How do steppe plants follow their optimal environmental conditions or persist under suboptimal conditions? The differing strategies of annuals and perennials

Tree Growth Conditions Are Demanded When Optimal, Are Unwanted When Limited, but When Are They Suboptimal?

The recent climate projections predict that the intensity and frequency of extreme events will increase as a result of overall increasing mean temperature and reduced precipitations in the temperate regions of the Northern Hemisphere. How these changes will influence the harshness of the environment and the performances of trees growing under natural conditions remains an open question. In this commentary article, we would like to look at the concept of suboptimal growth conditions, widening its application from the traditional in vitro manipulation to trees growing in open air, addressing the main limitations and strengths of the upscaling results from cell to tree. We believe that the traditional single dose–effect approach is not suitable to explain the complex interactions between genotype and environment, occurring in open field or forest stands, where the intensity and frequency of the events are uncontrolled and unpredictable. As forests provide a wide range of ecosystem services, new parameters should be considered in the definition of the response thresholds in addition to growth. Thus, within this Special Issue, we stimulate the discussion over the development of new approaches and technologies that are able to define suitable threshold responses of trees under suboptimal natural conditions, with the aim to furnish new insights on the acclimation and adaptation processes in woody species under global change.

How do steppe plants follow their optimal environmental conditions or persist under suboptimal conditions? The differing strategies of annuals and perennials

For a species to be able to respond to environmental change, it must either succeed in following its optimal environmental conditions or in persisting under suboptimal conditions, but we know very little about what controls these capacities. We parameterized species distribution models (SDMs) for 135 plant species from the Algerian steppes. We interpreted low false-positive rates as reflecting a high capacity to follow optimal environmental conditions and high false-negative rates as a high capacity to persist under suboptimal environmental conditions. We also measured functional traits in the field and built a unique plant trait database for the North-African steppe. For both perennial and annual species, we explored how these two capacities can be explained by species traits and whether relevant trait values reflect species strategies or biases in SDMs. We found low false-positive rates in species with small seeds, flowers attracting specialist pollinators, and specialized distributions (among annuals and perennials), low root:shoot ratios, wide root-systems, and large leaves (perennials only) (R2 = .52-58). We found high false-negative rates in species with marginal environmental distribution (among annuals and perennials), small seeds, relatively deep roots, and specialized distributions (annuals) or large leaves, wide root-systems, and monocarpic life cycle (perennials) (R2 = .38 for annuals and 0.65 for perennials). Overall, relevant traits are rarely indicative of the possible biases of SDMs, but rather reflect the species' reproductive strategy, dispersal ability, stress tolerance, and pollination strategies. Our results suggest that wide undirected dispersal in annual species and efficient resource acquisition in perennial species favor both capacities, whereas short life spans in perennial species favor persistence in suboptimal environmental conditions and flowers attracting specialist pollinators in perennial and annual species favor following optimal environmental conditions. Species that neither follow nor persist will be at risk under future environmental change.