Long-Term Change in Bone Mineral Density in Women Living With HIV: A 10-Year Prospective Controlled Cohort Study

A Test Method for Identifying Selection Bias Risk in Prospective Controlled Clinical Therapy Trials Using the I2 Point Estimate

OBJECTIVES

A test method is proposed for identifying potential selection bias risk in single prospective controlled clinical therapy trials that can be applied by trial reviewers.

METHODS

The method is described in detail and was tested on eight randomised controlled trials (RCTs) with reported negative Berger-Exner test results as negative and on eight prospective, controlled cohort studies as positive controls. All 16 studies were identified by systematic literature search.

RESULTS

The test method yielded negative results for all RCTs and positive results for six out of the eight cohort studies.

CONCLUSION

All test results remained within the expected limits for both study types, suggesting a reasonably high accuracy for correctly identifying selection bias risk. However, the method does not provide the possibility to establish whether such bias risk has actually altered trial outcomes. Instead, a positive test result may provide an empirical basis for rating a trial as of high selection bias risk during trial appraisal.

Longitudinal Assessment of Bone Mineral Density in Women Living With and Without HIV Across Reproductive Phases

BACKGROUND

Women living with HIV commonly experience low areal bone mineral density (BMD), but whether this is affected by low ovarian hormonal states (prolonged amenorrhea or menopause) is unknown. We compared rates of BMD loss between women living with HIV and HIV-negative control women and investigated its association with low ovarian hormonal states.

SETTING

Women living with HIV were enrolled from Vancouver Canada and controls from 9 Canadian sites.

METHODS

This longitudinal analysis included age-matched women living with HIV in the Children and Women: AntiRetrovirals and Markers of Aging cohort and controls in the population-based Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study. Rate of change/year in BMD at the total hip and lumbar spine (L1-L4) between 3 and 5 years was compared between groups, adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical variables.

RESULTS

Ninety-two women living with HIV (median [interquartile range] age: 49.5 [41.6-54.1] years and body mass index: 24.1 [20.7-30.8] kg/m 2 ) and 278 controls (age: 49.0 [43.0-55.0] years and body mass index: 25.8 [22.9-30.6] kg/m 2 ) were included. Total hip BMD loss was associated with HIV (β: -0.003 [95% CI: -0.006 to -0.0001] g/cm 2 /yr), menopause (β: -0.007 [-0.01 to -0.005] g/cm 2 /yr), and smoking (β: -0.003 [-0.006 to -0.0002] g/cm 2 /yr); BMD gain was linked with higher body mass index (β: 0.0002 [0.0007-0.0004] g/cm 2 /yr). Menopause was associated with losing L1-L4 BMD (β: -0.01 [-0.01 to -0.006] g/cm 2 /yr). Amenorrhea was not associated with BMD loss.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV and menopause negatively influenced total hip BMD. These data suggest women living with HIV require hip BMD monitoring as they age.

Bone Mineral Density and Trabecular Bone Score Changes throughout Menopause in Women with HIV

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of this study were to describe the trajectories of bone mineral density (BMD) and trabecular bone score (TBS) changes throughout pre-menopause (reproductive phase and menopausal transition) and post-menopause (early and late menopause) in women with HIV (WWH) undergoing different antiretroviral therapies (ARTs) and explore the risk factors associated with those changes.

METHODS

This was an observational longitudinal retrospective study in WWH with a minimum of two DEXA evaluations comprising BMD and TBS measurements, both in the pre-menopausal and post-menopausal periods. Menopause was determined according to the STRAW+10 criteria, comprising four periods: the reproductive period, menopausal transition, and early- and late-menopausal periods. Mixed-effects models were fitted to estimate the trajectories of the two outcomes (BMD and TBS) over time. Annualized lumbar BMD and TBS absolute and percentage changes were calculated in each STRAW+10 time window. A backward elimination procedure was applied to obtain the final model, including the predictors that affected the trajectories of BMD or TBS over time.

RESULTS

A total of 202 WWH, all Caucasian, were included. In detail, 1954 BMD and 195 TBS data were analyzed. The median number of DEXA evaluations per woman was 10 (IQR: 7, 12). The median observation periods per patient were 12.0 years (IQR = 8.9-14.4) for BMD and 6.0 years (IQR: 4.3, 7.9) for TBS. The prevalence of osteopenia (63% vs. 76%; p < 0.001) and osteoporosis (16% vs. 36%; p < 0.001) increased significantly between the pre-menopausal and post-menopausal periods. Both BMD (1.03 (±0.14) vs. 0.92 (±0.12) g/cm2; p < 0.001) and TBS (1.41 (IQR: 1.35, 1.45) vs. 1.32 (IQR: 1.28, 1.39); p < 0.001) decreased significantly between the two periods. The trend in BMD decreased across the four STRAW+10 periods, with a slight attenuation only in the late-menopausal period when compared with the other intervals. The TBS slope did not significantly change throughout menopause. The delta mean values of TBS in WWH were lower between the menopausal transition and reproductive period compared with the difference between menopause and menopausal transition.

CONCLUSIONS

Both BMD and TBS significantly decreased over time. The slope of the change in BMD and TBS significantly decreased in the menopausal transition, suggesting that this period should be considered by clinicians as a key time during which to assess bone health and modifiable risk factors in WWH.