Association of stress hyperglycemia ratio with in-hospital new-onset atrial fibrillation and long-term outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction

Independent effects of the glucose-to-glycated hemoglobin ratio on mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The glucose-to-glycated hemoglobin ratio (GAR) represents stress hyperglycemia, which has been closely associated with adverse outcomes in cardio-cerebrovascular diseases. No studies have examined the association between stress hyperglycemia and atrial fibrillation (AF) in critically ill patients. This study aims to explore the relationship between GAR and the prognosis of critically ill patients with AF.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of patients was selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. The GAR was calculated based on fasting blood glucose and glycated hemoglobin levels measured after admission. The primary outcome was the 30-day mortality rate, with secondary outcomes being the 90-day and 365-day mortality rates. The GAR was divided into tertiles, and Kaplan-Meier analysis was employed to compare differences in mortality rates between groups. The Cox proportional hazards model and restricted cubic splines (RCS) were utilized to evaluate the relationship between the GAR and mortality. Subsequently, a segmented regression model was constructed to analyze threshold effects in cases where nonlinear relationships were determined.

RESULTS

In this cohort, the second tertile of the GAR exhibited lower mortality rates at 30 days (10.56% vs 6.33% vs 14.51%), 90 days (17.11% vs 10.09% vs 17.88%), and 365 days (25.30% vs 16.15% vs 22.72%). In the third tertile, the risk of mortality at 30 days increased by 165% (HR = 2.65, 95% CI 1.99-3.54, p < 0.001), at 90 days increased by 113% (HR = 2.13, 95% CI 1.68-2.70, p < 0.001), and at 365 days increased by 70% (HR = 1.70, 95% CI 1.68-2.70, p < 0.001). The association between the GAR and patient mortality demonstrated a "J-shaped" non-linear correlation. Once the GAR exceeded 15.915, each incremental unit increase in the ratio was associated with a 27.2% increase in the risk of 30-day mortality in critically ill atrial fibrillation patients (HR = 1.262, 95% CI 1.214-1.333, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The GAR is associated with both short-term and long-term mortality in critically ill patients with AF in a J-shaped relationship. Both low and excessively high GAR values indicate poor prognosis.

J-shaped relationship between stress hyperglycemia ratio and 90-day and 180-day mortality in patients with a first diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction: analysis of the MIMIC-IV database

AIMS

The Stress Hyperglycemia Ratio (SHR) potently predicts adverse outcomes in patients with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. However, the relationship between SHR and short-term mortality risk in patients with a first diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remains contentious. This study sought to understand better the relationship between SHR and short-term mortality risk in patients with a first diagnosis of AMI.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study using data from 1961 patients with a first diagnosis of AMI from the MIMIC-IV (version 2.2) database. Patients were divided into three groups based on SHR tertiles. The Cox proportional hazards model and a two-segmented Cox proportional hazards model were used to elucidate the nonlinear relationship between SHR in patients with a first diagnosis of AMI and mortality.

RESULTS

Of the surveyed population, 175 patients (8.92%) died within 90 days, and 210 patients (10.71%) died within 180 days. After multivariate adjustments, elevated SHR levels were significantly and non-linearly associated with a higher risk of 90-day and 180-day mortality in patients with a first diagnosis of AMI, showing a J-shaped correlation with an inflection point at 0.9. Compared to participants with SHR levels below the inflection point, those with higher SHR levels had a fivefold increased risk of 90-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 5.74; 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.19, 10.33) and a fourfold increased risk of 180-day mortality (HR 4.56; 95% CI 2.62, 7.95). In the subgroup analysis, patients with pre-diabetes mellitus (pre-DM) and higher SHR levels had increased 90-day (HR 6.90; 95% CI  1.98, 24.02) and 180-day mortality risks (HR 5.30; 95% CI  1.96, 14.27).

CONCLUSION

In patients with a first diagnosis of AMI, there is a J-shaped correlation between SHR and 90-day and 180-day mortality, with an adverse prognostic inflection point of SHR at 0.9.

Stress hyperglycemia ratio as a prognostic indicator for long-term adverse outcomes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

Recent studies highlighted that stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is a potential predictor for future risk in heart failure (HF) patients. However, its implications specifically in HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) are not yet fully elucidated. We aimed to investigate the association between SHR and long-term clinical outcomes in HFpEF patients.

METHODS

HFpEF patients enrolled between 2015 and 2023, were followed (mean 41 months) for a composite outcome of all-cause, cardiovascular mortality, and HF rehospitalization. SHR was established as the ratio of acute-chronic glycemia from admission blood glucose and glycated hemoglobin. The optimal cut-off for SHR to predict outcomes based on event prediction was determined through ROC analysis, and the cutoff was identified at 0.99. The effect of SHR on adverse risk was examined through the Cox hazards and Kaplan-Meier survival methods. A Pearson correlation analysis was conducted to assess the relationship between SHR and the severity of HF, as indicated by N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels. Furthermore, the incremental prognostic value of SHR was further assessed by the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and the net reclassification improvement (NRI).

RESULTS

Among the 400 enrolled patients, 190 individuals (47.5%) encountered composite events over the 41-month follow-up period. SHR was significantly elevated in patients with events compared with those without (p < 0.001). All patients were stratified into high SHR (n = 124) and low SHR (n = 276) groups based on the SHR cutoff. The high SHR group had a significantly higher incidence of adverse events than the low SHR group (log-rank; p < 0.001). Additional analysis indicated a poorer prognosis in patients with low left ventricular EF (LVEF) levels (50 < LVEF < 60) and high SHR (SHR > 0.99) in comparison to the other groups (log-rank p < 0.001). In adjusted analysis, after accounting for age, sex, diabetes, and NT-proBNP, elevated SHR remained independently predictive of adverse outcomes (adjusted HR: 2.34, 95% CI 1.49-3.67; p < 0.001). Furthermore, adding SHR to a model with MAGGIC score provided an incremental improvement in predicting adverse events. Additionally, SHR displayed a slight correlation with NT-proBNP.

CONCLUSION

Elevated SHR was independently associated with an increased risk for composite events of all-cause, cardiovascular mortality, and HF readmission than those with lower SHR. SHR is a valuable tool for predicting and stratifying long-term adverse risks among HFpEF patients.