Response to induction chemotherapy predicts survival outcomes in oropharyngeal cancer

MR radiomics unveils neoadjuvant chemo-responsiveness with insights into selective treatment de-intensification in HPV-positive oropharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Accurate prediction of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) response allows for NAC-guided personalized treatment de-intensification in HPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). In this study, we aimed to apply baseline MR radiomic features to predict NAC response to help select NAC-guided de-intensification candidates, and to explore biological underpinnings of response-oriented radiomics.

METHODS

Pre-treatment MR images and clinical data of 131 patients with HPV-positive OPSCC were retrieved from Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center. Patients were divided into training cohort (n = 47), validation cohort 1 (n = 49) from NAC response-adapted de-intensification trial (IChoice-01, NCT04012502) and real-world validation cohort 2 (n = 35). NAC prediction model using linear support vector machine (SVM) was built and validated. Subsequent nomograms combined radiomics and clinical characteristics were established to predict survival outcomes. RNA-seq and proteomic data were compared to interpret the molecular features underlying radiomic signatures with differential NAC response.

FINDINGS

For NAC response prediction, the fusion model with both oropharyngeal and nodal signatures achieved encouraging performance to predict good responders in the training cohort (AUC 0·89, 95% CI, 0·79-0·95) and validation cohort 1 (AUC 0·71, 95% CI, 0·59-0·83). For prognosis prediction, radiomics-based nomograms exhibited satisfactory discriminative ability between low-risk and high-risk patients (PFS, C-index 0·85, 0·76 and 0·83; OS, C-index 0·79, 0·76 and 0·87, respectively) in three cohorts. Expression analysis unveiled NAC poor responders had predominantly enhanced keratinization while good responders were featured by upregulated immune response and oxidative stress.

INTERPRETATION

The MR-based radiomic models and prognostic models efficiently discriminate among patients with different NAC response and survival risk, which help candidate selection in HPV-positive OPSCC with regard to personalized treatment de-intensification.

Clinical prognostic factors to guide treatment strategy for HPV‑positive oropharyngeal cancer using treatment outcomes of induction chemotherapy: A real‑world experience

The role of induction chemotherapy (IC) in locally advanced oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) remains debatable, and suitable candidates for de-escalation treatment in these patients have not been fully identified. Therefore, the present study aimed to identify high-risk candidates for human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive OPC by analyzing patients who underwent IC followed by chemoradiotherapy (CRT) to guide optimal treatment strategies. Patients diagnosed with stage III-IVA OPC and treated with a minimum of two cycles of IC followed by CRT, between 2004 and 2020, were retrospectively reviewed. All the patients were restaged according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer, 8th edition. The overall response rate and survival outcomes associated with clinical factors based on HPV status were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses. The present study analyzed 105 patients with a median age of 60 years (range, 40-76 years). Among 105 patients, 40 (38.1%) were HPV-negative and 65 (61.9%) HPV-positive. In all patients, survival outcomes were notably poorer in patients aged ≥60 years (P=0.006) and those who did not achieve complete response post-CRT (P<0.001), irrespective of the HPV status. The median relative dose intensity of IC was ≥80%, indicating adequate treatment, regardless of age. In contrast to patients with HPV-negative OPC, age ≥60 years (P=0.011) and T4 stage (P=0.019) emerged as substantial poor prognostic factors for survival outcomes in patients with HPV-positive OPC. Patients with HPV-positive OPC were categorized into three groups based on the number of clinical factors at diagnosis (such as age and T4 stage). The progression-free and overall survival showed significant stratification across each group as the number of high-risk factors increased despite IC and CRT. The findings indicated that patients with these high-risk factors require a cautious therapeutic strategy even when they are diagnosed with HPV-positive OPC, and the role of combined modality, including IC, will need to be investigated in a randomized trial to be routinely incorporated into clinical practice.

Predictors of Myelosuppression for Patients with Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma After Induction Chemotherapy

Background

Induction chemotherapy (ICT) has become an initial treatment for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). However, myelosuppression, an unavoidable side effect of ICT, significantly impacts follow-up treatment and prognosis. The main objective of this study is to identify the risk factors and predictors of myelosuppression and its different severity after ICT for ICT.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed medical records of 102 patients with hypopharyngeal cancer or oropharyngeal cancer who received initial ICT from 2013 to 2022. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for myelosuppression. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated using the results of multiple logistic regression analysis to identify data with the highest sensitivity and lowest false-negative rate.

Results

Pretreatment lymphocyte count (PLC) and the pretreatment platelet count (PPC) were identified as independent risk factors of myelosuppression (P < .05). Pretreatment hemoglobin count (PHC) was an independent risk factor for predicting myelosuppression in patients with grades III to IV disease. Patients with myelosuppression after ICT are more sensitive to chemotherapy.

Conclusions

The PLC and PPC predicted myelosuppression in patients with HNSCC-administered ICT, and the PHC predicted grades III to IV myelosuppression. Myelosuppressed patients were more chemosensitive after ICT.

Selective Treatment Deintensification by Reducing Radiation Dose and Omitting Concurrent Chemotherapy Based on Response to Induction Chemotherapy in Human Papillomavirus-Associated Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Single-Arm, Phase 2 Trial (IChoice-01)

PURPOSE

To demonstrate the feasibility of deintensification regimen in the light of the response to induction chemotherapy (IC) in human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Patients with p16+ OPSCC, T1-2/N1-3M0 (excluding T1N1M0 with single and ≤3 cm lymph node) or T3-4N0-3M0 were enrolled between January 2019 and July 2021. All patients received 2 cycles of IC with docetaxel 75 mg/m2 dL and cisplatin 75 mg/m2 dL every 3 weeks. Those with major responses (≥50% decrease in both primary and lymph nodes) to IC entered the deintensification cohort (cohort D), in which intensity modulated radiation therapy alone was given to a reduced dose of 60 Gy/30 fractions. Those who failed to meet major responsesentered the concurrent chemoradiotherapy cohort (cohort C), where the dose was simultaneously integrated boosted to a standard 70 Gy/35 fractions to nonmajor response sites, concurrently with cisplatin 80 mg/m2 dL,22. Patient-reported swallow function was documented using the MD Anderson Dysphagia Inventory. The primary endpoint was 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) using Simon's 2 stage design.

RESULTS

A total of 26 of 48 (54.2%) participants met the criteria to enter cohort D and 22 of 48 (45.8%) patients entered cohort C. With a median follow-up time of 29.7 months (6.9-48.0 months), 2-year PFS and OS rates were 85.4% and 93.6%, respectively for all enrolled patients. In cohort D, 2-year PFS and OS rates were both 100%. Grade 3 and 4 IC-related toxicities included leukopenia/neutropenia occurring in 41.7% and hyponatremia in 4.2% of patients. A higher incidence of grade 3 and 4 mucositis (61.9% vs 23.1% P = .022) was observed in cohort C. Consistent decline in longitudinal MD Anderson Dysphagia Inventory scores were observed at month 3 after radiation therapy between cohorts and both were found to recover to baseline at month 12.

CONCLUSIONS

Selective radiation therapy dose reduction and concurrent chemotherapy removal based on IC response in HPV + OPSCC was feasible and promising. Further study of this strategy to balance efficacy and toxicity is warranted in a prospective controlled trial.