Prognostic value of white matter lesion shrinking in early multiple sclerosis: An intuitive or naïve notion?

Disease progression in the first 5 years of treatment in multiple sclerosis: Predictive value of early brain and lesion volume changes

BACKGROUND

Whether the degree of inflammation (and its resolution) and neurodegeneration after treatment initiation predicts disease progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the predictive value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-derived brain and lesion volume (LV) changes in years 1 and 2 of treatment for disease progression.

METHODS

Patients receiving early interferon beta-1a treatment in REFLEX/REFLEXION (N = 262) were included. Predictive regression models included new/enlarging LV (positive activity), disappearing/shrinking LV (negative activity), and global/central atrophy during years 1 and 2.

RESULTS

Faster global atrophy and/or pseudo-atrophy and positive lesion activity in years 1 and 2 related to an increased probability and faster conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS). Negative lesion activity in year 1 and slower central atrophy in year 2 were predictive of confirmed disability progression (9-Hole Peg Test). Positive lesion activity in year 2 was predictive of faster global atrophy, while positive lesion activity in years 1 and 2 was predictive of faster central atrophy.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher degree of global atrophy and/or pseudo-atrophy in year 1 was predictive of CDMS. Positive lesion activity in any year was related to CDMS and neurodegeneration. Disability was related to negative lesion activity in year 1 and slower central atrophy in year 2.

An open-source tool for longitudinal whole-brain and white matter lesion segmentation

In this paper we describe and validate a longitudinal method for whole-brain segmentation of longitudinal MRI scans. It builds upon an existing whole-brain segmentation method that can handle multi-contrast data and robustly analyze images with white matter lesions. This method is here extended with subject-specific latent variables that encourage temporal consistency between its segmentation results, enabling it to better track subtle morphological changes in dozens of neuroanatomical structures and white matter lesions. We validate the proposed method on multiple datasets of control subjects and patients suffering from Alzheimer's disease and multiple sclerosis, and compare its results against those obtained with its original cross-sectional formulation and two benchmark longitudinal methods. The results indicate that the method attains a higher test-retest reliability, while being more sensitive to longitudinal disease effect differences between patient groups. An implementation is publicly available as part of the open-source neuroimaging package FreeSurfer.

High serum neurofilament light chain levels correlate with brain atrophy and physical disability in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) is a promising biomarker of neuroaxonal damage in persons with multiple sclerosis (pwMS). In cross-sectional studies, sNfL has been associated with disease activity and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) changes; however, it is still unclear to what extent in particular high sNfL levels impact on subsequent disease evolution.

METHODS

sNfL was quantified by an ultrasensitive single molecule array (Simoa) in 199 pwMS (median age = 34.2 years, 64.3% female) and 49 controls. All pwMS underwent 3-T MRI to assess global and compartmental normalized brain volumes, T2-lesion load, and cortical mean thickness. Follow-up data and serum samples were available in 144 pwMS (median follow-up time = 3.8 years). Linear and binary logistic models were used to estimate the independent contribution of sNfL for changes in MRI and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). Age-corrected sNfL z-scores from a normative database of healthy controls were used for sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

High sNfL levels at baseline were associated with atrophy measures of the whole brain (standardized beta coefficient βj = -0.352, p < 0.001), white matter (βj = -0.229, p = 0.007), thalamus (βj = -0.372, p = 0.004), and putamen (βj = -1.687, p = 0.012). pwMS with high levels of sNfL at baseline and follow-up had a greater risk of EDSS worsening (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Already single time point elevation of sNfL has a distinct effect on brain volume changes over a short-term period, and repeated high levels of sNfL indicate accumulating physical disability. Serial assessment of sNfL may provide added value in the clinical management of pwMS.

Percentage brain volume change in multiple sclerosis mainly reflects white matter and cortical volume

Brain atrophy in multiple sclerosis (MS), as measured by percentage brain volume change (PBVC) from brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), has been established as an outcome parameter in clinical trials. It is unknown to what extent volume changes within different brain tissue compartments contribute to PBVC. We analyzed pairs of MRI scans (at least 6 months apart) in 600 patients with relapsing-remitting MS. Multiple regression revealed that PBVC mainly reflects volume loss of white and cortical gray matter, while deep gray matter and white matter lesions were less represented. Our findings aid the interpretation of PBVC changes in MS.

Association of Slowly Expanding Lesions on MRI With Disability in People With Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

To explore the relationship between slowly expanding lesions (SELs) on MRI and disability in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS).

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 345 patients with SPMS enrolled in the MS-SMART trial. They underwent brain MRI at baseline and at 24 and 96 weeks. Definite SELs were defined as concentrically expanding T2 lesions, as assessed by nonlinear deformation of volumetric T1-weighted images. Associations of SEL volumes with other MRI metrics and disability were assessed through Pearson correlations and regression analyses.

RESULTS

Averaged across patients, 29% of T2 lesions were classified as being definite SELs. A greater volume of definite SELs correlated with a higher total baseline T2 lesion volume (r = 0.55, p < 0.001) and percentage brain volume reduction (r = -0.26, p < 0.001), a higher number of new persisting T1 black holes (r = 0.19, p < 0.001), and, in a subset of 106 patients, with a greater reduction in magnetization transfer ratio (adjusted difference 0.52, p < 0.001). In regression analyses, a higher definite SEL volume was associated with increasing disability, as assessed by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (β = 0.23, p = 0.020), z scores of the Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite (β = -0.47, p = 0.048), Timed 25-Foot Walk Test (β = -2.10, p = 0.001), and Paced Auditory Serial Addition Task (β = -0.27, p = 0.006), and increased risk of disability progression (odds ratio 1.92, p = 0.025).

DISCUSSION

Definite SELs represent almost one-third of T2 lesions in SPMS. They are associated with neurodegenerative MRI markers and related to clinical worsening, suggesting that they may contribute to disease progression and be a new target for therapeutic interventions.

Evolution from a first clinical demyelinating even to multiple sclerosis in the REFLEX trial Regional susceptibility in the conversion to multiple sclerosis at disease onset and their amenability to subcutaneous interferon beta-1a

Background and purpose

In the REFLEX trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00404352), patients with a first clinical demyelinating event (FCDE) displayed significantly delayed onset of multiple sclerosis (MS; McDonald criteria) when treated with subcutaneous interferon beta‐1a (sc IFN β‐1a) versus placebo. This post hoc analysis evaluated the effect of sc IFN β‐1a on spatio‐temporal evolution of disease activity, assessed by changes in T2 lesion distribution, in specific brain regions of such patients and its relationship with conversion to MS.

Methods

Post hoc analysis of baseline and 24‐month magnetic resonance imaging data from FCDE patients who received sc IFN β‐1a 44 μg once or three times weekly, or placebo in the REFLEX trial. Patients were grouped according to McDonald MS status (converter/non‐converter) or treatment (sc IFN β‐1a/placebo). For each patient group, a baseline lesion probability map (LPM) and longitudinal new/enlarging and shrinking/disappearing LPMs were created. Lesion location/frequency of lesion occurrence were assessed in the white matter.

Results

At Month 24, lesion frequency was significantly higher in the anterior thalamic radiation (ATR) and corticospinal tract (CST) of converters versus non‐converters (p < 0.05). Additionally, the overall distribution of new/enlarging lesions across the brain at Month 24 was similar in placebo‐ and sc IFN β‐1a‐treated patients (ratio: 0.95). Patients treated with sc IFN β‐1a versus placebo showed significantly lower new lesion frequency in specific brain regions (cluster corrected): ATR (p = 0.025), superior longitudinal fasciculus (p = 0.042), CST (p = 0.048), and inferior longitudinal fasciculus (p = 0.048).

Conclusions

T2 lesion distribution in specific brain locations predict conversion to McDonald MS and show significantly reduced new lesion occurrence after treatment with sc IFN β‐1a in an FCDE population.

In vivo imaging of chronic active lesions in multiple sclerosis

New clinical activity in multiple sclerosis (MS) is often accompanied by acute inflammation which subsides. However, there is growing evidence that a substantial proportion of lesions remain active well beyond the acute phase. Chronic active lesions are most frequently found in progressive MS and are characterised by a border of inflammation associated with iron-enriched cells, leading to ongoing tissue injury. Identifying imaging markers for chronic active lesions in vivo are thus a major research goal. We reviewed the literature on imaging of chronic active lesion in MS, focussing on ‘slowly expanding lesions’ (SELs), detected by volumetric longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and ‘rim-positive’ lesions, identified by susceptibility iron-sensitive MRI. Both SELs and rim-positive lesions have been found to be prognostically relevant to future disability. Little is known about the co-occurrence of rims around SELs and their inter-relationship with other emerging techniques such as dynamic contrast enhancement (DCE) and positron emission tomography (PET).

Prognostic value of white matter lesion shrinking in early multiple sclerosis: An intuitive or naïve notion?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

New or enlarging T2-hyperintense white matter lesions (WML) are associated with clinical disease progression in multiple sclerosis (MS). The prognostic value of WML shrinking is unclear. Assuming that waning of acute inflammation and repair processes would be the main drivers of WML shrinking, we aimed to assess the prognostic value of WML shrinking in early MS.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed a cohort of 144 early MS patients with three brain MRI scans at baseline and after 1 and 3 years available. All patients were therapy naïve at baseline and 70.5% of them treated with disease modifying drugs at year 1. We determined the volume of WML shrinking between MRI scans, total WML volumes, number of gadolinium-enhancing and new WML, white matter (WM) and gray matter volumes at each MRI scan. Clinical disability was measured by Expanded Disability Status Scale. We performed the correlation analyses of WML shrinking with other MRI parameters and clinical outcome.

RESULTS

White matter lesions shrinking was highly variable between patients and correlated with the initial number of gadolinium-enhancing WML and with WM volume decrease. WML shrinking was not associated with clinical outcome.

CONCLUSION

We found no indication of a prognostic value of WML shrinking in early MS patients. WML shrinking seems to be related to waning of acute inflammation.