IGH translocations in chronic lymphocytic leukemia: Clinicopathologic features and clinical outcomes

Two recurrent types of IGH::5' BCL2 breakpoints representing cytogenetic ins(14;18)(q32;q21q21) and t(14;18)(q32;q21), mediated by the VDJ and class switch recombination processes, respectively

We describe two types of IGH::BCL2 breakpoints involving the 5' region of BCL2 (5' BCL2). One was ins(14;18)(q32;q21q21) observed in 2 follicular lymphoma (FL) cases, in which IGH was cleaved at 3' of IGHD and 5' of IGHJ and BCL2 was cleaved at 5' BCL2 and downstream regions, and a 281- or 201-kilobase pair fragment containing the BCL2 protein-coding sequences was invertedly inserted into IGH. In another type observed in 2 FL and 2 chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) cases, breakage and reunion occurred within the switch region associated with IGHM (Sµ) and 5' BCL2, creating IGH Sµ::5' BCL2 fusion sequences on der(18)t(14;18)(q32;q21). The former is considered to be mediated by VDJ-recombination, while the latter by the class switch recombination process. There were no particular features in FL or CLL cases with IGH::5' BCL2 breakpoints compared with those with t(14;18)(q32;q21)/IGH::BCL2 involving the 3' breakpoint cluster regions.

BCL3 rearrangements in B-cell lymphoid neoplasms occur in two breakpoint clusters associated with different diseases

The t(14;19)(q32;q13) often juxtaposes BCL3 with immunoglobulin heavy chain (IGH) resulting in overexpression of the gene. In contrast to other oncogenic translocations, BCL3 rearrangement (BCL3-R) has been associated with a broad spectrum of lymphoid neoplasms. Here we report an integrative whole-genome sequence, transcriptomic, and DNA methylation analysis of 13 lymphoid neoplasms with BCL3-R. The resolution of the breakpoints at single base-pair revealed that they occur in two clusters at 5' (n=9) and 3' (n=4) regions of BCL3 associated with two different biological and clinical entities. Both breakpoints were mediated by aberrant class switch recombination of the IGH locus. However, the 5' breakpoints (upstream) juxtaposed BCL3 next to an IGH enhancer leading to overexpression of the gene whereas the 3' breakpoints (downstream) positioned BCL3 outside the influence of the IGH and were not associated with its expression. Upstream BCL3-R tumors had unmutated IGHV, trisomy 12, and mutated genes frequently seen in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) but had an atypical CLL morphology, immunophenotype, DNA methylome, and expression profile that differ from conventional CLL. In contrast, downstream BCL3-R neoplasms were atypical splenic or nodal marginal zone lymphomas (MZL) with mutated IGHV, complex karyotypes and mutated genes typical of MZL. Two of the latter four tumors transformed to a large B-cell lymphoma. We designed a novel fluorescence in situ hybridization assay that recognizes the two different breakpoints and validated these findings in 17 independent tumors. Overall, upstream or downstream breakpoints of BCL3-R are mainly associated with two subtypes of lymphoid neoplasms with different (epi)genomic, expression, and clinicopathological features resembling atypical CLL and MZL, respectively.

Diverse B-cell tumors associated with t(14;19)(q32;q13)/IGH::BCL3 identified by G-banding and fluorescence in situ hybridization

We characterized 5 B-cell tumors carrying t(14;19)(q32;q13) that creates the IGH::BCL3 fusion gene. The patients' ages ranged between 55 and 88 years. Two patients presented with progression or recurrence of B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (B-CLL)/small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL), two with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) of non-germinal center B-like phenotype, and the remaining one with composite angioimmunoblastic T-cell lymphoma and Epstein-Barr virus-positive DLBCL. The presence of t(14;19)(q32;q13) was confirmed by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH), showing colocalization of 3' IGH and 3' BCL3 probes on der(14)t(14;19) and 5' BCL3 and 5' IGH probes on der(19)t(14;19). One B-CLL case had t(2;14)(p13;q32)/IGH::BCL11A, and 2 DLBCL cases had t(8;14)(q24;q32) or t(8;11;14)(q24;q11;q32), both of which generated IGH::MYC by FISH, and showed nuclear expression of MYC and BCL3 by immunohistochemistry. The IGH::BCL3 fusion gene was amplified by long-distance polymerase chain reaction in 2 B-CLL/SLL cases and the breakpoints occurred immediately 5' of BCL3 exon 1 and within the switch region associated with IGHA1. The 5 cases shared IGHV preferentially used in B-CLL cells, but the genes were unmutated in 2 B-CLL/SLL cases and significantly mutated in the remaining 3. B-cell tumors with t(14;19)(q32;q13) can be divided into B-CLL/SLL and DLBCL groups, and the anatomy of IGH::BCL3 in the latter may be different from that of the former.

[Clinical characteristics of 11 patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia with t (14;19) (q32;q13)]

Objective: To analyze the clinicopathological characteristics of 11 cases of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) with t (14;19) (q32;q13) . Methods: The case data of 11 patients with CLL with t (14;19) (q32;q13) in the chromosome karyotype analysis results of the Blood Diseases Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from January 1, 2018, to July 30, 2022, were retrospectively analyzed. Results: In all 11 patients, t (14;19) (q32;q13) involved IGH::BCL3 gene rearrangement, and most of them were accompanied by +12 or complex karyotype. An immunophenotypic score of 4-5 was found in 7 patients and 3 in 4 cases. We demonstrated that CLLs with t (14;19) (q32;q13) had a mutational pattern with recurrent mutations in NOTCH1 (3/7), FBXW7 (3/7), and KMT2D (2/7). The very-high-risk, high-risk, intermediate-risk, and low-risk groups consisted of 1, 1, 6, and 3 cases, respectively. Two patients died, 8 survived, and 2 were lost in follow-up. Four patients had disease progression or relapse during treatment. The median time to the first therapy was 1 month. Conclusion: t (14;19) (q32;q13), involving IGH::BCL3 gene rearrangement, is a rare recurrent cytogenetic abnormality in CLL, which is associated with a poor prognosis.

Optical Genome Mapping as an Alternative to FISH-Based Cytogenetic Assessment in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia

The fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) technique plays an important role in the risk stratification and clinical management of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). For genome-wide analysis, FISH needs to be complemented with other cytogenetic methods, including karyotyping and/or chromosomal microarrays. However, this is often not feasible in a diagnostic setup. Optical genome mapping (OGM) is a novel technique for high-resolution genome-wide detection of structural variants (SVs), and previous studies have indicated that OGM could serve as a generic cytogenetic tool for hematological malignancies. Herein, we report the results from our study evaluating the concordance of OGM and standard-of-care FISH in 18 CLL samples. The results were fully concordant between these two techniques in the blinded comparison. Using in silico dilution series, the lowest limit of detection with OGM was determined to range between 3 and 9% variant allele fractions. Genome-wide analysis by OGM revealed additional (>1 Mb) aberrations in 78% of the samples, including both unbalanced and balanced SVs. Importantly, OGM also enabled the detection of clinically relevant complex karyotypes, undetectable by FISH, in three samples. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of OGM as a first-tier cytogenetic test for CLL and as a powerful tool for genome-wide SV analysis.

TRAF3 alterations are frequent in del-3'IGH chronic lymphocytic leukemia patients and define a specific subgroup with adverse clinical features

Interstitial 14q32 deletions involving IGH gene are infrequent events in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), affecting less than 5% of patients. To date, little is known about their clinical impact and molecular underpinnings, and its mutational landscape is currently unknown. In this work, a total of 871 CLLs were tested for the IGH break-apart probe, and 54 (6.2%) had a 300 kb deletion of 3'IGH (del-3'IGH CLLs), which contributed to a shorter time to first treatment (TFT). The mutational analysis by next-generation sequencing of 317 untreated CLLs (54 del-3'IGH and 263 as the control group) showed high mutational frequencies of NOTCH1 (30%), ATM (20%), genes involved in the RAS signaling pathway (BRAF, KRAS, NRAS, and MAP2K1) (15%), and TRAF3 (13%) within del-3'IGH CLLs. Notably, the incidence of TRAF3 mutations was significantly higher in del-3'IGH CLLs than in the control group (p < .001). Copy number analysis also revealed that TRAF3 loss was highly enriched in CLLs with 14q deletion (p < .001), indicating a complete biallelic inactivation of this gene through deletion and mutation. Interestingly, the presence of mutations in the aforementioned genes negatively refined the prognosis of del-3'IGH CLLs in terms of overall survival (NOTCH1, ATM, and RAS signaling pathway genes) and TFT (TRAF3). Furthermore, TRAF3 biallelic inactivation constituted an independent risk factor for TFT in the entire CLL cohort. Altogether, our work demonstrates the distinct genetic landscape of del-3'IGH CLL with multiple molecular pathways affected, characterized by a TRAF3 biallelic inactivation that contributes to a marked poor outcome in this subgroup of patients.

IGH Translocations in Chinese Patients With Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia: Clinicopathologic Characteristics and Genetic Profile

Immunoglobulin heavy chain translocations (IGH-t) have occasionally been reported in Chinese patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). The objective of the present study was to identify the clinicopathologic features of patients with IGH-t CLL and compare them with those of patients with non-IGH-t CLL. We performed fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) based on a routine CLL prognostic FISH panel using IGH, IGH-BCL2, BCL3, IGH-CMYC, and BCL6 FISH probes. Furthermore, we retrospectively evaluated the clinical features of 138 newly diagnosed CLL patients via chromosome banding analysis (CBA), FISH, and targeted next-generation sequencing. IGH-t was identified in 25 patients (18.1%). Patients with IGH-t CLL had lower flow scores than those with non-IGH-t CLL. The most frequent translocation was t(14;18) (10 patients), followed by t(14;19) (3 patients), and t(2;14)(p13;q32), t(7;14)(q21.2;q12), t(9;14)(p13;q32) (3 patients). The remaining nine patients included three with abnormal karyotypes without translocation involving 14q32, four with a normal karyotype, and two who failed CBA. The most frequently concomitant FISH-detected aberrations were 13q deletion, followed by +12 and TP53 deletion, while one case involved ATM deletion. Complex karyotypes were detected in five patients with IGH-t CLL, in whom all partner genes were non-BCL2. Available mutational information indicated that KMT2D mutation was the most frequent mutation among tested 70 patients, while TP53 mutation was the most frequent mutation in the IGH-t group. Moreover, the IGH-t group had higher FBXW7 (P=0.014) and ATM (P=0.004) mutations than the non-IGH-t group, and this difference was statistically significant. Our study demonstrates that IGH-t is not uncommon among Chinese CLL patients, and that its partner genes are multiple. The gene mutational profile of the IGH-t group was distinct from that of the non-IGH-t group, and the concomitant chromosomal abnormalities within the IGH-t CLL group differed. Thus, identification of IGH-t and its partner genes in CLL patients may help further refine risk stratification and strengthen the accurate management in CLL patients.

The mitochondrial anti-apoptotic dependencies of hematologic malignancies: from disease biology to advances in precision medicine

Mitochondria are critical organelles in the regulation of intrinsic apoptosis. As a general feature of blood cancers, different antiapoptotic members of the BCL-2 protein family localize at the outer mitochondrial membrane to sequester variable amounts of proapoptotic activators, and hence protect cancer cells from death induction. However, the impact of distinct anti-apoptotic members on apoptosis prevention, a concept termed anti-apoptotic dependence, differs remarkably across disease entities. Over the last two decades, several genetic and functional methodologies have been established to uncover the anti-apoptotic dependencies of the majority of blood cancers, inspiring the development of a new class of small molecules called BH3 mimetics. In this review, we highlight the rationale of targeting mitochondrial apoptosis in hematology, and provide a comprehensive map of the anti-apoptotic dependencies that are currently guiding novel therapeutic strategies. Cell-extrinsic and -intrinsic mechanisms conferring resistance to BH3 mimetics are also examined, with insights on potential strategies to overcome them. Finally, we discuss how the field of mitochondrial apoptosis might be complemented with other dimensions of precision medicine for more successful treatment of 'highly complex' hematologic malignancies.

Recurrent Chromosomal Abnormalities in Tissues Involved by Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia/Small Lymphocytic Lymphoma

OBJECTIVES

Prognostically relevant chromosomal abnormalities in chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma (CLL/SLL) are routinely identified by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) on peripheral blood or bone marrow specimens. We studied the prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities on extramedullary tissues involved by CLL/SLL and evaluated their association with prominent proliferation centers (PPCs).

METHODS

FISH for recurrent abnormalities in CLL/SLL was performed on formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded biopsy sections. PPCs were identified on H&E-stained sections. Available FISH results on peripheral blood or bone marrow specimens were also reviewed.

RESULTS

Recurrent FISH abnormalities were detected in 69% of 320 CLL/SLL biopsy specimens studied, including +12 (35%), 13q- (24%), 11q- (15%), 17p- (6%), 6q- (2%), and IGH/BCL2 (0.9%). Forty-three patients had abnormal blood or bone marrow FISH analyses, of whom 7 (16%) had discordant +12 and/or 13q-, and 3 (7%) had discordant 17p- or 11q-. Morphology was positive (17%), negative (78%), or equivocal (6%) for PPCs on 247 evaluable biopsy specimens, a finding not significantly associated with FISH results (P = .7).

CONCLUSIONS

Trisomy 12 is overrepresented in tumoral CLL/SLL involvement, compared with the known predominance of 13q- in blood. Discrepancies between leukemic and tissue FISH findings are occasionally encountered. FISH results do not correlate with the presence of PPCs.

The CLL International Prognostic Index predicts outcomes in monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis and Rai 0 CLL

The utility of the chronic lymphocytic leukemia-international prognostic index (CLL-IPI) in predicting outcomes of individuals with Rai 0 stage CLL and monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL) is unclear. We identified 969 individuals (415 MBL and 554 Rai 0 CLL; median age, 64 years; 65% men) seen at Mayo Clinic between 1 January 2001 and 1 October 2018, and ascertained time to first therapy (TTFT) and overall survival (OS). After a median follow up of 7 years, the risk of disease progression needing therapy was 2.9%/y for MBL (median, not reached) and 5%/y for Rai 0 CLL (median, 10.4 years). Among patients with low, intermediate, and high/very high-risk CLL-IPI risk groups, the estimated 5-year risk of TTFT was 13.5%, 30%, and 58%, respectively, P< .0001 (c-statistic = 0.69); and the estimated 5-year OS was 96.3%, 91.5%, and 76%, respectively, P< .0001 (c-statistic = 0.65). In a multivariable analysis of absolute B-cell count with individual factors of the CLL-IPI, the absolute B-cell count was associated with shorter TTFT (hazard ratio [HR] for each 10 × 109/L increase: 1.31; P< .0001) and shorter OS (HR: 1.1; P = .02). The OS of the entire cohort was similar to that of the age- and sex-matched general population of Minnesota (P = .17), although Rai 0 CLL patients with high and very high-risk CLL-IPI score had significantly shorter OS (P= .01 and P= .0001, respectively). The results of this study demonstrate the ability of CLL-IPI to predict time from diagnosis to first treatment (an end point not affected by therapy) in a large cohort of patients whose only manifestation of disease is a circulating clonal lymphocyte population.

[Chronic lymphocytic leukemia with t (14;18) (q32;q21) : report of eight cases and a literature review]

Objective: The study aimed to analyze the clinical features and prognosis of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) with t (14;18) (q32;q21) and conduct a literature review. Methods: The clinical data of 8 patients with CLL carrying t (14;18) (q32;q21) seen in Jiangsu Province Hospital from November 2009 to November 2019 were collected and analyzed. Results: Among the 8 cases, 7 were male and 1 was female. The median age at diagnosis was 70 years old. The immunophenotype score was 5 in 3 patients. 4 patients were scored 4 and the remaining one scored 3. The bone marrow histopathology showed the typical manifestation of CLL. Karyotype analysis showed that all the cases carried t (14;18) (q32;q21) in the stemline. The t (14;18) (q32;q21) showed as the sole abnormality in 3 cases, with +12 in 4, and with 13q- in 1 case. 13q- was found in another 3 patients by FISH. Immunoglobulin heavy chain gene (IGHV) mutation status was detected in 6 cases and all of them were mutated. None of them used IGHV3-21. Only 1 case harbored TP53 mutation and no TP53, SF3B1, NOTCH1, or MYD88 mutations were found in the remaining cases who underwent the relevant tests. At a median follow-up of 30.9 months, 1 case died. The remaining 7 cases survived and 3 of them have not reached the treatment indication. 4 patients who received chemotherapy or immunotherapy were stable. Conclusions: The t (14;18) (q32;q21) is rare in CLL and often accompanied by +12 and mutated IGHV. CLL with t (14; 18) (q32; q21) tends to have a good prognosis.

Identification of novel, clonally stable, somatic mutations targeting transcription factors PAX5 and NKX2-3, the epigenetic regulator LRIF1, and BRAF in a case of atypical B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia harboring a t(14;18)(q32;q21)

Diagnosis of B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (B-CLL) is usually straightforward, involving clinical, immunophenotypic (Matutes score), and (immuno)genetic analyses (to refine patient prognosis for treatment). CLL cases with atypical presentation (e.g., Matutes ≤ 3) are also encountered, and for these diseases, biology and prognostic impact are less clear. Here we report the genomic characterization of a case of atypical B-CLL in a 70-yr-old male patient; B-CLL cells showed a Matutes score of 3, chromosomal translocation t(14;18)(q32;q21) (BCL2/IGH), mutated IGHV, deletion 17p, and mutations in BCL2, NOTCH1 (subclonal), and TP53 (subclonal). Quite strikingly, a novel PAX5 mutation that was predicted to be loss of function was also seen. Exome sequencing identified, in addition, a potentially actionable BRAF mutation, together with novel somatic mutations affecting the homeobox transcription factor NKX2-3, known to control B-lymphocyte development and homing, and the epigenetic regulator LRIF1, which is implicated in chromatin compaction and gene silencing. Neither NKX2-3 nor LRIF1 mutations, predicted to be loss of function, have previously been reported in B-CLL. Sequencing confirmed the presence of these mutations together with BCL2, NOTCH1, and BRAF mutations, with the t(14;18)(q32;q21) translocation, in the initial diagnostic sample obtained 12 yr prior. This is suggestive of a role for these novel mutations in B-CLL initiation and stable clonal evolution, including upon treatment withdrawal. This case extends the spectrum of atypical B-CLL with t(14;18)(q32;q21) and highlights the value of more global precision genomics for patient follow-up and treatment in these patients.

Gene Fusions in Ocular Adnexal Tumors

PURPOSE

To highlight the increasing importance of gene fusions in the diagnosis, prognosis, and therapy of ocular adnexal tumors.

DESIGN

Perspective.

METHODS

A focused review of gene fusions, their pathogenic mechanism, and gene fusion detection methods in lacrimal gland and primary orbital and ocular adnexal soft tissue tumors; reappraisal of diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic approach to ocular adnexal tumors in light of emerging molecular genetic data.

RESULTS

The widespread implementation of fluorescence in situ hybridization and next-generation sequencing methods in pathology practice has led to identification of recurrent gene rearrangements and fusions in a variety of tumors. As a result, molecular genetic methods have become the gold standard for diagnosis of tumors with overlapping histology and immunophenotype, such as small round blue cell tumors. Identification of canonic gene fusions has led to development of sensitive and specific immunohistochemical markers, such as STAT6 in solitary fibrous tumor. In addition to diagnostic accuracy, gene fusions have prognostic implications, such as unfavorable prognosis of PAX3-FOXO1 fusion in alveolar rhabdomyosarcoma. Finally, recognition of gene fusions as a driving mechanism in neoplasia has led to development of U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved targeted therapies, such as TRK inhibitors for NTRK fusion-positive cancers.

CONCLUSION

The discovery of recurrent gene fusions in various tumors, including those involving ocular adnexa, has led to a deeper insight into the molecular mechanisms of these neoplasms, revolutionizing our approach to their diagnosis, prognostication, and therapy.

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia patients with IGH translocations are characterized by a distinct genetic landscape with prognostic implications

Chromosome 14q32 rearrangements/translocations involving the immunoglobulin heavy chain (IGH) are rarely detected in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). The prognostic significance of the IGH translocation is controversial and its mutational profile remains unknown. Here, we present for the first time a comprehensive next-generation sequencing (NGS) analysis of 46 CLL patients with IGH rearrangement (IGHR-CLLs) and we demonstrate that IGHR-CLLs have a distinct mutational profile with recurrent mutations in NOTCH1, IGLL5, POT1, BCL2, FBXW7, ZMYM3, MGA, BRAF and HIST1H1E genes. Interestingly, BCL2 and FBXW7 mutations were significantly associated with this subgroup and almost half of BCL2, IGLL5 and HISTH1E mutations reported were previously identified in non-Hodgkin lymphomas. Notably, IGH/BCL2 rearrangements were associated with a lower mutation frequency and carried BCL2 and IGLL5 mutations, while the other IGHR-CLLs had mutations in genes related to poor prognosis (NOTCH1, SF3B1 and TP53) and shorter time to first treatment (TFT). Moreover, IGHR-CLLs patients showed a shorter TFT than CLL patients carrying 13q-, normal fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) and +12 CLL, being this prognosis particularly poor when NOTCH1, SF3B1, TP53, BIRC3 and BRAF were also mutated. The presence of these mutations not only was an independent risk factor within IGHR-CLLs, but also refined the prognosis of low-risk cytogenetic patients (13q-/normal FISH). Hence, our study demonstrates that IGHR-CLLs have a distinct mutational profile from the majority of CLLs and highlights the relevance of incorporating NGS and the status of IGH by FISH analysis to refine the risk-stratification CLL model.

Prognostic models for newly-diagnosed chronic lymphocytic leukaemia in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL) is the most common cancer of the lymphatic system in Western countries. Several clinical and biological factors for CLL have been identified. However, it remains unclear which of the available prognostic models combining those factors can be used in clinical practice to predict long-term outcome in people newly-diagnosed with CLL.

OBJECTIVES

To identify, describe and appraise all prognostic models developed to predict overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) or treatment-free survival (TFS) in newly-diagnosed (previously untreated) adults with CLL, and meta-analyse their predictive performances.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE (from January 1950 to June 2019 via Ovid), Embase (from 1974 to June 2019) and registries of ongoing trials (to 5 March 2020) for development and validation studies of prognostic models for untreated adults with CLL. In addition, we screened the reference lists and citation indices of included studies.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included all prognostic models developed for CLL which predict OS, PFS, or TFS, provided they combined prognostic factors known before treatment initiation, and any studies that tested the performance of these models in individuals other than the ones included in model development (i.e. 'external model validation studies'). We included studies of adults with confirmed B-cell CLL who had not received treatment prior to the start of the study. We did not restrict the search based on study design.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We developed a data extraction form to collect information based on the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS). Independent pairs of review authors screened references, extracted data and assessed risk of bias according to the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). For models that were externally validated at least three times, we aimed to perform a quantitative meta-analysis of their predictive performance, notably their calibration (proportion of people predicted to experience the outcome who do so) and discrimination (ability to differentiate between people with and without the event) using a random-effects model. When a model categorised individuals into risk categories, we pooled outcome frequencies per risk group (low, intermediate, high and very high). We did not apply GRADE as guidance is not yet available for reviews of prognostic models.

MAIN RESULTS

From 52 eligible studies, we identified 12 externally validated models: six were developed for OS, one for PFS and five for TFS. In general, reporting of the studies was poor, especially predictive performance measures for calibration and discrimination; but also basic information, such as eligibility criteria and the recruitment period of participants was often missing. We rated almost all studies at high or unclear risk of bias according to PROBAST. Overall, the applicability of the models and their validation studies was low or unclear; the most common reasons were inappropriate handling of missing data and serious reporting deficiencies concerning eligibility criteria, recruitment period, observation time and prediction performance measures. We report the results for three models predicting OS, which had available data from more than three external validation studies: CLL International Prognostic Index (CLL-IPI) This score includes five prognostic factors: age, clinical stage, IgHV mutational status, B2-microglobulin and TP53 status. Calibration: for the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, the pooled five-year survival per risk group from validation studies corresponded to the frequencies observed in the model development study. In the very high-risk group, predicted survival from CLL-IPI was lower than observed from external validation studies. Discrimination: the pooled c-statistic of seven external validation studies (3307 participants, 917 events) was 0.72 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.67 to 0.77). The 95% prediction interval (PI) of this model for the c-statistic, which describes the expected interval for the model's discriminative ability in a new external validation study, ranged from 0.59 to 0.83. Barcelona-Brno score Aimed at simplifying the CLL-IPI, this score includes three prognostic factors: IgHV mutational status, del(17p) and del(11q). Calibration: for the low- and intermediate-risk group, the pooled survival per risk group corresponded to the frequencies observed in the model development study, although the score seems to overestimate survival for the high-risk group. Discrimination: the pooled c-statistic of four external validation studies (1755 participants, 416 events) was 0.64 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.67); 95% PI 0.59 to 0.68. MDACC 2007 index score The authors presented two versions of this model including six prognostic factors to predict OS: age, B2-microglobulin, absolute lymphocyte count, gender, clinical stage and number of nodal groups. Only one validation study was available for the more comprehensive version of the model, a formula with a nomogram, while seven studies (5127 participants, 994 events) validated the simplified version of the model, the index score. Calibration: for the low- and intermediate-risk groups, the pooled survival per risk group corresponded to the frequencies observed in the model development study, although the score seems to overestimate survival for the high-risk group. Discrimination: the pooled c-statistic of the seven external validation studies for the index score was 0.65 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.70); 95% PI 0.51 to 0.77.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Despite the large number of published studies of prognostic models for OS, PFS or TFS for newly-diagnosed, untreated adults with CLL, only a minority of these (N = 12) have been externally validated for their respective primary outcome. Three models have undergone sufficient external validation to enable meta-analysis of the model's ability to predict survival outcomes. Lack of reporting prevented us from summarising calibration as recommended. Of the three models, the CLL-IPI shows the best discrimination, despite overestimation. However, performance of the models may change for individuals with CLL who receive improved treatment options, as the models included in this review were tested mostly on retrospective cohorts receiving a traditional treatment regimen. In conclusion, this review shows a clear need to improve the conducting and reporting of both prognostic model development and external validation studies. For prognostic models to be used as tools in clinical practice, the development of the models (and their subsequent validation studies) should adapt to include the latest therapy options to accurately predict performance. Adaptations should be timely.

Atrial fibrillation in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) treated with ibrutinib: risk prediction, management, and clinical outcomes

BACKGROUND

Ibrutinib therapy is associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). Risk assessment tools and outcomes of AF in these patients are not well described.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of patients with CLL treated with ibrutinib at Mayo Clinic between October 2012 and November 2018.

RESULTS

Two hundred ninety-eight patients were identified with a median time on ibrutinib of 19 months (range 0.23-69.7 months). Fifty-one patients developed treatment-emergent AF; the risk of treatment-emergent AF at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years was 9%, 12%, and 16%, respectively. The following were associated with an increased risk of treatment-emergent AF on multivariable analyses: past history of AF (hazard ratio [HR] 3.5, p = 0.0072) and heart failure (HR 3.4, p = 0.0028). Most patients are able to continue ibrutinib therapy (dose reduced in 43%). Development of treatment-emergent AF was associated with shorter event-free survival (EFS; HR 2.0, p = 0.02) and shorter overall survival (OS; HR 3.2, p = 0.001), after adjusting for age, prior treatment status, TP53 disruption, heart failure, valvular disease, and past history of AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Patient comorbidities, rather than CLL-related factors, predict risk of treatment-emergent AF in patients treated with ibrutinib. Although the vast majority of patients with treatment-emergent AF are able to continue ibrutinib (with dose reduction in 43%), treatment-emergent AF appears to be associated with worse outcomes, independent of other adverse prognostic factors.

Genomic and Epigenomic Alterations in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia is a common disease in Western countries and has heterogeneous clinical behavior. The relevance of the genetic basis of the disease has come to the forefront recently, with genome-wide studies that have provided a comprehensive view of structural variants, somatic mutations, and different layers of epigenetic changes. The mutational landscape is characterized by relatively common copy number alterations, a few mutated genes occurring in 10-15% of cases, and a large number of genes mutated in a small number of cases. The epigenomic profile has revealed a marked reprogramming of regulatory regions in tumor cells compared with normal B cells. All of these alterations are differentially distributed in clinical and biological subsets of the disease, indicating that they may underlie the heterogeneous evolution of the disease. These global studies are revealing the molecular complexity of chronic lymphocytic leukemia and provide new perspectives that have helped to understand its pathogenic mechanisms and improve the clinical management of patients.