Impact of increased temperature on spring wheat yield in northern China

Increasing temperature during early spring increases winter wheat grain yield by advancing phenology and mitigating leaf senescence

High temperature usually reduces wheat yield, especially at critical growth stages, such as anthesis and grain filling. However, effects of increasing temperature during wintering period on winter wheat growth and development are rarely reported. Hence, this three-year field experiment evaluated how artificial warming during early spring (wintering period) affects winter wheat. The warming treatment (WT) advanced the wheat reviving, jointing, anthesis, and maturity stages, but the average temperature in each growing stage reduced, thus extending the duration of tillering, spike differentiation, and grain filling. Concurrently, the leaf area index and biomass accumulation were obviously increased. Additionally, WT showed a lower leaf senescence rate compared with that of control (CK). Also, the photosynthesis rate and SPAD of WT were increased relative to CK. WT increased superoxide dismutase and peroxidase activities, and reduced malondialdehyde content in flag leaf during the grain filling stage, suggesting WT during early spring could delay leaf senescence after anthesis, which contributed to a high filling rate and long filling duration. Correspondingly, the final spike number, kernel number, and kernel weight of WT were significantly increased compared with CK. In the three seasons, grain yield was increased by 18.2%-37.5% in WT compared with CK. Results of this study provided a new viewpoint that increasing temperature could shorten the wintering period but extend the effective growth phase, and increase grain yield in winter wheat.

Long-Term Dynamic of Cold Stress during Heading and Flowering Stage and Its Effects on Rice Growth in China

Short episodes of low-temperature stress during reproductive stages can cause significant crop yield losses, but our understanding of the dynamics of extreme cold events and their impact on rice growth and yield in the past and present climate remains limited. In this study, by analyzing historical climate, phenology and yield component data, the spatial and temporal variability of cold stress during the rice heading and flowering stages and its impact on rice growth and yield in China was characterized. The results showed that cold stress was unevenly distributed throughout the study region, with the most severe events observed in the Yunnan Plateau with altitudes higher than 1800 m. With the increasing temperature, a significant decreasing trend in cold stress was observed across most of the three ecoregions after the 1970s. However, the phenological-shift effects with the prolonged growing period during the heading and flowering stages have slowed down the cold stress decreasing trend and led to an underestimation of the magnitude of cold stress events. Meanwhile, cold stress during heading and flowering will still be a potential threat to rice production. The cold stress-induced yield loss is related to both the intensification of extreme cold stress and the contribution of related components to yield in the three regions.