Potential pitfalls in incorporating plasma Epstein‐Barr virus DNA in the management of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Prognostic Value of Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Levels Pre- and Post-Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Background

In this study, we evaluated the prognostic value of the plasma levels of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) at different treatment stages.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the Data of 206 patients with NPC. Pre-neoadjuvant chemotherapy (pre-NACT), post-NACT, post-radiotherapy, and post-treatment plasma EBV DNA levels were used to establish prognostic nomograms. The concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves were used to compare the prognostic accuracy of the nomograms. The results were confirmed in a validation cohort consisting of patients who were tested for EBV DNA levels at all four stages of treatment. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Survival differences were calculated using the log-rank test.

Results

EBV DNA-positive patients had worse 3-year PFS and 5-year OS than EBV DNA-negative patients; this was true for pre-NACT (PFS: 82.7% vs. 57.3%, P < 0.001; OS: 90.9% vs. 68.7%, P = 0.08) and post-NACT (PFS: 85.0% vs. 50.6%, P < 0.001; OS: 91.7% vs. 65.7%; P = 0.001) EBV DNA levels but not for post-radiotherapy (PFS: 72.2% vs. 60.9%, P = 0.192; OS: 73.1% vs. 77.2%, P = 0.472) or post-treatment (PFS: 77.3% vs. 59.2%, P = 0.063; OS: 77.5% vs. 79.7%, P = 0.644) levels. Nomograms combining pre-NACT and post-NACT EBV DNA levels had a superior prognostic ability than those of post-radiotherapy and post-treatment EBV DNA levels.

Conclusion

Pre-NACT EBV DNA levels combined with post-NACT EBV DNA levels can more reliably predict survival outcomes in patients with NPC.

International Recommendations on Reirradiation by Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapy for Locally Recurrent Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Reirradiation for locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is challenging because prior radiation dose delivered in the first course is often close to the tolerance limit of surrounding normal structures. A delicate balance between achieving local salvage and minimizing treatment toxicities is needed. However, high-level evidence is lacking because available reports are mostly retrospective studies on small series of patients. Pragmatic consensus guidelines, based on an extensive literature search and the pooling of opinions by leading specialists, will provide a useful reference to assist decision-making for these difficult decisions.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A thorough review of available literature on recurrent NPC was conducted. A set of questions and preliminary draft guideline was circulated to a panel of international specialists with extensive experience in this field for voting on controversial areas and comments. A refined second proposal, based on a summary of the initial voting and different opinions expressed, was recirculated to the whole panel for review and reconsideration. The current guideline was based on majority voting after repeated iteration for final agreement.

RESULTS

The initial round of questions showed variations in clinical practice even among the specialists, reflecting the lack of high-quality supporting data and the difficulties in formulating clinical decisions. Through exchange of comments and iterative revisions, recommendations with high-to-moderate agreement were formulated on general treatment strategies and details of reirradiation (including patient selection, targets contouring, dose prescription, and constraints).

CONCLUSION

This paper provides useful reference on radical salvage treatment strategies for recurrent NPC and optimization of reirradiation through review of published evidence and consensus building. However, the final decision by the attending clinician must include full consideration of an individual patient's condition, understanding of the delicate balance between risk and benefits, and acceptance of risk of complications.

Predictive Value of ERCC1 mRNA Level from Receiver-Operator Characteristic and Pretreatment EBV-DNA Virus Load in Stage II Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients Receiving Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy with Concurrent Cisplatin

Background: The molecular mechanisms underlying chemoresistance are still poorly understood in nasopharyngeal cancer; the protein expression of ERCC1 in DNA repair genes has been reported related to resistance platinum and predicting treatment outcomes in various malignant carcinomas, but the benefit for predicting outcomes with optimal cutoff value of ERCC1mRNA is controversial. The level of plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA is positively correlated with clinical stages of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The predictive value of ERCC1mRNA from receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) and EBV-DNA level for stratified treatment with stage II NPC is exactly unclear. This study aims to assess the predictive value of combined EBV-DNA and ERCC1 in stage II nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) patients treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) with concurrent cisplatin, and provide guidance for future stratified treatment. Methods: A total of 86 stage II NPC patients who received IMRT and concurrent cisplatin-based chemotherapy with or without cisplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy had measurements of ERCC1 mRNA, and pretreatment EBV-DNA levels were analyzed by real-time PCR (RT-PCR). Associations of ERCC1 mRNA and pretreatment EBV-DNA levels with clinical characteristics and survivals were evaluated. Results: Cutoff value of ERCC1 mRNA obtained from ROC curve was used, and there were significant differences in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) and overall response rate (ORR) between high expression group and low expression group (p = 0.021 and 0.030 and 0.000, respectively). Patients with pretreatment EBV-DNA <2000 copies/mL had significantly better PFS and ORR (p = 0.024 and 0.043, respectively) and a marginally significant impact on OS (p = 0.062) than those with pretreatment EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL. Patients were divided into three groups by combination of ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA level: ERCC1 mRNA low expression/pre-EBV-DNA <2000 copies/mL, ERCC1 mRNA low expression/pre-EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL, and ERCC1 mRNA high expression/pre-EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL. There were significant differences in ORR among the three groups (p = 0.005). The median follow-up was 62 months (range 22-84) with a follow-up rate of 90.70%. In these groups by combination of ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA level, 1, 3, 5-year OS were 100%, 100%, 100%; 100%, 94.1%, 90.9%; and 100%, 85%, 72.9%, respectively (p = 0.038); 1, 3, 5-year PFS were 100%, 100%, 100%; 97.1%, 91.2%, 84.8%; and 95%, 85%, 71.4%, respectively (p = 0.028). Multivariate analysis showed that combination of ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA levels remained independent prognostic factor but not ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA alone. Conclusions: Combined ERCC1 mRNA and pre-EBV-DNA is a better prognostic biomarker in stage II NPC patients treated with concurrent chemoradiation. Patients with ERCC1 mRNA high expression/pre-EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL may benefit from more aggressive treatment.

Dynamic Changes of Post-Radiotherapy Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA in a Randomized Trial of Adjuvant Chemotherapy Versus Observation in Nasopharyngeal Cancer

PURPOSE

To study the dynamic changes in plasma Epstein-Barr virus (pEBV) DNA after radiotherapy in nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We conducted a randomized controlled trial of adjuvant chemotherapy versus observation in patients with NPC who had detectable pEBV DNA at 6 weeks post-radiotherapy. Randomized patients had a second pEBV DNA checked at 6 months post-randomization. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

We prospectively enrolled 789 patients. Baseline post-radiotherapy pEBV DNA was undetectable in 573 (72.6%) patients, and detectable in 216 (27.4%) patients, of whom 104 (13.2%) patients were eligible for randomization to adjuvant chemotherapy (n = 52) versus observation (n = 52). The first post-radiotherapy pEBV DNA had a sensitivity of 0.48, specificity of 0.81, area under receiver-operator characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.65, false positive (FP) rate of 13.8%, and false negative (FN) rate of 14.4% for disease progression. The second post-radiotherapy pEBV DNA had improved sensitivity of 0.81, specificity of 0.75, AUC of 0.78, FP rate of 14.3%, and FN rate of 8.1%. Patients with complete clearance of post-radiotherapy pEBV DNA (51%) had survival superior to that of patients without post-radiotherapy pEBV DNA clearance (5-year PFS, 85.5% vs. 23.3%; HR, 9.6; P < 0.0001), comparable with patients with initially undetectable post-radiotherapy pEBV DNA (5-year PFS, 77.1%), irrespective of adjuvant chemotherapy or observation.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with NPC with detectable post-radiotherapy pEBV DNA who experienced subsequent pEBV DNA clearance had superior survival comparable with patients with initially undetectable post-radiotherapy pEBV DNA. Post-radiotherapy pEBV DNA clearance may serve as an early surrogate endpoint for long-term survival in NPC.