Accuracy of ultrasound in estimating fetal weight in New Zealand

Does fetal size affect maternal perception of fetal movements? Evidence from an individual participant data meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Maternal perception of fetal movements during pregnancy are reassuring; however, the perception of a reduction in movements are concerning to women and known to be associated with increased odds of late stillbirth. Prior to full term, little evidence exists to provide guidelines on how to proceed unless there is an immediate risk to the fetus. Increased strength of movement is the most commonly reported perception of women through to full term, but perception of movement is also hypothesized to be influenced by fetal size. The study aimed to assess the pattern of maternal perception of strength and frequency of fetal movement by gestation and customized birthweight quartile in ongoing pregnancies. A further aim was to assess the association of stillbirth to perception of fetal movements stratified by customized birthweight quartile.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This analysis was an individual participant data meta-analyses of five case-control studies investigating factors associated with stillbirth. The dataset included 851 cases of women with late stillbirth (>28 weeks' gestation) and 2257 women with ongoing pregnancies who then had a liveborn infant.

RESULTS

The frequency of prioritized fetal movement from 28 weeks' gestation showed a similar pattern for each quartile of birthweight with increased strength being the predominant perception of fetal movement through to full term. The odds of stillbirth associated with reduced fetal movements was increased in all quartiles of customized birthweight centiles but was notably greater in babies in the lowest two quartiles (Q1: adjusted OR: 9.34, 95% CI: 5.43, 16.06 and Q2: adjusted OR: 6.11, 95% CI: 3.11, 11.99). The decreased odds associated with increased strength of movement was present for all customized birthweight quartiles (adjusted OR range: 0.25-0.56).

CONCLUSIONS

Increased strength of fetal movements in late pregnancy is a positive finding irrespective of fetal size. However, reduced fetal movements are associated with stillbirth, and more so when the fetus is small.

Accuracy of ultrasound in the estimation of customised birth weight in a public hospital service

INTRODUCTION

Studies have shown that ultrasound estimated foetal weight (EFW) in small for gestational age (SGA) babies tends to be less-accurate when compared to appropriate (AGA) and large (LGA) for gestational age babies. We aimed to analyse the accuracy of ultrasound EFW overall, and by customised birth weight centile category (severe SGA, SGA, AGA, LGA). Also, the accuracy of estimating the centile category using calculated customised EFW centiles.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of pregnant women between 20-43 weeks gestation who underwent ultrasound within 7 days of delivery at a large tertiary maternity unit between January 2018 and December 2020. Stillbirths, major foetal anomalies and multiple pregnancies were excluded. The EFW and birth weight were compared, and an accurate estimate defined as ≤15% difference. The customised EFW and birth weight centiles were calculated and used to analyse the accuracy of category prediction.

RESULTS

Of 2061 foetuses included, 92% (n = 1902) were born weighing within 15% of their EFW. Accuracy was not affected by maternal BMI, ethnicity, parity or gestation. 87% of SGA babies were within 15% of their EFW. Ultrasound sensitivity for SGA was 51% (95% CI: 46-55%). The specificity and positive predictive values were 97% (95% CI: 96-98%) and 87% (95% CI: 82-90%) respectively.

CONCLUSION

The accuracy of Ultrasound EFW overall is good, however, is reduced in SGA babies whose EFW and birth weight centile categories tended to be overestimated. The high specificity for SGA supports monitoring with a lowered threshold to intervene in pregnancies identified by ultrasound as SGA.