Combining pretreatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA level and cervical node necrosis improves prognostic stratification in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A cohort study

Risk stratification of LA-NPC during chemoradiotherapy based on clinical classification and TVRR

PURPOSE

To investigate the correlation between tumor volume reduction rate (TVRR) and prognosis in patients with diverse clinical types of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) undergoing chemoradiotherapy, thereby aptly categorizing risks and directing the personalized treatment of NPC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 605 NPC patients with varying clinical types were enrolled in this study and subsequently segregated into six subgroups based on their clinical types and TVRR. To accentuate the efficacy of grouping, Groups 1-6 underwent clustered analysis of hazard atio (HR) values pertaining to progression-free survival (PFS), forming three risk clusters denoted as low, intermediate, and high. The log-rank test was employed to discern differences, and R 4.1.1 was utilized for cluster analysis.

RESULTS

According to survival rates, we classified the first (G2 and G4), second (G1 and G6), and third (G3 and G5) risk clusters as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. When comparing risk stratification with the 8th edition of the TNM staging system, our classification exhibited superior predictive prognostic performance. Subgroup analysis of treatments for each risk cluster revealed that the PFS in the neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) + concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) group surpassed that of the CCRT group significantly (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The reliance on clinical types and TVRR facilitates risk stratification of NPC during chemoradiotherapy, providing a foundation for physicians to tailor therapeutic strategies. Moreover, the risk cluster delineated for NPC patients during the mid-term of chemoradiotherapy stands as an independent prognostic factor for progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), distantmetastasis-free survival (DMFS), and local recurrence-free (LRRFS) posttreatment. Additionally, individuals in the high-risk cluster are recommended to undergo adjuvant chemotherapy after CCRT.

Integrating pretreatment MRI-detected nodal features and Epstein-Barr virus DNA to identify optimal candidates for intensity-modulated radiotherapy alone in patients with stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a prognostic nomogram based on MRI-detected features of retropharyngeal and cervical lymph nodes and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA in patients with stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) to distinguish low-risk patients for whom intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) alone is sufficient.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 894 patients with stage II NPC (596 and 298 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively) with pretreatment MRI between August 2010 and May 2019. All patients received IMRT with or without additional chemotherapy. We identified independent risk factors using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Survival was compared using Kaplan-Meier curves with the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Independent factors derived from the multivariate analysis include cervical nodal necrosis (CNN), the extracapsular spread (ECS) of cervical and retropharyngeal lymph nodes, and gamma-glutamyl transferase (γ-GGT). Nomograms A, B, and C were established based on the clinical [tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage + Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA], the clinical-radiological [all independent predictors] and the combined models [the clinical-radiological model + EBV DNA], respectively. Nomogram C (C-index 0.769 [0.718-0.820]) demonstrated better risk discrimination than nomogram B (0.762 [0.715-0.809]), nomogram A (0.619 [0.564-0.674]), and the TNM stage (0.560 [0.509-0.611]). In the low-risk group divided by nomogram C, no significant survival differences were observed between patients treated with radiotherapy (RT) alone and other regimens including additional chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram combining MRI-detected retropharyngeal and cervical lymph node features with pretreatment EBV-DNA improved the prognostic risk stratification for stage II NPC.

Prognostic value of primary tumor and lymph node volumetric metabolic parameters at pre-treatment F-18 FDG PET/CT in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic significance of volumetric metabolic parameters of pre-treatment PET/CT along with clinical characteristics in patients with non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Seventy-nine patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma underwent F18- FDG PET/CT for pretreatment evaluation and included in this study. The patient features (patient age, tumor histopathology, T and N stage, size of primary tumor and the largest cervical lymph node) and PET parameters were analyzed: maximum, mean and peak standardized uptake values (SUVmax, SUVmean, SUVpeak), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) for primary tumor and largest cervical lymph node. After treatment, patients were evaluated for disease progression and mortality. Survival analysis for progression-free survival (PFS) and over-all survival (OS) was performed with Kaplan-Meier method using PET findings and clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration was 29.7 months (range 3-125 months). Among clinical characteristics, no parameters had significance association for PFS. Primary tumor-MTV and cervical lymph node-MTV were independent prognostic factors for PFS (p = 0.025 and p = 0.004, respectively).Patients with primary tumor-MTV >19.4 and patients with lymph node-MTV>3.4 had shorter PFS. For OS, age and the size of the lymph node were independent prognostic factor (p = 0.031 and p = 0.029).Patients with age over 54 years and patients with lymph node size >1 cm were associated with decreased OS.

CONCLUSION

Primary tumor-MTV and lymph node-MTV on pre-treatment PET/CT are significant prognostic factors for long-term PFS in non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma. We consider that measuring MTV as volume-based metabolic parameter on pretreatment PET/CT may contribute decision of treatment intensity and individualized risk stratification and may improve long-term PFS. Additionally, age and the size of lymph node are independent prognostic factors for mortality.

The value of integrating tumor volume and plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA load during sequential chemoradiotherapy for prognostic prediction and therapeutic guidance in high-risk locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the value of integrating primary gross tumor volume (GTVp) and gross tumor volume of nodes (GTVn) after induction chemotherapy (IC) and dynamic changes in plasma cell-free Epstein-Barr virus DNA (cfEBV DNA) during sequential chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in high-risk locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 988 patients with LA-NPC undergoing IC plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) between 2014 and 2018. The entire cohort was divided into four subgroups according to tumor volume and the cfEBV DNA load. Using a supervised statistical clustering approach, we stratified the subgroups into three clusters. Overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS) were calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and inter-group differences were compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

We observed that GTVp & GTVn and cfEBV DNApostIC & cfEBV DNApostCRT were powerful prognostic factors for OS (p = 0.004, p < 0.001, p < 0.001, and p < 0.001, respectively). The survival curves of the three clusters were significantly different. The 5-year OS for the low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk clusters were 97.0%, 86.2% and 77.1% (all P values < 0.001), respectively. The risk stratification system showed better predictive performance than the current tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification for OS (area under curve [AUC]: 0.653 versus 0.560, p < 0.001), DFS (AUC: 0.639 versus 0.540, p < 0.001), DMFS (AUC: 0.628 versus 0.535, p < 0.001) and LRRFS (AUC: 0.616 versus 0.513, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Both tumor volume and the cfEBV DNA level during sequential CRT are effective prognostic indicators for patients with high-risk LA-NPC. The developed risk stratification system incorporating above factors improved survival prediction and demonstrated potential value in decision-making.

Adjuvant chemotherapy or no adjuvant chemotherapy? A prediction model for the risk stratification of recurrence or metastasis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma combining MRI radiomics with clinical factors

BACKGROUND

Dose adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) should be offered in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients? Different guidelines provided the different recommendations.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, a total of 140 patients were enrolled and followed for 3 years, with 24 clinical features being collected. The imaging features on the enhanced-MRI sequence were extracted by using PyRadiomics platform. The pearson correlation coefficient and the random forest was used to filter the features associated with recurrence or metastasis. A clinical-radiomics model (CRM) was constructed by the Cox multivariable analysis in training cohort, and was validated in validation cohort. All patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups through the median Rad-score of the model. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to compare the 3-year recurrence or metastasis free rate (RMFR) of patients with or without AC in high- and low-groups.

RESULTS

In total, 960 imaging features were extracted. A CRM was constructed from nine features (seven imaging features and two clinical factors). In the training cohort, the area under curve (AUC) of CRM for 3-year RMFR was 0.872 (P <0.001), and the sensitivity and specificity were 0.935 and 0.672, respectively; In the validation cohort, the AUC was 0.864 (P <0.001), and the sensitivity and specificity were 1.00 and 0.75, respectively. Kaplan-Meier curve showed that the 3-year RMFR and 3-year cancer specific survival (CSS) rate in the high-risk group were significantly lower than those in the low-risk group (P <0.001). In the high-risk group, patients who received AC had greater 3-year RMFR than those who did not receive AC (78.6% vs. 48.1%) (p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

Considering increasing RMFR, a prediction model for NPC based on two clinical factors and seven imaging features suggested the AC needs to be added to patients in the high-risk group and not in the low-risk group.

Prognostic Value of Lymph Node Necrosis at Different N Stages in Patients with Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Background: Lymph node necrosis (LNN), including retropharyngeal nodal necrosis and cervical nodal necrosis, which is related to radiotherapy/ chemotherapy resistance, is a common phenomenon in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). This study was to assess the prognostic value of LNN at different N stages in NPC patients. Materials and Methods: In total, 1,665 newly diagnosed NPC patients at stage TxN1-3M0 from two centers were enrolled. Univariate and multivariate models were constructed to assess the association between LNN and long-term survival outcomes. The propensity score matching method was performed to balance treatment groups for baseline characteristics. Results: Of the 1,665, 540 patients (540/1665, 32.4%) were diagnosed with LNN, of which 54.1% (292/540) patients were at stage N1, 31.3% (169/540) at stage N2, and 14.6% (79/540) at stage N3. Univariate and multivariate analyses indicated LNN as an independent predictor for progression‑free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS) in stage N1-3 patients (all P<0.001). When patients were analyzed according to stage, similar findings were observed for N1 patients (all P<0.001); for N2 patients, LNN independently predicted PFS (P=0.003), OS (P=0.011), and DMFS (P=0.004), and for stage N3, LNN only independently predicted LRRFS (P=0.019). 123 pairs of patients who received induction chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy or only concurrent chemoradiotherapy were matched, adding induction chemotherapy improved 5-year OS, PFS and LRFFS, but the results were not statistically significant. Conclusions: In NPC patients, LNN could independently predict poor prognosis at all N1-3 stages and at each N stage (N1 to N3). The value of adding induction chemotherapy to concurrent chemoradiotherapy in patients with LNN still requires further prospective studies.

Caudal distribution pattern of metastatic neck lymph nodes in nasopharyngeal carcinoma and prognostic significance of nodal spread distances

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the caudal distribution pattern of metastatic neck lymph nodes (LNs) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and the prognostic significance of nodal spread distances (SDs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

NPC patients with neck metastatic LNs were enrolled. The most caudally located LNs were marked. SD was defined as the distance from marked LNs to the lateral process of the atlantoaxial spine (LPC1). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess association between MRI-identified nodal features and survival. Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and area under the curve (AUC) were used to compare AJCC (8th edition) N staging with the proposed N staging. Survival after induction chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy (IC + CCRT) versus CCRT alone was compared between different SD groups.

RESULTS

A total of 1907 LNs (1164 patients) were contoured. SD > 7 cm was an independent predictor of overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and progression-free survival (PFS), with hazard ratios of 1.725, 1.553 and 1.414, respectively. When patients with SD > 7 cm were upgraded one N stage higher, the proposed N classification showed better stratification in OS, DMFS, and PFS between N1 and N2 stages. C-indices and AUCs of the proposed N staging were superior to AJCC N staging. IC + CCRT showed negative effect in N1-2 patients with SD ≤ 7 cm but improved OS in those with SD > 7 cm.

CONCLUSION

SD of metastatic LNs can predict survival in NPC. Integration of SD into AJCC N staging could improve its prognostic value and help identify patients requiring IC.

MRI-identified multidimensional nodal features predict survival and concurrent chemotherapy benefit for stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Reliable predictors are urgently needed to identify stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients who could benefit from concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). We aimed to develop a nomogram integrating MRI-identified multidimensional features of lymph nodes to predict survival and assist the decision-making of CCRT for stage II NPC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 242 stage II NPC patients treated from January 2007 to December 2017. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. Performance of nomogram was evaluated using calibration curves, Harrell Concordance Index (C-index), area under the curve (AUC) and decision curves analysis (DCA) and was compared with TNM staging. According to the individualized nomogram score, patients were classified into two risk cohorts and therapeutic efficacy of CCRT were evaluated in each cohort.

RESULTS

Three independent prognostic factors for OS: age, number and location of positive lymph nodes were included into the final nomogram. T stage was also incorporated due to its importance in clinical decision-making. Calibration plots demonstrated a good match between the predicted and our observed OS rates. C-index for nomogram was 0.726 compared with 0.537 for TNM staging (p < 0.001). DCAs confirmed the superior clinical utility of nomograms compared with TNM staging. CCRT compared to intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) delivered OS benefit to patients in the high-risk group (5-year: 89.9% vs. 72.1%; 10-year: 72.5% vs. 34.2%, p = 0.011), but not in the low-risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

This lymph node features-based nomogram demonstrated excellent discrimination and predictive accuracy for stage II patients and could identify patients who can benefit from CCRT.

A nomogram based on tumor response to induction chemotherapy may predict survival in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the clinical significance of tumor response to induction chemotherapy (IC) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) patients and further to develop a nomogram for predicting survival prognosis.

METHODS

A total of 498 patients with stage III-IVA NPC applying IC and concurrent chemotherapy were reviewed (training cohort, n = 376; validation cohort, n = 122).

RESULTS

Tumor response was an independent predictor for clinical outcomes. The nomogram included age, N stage, pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and tumor response achieved an ideal C-index of 0.703 (95% CI 0.655-0.751) in the validation cohort for predicting overall survival (OS), which outperformed than that of the TNM system alone (C-index, 0.670, 95% CI: 0.622-0.718). In addition, the nomogram could successfully classified patients into different risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

We established and validated a precise and convenient nomogram based on tumor response for predicting the OS of LANPC patients.

Prognostic value of cervical nodal necrosis on staging imaging of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in era of intensity-modulated radiotherapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purposes

To systematically review and perform meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic value of cervical nodal necrosis (CNN) on the staging computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in era of intensity-modulated radiotherapy.

Methods

Literature search through PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library was conducted. The hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of CNN for distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were extracted from the eligible studies and meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the pooled HRs with 95%CI.

Results

Nine studies, which investigated the prognostic values of 6 CNN patterns on MRI were included. Six/9 studies were eligible for meta-analysis, which investigated the CNN presence/absence in any nodal group among 4359 patients. The pooled unadjusted HRs showed that the CNN presence predicted poor DMFS (HR =1.89, 95%CI =1.72-2.08), DFS (HR =1.57, 95%CI =1.08-2.26), and OS (HR =1.87, 95%CI =1.69-2.06). The pooled adjusted HRs also showed the consistent results for DMFS (HR =1.34, 95%CI =1.17-1.54), DFS (HR =1.30, 95%CI =1.08-1.56), and OS (HR =1.61, 95%CI =1.27-2.04). Results shown in the other studies analysing different CNN patterns indicated the high grade of CNN predicted poor outcome, but meta-analysis was unable to perform because of the heterogeneity of the analysed CNN patterns.

Conclusion

The CNN observed on the staging MRI is a negative factor for NPC outcome, suggesting that the inclusion of CNN is important in the future survival analysis. However, whether and how should CNN be included in the staging system warrant further evaluation.

Combined Association of Tumoral PD-L1 Expression and Pretreatment Presence of Epstein-Barr Virus DNA With Risk Stratification and Prognosis of Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Background

Little is known about whether the combination of tumor programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression and pretreatment EBV DNA status can help stratify nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients by risk of metastasis or predict prognosis.

Methods

PD-L1 expression was assessed using immunohistochemical staining of 78 non-keratinizing NPC patients with clinical data. Survival outcomes and independent prognostic factors were identified.

Results

Seventy-eight patients were included, high PD-L1 expression was observed in 25 of 43 patients (58%) with metastasis, while it was observed only in 7 of 35 patients (20%) without metastasis. Multivariate analyses showed that progression-free survival (PFS) was independently predicted by tumoral PD-L1 expression and pretreatment EBV DNA status. When combining, 93.75% patients with high PD-L1 and EBV infection developed distant metastasis, and those patients were associated with worse PFS.

Conclusions

Both PD-L1 expression and pretreatment EBV DNA are closely related to metastasis and prognosis of NPC patients. Their combination can facilitate risk stratification and prognosis prediction, which may improve disease treatment and management.

Adding Concurrent Chemotherapy Significantly Improves the Survival of Stage II-IVb Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients Treated With Concurrent Anti-EGFR Agents

Objective

Anti-EGFR Targeted agents were found to be capable of modulating the antitumor immunity in head and neck cancer and become more and more frequently used in the treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma(NPC). We aimed to explore whether adding concurrent chemotherapy influences the survival outcome of patients with stage II-IVb NPC treated with concurrent anti-EGFR agents and intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) and explore other prognostic factors for the patients.

Materials and Methods

A total of 656 stage II-IVb NPC patients treated with concurrent anti-EGFR agents plus IMRT between January 2011 and November 2015 were enrolled. Firstly, from these patients, a well-balanced cohort of 302 patients who received concurrent chemotherapy was created by matching potential prognostic factors. Furthermore, for all 656 stage II-IVb NPC patients, univariate and multivariate analyses of overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were conducted to identify prognostic factors and to confirm the findings from the matching cohort.

Results

Compared with concurrent anti-EGFR agents alone, combining concurrent cisplatin and anti-EGFR agents significantly improved the OS (5-year 94.7% versus 84.3%, P=0.012) and PFS (5-year 82.0% versus 71.7%, P=0.039) of NPC patients with more severe hematologic toxicity and mucositis. The independent prognostic factors identified by multivariate analysis of OS and PFS included concurrent chemotherapy, epstein-barr virus(EBV) status and clinical stage. Patients treated without induction chemotherapy (IC) may achieve more benefits from the addition of concurrent chemotherapy to concurrent anti-EGFR agents.

Conclusions

For stage II-IVb NPC patients treated with concurrent anti-EGFR agents, the addition of concurrent chemotherapy can significantly improve the survival outcome.

High-Risk Human Papillomavirus and Epstein-Barr Virus Coinfection: A Potential Role in Head and Neck Carcinogenesis

Simple Summary

A subset of carcinomas that arise in the head and neck region show a viral etiology. In fact, a subgroup of oropharyngeal cancers are caused by some types of human papillomavirus (HPV), so-called high-risk (HR)-HPVs, whereas undifferentiated nasopharyngeal carcinomas are etiologically related to Epstein–Barr virus (EBV). However, studies have reported the presence of both HR-HPV and EBV in some types of head and neck cancers. In this review, we discuss the potential contribution and role of HR-HPV/EBV coinfection in head and neck carcinogenesis, as well as the mechanisms that are potentially involved. In addition, HR-HPV/EBV interaction models are proposed.

Abstract

High-risk human papillomaviruses (HR-HPVs) and Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) are recognized oncogenic viruses involved in the development of a subset of head and neck cancers (HNCs). HR-HPVs are etiologically associated with a subset of oropharyngeal carcinomas (OPCs), whereas EBV is a recognized etiological agent of undifferentiated nasopharyngeal carcinomas (NPCs). In this review, we address epidemiological and mechanistic evidence regarding a potential cooperation between HR-HPV and EBV for HNC development. Considering that: (1) both HR-HPV and EBV infections require cofactors for carcinogenesis; and (2) both oropharyngeal and oral epithelium can be directly exposed to carcinogens, such as alcohol or tobacco smoke, we hypothesize possible interaction mechanisms. The epidemiological and experimental evidence suggests that HR-HPV/EBV cooperation for developing a subset of HNCs is plausible and warrants further investigation.

Prognostic Factors for Overall Survival in Nasopharyngeal Cancer and Implication for TNM Staging by UICC: A Systematic Review of the Literature

This study aims to identify prognostic factors in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) to improve the current 8th edition TNM classification. A systematic review of the literature reported between 2013 and 2019 in PubMed, Embase, and Scopus was conducted. Studies were included if (1) original clinical studies, (2) ≥50 NPC patients, and (3) analyses on the association between prognostic factors and overall survival. The data elements of eligible studies were abstracted and analyzed. A level of evidence was synthesized for each suggested change to the TNM staging and prognostic factors. Of 5,595 studies screened, 108 studies (44 studies on anatomical criteria and 64 on non-anatomical factors) were selected. Proposed changes/factors with strong evidence included the upstaging paranasal sinus to T4, defining parotid lymph node as N3, upstaging N-category based on presence of lymph node necrosis, as well as the incorporation of non-TNM factors including EBV-DNA level, primary gross tumor volume (GTV), nodal GTV, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, lactate dehydrogenase, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, platelet count, SUVmax of the primary tumor, and total lesion glycolysis. This systematic review provides a useful summary of suggestions and prognostic factors that potentially improve the current staging system. Further validation studies are warranted to confirm their significance.

Impact of smoking on survival in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A cohort study with 23,325 patients diagnosed from 1990 to 2016

BACKGROUND

We aimed to compare the survival outcomes of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) who had different smoking behaviors and were treated with two- or three-dimensional radiotherapy (2D/3DRT) or intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) with a long-term follow up.

METHODS

From 1990 to 2016, 23,325 patients with NPC were included. The primary endpoint of this study was overall survival (OS). The log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression model were used to assess the patients' survival outcomes.

RESULTS

The 5-year OS rates in the entire cohort were 76.4%, 68.9%, and 79.8% in the former, current, and never smokers, respectively. In the IMRT cohort, the OS rates showed the same trend. Compared with the never smokers, the 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) was lower in the former (P = 0.004) and current smokers (P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis of the IMRT cohort, the risk of death (P = 0.003) and recurrence (P = 0.027) was higher in the current smokers, while the risk of metastasis was higher in the former and current smokers (P = 0.031 and P = 0.019, respectively) than the never smokers. A total of 53.9% of the effect of smoking status on OS was through sex, age, and Epstein-Barr virus DNA, which were significant mediators.

CONCLUSION

In the IMRT era, being a former smoker or current smoker was an independent risk factor for DMFS. The difference in OS and locoregional relapse-free survival was significant only between the current smokers and never smokers.

A systematic review and recommendations on the use of plasma EBV DNA for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is an endemic malignancy in Southeast Asia, particularly Southern China. The classical non-keratinising cell type is almost unanimously associated with latent Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection. Circulating plasma EBV DNA can be a useful biomarker in various clinical aspects, but comprehensive recommendations and international guidelines are still lacking. We conducted a systematic review of all original articles on the clinical application of plasma EBV DNA for NPC; we further evaluated its strengths and limitations for consideration as standard recommendations.

METHODS

The search terms 'nasopharyngeal OR nasopharynx', and 'plasma EBV DNA OR cell-free EBV OR cfEBV' were used to identify full-length articles published up to December 2020 in the English literature. Three authors independently reviewed the article titles, removed duplicates and reviewed the remaining articles for eligibility.

RESULTS

A total of 81 articles met the eligibility criteria. Based on the levels of evidence and grades of recommendation assessed, it is worth considering the inclusion of plasma EBV DNA in screening, pre-treatment work-up for enhancing prognostication and tailoring of treatment strategy, monitoring during radical treatment, post-treatment surveillance for early detection of relapse, and monitoring during salvage treatment for recurrent or metastatic NPC. One major limitation is the methodology of measurement requiring harmonisation for consistent comparability.

CONCLUSIONS

The current comprehensive review supports the inclusion of plasma EBV DNA in international guidelines in the clinical aspects listed, but methodological issues must be resolved before global application.

Predictive Value of ERCC1 mRNA Level from Receiver-Operator Characteristic and Pretreatment EBV-DNA Virus Load in Stage II Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients Receiving Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy with Concurrent Cisplatin

Background: The molecular mechanisms underlying chemoresistance are still poorly understood in nasopharyngeal cancer; the protein expression of ERCC1 in DNA repair genes has been reported related to resistance platinum and predicting treatment outcomes in various malignant carcinomas, but the benefit for predicting outcomes with optimal cutoff value of ERCC1mRNA is controversial. The level of plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA is positively correlated with clinical stages of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The predictive value of ERCC1mRNA from receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) and EBV-DNA level for stratified treatment with stage II NPC is exactly unclear. This study aims to assess the predictive value of combined EBV-DNA and ERCC1 in stage II nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) patients treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) with concurrent cisplatin, and provide guidance for future stratified treatment. Methods: A total of 86 stage II NPC patients who received IMRT and concurrent cisplatin-based chemotherapy with or without cisplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy had measurements of ERCC1 mRNA, and pretreatment EBV-DNA levels were analyzed by real-time PCR (RT-PCR). Associations of ERCC1 mRNA and pretreatment EBV-DNA levels with clinical characteristics and survivals were evaluated. Results: Cutoff value of ERCC1 mRNA obtained from ROC curve was used, and there were significant differences in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) and overall response rate (ORR) between high expression group and low expression group (p = 0.021 and 0.030 and 0.000, respectively). Patients with pretreatment EBV-DNA <2000 copies/mL had significantly better PFS and ORR (p = 0.024 and 0.043, respectively) and a marginally significant impact on OS (p = 0.062) than those with pretreatment EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL. Patients were divided into three groups by combination of ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA level: ERCC1 mRNA low expression/pre-EBV-DNA <2000 copies/mL, ERCC1 mRNA low expression/pre-EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL, and ERCC1 mRNA high expression/pre-EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL. There were significant differences in ORR among the three groups (p = 0.005). The median follow-up was 62 months (range 22-84) with a follow-up rate of 90.70%. In these groups by combination of ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA level, 1, 3, 5-year OS were 100%, 100%, 100%; 100%, 94.1%, 90.9%; and 100%, 85%, 72.9%, respectively (p = 0.038); 1, 3, 5-year PFS were 100%, 100%, 100%; 97.1%, 91.2%, 84.8%; and 95%, 85%, 71.4%, respectively (p = 0.028). Multivariate analysis showed that combination of ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA levels remained independent prognostic factor but not ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA alone. Conclusions: Combined ERCC1 mRNA and pre-EBV-DNA is a better prognostic biomarker in stage II NPC patients treated with concurrent chemoradiation. Patients with ERCC1 mRNA high expression/pre-EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL may benefit from more aggressive treatment.

Prognostic Value of Serum Epstein-Barr Virus Antibodies and Their Correlation with TNM Classification in Patients with Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Purpose

This study assessed the correlation between Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) biomarkers and the eighth American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system and the prognostic values of IgG antibodies against replication and transcription activator (Rta-IgG), IgA antibodies against Epstein-Barr nuclear antigen 1, and BamH1 Z transactivator (Zta-IgA) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients.

Materials and Methods

Serum EBV antibody levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in 435 newly diagnosed stage III-IVA NPC patients administered intensity-modulated radiation therapy±chemotherapy. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS).

Results

Rta-IgG and Zta-IgA levels were positively correlated with the N category and clinical stage. Patients with high Rta-IgG levels (> 29.07 U/mL) showed a significantly inferior prognosis as indicated by PFS (77% vs. 89.8%, p=0.004), distant metastasis–free survival (DMFS) (88.3% vs. 95.8%, p=0.021), and local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) (91.2% vs. 98.3%, p=0.009). High Rta-IgG levels were also significantly associated with inferior PFS and LRFS in multivariable analyses. In the low-level EBV DNA group (≤ 1,500 copies/mL), patients with high Rta-IgG levels had significantly inferior PFS and DMFS (both p < 0.05). However, in the high-level EBV DNA group, Rta-IgG levels were not significantly associated with PFS, DMFS, and LRFS. In the advanced T category (T3–4) subgroup, high Rta-IgG levels were also significantly associated with inferior PFS, DMFS, and LRFS (both p < 0.05).

Conclusion

Rta-IgG and Zta-IgA levels were strongly correlated with the TNM classification. Rta-IgG level was a negative prognostic factor in locoregionally advanced NPC patients, especially those with advanced T category or low EBV DNA level.

Influence of tumor necrosis on treatment sensitivity and long-term survival in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

PURPOSE

To assess the impact of tumor necrosis on treatment sensitivity and long-term survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated using intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT).

PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS

In total, 757 patients with non-metastatic, histologically confirmed NPC were retrospectively examined. All patients were treated using IMRT; 93.7% patients with stage T3-T4/N1-N3 disease also received cisplatin-based chemotherapy.

RESULTS

The incidence rates of tumor necrosis in primary tumor, retropharyngeal lymph nodes, neck lymph nodes, and total tumor were 2%, 17.7%, 21.5%, and 31.4%. Overall, 40.8% patients with necrosis of the total tumor achieved complete response (CR) and 54.7% patients without tumor necrosis achieved CR at the end of treatment (χ² = 12.728, P < 0.001). The estimated 7-year overall survival (OS), failure-free survival (FFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and loco-regional relapse-free survival (LRRFS) for patients with tumor necrosis and without tumor necrosis of the total tumor were 68.5% vs. 88.4%, 70.5% vs. 88.1%, 77.6% vs. 90.6%, and 85.9% vs. 91.3%, respectively (all P < 0.001). Multivariate analyses indicated that necrosis of the total tumor was an independent predictor of OS, FFS, DMFS, and LRRFS. The impact of lymph node necrosis on long-term survival was similar to that of necrosis of the total tumor. ROC curves verified that inclusion of lymph node necrosis improved the predictive value of the current N classification criteria (P = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor necrosis served as a predictor of treatment sensitivity and poor prognosis for patients with NPC. Lymph node necrosis significantly improved the prognostic value of the current N classification criteria for NPC.

Combining pretreatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA level and cervical node necrosis improves prognostic stratification in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A cohort study

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of combining pretreatment Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) DNA level and cervical node necrosis (CNN) for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) receiving intensity‐modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). A total of 607 incident nonmetastatic NPC patients treated with IMRT ± chemotherapy were reviewed. Patients were divided into four groups based on EBV DNA level and CNN status. The primary endpoint was progression‐free survival (PFS). Kaplan‐Meier curves with log‐rank test were applied to compare survival outcomes and the Cox proportional model was used to identify independent prognostic factors. Pretreatment EBV DNA level and CNN status were independent prognostic factors. Patients in the low‐level EBV DNA group or non‐CNN group had significantly better 5‐year PFS. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that CNN was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.927, 95% CI: 1.129‐3.290, P = .016), PFS (HR = 1.492, 95% CI: 1.005‐2.214, P = .047), distant metastasis‐free survival (DMFS) (HR = 1.661, 95% CI: 1.044‐2.644, P = .032), but not locoregional relapse‐free survival. EBV DNA levels correlated significantly with CNN with a correlation coefficient of .324 (P < .001). Compared with low‐level EBV DNA and non‐CNN grouping, high‐level EBV DNA and CNN grouping had poor PFS. The combined classification was an independent prognostic factor for OS (P < .001), PFS (P = .001), and DMFS (P = .018). Pretreatment plasma EBV DNA level and CNN status both closely correlated with prognosis of NPC patients in the IMRT era. Combined EBV DNA level and CNN status improves risk stratification and prognostic value.