an additional 7,794,008 new incident cases reported. OA of the knee was the primary contributor to both incidence and prevalence rates over the past three decades. From 1990 to 2019, both males and females in countries with high SDI and high-middle SDI showed upward trends in age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and YLDs rates. In 2019, the United States of America had the highest age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and YLDs rates. Elevated body-mass index (BMI) was found to be the most prevalent risk factor for osteoarthritis-related YLDs. Age-standardized YLDs rates were positively associated with SDI.

CONCLUSIONS

OA remains a significant disease burden on individuals aged 30 to 44, with modifiable risk factors such as unhealthy lifestyle and obesity representing key targets for future interventions aimed at reducing the impact of this condition on younger generations.

Investigation of the Associations of Smoking With Hip Osteoarthritis: A Baseline Cross-Sectional and Four- to Five-Year Longitudinal Multicohort Study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the effect of smoking on the prevalence, incidence, and progression of hip osteoarthritis (OA). We used data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) and the Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee (CHECK) studies.

METHODS

We analyzed 9,386 hips from 4,716 participants (OAI cohort) and 1,954 hips from 977 participants (CHECK cohort). The primary exposure was smoking status at baseline, categorized as current, former, or never smoker. Outcomes of radiographic hip OA (RHOA) and symptomatic hip OA were evaluated both cross-sectionally at baseline and longitudinally over a 4- to 5-year follow-up, with adjustments for major covariates.

RESULTS

No significant differences were observed between current or former smokers and never smokers for any of the outcomes examined, either at baseline or at the 4- to 5-year follow-up. In the cross-sectional analysis, the odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals for the prevalence of RHOA for current and former smokers were 1.29 (0.68-2.46) and 0.99 (0.70-1.40) in the OAI cohort and 1.38 (0.78-2.44) and 0.85 (0.54-1.32) in the CHECK cohort, respectively. In the longitudinal analysis, odds ratio with 95% confidence intervals for the incidence of RHOA were 1.03 (0.23-4.50) and 0.92 (0.46-1.85) in the OAI cohort and 0.61 (0.34-1.11) and 1.00 (0.69-1.44) in the CHECK cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our study found no clear association between smoking and the prevalence, incidence, or progression of RHOA or symptomatic hip OA, either at baseline or over a 4- to 5-year period.

Osteoarthritis year in review 2023: Epidemiology & therapy

OBJECTIVE

To highlight some important findings from osteoarthritis (OA) epidemiology and therapy research undertaken over the past year.

METHODS

Search of MEDLINE and EMBASE databases between April 1, 2022 to March 3, 2023 using "exp *Osteoarthritis/" as the preliminary search term. The search was limited to articles published in English and including human subjects. Final inclusions were based on perceived importance and results that may inform improved identification of risk factors or OA treatments, as well as OA subgroups of potential relevance to risk factors or treatment approaches.

RESULTS

3182 studies were screened, leaving 208 eligible for inclusion. This narrative review of thirty-three selected studies was arranged into: a) OA predictors - population-based studies, b) Specific predictors of OA and OA outcome; c) Intra-articular injections, and d) OA phenotypes. There was some suggestion of sex differences in predictors of incidence or outcomes. Body mass index changes appear largely to affect knee OA outcomes. Evidence points to a lack of benefit of viscosupplementation in knee OA; findings were variable for other injectables. Studies of OA phenotypes reveal potentially relevant clinical and pathophysiological differences.

CONCLUSIONS

Identifying risk factors for the incidence/progression of OA represents an ongoing and important area of OA research. Sex may play a role in this understanding and bears consideration and further study. For knee injectables other than viscosupplementation, additional high-quality trials appear warranted. Continued investigation and application of phenotyping across the OA disease, illness and care spectrum may be key to developing disease-modifying agents and their appropriate selection for individuals.

Evaluation of a measure of end-stage knee osteoarthritis compared to total knee replacement: An observational study using multicohort data

OBJECTIVES

To determine if an end-stage knee osteoarthritis (esKOA) measure, based on symptomatic and radiographic criteria, can indicate progression to severe KOA earlier and with fewer research participants than total knee replacement (TKR). We employed both interventional and observational study designs as examples to estimate the required sample sizes. EsKOA in a knee was declared if either of the following two conditions were met: 1) moderate, intense, or severe symptoms of KOA indicated by pain and disability measurement and severe KOA indicated by radiographically-assessed knee structure; 2) intense or severe symptoms of KOA indicated by pain and disability measurement and frequent knee pain with mild or moderate KOA as indicated by radiographically-assessed knee structure.

METHODS

We examined the association between weight loss from baseline to 2-to-2.5-year and 4-to-5-year follow-ups and the odds of esKOA and TKR in 5,593 participants (10,357 knees) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) and the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST). We also estimated the sample sizes needed for interventional and observational study designs to detect a 10, 20, or 50% reduction in the incidence of esKOA and TKR.

RESULTS

The association of weight loss with both esKOA and TKR was detected at the 4-to-5-year follow-up. However, at the 2-to-2.5-year follow-up, the association was detected for esKOA but not TKR. The required sample sizes for detecting associations of weight loss with the incidence of esKOA were 85% to 93% smaller than those for TKR at the 4-to-5-year and 2-to-2.5-year follow-ups, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The esKOA measure enables shorter and smaller studies compared to using TKR as an outcome.

Association of Change in Body Mass Index With Incidence and Progression of the Structural Defects of Hip Osteoarthritis: Data From the Osteoarthritis Initiative and the Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee study

OBJECTIVE

To define the association between change in body mass index (BMI) and the incidence and progression of structural defects of hip osteoarthritis as assessed by radiography.

METHODS

We used data from 2 independent cohort studies: the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) and the Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee (CHECK) study. Our exposure was change in BMI from baseline to 4-5 years' follow-up. Our outcomes were the incidence and progression of structural defects of hip osteoarthritis as assessed using a modified Croft grade in OAI and the Kellgren/Lawrence grade in the CHECK study. To study incidence, we created incidence cohorts of hips without definite overall structural defects at baseline (i.e., grade <2) and then investigated the odds of hips having definite overall structural defects at follow-up (i.e., grade ≥2). To study progression, we created progression cohorts of hips with definite overall structural defects at baseline (i.e., grade ≥2) and then investigated the odds of having a grade increase of ≥1 from baseline to follow-up.

RESULTS

There was a total of 5,896 and 1,377 hips in the incidence cohorts, and 303 and 129 hips in the progression cohorts for the OAI and CHECK study, respectively. Change in BMI (decrease or increase) was not associated with any change in odds of the incidence or progression of definite structural defects of hip osteoarthritis in either the OAI or CHECK cohorts.

CONCLUSION

Weight loss may not be an effective strategy for preventing, slowing, or delaying the structural defects of hip osteoarthritis over 4-5 years.