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Mu K, Zhang J, Gu Y, Huang G. Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting cardiovascular mortality risk for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in children, adolescents, and adults. Front Pediatr 2024; 12:1346006. [PMID: 38384660 PMCID: PMC10879433 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2024.1346006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2023] [Accepted: 01/22/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective This study aimed to construct and validate a nomogram for predicting cardiovascular mortality (CVM) for child, adolescent, and adult patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Materials and methods Patients with only one primary tumor of DLBCL first diagnosed between 2000 and 2019 in the SEER database were extracted. We used the cumulative incidence function (CIF) to evaluate the cumulative rate of CVM. The outcome of interest was CVM, which was analyzed using a competing risk model, accounting for death due to other causes. The total database was randomly divided into a training cohort and an internal validation cohort at a ratio of 7:3. Adjustments were for demographics, tumor characteristics, and treatment modalities. Nomograms were constructed according to these risk factors to predict CVM risk at 5, 10, and 15 years. Validation included receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, time-dependent ROC, C-index, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. Results One hundred four thousand six hundred six patients following initial diagnosis of DLBCL were included (58.3% male, median age 64 years, range 0-80, White 83.98%). Among them, 5.02% died of CVM, with a median follow-up time of 61 (31-98) months. Nomograms based on the seven risk factors (age at diagnosis, gender, race, tumor grade, Ann Arbor stage, radiation, chemotherapy) with hazard ratios ranging from 0.19-1.17 showed excellent discrimination, and calibration plots demonstrated satisfactory prediction. The 5-, 10-, and 15-year AUC and C-index of CVM in the training set were 0.716 (0.714-0.718), 0.713 (0.711-0.715), 0.706 (0.704-0.708), 0.731, 0.727, and 0.719; the corresponding figures for the validation set were 0.705 (0.688-0.722), 0.704 (0.689-0.718), 0.707 (0.693-0.722), 0.698, 0.698, and 0.699. Decision curve analysis revealed a clinically beneficial net benefit. Conclusions We first built the nomogram model for DLBCL patients with satisfactory prediction and excellent discrimination, which might play an essential role in helping physicians enact better treatment strategies at the time of initial diagnosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kai Mu
- Pediatric Heart Center, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Department of Pediatric, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- Department of Pediatric, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, China
| | - Yan Gu
- Department of Pediatric, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, China
| | - Guoying Huang
- Pediatric Heart Center, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai, China
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Hashibe M, Wei M, Lee CJ, Tao R, Koric A, Wang J, Daud A, Tay D, Shen J, Lee YCA, Chang CPE. Incident Cardiovascular Disease Risk among Older Asian, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander Breast Cancer Survivors. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2024; 33:126-135. [PMID: 37843411 PMCID: PMC10842246 DOI: 10.1158/1055-9965.epi-23-0679] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2023] [Revised: 09/11/2023] [Accepted: 10/12/2023] [Indexed: 10/17/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cardiotoxicity among breast cancer survivors is associated with chemotherapy and radiation therapy. The risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among Asian, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander (ANHPI) breast cancer survivors in the United States is unknown. METHODS We used the SEER-Medicare linked database to estimate the risk of CVD among older breast cancer survivors. International Classification of Disease diagnosis codes were used to identify incident CVD outcomes. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) comparing ANHPI with Non-Hispanic White (NHW) patients with breast cancer for CVD, and among ANHPI race and ethnicity groups. RESULTS A total of 7,122 ANHPI breast cancer survivors and 21,365 NHW breast cancer survivors were identified. The risks of incident heart failure and ischemic heart disease were lower among ANHPI compared with NHW breast cancer survivors (HRheart failure, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.61-0.84; HRheart disease, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.63-0.88). Compared with Japanese patients with breast cancer, Filipino, Asian Indian and Pakistani, and Native Hawaiian breast cancer survivors had higher risks of heart failure. ischemic heart disease and death. Among ANHPI breast cancer survivors, risk factors for heart failure included older age, higher comorbidity score, distant cancer stage and chemotherapy. CONCLUSIONS Our results support heterogeneity in CVD outcomes among breast cancer survivors among ANHPI race and ethnicity groups. Further research is needed to elucidate the disparities experienced among ANHPI breast cancer survivors. IMPACT Filipino, Asian Indian and Pakistani, and Native Hawaiian patients with breast cancer had higher risks of heart failure, ischemic heart disease and death among ANHPI patients with breast cancer.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mia Hashibe
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Utah Cancer Registry, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Mei Wei
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Division of Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Catherine J. Lee
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Division of Hematology & Hematologic Malignancies, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Randa Tao
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Alzina Koric
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Jing Wang
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Anees Daud
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Djin Tay
- College of Nursing, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Jincheng Shen
- Division of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Yuan-chin A. Lee
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Chun-Pin E. Chang
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
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Contributions of cancer treatment, comorbidities, and obesity to aging-related disease risks among non-Hodgkin lymphoma survivors. Cancer Causes Control 2023; 34:171-180. [PMID: 36414860 DOI: 10.1007/s10552-022-01652-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2022] [Accepted: 11/01/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE It is unknown whether cancer treatment contributes more to long-term disease risk than lifestyle factors and comorbidities among B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma (B-NHL) survivors. METHODS B-NHL survivors were identified in the Utah Cancer Registry from 1997 to 2015. Population attributable fractions (PAF) were calculated to assess the role of clinical and lifestyle factors for six cardiovascular, pulmonary, and renal diseases. RESULTS Cancer treatment contributed to 11% of heart and pulmonary conditions and 14.1% of chronic kidney disease. Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) at baseline contributed to all six diseases with a range of 9.9% of heart disease to 26.5% of chronic kidney disease. High BMI at baseline contributed to 18.4% of congestive heart failure and 7.9% of pneumonia, while smoking contributed to 4.8% of COPD risk. CONCLUSION Cancer treatment contributed more to heart disease, COPD, and chronic kidney disease than lifestyle factors and comorbidities among B-NHL survivors. High BMI at baseline contributed more to congestive heart failure and pneumonia than cancer treatment, whereas smoking at baseline was not a major contributor in this B-NHL survivor cohort. Baseline comorbidities consistently demonstrated high attributable risks for these diseases, demonstrating a strong association between preexisting comorbidities and aging-related disease risks.
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Ocier K, Abdelaziz S, Kim S, Rowe K, Snyder J, Deshmukh VG, Newman M, Fraser A, Smith KR, Porucznik CA, Shoaf K, Stanford JB, Lee CJ, Hashibe M. Age-Related Disease Risks in Younger versus Older B-Cell Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma Survivors. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2021; 30:2268-2277. [PMID: 34732401 PMCID: PMC9894530 DOI: 10.1158/1055-9965.epi-21-0190] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2021] [Revised: 05/05/2021] [Accepted: 09/03/2021] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Younger cancer survivors may develop age-related diseases due to the cancer treatment that they undergo. The aim of this population-based study is to estimate incidence of age-related diseases besides cardiovascular disease among younger versus older B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (B-NHL) survivors compared with their respective general population cohorts. METHODS Survivors of B-NHL were diagnosed between 1997 and 2015 from the Utah Cancer Registry. Using the Utah Population Database, up to 5 cancer-free individuals from the general population were matched with a B-NHL survivor on sex, birth year, and state of birth. Hazard ratios (HR) for age-related disease outcomes, which were identified from medical records and statewide health care facility data, were estimated using Cox Proportional Hazards models for B-NHL survivors diagnosed at <65 years versus ≥65 years at least 5 years since B-NHL diagnosis. RESULTS Comparing 2,129 B-NHL survivors with 8,969 individuals from the general population, younger B-NHL survivors had higher relative risks of acute renal failure [HR, 2.24; 99% confidence interval (CI), 1.48-3.39; P heterogeneity = 0.017), pneumonia (HR, 2.42; 99% CI, 1.68-3.49; P heterogeneity = 0.055), and nutritional deficiencies (HR, 2.08; 99% CI, 1.48-2.92; P heterogeneity = 0.051) ≥5 years after cancer diagnosis. CONCLUSION Younger B-NHL survivors had higher relative risks of acute renal failure, pneumonia, and nutritional deficiencies than older B-NHL survivors compared with their respective general population cohorts, ≥5 years after cancer diagnosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Krista Ocier
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | | | - Seungmin Kim
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Kerry Rowe
- Intermountain Healthcare, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - John Snyder
- Intermountain Healthcare, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | | | - Michael Newman
- University of Utah Health Sciences Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Alison Fraser
- Pedigree and Population Resource, Population Sciences, Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Ken R Smith
- Pedigree and Population Resource, Population Sciences, Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Christina A Porucznik
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Kimberley Shoaf
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Joseph B Stanford
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Catherine J Lee
- Division of Hematology and Hematologic Malignancies, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Mia Hashibe
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah.
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, Utah
- Utah Cancer Registry, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah
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