Peripheral blood cell count ratios are predictive biomarkers of clinical response and prognosis for non-surgical esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with radiotherapy

Prognostic value of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio in gastric cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Emerging evidence suggests a correlation between the lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR) and the prognosis in patients with gastric cancer (GC) undergoing immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy. Nevertheless, the existing findings remain contentious.

Methods

A comprehensive search of literature was conducted in databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library, spanning from the inception of each database to August 30, 2023 to collect studies exploring the interplay between LMR and clinical outcomes. Eligible studies were selected following predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Primary outcomes encompassed progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), which were estimated using hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results

Our analysis incorporated eight cohort studies, involving 815 patients. Aggregate data revealed associations between an elevated LMR at baseline and prolonged PFS (HR=0.58; 95% CI: 0.47-0.71, p<0.00001) and improved OS (HR=0.51, 95% CI: 0.33-0.79; p=0.003). Furthermore, LMR exhibited a favorable association with PFS after treatment (HR=0.48; 95% CI: 0.29-0.79; p= 0.004), while such a correlation was not evident in the OS analysis. Importantly, a high level of LMR was associated with prolonged PFS across varying sample sizes, follow-up duration, treatment combinations, line of therapy, and cut-off values.

Conclusion

A high pre-treatment LMR is associated with improved OS and PFS in GC patients treated with ICIs. LMR emerges as a potent biomarker for prognostic assessment in these patients, offering valuable insights for informed treatment decisions within the domain of GC immunotherapy.

Systematic review registration

PROSPERO, identifier CRD42021228512.

Long-term efficacy and predictors of pembrolizumab-based regimens in patients with advanced esophageal cancer in the real world

BACKGROUND

Pembrolizumab combined with chemotherapy has been proven effective as first-line therapy in patients with advanced esophageal cancer. Few trials have assessed the safety and efficacy of this treatment in patients with locally advanced disease.

AIM

To analyze long-term outcomes of pembrolizumab in locally advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in the real world.

METHODS

Patients with advanced ESCC admitted to our center from October 2019 to October 2021 were enrolled in this study. Clinical staging of the patients was based on the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system. The patients received different treatments based on clinical stage. In brief, patients with locally advanced and resectable ESCC received neoadjuvant therapy combined with surgery. For those who were not candidates for resection, radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy plus pembrolizumab was more preferable. Patients with metastatic ESCC or who were unsuitable for radiotherapy underwent chemotherapy in combination with pembrolizumab. Long-term survival outcomes such as overall survival (OS), progression-free survival, disease-free survival, long-term adverse effects (AEs), immune maintenance therapy and predictors of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) efficacy were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 55 patients with advanced ESCC were enrolled in this retrospective, observational study. The median age was 61 years (range 44-74), with 47.3% (26/55) of the patients in stage IV and 45.5% of the patients had the tumor (25/55) located in the middle third of the esophagus. The median OS in all patients was not reached. The 12-mo OS rate among all patients was 78.8% and the 18-mo OS rate was 72.7%. 9 patients died due to tumor progression and 7 patients died due to treatment-related complications. The therapeutic effect evaluated at the interim evaluation was significantly reflected in the long-term outcome. Patients with complete response or partial response in all patients (P = 0.005) and in the chemoradiotherapy plus pembrolizumab group (P = 0.007) obtained a better prognosis than non-responders. A total of 20 patients (20/55, 36%) received immune maintenance therapy. Baseline peripheral blood biomarkers of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and neutrophil-to-(leukocyte-neutrophil) ratio did not predict the efficacy of ICIs.

CONCLUSION

Pembrolizumab combined with chemotherapy or radiotherapy resulted in favorable long-term survival in patients with locally advanced or metastatic ESCC, with safe and manageable long-term AEs.

Pretreatment absolute lymphocyte count is an independent predictor for survival outcomes for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and pembrolizumab: An analysis from a prospective cohort

BACKGROUND

The aim of the study was to analyze the relationship between pretreatment inflammatory biomarkers (IBs) and survival outcomes for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (neo-CRT) and pembrolizumab.

METHODS

Clinical variables and IBs (absolute monocyte count [AMC], absolute lymphocyte count [ALC], platelet count [PLT], neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR], platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio [PLR], lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio [LMR], pan-immune inflammation value [PIV], systemic immunoinflammatory index [SII], systemic immunoreactivity index [SIRI] and prognostic nutritional index [PNI]) were collected. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to identify the independent factors for outcomes of ESCC.

RESULTS

A total of 51 patients were included. Of these, 35 patients achieved pathological complete response (pCR) after neo-CRT and pembrolizumab (pCR: 68.6%). With a median follow-up of 20 months, the two-year PFS and OS of the cohort was 64% and 91%, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that ALC (overall response [OR] 4.4, p = 0.051) and PLT (OR 6.7, p = 0.023) were two independent predictors for achieving pCR among ESCC treated with neo-CRT and pembrolizumab. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that ALC (HR 0.27, p = 0.028) and SIRI (HR 3.13, p = 0.048) were two independent predictors associated with PFS. Kaplan Meier analysis demonstrated that the PFS of ESCC with high baseline ALC was significantly better than those with low ALC (2-year PFS: 77% vs. 47%, p = 0.027), but not for overall survival (2-year OS: 96% vs. 87%, p = 0.46).

CONCLUSIONS

This retrospective analysis based on a prospective cohort for the first time demonstrates that pretreatment ALC is an independent predictor for achieving pCR and favorable outcomes of ESCC treated with neo-CRT and pembrolizumab.

Prognostic value of circulating tumour DNA during post-radiotherapy surveillance in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The potential of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) as a reliable biomarker for relapse/metastasis early detection and prognosis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy (RT/CRT) initiation requires comprehensive investigation.

METHODS

Treatment-naive locally advanced ESCC patients with available baseline plasma samples were prospectively enrolled from November 2018 to January 2020. RT/CRT was delivered with a simultaneous integrated boost of radiation dose. Serial plasma samples were collected at baseline (T0 ), week 4 of RT/CRT (T1 ), 1-3 (T2 ) and 3-6 months post-RT/CRT (T3 ). ctDNA was analysed using next-generation sequencing of 474 cancer-relevant genes.

RESULTS

A total of 128 plasma samples from 40 eligible patients were analysed (median age: 64 [range: 40-78], 88% males, 95% stage III/IV), and the median follow-up time was 20.6 months (range: 12.2-33.3). During the post-RT/CRT surveillance including 36 patients, radiological progression was observed in 16 patients, and 69% (11/16) had detectable post-RT/CRT ctDNA prior to radiological progression, with a median lead time of 4.4 months compared with radiological imaging. ctDNA positivity at T1 (hazard ratio, HR: 3.60, 95% confidence interval, CI: 1.30-10.01) or T2 (HR: 5.45, 95% CI: 1.72-17.26) indicated inferior progression-free survival (PFS). ctDNA clearance between T0 -T1 (HR: 0.31, 95% CI: 0.08-1.13) or T0 -T2 (HR: 0.11; 95% CI: 0.02-0.61) was associated with relatively favourable PFS. Similar results were obtained when focusing on patients without esophagectomy after RT/CRT. Notably, detectable ctDNA at T1 was a potential indicator of high local recurrence risks (HR: 4.43, 95% CI: 1.31-15.04).

CONCLUSIONS

ctDNA was identified as a robust biomarker for early detection of disease progression and post-RT/CRT prognosis stratification in ESCC. Detectable ctDNA at week 4 of RT/CRT might indicate higher local recurrence risks, implying the potential clinical utility of ctDNA tests in guiding post-RT/CRT treatments for locoregional control in ESCC.

Novel nomograms predicting the survival of patients with nonsurgical thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with IMRT: A retrospective analysis

The purpose of this study was to evaluate several preradiotherapy serum inflammatory indicators, including the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation score (SIS), and compare which of these indicators had the highest value in predicting survival. Inflammatory markers were combined with traditional prognostic factors, and novel nomogram models were developed to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. A total of 245 patients were enrolled. The Kaplan-Meier method and univariate and multivariate analyses were used to compare survival differences. A total of 239 patients met the eligibility criteria. The survival numbers at 1, 3, and 5 years were 176, 83, and 62, respectively. The OS and PFS rates estimated at 1, 3, and 5 years were 74.6%, 36.8%, and 26.5% and 58.4%, 31.3%, and 20.5%, respectively. The differences in patients' OS and PFS were significant when univariate analysis was applied based on inflammation-based measures. Multivariate analysis showed that tumor length, tumor stage, tumor/node/metastasis stage, chemotherapy, and SIS value were predictive variables for OS and PFS. The nomogram model established based on the multivariate models of the training data set had good predictive ability. The unadjusted C-index was 0.701 (95% CI, 0.662-0.740) and 0.695 (95% CI, 0.656-0.734) for OS and PFS, respectively. This study showed that the SIS-based nomogram could accurately predict the OS and PFS of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Combining serum inflammation indexes at baseline and post treatment could predict pathological efficacy to anti‑PD‑1 combined with neoadjuvant chemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) have been used to predict therapeutic response in different tumors. However, no assessments of their usefulness have been performed in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients receiving anti‑PD‑1 combined with neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Methods

The respective data of 64 ESCC patients receiving anti‑PD‑1 combined with neoadjuvant chemotherapy were analyzed. Whether NLR, LMR, PLR, and SII at baseline and post-treatment might predict pathological response to anti‑PD‑1 plus neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and cutoff values of these parameters were all determined by ROC curve analysis.

Results

NLR (cutoff = 3.173, AUC = 0.644, 95% CI 0.500–0.788, P = 0.124, sensitivity = 1.000, specificity = 0.373), LMR (cutoff = 1.622, AUC = 0.631, 95% CI 0.477–0.784, P = 0.161, sensitivity = 0.917, specificity = 0.137), PLR (cutoff = 71.108, AUC = 0.712, 95% CI 0.575–0.849, P = 0.023, sensitivity = 1.000, specificity = 0.059), and SII at baseline (cutoff = 559.266, AUC = 0.681, 95% CI 0.533–0.830, P = 0.052, sensitivity = 0.373, specificity = 1.000) seemed to be a useful predictor for distinguishing responders from non-responders. Combining NLR with SII at baseline (AUC = 0.729, 95% CI 0.600–0.858, P = 0.014, sensitivity = 0.917, specificity = 0.510), LMR and SII at baseline (AUC = 0.735, 95% CI 0.609–0.861, P = 0.012, sensitivity = 1.000 specificity = 0.471), PLR and SII at baseline (AUC = 0.716, 95% CI 0.584–0.847, P = 0.021, sensitivity = 1.000 specificity = 0.431), and LMR and PLR at post-treatment in the third period (AUC = 0.761, 95% CI 0.605–0.917, P = 0.010, sensitivity = 0.800, specificity = 0.696) might slightly increase the prediction ability to determine patients who have response or no response. Finally, combining LMR at baseline, SII at post-treatment in the second period with PLR at post-treatment in the third period could be considered a better predictor for discriminating responders and non-responders than single or dual biomarkers (AUC = 0.879, 95% CI 0.788–0.969, P = 0.0001, sensitivity = 0.909, specificity = 0.800).

Conclusions

The models we constructed allowed for the accurate and efficient stratification of ESCC patients receiving anti-PD-1 plus chemotherapy and are easily applicable for clinical practice at no additional cost.

Prognostic Significance of Platelet (PLT) and Platelet to Mean Platelet Volume (PLT/MPV) Ratio During Apatinib Second-Line or Late-Line Treatment in Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients

Background: Apatinib has a certain efficacy for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of platelet (PLT) and platelet to mean platelet volume (PLT/MPV) ratio for advanced ESCC patients with apatinib second-line or late-line treatment. Methods: A retrospective study included 80 patients with advanced ESCC who received Apatinib ≥ 2 lines targeted therapy. We collected baseline clinical characteristics and blood parameters from the patients. Kaplan-Meier plots and univariate and multivariate analysis were used to find the factors related to progression-free survival (PFS). Results: The optimal cut-off values of PLT and PLT/MPV ratio were determined by X-tile software. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that patients in the high PLT group had better PFS than those in the low PLT group (156 d vs 80 d, P <.001), and patients in the high PLT/MPV ratio group had better PFS than those in low PLT/MPV ratio group (157 d vs 85 d, P <.001). Univariate analysis revealed pretreatment PLT and PLT/MPV ratio were significantly correlated with PFS. Multivariate analysis revealed high levels of pretreatment PLT/MPV ratio was an independent predictor of longer PFS (HR: 0.257, 95% CI: 0.089-0.743, P = .012). Conclusion: High levels of baseline PLT and PLT/MPV may indicate a better prognosis in apatinib ≥ 2 lines treatment for advanced ESCC patients.

Peripheral blood cell count ratios are predictive biomarkers of clinical response and prognosis for non-surgical esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with radiotherapy

Background

Peripheral blood cell count ratios, including the neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte‐to‐monocyte ratio (LMR), have been reported to be prognostic factors in many malignancies as markers of inflammation and immune status. The aim of this study was to determine whether NLR, PLR, or LMR can be clinical response and prognostic biomarkers of non‐surgical esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients treated with radiotherapy.

Methods

193 non‐surgical ESCC patients who underwent radiotherapy were retrospectively analyzed. The peripheral blood cell count ratios were obtained before, during (weekly) and at the end of the treatment. Then, we compared the subsequent results with the corresponding pretreatment values and computed the rates of change, which were defined as cNLR, cPLR, and cLMR. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used for overall survival (OS). Ordinal logistic regression was used to analyze the clinical response.

Results

In multivariate analysis, cNLR at week 4(P = .026) and week 5(P = .025) during radiotherapy were significantly associated with OS, along with BMI, tumor stage, tumor length, tumor location, and grade of adverse events. Besides, BMI, tumor stage, tumor length, adverse event grade, cNLR at week 4(P = .044) and week 5(P = .013), and cPLR at week 4(P = .034) and week 5(P = .015) were significantly associated with the clinical response in the multivariate logistic regression analysis.

Conclusions

The cNLR at weeks 4 and 5 was negatively correlated with the OS and clinical response of non‐surgical ESCC patients treated with radiotherapy. The elevated cPLR at weeks 4 and 5 was only related to poor clinical response.