Role of Chlamydia trachomatis serology in conservative management of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2

Predictor factors for conservative management of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2: Cytology and HPV genotyping

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the role of HPV genotyping and previous cytology result to predict the evolution of CIN2 histological lesions managed conservatively.

METHODS

A prospective observational study was conducted at Hospital del Mar in Barcelona from January 2012 to May 2017. Women with new diagnosis of CIN2 were invited to undergo conservative management for 24 months. Complete regression, partial regression, persistence and progression to CIN3 were defined as final outcomes. Univariate and multivariate analyses combining HPV genotyping and cytology were used to establish progression predictors of CIN2.

RESULTS

A total of 300 patients were included in the study, and 291 patients completed the 24-months follow-up. Of them, 214 patients (73.5%) showed regression; 43 (14.8%) persistence to CIN2, and 34 (11.7%) progression to CIN3. In multivariable analysis, HPV-16 infection (odds ratio [OR] 1.97, [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.13-3.43]) and previous HSIL cytology (OR 3.46, [95% CI 1.99-6.02]) significantly increased the risk of persistence or progression (CIN2+) of CIN2 lesions. In contrast, all HPV-negative lesions regressed (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The regression rate of CIN2 lesions supports conservative management in selected patients regardless of their age. Patients with a CIN2 biopsy and negative HPV test had a high rate of regression and should be offered follow-up without excisional treatment. In contrast, patients with HPV-16 and HSIL cytology had an increased risk of CIN2+, their treatment should be individualized and excisional treatment should be considered. The age may not be considered a criterion to decide the best management. New markers may help in the future to select the best management of CIN2.

The Natural History of Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grades 1, 2, and 3: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to obtain an updated overview of regression, persistence, and progression rates of conservatively managed cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1 (CIN 1)/CIN 2/CIN 3.

METHODS

Data sources were MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane (January 1, 1973-April 14, 2020). Two reviewers extracted data and assessed risk of bias. To estimate outcome rates, we pooled proportions of the individual study results using random-effects meta-analysis, resulting in point estimates and corresponding 95% CIs. Heterogeneity was quantified by the I2 and τ2 measures.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine studies were included, 63 studies on CIN 1 (n = 6,080-8,767), 42 on CIN 2 (n = 2,909-3,830), and 7 on CIN 3 (n = 245-351). The overall regression, persistence, and progression to CIN 2 or worse and CIN 3 or worse rates for women with conservatively managed CIN 1 were 60% (95% CI = 55-65, I2 = 92%), 25% (95% CI = 20-30, I2 = 94%), 11% (95% CI = 8-13, I2 = 89%), and 2% (95% CI = 1-3, I2 = 82%), respectively. The overall regression, persistence, and progression rates for CIN 2 were 55% (95% CI = 50-60, I2 = 85%), 23% (95% CI = 19-28, I2 = 83%), and 19% (95% CI = 15-23, I2 = 88%), respectively. Finally, for CIN 3, these were 28% (95% CI = 17-41, I2 = 68%), 67% (95% CI = 36-91, I2 = 84%), and 2% (95% CI = 0-25, I2 = 95%), respectively. Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 regression was significantly higher in women 30 years or younger and high-risk human papillomavirus-negative women (66%, 95% CI = 62-70, I2 = 76%; 94%, 95% CI = 84-99, I2 = 60%). Only 2/7,180 (0.03%) and 10/3,037 (0.3%) of the CIN 1 and CIN 2 cases progressed to cervical cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Most CIN 1/CIN 2 will regress spontaneously in less than 24 months, with the highest rates in high-risk human papillomavirus-negative and young women, whereas progression to cancer is less than 0.5%. Conservative management should be considered, especially in fertile women and with expected high compliance. Given the heterogeneity in regression rates of high-grade histology, this should be classified as CIN 2 or CIN 3 to guide management.