Prognostic impact of angiographic findings, procedural success, and timing of percutaneous coronary intervention in cardiogenic shock

The risk score for in-hospital mortality in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

Aim    To develop a scale (score system) for predicting the individual risk of in-hospital death in patients with ST segment elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) with an account of results of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).Material and methods    The analysis used data of 1 649 sequential patients with STEMI included into the hospital registry of PCI from 2006 through 2017. To test the model predictability, the original sample was divided into two groups: a training group consisting of 1150 (70 %) patients and a test group consisting of 499 (30 %) patients. The training sample was used for computing an individual score. To this purpose, β-coefficients of each variable obtained at the last stage of the multivariate logistic regression model were subjected to linear transformation. The scale was verified using the test sample.Results    Seven independent predictors of in-hospital death were determined: age ≥65 years, acute heart failure (Killip class III-IV), total myocardial ischemia time ≥180 min, anterior localization of myocardial infarction, failure of PCI, SYNTAX scale score ≥16, glycemia on admission ≥7.78 mmol/l for patients without a history of diabetes mellitus and ≥14.35 mmol/l for patients with a history of diabetes mellitus. The contribution of each value to the risk of in-hospital death was ranked from 0 to 7. A threshold total score of 10 was determined; a score ≥10 corresponded to a high probability of in-hospital death (18.2 %). In the training sample, the sensitivity was 81 %, the specificity was 80.6 %, and the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.902. In the test sample, the sensitivity was 96.2 %, the specificity was 83.3 %, and the AUC was 0.924.Conclusion    The developed scale has a good predictive accuracy in identifying patients with acute STEMI who have a high risk of fatal outcome at the hospital stage.

Prognostic Utility of Culprit SYNTAX Score in Patients With Cardiogenic Shock Complicating ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

A higher SYNTAX score (SS) is strongly associated with poor prognosis in patients with cardiogenic shock complicating ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (CS-STEMI). However, the predictive value of culprit-lesion SYNTAX score (cul-SS) and SS has not been compared although the culprit-lesion-only primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) strategy showed improved long-term survival recently. This study compared the predictive utility of cul-SS and SS for in-hospital mortality among the patients with CS-STEMI from during 2010-2019. Of the 215 patients, 79 (37%) died. SS ≥22, cul-SS ≥11, final thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) flow ≤2, and no-reflow phenomenon were associated with in-hospital mortality. In patients with multi-vessel disease, the nonsurvivors with cul-SS ≥11 had a higher mortality rate than the survivors (75.0% vs. 44.9%, p = 0.001), whereas the SS ≥22 showed no significant difference. The cul-SS ≥11 revealed only an independent factor in the multivariate analysis (OR 2.6, p = 0.010). the AUC of cul-SS ≥11 for in-hospital mortality was modest (0.617 p < 0.05), which might be augmented up to 0.745 (p < 0.001) by the combination with TIMI flow ≤2, no-reflow phenomenon, and blood total CO₂ content <15 mEq/L. The cul-SS might be more predictive than SS for in-hospital mortality in our patients with CS-STEMI.

Prognostic impact of angiographic findings, procedural success, and timing of percutaneous coronary intervention in cardiogenic shock

Aims

Urgent revascularization is the mainstay of treatment in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) related cardiogenic shock (CS). The aim was to investigate the association of angiographic results with 90‐day mortality. Procedural complications of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were also examined.

Methods and results

This CardShock (NCT01374867) substudy included 158 patients with ACS aetiology and data on coronary angiography and complications during PCI procedure. Survival analysis was conducted with Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox regression analysis. Median age was 67 ± 11 years, and 77% were men. During 90‐day follow‐up, 66 (42%) patients died. Patients with one‐vessel disease (n = 49) had lower mortality than patients with two‐vessel (n = 59) or three‐vessel (n = 50) disease (25% vs. 48% vs. 52%, P = 0.011). Successful revascularization [Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Flow 3 post‐PCI) was achieved more often in survivors than non‐survivors (81% vs. 60%, P = 0.019). The median symptom‐to‐balloon time was 340 (196–660) minutes, with no difference between survivors and non‐survivors. In multivariable mortality analysis, multivessel disease (HR 2.59, CI_95% 1.29–5.18) and TIMI flow <3 post‐PCI (HR 2.41, CI_95% 1.4–4.15) were associated with 90‐day mortality. Procedural PCI complications were recorded in 51 (35%) patients, arrhythmic complications being the most common (n = 32, 63%). The incidence of complications was similar between survivors and non‐survivors (31% vs. 42%, P = 0.21).

Conclusions

Multivessel disease is associated with worse survival in ACS‐related CS. In patients undergoing PCI, arrhythmic complications were common, but not associated with excess mortality. Successful revascularization of the IRA had positive effect on outcome despite delay from symptom onset.