Cervical length, multifetal pregnancy reduction, and prediction of preterm birth

Twin pregnancies: can sonographic measurements and changes in cervical length during pregnancy predict preterm birth?

Objective: This study measured cervical length (CL) at 14-16 and 21-24 weeks of gestation and assessed whether the difference between measurements is predictive of preterm birth (PTB) among asymptomatic women with twin gestations.Method: This retrospective, cohort study included patients with two consecutive CL measurements with transvaginal sonography at 14-16 weeks of gestation (CL1) and 21-24 weeks (CL2). PTB was defined as delivery prior to 37 + 0 weeks of gestation. Electronic medical records were reviewed for demographic, medical and delivery data. CL1, CL2 and the change between scans were evaluated and correlated with the prediction of PTB.Results: Among 103 women with twin gestations, 76 (73.7%) delivered at term and 27 (26.3%) had PTB. CL1 and CL2 were not good predictors of PTB (p = .32 and p = .38, respectively). The correlation between CL change and PTB was not significant (p = .08). The correlation between CL change and delivery after 38 weeks was not significant (p = .3). Baseline characteristics and perinatal outcomes between term and preterm deliveries were similar.Conclusions: The delta between routine cervical length measurements at 14-16 and 21-24 weeks of twin gestations cannot be used as a reliable predictor of PTB.

Vaginal progesterone is as effective as cervical cerclage to prevent preterm birth in women with a singleton gestation, previous spontaneous preterm birth, and a short cervix: updated indirect comparison meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

An indirect comparison meta-analysis published in 2013 reported that both vaginal progesterone and cerclage are equally efficacious for preventing preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcomes in women with a singleton gestation, previous spontaneous preterm birth, and a sonographic short cervix. The efficacy of vaginal progesterone has been challenged after publication of the OPPTIMUM study. However, this has been resolved by an individual patient-data meta-analysis (Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2018;218:161-180).

OBJECTIVE

To compare the efficacy of vaginal progesterone and cerclage in preventing preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcomes in women with a singleton gestation, previous spontaneous preterm birth, and a midtrimester sonographic short cervix.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, EMBASE, LILACS, and CINAHL (from their inception to March 2018); Cochrane databases, bibliographies, and conference proceedings.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Randomized controlled trials comparing vaginal progesterone to placebo/no treatment or cerclage to no cerclage in women with a singleton gestation, previous spontaneous preterm birth, and a sonographic cervical length <25 mm.

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS METHODS

Updated systematic review and adjusted indirect comparison meta-analysis of vaginal progesterone vs cerclage using placebo/no cerclage as the common comparator. The primary outcomes were preterm birth <35 weeks of gestation and perinatal mortality. Pooled relative risks (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals were calculated.

RESULTS

Five trials comparing vaginal progesterone vs placebo (265 women) and 5 comparing cerclage vs no cerclage (504 women) were included. Vaginal progesterone, compared to placebo, significantly reduced the risk of preterm birth <35 and <32 weeks of gestation, composite perinatal morbidity/mortality, neonatal sepsis, composite neonatal morbidity, and admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (RRs from 0.29 to 0.68). Cerclage, compared to no cerclage, significantly decreased the risk of preterm birth <37, <35, <32, and <28 weeks of gestation, composite perinatal morbidity/mortality, and birthweight <1500 g (RRs from 0.64 to 0.70). Adjusted indirect comparison meta-analyses did not show statistically significant differences between vaginal progesterone and cerclage in the reduction of preterm birth or adverse perinatal outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Vaginal progesterone and cerclage are equally effective for preventing preterm birth and improving perinatal outcomes in women with a singleton gestation, previous spontaneous preterm birth, and a midtrimester sonographic short cervix. The choice of treatment will depend on adverse events and cost-effectiveness of interventions and patient/physician's preferences.

Vaginal progesterone for preventing preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcomes in singleton gestations with a short cervix: a meta-analysis of individual patient data

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of vaginal progesterone for preventing preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcomes in singleton gestations with a short cervix has been questioned after publication of the OPPTIMUM study.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether vaginal progesterone prevents preterm birth and improves perinatal outcomes in asymptomatic women with a singleton gestation and a midtrimester sonographic short cervix.

STUDY DESIGN

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, LILACS, and CINAHL (from their inception to September 2017); Cochrane databases; bibliographies; and conference proceedings for randomized controlled trials comparing vaginal progesterone vs placebo/no treatment in women with a singleton gestation and a midtrimester sonographic cervical length ≤25 mm. This was a systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data. The primary outcome was preterm birth <33 weeks of gestation. Secondary outcomes included adverse perinatal outcomes and neurodevelopmental and health outcomes at 2 years of age. Individual patient data were analyzed using a 2-stage approach. Pooled relative risks with 95% confidence intervals were calculated. Quality of evidence was assessed using the GRADE methodology.

RESULTS

Data were available from 974 women (498 allocated to vaginal progesterone, 476 allocated to placebo) with a cervical length ≤25 mm participating in 5 high-quality trials. Vaginal progesterone was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of preterm birth <33 weeks of gestation (relative risk, 0.62; 95% confidence interval, 0.47-0.81; P = .0006; high-quality evidence). Moreover, vaginal progesterone significantly decreased the risk of preterm birth <36, <35, <34, <32, <30, and <28 weeks of gestation; spontaneous preterm birth <33 and <34 weeks of gestation; respiratory distress syndrome; composite neonatal morbidity and mortality; birthweight <1500 and <2500 g; and admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (relative risks from 0.47-0.82; high-quality evidence for all). There were 7 (1.4%) neonatal deaths in the vaginal progesterone group and 15 (3.2%) in the placebo group (relative risk, 0.44; 95% confidence interval, 0.18-1.07; P = .07; low-quality evidence). Maternal adverse events, congenital anomalies, and adverse neurodevelopmental and health outcomes at 2 years of age did not differ between groups.

CONCLUSION

Vaginal progesterone decreases the risk of preterm birth and improves perinatal outcomes in singleton gestations with a midtrimester sonographic short cervix, without any demonstrable deleterious effects on childhood neurodevelopment.

Cervical length dynamics in triplet pregnancies: a retrospective cohort study

Purpose

To review our experience with a screening program that included sequential cervical length measurements in our large population of triplet pregnancies.

Methods

Seventy-eight triplet pregnancies were retrospectively included. Cervical length measurements were performed by transvaginal ultrasound in 2-week intervals from week 16 + 0 onwards in a tertiary-care center in Vienna. The main outcome measurement was preterm delivery prior to 32 + 0 weeks of gestation. Statistical analyses were performed using paired and unpaired t tests and a stepwise linear regression model.

Results

There were 26 cases of preterm delivery (33.3%). Women with preterm delivery revealed significant cervical length shortening from week 22 + 0 (median 33 mm, interquartile range, IQR 17–39) to 24 + 0 (median 21 mm, IQR 7–30; p = 0.005). This was not observed in women without preterm delivery. From week 22 + 0 onwards, both groups showed further significant 2-week differences in cervical length (p < 0.05). Univariate analysis of cervical length in weeks 20 + 0, 22 + 0, and 24 + 0 as well as cervical length dynamics from 22 + 0 to 24 + 0 predicted preterm delivery.

Conclusions

In triplet pregnancies, a decrease in cervical length seems physiological from week 22 + 0 onwards. A sharp decrease in cervical length from the 22 + 0 to the 24 + 0 week as well as the smaller cervical length in weeks 20 + 0, 22 + 0, and 24 + 0 increase the risk of preterm delivery.

Do serial measurements of cervical length improve the prediction of preterm birth in asymptomatic women with twin gestations?

BACKGROUND

Cervical length at midtrimester is a powerful predictor of preterm birth in twin gestations. However, given the fact that, in some cases, cervical shortening may become evident only later during the second trimester, it seems reasonable that serial monitoring of cervical length may improve the detection of preterm birth in women with twins. However, data in support of such a practice are limited and conflicting. The contradictory results may be related to the fact that in most of these studies, the analysis of the predictive value of serial measurements of cervical length was limited to data derived from only two sequential measurements of cervical length, while data on the predictive value of multiple (>2) measurements are scarce.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to determine whether serial measurements of cervical length can improve the prediction of preterm birth in asymptomatic women with twin gestations compared with a single measurement of cervical length at midgestation.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study of women with twin pregnancies followed up in a tertiary medical center from 2012 through 2014. All participants underwent routine measurement of cervical length at midgestation and every 2-3 weeks thereafter until 28-32 weeks. For each patient, cervical length was determined at the following time periods: 18+0 to 21+6 weeks (period 1, routine exam), 22+0 to 24+6 weeks (period 2), 25+0 to 27+6 weeks (period 3), and 28+0 to 32+0 weeks (period 4). Measurements of cervical length at periods 2-4 were analyzed in the form of either absolute length (in millimeters) or percent shortening relative to cervical length at period 1. The performance of a stepwise algorithm that incorporated serial measurements of cervical length for the prediction of preterm birth was compared to that achieved with a single measurement of cervical length at period 1.

RESULTS

Overall, 441 women with twin pregnancies who were eligible for the study underwent a total of 2374 cervical length measurements. The association of a short cervix (<10th percentile) with preterm birth at <32 weeks persisted in each of the 4 periods of gestation [odds ratio (95% confidence interval): 7.2 (3.1-16.5), 15.3 (6.4-36.7), 10.3 (4.4-24.3), and 23.1(8.3-64.1), respectively]. Compared with a single measurement of cervical length at midgestation (period 1), a stepwise algorithm integrating serial cervical length measurements from all 4 successive gestational age periods resulted in a significant increase in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.917 vs 0.613, P < .001). Similarly, when a target false-positive rate of 5% was used, the same stepwise algorithm was associated with a higher detection rate (69% vs 28%, P < .001), higher positive likelihood ratio (14.54 vs 5.12), and lower negative likelihood ratio (0.32 vs 0.76) for preterm birth at <32 weeks compared with a single measurement of cervical length at period 1.

CONCLUSION

Integration of serial measurements of cervical length using a stepwise algorithm in asymptomatic women with twin gestations can improve the detection of women at risk of preterm birth. Prospective studies are needed to validate these findings, and to investigate whether improved risk assessment performance is sufficient to offset the additional costs associated with serial cervical length measurements.

Prediction of preterm birth in twin gestations using biophysical and biochemical tests

The objective of this study was to determine the performance of biophysical and biochemical tests for the prediction of preterm birth in both asymptomatic and symptomatic women with twin gestations. We identified a total of 19 tests proposed to predict preterm birth, mainly in asymptomatic women. In these women, a single measurement of cervical length with transvaginal ultrasound before 25 weeks of gestation appears to be a good test to predict preterm birth. Its clinical potential is enhanced by the evidence that vaginal progesterone administration in asymptomatic women with twin gestations and a short cervix reduces neonatal morbidity and mortality associated with spontaneous preterm delivery. Other tests proposed for the early identification of asymptomatic women at increased risk of preterm birth showed minimal to moderate predictive accuracy. None of the tests evaluated in this review meet the criteria to be considered clinically useful to predict preterm birth among patients with an episode of preterm labor. However, a negative cervicovaginal fetal fibronectin test could be useful in identifying women who are not at risk for delivering within the next week, which could avoid unnecessary hospitalization and treatment. This review underscores the need to develop accurate tests for predicting preterm birth in twin gestations. Moreover, the use of interventions in these patients based on test results should be associated with the improvement of perinatal outcomes.

Sonographic measurement of cervical length as a predictor of preterm delivery: a systematic review

AIM

To evaluate if transvaginal cervical length measurement in the second-trimester scan is an effective screening test for preterm delivery.

METHODS

We performed a search in Medline and, for each selected article, information was extracted regarding the performance of the test in terms of sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative likelihood ratios, in low-risk, high-risk, and multiple gestations. We also evaluated the performance of the combined test (more than one sonographic marker).

RESULTS

A positive relationship was established between short cervix and preterm delivery in all articles. The majority of studies presented high specificity and positive likelihood ratio, while sensitivity and negative likelihood ratio were variable and globally poor. Better values of accuracy were found in high-risk and multiple gestations and, in all studied subgroups, for preterm delivery at lower gestational ages.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that a short cervix is predictive of preterm delivery and can identify women that may benefit from preventive and therapeutic measures, however, a negative result is not always reassuring.

Cervical length measurement for the prediction of preterm birth in multiple pregnancies: a systematic review and bivariate meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To review the literature on cervical length as a predictor of preterm birth in asymptomatic women with a multiple pregnancy.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase and reference lists of included articles to identify all studies that reported on the accuracy of cervical length for predicting preterm birth in asymptomatic women with a multiple pregnancy. We scored study characteristics and study quality, and extracted data in order to construct two-by-two tables cross-classifying cervical length and preterm delivery. Meta-analysis using a bivariate model was performed. Summary receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves were generated for various test characteristics and outcome definitions.

RESULTS

We found 21 studies reporting on 2757 women. There was a large variation in gestational age at measurement, cut-off point for cervical length and definition of preterm birth. The summary ROC curve indicated a good predictive capacity of short cervical length for preterm birth. Summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity for preterm birth before 34 weeks' gestation were 78% and 66%, respectively, for 35 mm, 41% and 87% for 30 mm, 36% and 94% for 25 mm and 30% and 94% for 20 mm.

CONCLUSIONS

In women with a multiple pregnancy, second-trimester cervical length is a strong predictor of preterm birth. In the absence of effective preventive strategies, there is currently no place in clinical practice for cervical length measurement in this population. However, future studies should evaluate preventive interventions in women with multiple pregnancies and a short cervix, and cervical length should be measured in any trial studying preventive strategies in multiple pregnancies.

Transvaginal sonographic cervical length for the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth in twin pregnancies: a systematic review and metaanalysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the accuracy of transvaginal sonographic cervical length (CL) in predicting spontaneous preterm birth in women with twin pregnancies.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review and metaanalysis of predictive test accuracy.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies (16 in asymptomatic women and 5 in symptomatic women) with a total of 3523 women met the inclusion criteria. Among asymptomatic women, a CL

CONCLUSION

Transvaginal sonographic CL at 20-24 weeks' gestation is a good predictor of spontaneous preterm birth in asymptomatic women with twin pregnancies.

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Key Words

• cervical length
• preterm birth
• prediction
• metaanalysis
• systematic review

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MESH Headings

• Cervix Uteri/anatomy & histology
• Cervix Uteri/diagnostic imaging
• Female
• Gestational Age
• Humans
• Incidence
• Infant, Newborn
• Predictive Value of Tests
• Pregnancy
• Pregnancy Outcome
• Pregnancy, Multiple
• Premature Birth/diagnostic imaging
• Premature Birth/epidemiology
• Risk Assessment
• Twins
• Ultrasonography, Prenatal

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Grants

• ZIA HD002401 Intramural NIH HHS
• ZIA HD002401-18 Intramural NIH HHS

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Affiliation(s)

Agustín Conde-Agudelo Perinatology Research Branch, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development/National Institutes of Health/Department of Health and Human Services, Bethesda, MD, USA
Roberto Romero
Sonia S Hassan
Lami Yeo

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The effect of polyhydramnios on cervical length in twins: a controlled intervention study in complicated monochorionic pregnancies

Objective

To test the hypothesis that cervical shortening in polyhydramnios reflects the degree of excess amniotic fluid, and increases with normalisation of amniotic fluid volume.

Study Design

Prospective cohort study of 40 women with monochorionic twins undergoing interventional procedures between 16–26 weeks. Cervical length was assessed via transvaginal sonography pre-procedure, 1 and 24 hours post-procedure, and results compared between amnioreduction and control procedures. Amniotic fluid index (AFI) was measured pre- and post-procedure.

Results

Pre-procedural cervical length correlated with AFI (linear fit = 5.07 -0.04x, R² = 0.17, P = 0.03) in patients with polyhydramnios (n = 28). Drainage of 2000ml fluid (range 700–3500ml), reduced AFI from 42cm to 21cm (P<0.001). Their pre-procedural cervical length did not change at one (mean Δ:−0.1cm, 95%CI, −0.4 to 0.2) or 24 hours (0.2cm, −0.1 to 0.6) after amnioreduction. There was no change in cervical length at control procedures.

Conclusion

Cervical shortening in twins with polyhydramnios does not appear to be an acute process; cervical length can be measured before or after therapeutic procedures.