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Sandoval-Martínez J, Badano EI, Guerra-Coss FA, Flores Cano JA, Flores J, Gelviz-Gelvez SM, Barragán-Torres F. Selecting tree species to restore forest under climate change conditions: Complementing species distribution models with field experimentation. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2023; 329:117038. [PMID: 36528941 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117038] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2022] [Revised: 12/09/2022] [Accepted: 12/12/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
The long-term success of forest restoration programs can be improved using climate-based species distribution models (SDMs) to predict which tree species will tolerate climate change. However, as SDMs cannot estimate if species will recruit at these habitats, determining whether their predictions apply to early life-cycle stages of trees is critical to support such a usage. For this, we propose sowing seeds of the focal tree species under the current climate and simulated climate change conditions in target restoration sites. Thus, using of SDMs to design climate-adaptive forest restoration programs would be supported if the differences in habitat occupancy probabilities of species they predict between the current and future climate concurs with the observed differences in recruitment rates of species when sowed under the current climate and simulated climate change conditions. To test this hypothesis, we calibrated SDMs for Vachellia pennatula and Prosopis laevigata, two pioneer tree species widely recommended to restore human-degraded drylands in Mexico, and transferred them to climate change scenarios. After that, we applied the experimental approach proposed above to validate the predictions of SDMs. These models predicted that V. pennatula will decrease its habitat occupancy probabilities across Mexico, while P. laevigata was predicted to keep out their current habitat occupancy probabilities, or even increase them, in climate change scenarios. The results of the field experiment supported these predictions, as recruitment rates of V. pennatula were lower under simulated climate change than under the current climate, while no differences were found for the recruitment rates of P. laevigata between these environmental conditions. These findings demonstrate that SDMs provide meaningful insights for designing climate-adaptive forest restoration programs but, before applying this methodology, predictions of these models must be validated with field experiments to determine whether the focal tree species will recruit under climate change conditions. Moreover, as the pioneer trees used to test our proposal seem to be differentially sensitive to climate change, this approach also allows establishing what species must be prescribed to restore forests with a view to the future and what species must be avoided in these practices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jesús Sandoval-Martínez
- IPICYT/División de Ciencias Ambientales, Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica, Camino a la Presa San José 2055, Colonia Lomas 4(a) Sección, 78216, San Luis Potosí, Mexico
| | - Ernesto I Badano
- IPICYT/División de Ciencias Ambientales, Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica, Camino a la Presa San José 2055, Colonia Lomas 4(a) Sección, 78216, San Luis Potosí, Mexico.
| | - Francisco A Guerra-Coss
- IPICYT/División de Ciencias Ambientales, Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica, Camino a la Presa San José 2055, Colonia Lomas 4(a) Sección, 78216, San Luis Potosí, Mexico
| | - Jorge A Flores Cano
- Facultad de Agronomía y Veterinaria, Universidad Autónoma de San Luis Potosí, Carretera San Luis - Matehuala Km. 14.5, Ejido Palma de la Cruz, 78321, Soledad de Graciano Sánchez, San Luis Potosí, Mexico
| | - Joel Flores
- IPICYT/División de Ciencias Ambientales, Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica, Camino a la Presa San José 2055, Colonia Lomas 4(a) Sección, 78216, San Luis Potosí, Mexico
| | - Sandra Milena Gelviz-Gelvez
- Instituto de Investigación de Zonas Desérticas, Universidad Autónoma de San Luis Potosí, De Altaïr 200, Colonia del Llano, 78377, San Luis Potosí, Mexico
| | - Felipe Barragán-Torres
- CONACYT-IPICYT/División de Ciencias Ambientales, Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica, Camino a la Presa San José 2055, Colonia Lomas 4a Sección, 78216, San Luis Potosí, Mexico
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Fink S, Gross A, Senn-Irlet B, Scheidegger C. Citizen science data predict high potential for macrofungal refugia outside protected riparian areas. FUNGAL ECOL 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.funeco.2020.100981] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
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Henckel L, Bradter U, Jönsson M, Isaac NJB, Snäll T. Assessing the usefulness of citizen science data for habitat suitability modelling: Opportunistic reporting versus sampling based on a systematic protocol. DIVERS DISTRIB 2020. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Laura Henckel
- Swedish Species Information Centre (ArtDatabanken) Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU) Uppsala Sweden
| | - Ute Bradter
- Swedish Species Information Centre (ArtDatabanken) Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU) Uppsala Sweden
| | - Mari Jönsson
- Swedish Species Information Centre (ArtDatabanken) Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU) Uppsala Sweden
| | | | - Tord Snäll
- Swedish Species Information Centre (ArtDatabanken) Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU) Uppsala Sweden
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May TW, Cooper JA, Dahlberg A, Furci G, Minter DW, Mueller GM, Pouliot A, Yang Z. Recognition of the discipline of conservation mycology. CONSERVATION BIOLOGY : THE JOURNAL OF THE SOCIETY FOR CONSERVATION BIOLOGY 2019; 33:733-736. [PMID: 30264893 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.13228] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2018] [Revised: 09/18/2018] [Accepted: 09/21/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Tom W May
- Royal Botanic Gardens Victoria, Birdwood Avenue, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia
| | - Jerry A Cooper
- Manaaki Whenua - Landcare Research, 54 Gerald Street, Lincoln, 7608, New Zealand
| | - Anders Dahlberg
- Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, P.O. Box 7026, 750 07, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Giuliana Furci
- Fundación Fungi, Paseo Bulnes 79 oficina 112A, Santiago, Chile
| | | | - Gregory M Mueller
- Chicago Botanic Garden, 1000 Lake Cook Road, Glencoe, IL, 60022, U.S.A
| | - Alison Pouliot
- Fenner School, Australian National University, Linnaeus Way, Canberra, ACT, 2601, Australia
| | - Zhuliang Yang
- Kunming Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, 650201, Yunnan, China
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Mair L, Jönsson M, Räty M, Bärring L, Strandberg G, Lämås T, Snäll T. Land use changes could modify future negative effects of climate change on old-growth forest indicator species. DIVERS DISTRIB 2018. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12771] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/25/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Louise Mair
- Swedish Species Information Centre; Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU); Uppsala Sweden
| | - Mari Jönsson
- Swedish Species Information Centre; Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU); Uppsala Sweden
| | - Minna Räty
- Swedish Species Information Centre; Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU); Uppsala Sweden
| | - Lars Bärring
- Rossby Centre; Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI); Norrköping Sweden
| | - Gustav Strandberg
- Rossby Centre; Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI); Norrköping Sweden
| | - Tomas Lämås
- Department of Forest Resource Management; Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU); Umeå Sweden
| | - Tord Snäll
- Swedish Species Information Centre; Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU); Uppsala Sweden
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Bradter U, Mair L, Jönsson M, Knape J, Singer A, Snäll T. Can opportunistically collected Citizen Science data fill a data gap for habitat suitability models of less common species? Methods Ecol Evol 2018. [DOI: 10.1111/2041-210x.13012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 47] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Ute Bradter
- Swedish Species Information CentreSwedish University of Agricultural Sciences Uppsala Sweden
| | - Louise Mair
- Swedish Species Information CentreSwedish University of Agricultural Sciences Uppsala Sweden
- School of Natural and Environmental SciencesNewcastle University Newcastle upon Tyne UK
| | - Mari Jönsson
- Swedish Species Information CentreSwedish University of Agricultural Sciences Uppsala Sweden
| | - Jonas Knape
- Department of EcologySwedish University of Agricultural Sciences Uppsala Sweden
| | - Alexander Singer
- Swedish Species Information CentreSwedish University of Agricultural Sciences Uppsala Sweden
| | - Tord Snäll
- Swedish Species Information CentreSwedish University of Agricultural Sciences Uppsala Sweden
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