The Relationship of Pain Reduction With Prevention of Knee Replacement Under Dynamic Intervention Strategies

Application of targeted maximum likelihood estimation in public health and epidemiological studies: a systematic review

PURPOSE

The targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) statistical data analysis framework integrates machine learning, statistical theory, and statistical inference to provide a least biased, efficient, and robust strategy for estimation and inference of a variety of statistical and causal parameters. We describe and evaluate the epidemiological applications that have benefited from recent methodological developments.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature review in PubMed for articles that applied any form of TMLE in observational studies. We summarized the epidemiological discipline, geographical location, expertize of the authors, and TMLE methods over time. We used the Roadmap of Targeted Learning and Causal Inference to extract key methodological aspects of the publications. We showcase the contributions to the literature of these TMLE results.

RESULTS

Of the 89 publications included, 33% originated from the University of California at Berkeley, where the framework was first developed by Professor Mark van der Laan. By 2022, 59% of the publications originated from outside the United States and explored up to seven different epidemiological disciplines in 2021-2022. Double-robustness, bias reduction, and model misspecification were the main motivations that drew researchers toward the TMLE framework. Through time, a wide variety of methodological, tutorial, and software-specific articles were cited, owing to the constant growth of methodological developments around TMLE.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a clear dissemination trend of the TMLE framework to various epidemiological disciplines and to increasing numbers of geographical areas. The availability of R packages, publication of tutorial papers, and involvement of methodological experts in applied publications have contributed to an exponential increase in the number of studies that understood the benefits and adoption of TMLE.

Utilising a non-surgical intervention in the knee osteoarthritis care pathway: a 6-year retrospective audit on NHS patients

Background

Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is a chronic, debilitating, musculoskeletal condition that affects millions. The increase in prevalence and its economic impact on healthcare and society raise the need for additional non-surgical interventions.

Objective

To assess the referral rates to secondary care consultation and clinical outcomes in patients with severe knee OA treated with a home-based, non-surgical intervention.

Design

This was a retrospective audit on 571 patients with knee OA who met the clinical criteria for total knee replacement (TKR) and received the service between October 2015 and March 2020.

Methods

Patients were treated with a non-surgical, home-based, biomechanical intervention that aims to reduce pain and improve function, involving a foot-worn device for gait rehabilitation. The device is adjusted to the patient based on their gait patterns and clinical symptoms. Patients are advised to use the device at home or work and continue their routine. Patients are also advised to return to follow-up appointments to readjust the device and treatment plan. The primary outcome measure was the referral rates to secondary care consultation. Secondary outcomes included patient-reported outcome measures to assess pain and function and a computerised gait test. Follow-up time was between 1 and 6 years post-treatment initiation with a mean follow-up time of 1308.1 (SD = 473.4) days (i.e. 3.5 years.).

Results

There were 65 (11.4%) referrals for secondary consultation with an average follow-up of 3.5 years. The mean days to referral was 480.9 (SD = 399.2) days. Of all referrals, 48% (n = 31) occurred during the first year of treatment, and 32% (n = 21) occurred during the second year. The rest were after more than 2 years of treatment.Significant improvements were seen in all clinical outcomes, including a reduction in pain and an improvement in function and gait patterns (p < 0.05 for all).

Conclusion

Utilising this intervention as a non-surgical option for patients with knee OA who met the clinical criteria for TKR led to a significant reduction in pain and improvement in function after 3 months that was maintained for up to 3 years. Most patients (89%) did not proceed to secondary care consultation during their time in treatment for up to 6 years.