Hepatitis B virus clearance rate estimates

Effect of Peg-IFN on the viral kinetics of patients with HDV infection treated with bulevirtide

Background & Aims

Bulevirtide is a first-in-class entry inhibitor antiviral treatment for chronic hepatitis D. The viral kinetics during bulevirtide therapy and the effect of combining bulevirtide with pegylated-interferon (Peg-IFN) are unknown.

Methods

We used mathematical modelling to analyze the viral kinetics in two French observational cohorts of 183 patients receiving bulevirtide with or without Peg-IFN for 48 weeks.

Results

The efficacy of bulevirtide in blocking cell infection was estimated to 90.3%, whereas Peg-IFN blocked viral production with an efficacy of 92.4%, albeit with large inter-individual variabilities. The addition of Peg-IFN to bulevirtide was associated with a more rapid virological decline, with a rate of virological response (>2 log of decline or undetectability) at week 48 of 86.9% (95% prediction interval [PI] = [79.7-95.0]), compared with 56.1% (95% PI = [46.4-66.7]) with bulevirtide only. The model was also used to predict the probability to achieve a cure of viral infection, with a rate of 8.8% (95% PI = [3.5-13.2]) with bulevirtide compared with 18.8% (95% PI = [11.6-29.0]) with bulevirtide + Peg-IFN. Mathematical modelling suggests that after 144 weeks of treatment, the rates of viral cure could be 42.1% (95% PI = [33.3-52.6]) with bulevirtide and 66.7% (95% PI = [56.5-76.8]) with bulevirtide + Peg-IFN.

Conclusions

In this analysis of real-world data, Peg-IFN strongly enhanced the kinetics of viral decline in patients treated with bulevirtide. Randomized clinical trials are warranted to assess the virological and clinical benefit of this combination, and to identify predictors of poor response to treatment.

Impact and implications

Bulevirtide has been approved for chronic HDV infection by regulatory agencies in Europe based on its good safety profile and rapid virological response after treatment initiation, but the optimal duration of treatment and the chance to achieve a sustained virological response remain unknown. The results presented in this study have a high impact for clinicians and investigators as they provide important knowledge on the long-term virological benefits of a combination of Peg-IFN and bulevirtide in patients with CHD. Clinical trials are now warranted to confirm those predictions.

Mathematical Modeling of Within-Host, Untreated, Cytomegalovirus Infection Dynamics after Allogeneic Transplantation

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) causes significant morbidity and mortality in recipients of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). Whereas insights gained from mathematical modeling of other chronic viral infections such as HIV, hepatitis C, and herpes simplex virus-2 have aided in optimizing therapy, previous CMV modeling has been hindered by a lack of comprehensive quantitative PCR viral load data from untreated episodes of viremia in HCT recipients. We performed quantitative CMV DNA PCR on stored, frozen serum samples from the placebo group of participants in a historic randomized controlled trial of ganciclovir for the early treatment of CMV infection in bone marrow transplant recipients. We developed four main ordinary differential Equation mathematical models and used model selection theory to choose between 38 competing versions of these models. Models were fit using a population, nonlinear, mixed-effects approach. We found that CMV kinetics from untreated HCT recipients are highly variable. The models that recapitulated the observed patterns most parsimoniously included explicit, dynamic immune cell compartments and did not include dynamic target cell compartments, consistent with the large number of tissue and cell types that CMV infects. In addition, in our best-fitting models, viral clearance was extremely slow, suggesting severe impairment of the immune response after HCT. Parameters from our best model correlated well with participants’ clinical risk factors and outcomes from the trial, further validating our model. Our models suggest that CMV dynamics in HCT recipients are determined by host immune response rather than target cell limitation in the absence of antiviral treatment.

Modeling the dynamics of hepatitis B infection, immunity, and drug therapy

Hepatitis B virus infection is the cause of liver diseases such as cirrhosis and liver cancer. Understanding the host-virus mechanisms that mediate virus pathogenesis can help design better preventive measures for disease control. Mathematical models have been used alongside experimental data to provide insight into the role of immune responses during the acute and chronic hepatitis B infections as well as virus dynamics following administration of combined drug therapy. In this paper, we review several modeling studies on virus-host interactions during acute infection, the virus-host characteristics responsible for transition to chronic disease, and the efficacy and optimal control measures of drug therapy. We conclude by presenting our opinion on the future directions of the field.

Acute hepatitis B virus infection in humanized chimeric mice has multiphasic viral kinetics

Chimeric urokinase type plasminogen activator (uPA)/severely severe combined immunodeficiency (SCID) mice reconstituted with humanized livers are useful for studying hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in the absence of an adaptive immune response. However, the detailed characterization of HBV infection kinetics necessary to enable in-depth mechanistic studies in this in vivo HBV infection model is lacking. To characterize HBV kinetics post-inoculation (p.i.) to steady state, 42 mice were inoculated with HBV. Serum HBV DNA was frequently measured from 1 minute to 63 days p.i. Total intrahepatic HBV DNA, HBV covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA), and HBV RNA was measured in a subset of mice at 2, 4, 6, 10, and 13 weeks p.i. HBV half-life (t_1/2 ) was estimated using a linear mixed-effects model. During the first 6 hours p.i., serum HBV declined in repopulated uPA/SCID mice with a t_1/2 = 62 minutes (95% confidence interval [CI] = 59-67). Thereafter, viral decline slowed followed by a 2-day lower plateau. Subsequent viral amplification was multiphasic with an initial mean doubling time of t₂ = 8 ± 3 hours followed by an interim plateau before prolonged amplification (t₂ = 2 ± 0.5 days) to a final HBV steady state of 9.3 ± 0.3 log copies (cps)/mL. Serum HBV and intrahepatic HBV DNA were positively correlated (R² = 0.98).

CONCLUSION

HBV infection in uPA/SCID chimeric mice is highly dynamic despite the absence of an adaptive immune response. Serum HBV t_1/2 in humanized uPA/SCID mice was estimated to be ∼1 hour regardless of inoculum size. The HBV acute infection kinetics presented here is an important step in characterizing this experimental model system so that it can be effectively used to elucidate the dynamics of the HBV life cycle and thus possibly reveal effective antiviral drug targets. (Hepatology 2018).

The Role of Infected Cell Proliferation in the Clearance of Acute HBV Infection in Humans

Around 90-95% of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infected adults do not progress to the chronic phase and, instead, recover naturally. The strengths of the cytolytic and non-cytolytic immune responses are key players that decide the fate of acute HBV infection. In addition, it has been hypothesized that proliferation of infected cells resulting in uninfected progeny and/or cytokine-mediated degradation of covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) leading to the cure of infected cells are two major mechanisms assisting the adaptive immune response in the clearance of acute HBV infection in humans. We employed fitting of mathematical models to human acute infection data together with physiological constraints to investigate the role of these hypothesized mechanisms in the clearance of infection. Results suggest that cellular proliferation of infected cells resulting in two uninfected cells is required to minimize the destruction of the liver during the clearance of acute HBV infection. In contrast, we find that a cytokine-mediated cure of infected cells alone is insufficient to clear acute HBV infection. In conclusion, our modeling indicates that HBV clearance without lethal loss of liver mass is associated with the production of two uninfected cells upon proliferation of an infected cell.

Mechanisms downstream of reverse transcription reduce serum levels of HBV DNA but not of HBsAg in chronic hepatitis B virus infection

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA in serum of chronically infected patients declines by 3-4 log10 units at loss of HBe antigen (HBeAg) from serum. The mechanisms behind this decline, and the much smaller decline of surface antigen (HBsAg) levels, are still not well known. The aim of this study was to get a better understanding of this process by analysing both serum and intrahepatic markers of HBV replication.

METHODS

Levels of HBV DNA and HBsAg in serum, and covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA), pregenomic RNA (pgRNA) and S-RNA and total intrahepatic HBV DNA (ihDNA) in liver biopsies from 84 chronically infected patients (16 positive and 68 negative for HBeAg) were analysed.

RESULTS

Lower HBV DNA levels within HBeAg-positive stage reflected lower levels of cccDNA and pgRNA with strong correlation. In HBeAg-negative patients, ihDNA levels were greater and HBV DNA levels in serum lower than expected from pgRNA levels. A lower HBV DNA/HBsAg ratio corresponded with lower pgRNA/cccDNA (p < 0.01) and higher S-RNA/cccDNA (p < 0.0001) ratios, suggesting that in HBeAg-negative patients transcription of pgRNA, but not of S-RNA, becomes suppressed.

CONCLUSIONS

The marked reduction of HBV DNA in serum after loss of HBeAg appears to be due to combined reduction of cccDNA, pgRNA and yet unidentified mechanisms downstream of reverse transcription. Such mechanisms include faster clearance of circulating virus or blocked secretion of virions, the latter supported by the observed relative increase of ihDNA in HBeAg-negative patients. The smaller reduction of S-RNA than of pgRNA partly explains why HBsAg remain high in the HBeAg-negative stage, supporting the possibility of HBsAg synthesis from integrated HBV DNA.

Early Viral Kinetics with Telbivudine, Tenofovir or Combination of Both in Immunotolerant Patients with Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Chronic Hepatitis B

Introduction

Viral kinetics has proved useful in understanding antiviral potency, determining antiviral profiles and optimizing treatment strategy.

Methods

This was a randomized, open-label study comparing the viral kinetics in 46 hepatitis B e antigen-positive patients during 12-week treatment with telbivudine monotherapy, tenofovir monotherapy or the combination of telbivudine plus tenofovir. A standard biphasic mathematical model was used to compare hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA decay parameters.

Results

Forty-six patients received telbivudine (n = 16), tenofovir (n = 14) or telbivudine plus tenofovir (n = 16). From baseline to Week 12, the mean (SD) reduction in HBV DNA levels was not significantly different between treatment groups: −3.9 (0.9) log₁₀ copies/mL in telbivudine group, −4.2 (0.7) log₁₀ copies/mL in tenofovir group, and −4.4 (1.0) log₁₀ copies/mL in combination group. No significant difference was observed among the three groups for viral clearance rate per day (0.97, 1.02, and 0.88, respectively) or for infected cell loss rate per day (0.04, 0.05, and 0.05, respectively). Antiviral efficiency in blocking viral production was similar in the monotherapy groups (median; 99.7% in telbivudine group and 99.4% in tenofovir group), but was slightly better and more homogeneous in the combination treatment group than in the monotherapy groups: mean (SD), 99.1% (0.8%) and 98.8% (1.6%), respectively (Wald–Wolfowitz test; P = 0.038). All treatments were well tolerated and no serious adverse event was reported during the study. Of the 46 patients in the safety population, 23 experienced adverse events. Most of the adverse events were not suspected to be related to the study drug by the investigators.

Conclusion

Monotherapy with telbivudine or tenofovir showed similar antiviral effectiveness in HBV DNA reduction and viral kinetics of HBV DNA decay. Efficiency in blocking viral production was slightly improved in the combination treatment group compared to the monotherapy groups.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s40121-014-0039-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Antibody responses during hepatitis B viral infection

Hepatitis B is a DNA virus that infects liver cells and can cause both acute and chronic disease. It is believed that both viral and host factors are responsible for determining whether the infection is cleared or becomes chronic. Here we investigate the mechanism of protection by developing a mathematical model of the antibody response following hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. We fitted the model to data from seven infected adults identified during acute infection and determined the ability of the virus to escape neutralization through overproduction of non-infectious subviral particles, which have HBs proteins on their surface, but do not contain nucleocapsid protein and viral nucleic acids. We showed that viral clearance can be achieved for high anti-HBV antibody levels, as in vaccinated individuals, when: (1) the rate of synthesis of hepatitis B subviral particles is slow; (2) the rate of synthesis of hepatitis B subviral particles is high but either anti-HBV antibody production is fast, the antibody affinity is high, or the levels of pre-existent HBV-specific antibody at the time of infection are high, as could be attained by vaccination. We further showed that viral clearance can be achieved for low equilibrium anti-HBV antibody levels, as in unvaccinated individuals, when a strong cellular immune response controls early infection.

Hepatitis B virus kinetics under antiviral therapy sheds light on differences in hepatitis B e antigen positive and negative infections

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)–negative chronic hepatitis B infection has a presentation and clinical course that is divergent from that of HBeAg‐positive infection. The former usually presents with lower viral levels but faster progression to liver disease. We sought to better understand the balance between replication and the immune response against hepatitis B virus (HBV).

METHODS

Viral kinetics in 50 HBeAg‐negative patients under various treatment protocols with interferon α and/or nucleoside or nucleotide analogs was analyzed. HBV DNA level was measured frequently and the data fitted to a viral dynamic model. A meta‐analysis of all published studies of viral kinetics in HBeAg‐positive and HBeAg‐negative infection was also conducted.

RESULTS

We found that the clearance of both HBV virions and infected cells was significantly faster in HBeAg‐negative infection than in HBeAg‐positive infection. In HBeAg‐negative infection, there was also a negative correlation between baseline HBV DNA levels and infected cell half‐life, suggesting that the higher the viral load the faster the turnover of infected cells.

CONCLUSIONS

These results reveal the dual role played by the immune response in maintaining lower viral levels and inducing faster turnover of infected cells, the latter of which may be responsible for the more aggressive nature of HBeAg‐negative infection.

Early viral kinetics of telbivudine and entecavir: results of a 12-week randomized exploratory study with patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B

We characterized the early viral kinetic profiles of telbivudine and entecavir and the effects of these potent nucleoside analogs on hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA and alanine aminotransferase levels in adults with hepatitis B e antigen-positive compensated chronic hepatitis B. Forty-four patients were enrolled in this open-label, parallel-group, multicenter study and randomized to receive telbivudine or entecavir for 12 weeks. Reductions in hepatitis B virus DNA and alanine aminotransferase levels from baseline to weeks 2, 4, 8, and 12 were assessed. Viral kinetic parameters, including viral clearance per day, loss of infected cells per day, and efficiency of inhibition of viral production, were estimated by using a biphasic mathematical model. Statistical analyses were limited to descriptive analyses. The 2 treatment groups achieved similar reductions in HBV DNA and alanine aminotransferase levels. Mean reductions in levels of hepatitis B virus DNA at week 12 were 6.6 +/- 1.6 and 6.5 +/- 1.5 log(10) copies/ml for the telbivudine- and entecavir-treated patients, respectively. There were no significant differences between groups in values for mean viral clearance per day, mean loss of infected cells per day, or efficiency of blocking viral production. The safety profiles for both medications were favorable. During the first 12 weeks of treatment, telbivudine and entecavir demonstrated similar antiviral potencies, resulting in a rapid and profound suppression of serum hepatitis B virus DNA and reduction of alanine aminotransferase levels. No differences in the effects of these 2 agents on early viral kinetics were observed. Both medications were well tolerated.