Ventricular remodelling: an equal-opportunity prognosticator

Development and validation of a nomogram for major adverse cardiovascular events after chronic total occlusion percutaneous coronary intervention for ischemic heart failure

BACKGROUND

Chronic total occlusion percutaneous coronary intervention (CTO-PCI) is an available means of revascularization in patients with ischemic heart failure (IHF). However, the prognosis of IHF patients undergoing CTO-PCI remains unclear due to the lack of reliable clinical predictive tools.

AIM

This study aimed to establish a nomogram for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after CTO-PCI in IHF patients.

METHODS

Sixty-seven potential predictive variables for MACE in 560 IHF patients undergoing CTO-PCI were screened using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. A nomogram was constructed based on multivariable Cox regression to visualize the risk of MACE, and then evaluation was carried out using the concordance index (C-index), time-independent receiver operating characteristic (timeROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 32.0 months, there were 208 MACE occurrences. Seven variables were selected for nomogram construction: age, left ventricular ejection fraction, left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, N-terminal precursor B-type diuretic peptide, bending, and use of intravascular ultrasound and beta-blockers. The C-index was 0.715 (0.680-0.750) and the internal validation result was 0.715 (0.676-0.748). The timeROC area under the curve at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years was 0.750 (0.653-0.846), 0.747 (0.690-0.804), and 0.753 (0.708-0.798), respectively. The calibration curves and DCA showed the nomogram had acceptable calibration and clinical applicability.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a simple and efficient nomogram for MACE after CTO-PCI in IHF patients, which helps in early risk stratification and postoperative management optimization.

Impact of type 2 diabetes mellitus on left ventricular diastolic function in patients with essential hypertension: evaluation by volume-time curve of cardiac magnetic resonance

Background

Essential hypertension and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are two common chronic diseases that often coexist, and both of these diseases can cause heart damage. However, the additive effects of essential hypertension complicated with T2DM on left ventricle (LV) diastolic function have not been fully illustrated. This study aims to investigate whether T2DM affects the diastolic function of the LV in patients with essential hypertension using the volume-time curve from cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR).

Methods

A total of 124 essential hypertension patients, including 48 with T2DM [HTN(T2DM +) group] and 76 without T2DM [HTN(T2DM-) group], and 52 normal controls who underwent CMR scans were included in this study. LV volume-time curve parameters, including the peak ejection rate (PER), time to peak ejection rate (PET), peak filling rate (PFR), time to peak filling rate from end-systole (PFT), PER normalized to end-diastolic volume (PER/EDV), and PFR normalized to EDV (PFR/EDV), were measured and compared among the three groups. Multivariate linear regression analyses were performed to determine the effects of T2DM on LV diastolic dysfunction in patients with hypertension. Pearson correlation was used to analyse the correlation between the volume-time curve and myocardial strain parameters.

Results

PFR and PFR/EDV decreased from the control group, through HTN(T2DM −), to HTN(T2DM +) group. PFT in the HTN(T2DM-) group and HTN(T2DM +) group was significantly longer than that in the control group. The LV remodelling index in the HTN(T2DM −) and HTN(T2DM +) groups was higher than that in the normal control group, but there was no significant difference between the HTN(T2DM −) and HTN(T2DM +) groups. Multiple regression analyses controlling for covariates of systolic blood pressure, age, sex, and heart rate demonstrated that T2DM was independently associated with PFR/EDV (β = 0.252, p < 0.05). The volume-time curve method has good repeatability, and there is a significant correlation between volume-time curve parameters (PER/EDV and PFR/EDV) and myocardial peak strain rate, especially circumferential peak strain rate, which exhibited the highest correlation (r = − 0.756 ~ 0.795).

Conclusions

T2DM exacerbates LV diastolic dysfunction in patients with essential hypertension. The LV filling model changes reflected by the CMR volume-time curve could provide more information for early clinical intervention.