2D-Quantitative structure-activity relationship modeling for risk assessment of pharmacotherapy applied during pregnancy

Drug-induced torsadogenicity prediction model: An explainable machine learning-driven quantitative structure-toxicity relationship approach

Drug-induced Torsade de Pointes (TdP), a life-threatening polymorphic ventricular tachyarrhythmia, emerges due to the cardiotoxic effects of pharmaceuticals. The need for precise mechanisms and clinical biomarkers to detect this adverse effect presents substantial challenges in drug safety assessment. In this study, we propose that analyzing the physicochemical properties of pharmaceuticals can provide valuable insights into their potential for torsadogenic cardiotoxicity. Our research centers on estimating TdP risk based on the molecular structure of drugs. We introduce a novel quantitative structure-toxicity relationship (QSTR) prediction model that leverages an in silico approach developed by adopting the 4R rule in laboratory animals. This approach eliminates the need for animal testing, saves time, and reduces cost. Our algorithm has successfully predicted the torsadogenic risks of various pharmaceutical compounds. To develop this model, we employed Support Vector Machine (SVM) and ensemble techniques, including Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Categorical Boosting (CatBoost). We enhanced the model's predictive accuracy through a rigorous two-step feature selection process. Furthermore, we utilized the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) technique to explain the prediction of torsadogenic risk, particularly within the RF model. This study represents a significant step towards creating a robust QSTR model, which can serve as an early screening tool for assessing the torsadogenic potential of pharmaceutical candidates or existing drugs. By incorporating molecular structure-based insights, we aim to enhance drug safety evaluation and minimize the risks of drug-induced TdP, ultimately benefiting both patients and the pharmaceutical industry.

Towards safer pesticide management: A quantitative structure-activity relationship based hazard prediction model

Pesticides are recognized as common environmental contaminants. The potential pesticide hazard to non-target organisms, including various mammal species, is a global concern. The global problem requires a comprehensive risk assessment. To assess the toxic effects of pesticides at the early stage, a toxicological risk analysis is conducted to determine pesticide hazard levels. World Health Organization (WHO) has established five pesticide hazard classes based on lethal dose (LD50) values to perform these assessments. In this paper, we have developed one-vs-all quantitative structure-activity relationship (OvA-QSAR) models using five machine-learning techniques with the selected optimum molecular descriptors. Descriptor selection was conducted based on correlation to evaluate the relevance and significance of individual features in our dataset. Our OvA-QSAR model was built using a dataset obtained from the WHO, covering a wide range of chemical pesticides. These models can predict the hazard category for a pesticide within the five available categories. Notably, our experiments demonstrate the outstanding performance and robustness of the Random Forest (RF) model in addressing the challenge of multi-class classification with the selected descriptors.

Predictionof Environmental FateandToxicityofInsecticidesUsing Multi-Target QSAR Approach

Ecotoxicological risk assessments form the foundation of regulatory decisions for industrial chemicals used in various sectors. In this study, a multi-target-QSAR model established by a backpropagation neural network trained with the Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm was used to construct a statistically robust and easily interpretable Mt-QSAR model with high external predictability for the simultaneous prediction of the environmental fate in form of octanol-water partition coefficient (LogP), (BCF) and acute oral toxicity in mammals and birds (LD50rat ) and (LD50bird ) for a wide range of chemical structural classes of insecticides. Principal component analysis was performed on descriptors selected by the SW-MLR method, and the selected PCs were used for constructing the SW-MLR-PCA-ANN model. The developed well-trained model (RMSE=0.83, MPE=0.004, CCC=0.82, IIC=0.78, R2 =0.69) was statistically robust as indicated by the external validation parameters (RMSE=0.93, MPE=0.008, CCC=0.77, IIC=0.68, R2 =0.61). The AD of the developed Mt-QSAR model was also defined to identify the most reliable predictions. Finally, the missing values in the dataset for the aforementioned targets were predicted using the constructed Mt-QSAR model. The proposed approach can be used for simultaneous prediction of the environmental fate of new insecticides, especially ones that haven't been tested yet.

A novel non-linear approach for establishing a QSAR model of a class of 2-Phenyl-3-(pyridin-2-yl) thiazolidin-4-one derivatives

In this investigation, we aimed to address the pressing challenge of treating osteosarcoma, a prevalent and difficult-to-treat form of cancer. To achieve this, we developed a quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) model focused on a specific class of compounds called 2-Phenyl-3-(pyridin-2-yl) thiazolidin-4-one derivatives. A set of 39 compounds was thoroughly examined, with 31 compounds assigned to the training set and 8 compounds allocated to the test set randomly. The goal was to predict the IC50 value of these compounds accurately. To optimize the compounds and construct predictive models, we employed a heuristic method of the CODESSA program. In addition to a linear model using four carefully selected descriptors, we also developed a nonlinear model using the gene expression programming method. The heuristic method resulted in correlation coefficients (R 2) of 0.603, 0.482, and 0.107 for R2 cv and S2, respectively. On the other hand, the gene expression programming method achieved higher R 2 and S2 values of 0.839 and 0.037 in the training set, and 0.760 and 0.157 in the test set, respectively. Both methods demonstrated excellent predictive performance, but the gene expression programming method exhibited greater consistency with experimental values. The successful nonlinear model generated through gene expression programming shows promising potential for designing targeted drugs to combat osteosarcoma effectively. This approach offers a valuable tool for optimizing compound selection and guiding future drug discovery efforts in the battle against osteosarcoma.

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Drug-Induced Hepatotoxicity: An OvA-QSTR Approach

Drug-induced hepatotoxicity, also known as drug-induced liver injury (DILI), is among the possible adverse effects of pharmacotherapy. This clinical condition is accepted as one of the factors leading to patient mortality and morbidity. The LiverTox database was built by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) to predict potential liver damage from medications and take appropriate precautions. The database has classified medicines into seven risk categories (A, B, C, D, E, E*, and X) to avoid medicine-induced liver toxicity. The hepatic damage risk decreases from group A to group E. This study did not include the E* and X classes because they contained unverified and unknown data groups. Our study aims to predict potential liver damage of new drug molecules without using experimental animals. We predict which of the LiverTox risk category drugs with unknown liver toxicity potential will fall into using our one-vs-all quantitative structure-toxicity relationship (OvA-QSTR) model. Our dataset, consisting of 678 organic drug molecules from different pharmacological classes, was collected from LiverTox. The OvA-QSTR models implemented by Bayesian Network (BayesNet) performed well based on the selected descriptors, with the precision-recall curve (PRC) areas ranging from 0.718 to 0.869. Our OvA-QSTR models provide a reliable premarketing risk evaluation of pharmaceutical-induced liver damage potential and offer predictions for different risk levels in DILI.

Machine learning-based approach for efficient prediction of toxicity of chemical gases using feature selection

Toxic gases can be fatal as they damage many living tissues, especially the nervous and respiratory systems. They can cause permanent damage for many years by harming environmental tissue and living organisms. They can also cause mass deaths when used as chemical weapons. These chemical agents consist of organophosphates, namely ester, amide, or thiol derivatives of phosphorus, phosphonic or phosphinic acids, or can be synthesized independently. In this study, machine learning models were used to predict the toxicity of chemical gases. Toxic and non-toxic gases, consisting of 144 gases, were identified according to the United States Environmental Protection Agency, Occupational Safety and Health Administration, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Six machine-learning models were used to predict the toxicity of these chemical gases. The performance of the models was verified through internal and external validation. The results showed that the model's internal validation accuracy was 86.96% with the Relief-J48 algorithm. The accuracy value of the model was 89.65% with the Bayes Net algorithm for external validation. Our results reveal that identifying the toxicity of existing and potential chemicals is essential for the early detection of these chemicals in nature.