Risk factors of carotid plaque and carotid common artery intima-media thickening in a high-stroke-risk population

The association between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases and the thickness of carotid plaque

BACKGROUND

The relationship between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and atherosclerosis has been controversial, which has become a hit of recent research. The study aimed to explore the association between MASLD, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases (CCVD), and the thickness of carotid plaque which was assessed by ultrasound.

METHODS

From September 2018 to June 2019, 3543 patients were enrolled. We asked participants to complete questionnaires to obtain information. All patients underwent liver ultrasound and bilateral carotid ultrasound to obtain carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and maximum carotid plaque thickness (CPT). Hepatic steatosis was quantified during examination according to Hamaguchi's ultrasonographic score, from 0 to 6 points. A score < 2 was defined as without fatty liver, and a score ≥ 2 was defined as fatty liver. Information about blood lipids was collected based on the medical records.

RESULTS

We found common risk factors for CCVD events, MASLD, and atherosclerosis. There was a significant correlation between MASLD and carotid plaque, but not with CPT. No association was found between MASLD and CCVD events. CPT and IMT were thicker in CCVD patients than in non-CCVD patients. No significant difference was found between IMT and CPT in MASLD patients and non-MASLD patients. CCVD was independently and consistently associated with higher IMT, and free fatty acid (FFA).

CONCLUSIONS

According to our results, we recommend carotid ultrasound examination of the patients when FFA is increased, regardless of the presence of risk factors and MASLD. Due to the distribution of CPT of both CCVD and MASLD patients in the CPT 2-4 mm group, contrast-enhanced ultrasound is necessary to assess the vulnerability of the plaque when CPT ≥ 2 mm. Timely treatment of vulnerable plaques may reduce the incidence of future CCVD events.

The association of stroke risk factors with the future thickness of carotid atherosclerotic plaques

OBJECTIVES

An advancing atherosclerotic plaque is a risk factor for stroke. We conducted this study to assess the relationship between risk factors of stroke with changing in the thickness of carotid plaques thickness evident on sonography.

METHODS

We carried out a secondary analysis of data from a study on carotid bifurcation plaques. Data were collected in the sonography laboratories of two university hospitals. In total, 564 (240; 42.6% men) patients with atherosclerotic plaques in the carotid bifurcation and internal carotid artery with stenosis ≥ 30% evident on duplex sonography were included. We developed machine learning models using an extreme gradient boosting algorithm with Shapley additive explanation method to find important risk factors and their interactions. The outcome was a change in the carotid plaque thickness after 36 months, and the predictors were initial plaque thickness and the risk factors of stroke.

RESULTS

Two regression models were developed for left and right carotid arteries. The R-squared values were 0.964 for the left, and 0.993 for the right model. Overall, the three top features were BMI, age, and initial plaque thickness for both left and right plaques. However, the risk factors of stroke showed stronger interaction in predicting plaque thickening of the left carotid more than the right carotid artery.

DISCUSSION

The effect of each predictor on plaque thickness is complicated by interactions with other risk factors, particularly for the left carotid artery. The side of carotid artery involvement should be considered for stroke prevention.

Metabolomics to identify fingerprints of carotid atherosclerosis in nonobese metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Nonobese metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is paradoxically associated with improved metabolic and pathological features at diagnosis but similar cardiovascular diseases (CVD) prognosis to obese MAFLD. We aimed to utilize the metabolomics to identify the potential metabolite profiles accounting for this phenomenon.

METHODS

This prospective multicenter cross-sectional study was conducted in China enrolling derivation and validation cohorts. Liquid chromatography coupled with mass spectrometry and gas chromatography-mass spectrometry were applied to perform a metabolomics measurement.

RESULTS

The study involved 120 MAFLD patients and 60 non-MAFLD controls in the derivation cohort. Controls were divided into two groups according to the presence of carotid atherosclerosis (CAS). The MAFLD group was further divided into nonobese MAFLD with/without CAS groups and obese MAFLD with/without CAS groups. Fifty-six metabolites were statistically significant for discriminating the six groups. Among the top 10 metabolites related to CAS in nonobese MAFLD, only phosphatidylethanolamine (PE 20:2/16:0), phosphatidylglycerol (PG 18:0/20:4) and de novo lipogenesis (16:0/18:2n-6) achieved significant areas under the ROC curve (AUCs, 0.67, p = 0.03; 0.79, p = 0.02; 0.63, p = 0.03, respectively). The combination of these three metabolites and liver stiffness achieved a significantly higher AUC (0.92, p < 0.01). In obese MAFLD patients, cystine was found to be significant with an AUC of 0.69 (p = 0.015), followed by sphingomyelin (SM 16:1/18:1) (0.71, p = 0.004) and de novo lipogenesis (16:0/18:2n-6) (0.73, p = 0.004). The combination of these three metabolites, liver fat content and age attained a significantly higher AUC of 0.91 (p < 0.001). The AUCs of these metabolites remained highly significant in the independent validation cohorts involving 200 MAFLD patients and 90 controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Diagnostic models combining different metabolites according to BMI categories could raise the accuracy of identifying subclinical CAS. Trial registration The study protocol was approved by the local ethics committee and all the participants have provided written informed consent (Approval number: [2014] No. 112, registered at the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR-ChiCTR2000034197).

The Ability of Lipoprotein (a) Level to Predict Early Carotid Atherosclerosis Is Impaired in Patients With Advanced Liver Fibrosis Related to Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease

INTRODUCTION

Hepatic fibrosis reduces the serum level of lipoprotein (a) (Lp(a)) and may affect its accuracy in cardiovascular disease prediction of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). We aimed to estimate the association between Lp(a) levels and the risk of carotid atherosclerosis in MAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study enrolling 4,348 consecutive individuals (1,346 patients with MAFLD and 3,002 non-MAFLD patients) who were admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, and underwent abdominal and carotid ultrasonography from 2015 to 2021. Lp(a) levels, liver biochemical markers, metabolic indices, and anthropometric parameters were measured. Liver fat content and fibrosis severity were assessed by MRI-PDFF, using the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) of two-dimensional shear wave elastography, respectively.

RESULTS

There was an L-shaped relationship between Lp(a) levels and LSMs in patients with MAFLD, and Lp(a) levels had a different relationship with liver fat content in MAFLD patients with F1-2 versus those with F3-4. Non-MAFLD patients had higher levels of Lp(a) than MAFLD patients with or without advanced fibrosis (both P < 0.05). Lp(a) levels and degree of liver fibrosis were both positively correlated with carotid atherosclerosis in patients with MAFLD. Lp(a) levels performed well on carotid atherosclerosis risk prediction for non-MAFLD patients with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.819, which was significantly better than the carotid atherosclerosis risk prediction for MAFLD patients with NFS ≤ -1.836 (AUC: 0.781), NFS > -1.836 (AUC: 0.692), and LSM ≥ 9.0 kPa (AUC: 0.635) (all P < 0.05).

DISCUSSION

Advanced liver fibrosis significantly reduces the predictive value of Lp(a) levels for the risk of carotid atherosclerosis in patients with MAFLD.

Sex-Related Differences in the Incidence and Development of Carotid Plaques in a Low-Income Chinese Population-A Prospective Cohort Study

Purpose

More than 150 million people are estimated to have been examined for the presence of carotid plaques (CPs) in China; a sex-related imbalance in the prevalence exists. However, the relationship between sex and the incidence of CP development is unclear, especially in low-income areas of China. Hence, this study aimed to identify the sex differences in CP development and CP burden in both sexes in this population.

Methods

The study population included individuals aged ≥45 years in a rural area of Tianjin, China. Carotid ultrasonography was performed in the 2014 and 2019 cohorts, and information on carotid ultrasonography, including the formation and number of CPs, was collected twice. Logistic analyses were used to investigate the predictors of CP formation and numbers of plaques.

Results

A total of 1479 participants were analyzed. The incidence of CP was 20.3% and 29.0% in women and men, respectively. In women, high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels was independent predictors of CP formation (RR: 1.217, 95%CI: 1.010, 1.461; P=0.039). For men, the corresponding predictors were hypertension, alcohol consumption, and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels (all P<0.05); none of the examined factors were associated with plaque numbers.

Conclusion

In the study population, men had a higher incidence of plaque than women. Predictors of CP are different in men and women. LDL-C control is critical for moderating atherosclerosis in women; in men, managing blood pressure, stopping alcohol consumption, and controlling HDL-C levels are important.

An accurate and explainable ensemble learning method for carotid plaque prediction in an asymptomatic population

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The identification of carotid plaque, one of the most crucial tasks in stroke screening, is of great significance in the assessment of subclinical atherosclerosis and preventing the onset of stroke. However, traditional ultrasound examination is not prevalent or cost-effective for asymptomatic people, particularly low-income individuals in rural areas. Thus, it is necessary to develop an accurate and explainable model for early identification of the risk of plaque prevalence that can help in the primary prevention of stroke.

METHODS

We developed an ensemble learning method to predict the occurrence of carotid plaques. A dataset comprising 1440 subjects (50% with plaques and 50% without plaques) and ten-fold cross-validation were utilized to evaluate the model performance. Four machine learning methods (extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), gradient boosting decision tree, random forest, and support vector machine) were evaluated. Subsequently, the interpretability of the XGBoost model, which provided the best performance, was analyzed from three aspects: feature importance, feature effect on prediction model, and feature effect on prediction decision for a specific subject.

RESULTS

The XGBoost algorithm provided the best performance (sensitivity: 0.8678, specificity: 0.8592, accuracy: 0.8632, F1 score: 0.8621, area under the curve: 0.8635) in carotid plaque prediction and also had excellent performance under missing data circumstances. Further, interpretability analysis showed that the decisions of the XGBoost model were highly congruent with clinical knowledge.

CONCLUSION

The model results are superior to those of state-of-the-art methods. Thus, it is a promising carotid plaque prediction tool that could be used in the primary prevention of stroke.

Association between hemoglobin A1c and asymptomatic carotid intima-media thickness in middle-aged and elderly populations without diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Carotid atherosclerosis, including carotid artery intima-media thickness, plaques, and stenosis, is an important risk factor for stroke. However, the association between hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) was inconsistent. The aim of this study was to explore the association between HbA1c and the risk of increased cIMT among the Chinese population aged ≥40 years without diabetes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 3528 participants without diabetes from the China National Stroke Screen Survey program were enrolled in this study. cIMT was measured using duplex ultrasound examination. Logistic regression models were used to assess the association between HbA1c level and the risk of increased cIMT. A total of 565 (16.0%) participants had increased cIMT. After adjustment for other potential confounding factors, higher levels of HbA1c increased the risk of increased cIMT compared with the lowest level, and the odds ratios for quartile 2, quartile 3, and quartile 4 were 1.58, 1.67, and 1.98, respectively. Age had an interaction impact on the association between HbA1c level and the risk of increased cIMT.

CONCLUSION

In this large-scale and cross-sectional study, high-normal HbA1c was associated with the risk of increased asymptomatic cIMT in a rural Chinese population without diabetes, especially in individuals aged <60 years.

Clinical Values and Underlying Mechanism Analysis of Serum miR-455-5p in Carotid Artery Stenosis

Purpose

Carotid artery stenosis (CAS) is a leading cause of cerebral infarction, its early diagnosis and intervention are necessary. In light of the important role of microRNAs (miRNAs) in cerebrovascular disease, this study aimed to investigate the expression pattern and clinical significance of serum miR-455-5p in the onset and development of CAS, as well as its underlying mechanism.

Patients and Methods

Seventy patients with asymptomatic CAS were recruited, and the development of cerebral ischemia events (CIEs) was recorded during the five-years follow-up. qRT-PCR was performed for the serum miR-455-5p detection. ROC curve was applied for the diagnostic ability evaluation. By constructing multivariable logistic or cox regression model, odds ratio (OR) or hazard ratio (HR) were calculated to assess the impact of each risk factor on independent variables. Human aortic endothelial cells (HAECs) were treated with ox-LDL to induce endothelial cell damage. The role of miR-455-5p in the cell viability, apoptosis, oxidative stress and inflammatory response was detected.

Results

Serum miR-455-5p showed low expression in cases with CAS, and had an independent influence on the degree of CAS. The diagnostic ability of serum miR-455-5p to diagnose CAS was determined via ROC curve, with the AUC of 0.927. During follow-up, patients with low miR-455-5p expression showed high incidence of CIEs. In multivariable cox regression model, degree of CAS and miR-455-5p were significant risk factors for the development of CIEs in the CAS patients. In vitro, miR-455-5p was at a low expression in HAECs cell models and can prevent cells from ox-LDL induced cell apoptosis, oxidative stress and inflammatory response. SOCS3 was a target gene of miR-455-5p and upregulated in ox-LDL treated cells.

Conclusion

Down-regulated expression of serum miR-455-5p is hopeful to be used as a biomarker for the early diagnosis of CAS. MiR-455-5p is an independent risk factor for the degree of CAS, and has a certain predictive value for the development of CIEs. That might be associated with the protective role of miR-455-5p against ox-LDL-induced endothelial cell injury via targeting SOCS3.

Assessment of Carotid Plaque Stability Using Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound and Its Correlation With the Expression of CD147 and MMP-9 in the Plaque

This study aims to investigate the correlation between the enhancement degree of contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) and the expression of CD147 and MMP-9 in carotid atherosclerotic plaques in patients with carotid endarterectomy and evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of CEUS using pathological results as the gold standard. Thirty-eight patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy (CEA) for carotid stenosis in the Department of Neurovascular Surgery of the Second People’s Hospital of Shenzhen from July 2019 to June 2020 were selected. Preoperatively, two-dimensional (2D) ultrasound scan was performed on all patients to assess the characteristics of the plaque and degree of stenosis, and CEUS was used to evaluate the surface morphology of the plaque and the distribution of neovascularization. Postoperatively, pathological sections and immunohistochemical analysis of CD147 and MMP-9 levels in the plaque were performed on the stripped plaque tissue, and the results were analyzed against the CEUS grading and pathological results. Among the 38 patients, pathological results showed that 10 and 28 were in the stable and vulnerable plaque groups, respectively. There were more smokers in the vulnerable plaque group than in the stable plaque group, with higher intraplaques CD147 and MMP-9. The difference in ultrasound plaque surface morphology grading and CEUS grading between the two groups was statistically significant. There was no significant difference in age, sex, incidence of complications such as hypertension, diabetes, and coronary heart disease between the two groups. CD147 was higher in the CEUS grade IV group than in the grades I (P = 0.040) and II (P = 0.010) groups. MMP-9 was higher in the CEUS grade IV group than in the grade II group (P = 0.017); MMP-9 was higher in the grade III group than in the grade II group (P = 0.015). Intraplaque contrast enhancement intensity was positively correlated with CD147 (r = 0.462, P = 0.003) and MMP-9 (r = 0.382, P = 0.018) levels. There was moderate consistency between the assessment of plaque vulnerability by 2D-ultrasound and by histopathological hematoxylin-eosin (HE) (kappa = 0.457, P > 0.05). 2D diagnosis of vulnerable plaque had a sensitivity of 85.7%, a specificity of 60.0%, a positive predictive value of 85.7%, a negative predictive value of 60.0%, and an accuracy of 78.0%. There was a strong consistency between the assessment of plaque vulnerability by CEUS and histopathological HE (kappa = 0.671, P < 0.01). CEUS had a sensitivity of 89.2%, a specificity of 80.0%, a positive predictive value of 92.6%, a negative predictive value of 72.7%, and an accuracy of 86.8% for the diagnosis of vulnerable plaques; CEUS is a reliable, non-invasive test that can show the distribution of neovascularization within vulnerable plaques, evaluate the vulnerability and risk of intraplaque hemorrhage, with a high consistency with pathological findings. The degree of intraplaque enhancement and the levels of CD147 and MMP-9 in the tissue were positively correlated.

Intraplaque CTA characteristics as predictors of symptomatology: a semiautomated volumetric analysis

BACKGROUND

Prior studies comparing CT characteristics of carotid plaques to symptomatology have relied on gross morphologic imaging features. This study sought to determine if volumetric measurements of carotid plaque components are associated with ipsilateral neurologic symptoms.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

CTA images of consecutive patients that underwent a carotid endarterectomy were reviewed with a semiautomated software package. Intraplaque volumes of intraplaque hemorrhage (IPH), lipid-rich necrotic core (LRNC), and matrix were computed, as was the degree of arterial stenosis. Statistics were analyzed on a per cerebral hemisphere basis, and dichotomized into symptomatic and asymptomatic. Clinical and radiological endpoints included transient ischemic attack (TIA), ischemic stroke diagnosed on imaging studies, ophthalmologically diagnosed central or branch retinal artery occlusion (RAO), or amaurosis fugax.

RESULTS

One hundred sixty-eight carotid plaques were reviewed. The average age is 70.8 years (SD = 8.8); 32/87 (36.8%) were female. Sixty-seven of eighty-seven (77.0%) patients were symptomatic. Sixty-six of one hundred sixty-eight (39.3%) plaques were ipsilateral to the patient's symptoms, while 102/168 (60.7%) were ipsilateral to an asymptomatic hemisphere. Greater intraplaque volumes of IPH (p = 0.03), LRNC (p = 0.008), and matrix (p = 0.0008) were associated with symptoms, as was greater proportion of LRNC in regard to plaque volume (p = 0.04). All but proportion of LRNC remained statistically significant after adjustment for plaque size. More severe luminal stenosis was also associated with ipsilateral neurologic symptoms, both when calculated by smallest diameter or by area (p < 0.0001 for both).

CONCLUSION

Higher volumes of intraplaque IPH, LRNC, matrix, and degree of arterial stenosis are associated with ipsilateral neurologic symptoms. Greater intraplaque proportions of LRNC are also associated with ipsilateral ischemic manifestations, suggesting that larger relative composition of lipids may be particularly predictive of symptomatology.

Comparison of the Characteristics and Risk Factors of Carotid Atherosclerosis in High Stroke Risk Populations Between Urban and Rural Areas in North China

Objective: To study the characteristics and risk factors of carotid atherosclerosis in populations at high risk of stroke in urban and rural areas of North China. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted to investigate high stroke risk populations in representative urban and rural areas sampled from 12 regions of China. A pre-designed questionnaire, ultrasound, and laboratory examinations were performed to evaluate risk factors. Results: A total of 30,175 patients were included in the study. The overall prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis was 54.53%, among which intimal thickening and plaque were 39.22 and 41.25%, respectively. The prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis in the urban group was higher than in the rural group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that male gender, age, smoking, hypertension, dyslipidemia, stroke, atrial fibrillation, systolic blood pressure, and levels of fasting blood glucose, total cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were the common independent risk factors for carotid atherosclerosis in both groups. Higher education, high salt consumption, passive smoking, family history of stroke, and transient ischemic attack were unique independent risk factors, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was a protective factor for carotid atherosclerosis in the urban population. Conclusion: This study suggests that risk factors for carotid atherosclerosis differ between urban and rural populations in North China.

Visceral adiposity index and cervical arterial atherosclerosis in northeast China: a population based cross-sectional survey

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The burden of cervical arterial atherosclerosis, which is an important risk factor of stroke, is huge in China. The visceral adiposity index (VAI) is a convenient index that is related to a series of metabolic abnormalities and a variety of diseases, including cerebrovascular diseases. This study aimed to explore the relationship between VAI and cervical arterial atherosclerosis.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study used the multistage stratified random cluster sampling method to acquire a representative sample of residents aged ≥40 in the general population of northeast China. All participants completed a detailed questionnaire and provided blood samples. Cervical vascular ultrasound was performed by experienced ultrasound doctors. VAI was calculated by a well-established formula and analyzed by quartiles (Q1-Q4).

RESULTS

A total of 3688 people aged ≥40 years who underwent cervical arterial ultrasound were finally included, amongst whom 3.2% had increased intima-media thickness (IMT), 48.6% had carotid plaque and 4.0% had cervical artery stenosis (CAS). After adjusting for several parameters, little statistical significance was found between VAI and increased IMT; compared with the VAI-Q1 group, the VAI-Q2, VAI-Q3 and VAI-Q4 groups were more likely to have CAS [odds ratio (OR) 2.01, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.17-3.43; OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.05-3.15; OR 1.79, 95% CI 1.03-3.12] and the VAI-Q3 and VAI-Q4 groups were at greater risk of carotid plaque (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.05-1.62; OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.07-1.67).

CONCLUSIONS

The VAI was related to carotid plaque and CAS in the general population that is older than 40 years.

Early Predictors of Cardiovascular Disease Risk in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Non-obese Versus Obese Patients

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is regarded as a risk factor of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the association between non-obese NAFLD and CVD has not been well established.

AIM

We aimed to compare the CVD risk between non-obese and obese NAFLD patients, and explored the factors associated with subclinical atherosclerosis.

METHOD

Consecutive NAFLD patients estimated by magnetic resonance imaging-based proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) were recruited. Liver fat content (LFC) and liver stiffness were measured with MRI-PDFF and shear wave elastography, respectively. CVD risk was estimated by atherosclerosis index (AI), carotid intima-media thickness, carotid plaque, and Framingham risk score (FRS).

RESULTS

This study included 543 NAFLD patients. The presence of carotid intima-media thickening and carotid plaque, FRS, and AI were comparable between non-obese and obese patients. Age increased per 10 years (OR 9.68; P < 0.001) and liver fibrosis (liver stiffness > 6.1 kPa, OR 4.42; P = 0.004) were significant factors associated with carotid intima-media thickening in non-obese patients, while age increased per 10 years (OR 2.02; P < 0.001), liver fibrosis (OR 2.18; P = 0.039), and LFC > 10% (OR 2.29; P = 0.021) were independent predictors in obese patients. Only elevated triglyceride was significantly associated with carotid plaque in non-obese patients (OR 2.42; P = 0.033), while age increased per 10 years (OR 1.77; P = 0.002) and LFC > 10% (OR 2.83; P = 0.019) were significant predictors in obese patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver stiffness and age were strongly predictive of subclinical atherosclerosis in all NAFLD, while LFC was an additional predictor in obese NAFLD patients. Our findings highlight that early CVD screening strategy should be established for NAFLD patients according to different BMIs.

Carotid intima-media thickness predicts carotid plaque development: Meta-analysis of seven studies involving 9341 participants

BACKGROUND

Carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaque are well-established imaging markers used to capture different stages of the atherosclerotic disease process. We aimed to quantify to which extent carotid intima-media thickness predicts incidence of first-ever carotid plaque.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two independent reviewers conducted a comprehensive literature search of PubMed and Web of Science. To be eligible for inclusion, prospective studies were required to involve participants free of carotid plaque at baseline and report on the association of baseline carotid intima-media thickness with development of first-ever carotid plaque. Study-specific relative risks and 95% confidence intervals were collected and pooled using random-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

We identified seven relevant prospective studies involving a total of 9341 participants. Individuals were recruited between 1987 and 2012, average age at baseline was 54 years, and 63% were female. Studies reported on 1288 incident first-ever carotid plaques, occurring over an average maximum follow-up of 8.7 years. When individuals in the top fourth of baseline carotid intima-media thickness distribution were compared with those in the bottom fourth, the pooled relative risk for incidence of first-ever carotid plaque was 1.78 (95% confidence interval: 1.53-2.07, P < .001, I²  = 2.8%). The strength of association was not modified by mean baseline age, proportion of female participants, length of follow-up, year of baseline, and geographical location of the studies.

CONCLUSIONS

In general population studies, elevated baseline carotid intima-media thickness is associated with incidence of carotid plaque in individuals free of carotid plaque at baseline.

Different predictors of steatosis and fibrosis severity among lean, overweight and obese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUNDS

Non-obese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is paradoxically associated with improved metabolic and pathological features at diagnosis but worse prognosis relative to obese NAFLD.

AIM

To compare predictors of disease severity in NAFLD with different body mass index (BMI) categories.

METHODS

All 1509 consecutive NAFLD patients were classified as lean (20.2%), overweight (23.1%) and obese (56.7%). Liver fat content (LFC) and fibrosis were estimated with magnetic resonance imaging-based proton density fat fraction and shear wave elastography respectively.

RESULTS

Lipid profiles and uric acid (UA) were significantly increased in parallel with BMI categories (pairwise comparison P < 0.001), but insulin resistance (IR) was significantly different between the non-obese and obese groups. For LFC ≥ 10%, increased waist circumference (WC) was an independent predictor in all groups, while UA elevation (P = 0.02) was predictive in the overweight patients, but BMI ≥ 28 kg/m² (P = 0.029) and IR (P = 0.026) were significant in the obese patients. For fibrosis, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) > 40 U/L (P = 0.031), increased WC (P = 0.012) and BMI ≥ 28 kg/m² (P < 0.001) plus ALT > 40 U/L (P = 0.007) were predictors in the lean, overweight and obese patients, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

WC was strongly predictive of disease severity in all NAFLD, while UA and BMI plus IR were additional predictors in the overweight and obese NAFLD respectively. Individualized screening strategies should be established for NAFLD according to different BMIs.

Carotid Intima-Media Thickness and Carotid Plaque: A Pilot Study of Risk Factors in an Indigenous Nigerian Population

BACKGROUND

Risk factors for carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) and carotid plaque (CP) differ by ethnicity; however, this is not well understood in some ethnic populations. This work examines the risk factors for cIMT and CP in an indigenous Nigerian population.

METHODS

We assessed cIMT and CP in 122 participants and then performed biochemical analysis: fasting blood glucose (FBG), hemoglobin A1c, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), triglyceride (TG), and total cholesterol (TC). The clinical history and anthropometric characteristics of participants were recorded. Linear models were used to assess the factors associated with cIMT and CP, and stepwise multivariate regression analyses were conducted to assess the predictors of cIMT and CP.

RESULTS

The cIMT thickness varied from .5 mm to 1.3 mm. Family history of heart disease (FHHDx), physical activity, FBG, HDL-C, TG, TC, body mass index (BMI), systolic pressure, and waist circumference were significantly associated with cIMT (P ≤ .01). High systolic (β = .008) and diastolic (β = .17) pressure, FHHDx (β = .24), age (β = .004), physical activity (β = -.09), and waist circumference (β = -.017) significantly predicted 85% of the variation in cIMT (P < .001 for all). Family history of hypertension (FHH), LDL-C, and high blood pressure were significantly associated with CP (P ≤ .05). The significant predictors of CP were FHH (β = .145, P = .03), smoking (β = .167, P = .01), HDL-C (β = .283, P < .001), weight (β = .150, P = .04), and BMI (β = .183, P = .01), explaining most of the 43.2% variation in CP.

CONCLUSIONS

Some of the risk factors differ from those of other ethnicities, suggesting a need for population-specific approach to risk assessment and early detection of subclinical disease.

Risk factors of carotid plaque and carotid common artery intima-media thickening in a high-stroke-risk population

INTRODUCTION

To analyze the risk factors of carotid plaque (CP) and carotid common artery intima-media thickening (CCAIMT) and the association between the risk factors and CP numbers and the side of the CCAIMT in a high-stroke-risk population.

METHODS

Carotid ultrasonography was conducted in 2025 participants with high stroke risk. Participants were divided into different groups according to the results of the ultrasound. The risk factors and blood biochemical indices were recorded.

RESULTS

The presence of CP and CCAIMT were 38.9% and 24.8% respectively. Multivariate logistic regression indicated that the risk factors of CP were age, high LDL-C and FBG levels, male gender, stroke, diabetes, hypertension, and tobacco use. Compared with participants without CPs, the participants who were male, and older in age, with risk factors of tobacco use, diabetes, high LDL-C levels, and a family history of hypertension were likely to have a single CP, whereas the participants with risk factors of tobacco use, diabetes, hypertension, male gender, older age, high LDL-C levels, stroke and AF or valvulopathy were prone to have multiple CPs. The risk factors of CCAIMT were male gender, stroke, hypertension, diabetes, AF or valvulopathy, tobacco use and age. Compared with the N-CCAIMT subgroup, the risk factors of left CCAIMT were tobacco use, diabetes, male gender, and age. The risk factors of right CCAIMT were male gender, high FBG levels, age, AF or valvulopathy. The risk factors of dual CCAIMT were high frequency of drinking milk, tobacco use, male gender, age, stroke, and hypertension.

CONCLUSION

These findings revealed the risk factors of CP and CCAIMT, and an association between the risk factors and the CP numbers and the side of the CCAIMT.