Predictors of new-onset atrial fibrillation in geriatric trauma patients

Benefit of continued noninvasive cardiac monitoring in geriatric trauma: A retrospective review of geriatric pelvis, hip, and femur fractures and analysis of cardiac events during immediate post-traumatic course

Objective

The geriatric population suffers from a predisposition to cardiac events due to physiologic changes commonly associated with aging. The majority of the trauma population seen at our facility is within the geriatric population (greater than 65 years old). Therefore, this study was aimed to determine which of those preexisting factors were associated with an increased risk for developing cardiac event. By assessing those risks, we hoped to determine a timeline for the highest risk of cardiac event occurrence, in order to identify a safe period of when cardiac monitoring was indicated.

Methods

A retrospective study performed over 6 months reviewing geriatric trauma patients with hip, pelvis, or femur fractures, n = 125. A list of predetermined risk factors including comorbidities, pathologies, laboratory values, electrocardiogram findings, and surgery was crossed with the patient's records in order to identify factors for increased risk of cardiac event. Once patients who had documented cardiac events were identified, a temporal pattern of cardiac event occurrence was analyzed in order to determine a period when noninvasive cardiac monitoring should remain in place.

Results

In 125 patients, 40 cardiac events occurred in 30 patients. The analyzed variables with statistically significant associations for having a cardiac event were comorbidities (p = 0.019), elevated body mass index (p = 0.001), abnormal initial phosphorus (p = 0.002), and an electrocardiogram finding of other than normal sinus rhythm (p = 0.020). Of the identified cardiac events, we found that by hospital day 3 68% of cardiac event had occurred, with 85% by hospital day 4, 95% by day 5, and 100% within the first 7 days of admission.

Conclusion

Patient history of cardiac comorbidities, elevated body mass index, abnormal phosphorus, and abnormal electrocardiogram findings were found to be significant risk factors for cardiac event development in geriatric trauma. All recorded events in our study occurred within 7 days of the initial trauma.