Impact of time-to-surgery on outcomes of patients undergoing curative-intent liver resection for BCLC-0, A and B hepatocellular carcinoma

Time to Surgery Does Not Affect the Survival Outcome in Patients with Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The impact of time to surgery (TTS) on survival in patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC) is uncertain.

METHODS

Data from PHC patients scheduled for surgery between 2011 and 2020 were reviewed. Patients were grouped based on the median TTS, defined as the time from diagnosis to surgery. Survival outcomes were analyzed for all patients and those undergoing potentially curative resection (resection without distant metastasis).

RESULTS

Of 224 patients, the median TTS was 64 days (range 19-212), with the patients being divided into two groups: long-TTS group (TTS ≥64 days, n = 116) and short-TTS group (TTS <64 days, n = 108). The long-TTS group showed higher rates of preoperative biliary infection (52% vs. 33%; p = 0.004) and portal vein embolization (84% vs. 49%; p < 0.001) compared with the short-TTS group. Forty-seven patients (18%) had unresectable tumors or distant metastasis, with a median overall survival (OS) of 18 months. The rate of potentially curative resection tended to be lower in the long-TTS group (74%) compared with the short-TTS group (84%), although it was not statistically significant (p = 0.063). However, OS for the entire cohort was comparable between the long-TTS and short-TTS groups (median OS 40 vs. 36 months; p = 0.986). Multivariable analysis revealed that TTS was not associated with survival in patients who underwent potentially curative resection.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the potentially curative resection rate tended to be lower in the long-TTS group, TTS did not impact survival in patients undergoing potentially curative resection for PHC.

Analyzing the interaction between time to surgery and tumor burden score in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The effect of "time to surgery (TTS)" on outcomes for curative-intent hepatectomy of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains debated. The interaction between tumor burden score (TBS) and TTS remains unclear. We sought to evaluate the effects of TBS and TTS on long-term HCC outcomes.

METHODS

Patients with HCC who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy (2000-2022) were analyzed from a multi-institutional database and categorized by TTS (≤60 or >60 days). Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival were assessed.

RESULTS

Among 910 patients, median TTS estimates were 22 days in the short TTS group (n = 485) and 120 days in the long TTS group (n = 425). Patients with long TTS were older and were more likely to have American Society of Anesthesiologists class >2, diabetes mellitus, and cirrhosis. There was no difference in median TBS among patients who had short versus long TTS (4.61 vs 5.00, respectively). In addition, there was no difference in 5-year OS (70.0% vs 63.1%, respectively; P =.05). On multivariate analysis TBS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.11; P <.001), log alpha-fetoprotein (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.01-1.14; P =.02), and albumin-bilirubin score (HR, 2.52; 95% CI, 1.66-3.82; P <.001) were associated with OS. In contrast, TTS was not associated with OS (HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.78-1.77; P =.43). Interaction analysis demonstrated that TBS was asssociated with OS among patients with short TTS (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.07-1.17; P <.001), but not among patients with long TTS (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.91-1.05; P =.56). Among patients with low TBS (≤5), higher mortality was observed with long TTS versus short TTS (5-year OS: 82.4% vs 63.0%, respectively; P =.001); however, TTS was not associated with OS among patients with high TBS (5-year OS: 57.9% vs 63.3%, respectively; P =.92). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that long TTS was a risk factor for OS among patients with low TBS (HR, 3.12; 95% CI, 1.60-6.01; P <.001), but not among individuals with high TBS (HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.30-1.07; P =.08). Similar trends were observed relative to cancer-specific survival.

CONCLUSION

TTS needs to be considered in light of patient and tumor-specific factors. Expediting TTS may be particularly important among patients with HCC and a low TBS.

The impact of waiting time and delayed treatment on the outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the sixth most diagnosed cancer worldwide. Healthcare resource constraints may predispose treatment delays. We aim to review existing literature on whether delayed treatment results in worse outcomes in HCC. PubMed, Embase, The Cochrane Library, and Scopus were systematically searched from inception till December 2022. Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Secondary outcomes included post-treatment mortality, readmission rates, and complications. Fourteen studies with a total of 135,389 patients (delayed n = 25,516, no delay n = 109,873) were included. Age, incidence of male patients, Child-Pugh B cirrhosis, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage 0/A HCC were comparable between delayed and no delay groups. Tumor size was significantly smaller in delayed versus no delay group (mean difference, -0.70 cm; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -1.14, 0.26; p = 0.002). More patients received radiofrequency ablation in delayed versus no delay group (OR, 1.22; 95% CI: 1.16, 1.27; p < 0.0001). OS was comparable between delayed and no delay in HCC treatment (hazard ratio [HR], 1.13; 95% CI: 0.99, 1.29; p = 0.07). Comparable DFS between delayed and no delay groups (HR, 0.99; 95% CI: 0.75, 1.30; p = 0.95) was observed. Subgroup analysis of studies that defined treatment delay as > 90 days showed comparable OS in the delayed group (HR, 1.04; 95% CI: 0.93, 1.16; p = 0.51). OS and DFS for delayed treatment were non-inferior compared to no delay, but might be due to better tumor biology/smaller tumor size in the delayed group.

Machine-Based Learning Hierarchical Cluster Analysis: Sex-Based Differences in Prognosis Following Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may have a heterogeneous presentation, as well as different long-term outcomes following surgical resection. We sought to use machine learning to cluster patients into different prognostic groups based on preoperative characteristics.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from a large international multi-institutional database. A hierarchical cluster analysis was performed based on preoperative factors to characterize patterns of presentation and define disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

Among 966 with HCC, 3 distinct clusters were identified: Cluster 1 (n = 160, 16.5%), Cluster 2 (n = 537, 55.6%) and Cluster 3 (n = 269, 27.8%). Cluster 1 (n = 160, 16.5%) consisted of female patients (n = 160, 100%), low inflammation-based scores, intermediate tumor burden score (TBS) (median: 4.71) and high alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels (median 41.3 ng/mL); Cluster 2 consisted of male individuals (n = 537, 100%), mainly with a history of HBV infection (n = 429, 79.9%), low inflammation-based scores, intermediate AFP levels (median 26.0 ng/mL) and lower TBS (median 4.49); Cluster 3 was comprised of older patients (median age 68 years) predominantly male (n = 248, 92.2%) who had low incidence of HBV/HCV infection (7.1% and 8.2%, respectively), intermediate AFP levels (median 16.8 ng/mL), high inflammation-based scores and high TBS (median 6.58). Median DFS worsened incrementally among the three different clusters with Cluster 3 having the lowest DFS (Cluster 1: median not reached; Cluster 2: 34 months, 95% CI 23.0-48.0, Cluster 3: 19 months, 95% CI 15.0-29.0, p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Cluster analysis classified HCC patients into three distinct prognostic groups. Cluster assignment predicted DFS following resection of HCC with the female cluster having the most favorable prognosis following HCC resection.

Benefits of tailored hepatocellular carcinoma screening in patients with cirrhosis on cancer-specific and overall mortality: A modeling approach

To validate cancer screening programs, experts recommend estimating effects on case fatality rates (CFRs) and cancer-specific mortality. This study evaluates hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening in patients with cirrhosis for those outcomes using a modeling approach. We designed a Markov model to assess 10-year HCC-CFR, HCC-related, and overall mortality per 100,000 screened patients with compensated cirrhosis. The model evaluates different HCC surveillance intervals (none, annual [12 months], semiannual [6 months], or quarterly [3 months]) and imaging modalities (ultrasound [US] or magnetic resonance imaging [MRI]) in various annual incidences (0.2%, 0.4%, or 1.5%). Compared to no surveillance, 6-month US reduced the 10-year HCC-CFR from 77% to 46%. With annual incidences of 0.2%, 0.4%, and 1.5%, the model predicted 281, 565, and 2059 fewer HCC-related deaths, respectively, and 187, 374, and 1356 fewer total deaths per 100,000 screened patients, respectively. Combining alpha-fetoprotein screening to 6-month US led to 32, 63, and 230 fewer HCC-related deaths per 100,000 screened patients for annual incidences of 0.2%, 0.4%, and 1.5%, respectively. Compared to 6-month US, 3-month US reduced cancer-related mortality by 14%, predicting 61, 123, and 446 fewer HCC-related deaths per 100,000 screened patients with annual incidences of 0.2%, 0.4%, and 1.5%, respectively. Compared to 6-month US, 6-month MRI (-17%) and 12-month MRI (-6%) reduced HCC-related mortality. Compared to 6-month US, overall mortality reductions ranged from -0.1% to -1.3% when using 3-month US or MRI. A US surveillance interval of 6 months improves HCC-related and overall mortality compared to no surveillance. A shorter US interval or using MRI could reduce HCC-CFR and HCC-related mortality, with a modest effect on overall mortality.

Impairment of perioperative activities of daily living is associated with poor prognosis following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The number of cancer patients with impairment of activities of daily living (ADLs) has increased. This study aimed to examine associations of perioperative Barthel index score, a validated measure of ADLs, with survival outcomes following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We analyzed data of 492 consecutive patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC between 2010 and 2018. Pre- and postoperative ADLs were assessed using the Barthel index (range, 0-100; higher scores indicate greater independence). Preoperative Barthel index score ≤85 or postoperative Barthel index score ≤85 was defined as impairment of perioperative ADLs. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) after adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Among the 492 patients, 26 (5.2%) had a preoperative Barthel index score ≤85 and 95 (19%) had a postoperative Barthel index score ≤85. Impairment of perioperative ADLs was independently associated with shorter overall survival (multivariable HR: 1.75, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-2.81, p = 0.028). The association of impairment of perioperative ADLs with recurrence-free survival was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

Impairment of perioperative ADLs is associated with poor prognosis following hepatectomy for HCC. Maintenance and improvement of perioperative ADLs would be important to provide favorable long-term outcomes in patients with HCC.

Non-transplantable Recurrence After Resection for Transplantable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Implication for Upfront Treatment Choice

OBJECTIVES

To identify the preoperative risk factors for prediction of non-transplantable recurrence (NTR) after tumor resection for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to assist in patient selection relative to upfront liver resection (LR) versus liver transplantation (LT).

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative resection for transplantable HCC and chronic liver disease were identified from an international multi-institutional database. NTR was defined as recurrence beyond the Milan or UCSF criteria, and the preoperative risk factors of NTR were investigated.

RESULTS

Among 293 patients with transplantable HCC within Milan criteria and 320 within UCSF criteria, 113 (38.6%) and 131 (40.9%) patients developed tumor recurrence, respectively. Among patients who recurred, NTR was present in 32 (28.3%) patients within Milan and 35 (26.7%) within UCSF criteria. When either Milan or UCSF criteria was adopted, three preoperative risk factors including liver cirrhosis, tumor size > 3 cm, and multiple lesions were consistently identified as risk factors associated with NTR after curative resection. By summing up the three factors, a scoring model was established and the incidence of NTR among patients with 0, 1 or ≥ 2 risk factors incrementally increased from 4.5%, 13.3% to 20.5% when Milan criteria was used, and from 4.5%, 12.4% to 33.9% when UCSF criteria was adopted. The model demonstrated very good discriminatory power on internal validation (n = 5,000) (c-index 0.689 for Milan criteria, and 0.715 for UCSF criteria).

CONCLUSIONS

Whereas surgical resection may be optimal first-line treatment for patients with no or one risk factor, patients with ≥ 2 risk factors should be considered for upfront liver transplantation.