Non-invasive tools for the prediction of esophageal varices in cirrhosis: Can advanced ultrasound techniques spare endoscopy?

The Utility of the Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin Score as a Non-invasive Predictor of Esophageal Varices and Variceal Hemorrhage in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis Compared to Child-Turcotte-Pugh and Model of End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium Scores

Introduction Research on non-invasive tools for detecting gastro-esophageal varices is underway. We investigated the Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin (PALBI) score in comparison with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and MELD-Na (MELD-Na) scores in patients with liver cirrhosis. Methods Three hundred and twenty-three patients with liver cirrhosis were studied. The PALBI, CTP and MELD-Na scores were calculated and analyzed for gastroesophageal varices and their characteristics using SPSS version 26 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). Results Two hundred and sixty-four patients had esophageal varices and 102 presented with variceal hemorrhage. Mean PALBI, CTP and MELD-Na scores were significantly higher for patients with varices versus without varices (p < 0.05). Unlike the mean MELD-Na score, the mean PALBI and CTP scores were significantly higher in patients with large high-risk varices as compared to patients with small low-risk varices (p < 0.05). The mean CTP scores were significantly higher in patients with variceal hemorrhage than those without hemorrhage (p < 0.05), while the difference between mean PALBI and MELD-Na was insignificant, in this regard. The PALBI score had better sensitivity than the CTP and MELD-Na scores in indicating the presence of varices but was similar to the CTP score in predicting high-risk varices. Conclusion The PALBI score proves to have good utility and efficiency in predicting varices in comparison to CTP and MELD-Na scores. It can determine high-risk stigmata of variceal hemorrhage with similar performance as the CTP Score.

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) outperforms acoustic force radiation impulse (ARFI) in predicting oesophageal varices in obese NAFLD cirrhosis

PURPOSE

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography has been shown to underperform in high-risk varices (HRVs) prediction in obese non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) compensated cirrhosis (CC). LSM by magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and acoustic force radiation impulse (ARFI) has been shown to be useful in prediction of oesophageal varices (EVs), but has limited evidence in obese NAFLD-CC.

METHODS

Obese patients with NAFLD-CC who underwent MRE and ARFI for LSM and endoscopy for screening of varices were enrolled. Performance of MRE and ARFI for predicting EVs or HRVs was evaluated using area under receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curves and regression analyses were performed for predictor variables.

RESULTS

One hundred eight patients [mean age 54.7 ± 9.6 years, median BMI, 28.5 (26.4-30.0) kg/m2. 72.2% diabetics, 45.4% hypertensive] were enrolled. Fifty-two (48.1%) had no varices, while 29 (26.8%) and 27 (25%) had low-risk varices (LRVs) and HRVs, respectively. MRE-LSM was higher in patients with LRVs (p = 0.01) or HRVs (p = 0.001) against those without varices. ARFI-LSM did not differ significantly between those without and with LRVs or HRVs (p > 0.05 for all). There was a low correlation between ARFI-LSM and MRE-LSM in the overall cohort (r = 0.19). Only platelet count (PC) [0.98 (0.97-0.99)] and MRE-LSM [1.8 (1.26-2.79)] were predictors of HRVs. At a cut-off of 4.75, MRE showed a sensitivity of 96.3%. Model combining MRE-LSM with PC had a diagnostic AUROC of 0.77 and 0.76 for EVs and HRVs.

CONCLUSION

In obese NAFLD-CC, MRE-LSM is significantly higher in patients with varices. MRE combined with PC predicts EVs and HRVs with better accuracy than ARFI.

Fibrosis-4 index is closely associated with clinical outcomes in acute cardioembolic stroke patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Liver cirrhosis is a confirmed risk factor for poor prognosis of stroke; however, the contribution of clinically inapparent liver fibrosis to cardioembolic stroke (CES) and its outcomes are poorly understood. This study aimed to investigate the associations between liver fibrosis-measured by the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score-and stroke severity and short-term clinical outcomes of patients with acute CES due to nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). A total of 522 patients were followed for a median of 90 days. We calculated the FIB-4 score and defined liver fibrosis as follows: likely advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 > 3.25), indeterminate advanced fibrosis (FIB-4, 1.45-3.25), and unlikely advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 < 1.45). Logistic regression analysis and Cox regression analysis were used to investigate the relations between the FIB-4 score and stroke severity, major disability at discharge, and all-cause mortality. Among these 522 acute CES patients with NVAF, the mean FIB-4 score (2.28) on admission reflected intermediate fibrosis, whereas liver enzymes were largely normal. In multivariate regression analysis, patients with advanced liver fibrosis were more likely to have a higher risk of severe stroke (OR = 2.21, 95% CI 1.04-3.54), major disability at discharge (OR = 4.59, 95% CI 1.88-11.18), and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.56) than their counterparts. Regarding sex, these associations were stronger in males but not significant in females. In patients with acute CES due to NVAF, advanced liver fibrosis is associated with severe stroke, major disability, and all-cause death. Our findings indicate that early screening and management of liver fibrosis may decrease stroke severity and risk of death in patients with NVAF, especially for male patients. Consequently, FIB-4 > 3.25 of male patients should receive ultrasound elastography to further determine the degree of liver fibrosis.