Prognostic value of pathological node status after neoadjuvant radiotherapy for rectal cancer

Outcomes and failure patterns after chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer with positive lateral pelvic lymph nodes: a propensity score-matched analysis

PURPOSE

This study aimed to use propensity score matching (PSM) to explore the long-term outcomes and failure patterns in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients with positive versus negative lateral pelvic lymph node (LPLN).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with LARC were retrospectively divided into LPLN-positive and LPLN-negative groups. Clinical characteristics were compared between the groups using the chi-square test. PSM was applied to balance these differences. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), and local-regional recurrence (LRR) and distant metastasis (DM) rates were compared between the groups using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank tests.

RESULTS

A total of 651 LARC patients were included, 160 (24.6%) of whom had positive LPLN and 491 (75.4%) had negative LPLN. Before PSM, the LPLN-positive group had higher rates of lower location (53.1% vs. 43.0%, P = 0.025), T4 stage (37.5% vs. 23.2%, P = 0.002), mesorectal fascia (MRF)-positive (53.9% vs. 35.4%, P < 0.001) and extramural venous invasion (EMVI)-positive (51.2% vs. 27.2%, P < 0.001) disease than the LPLN-negative group. After PSM, there were 114 patients for each group along with the balanced clinical factors, and both groups had comparable surgery, pathologic complete response (pCR), and ypN stage rates. The median follow-up was 45.9 months, 3-year OS (88.3% vs. 92.1%, P = 0.276) and LRR (5.7% vs. 2.8%, P = 0.172) rates were comparable between LPLN-positive and LPLN-negative groups. Meanwhile, despite no statistical difference, 3-year PFS (78.8% vs. 85.9%, P = 0.065) and DM (20.4% vs. 13.3%, P = 0.061) rates slightly differed between the groups. 45 patients were diagnosed with DM, 11 (39.3%) LPLN-positive and 3 (17.6%) LPLN-negative patients were diagnosed with oligometastases (P = 0.109).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicates that for LPLN-positive patients, there is a tendency of worse PFS and DM than LPLN-negative patients, and for this group patients, large samples are needed to further confirm our conclusion.

Persistent Lymph Node Metastases After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Rectal Cancer

Importance

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer and persistent lymph node metastases (PLNM) after neoadjuvant treatment are at high risk of developing locoregional and distant metastasis, yet optimal postsurgical treatment of these patients is limited.

Objective

To analyze the association of PLNM with pretreatment clinical parameters, intensity of neoadjuvant treatment, and long-term oncological outcomes.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study is a post-hoc analysis of 3 randomized clinical trials (Surgical Oncology Working Group of Germany [CAO], Radiological Oncology Working Group of Germany [ARO], and Working Group for Internal Oncology in the German Cancer Society [AIO]) conducted in Germany in 1994, 2004, and 2012 that included 1948 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer recruited between February 1995 and January 2018. Statistical analysis was conducted between September 2023 and February 2024.

Exposures

Receiving preoperative fluorouracil-based chemoradiotherapy (CRT, comprising the preoperative group of CAO/ARO/AIO-94 and the control group of CAO/ARO/AIO-04), fluorouracil-based CRT plus oxaliplatin (experimental group of CAO/ARO/AIO-04), or total neoadjuvant treatment (TNT) with fluorouracil-based CRT plus oxaliplatin with induction or consolidation leucovorin calcium (folinic acid), fluorouracil, and oxaliplatin chemotherapy within the CAO/ARO/AIO-12 trial.

Main Outcome and Measures

The associations of PLNM with clinical parameters, intensity of neoadjuvant treatment, and cumulative incidences of LR, DM, and overall survival were assessed.

Results

A total of 1888 patients (1333 male participants [70.6%]; median [range] age, 62 [19-84] years) with locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma (clinical tumor stage 3 to 4 and/or clinically node-positive) treated within 3 consecutive clinical trials were analyzed. A total of 522 (29%) experienced PLNM; 378 had lymph node stage (ypN) 1 (20%) after neoadjuvant treatment (ypN) 1 (20%), and 174 had ypN2 (9%). Age, clinical T-stage, N-stage, grading, carcinoembryonic antigen levels, and time interval from completion of CRT to surgery were significantly associated with PLNM, whereas sex and tumor location were not. The percentage of patients with ypN2 stage was almost halved after TNT (18 of 293 patients [6%]) compared with patients treated with fluorouracil-based CRT (114 of 1009 patients [11.3%]; χ26 = 16.693; P = .01). After a median (IQR) follow-up of 54 (37-62) months, 5-year overall survival was 86.1% (95% CI, 83.9%-88.4%) for ypN0, 74.0% (95% CI, 83.9%-88.4%) for ypN1, and 43% for ypN2 (95% CI, 35.4%-52.2%) (P < .001). The 5-year cumulative incidences of locoregional and distant metastases were, respectively, 3% (95% CI, 2.1%-4.2%) and 20% (95% CI, 18%-23%) for ypN0, 6% (95% CI, 3.4%-8.8%) and 40% (95% CI, 34%-46%) for ypN1, and 19% (95% CI, 13%-26%) and 72% (95% CI, 63%-79%) for ypN2 (both P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, PLNM unmasked an unfavorable phenotype of rectal cancer at high risk for treatment failure. More aggressive adjuvant treatment might be considered; however, risk-adapted surveillance strategies and early recurrence-directed surgery, if feasible, are important strategies in this group of patients with CRT- and/or chemotherapy-resistant disease.

The role of adjuvant chemotherapy in rectal cancer patients with ypT0-2N0 after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Background

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has emerged as the established treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer. Nevertheless, there remains a debate regarding the necessity of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who exhibit a favorable tumor response (ypT0-2N0) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery. Thus, the objective of this study is to investigate the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on the oncological prognosis of rectal cancer patients who have a good response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

Materials and methods

The study was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses protocol. Articles were searched in the Web of Science, PubMed, and Cochrane Library databases. The primary outcomes assessed were 5-year overall survival, disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, recurrence-free survival, local recurrence, and distant metastasis. The data was summarized using a random effects model.

Results

A meta-analysis was conducted using 18 retrospective studies published between 2009 and 2023. The studies included 9 from China and 5 from Korea, involving a total of 6566 patients with ypT0-2N0 rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. The pooled data revealed that adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved 5-year overall survival (OR=1.75, 95% CI: 1.15-2.65, P=0.008), recurrence-free survival (OR=1.73, 95% CI: 1.20-2.48, P=0.003), and reduced distant metastasis (OR=0.68, 95% CI: 0.51-0.92, P=0.011). However, adjuvant chemotherapy did not have a significant effect on disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, and local recurrence in ypT0-2N0 rectal cancer. Subgroup analysis indicated that adjuvant chemotherapy was beneficial in improving overall survival for ypT1-2N0 rectal cancer (OR=1.89, 95% CI: 1.13-3.19, P=0.003).

Conclusion

The findings of the meta-analysis suggest that adjuvant chemotherapy may provide benefits in terms of oncological outcomes for rectal cancer patients with ypT0-2N0 after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and radical surgery. However, further prospective clinical studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Establishment and validation of novel MRI radiomic feature-based prognostic models to predict progression-free survival in locally advanced rectal cancer

In locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), an improved ability to predict prognosis before and after treatment is needed for individualized treatment. We aimed to utilize pre- and post-treatment clinical predictors and baseline magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomic features for establishing prognostic models to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with LARC. Patients with LARC diagnosed between March 2014 and May 2016 were included in this retrospective study. A radiomic signature based on extracted MRI features and clinical prognostic models based on clinical features were constructed in the training cohort to predict 3-year PFS. C-indices were used to evaluate the predictive accuracies of the radiomic signature, clinical prognostic models, and integrated prognostic model (iPostM). In total, 166 consecutive patients were included (110 vs. 56 for training vs. validation). Eleven radiomic features were filtered out to construct the radiomic signature, which was significantly related to PFS. The MRI feature-derived radiomic signature exhibited better prognostic performance than the clinical prognostic models (P = 0.007 vs. 0.077). Then, we proposed an iPostM that combined the radiomic signature with tumor regression grade. The iPostM achieved the highest C-indices in the training and validation cohorts (0.942 and 0.752, respectively), outperforming other models in predicting PFS (all P < 0.05). Decision curve analysis and survival curves of the validation cohort verified that iPostM demonstrated the best performance and facilitated risk stratification. Therefore, iPostM provided the most reliable prognostic prediction for PFS in patients with LARC.

Effect of interval between neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery on disease recurrence and survival in rectal cancer: long-term results of a randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

The optimal timing of surgery following chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is controversial. This trial aimed to assess disease recurrence and survival rates between patients with locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma (LARC) who underwent total mesorectal excision (TME) after a waiting interval of 8 weeks or less (classic interval; CI) versus more than 8 weeks (long interval; LI) following preoperative CRT.

METHODS

This was a phase III, single-centre, randomized clinical trial. Patients with LARC situated within 12 cm of the anal verge (T3-T4 or N+ disease) were randomized to undergo TME within or after 8 weeks after CRT.

RESULTS

Between January 2006 and January 2017, 350 patients were randomized, 175 to each group. As of February 2022, the median follow-up time was 80 (6-174) months. Among the 322 included patients (CI, 159; LI, 163) the cumulative incidence of locoregional recurrence at 5 years was 10.1 per cent in the CI group and 6.9 per cent in the LI group (P = 0.143). The cumulative incidence of distant metastasis at 5 years was 30.8 per cent in the CI group and 18.6 per cent in the LI group (sub-HR = 1.78; 95 per cent c.i. 1.14 to 2.78, P = 0.010). The disease-free survival (DFS) in each group was 59.7 and 69.9 per cent respectively (P = 0.157), and overall survival (OS) rates at 5 years were 73.6 versus 77.9 per cent (P = 0.476).

CONCLUSION

Incidence of distant metastasis decreased with an interval between CRT and surgery exceeding 8 weeks, but this did not impact on DFS or OS.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03287843 (http://www.clinicaltrials.gov).

Evaluation of Efficacy and Tolerance of Radical Radiotherapy and Radiochemotherapy in Treatment of Locally Advanced, Unresectable Rectal Cancer

Background: A retrospective evaluation of tolerance and efficacy of two schemes of neoadjuvant treatment in patients (pts) with unresectable rectal cancer: radiochemotherapy (CRT) and radiotherapy (RT), including conventional and accelerated hyperfractionation. Material and Method: A total of 145 consecutive pts with unresectable, locally advanced rectal cancer. The schemes used are RT in 73 (50%) or CRT in 72 (50%). In CRT, 54 Gy in 1.8 Gy fractions was given with chemotherapy, In the RT group, conventional fractionation (CFRT) and hyperfractionated accelerated radiotherapy (HART). HART was introduced at first as an alternative to CFRT, after radiobiological studies suggesting a therapeutic gain of hyperfractionation in other cancers, and second to administer relatively high dose needed in unresectable cancer, which is not feasible in hypofractionation because of critical organs sensitivity to high fraction doses (fd). HART was an alternative option in pts with medical contraindications to chemotherapy and to shorten overall treatment time with greater radiobiological effectiveness than CFRT. Results: Objective response (OR) in the RT and CRT group was 60% versus 75%. Resection rate (RR) in RT and CRT: 37% versus 65%. Tumor mobility and laparotomy-based unresectability were significant factors for OR. Performance status (PS), tumor mobility, and neoadjuvant treatment method were significant for RR.

Collagen Score in the Tumor Microenvironment Predicts the Prognosis of Rectal Cancer Patients after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Little is known about the relationship between collagen and the prognosis of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). This study aimed to quantitatively analyze collagen alterations, establish a collagen score (CS) in the tumor microenvironment, and evaluate and validate the relationship of the CS with prognosis in these patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 365 primary patients diagnosed with LARC after nCRT between 2011 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed (training cohort: 210; independent validation cohort: 155). Multiple collagen features of two fields in the tumor microenvironment, the core of the tumor (CT) and the invasive margin (IM), were derived from multiphoton imaging, and the CS_IM-CT was generated using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

The CS_IM-CT was created based on 3 features: collagen area, number of collagen fibers and a Gabor textural feature. In the training cohort, the CS_IM-CT predicted 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.765 (0.675-0.854) and an overall survival (OS) with AUROC of 0.822 (0.734-0.909). Additionally, the CS_IM-CT was significantly associated with DFS and OS in the two cohorts. A nomogram with the CS_IM-CT was developed and showed good prognostic value predicting a 3-year DFS with an AUROC of 0.826 (0.748-0.905) and an OS with AUROC of 0.882 (0.803-0.960).

CONCLUSIONS

The CS_IM-CT is an effective prognostic marker in patients with LARC after nCRT, and the nomogram with the CS_IM-CT can be used to accurately predict the individual prognosis of these patients.

Prevalence of nodal involvement in rectal cancer after chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to investigate the prevalence of ypN+ status according to ypT category in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with chemoradiotherapy and total mesorectal excision, and to assess the impact of ypN+ on disease recurrence and survival by pooled analysis of individual-patient data.

METHODS

Individual-patient data from 10 studies of chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer were included. Pooled rates of ypN+ disease were calculated with 95 per cent confidence interval for each ypT category. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were undertaken to assess influence of ypN status on 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Data on 1898 patients were included in the study. Median follow-up was 50 (range 0-219) months. The pooled rate of ypN+ disease was 7 per cent for ypT0, 12 per cent for ypT1, 17 per cent for ypT2, 40 per cent for ypT3, and 46 per cent for ypT4 tumours. Patients with ypN+ disease had lower 5-year DFS and OS (46.2 and 63.4 per cent respectively) than patients with ypN0 tumours (74.5 and 83.2 per cent) (P < 0.001). Cox regression analyses showed ypN+ status to be an independent predictor of recurrence and death.

CONCLUSION

Risk of nodal metastases (ypN+) after chemoradiotherapy increases with advancing ypT category and needs to be considered if an organ-preserving strategy is contemplated.

Effects of neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus chemoradiotherapy on lymph nodes in rectal adenocarcinoma

The pathological nodal stage, determination of which requires examination of ≥ 12 lymph nodes, is one of the main prognostic factors in rectal cancer. Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) may reduce the number of both lymph nodes retrieved and positive lymph nodes. Induction chemotherapy before CRT aimed at reducing the rate of distant metastases. However, the impact of this new treatment on number of lymph nodes retrieved and positive lymph nodes is unknown. This study was performed to evaluate the effects of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on lymph nodes in locally advanced rectal cancer treated by CRT. We retrospectively included patients with T2 - 4 Nx M0 rectal cancer and compared those receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus CRT with those receiving CRT alone. From 2012 to 2019, 85 patients were treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy + CRT and 189 with CRT alone. The number of lymph nodes retrieved (19 vs. 17, respectively, P = 0.434), the rate of specimens with ≥ 12 lymph nodes (92% vs. 88%, respectively, P = 0.397), and the median number of positive lymph nodes (1 vs. 2, respectively, P = 0.878) were similar between the two groups. However, the rate of pN0 was higher after neoadjuvant chemotherapy + CRT compared to CRT (75% vs. 62%, respectively, P = 0.030). Neoadjuvant chemotherapy before CRT for locally advanced rectal cancer did not modify the number of lymph nodes retrieved or the number of positive lymph nodes compared to CRT alone. However, it significantly increased the rate of tumors without any positive lymph nodes (ypN0).

Influence of primary tumour and patient factors on survival in patients undergoing curative resection and treatment for liver metastases from colorectal cancer

Background

Resection of the primary tumour is a prerequisite for cure in patients with colorectal cancer, but hepatic metastasectomy has been used increasingly with curative intent. This national registry study examined prognostic factors for radically treated primary tumours, including the subgroup of patients undergoing liver metastasectomy.

Methods

Patients who had radical resection of primary colorectal cancer in 2009–2013 were identified in a population‐based Swedish colorectal registry and cross‐checked in a registry of liver tumours. Data on primary tumour and patient characteristics were extracted and prognostic impact was analysed.

Results

Radical resection was registered in 20 853 patients; in 38·7 per cent of those registered with liver metastases, surgery or ablation was performed. The age‐standardized relative 5‐year survival rate after radical resection of colorectal cancer was 80·9 (95 per cent c.i. 80·2 to 81·6) per cent, and the rate after surgery for colorectal liver metastases was 49·6 (46·0 to 53·2) per cent. Multivariable analysis identified lymph node status, multiple sites of metastasis, high ASA grade and postoperative complications after resection of the primary tumour as strong risk factors after primary resection and following subsequent liver resection or ablation. Age, sex and primary tumour location had no prognostic impact on mortality after liver resection.

Conclusion

Lymph node status and complications have a negative impact on outcome after both primary resection and liver surgery. Older age and female sex were underrepresented in the liver surgical cohort, but these factors did not influence prognosis significantly.

Prediction of tumor response of rectal cancer cells via 3D cell culture and in vitro cytotoxicity assay before initiating preoperative chemoradiotherapy

The aim of the present study was to investigate the utility of 3D cell culture and in vitro cytotoxicity assays, performed using cells derived from biopsies obtained prior to the initiation of preoperative chemoradiotherapy (preop-CRT), in predicting tumor response to chemoradiotherapy following preop-CRT in rectal cancer. Biopsies were obtained from 49 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer that underwent preop-CRT between August 2015 and March 2017. Tumor tissue was obtained before initiating preop-CRT. The response to chemoradiation was assessed by in vitro cytotoxicity assay following 3D cell culture and radiation treatment. The associations between the results from the cytotoxicity assay, and tumor regression grade (TRG) and yp node (ypN) positivity were investigated. Among 49 patients, 26 patients were available for analysis. Cytotoxicity ranged from 25.5-72.6% (median, 47.6%). There was no difference in cytotoxicity according to the TRGs 1-5 (P=0.940), or good tumor response (TRGs 1-2 vs. TRGs 3-5; P=0.729). However, there was a significant difference in cytotoxicity between the ypN-negative and -positive groups (53.2±14.1 and 38.7±10.1, respectively; P=0.021). Following dichotomization of patients with 45% cut-off value, the cytotoxicity assay was the only factor that predicted ypN positivity in multivariate analysis (odds ratio, 13; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-133.2; P=0.031). In conclusion, the cytotoxicity assay using the 3D cell culture method can be used to predict tumor response, particularly ypN positivity, in patients with rectal cancer who are scheduled for preop-CRT.